Papers

In this work, we study portfolio optimization under the stochastic discount factor (SDF) framework by learning market state representations that capture the underlying risk structures of financial data. This is challenging due to several factors: financial markets exhibit non-stationary dynamics with shifting regimes, multimodal inputs such as price and news data often contain stochastic noise, and existing diffusion-based approaches, while effective for modeling stochastic dynamics, rely on assumptions such as isotropic Gaussian noise that fail to capture the state-dependent nature of financial uncertainty. To address these challenges, we introduce RADAR, a retrieval-augmented diffusion framework that learns market representations by conditioning on similar historical regimes. RADAR leverages retrieval to construct context-dependent noise distributions, applies conditional diffusion to denoise multimodal representations, and initializes the diffusion process using empirical statistics to reflect state-dependent uncertainty. Experiments show that RADAR achieves state-of-the-art performance on key risk-adjusted metrics while producing economically meaningful signals on asset returns and correlations.

Group-based reinforcement learning (RL) has advanced large language models (LLMs) and is increasingly extending to agentic tasks, where sparse terminal rewards make step-level credit assignment essential. Existing methods assign credit from what follows an action in sampled rollouts, but do not explicitly capture its retrospective relation to the realized outcome. Hindsight credit assignment (HCA) instead attributes credit through the ratio of hindsight to behavior-policy probabilities, but estimating the hindsight distribution requires an auxiliary model or an extra pass. To address this estimation bottleneck, we propose GraphHCA, a model-free realization of HCA that eliminates explicit hindsight-distribution estimation. For terminal-goal tasks with deterministic transitions, Bayes' rule reduces the hindsight ratio to a ratio of behavior-policy success probabilities at consecutive states. Taking logs yields a state-wise success potential, whose increment across a transition provides step-level credit. GraphHCA estimates this potential from pooled rollouts through a discounted recursion on the induced transition graph, which admits a unique fixed point on any directed graph. The resulting step-level signal is combined with the trajectory-level advantage, requiring neither a learned hindsight model nor an extra forward pass and recovering GRPO when the step-level weight is zero. Among all compared baselines, GraphHCA achieves state-of-the-art results on ALFWorld and WebShop at both LLM scales, and on Sokoban with a vision-language agent. For example, on ALFWorld it improves overall success rate by up to 24.6 points over GRPO and by up to 4.7 points over the strongest step-level baseline.

Biological machine learning was long bottlenecked by the ability to synthesize designed DNA. Variational synthesis models control chemical reactions to physically manufacture quadrillions of designed sequences in DNA. However, training these generative models is challenging: constraints on chemical synthesis can force many parameters into a discrete space, limiting the ability to pre-train and fine-tune. In this article we train “free” variational synthesis models using stochastic gradient descent in continuous space, and then discretize with post-training quantization to impose hardware and wetware constraints. This enables variational synthesis models to satisfy stringent reward criteria, while still synthesizing diverse designs, achieving a strictly dominating quality-diversity Pareto frontier. We demonstrate by training variational synthesis models of enzymes, peptides, antibody CDRH3s, and regulatory DNA elements. In silico performance is maintained in vitro.

Group-based reinforcement learning such as GRPO trains LLM agents by comparing rollouts sampled for each task, without a learned critic. In long-horizon settings, these rollouts revisit shared anchor states, offering cross-rollout evidence for step-level credit. Ideally, step-level credit should incorporate evidence beyond the realized suffixes observed at an anchor while aggregating alternative continuations according to their empirical frequencies. Visit-local averaging pools realized suffix returns at shared anchors and respects observed frequencies, but does not recursively propagate evidence across rollouts, whereas shortest-path estimators have global reach but allow a rarely observed route to dominate an anchor's value. We introduce Cross-Rollout Bellman Closure (CRBC), which merges each rollout group into a finite empirical process with absorbing success and failure boundaries and evaluates its behavior-policy Bellman fixed point with one linear solve. This fixed point uses the same empirical action and transition frequencies to propagate evidence through shared anchors and aggregate alternative continuations. Backing up the resulting state values through observed transitions yields action values, whose gain over the corresponding state value provides step-level credit. A corresponding finite-depth family recovers visit-local return averaging at zero depth and converges to the exact closure as depth increases. The normalized closure credit is combined with the trajectory-level group advantage for policy optimization, without additional environment rollouts. Across ALFWorld, WebShop, and Sokoban benchmarks with multiple model scales, CRBC consistently improves final performance and learning efficiency. For example, CRBC outperforms the strongest evaluated baseline by 5.59 percentage points on ALFWorld with Qwen2.5-1.5B-Instruct.

