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Wednesday 3 June

Machine Learning

SHALA-LLM: Smartly Handling Ambiguous Labels in Aligning LLMs

Many human-centered tasks, including natural language inference (NLI) and emotion recognition (ER), have multiple plausible interpretations, leading to label ambiguity and challenging disagreements across human annotators. As LLMs are increasingly deployed in real-world settings, faithfully modeling such ambiguity is essential to identify contested inputs, preserve variability in ambiguous cases, and capture the full distribution of human judgments. Yet, existing LLM alignment approaches have predominantly assumed a single correct label, excluding annotator disagreement during optimization. Instead of treating this ambiguity as noise, we show how to treat it as information that improves model behavior through a new algorithm called SMARTLY HANDLING AMBIGUOUS LABELS IN ALIGNING LLMS (SHALA-LLM). This reinforcement learning framework provides a new way for LLMs to learn directly from annotator distributions while dynamically prioritizing highly ambiguous samples during optimization. Experiments on ambiguity-sensitive NLI and ER benchmarks, including ChaosNLI, GoEmotions, and MSP-Podcast, demonstrate that SHALA-LLM improves agreement with annotator label distributions, e.g. on ChaosNLI, it reduces Jensen-Shannon Distance by up to 62.1%. At the same time, SHALA-LLM improves F1 by up to 16.7%, showing that modeling annotator disagreement can also strengthen classification performance.
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All authors Jingyao Wu, Ashley Wang, Keane Ong, Paul Pu Liang, Rosalind Picard

Machine Learning

Evidence-Guided Neural Architecture Selection under Uncertainty for Subject-Specific Blood Glucose Forecasting

Reliable neural architecture selection is an open challenge in time-series forecasting under limited, noisy, and heterogeneous data, where standard heuristic architecture design and validation approaches fail to ensure accurate and reliable prediction and generalization. We propose EVIDENT (EVidence-based IDEntification of Neural archiTectures), a framework for architecture selection that integrates Bayesian training, evidence-based ranking, and task-specific validation under uncertainty. The framework explores the candidate architecture pool and identifies the lowest-capacity model that satisfies a prescribed validation criterion. We demonstrate this method using temporal convolutional networks (TCNs) for individualized blood glucose forecasting in type 1 diabetes patients. The results show that EVIDENT systematically rejects both under- and over-parameterized TCN architectures on population-level diabetes data, while identifying models that generalize reliably to unseen patients. When multiple architectures are competitive, the framework further supports plausibility-weighted ensemble predictions that enhance predictive performance. Compared with a random-search baseline, EVIDENT identified smaller architectures with more consistent forecasting performance on unseen patients. These findings establish EVIDENT as a strategy to neural architecture discovery, enabling reliable model selection for high-consequence forecasting in data-limited and heterogeneous settings.
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All authors Md Azharul Islam, Dwyer Deighan, Tarunraj Singha, Danial Faghihi

Machine Learning

Mamba-Assisted Non-Markovian Closure for Reduced-Order Modeling

Reduced-order modeling of high-dimensional dynamical systems is often hindered by closure effects arising from unresolved variables, which can introduce non-Markovian dependence into the resolved dynamics. Motivated by the history-dependent memory term arising in the Mori–Zwanzig formalism, we recast non-Markovian closure modeling as a sequence modeling problem and propose the Mamba-Assisted Closure (MAC) framework. MAC employs a Mamba-based sequence model to predict the closure from the resolved trajectory and couples the learned closure with the reduced-order governing equations through a numerical integrator to advance the resolved variables in time. During training, the selective scan mechanism in Mamba enables efficient parallel sequence processing with linear scaling in sequence length, while autoregressive inference proceeds through recurrent state updates at essentially constant per-step cost. We evaluate MAC on four benchmark systems with complementary characteristics: the viscous Burgers' equation, the chaotic two-scale Lorenz '96 system, the 3-bus DeMarco–Zheng power-grid system, and the dispersive Korteweg–de Vries equation. Across these benchmarks, MAC consistently improves predictive accuracy and long-time rollout stability relative to the comparison models, demonstrating an effective and computationally scalable approach to non-Markovian closure modeling.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML

Environment-Robust Representation Learning with Empirical Bayes

We consider multi-environment prediction problems. We assume the environments change the distribution of a latent variable, while the mechanisms generating observed covariates and targets remain stable conditional on that variable. For example, hospitals or clinical cohorts may differ in the prevalence of latent patient states, even though the relationships between those states, physiological measurements, and outcomes remain unchanged. Given a dataset from multiple environments, we formulate a Bayesian model for such problems and derive the corresponding variational objective. We show that this objective decomposes into per-environment terms and an additional cross-environment balancing term induced by the model's structure. We use an empirical Bayes method to set the prior and incorporate it into the objective. Based on this objective, we develop an amortized variational algorithm for posterior approximation, and use the resulting learned latent variables to form predictions in new environments.We study our approach through simulations and real-world studies of astronomical source identification, microbiome-based disease detection, and ICU sepsis prediction. Across these settings, our method outperforms previous approaches for prediction in new environments.
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All authors Yuli Slavutsky, Matthew Shen, Bohan Wu, David M. Blei

