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Thursday 10 September

Artificial Intelligence

Predicting Train Delays in Finland Using Machine Learning and Weather Data

Reliable railway operations depend increasingly on real-time environmental intelligence delivered through wireless sensor infrastructures, a capability that 6G networks will substantially enhance through integrated sensing and edge computing. Adverse weather, particularly in Arctic regions with extreme temperatures and heavy precipitation, remains a leading cause of train delays, yet most prediction approaches rely on raw meteorological inputs without exploiting domain-informed feature engineering. This paper investigates machine learning for train delay prediction using the Finland Integrated Train-Weather (FI-TW) dataset, which fuses railway operational records with observations from the Finnish Meteorological Institute's nationwide sensor network of approximately 200 stations communicating over wireless links. We evaluate three feature configurations using XGBoost at Oulu central station (101,146 observations): full weather features, instant weather observations only, and derived weather category scenarios. The category-based approach, employing hierarchical classifications such as Blizzard, Heavy Snow, and Extreme Cold, achieved an R^2 of 0.78, root mean squared error of 8.5 minutes, and mean absolute error of 3.7 minutes, representing an 11% R^2 improvement and 10% error reduction over alternative configurations. These results demonstrate that compact, domain-informed features derived from sensor streams outperform raw meteorological observations, offering bandwidth-efficient representations suitable for edge deployment over current and emerging wireless infrastructures.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Improving Faint Object Detection for Space Situational Awareness with Variational Autoencoders

We present a deep-learning pipeline for enhancing the detection of faint moving objects in optical space situational awareness (SSA) imagery through automated star removal and background reconstruction. Detecting low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) objects remains extremely challenging in optical observations, particularly in the cislunar (X-GEO) environment, where structured sky backgrounds, dense stellar fields, and scattered moonlight significantly degrade the performance of classical detection algorithms. To address this problem, the proposed pipeline combines a lightweight segmentation network (Tiny-U-Net) to generate stellar masks with a partial-convolution variational autoencoder (astro-VAE), designed to learn the statistical distribution of astronomical backgrounds and perform context-aware inpainting of masked regions. The reconstructed background maps can then be used as a preprocessing step to suppress fixed sources and background inhomogeneities prior to detection. As a proof of concept, the approach is integrated with a shift-and-stack scheme and evaluated on real ground-based telescope observations targeting the X-GEO region. Results demonstrate that the method reconstructs star-free backgrounds with high fidelity, while preserving moving targets and significantly enhancing detectability, thereby providing an effective data-driven preprocessing strategy for faint moving-object detection in optical SSA scenarios.
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All authors Angela Cratere, Luca Ghilardi, Vishnu Reddy, Francesco Dell'Olio, Charalampos S. Kouzinopoulos, Roberto Furfaro

Artificial Intelligence

AI-Powered Flare Combustion Efficiency Estimation

Achieving high combustion efficiency in flare stacks is crucial for adhering to regulatory standards and controlling the release of hydrocarbons into the environment. Traditional instruments like gas analyzers and hyperspectral cameras are expensive, fragile, and require frequent calibration, which makes them impractical for remote or budget constrained industrial sites. We propose an innovative solution that combines a lightweight vision-language encoder with a compact multi-layer perceptron to predict combustion efficiency directly from low-cost thermal video footage. The fully trained model is integrated into an easy-to-deploy graphical user interface. This interface overlays predicted combustion efficiency values on each video frame, displays real-time trends in combustion efficiency, shows the distribution of combustion efficiency across all frames in the video, and allows users to export CSV reports. Over a six-month period, the system achieved 99% uptime and required less than 15 minutes of maintenance per week.
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All authors Afeefa Azam, Iyyakutti Iyappan Ganapathi, Fares Ossama Abdelhafez, Divya Velayudhan, Maregu Assefa Habtie, Hamad Karki, Khalid Yousef Al Awadhi, Naoufel Werghi

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CY

SoulAuth: An Actor-native Identity Architecture and Rust Reference Implementation for Humans and Long-lived AI Actors

As AI systems move from transient model invocations toward long-lived actors that persist across credentials, clients, sessions, and runtime instances, identity infrastructure must answer a basic question: where should the canonical continuity boundary be placed? This paper introduces Actor-native Identity and presents SoulAuth, an open-source Rust reference implementation for Humans and long-lived AIActors. We argue that any subject that must persist under its own identity and remain independently attributable should have an ActorIdentity that is not replaced by an Account, Credential, Client, AuthSession, IdentityBinding, or runtime instance. SoulAuth therefore treats Humans and long-lived AIActors as first-class identity subjects while keeping authentication distinct from downstream authority. Methodologically, we use a Philosophical Engineering approach that translates conceptual analysis of subjecthood into identity objects, invariants, lifecycle semantics, system responsibilities, implementation boundaries, and inspectable conformance evidence. Evaluation against the fixed SoulAuth v0.1.0 artifact shows that the implementation realizes core boundaries including Human/AIActor first-class identity status, Client/Actor separation, and Authentication/Authority separation, while gaps remain in unified Credential modeling and historical attribution anchored to ActorIdentity. We therefore report partial, not full, architecture conformance.
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All authors Kun Yuan, Harold Wang, Echo Li, Egusi Gui, Kiki Hu, Lucas Luo, Magnus Hu