We study post-hoc refinement of frozen node classifiers: given only the graph $G$ and class distributions $Q$ predicted by a frozen model, can we improve accuracy without access to node features, model parameters, or gradients? APPNP answers this by propagating logits with a restart towards the initial predictions, minimizing the anchored Dirichlet energy. Instead, we consider the Potts energy, and decompose it into a Dirichlet term, which penalizes disagreement between neighbouring nodes, and a Gini term, which penalizes indecision within each node. This decomposition motivates Propagate, Then Sharpen (PtS), which alternates between propagation of class probabilities and node-wise, mass-preserving sharpening, with only one additional hyperparameter selected using labelled validation nodes. Across nine homophilic graphs, with a frozen MLP backbone, PtS improves mean test accuracy over independently tuned APPNP by $1.71$ percentage points on clean inputs and $3.90$ under severe Gaussian feature corruption. Gains over APPNP become smaller, but remain positive with frozen GCN and GraphSAGE backbones. Sharpening also removes most of the accuracy loss of deep propagation: on clean inputs without restart, accuracy falls by $2.2$ points between $2$ and $100$ propagation steps under PtS, compared with $33.8$ for APPNP.

Many sensing tasks obtain training labels only by deploying instruments in the field. With a limited number of sensor kits, a collection deadline, and measurement downtime at every move, the collector must repeatedly decide whether to stay at the current site or relocate. We study this decision in non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM), which estimates the power drawn by individual appliances from a home's main meter and is trained on data from homes temporarily fitted with appliance-level sub-meters. In NILM, appliance usage varies with the appliance, season and climate, and the value of new data depends on how diverse the combinations of target operation and background load are. To address this, we propose a constraint-based relocation framework and instantiate it for NILM as ReCo (Relocation by Coverage gain). ReCo counts new operating regimes in a joint target-background feature space, forecasts each home's future gain from the data collected so far, and each night weighs the gain of staying against the gain of moving elsewhere after the downtime. In replayed deployments on the Plegma dataset under two kit counts and two downtime costs, ReCo outperforms fixed-dwell and count-based schedules and a threshold rule using the same metric in every setting. Its advantage is not explained by collecting more days alone and reflects allocating the days to more valuable homes and periods.

Graph visualization methods and agglomerative clustering have been frequently considered in data analysis and pattern recognition. Because these approaches are interrelated and complementary, it is of particular interest to investigate their associations. In this work, we study the possible relationship between the Fruchterman-Reingold graph visualization method and four types of agglomerative clustering adopting single- and complete-linkage, average, and Ward's linkage criteria. Three types of datasets have been considered in 2 and 10 dimensions, as well as the PCA projection of the latter to two dimensions. The results obtained suggest that the relationship between the methods considered did not vary much for the three types of data mentioned above. At the same time, the agglomerative methods tended to yield results that are mostly similar to each other, while presenting moderate similarity with the original data. The Fruchterman-Reingold visualization resulted similar to the original data, but exhibited relatively smaller similarity to the agglomerative methods.

We consider the problem of trajectory valuation in reinforcement learning: how to identify and mitigate detrimental trajectories during online training. Unlike classification, where data valuation relies on fixed training and validation sets, reinforcement learning involves dynamically generated trajectories without explicit validation signals, making conventional influence-based methods inapplicable. We propose Dynamic Trajectory Valuation (DTV), a simple and efficient framework that estimates trajectory utility at the mini-batch level and filters detrimental trajectories based solely on gradient information. By operating at the optimization level, DTV integrates seamlessly with existing reinforcement learning pipelines with minimal overhead. Extensive experiments across diverse settings, including PPO, GRPO, and DPO, demonstrate that DTV consistently improves performance, enhances data efficiency, and stabilizes optimization.