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.GT

Oblivious Learning and Collusive Pricing

On a platform with many sellers, should a pricing algorithm explicitly model competitors' prices when learning demand? Classical arguments suggest that ignoring competitors induces model misspecification and inefficiency, yet findings from algorithmic collusion suggest that ignoring competitor prices may, surprisingly, facilitate collusive outcomes and improve profits. We study this problem in a competitive market with unknown noisy demand, in which sellers repeatedly set prices, either incorporating competitor prices in learning their demand models (informed), or ignoring them (oblivious). We show that, relative to a monopolist, an oblivious seller in a competitive market must conduct more aggressive price exploration to compensate for the loss of dynamic competitor information. When all sellers are oblivious, prices converge to the competitive outcome under persistent exploration, while a continuum of pseudo-equilibria arises when exploration is "insufficient." In markets with a mix of oblivious and informed sellers, the informed strictly out-earn the oblivious. In game-theoretic terms, the unique Nash equilibrium is the all-informed market, in which prices converge to the competitive outcome efficiently, and oblivious modeling does not robustly lead to collusive patterns.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML

TabSODA: Tabular Diffusion based Imputation with Skip Pattern Detection and Ordinal Awareness

Missing data imputation in large-scale surveys faces two challenges that are not well handled by current tabular diffusion methods. First, structural skips, cells made inapplicable by questionnaire design, should not be imputed but are often conflated with item nonresponse. Second, ordinal responses encode ordered categories, yet most pipelines treat them as nominal levels through one-hot or analog-bit encodings. We introduce TabSODA (Tabular diffusion with Skip pattern detection and Ordinal Awareness), an Expectation-Maximization (EM)-based diffusion imputer built on the Elucidated Diffusion Model (EDM) framework. TabSODA propagates structural skips through the denoising loss and reverse-time sampler, and represents ordinal variables with cumulative-probit scalar latents while retaining analog-bit encodings for nominal variables. When a codebook skip mask is available, TabSODA uses it directly; otherwise, the TabSODA+SKIP variant estimates the mask from raw responses and questionnaire order using a CART-based skip-pattern miner. On Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health (PATH) study and the National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH), two nationally representative U.S.\ surveys, TabSODA reduces ordinal MACE by up to $23.7\%$ and improves categorical accuracy by up to $9\%$ over the strongest baseline across MCAR, MAR, and MNAR masking. The skip miner achieves near-perfect precision on both datasets, allowing TabSODA+SKIP to closely track the codebook-mask variant.
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All authors Yuyu Chen, Taehyo Kim, Hai Shu, Yang Feng

Machine Learning

PJ-RoPE: A Fourier-Jet-Affine Position Space for Relative Attention

We organize relative-position mechanisms in attention as a learnable Fourier-Jet-Affine position space. The starting point is lag-shift dynamics: a relative-position kernel is a response function of the lag \(d=i-j\), and the one-step shift \((Ef)(d)=f(d+1)\) gives a compact classification of finite structured responses through constant-coefficient difference modules. In this view, RoPE supplies simple Fourier roots, Jordan-RoPE thickens these roots into finite Fourier jets, and ALiBi supplies the repeated unit-root affine direction. NTK-aware RoPE scaling fits the same structure as a spectral flow of simple Fourier roots: moving the frequency grid generates first Fourier-jet tangent directions, while higher Taylor directions generate higher jets. PJ-RoPE makes these jet directions explicit and learnable, and uses the resulting space to measure task-level sector selection. The framework separates scalar PJ-bias kernels from exact PJ-rotary feature transforms, introduces sector-gate, effective-mass, functional-energy, and leave-one-order-out diagnostics, and stabilizes high-order coordinates with LC/rapidity compactification. Controlled probes recover designed sectors; synthetic teachers show trainable use; small byte-level language runs favor NTK-aware RoPE plus affine recency; symbolic music-token streams keep LC/affine variants strong with measurable high-order corrections; and LC diagnostics quantify the stability-resolution tradeoff.
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Machine Learning

A prism hierarchy of learning regimes in large linear autoencoders

Theoretical studies of machine learning models commonly consider different limiting regimes in which the learning dynamics of gradient descent becomes theoretically tractable. It is, however, desirable to have a systematically obtained picture of qualitatively different extreme learning regimes for a particular type of models. In this paper we propose such a picture for large weight-tied linear autoencoders characterized by input and latent dimensions, initialization magnitude, and training set size. This model is nonlinear in the weights and its gradient flow does not have a general theoretical solution. We show that at the level of the formal loss-expansion hierarchy, its extreme regimes are naturally associated with faces of a triangular prism. In particular, there are five basic extreme regimes associated with the 2-faces of the prism: (1) large-data, (2) small-data, (3) mean-field, (4) narrow-latent, and (5) free. For regimes (1,2,3,4), we derive and rigorously characterize the limiting train and population dynamics under gradient flow, rigorously prove convergence to these limits, and get good agreement with experimental results. The resulting limits reveal spectral critical slowing, initialization-driven trapping away from the PCA optimum, and regimes in which population loss converges exponentially while training loss relaxes only algebraically.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.GR

