$FCAST forecasting

Latest papers

1. OceanTensorCube and ST-MMT: A Multimodal Data and Transformer System for Seven-Day Forecasting of Pyropia Bleaching cs.LG · 19 Oct · 2 hits

   …the evaluation protocol and the operational gate that withholds forecasts when inputs are stale. The forecasting service is operated at https://oceantensor.ai.kr.

2. TamedFlow: Trajectory-Aware Distillation\\for Teacher-Assisted Diffusion Sampling cs.CV · 19 Oct · 1 hit

   …makes each evaluation cheaper, while adaptive inference avoids selected teacher computation through reuse, forecasting, or speculative execution. Their combination, however, is brittle: directly applying the…

3. Global probabilistic forecasting of air pollution cs.AI · 19 Oct · 2 hits

   …the pollution breathed by nearly two hundred million people a day. Machine learning has transformed weather forecasting, but data-driven forecasts of air pollution still blur extremes and lose skill as the air…

4. LEAPS: Long-context Evaluation of Adaptive Pattern Learning and State Tracking cs.CL · 19 Oct · 1 hit

   …and State tracking), a collection of 12 novel datasets, spanning agentic workflows, behavioral modeling, and forecasting of market and world events. By construction, LEAPS is resistant to data contamination, extends to…

5. Conflicting History in Foundation Model Return Forecasts q-fin.ST · 19 Oct · 1 hit

   …but share recent returns and the conditional distribution of the next return. Across five foundation-model forecasting procedures and three simulated processes, each evaluated on 1,024 independent replications,…

6. AirMPA: A Meteorology-to-Pollution Adapter for Global Air Quality Forecasting physics.ao-ph · 19 Oct · 6 hits

   Accurate real-time forecasting of atmospheric pollutants is essential for reducing exposure risks and improving public health.…

7. From Trace to Fix: Residual Task State in Long-Horizon Agents cs.AI · 19 Oct · 1 hit

   …surface errors. Fix formulates recovery as budgeted planning over admissible actions, incorporating outcome forecasting and explicit repair-reserve constraints to prevent premature budget exhaustion. To rigorously…

8. Topological Compression of Prediction Market Belief States for Event Forecasting q-fin.TR · 19 Oct · 3 hits

   …analysis$-$to understand the underlying structure of data. In this paper, we incorporate TDA and PH into forecasting models over a prediction market universe to determine whether the belief state of such markets…