Most neural constructive solvers for the vehicle routing problem (VRP) use route-by-route construction, extending one route until completion before starting the next. This commits route membership early and hinders global coordination across routes. We propose multi-component construction, which maintains many route components simultaneously and merges them in an arbitrary order. This removes the depot-return cue that route-by-route construction obtains from the remaining capacity; to compensate, we introduce an interpretation in which every component is treated as an implicitly depot-closed route. Under this depot-closed interpretation, every intermediate state of standard CVRP construction is a complete feasible solution, and the exact cost reduction of a merge is the Clarke-Wright saving. The neural policy combines this CW-saving signal with the evolving component state to learn what to connect and when to connect. A policy trained only on CVRP100 outperforms the reported results of representative neural solvers on CVRP100-500 with greedy inference and, reused for ruin-and-reconstruct, performs strongly at all evaluated sizes up to CVRP1000. In a zero-shot Constraint Tightness evaluation with capacities from $C=10$ to $500$, it outperforms the reported neural solvers at every capacity. Controlled analyses show that robustness persists without CW grounding and point to learned route-closing behavior as a plausible contributor to the tight-regime degradation of learned route-by-route solvers.

Reusable prefix key-value (KV) caches can outgrow GPU memory in large language model (LLM) serving. A memory-semantic flash hierarchy offers SSD-backed capacity with a limited fast tier, but a logical KV hit is not necessarily ready for GPU retrieval. Demand staging exposes SSD latency, whereas immediate staging can reserve fast-tier capacity long before retrieval begins. We present TempoKV, a timing-aware resource-commitment layer that separates early knowledge of reuse from the acquisition of staging resources. It records reusable-KV hits as metadata-only claims and requests commitment when the runtime-estimated time until retrieval falls to the storage-estimated time needed to make KV resident and protected against eviction. These estimates adapt to runtime progress and staging state, while commitment remains subject to available protected capacity. We implement TempoKV in vLLM and LMCache on an SSD-backed CXL memory device without changing request scheduling. Across two models and three prefix cache ratios, TempoKV reduces protected fast-tier byte-time per request by 63-91% versus immediate staging while retaining much of the serving benefit of advance staging. In a fast-tier capacity sweep, output throughput and p95 time to first token (TTFT) remain nearly unchanged as capacity decreases from 100 to 25 GiB. Compared with unmodified LMCache's Device-DAX L1 configuration, TempoKV reduces p95 TTFT by up to 48.0% and increases output throughput by up to 27.8%.

Inferring dynamics from snapshots of evolving distributions is fundamentally underdetermined: the Fokker-Planck equation constrains the drift $F$ only through its score-weighted divergence $\nabla\cdot F+F\cdot\nabla\log\rho$, leaving a $\rho$-solenoidal gauge invisible to any single-time constraint. Time-indexed transport formulations cannot resolve this ambiguity: every admissible marginal path admits a curl-free explanation, minimum-action reconstruction selects it, and marginal fit alone cannot distinguish dynamically inequivalent explanations. Requiring one autonomous field to explain several marginals instead makes part of the hidden circulation visible as $\nabla\log\rho$ changes across marginals. Separating instantaneous Fokker-Planck source constraints from the snapshot experiment, we show that the source constraints identify the field modulo the kernel of a stacked score-weighted divergence operator. For generic Gaussian shape variation, source constraints at $K\ge m$ time points in intrinsic dimension $m$ eliminate every polynomial gauge direction, whereas finitely many density snapshots alone admit aliasing; we give the obstruction explicitly. At a Gaussian anchor, for Sobolev smoothness $s$ and $n$ samples per time point, we derive a conditional lower rate $(nK)^{-2s/(2s+m+1)}$ for the tangent snapshot experiment, with a matching upper rate in a degreewise benchmark. Strong-form fitting is non-orthogonal to score error and cannot be repaired by spectral filtering. Instead, we estimate using smooth test functions while retaining the known diffusion term, and derive a finite-sample bound that separates sampling error from fixed-grid quadrature bias. Planted-circulation experiments confirm the predicted gauge contraction and expose a design tension between cross-slice information and covariance-aware whitening.