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from quant-ph

Generative Replay Mitigates Sample Starvation in Quantum Architecture Search

Reinforcement learning (RL) can automate quantum architecture search, but its scalability is limited when useful circuit trajectories become rare in the rapidly expanding search space. Existing replay mechanisms reuse observed transitions; the proposed learned model produces additional predicted one step transitions from real state-action seeds. Here we introduce GenQAS, a tensor network-guided RL framework that combines a fixed matrix product state warm-start with prioritized generative replay. A learned local transition model generates synthetic circuit transitions on demand and mixes them with real experience during Double Deep Q-Network updates. Under a random exploration analysis, near ground state circuits occupy a rapidly shrinking region of the accessible state space. We investigate whether real data anchored synthetic replay can improve the effective training signal in this regime. Across chemical Hamiltonian benchmarks from 6 to 12 qubits, GenQAS improves fixed-budget success probability and identifies compact circuits at competitive energy error. At 12 qubits, it improves final success probability by up to $7.0\times$ over passive replay. On a 15-qubit transverse field Ising model, GenQAS increases success probability from $12\%$ to $21\%$. In a noisy 6-qubit BeH$_2$ transfer experiment, generative replay reduces the steps to chemical accuracy by $92.7\%$. These results show that generative replay can mitigate sample starvation in quantum architecture search and support more resource efficient circuit discovery.
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All authors Akash Kundu, Amit Kumar Jaiswal, Sebastian Feld, Prayag Tiwari

Artificial Intelligence

Sci-MMR: Benchmarking Multi-Step Evidence-Grounded Scientific Reasoning in Multimodal Agents

Autonomous research agents are increasingly expected to search the literature, analyze experimental evidence, and generate scientific hypotheses. These capabilities require multi-step evidence grounded reasoning that progressively acquires, integrates, and verifies evidence before reaching a conclusion. Existing multimodal benchmarks, however, largely evaluate final-answer accuracy, leaving open whether predictions are actually supported by traceable scientific evidence. We introduce Sci-MMR, a benchmark for multi-step evidence-grounded scientific reasoning built on structured argument graphs linking scientific claims, citation-grounded knowledge, visual evidence, and supporting regions. Sci-MMR comprises 235 multi-hop reasoning tasks spanning four scientific disciplines, with an average of nine figure panels per task. Evaluating eight frontier multimodal models, we find that answer accuracy consistently exceeds complete-evidence recovery rate by more than 20%, revealing a substantial gap that answer-only evaluation is structurally unable to capture. Through controlled interventions, we identify two fundamental bottlenecks. First, evidence acquisition: models struggle to extract complete structured evidence from scientific figures, accounting for 57.2% of failures. While cropping tools yield modest gains (+4.5 points), providing gold evidence improves accuracy by up to 37.0 points, indicating difficulty in assembling complete multi-region evidence. Second, evidence integration: models struggle to translate available evidence into correct conclusions, accounting for 31.8% of failures, while even with gold evidence the strongest model achieves only 69.1% accuracy on the hardest tasks. These findings indicate that current answer-centric benchmarks substantially overestimate the evidence-grounded reasoning capabilities of multimodal research agents
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All authors Jiaqiang Li, Yajie Yang, Zhiheng Xi, Jiadong Chen, Enyu Zhou, Senjie Jin, Yang Nan, Jiazheng Zhang, Han Wang, Yanxin Li, Dingwei Zhu, Bicheng Deng, Yuhui Wang, Xiang Zheng, Qi Zhang, Lei Bai, Xingjun Ma, Tao Gui

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CV

From Evaluation to Enhancement: Benchmarking and Improving Think-with-Video Reasoning for Video Generative Models

Video generation has advanced to produce visually compelling and temporally coherent results. Yet, whether these models can genuinely think with video–executing symbolic rules, respecting physical laws, and pursuing intentional goals–remains an open question. Existing benchmarks only partially address this, often conflating visual quality with cognitive correctness. We introduce VWG-Bench (Video World Generalist Benchmark), a comprehensive benchmark spanning 9 reasoning dimensions and 38 fine-grained tasks. To enable precise diagnosis, we design a three-level VLM-as-Judge protocol that independently assesses video-level fluency, task-level rule adherence, and sample-level goal realization. Evaluations of leading models reveal a striking gap: while models achieve strong rendering scores, they consistently fail on logic-heavy and rule-constrained tasks. To address this, we propose Vid-PRE (Video Prompt Reasoner and Enhancer), a model-agnostic prompt rewriter that offloads the cognitive burden of reasoning to a dedicated VLM. Trained via reinforcement learning with purely text-based rewards, Vid-PRE produces concise, constraint-aware prompts without the instability of video-level reward signals. Experiments show that Vid-PRE yields substantial reasoning improvements across multiple generators without architectural modifications. Together, VWG-Bench and Vid-PRE offer a rigorous diagnostic lens and a scalable path toward true think-with-video capabilities. All data and code are publicly available at https://huggingface.co/datasets/KlingTeam/VWG-Bench.
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All authors Meng Luo, Yicheng Liu, Jiahao Wang, Yuanxing Zhang, Xin Tao, Pengfei Wan, Kun Gai, Hao Fei