The Invisible Hand of Physics: When Video Diffusion Models Know More Than They Show

Modern video diffusion models generate increasingly realistic and temporally coherent videos, motivating their use as candidate world simulators. Yet it remains unclear whether these models internally encode physical structure, or merely reproduce motion patterns seen during training. We study this question by probing video diffusion models along latent trajectories corresponding to real videos with known physical plausibility. To obtain such trajectories, we approximately invert the deterministic sampling process by integrating the learned velocity field backward from a clean video latent to noise, giving access to the model's intermediate states and attention maps. Using these recovered trajectories, we show that physical plausibility is linearly decodable from diffusion transformer states across IntPhys and InfLevel, reaching around 81.27% average accuracy and outperforming dedicated representation-learning baselines such as V-JEPA and VideoMAE. Surprisingly, this signal is absent from the VAE latent input and emerges inside the denoising transformer itself, despite the model not being trained with a self-supervised predictive objective. These findings suggest that physically meaningful representations can arise as a byproduct of generative denoising.
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All authors Parsa Esmati, Somjit Nath, Katja Hofmann, Derek Nowrouzezahrai, Samira Ebrahimi Kahou, Majid Mirmehdi

Machine Learning

Multimarginal flow matching with optimal transport potentials

Flow matching (FM) has emerged as a powerful framework for learning dynamic transport maps between two empirical distributions. However, less explored is the setting with intermediate observed marginals that can help constrain the flows between the endpoints. This "multimarginal" regime is central to modeling temporal evolution in dynamical systems in many scientific domains that can sample sequential distributions. We tackle this problem with a novel approach that leverages the connection between FM and dynamic optimal transport (OT), softly steering the flow towards the intermediate marginals through potential terms in the dynamic OT action. By extending the conditional FM learning target to incorporate these potentials, we derive an efficient, simulation-free algorithm for multimarginal FM that offers considerable flexibility in the spatiotemporal dynamics of the learned flows. We demonstrate state-of-the-art performance and training efficiency of OT-potential FM (OTP-FM) on diverse single-cell RNA sequencing, oceanographic, and meteorological datasets. Our code is available at https://github.com/Bexorg-Inc/OTP-FM.
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All authors Raghav Kansal, David Crair, Nghia Nguyen, Scott Pope, Bradley Parry

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from math.OC

Mean–Fluctuation Dynamics at the Edge of Stability

We study the dynamics of gradient descent in the Edge of Stability regime, where the learning rate is large enough to induce persistent oscillations in the trajectory, which has been linked to better generalization performance. We introduce the mean–fluctuation dynamics, a tractable continuous-time model coupling the window-averaged trajectory to its fluctuation covariance. Among our contributions, we rigorously derive this model from gradient descent in a sharp-valley framework, characterize its stationary states and their linear stability, and establish precise connections with other effective dynamics. Numerical experiments illustrate these predictions and their finite-time limitations. We also study our model in the overparametrized regime of wide two-layer networks at a fixed learning rate, where we rigorously derive a kinetic equation describing weights and their fluctuations as a Wasserstein-2 gradient flow, for which we prove well-posedness, a mean-field limit, and conditional convergence results.
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Machine Learning

Statistically Reliable LLM-Based Ranking Evaluation via Prediction-Powered Inference

With PRECISE, we extended Prediction-Powered Inference to produce bias-corrected estimates of ranking evaluation metrics by combining a small human-labeled set with a large LLM-judged set. PPI is provably unbiased regardless of the LLM judge's error profile. We make it applicable to hierarchical metrics like Precision@K, where annotations are per-document but the metric is per-query, by reducing the output-space computation from O(2^|C|) to O(2^K). On the ESCI benchmark, augmenting 30 human annotations with Claude 3 Sonnet judgments reduces the standard error of Precision@4 estimates from 4.45 to 3.50 (a 21% relative reduction). In a production system, our framework correctly identified the best of three system variants from 100 human labels and 2 hours of domain-expert annotation; A/B testing confirmed this ranking with +407 bps in daily sales.
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Machine Learning

Agentic Monte Carlo: Simulating Reinforcement Learning for Black-Box Agents

LLM agents operate in two distinct regimes: open-weight agents amenable to reinforcement learning (RL) and black-box agents whose behaviour must be controlled purely at test time. Although black-box agents are often backed by state-of-the-art proprietary LLMs, API-only access precludes parameter-level optimization, rendering most RL methods inapplicable. To address this limitation, we turn to a known equivalence between RL and Bayesian inference. We propose Agentic Monte Carlo (AMC) to directly sample from the optimal policy of a black-box agent rather than training it through RL. The optimal policy is a posterior over trajectories whose prior we define as the fixed black-box LLM agent. We employ Sequential Monte Carlo to sample from this posterior by learning a value function to steer the agent while leaving the underlying black-box model unchanged. We validate AMC on three diverse environments from the AgentGym benchmark, demonstrating significant improvements over prompting baselines and even outperforming Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) as we scale the test-time compute of our method. AMC demonstrates the feasibility of performing principled RL-style optimization of black-box LLM agents. Code is available at https://github.com/layer6ai-labs/Agentic-Monte-Carlo
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All authors Dae Yon Hwang, Raunaq Suri, Valentin Villecroze, Anthony L. Caterini, Jesse C. Cresswell, Noël Vouitsis, Brendan Leigh Ross

