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Monday 3 August

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.AI

Towards the Harness of Embodied Agents

The success of coding agents has established the harness as a paradigm: what an agent achieves depends not on the model alone, but on the infrastructure around it. We ask whether the same paradigm extends to embodied agents in the physical world. We present Thea, a harness in which an agentic loop orchestrates robot capabilities, each wrapped as a callable tool. It inherits the core components of coding agents, modified as the physical world requires. The world, however, withholds two abilities that software grants for free: reading the state of the world, and judging the outcome of an action. To bridge these gaps, Thea introduces Scene Graph as Context, a persistent, symbolic representation of the world, and Evaluation as Exit Codes, which detects when an action should terminate, judges whether it succeeded, and on failure diagnoses the cause. Together they close the loop between the agent and the physical world. Rich behaviors then emerge from the composition of tools, and the closed loop carries long-horizon tasks to completion in real environments.
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All authors Qi Wang, Tianyi Wang, Chengyang Li, Shikun Ban, Yurun Chen, Yizhong Ge, Jason Qin, Chengtai Li, Wentao Zhu

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Deep Evidential Regression for Sparse Forest Height Estimation from Multimodal Satellite Imagery

Accurate estimation of forest height from satellite imagery is essential for applications such as carbon accounting, biodiversity monitoring, and ecosystem management. While recent deep learning approaches provide accurate predictions, they typically do not quantify predictive uncertainty. This limitation is particularly relevant in geospatial settings characterized by sparse supervision and geographic distribution shift. In this work, we investigate Deep Evidential Regression (DER) for forest height estimation on the TreeUQ benchmark, a large-scale dataset designed for the joint estimation of tree count and average tree height at 10 m resolution, based on Sentinel-1/-2 data as well as tree inventory data over the federal state of Bavaria. To account for the extreme label sparsity of the tree inventory data, we introduce a masked evidential loss for dense geospatial prediction. Using a U-Net architecture with multimodal Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 inputs, the proposed approach jointly predicts tree height and associated uncertainty estimates in a single forward pass. Experimental results show that DER achieves predictive performance comparable to a deterministic U-Net while additionally providing well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. These findings demonstrate the potential of evidential learning as an efficient framework for uncertainty-aware forest structure estimation from Earth observation data.
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All authors Laura Bader, Muhammad Ammar Ahmed, Xiao Xiang Zhu, Göran Kauermann

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV

UAV3DCrop: Benchmarking 3D Reconstruction in Repeated Multi-Angle UAV Crop Surveys

Accurate 3D crop monitoring underpins data-driven precision agriculture by enabling field-scale analysis of plant structure, growth dynamics, and management response. Modern 3D reconstruction methods perform strongly on generic benchmarks, but rendered appearance may not translate into metrically and agronomically useful geometry in crop fields. We introduce UAV3DCrop, a public benchmark of repeated multi-angle unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) crop surveys. It contains 88,830 RGB images at $5280 \times 3956$ pixels, with a ground sampling distance of 3.6-5.8 mm, from 91 scenes spanning corn, soybean, wheat, and oat. Track A evaluates seven scene-optimized methods – Neural Radiance Field (NeRF) and 3D Gaussian Splatting (3DGS) variants – on held-out views, photogrammetry-referenced depth, and canopy-height recovery. Track B tests four pretrained feed-forward models on zero-shot camera-pose and geometry estimation. The scene-optimized methods rank differently across the three targets: Splatfacto-big leads appearance, whereas Scaffold-GS leads depth and is statistically tied with Splatfacto for canopy height. Among feed-forward models, MapAnything leads on seven of the eight metrics, while the remaining models vary more across crops and fail severely on absolute scale in a way that alignment conceals. Repeated acquisitions reveal further sensitivities that differ by output type and by model, associated with position within the acquisition sequence and with tie-point multiplicity. Current 3D reconstruction methods are therefore not yet interchangeable for agronomic use: no single method wins on appearance, geometry, and canopy height at once, and only one of four feed-forward models recovers usable metric scale. The dataset is publicly available at https://link-dev.github.io/UAV3DCrop/
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All authors Junxiong Zhou, Xuechen Li, Chonghao Qiu, Lang Qiao, Xiaowei Jia, Qi Yang, Chishan Zhang, Leikun Yin, Nanshan You, Vipin Kumar, David Mulla, Ce Yang, Zhenong Jin, Licheng Liu

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from q-bio.GN

CLARA: Clarification of Language Ambiguity through Result Analysis for Natural-Language Cancer Genomics Queries