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CV

HALDETECT at ImageEval 2026 Shared Tasks: Answer-First Contrastive Grounding with QLoRA

Large multimodal models tend to hallucinate visual detail fluently, which limits their deployment for fine-grained interpretation. We present HALDETECT, our system for the English hallucination-detection track (Task 1b) of ImageEval 2026, in which a system must identify, from an image and three culturally plausible statements, the single visually grounded one. We frame the item as one contrastive decision, emit the answer before its explanation, and structure reasoning around colour/texture, shape/form, and context. Our best submitted adapter fine-tunes Qwen2.5-VL-7B-Instruct with 4-bit QLoRA while freezing the vision encoder and reaches Contrastive Instability (CI) 0.035 on the 1,000-item test set; we placed third of eight teams. Development experiments show that answer order can matter more than model scale and that adaptation beats prompting alone. Retrospective paired analysis of the released gold labels confirms the QLoRA gain over the best prompt but not the small gap between the devtest-selected and best-test adapters, and reseeding all four training sizes shows that the apparent data-scaling curve does not survive a seed change. The 35 residual errors are culturally plausible function, material, and recognition distinctions; naive adapter voting does not help.
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Artificial Intelligence

NovGauge: A Fine-Grained Benchmark for Diagnosing LLMs' Capability in Paper Novelty Assessment

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in peer review at major AI conferences, yet novelty remains a persistent weak point. Existing benchmarks assess novelty as a single holistic score, making it difficult to diagnose which dimension a model misjudges or whether its evidence is faithful. We present NovGauge, a human-anchored benchmark for fine-grained novelty assessment diagnosis. The benchmark contains 619 paper pairs and 50 multi-paper sets, drawn from two expert sources: ICLR reviewer overlap claims and survey co-citations. Instances are independently labeled along three dimensions: task, problem, and method, capturing application goals, technical challenges, and solution approaches. We propose a cascading diagnostic pipeline that verifies per-dimension correctness, evidence grounding, and logical support. Evaluation of 18 LLMs shows hallucination rates ranging from 0% to 39% across dimensions, and among non-hallucinated correct-positive judgments, over 70% cite evidence fails to logically support the stated reason. The best-performing model, GPT-5.5, achieves 43-72% Verified F1 across dimensions, while most models retain less than half of their raw F1 after faithfulness verification. These results suggest that current LLMs remain far from reliable scientific novelty assessment, particularly when correctness is conditioned on faithful evidence grounding.
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All authors Guoqiang Zhang, Kexin Tan, Ming Zhang, Li Ju, Wenqing Jing, Zhonghan Yue, Jiayi Chen, Shiqiang Wu, Shaofan Liu, Yue Zhang, Yuankai Ying, Yang Shi, Tao Gui, Qi Zhang, Xuanjing Huang

Artificial Intelligence

A Voice-Interactive Multi-Agent System for Smart Operating Rooms: Architecture Design and Key Technologies

This paper presents SurgicalRoomAgent, a voice-interactive multi-agent system for smart operating rooms based on large language models (LLMs). The system achieves natural language understanding, device control, intraoperative recording, and surgical report generation through a layered architecture comprising a voice interaction pipeline (wake, ASR, turn detection, agent reasoning, TTS) and an agent core (skill registry, task planner, device manager). Three key technologies are investigated: (1) KV Cache prefix warming for low-latency inference, reducing recomputation overhead from approximately 500 ms to tens of milliseconds via byte-level Longest Common Prefix reuse; (2) streaming partial JSON parsing with early parallel task execution, reducing end-to-end latency by approximately 30%; and (3) progressive skill prompt disclosure, which dynamically filters system prompts based on user role, connected devices, and surgical phase to maximize information density within limited context windows. The system is implemented using the Qwen3-27B model with llama.cpp/sglang inference engines. Experimental analysis demonstrates effective operation within a 16,384-token context limit and multi-device parallel control response times meeting OR real-time requirements.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Solving Few-Shot Multiobjective Multitask Optimization via Iterative Sequential Transfer