Machine Learning

Anomaly Detection for Electro-Hydrostatic Actuators using LSTM Autoencoder

Electro-Hydrostatic Actuators (EHAs) are widely used in aerospace and industrial systems, where timely detection of sensor anomalies is essential to ensure safe and reliable operation. However, the large volume and high sampling frequency of EHA sensor data pose challenges for accurate and efficient anomaly detection. Conventional statistical and classical machine-learning methods such as Z-score, Interquartile Range (IQR), Median Absolute Deviation (MAD), Isolation Forest, Gaussian Mixture, and k-means often fail to capture the temporal dependencies inherent in EHA signals, resulting in limited detection accuracy and elevated false-alarm rates. Furthermore, systematic evaluations of data-driven anomaly detection approaches for EHA systems remain scarce, particularly under varying operational conditions. This study presents an offline anomaly-detection framework for univariate EHA sensor signals, focusing on temperature and pressure data collected from a controlled test bench. The method employs a reconstruction-based Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) autoencoder, calibrated and evaluated using validation-set reconstruction-error distributions. Performance is assessed across multiple fault-injection scenarios using accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score, complemented by sensitivity analyses under varying operating conditions. The LSTM autoencoder achieved an average accuracy of 99.0%, precision up to 100%, recall between 90.2% and 99.6%, and F1-scores from 93.1% to 99.8%, demonstrating high detection sensitivity and a very low false-alarm rate across all evaluated sensors. These results highlight the feasibility of data-driven offline anomaly detection for EHAs. Future work will focus on adapting the developed framework for an online (real-time) environment.
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All authors Nehal Afifi, Abdelmonem Elhendawi, Felix Leitenberger, Nadine Piat, Sven Matthiesen

Machine Learning

Learning Manifold and Itô Dynamics with Branched Neural Rough Differential Equations

Neural rough differential equations (NRDEs) stay accurate under irregular sampling while taking far fewer integration steps than standard neural differential equations, summarising a finely sampled driver by its log-signature and advancing the hidden state over coarse intervals using the log-ODE method. This efficiency rests on the shuffle algebra, the algebraic counterpart of Stratonovich calculus. This reliance means NRDEs cannot expose the quadratic-variation terms Itô dynamics require, nor the ordered covariant derivatives that govern Itô flows on connection-equipped manifolds. Ameliorating this, we introduce Branched Neural Rough Differential Equations (B-NRDEs), a Hopf-algebraic framework that recasts the NRDE log-ODE step as geometric numerical integration on the state-space manifold, matching the driving algebra to the governing calculus: Grossman–Larson rooted trees for Euclidean Itô dynamics, the Munthe–Kaas–Wright dual for ordered covariant derivatives on manifolds, and the tensor algebra in the classical Stratonovich case. This yields intrinsic coarse-step dynamics that exactly preserve manifold constraints. Finally, we introduce a branched signature-kernel objective to enable Itô-consistent law matching by making quadratic variation terms visible during training. On rough Bergomi volatility, sim-to-real $\mathrm{SO}(3)$ forecasting, and SPD covariance dynamics, B-NRDEs offer a unified, effective approach to stochastic and manifold-valued dynamics beyond the Euclidean–Stratonovich setting.
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All authors Luke Thompson, Dai Shi, Lequan Lin, Junbin Gao, Andi Han

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.GR

Aggregating LLM-Based Weak Verifiers for Spatial Layout Generation

We present a pipeline for building and aggregating task-specific, LLM-generated weak (imperfect) verifiers into a strong verifier for spatial layout domains. Given a task description, our pipeline asks an LLM to synthesize a collection of verifier programs using a layout verification DSL. Each individual LLM-generated verifier usually provides an imperfect check for a match between the layout and the corresponding task description. We show that by aggregating the responses of many such verifiers we can produce a stronger verifier. Moreover, by applying techniques from weak learning, our pipeline can learn how to aggregate the weak verifiers from a very sparse set of human labeled example layouts (about 10). We find that the strong verifiers produced by our pipeline outperform the status-quo approach of using a set of LLM judges to directly check whether a layout matches a task description, raising F1-scores by up to 7X across a variety of 3D room layout and 2D poster design tasks. We also demonstrate that verifier-guided layout generation using natural language feedback from our strong verifiers improves layout quality of a base layout generator by up to 66.2% according to a human evaluator.
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All authors Sharon Zhang, R. Kenny Jones, Jiajun Wu, Maneesh Agrawala