Effective multi-turn agents require interaction strategies that coordinate information gathering, actions, and feedback over long horizons. GRPO is a reinforcement learning algorithm used to train these agents, but sparse trajectory-level rewards limit early exploration in small models. Recent methods augment RL with on-policy distillation (OPD) from a stronger teacher. However, a fixed mixture assumes that teacher guidance and reward optimization should retain a constant relative role throughout training and across interaction turns. This assumption can fail at two scales. Globally, as training progresses, maintaining strong distillation pressure can constrain the model from moving beyond the teacher's capabilities. Locally, teacher–student disagreement identifies where the student departs from the teacher, but cannot tell whether that departure is exploration supported by better outcomes or low-quality policy drift. Our methodological insight is that teacher guidance and reward optimization should be dynamically rebalanced over training and jointly allocated across turns. We instantiate this insight in \tide. Globally, \tide uses the measured disagreement trend as a practical schedule signal, advancing an OPD-to-RL handoff when discrepancy reduction becomes slow but remains positive and progressively increasing the relative weight of RL. Locally, \tide jointly modulates teacher-guided and reward-driven updates: relative action value and disagreement prioritize the OPD signal, whereas relative action value supplies the RL advantage and normalized disagreement reweights it across turns. Coupled with the global handoff, \tide allocates stronger teacher guidance early and gives reward-driven updates greater relative weight later in training. Experiments across multiple benchmarks, student scales, and controlled ablations support the effectiveness of TIDE's adaptive OPD–RL coordination.

Long contexts are central to modern transformer systems, but most expressivity results choose a different network for each fixed sequence length. We study whether one masked transformer can approximate causal token-to-token maps uniformly over sequences of arbitrary length sampling a fixed normalized horizon. To relate sampling resolutions, we model tokens by $\alpha$-Hölder sequences or, more generally, a common modulus of continuity. Our notion of continuity across resolutions characterizes the causal families admitting uniform approximation on these compact input classes by a single transformer with length-independent parameters. The result extends to the infinite-length mean-field limit, where tokens form continuous curves and masked attention becomes a causal time integral. For bounded regression with target maps satisfying a $\beta$-smooth stability condition defined using regular test functions, quantitative approximation yields a generalization bound: exact empirical risk minimization over suitably sized bounded-weight transformers gives root mean-square prediction error $O((\log\log N/\log N)^{\beta/(d+2)})$ from $N$ iid labeled sequences. The bound holds at fixed confidence on the same sampling distribution, with $d$ the token dimension and no maximum-length factor. Finally, experiments on physical time series support the Hölder-regular token model at observed scales, with dataset-dependent fitted exponents, whereas text input embeddings provide a contrasting case. Native and dense sampling, shuffled controls, and refinement checks delimit this empirical regularity regime.

Contemporary deep speech enhancement (SE) models are often trained with specific auxiliary terms in the loss function as a way to improve their performance in terms of perceptual metrics. Nevertheless, a higher score on a perceptual metric does not necessarily correlate with an improved listening experience. Through objective and subjective experiments, we assess the performance of SE models trained with two different types of auxiliary PESQ loss terms. The numerical evaluation on a suite of standard metrics suggests that, while models optimized for PESQ naturally obtain higher PESQ scores in the test set, for most other metrics the scores do not significantly change. In some cases, the PESQ loss even results in worse PESQ scores on mismatched data. A formal listening experiment reveals that the models without a PESQ loss were generally preferred over models that include it, across all settings. Finally, we analyze the relative importance of PESQ in the composite metrics CSIG, CBAK and COVL, and find that PESQ dominates all of them. Our study highlights the perils of over-reliance on PESQ and stresses the importance of a complete evaluation procedure for SE.