Applying knowledge transfer across multiple optimization tasks, multitask optimization (MTO) emerges as a promising approach to solving synergistic optimization tasks simultaneously. However, the development of effective knowledge transfer mechanisms in MTO fundamentally relies on aligning elite solution distributions across tasks. This dependency creates a critical bottleneck in few-shot optimization regimes, as restricted evaluation budgets impede the identification of elite solution distributions required for beneficial transfer. This challenge is exacerbated in multiobjective multitask problems, where each optimizer must approximate a continuous Pareto manifold rather than a single optimal point. This paper introduces Iterative Sequential Transfer (IST) to circumvent this bottleneck. We model MTO as a sequence of sequential transfer optimization problems, concentrating evaluations on a single target per iteration. We propose a likelihood-informed task prioritization mechanism to maximize transfer utility by identifying the task most likely ready for knowledge integration. Empirical results on benchmark and real-world problems verify the effectiveness of the proposed method under tight budgets.
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All authors Tingyang Wei, Haofeng Wu, Ananda Phan Iman, Zhao Wei, Jiao Liu, Yew-Soon Ong

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.HC

AI Soccer Analyst: Stage-Aware and Verifiable Human-AI Collaboration for Soccer Data Analysis

Sports data analysts translate domain questions into insights by combining computation with sport-specific domain expertise. Large language models ease programming, but prompt-to-report workflows may obscure decisions and evidence. We present AI Soccer Analyst, a mixed-initiative system with revisable stages: Data Understanding, Problem Definition, Structured Planning, Execution, Evidence-Grounded Reporting, and Interaction and Refinement. A formative study with five analysts first informed design goals for automation, verifiability, human control, and accessibility. Subsequently, a task-based evaluation with 16 participants combined system logs, retained artifacts, ratings, and open responses; 33 of 48 tasks met the operational completion criteria. Exploratory tests supported favorable participant perceptions of completed-task output quality, task achievement, reliability, and verifiability after Holm correction. Interaction records showed domain knowledge emerging through clarification, planning, and refinement. These findings position stage-aware human-AI collaboration as a practical approach for producing inspectable, revisable, and verifiable analyses while retaining domain-expert involvement in consequential decisions.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from eess.SP

X-RACE: XAI-assisted Recurrent neural network Attribution for Channel Estimation

Deep learning models, notably Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), have demonstrated promising performance in channel estimation for high-mobility vehicular environments. However, their black-box nature and architectural overhead limit trustworthiness and efficiency. Classical explainable AI (XAI) methods rely on costly iterative processes, offering only input-level filtering without addressing architectural fine-tuning. To overcome these limitations, this paper proposes the XAI-assisted Recurrent neural network Attribution for Channel Estimation (X-RACE) framework. X-RACE uses a low-complexity, one-shot dual-optimization strategy to simultaneously evaluate and prune irrelevant input subcarriers and internal hidden units. Furthermore, we propose novel temporal XAI metrics: Saturation Time, Importance Drift, and Relevance Contrast to characterize the LSTM's learning dynamics and memory convergence. Extensive simulations demonstrate that X-RACE reduces inference complexity by at least 44.1% while improving or preserving Bit Error Rate (BER) performance, outperforming classical XAI schemes.
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Artificial Intelligence

CryptoL: Towards Scale Dominance and Physics Constraints Mitigation in Financial Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

Cryptocurrency forecasting presents a distinctive combination of extreme cross-asset scale heterogeneity, non-stationary dynamics, and structural dependencies among Open, High, Low, and Close (OHLC) variables. We present CryptoL, a unified framework designed to address these challenges within multivariate time-series forecasting. CryptoL evaluates forecasting error in context-normalized coordinates within the RevIN pipeline, preventing inverse normalization from introducing an additional squared-scale weighting into the MSE objective. We formally characterize this effect through the empirical risk and parameter-gradient geometry, establishing the conditions under which large-scale assets can disproportionately influence shared-model optimization. Beyond loss-space normalization, CryptoL examines channel-independent and channel-dependent normalization for OHLC data, showing that a shared channel-dependent affine transformation preserves candle-order relations that independent channel transformations need not preserve. The framework further incorporates scale-adaptive numerical stabilization to reduce distortions caused by a fixed normalization constant across assets spanning many orders of magnitude, together with a soft feasibility loss that penalizes violations of the defining OHLC inequalities. Experiments across heterogeneous cryptocurrency assets evaluate these components through controlled ablations and demonstrate improvements in forecasting accuracy, training stability, and the frequency of financially valid OHLC predictions relative to the considered baselines. CryptoL therefore provides an integrated approach to scale-balanced optimization, structure-preserving normalization, numerical stabilization, and constraint-aware cryptocurrency forecasting.
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All authors Yalda Taheri, Mohammad Hassan Heydari, Armon Rasooli, Maryam Amirshahkarami, Mohammad Ebrahim Mahdavi, Hossein Karshenas

Artificial Intelligence

An AI-Powered Culturally Aware Chatbot for Stress Detection and Wellness Support among Pakistani University Students Using NLP and Machine Learning