Machine Learning

Sharp Low-Degree Thresholds for Planted-vs-Planted Testing

We establish the first sharp thresholds for low-degree polynomial tests in planted-vs-planted settings, where the goal is to determine with vanishing error which of two structured planted mechanisms generated the observed data. We prove matching low-degree upper and lower bounds for counting communities in the planted submatrix and planted dense subgraph models. The resulting testing threshold coincides, down to the sharp constant, with the known low-degree recovery threshold. In contrast, the task of weak testing, where the goal is to outperform random guessing, does not have a sharp threshold but rather a smooth transition, which we identify. To prove our results, we develop a framework for planted-vs-planted testing that builds on a latent-variable expansion originating in low-degree recovery and employs new methods to identify and prune non-signal contributions.
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All authors Anda Skeja, Daniel Gutiérrez Espinoza, Fiona Skerman, Alexander S. Wein

Machine Learning

Data-efficient flood depth prediction through domain-aware coreset selection and tabular foundation models

Near-real-time flood depth prediction demands surrogate models that are accurate, fast, and transferable across watersheds. Supervised surrogates can match physics-based simulators in accuracy but need millions of training rows per watershed and cannot extrapolate beyond their original mesh. We propose a domain-aware coreset construction pipeline that conditions a tabular foundation model at inference time. The pipeline stratifies storms by return period and most-affected watershed, then samples hexagons with a target-aware spatial selector. With 0.7% of the per-watershed training pool, the model attains a mean $R^2$ of 0.663 across nine Houston-area watersheds, within 98.5% of the supervised reference ($R^2$ = 0.673). It transfers to held-out watersheds without task-specific retraining, staying ahead of a coreset-trained supervised baseline. On real storms it exceeds the supervised reference on a far out-of-distribution case and trails it on a mostly in-distribution one. Domain-aware coreset construction lets tabular foundation models deliver data-efficient, watershed-transferable flood predictions without per-watershed training.
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All authors Lipai Huang, Adithi Srinath, Manas Singh, Junwei Ma, Ali Mostafavi

Machine Learning

REGEN: Reference-Guided Synthetic Multivariate Time Series Generation for Forecasting

Training robust multivariate time series forecasting models requires large, diverse corpora, yet many real-world domains provide only a handful of observed sequences. Existing generators fail to resolve this mismatch: prior-based approaches (e.g., CauKer, TimePFN) produce domain-agnostic samples, while data-driven methods (e.g., TimeGAN) treat references as black-box supervision, forfeiting explicit control over periodic structure, local variability, and cross-variable dynamics. We propose ReGeN, a reference-guided generative pipeline that treats observed sequences not as examples to imitate, but as structural scaffolds for controllable synthesis. ReGeN decomposes each reference into three interpretable components: a phase-aligned periodic backbone capturing dominant domain morphology; per-variable stochastic residuals modeled with a deep-kernel Gaussian process; and lag-aware cross-variable dependencies injected through a structural causal model with fitted coupling coefficients. Sampling these components at controllable temperature broadens distributional coverage while preserving domain-grounded structure. We show that ReGeN-generated data consistently substitutes for real sibling data with minimal forecasting degradation, and in strongly periodic domains such as traffic, can outperform the real source itself. We further show that a foundation model pretrained on ReGeN corpora outperforms those pretrained on prior-based and data-driven synthetic alternatives. This suggests that in low-data regimes, how reference data is structurally exploited can matter as much as how much data is available.
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All authors Moulik Gupta, Dhruv Kumar, Murari Mandal, Saurabh Deshpande

Machine Learning

Policy-Conditioned Counterfactual Credit for Verifiable Reinforcement Learning of Long-Horizon Language Agents

Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards improves reasoning and tool use, yet long-horizon language agents still learn unsupported evidence chains, belief drift, and shortcut actions that satisfy terminal checks. Existing process rewards are mostly correlational: they reward retrieval-, reflection-, or verification-like steps without estimating whether the step contributes to final verified success under a specified intervention. We propose CVT-RL, a constrained policy-gradient algorithm with dense verifiable rewards, intervention-validity gating, and a policy-conditioned counterfactual contribution (PCCC) estimator. Deletion, semantic substitution, evidence substitution, and tool-output perturbation define separate controlled interventions; continuations are sampled from a frozen reference policy, and a selection-adjusted doubly robust estimator augments the advantage. Belief control uses only prefix-observable labels, while an augmented Lagrangian constrains unsupported claims, skipped verification, tool tampering, and unsafe calls. On long-context QA, ALFWorld, ScienceWorld, and web/tool tasks, CVT-RL improves average task success from 71.8% for compute-matched non-causal RL and 75.4% for an information-matched counterfactual-process baseline to 78.9%, improves evidence F1 from 78.9 to 82.8 over the information-matched baseline, and reduces measured hacking from 7.2% to 3.9%. Independent human audit estimates 4.6% hacking for CVT-RL versus 8.1% for the information-matched baseline, and adaptive detector-evasion attacks raise hacking only to 7.1%. Stratified bootstrap and mixed-effects tests give p<0.01 after Holm correction for all primary metrics. Carefully scoped counterfactual credit, paired with validity gating, diagnostics, and verifiable constraints, provides a reproducible route toward more reliable long-horizon RL for language agents.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV

NIV: Neural Axis Variations for Variable Font Generation

Variable fonts enable continuous variation of glyph geometry along semantic design axes such as weight, width, slant, and optical size. However, constructing a variable font from a static font remains a labor-intensive process requiring expert typographic design and manual specification of glyph variation data. We introduce NIV (Neural Axis Variations), a method that automatically converts a static font into a fully functional variable font. Given glyph outlines and a set of desired design axes, NIV predicts per-point displacements. The model operates directly on vector glyph geometry and employs a novel Property Embedding mechanism that captures interactions between multiple axes, enabling consistent multi-axis variation within a unified framework. We train NIV on a newly constructed dataset derived from variable Google Fonts, comprising over one million variation tuples. The resulting model generalizes across unseen code points, unseen font styles, high-complexity CJK glyphs, and even out-of-distribution handwriting inputs. The generated outputs are standard variable font files supporting continuous interpolation via existing rendering engines. To facilitate research, we release the dataset, the complete training and inference implementation, and trained models at https://github.com/ndvbd/NIV. Beyond typography, our approach demonstrates how structured geometric objects with continuous parametric variation can be synthesized using neural deformations.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML

Harnessing Source Heterogeneity for Cluster-Structured Transfer Learning

Transfer learning is a natural strategy when a target population has limited data but multiple related auxiliary sources are available. A central difficulty is source heterogeneity: auxiliary sources may not be equally useful, and their usefulness may vary in a structured, cluster-like fashion. Existing transfer-learning methods often reduce source selection to a binary informative/non-informative decision, overlooking subgroups of sources with differential transferability. Motivated by a suicide-risk study using data from the Connecticut Hospital Information Management Exchange (CHIME), comprising 636,758 patients across 27 hospitals, we propose Trans-GLMC, a cluster-structured transfer-learning procedure for generalized linear models. The CHIME setting illustrates the core challenge: hospital-specific risk models are unstable because suicide attempts are rare at any single facility, whereas indiscriminate pooling across hospitals can obscure facility-level differences in patient mix and risk profiles. Trans-GLMC first constructs a coefficient-based distance among the target and candidate sources to recover latent source clusters. It then combines global fusion, within-cluster refinement, and target debiasing to produce an estimator that adapts to the detected structure. We establish a non-asymptotic error bound that improves over its unclustered counterpart whenever a meaningful target cluster exists and matches the unclustered rate up to constants otherwise. In simulations and in the CHIME study, Trans-GLMC improves facility-specific prediction, identifies interpretable communities of hospitals with mutual transferability, and recovers clinically coherent suicide-risk factors.
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All authors Xiaohui Yin, Jun Jin, Shane J. Sacco, Robert H. Aseltine, Kun Chen

Machine Learning

Scaling Laws for Behavioral Foundation Models over User Event Sequences

Foundation models are increasingly trained on sequences of user actions in recommendation, payments, fraud, and commerce, but these models still lack the kind of compute calibration that scaling laws provide for language models. We study a common two-part behavioral-model architecture: a feature-based event embedder maps each multi-modal item to a vector, and a decoder-only transformer predicts the next event from the resulting sequence. Across roughly 600 runs on real interaction data, spanning $10^{15}$-$10^{19}$ training FLOPs, we jointly vary four deployment-relevant axes: the two-part parameter split, critical batch size, model/data allocation, and the number of sampled negatives used after freezing the embedder. A small embedder ($s^{\star}\!\approx\!2\%$ of parameters) is compute-optimal at every budget we test because embedder parameters are both more expensive per step and exposed to far more repeated items than contextualizer parameters. Compute-optimal training is data-heavy relative to text at low compute, but its $D/N$ ratio moves toward the Chinchilla heuristic as compute increases. The sampled training objective and deployed ranking metrics disagree in ways that themselves scale: critical batch size, optimal negative count after freezing, and the agreement between loss and ranking quality all shift with compute and with the chosen evaluation metric. For negative sampling, larger budgets increasingly prefer more negatives; by $10^{19}$ FLOPs the active constraint is candidate-axis memory rather than FLOPs. In behavioral foundation models, the evaluation metric is therefore part of the scaling law: changing it can change the compute-optimal recipe.
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Machine Learning