A robot should be able to learn through experiments how unfamiliar objects behave and interact, then plan with that knowledge. It need not start from scratch: physics engines supply knowledge of motion and contact, but can omit entire mechanisms, such as glue curing, water heating, or wind. We present EMPIRIC, an agent that learns a residual world model: a physics engine extended with code for the missing mechanisms. The learned programs can introduce new forces, constraints, and hidden state, and Bayesian inference estimates their parameters and states from noisy observations. The resulting model lets the agent predict the outcomes of actions, choose informative experiments, and revise its hypotheses when predictions fail. Across five simulated domains, EMPIRIC learns interpretable, reusable models, and solves more tasks with fewer environment interactions than all three baselines. On a physical robot, it learns wind forces and domino masses to solve a manipulation task. Website and code: https://yichao-liang.github.io/empiric

Preference-based alignment methods such as Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) use pairwise preferences labeled by human annotators to fine-tune language models. However, annotators carry systematic biases toward some attributes: a name that signals a gender or an ethnicity, a persona, a language variety, a formatting convention, or length. If not properly addressed, these systematic biases can be absorbed and amplified during alignment. Existing methods address length bias or annotator disagreement, but fail to eliminate biases toward arbitrary attributes. To address this limitation, we propose Bias-Adjusted DPO (BA-DPO), a generalization of DPO that adds one bias parameter per annotator toward responses carrying a declared attribute. We prove that the objective is convex in the bias parameters and that the votes identify each annotator's bias up to a shared constant. The remaining constant is what fixes the aligned model's attribute rate: by default the rate of the reference model, or a target rate, which we use to bring a biased policy to statistical parity. On a corpus with planted biases, DPO drives the attribute from a balanced start to probability 0.96 and BA-DPO removes 81 to 95% of that shift; on MultiPref with real annotators it removes about half of DPO's lengthening. Both hold at 0.5B with full fine-tuning and at 8B with LoRA, at no higher KL than DPO and no loss in judged quality.

Martian weather forecasting is important for future exploration, but atmospheric behaviour on Mars combines spatial, temporal, vertical, and dust-driven processes in ways that challenge current modelling and forecasting approaches. This paper introduces MaGMA (Martian Graph-based Multi-horizon Atmospheric Forecasting), a graph-based data engineering framework that transforms OpenMARS reanalysis fields into structured learning objects for Martian atmospheric forecasting. Local atmospheric patches are represented as graph nodes and linked through spatial neighbourhoods, temporal continuity, longer temporal dependencies, and dynamically similar atmospheric states. The model integrates recent atmospheric history, engineered physical descriptors, and vertical atmospheric information to support forecasting across multiple horizons. We evaluate MaGMA across five unseen Martian years, including regular years and a global dust storm year. In regular years, the model achieves overall R^2 values of approximately 0.73-0.85. For dust-column forecasting, it outperforms classical and deep temporal baselines in most year-horizon comparisons. During the global dust storm year, dust-column prediction remains strong at shorter horizons, with R^2 above 0.8 for the first two horizons, while broader multivariate performance declines. The results show that graph-based data engineering can create reusable and diagnostically useful representations for planetary atmospheric forecasting, while highlighting the need for better learning under rare extreme regimes and improved use of vertical atmospheric structure.

Federated Bayesian Optimization (FBO) enables distributed agents to collaboratively optimize expensive black-box objectives without sharing raw local observations. However, effective knowledge transfer remains challenging under communication constraints and task heterogeneity. We propose GUIDE-FBO, in which agents exchange compact distributions over the locations of their respective optima inferred from local Gaussian process (GP) posteriors, rather than raw observations, query points, or surrogate parameters. The server merges and reweights these distributional components before returning a subset to each agent. Each agent then constructs a Federated Interventional GP (FI-GP), which preserves the local posterior mean and spatially rescales its covariance for local decision making. For the upper confidence bound (UCB) instantiation, GUIDE-UCB, we prove that any bounded FI-GP uncertainty intervention preserves the leading-order cumulative regret rate of standard GP-UCB. When the transferred distributions place greater support near an optimum than in a suboptimal region, selecting the latter requires greater local posterior uncertainty. Experiments on 12 synthetic benchmarks and three real-world optimization tasks show that GUIDE-FBO remains effective across settings ranging from homogeneous to severely heterogeneous. Ablation results highlight the importance of spatially localized uncertainty intervention, while the communication analysis shows that GUIDE-FBO exchanges only compact distributional messages.