With the existing digital mental health tools specifically developed for Western settings, Pakistani students are exposed to a uniquely compounded stress situation in their university that includes academic, financial, familial, and relational stressors, which have become a serious concern for academic and psychological development of students in Pakistani universities. This paper introduces a new, AI-driven and culturally sensitive stress detection and wellness support system that is tailored to the context of Pakistani university students. The system is based on a machine learning model called Random Forest which is trained using a validated student stress data set of 1100 responses on 20 features from psychological, physiological, academic, environmental and social aspects, with an accuracy of 89.09% and a macro F1-score of 0.89, in three stress severity levels. The classification outputs are passed on to an open-source large language model through OpenRouter API, where an appropriately crafted system prompt, culturally aware, gives the model a conversation about wellness, in English, Urdu and Roman Urdu. The second most predictive stress factor in this population identified by feature importance analysis was teacher-student relationship, which is a culturally important stress factor highlighting the need for region-aware mental health systems. Future research will involve primary data collection from students at various academic levels of Pakistani Universities with the validated DASS-21 instrument focusing on the students who are moving from FSc to undergraduate studies, which is a time of being psychologically vulnerable which is under-researched.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CY

(Whose defaults?) Is artificial intelligence reorienting archaeological methods?

Generative AI and the practice of "vibe coding" are changing how archaeologists carry out computational research, but their effects on the discipline's range of methods is still understudied. In this paper, we evaluate whether large language models (LLMs) are narrowing the variety of methods archaeologists use. We first analysed approximately 119,000 archaeology abstracts from Scopus, covering publications from 2010 to 2025. Using a locally run LLM, we identified the computational methods reported in each abstract and organised them into 25 broad categories (L2) and 241 finer clusters (L3). A Bayesian Dirichlet-multinomial model of method composition within sub-disciplines found a small but credible shift in method use after 2023. However, this shift was smaller than the variation already present across the full study period. No individual technique showed a significant change, and overall methodological diversity increased rather than declined. We then ran a controlled experiment to see whether LLMs recommend a narrower set of methods than archaeologists have used in practice. Two different open-weight models were asked to suggest methods for 28 archaeological research problems, with prompts providing three levels of methodological guidance: novice, intermediate, and expert. Recommendation diversity was much lower than in the published literature, particularly without methodological guidance. The models also tended to favour methods that were widely used before 2023, and their recommendations more closely resembled the post-2023 literature. Taken together, these results are consistent with LLMs pushing methodological choice towards convergence, although our study cannot establish a causal effect. They raise a broader question: how can archaeology retain methodological diversity as LLMs become more involved in research?
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Artificial Intelligence

Agentic Share-of-Search: A Multi-Agent AI System for Competitive Decision-Making in LLM-Mediated E-Commerce

AI shopping assistants increasingly redirect consumer discovery, creating an urgent need for tools that support seller-side competitive decision-making. We present a multi-agent AI system that automates competitive visibility measurement and root cause diagnosis in LLM-mediated ecommerce. The system introduces Agentic Share-of-Search (ASoS) as the decision target, deploys query agents across leading AI platforms, and uses a ReAct-based diagnostic agent to recommend prioritized merchandising interventions. A 100-trial ablation study, presented as a feasibility evaluation of this prototype, shows the agent recovers the ablated signal in 39% of trials (95% CI: 30.0% - 48.8%, 5.5x over chance), rising to 63.9% among high-correlation ablations.
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Artificial Intelligence

Can LLMs Follow Medical Expert Logic? A Benchmark for Hierarchical Logical Consistency in Risk-of-Bias Assessment

Evidence-based medicine demands strict logical consistency, yet current evaluations of large language models (LLMs) prioritize superficial label matching over genuine reasoning. We introduce LogiMed-RoB, a benchmark grounded in Cochrane Risk of Bias (RoB) 2.0 expert logic, comprising 860 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and 14,820 queries. It evaluates models under the Hierarchical Logical Consistency (HLC) framework across four dimensions: Atomic Consistency, Domain Consistency, Aggregation Consistency, and Evidential Faithfulness. Experiments on 10 state-of-the-art LLMs reveal a catastrophic Error Compounding Effect: despite the top model reaching 98.88% Atomic Consistency, its end-to-end consistency collapses to 45.13%, with several open-weight architectures plummeting to nearly 0%. We further uncover a systematic evidence-reasoning gap: even when models retrieve high-quality evidence, they fail to deduce correct outcomes in 18.63-40.05% of cases, while Blind Guess Rates reach 48.28%. LogiMed-RoB demonstrates that high outcome accuracy can conceal critical reasoning flaws, underscoring the necessity of white-box logical verification for clinical deployment.
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All authors Jiayu Huang, Zichen Tang, Qianhui Ling, Zemin Kuang, Haihong E