Flash-WAM: Modality-Aware Distillation for World Action Models

World-action models (WAMs) jointly generate future video and robot actions through iterative diffusion, achieving strong performance on manipulation benchmarks but requiring tens of denoising steps, a cost that precludes real-time control. Step distillation has emerged as the natural remedy, but off-the-shelf methods break down in the joint video-action setting because video and action streams use different SNR-shifted noise schedules and reach training with substantially different marginal noise distributions, an asymmetry that single-modality distillation methods cannot accommodate. We introduce Flash-WAM, a modality-aware step-distillation framework inspired by consistency distillation that selects the consistency function for each modality to match its noise regime: a linear-gradient-scaling parametrization for the action stream's low-noise regime, paired with a variance-preserving parametrization for the video stream's high-noise regime, grounded in a structural analysis of the consistency-function family that characterizes the achievable gradient scaling under the consistency boundary condition. Instantiated on LingBot-VA, Flash-WAM compresses inference to a single step in each modality. On RoboTwin 2.0, this reduces per-chunk latency from $8.1$ seconds to $348$ ms on NVIDIA L40S, a $23{\times}$ speedup that enables real-time inference. Flash-WAM preserves task success on simulation benchmarks ($85.5\%$ RoboTwin 2.0, $95.7\%$ LIBERO) and substantially recovers real-world performance ($60\%$ average on a Unitree G1 humanoid robot), while naive consistency distillation drops to $24\%$ at the same step budget.
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All authors Arman Akbari, Ci Zhang, Arash Akbari, Lin Zhao, Yixiao Chen, Weiwei Chen, Xuan Zhang, Geng Yuan, Yanzhi Wang

Machine Learning

Alpha-RTL: Test-Time Training for RTL Hardware Optimization

Large language models (LLMs) have shown increasing promise in generating functionally correct register-transfer-level (RTL) hardware designs. Recent systems improve further through EDA-integrated reinforcement learning with syntax, simulation, and PPA rewards, but train a general RTL generator before deployment while test-time approaches search with a frozen policy. We instead perform reinforcement learning at test time, allowing the LLM policy to adapt to executable EDA feedback for the specific RTL problem at hand. We propose TTT-RTL, to our knowledge the first per-design test-time training framework that closes the loop between an LLM policy and an EDA pipeline for RTL optimization. TTT-RTL samples candidate implementations, verifies them through syntax checking and simulation, scores valid designs using synthesis-derived PPA product, reuses high-reward variants through a PUCT-indexed design-state pool, and updates the policy with an entropic policy-gradient objective. To stabilize policy updates under sparse or plateaued rewards, we introduce an adaptive KL-budget controller that adjusts the entropy constraint using reference KL, effective sample size, and reward saturation signals. On RTLLM v2.0 under Nangate 45nm, TTT-RTL reduces the geometric-mean PPA product by 65.1% over the reference, outperforming the strongest published frozen-policy agent baseline at 26.1%. On an industrial XuanTie C910 FPU leading-zero-anticipation unit under Sky130, TTT-RTL achieves a 59.4% ADP reduction, and ablations confirm that policy adaptation, state reuse, and KL-budget control each contribute. These results suggest that test-time training with executable EDA feedback can move LLM-based RTL generation beyond functional correctness toward physically optimized hardware.
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All authors Peilong Zhou, Zhirong Chen, Cangyuan Li, Haoyu Gao, Kaiyan Chang, Ziming Qu, Ying Wang

Machine Learning

DiffSlack: Learning under Nonlinear Inequality Constraints via Learnable Slack Variables

Enforcing nonlinear inequality constraints in neural networks remains challenging, especially when the output is subject to many coupled constraints. Existing hard constraint methods often impose structural restrictions on the constraint set or introduce substantial computational overhead for large-scale nonlinear problems. Here, we propose DiffSlack, a differentiable projection layer for nonlinear inequality-constrained neural prediction. DiffSlack reformulates inequalities as equalities with learnable slack variables, which are predicted as part of the augmented network output and provide a data-driven warm start for damped Gauss-Newton projection. The projection layer maps raw predictions onto the augmented feasible manifold while preserving end-to-end differentiability. A two-stage curriculum further stabilizes training and improves constraint satisfaction. We evaluate DiffSlack on vehicle path planning with 200 nonlinear inequality constraints from collision avoidance, curvature limits, and waypoint spacing. Compared with existing learning-based baselines, DiffSlack achieves a higher planning success rate and stronger geometric constraint satisfaction under a comparable inference budget. Ablation studies further show that the hard projection layer reduces sensitivity to supervision quality. Closed-loop tracking in CARLA and real-world vehicle experiments confirms the executability of the generated trajectories. These results demonstrate that DiffSlack provides a practical and scalable approach to embedding hard inequality constraints into neural networks for engineering applications.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML

Deterministic Envelopes for Tamed SGLD: Decoupling Stochastic Gradient Noise and Localizing Taming

Stochastic gradient Langevin algorithms often use tamed denominators to stabilize superlinear drifts. This paper shows that when the denominator depends on the current stochastic gradient, the transformed update can have a biased conditional mean even if the original stochastic gradient is unbiased. This creates a stationary mean-shift channel that is absent for deterministic denominators.We propose a structure-preserving framework for designing tamed denominators. The construction keeps the denominator deterministic given the current state, and uses localized deterministic envelopes to avoid unnecessary taming in typical regions. These kernels retain the stabilizing effect of taming while avoiding the bias introduced by a gradient-dependent denominator. Our theory bounds the stationary bias through Euler, envelope, and stochastic-gradient residuals. The analysis also shows why purely local taming rules can lose control in the far tail and motivates a hybrid construction with additional tail protection. Experiments confirm the stationary distortions of random denominators, the bias reduction of deterministic-envelope designs, and the stabilizing effect of the hybrid construction.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML

HyFAD: Hybrid Time-Frequency Diffusion with Frequency-Aware Embedding for Time Series Imputation

Diffusion models have demonstrated strong performance in time series modeling due to their ability to progressively capture complex data distributions through iterative denoising. However, existing approaches struggle with frequency-sensitive denoising, high-frequency reconstruction and balancing global trends with local dynamics. To address these limitations, we propose HyFAD, a Hybrid time-frequency Diffusion model with Frequency-Aware embedding for time series imputation. Built upon the DDPM paradigm, HyFAD adopts a coupled time-frequency diffusion framework, in which the reverse denoising proceeds sequentially from the time domain to the frequency domain, enabling coarse-to-fine generation. Specifically, the time-domain diffusion process captures low-frequency global trends, while the frequency-domain diffusion process refines high-frequency spectral components. We further introduce a frequency-aware step embedding that exploits the relationship between diffusion steps and spectral components, providing step-dependent spectral guidance and facilitates more accurate band-wise reconstruction. Extensive experiments on multiple benchmark datasets demonstrate that HyFAD achieves state-of-the-art performance. Our source code is available at https://github.com/hongfangao/HyFAD.
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All authors Hongfan Gao, Wangmeng Shen, Bin Yang, Jilin Hu

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.RO

A New Quaternion-Joint Cable-Driven Redundant Manipulator Configuration and its Control Through FABRIK and Residual Reinforcement Learning

Robotic arms capable of traversing arbitrary spatial paths, especially in highly obstructed workspaces, are highly desired across several industries. Quaternion-joints have recently empowered a specific class of robotic arms – cable-driven redundant manipulators – beyond its prior capabilities. Specifically, quaternion-joints reduce the number of required motors per degree of freedom, paving the way for more compact solutions.An ongoing challenge is that the complexity of the kinematic model of quaternion joints challenges a priori decisions on manipulator configurations and imposes higher computational demands on the control system and its non-linearities amplify all discrepancies between design and physical artifact arising from fabrication imprecision. Here we show a that a 4-segment, 8-joint manipulator can achieve a broader workspace than extant configurations, at lower hardware cost, and that Residual Reinforcement Learning outperforms extant state-of-the-art methods – specifically, the FABRIK algorithm – on the control of such manipulator. Our results show that this configuration is more workspace-effective than prior designs, and that Residual Reinforcement Learning outperforms FABRIK by three orders of magnitude on positional and orientational accuracy, effecting precise control of the novel 4-segment, 8-joint manipulator. Additionally, the control implementation is simpler: we describe the complete FABRIK process for control and corresponding learning implementation. Our methodology is applicable to the design of new systems, providing designers with further tools for the development of this class of manipulators and corresponding control systems for novel configurations.
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All authors Tanapath Pornthisan, Thanapat Kemthong, Thanyapisit Kangsathien, Pasut Aranchaiya, Paulo Garcia, Viboon Sangveraphunsiri

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.RO

OLIVE: Online Low-Rank Incremental Learning for Efficient Adaptive Exoskeletons

Wearable exoskeleton systems hold promise for restoring mobility in individuals with physical impairments, yet most existing controllers rely on static gait policies that cannot adapt to dynamic real-world environments or individual user characteristics. We present OLIVE (Online Low-rank Incremental Learning for Efficient Adaptive Exoskeletons), a parameter-efficient online adaptation framework that continuously personalizes exoskeleton control during deployment. OLIVE decomposes the adaptive component of the control policy into a low-rank residual form $\Delta W = A_t B_t^\top$ with rank $r \ll \min(d,k)$, reducing the online update cost from $\mathcal{O}(dk)$ to $\mathcal{O}(r(d+k))$ while preserving the stability of a pretrained base controller $W_0$. Parameters are updated through a reward-shaped policy gradient driven purely by on-body sensor feedback, including EMG, IMU, and vibration signals, eliminating dependence on offline reference trajectories. A gating mechanism modulates the strength of personalization based on the contextual state, while a dynamic rank scheduler adapts the update dimensionality to terrain complexity. It allocates minimal capacity on simple flat terrain and expands to higher-rank updates on demanding uneven surfaces, enabling robust performance across flat walking, stair navigation, slopes, and uneven terrain. Experiments on the wearable platform demonstrate that OLIVE achieves improvements of 13, 22, and 15 percentage points in gait smoothness, effort reduction, and motion stability over the strongest baseline, respectively. It converges within approximately 1,800 walking steps with an end-to-end latency of 7.4 ms. Our code implementation is available at https://github.com/FastLM/OLIVE.
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All authors Dong Liu, Yanxuan Yu, Ben Lengerich, Tong Geng, Ying Nian Wu