The integration of artificial intelligence into computer-aided design frameworks has sparked a shift in the design of analog integrated circuits (ICs), transitioning the field from using manual and algorithmic-based solutions to adopting automated and intelligent paradigms. In this scenario, the GDSII file represents the industry-standard database containing the ultimate and most accurate source of information of the analog circuit, encapsulating the complex physical geometries and parasitic realities that define tape out performance. This paper proposes THEIA, a novel dataset containing thousands of layout images paired with question-answer conversations, along with a benchmark that employs a fine-tuned vision-language model (VLM) to analyze GDSII files of analog circuits, enabling designers to interact with and query physical layouts as intuitive, meaningful entities. Experimental results using thousands of analog designs across five realistic tasks demonstrate that the proposed fine-tuned VLM outperforms state-of-the-art general-purpose VLMs by a significant margin (up to 73%), highlighting a fundamental gap between general-purpose multimodal reasoning and domain-specific layout understanding.

Off-policy evaluation, which estimates evaluation policy performance from logged data, is key for recommender ranking policies. However, logged clicks cannot distinguish unexamined items from examined non-clicks, causing bias in existing estimators when the assumed examination structures fail. We propose two estimators based on the decomposition of clicks into examination and relevance. First, the latent-examination independent inverse propensity score (LE-IIPS) estimator corrects the IIPS bias using policy examination probability ratios. Second, the examination-decomposed doubly robust (ED-DR) estimator extends LE-IIPS to a doubly robust framework. ED-DR is unbiased if the examination probabilities are correct regardless of relevance accuracy, or under ranking-independent examination, even if both model estimates are inaccurate. Experiments show that ED-DR achieves a lower MSE than existing methods with large sample sizes, especially when the examination depends on ranking. We also highlight its limitations under small samples or cascade user behavior conditions.

Hyperparameter transfer across model width can substantially reduce the cost of tuning large neural networks, but its behavior when the training horizon grows with width is not fully understood. Building on the framework of fast hyperparameter transfer (Ghosh et al., 2026), which formalizes when transfer is effective, we investigate conditions that ensure fast transfer in the growing-horizon regime. Specifically, we study learning-rate transfer in a shallow linear network with a single trainable hidden matrix, trained by full-batch gradient descent. Under additional spectral assumptions, our main results are threefold. (i) We prove fast learning-rate transfer as $n,T\to\infty$ whenever $T=o(\sqrt{n})$. (ii) We characterize the transfer rates through the finite-width perturbation scale, the first-order sensitivities of the loss and its learning-rate derivative to finite-width perturbations, and the local loss curvature. (iii) We derive limiting distributions for the optimal learning rate and optimized loss, governed by fluctuations associated with the extreme eigenvalues of the data Gram matrix. These results clarify how spectral structure and local loss sensitivities govern learning-rate transfer at growing horizons.

Large language models (LLMs) have made misinformation inexpensive to produce but not to verify, creating a growing asymmetry in the information ecosystem. Under tight time, labor, and budget constraints, media organizations, platforms, and fact-checkers rely on screening to prioritize which content to verify. We introduce VEX-Bench, a unified benchmark for evaluating the verification complexity of LLM-generated misinformation, as perceived during screening, across models and generation methods. Verification complexity is assessed along multiple dimensions derived from journalistic and fact-checking practices, capturing checkability, harm potential, source credibility signals, imposter legitimacy, and expected verification effort. We define the VEX score as an integrated measure combining elicitation yield and verification complexity to quantify how generated content consumes limited verification capacity. We construct a benchmark spanning two misinformation categories, 6 high-stakes domains, and 60 real-world topics, and evaluate 7 frontier LLMs and 7 generation methods, yielding 5{,}880 articles. We employ an LLM-as-judge for scalable evaluation and validate it using content-analysis methodology, including ordinal Krippendorff $\alpha$ for inter-annotator reliability, complemented by fact-checking agents for verification. Our findings show that no single method dominates all dimensions, underscoring the need for multi-dimensional evaluation. LLMs can generate high-VEX misinformation at 3$\times$ to 169$\times$ lower cost than agent-based verification. Such content is often prioritized during screening, consuming scarce verification resources and introducing a systematic risk of misallocation in resource-constrained verification systems. The code is publicly available in our \href{https://github.com/HanxunH/VEX-Bench}{GitHub repository}.