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from eess.AS

Exploring Second-Order Pattern Recognition in Speaker Recognition

In traditional pattern recognition tasks, neural networks are trained to recognise human-defined patterns (e.g. audio categories) in model inputs (e.g. audio). Meanwhile, some Explainable AI (XAI) methods explain latent patterns characterising the network's recognition of inputs as human-defined patterns; this work calls these latent patterns second-order patterns and proposes to discover them. Accordingly, we apply a hierarchical clustering algorithm to analyse whether our speaker recognition network's representations learned from known utterances naturally form hierarchical clusters. Each resulting cluster is a second-order pattern that characterises a context in our network's recognition of the known utterances as speaker identities. All discovered second-order patterns are then interpreted using the Hierarchical Cluster-Class Matching (HCCM) method. Moreover, we propose a new task, second-order pattern recognition, to identify which of the discovered second-order patterns characterising the recognition of known utterances also apply to unseen utterances, thereby characterising the recognition of unseen utterances. Accordingly, we design the Hierarchical Cluster Navigation and Assignment (HCNA) method. HCNA recognises a second-order pattern as applying to an unseen utterance when the utterance's network representation lies within the extrapolation space of the cluster regarded as that second-order pattern. Experimental results demonstrate that the extrapolation space introduced in HCNA substantially improves task performance.
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Artificial Intelligence

SemVerBench: Benchmarking LLM Comprehension of Version-Constraint Resolution Semantics

Large language model (LLM) coding agents constantly decide whether a version satisfies a constraint such as ^1.2.3 or >=2.0,<3, yet their grasp of version-constraint semantics has never been measured directly. We introduce SemVerBench, the first benchmark of LLM version-constraint resolution semantics across three ecosystems (npm, PEP 440, Cargo): 240 machine-checkable items with unique answers, built author-neutrally from four balanced sources (each ecosystem's official test suite plus three frontier LLM proposers) and labeled by a non-circular two-implementation oracle. Evaluating six frontier models, we find systematic, predictable per-mechanism blind spots: a partial-comparator carry rule (>1.2 means >=1.3.0) traps every model on Cargo (near 60%), and although standard PEP 440 prefix matching is universal, on zero-pad/post-release corner cases GPT-5.1 collapses (0/26) while Claude stays at 97-100% (verified on a 67-item oracle-validated set). Opus significantly outperforms all other models, and Sonnet outperforms the OpenAI models (McNemar). The failures look more like an activation/application gap than a knowledge gap: injecting the rule or a light correct hint recovers most errors, whereas interval decomposition does not, and models are at ceiling on the basic forms of the same rules. An author-stratified analysis finds no statistically significant self-favoritism. Because the task is verifiable and a free, 100%-correct resolver exists, tool delegation reaches ~100%: coding agents should delegate version resolution to a resolver rather than reason about versions in-head.
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Artificial Intelligence

Debate-to-Skill: Capability-Bound Process Supervision for Industrial Query-to-Agent Annotation

Industrial query-to-agent matching fails when topical relevance is mistaken for executable capability, especially on long-tail and boundary-sensitive requests. We formulate annotation as capability-bound process supervision and instantiate it with Debate-to-Skill, which uses reusable decision principles, structured deliberation, verifier-based verdict extraction, and disagreement-driven refinement. On an industrial Query2Agent benchmark, we compare Debate-to-Skill with direct-label supervision, reasoning-SFT, and structural ablations. The results test whether gains come from supervising the capability-critical decision process itself, especially on grey-zone cases where semantic relatedness and executable capability diverge.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Beyond Visual Quality: Evaluating Physical Consistency under Ego-Motion with EgoGenEval

Recent visual generators produce high-fidelity images yet often violate physical consistency under ego-motion, limiting their use for spatial reasoning and embodied planning. Existing benchmarks largely focus on isolated images or single-step quality, leaving this challenge underexplored. We introduce EgoGenEval, a geometry-grounded, pose-free benchmark designed to evaluate the physical consistency of visual generators under ego-motion, and organize our study into two parts. (1) EgoGenEval contains 1,400 cases and 2,360 target views spanning single-step and multi-step ego-motion. It separately measures Camera Motion Grounding (CMG) and Scene State Preservation (SSP), with both metrics validated against blinded human judgments. Evaluating 16 pose-free generators together with two pose-conditioned references reveals that current models struggle to execute camera motion while maintaining scene state, and that no system performs well on both axes at once. (2) To examine whether benchmark-derived data can improve these capabilities, we build EgoGen-Train from the same geometry-grounded pipeline and run controlled SFT studies. These show that pairwise supervision does not reliably improve camera-motion grounding and scene-state preservation together: even at the full training pool and the longest budget, scene preservation gains a fraction of what camera motion does. This points to the pairwise teacher-forced objective itself as the binding constraint, motivating a trajectory-centric paradigm that couples self-conditioned rollouts with explicit pose and visibility supervision.
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All authors Yilin Long, Chenming Zhu, Zitang Gou, Jingli Lin, Tai Wang

Artificial Intelligence

From Explanations to Interventions: Execution-Guided Counterfactual Synthesis in Temporal Graphs