A natural language interface can be used to make cancer genomics databases easier to use, but even if a question is perfectly fluent, its scientific meaning can be ambiguous. We propose CLARA, a framework that represents a question as a typed scientific query specification, considers a few possible interpretations, executes them, and asks for clarification when the estimates diverge. CLARA was assessed on mutation-prevalence contrasts among eight TCGA PanCancer Atlas cohorts and a 30-gene panel. This benchmark consisted of 330 unique executable contrasts varying in mutation scope, assay denominator, and sample context; 115 contrasts were result-sensitive and 215 were result-stable, per the preregistered definition of relative divergence greater than 0.10 or absolute divergence greater than 5 percentage points. An independently implemented pandas execution engine perfectly replicated all 660 results from the SQLite engine. In a separate 120-question LLM-generated, manually vetted language stress test, CLARA recognized all 60 result-sensitive contrasts and needlessly clarified 13 of 60 stable contrasts (accuracy 89.2%, sensitivity/recall 100%, specificity 78.3%). Standalone machine learning had superior overall accuracy (97.5%) but missed one critical contrast. This demonstrates that downstream execution can distinguish consequential from inconsequential ambiguity and reveal an explicit trade-off between safety and burden.
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Machine Learning

A Physics-Informed Hybrid Neural Operator for Transient Magnetization Prediction in Power Magnetics

Magnetic components in high-frequency, high-power-density converters are increasingly driven by non-sinusoidal flux-density waveforms with fast transitions, minor-loop operation, dc bias, and temperature variation. Under these conditions, steady-state core-loss formulas and single-valued material curves cannot fully capture transient magnetization responses. This work proposes the Physics-Informed Hybrid Neural Operator (PI-HNO), a compact material-specific neural model with B-H energy-consistency regularization for core-loss-oriented transient magnetization prediction. Given the measured B(t)-H(t) history, the input B(t) series over the prediction interval and operating-condition information, PI-HNO predicts the H(t) series and the corresponding reconstructed B-H trajectory. The model integrates a local recurrent branch for boundary-state representation and rate-dependent response evolution with a Preisach-inspired global branch that extracts waveform-level hysteresis context. Evaluation on the MagNetX transient database using material-specific models for 14 ferrite materials demonstrates that PI-HNO achieves a compact trade-off between sequence accuracy and B(t)-H(t) energy consistency, with the mean and 95th percentile B(t)-H(t) energy consistency errors of 1.92% and 7.60%, respectively, using only 4777 trainable parameters per model. Ablation studies further demonstrate that the local, global, and energy-aware regularized components provide distinct contributions to transient magnetization prediction.
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All authors Yachao Zhu, Qiujie Huang, Sinan Li, Yang Li, Gang Lei, Jianguo Zhu

Machine Learning

Scaling an Autoregressive Transformer for Single-Cell Generation

We study a self-supervised generation task for single-cell gene expression vectors: given a set of vectors from a cell type, we aim to generate additional gene expression vectors of that cell type. For this task we characterize both the biological fidelity of the generated gene expression vectors and the scaling behavior of the pretraining loss. The model is a causal transformer paired with a learned quantized VAE tokenizer, trained with a cross-entropy loss. To evaluate the model, we condition it on held-out gene expression vectors of a cell type and generate vectors of gene expression, comparing the resulting distribution over gene expression vectors to the ground truth distribution of that cell type. We study the scaling properties of the proposed architecture by varying the number of trained parameters and the amount of training data. To our knowledge, we find the first jointly-fit two-exponent scaling law and compute-optimal frontier for a single-cell foundation model. Finally, we discuss how this pretrained model could be finetuned for perturbation response prediction.
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Machine Learning

Inverted Detection and Control in Steering Vectors

Steering vectors (SVs) are widely used to influence the expression of concepts (e.g., truthfulness) in large language model outputs. A key assumption underpinning SVs is that they are linearly discriminative with respect to the concept: representations of texts that exhibit the concept are more aligned with the SV than those that do not, motivating shifts along the positive or negative SV direction to respectively promote or suppress the concept. In this work, we identify an inverted detection-control phenomenon in which some highly discriminative SVs that are aligned with positive representations can consistently promote the opposite behavior. We refer to such vectors as inverted-steering vectors (ISVs). We provide a geometric characterization of ISVs' effects, finding that steering along these directions systematically pushes representations in discriminative downstream heads as if the concept were absent, even prior to decoding. Motivated by this analysis, we propose an approach for distinguishing ISVs without requiring generation or associated response scoring. This enables targeted sign flips, which we use to improve a foundational detection-based steering pipeline via Inference Time Intervention (ITI). Our approach improves results in 27/30 experiments, ranging from +0.9% to +138%. We evaluate our findings on Gemma 3 12B, Qwen 2.5 14B, and Olmo 3 7B across 5 concepts.
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Machine Learning