Spatiotemporal prediction aims to learn discriminative representations from correlated temporal signals over spatial structures for accurate future inference. A central challenge is spatial indistinguishability: different nodes may share similar historical patterns yet evolve toward divergent futures, severely degrading forecasting performance in real-world sensor networks. Existing embedding-based and graph neural network (GNN)-based approaches can partially detect such ambiguous nodes but rely on historical similarity, struggling to capture future behavioral divergence. We propose STOT (SpatioTemporal Optimal Transport), a self-supervised framework that resolves spatiotemporal ambiguity via structured masking guided by optimal transport. Our key idea treats indistinguishability as a disambiguation problem: future states are inferred by exploiting concurrent spatial correlations and their time-varying similarity. We design a similarity-aware metric for dynamic inter-node relationships and an optimal transport-based masking strategy to emphasize ambiguous positions during pre-training. A batch consistency constraint preserves semantic coherence, while a random-walk masking mechanism promotes structured context exploration. Experiments on six real-world datasets show that STOT performs competitively with state-of-the-art baselines on the evaluated benchmarks and improved interpretability through transport-plan visualizations.

Price stability remains a pillar in monetary policy practices and carries a special importance within monetary unions. Mainstream economics tried to leverage price stability using price indices and several metrics to shed light on specific dynamics and optimal macroeconomic levels. The wide availability of data led researchers to consider the study of systems using Random Matrix Theory, based on inner correlation patterns. This aims to enhance the multivariate analysis by removing noisy patterns from the signal and improve data quality for further inferences. This work considers the collection of monthly inflation indices in the Eurozone as a system of prices to analyze its eigenvalues' statistical and asymptotic properties and uncover inner country-level insights. Results confirm the system cannot assumed to be randomly generated, and the data exhibit noise-dominated patterns, due to small and persistent variations at the country-level. The latter make the inter-country correlations more dynamic and the separation of the signal from the noise quiet difficult. Findings identified two countries as distorting inflation dynamics besides three other distinct, regional-based groups of countries. Variability sources might stem from economic episodes fueling inflation spikes in some countries, as well as methodological aspects used to ensure data quality and representativeness in the European Union. Despite being complex, the system demonstrates a certain stability, in terms of self-organization; while large monthly fluctuations cannot be considered as rare events, but part of the data-generating process.

Keyword Spotting (KWS) is becoming increasingly important as voice-controlled devices grow more widespread. While voice interaction with smartphones and smart TVs is already common, deploying KWS on heavily resource-constrained edge devices such as wearables remains challenging. These systems must meet high accuracy requirements while operating under strict constraints on computational power, memory footprint, and real-time latency. In this work, we present an application of the STMC (Short-Term Memory Convolutions) framework to adapt a modular CNN model for online, LSTM-like inference. Our approach reduces power consumption and redundant computations while maintaining the stability and simplicity of training CNNs. We achieve up to 82% and 46% MCPS reduction compared to equivalently frequent standard CNN execution and vanilla STMC, respectively. The best configuration achieves 93.8% accuracy on the 11-class Google Speech Commands task and 97.1% on the same task with zero-padded data.

Models of quantum systems faithfully map system parameters to observations, but the inverse problem of parameter inference from measurement data presents a fundamental challenge: computationally intractable likelihoods due to an exponentially large Hilbert space. Here, we introduce simulation-based quantum system inference, a unified, likelihood-free framework that learns parameter posteriors directly from classical simulation data. The central idea is to pair polynomial-cost classical simulators, such as Pauli propagation and tensor networks, with normalizing flows or other neural density estimators for accurate, reusable inference. A single model, trained once, maps any new measurement record to its posterior in one forward pass—turning per-experiment inference into a fixed, up-front cost. We numerically demonstrate the framework's versatility across Pauli noise learning, quantum error mitigation, quantum state tomography, and Hamiltonian learning, with examples involving 81-qubit shallow circuits and 735-parameter inference. In each case, the approach yields accurate estimates of identifiable parameters, while posterior uncertainty provides additional diagnostics of non-identifiability and indicates where further characterization is needed. Our framework reduces data-acquisition requirements in quantum experiments and accelerates parameter inference, providing a practical route to characterizing and improving large-scale quantum systems.