Can a trace explaining model execution also compute the changes needed for a specified alternative prediction? We propose trace-guided intervention search, which uses executable reasoning traces as an intermediate representation for intervention synthesis. A Specified-Foil Counterfactual edits past events so that a frozen temporal predictor selects a designated foil. Our method constructs facts and replacement values from completed original and foil executions and recovered unmet conditions. Proposal generation constructs edits and selects candidates within a fixed cap; exact replay verifies foil top-1 outcomes among retained edits and compositions. Implemented in LiFTER for continuous-time dynamic graphs (CTDGs) and TLogic for temporal knowledge graphs (TKGs), the method improves success over coordinate-based proposal generation by 13.7-34.7 percentage points on four CTDG datasets and 60.0-83.3 points on two TKG datasets under matched downstream search and a proposal cap of 32. Separate shared-candidate comparisons retain 85.7-93.6% of black-box greedy's CTDG success rate with 75.0-80.0% fewer predictor evaluations. A Pulse case study confirms simulator-level survival for five of six interventions. Executable traces thus provide both explanatory evidence and a reusable computational representation for constructing and testing specified alternatives.
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Artificial Intelligence

DRG-MAPPO: Hierarchical Dynamic Role-Graph Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning for Cooperative Air Combat

Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) has emerged as a pivotal paradigm for complex decision-making in autonomous systems and air combat. While MARL has demonstrated significant potential in air combat, achieving sophisticated tactical coordination remains a non-trivial challenge. This difficulty is largely attributed to two primary limitations: (1) the absence of structured relational modeling hinders agents from capturing complex, time-varying interactions among battlefield entities; and (2) conventional flat architectures often lack the capability to explicitly model tactical roles, leading to ambiguous task allocation in highly dynamic environments. To address these challenges, we propose Hierarchical Dynamic Role-Graph Multi-Agent Proximal Policy Optimization (DRG-MAPPO), a novel MARL framework that integrates graph-based relational modeling with dynamic role assignment. Specifically, DRG-MAPPO constructs a graph-based representation of battlefield interactions and leverages graph attention mechanisms to extract critical relational features among allies, enemies, and threats. Subsequently, a high-level policy employs a dynamic role assignment mechanism to determine tactical responsibilities (e.g., “leader” and “supporter”). Conditioned on these roles and encoded graph-relational features, a low-level policy executes discrete maneuver actions, facilitating the joint optimization of tactical strategy and collaborative execution. Furthermore, a target-priority auxiliary task is designed to foster the emergence of behaviors such as focus-fire. Experimental results demonstrate that DRG-MAPPO achieves a state-of-the-art win rate of 87%, suggesting that our framework effectively balances relational modeling, interpretability, and optimization stability for cooperative air combat.
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All authors Junlin Liu, Chengwei Li, Yang Gao, Hui Chang, Xinchen Zhang, Zhijun Zhao, Hao Zhao

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.NI

terms.txt: A Consent and Compensation Protocol for Agentic Web Access

The open web ran on an unwritten bargain: sites admitted crawlers, and search engines sent visitors back. Public measurements show that bargain breaking under AI crawlers and agents. Automated clients now make up most requests, training dominates Cloudflare-classified crawling, and the largest AI platforms fetch thousands of pages for each visitor they return. The web's common control, robots.txt, cannot express identity, purpose, terms, or price, can be circumvented, and newer alternatives are largely proprietary CDN features. We specify terms.txt, a robots.txt-style file for per-path, per-purpose machine-access terms, plus an origin-enforced exchange using Web Bot Auth signatures, signed intent, delegation tokens, HTTP 402 negotiation, and signed receipts. We define what the exchange can enforce, audit, and leave to contract. A dependency-free implementation adds 0.20 to 0.65 ms per request on one vCPU.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CL

Break Step: Recursive Training Resonates with Replayed Sampling Noise

How fast does a language model degrade when trained on its own outputs? Theory traces it to gradually accumulating errors, while experiments report repeated phrases within ten generations. Under a fixed sampling seed in vLLM, the fast loss of lexical diversity comes from the sampler. When vLLM serves a batch from one seeded sampling configuration, every request receives the same random draws, and a fixed seed replays them every generation. Fine-tuning raises the tokens that won, and the replayed draws let them win by more. Sharing across requests and replay across generations matter only together. Remove either one, by changing the shared seed every generation or by giving each request its own seed that repeats every generation, and the unique-4-gram fraction of two StableLM checkpoints stays near its starting value of about 0.98 through generation 3. Keep both, and the replayed shared seed takes seven checkpoints from five families to between 0.045 and 0.38 by then. Three generations of replay write the favoured phrases into the weights: decoded with one seed per request, the generation-3 weights of the replayed StableLM-2-1.6B chain recover most of their diversity, yet the phrase that filled every sample under the shared seed still opens 46% of them. Without replay, five checkpoints drift slowly, consistent with the gradual accumulation that theory describes, and three turn incoherent though their diversity scores stay high. One peer-reviewed model-collapse pipeline that fine-tunes Gemma-2-27B samples identical prompts under one seeded configuration, and three quarters of the rows it released for one iteration repeat nearly as often as one such batch copies them. A seed per request restores the fresh sample that stability analyses assume.
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Artificial Intelligence

Autonomous Chemical Mechanistic Discovery through Agentic Reasoning and Validation

Unraveling reaction mechanisms is central to modern chemistry, yet automating these investigations remains challenging because computational workflows still rely heavily on expert intervention. Here we introduce ARCHE, an autonomous agentic system that integrates a general-purpose reasoning model, a domain-specialized computational chemistry model, and a structured tool registry to transform mechanistic inquiry into a scalable, self-validating process. ARCHE interprets scientific questions, generates and prioritizes mechanistic hypotheses, orchestrates computational workflows, and iteratively refines conclusions based on computed evidence within a closed loop. We validate its capabilities across three increasingly demanding scenarios: reconstructing stereocontrolling transition states and validating the corresponding reaction mechanism in a previously reported asymmetric catalytic reaction; proposing and validating a plausible radical pathway through iterative hypothesis refinement for a recently discovered but unpublished $\alpha$-iodoboronate C-I cleavage reaction; and identifying a chemically interpretable descriptor that governs selectivity in nickel-catalysed migratory cross-coupling reactions. By coupling agentic reasoning with rigorous computational validation, ARCHE advances autonomous mechanistic discovery and establishes a foundation for broader machine-assisted chemical research. The code for ARCHE is publicly available at https://github.com/JetAstra/Arche-Harness.
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All authors Dong Li, Sixuan Mi, Zihao Ye, Huan Xiong, Tao XU, Tong Zhu, Aijia Zhang, Junqi Gao, Kaiyan Zhang, Shijie Wang, Bowen Zhou, Yuqiang Li, Biqing Qi

Artificial Intelligence

A Dominant Supplier Slows Recursive Drift More Than It Steers It

More and more of the text future language models learn from is written by a few of today's models. If one supplier writes most of a shared corpus, does it pull the models trained on it toward its own writing, or change how fast they drift? We retrain eight open models from their base weights on a shared pool of each other's text for five generations, varying the part written by one model, Phi-2, from an equal share to 90%. The models drift together toward a style with fewer function words, and none starts repeating itself. No share of Phi-2 brings the other models closer to its text than the equal share does. We split each ecosystem's separation from the equal-share one into a delay along its route and a departure from that route, both counted beyond the difference between two equal-share runs. With Phi-2 at 90%, delay outweighs departure 72 to 28 and 64 to 36 in two runs, and the ecosystem falls 2.7 and 2.5 generations behind. With Phi-2 at half the pool the two parts are about equal. When SmolLM2 or Qwen3-1.7B writes half instead, the ecosystem slows less or not at all. The departure leans toward Phi-2 more as its share grows, but more than toward every other model only at 90%. Human text filling a quarter or half of the pool slows the models along the same route.
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Artificial Intelligence

Human Agreement and Return Association Are Not Interchangeable Criteria

Financial NLP has a standard workflow: validate a sentiment tool against human labels, then trust it to extract market signal. This assumes the two evaluations measure the same thing. We test that assumption in a setting where both can be measured at once: a corpus of securities class actions (2002-2025) linking 70,500 X messages to abnormal stock returns, with a single-annotator human labelled gold sample. Running five instruments (VADER, Loughran-McDonald, FinBERT, Twitter-RoBERTa, and an LLM annotator) through one identical pipeline, we find that the relationship between construct and predictive validity depends on the sampling convention and score representation. Under conventional method-specific sampling, human agreement aligns more closely with graded same-day associations than with one-day leads. On a fixed-n panel, however, agreement has similar graded rank correlations at both horizons, while the coarse ordering remains weak. Benchmark agreement therefore establishes semantic validity but does not by itself determine predictive rankings. In a conversation that is 17.6% spam, message volume predicts neither market damage nor settlement size.
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Artificial Intelligence

KuaiRP Series Role-playing Models Technical Report

This paper introduces the complete technical solution for the KuaiRP series of role-playing models. We aim to achieve four core objectives for a dedicated role-playing model: simplified prompt engineering, highly stable output quality, built-in domain world knowledge, and high-efficiency deployment with a small parameter size. However, effectively injecting deep domain knowledge often leads to a severe catastrophic forgetting of the model's general agent capabilities. To overcome this trade-off, we propose a multi-stage training pipeline. First, we design a standardized character template and construct an SFT data pipeline based on user behavior simulation and reverse profile filtering. Next, we utilize a rule-based composite reward function during the Reinforcement Learning (RL) phase to eliminate common degradation phenomena like length expansion and repetitive generation. Finally, to recover the general capabilities compromised during SFT and RL, we propose a novel self-distillation paradigm using Two-stage On-Policy Distillation (OPD) equipped with Cumulative-Divergence Decay (CDD). By using the domain-adapted model as the teacher and the original base model as the student, we effectively balance deep domain knowledge injection with the preservation of general agent capabilities. Experimental results demonstrate that the KuaiRP models not only match the current state-of-the-art proprietary models in role-playing fidelity within our target domains, but also successfully recover general agent capabilities, maintaining extremely low deployment costs.
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All authors Yipeng Wang, Ziwei Zhang, Jiahui Zhang, Qi Gan, Kai Sheng