Most music-generation systems are still framed and evaluated primarily as producers of complete outputs, whereas composition often proceeds through successive revisions to a shared musical artifact. This paper studies a different use of a general-purpose instruction-following large language model: not as a one-shot music generator, but as a reusable operator over an evolving symbolic score. We formulate incremental composition as a sequence of operation-aware state transitions over persistent ABC notation, with explicit requirements on what each operation may change and what it must preserve. The interaction includes two artifact-initialization variants and three editing operations – chord addition, inpainting, and transposition. We instantiate the formulation by adapting Llama 3.1 8B Instruct with Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) on 496,038 operation-aware dialogue records derived from Irish traditional music. The comparison with the unadapted model is used to test the feasibility of learning this interaction contract, not to claim novelty for fine-tuning itself. Across 500 dialogues per model (1,750 attempted output states), checker admission rises from 29.37% to 99.37%, while compliance conditional on admission rises from 0.7205 to 0.9798. Strict eligibility for reference-relative musical-feature analysis increases from 14 to 1,548 outputs, and Longest Common Subsequence analysis does not show a systematic increase in high-overlap sequences relative to held-out baselines under the specified protocol. The results support the technical feasibility of persistent, operation-aware symbolic editing with a general-purpose instruction LLM. They do not establish superior musical quality or human-AI co-creativity, which remain questions for musician-centered evaluation.

Decoding for large language models is typically treated as a collection of isolated sampling strategies, with limited theoretical understanding of the behaviours they induce and how their underlying objectives relate. We formulate decoding as an optimisation problem over next-token distributions on the probability simplex, balancing expected model score against regularisation under support constraints. This view recovers familiar decoding methods through choices of regularisers and support constraints; more importantly, it enables new decoders to be constructed by composing distributional preferences within a single optimisation problem without external rewards, learned critics, or model parameter updates. We introduce CompoSimplex, a library with configurable support rules, regularisation primitives, and simplex solvers for constructing and evaluating compositional decoders. We evaluate standard samplers, individual regularisers, and compositions across multiple models and reasoning tasks. Our results show that compositions can realise trade-offs between single-sample quality, multi-sample quality, and diversity that are not attained by individual decoding objectives.

Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) improves the reasoning capabilities of large language models but incurs substantial costs from rollouts and policy updates. Online prompt selection improves efficiency by using per-prompt Bayesian posteriors to predict difficulty and prioritize informative prompts. However, existing methods overlook how reliably learning signals are extracted from sampled responses. In GRPO, a response's advantage depends on both its own outcome and the randomly sampled outcomes of its peers through group normalization. Our theoretical and experimental analyses show that uncertainty in group composition introduces composition noise, a non-vanishing variance component that imposes an irreducible lower bound on gradient estimation error and impairs downstream prompt selection. We propose MaPP (Marginalized Posterior-Predictive), a unified framework for data-efficient RLVR that denoises response-level advantage estimation and improves prompt selection using a shared Beta posterior. For each response, MaPP replaces the standard group-relative advantage with a composition-invariant intrinsic advantage through closed-form Beta-Binomial marginalization. The resulting posterior-predictive estimator has an error that provably diminishes as the posterior concentrates. Using the same posterior, MaPP derives an uncertainty-aware prompt selection score to improve data efficiency without additional rollout cost. Experiments on mathematics, planning, and visual geometry across five model backbones show that MaPP consistently outperforms GRPO and strong selection baselines, achieving up to +2.45 average accuracy improvement over the strongest baseline under the same rollout budget and setting a new state of the art.

We describe the Nürnberg NLP system for ChildSafeAds 2026. The shared task asks what a monitoring system for commercial content in child-facing YouTube videos can achieve at a given level of data access. We answer with per-subtask ensembles of nine voters, organised into three branches that differ in backbone, adaptation method and class scope. Selection rests on channel-disjoint cross-validation, with the development set as a transfer check. The system wins two of the three subtasks. Its product-category score (ST2, 0.8243) and its compliance-flag score (ST3, 0.6530) are the best of the 22 final entries, and it places third on the task mean (0.7079). We further compare four access levels and report the cost at test-set scale.