SP3O: Reinforcement Learning from Segment Preferences without Reward Modeling

Preference-based reinforcement learning (PbRL) for general stochastic MDPs often requires training a reward model. Existing reward-model-free methods are either restricted to bandits or deterministic MDPs, such as DPO or P3O, or use zeroth-order, gradient-free optimization, which in general exhibits a slower convergence rate than gradient-based algorithms. Furthermore, existing reward-model-free preference-based RL algorithms almost exclusively use trajectory-level feedback, which can require significant effort from a human evaluator when trajectories are long. On the other hand, segments are much shorter, so they are easier to compare and evaluate. In this paper, we introduce a novel reward-model-free, critic-free, and gradient-based PbRL algorithm compatible with segment preferences named Segment Pairwise Proximal Policy Optimization (SP3O). SP3O utilizes segment-level preference feedback to construct an accurate policy value difference estimator via off-policy importance sampling, and then uses the estimator to compute the policy gradient via a PPO-type loss function. We provide a theoretical basis for the algorithm and analyze the tradeoff in choosing the segment length. We also evaluate it experimentally against other PbRL/RLHF algorithms in robotic control and LLM finetuning settings to show its improved performance, especially in long-horizon tasks.
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Machine Learning

Schedule-Informed Temporal Fusion Forecasting of Hourly Airport Security-Checkpoint Throughput

Checkpoint staffing requires accurate forecasts of when screening demand will occur, yet flight schedules record departure times rather than passenger arrival times at security checkpoints. This study develops a framework that converts known flight schedules into temporally aligned signals for forecasting hourly checkpoint throughput. Using 2023-2024 Transportation Security Administration throughput data and Cirium Diio flight schedules for Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, domestic and international seat capacity was distributed across pre-departure hours using truncated Poisson kernels. A Temporal Fusion Transformer then combined these schedule-derived arrival-intensity signals with historical throughput, scheduled activity, and temporal variables. Models were trained chronologically, with July-December 2024 reserved for testing, and evaluated against recurrent neural network and long short-term memory models across five random seeds. For direct six-hour forecasts, the proposed model achieved a weighted mean absolute percentage error of 9.33%, compared with 12.16% for the recurrent neural network and 11.37% for long short-term memory, while also producing the lowest errors during peak periods. With six-hour recursive updates, errors remained between 10.60% and 11.04% across 24-96 hour horizons, although longer horizons contained fewer valid forecast origins. By transforming scheduled departures into interpretable pre-departure screening-load signals without requiring passenger-flight matching, the framework supports advance staffing, lane-opening, and multiday checkpoint planning. Because observed throughput reflects realized processing rather than unconstrained arrivals, the forecasts should be interpreted together with local staffing, capacity, queue, and wait-time information.
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Machine Learning

Rubrics as Privileged Information for Open-Ended Generation

On-policy self-distillation (OPSD), where a single model acts as both student and teacher with different contexts, has shown promise in verifiable domains like math, where hard privileged information (PI) in the form of ground-truth answers structurally constrains valid continuations. We extend OPSD to open-ended generation using soft PI in the form of rubrics that guide preferences but admit many valid responses. Rubrics have served as scalar rewards for reinforcement learning (RL); we show that they provide substantially richer signal as dense PI for distillation, and contrary to intuition, soft rubric PI provides a larger and more effective training signal on student roll-outs than hard reference completion PI in this regime. A reference completion is one point in a set of valid responses, so distilling towards it over-constrains the student, while rubrics specify the preference structure shared across the set of valid responses. We show the effectiveness of using rubrics as PI for open-ended generation across Qwen and Llama model families and show that it outperforms rubric-as-reward (RaR) RL using HealthBench, a benchmark that grades open-ended health responses against physician-created rubrics, providing dense token-level supervision for open-ended tasks; RuPI beats RaR RL by up to +0.10 absolute score and, under matched recipe and KL direction, beats reference-PI by +0.034 to +0.079 absolute score across three models. We further show that these findings generalize to training on the RubricHub Science corpus and evaluating on ResearchQA: soft rubric PI outperforms both reference-PI distillation and RaR RL (66.6% vs. 64.2% and 57.6%).
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Machine Learning

ATFlash: Per-RoPE-Wavelength Attention Windows for Compute/Memory-Efficient LLM Inference

The attention score with rotary position embeddings (RoPE) decomposes exactly into a sum over its 2D-rotation frequency pairs, and each pair's wavelength limits how far it can discriminate position. Aligned with this structure, we propose the per-RoPE-wavelength distance window: it prunes the query–key inner-product terms beyond a wavelength-proportional distance. Unlike a sliding window, every key remains reachable, at least through the low-frequency pairs. The reduction rate is input-independent, with a closed form logarithmic in the sequence length $N$, in contrast to dynamic-sparse methods like MInference. Such token-level selection is orthogonal to our frequency-level pruning. The window can therefore be applied on top of those methods. On Qwen2.5-0.5B and Llama-3.2-3B, the window prunes 37–48% of the query–key inner-product terms within each model's native context length. Relative to full attention, the top-1 match rate stays at 96–98% and the mean output-distribution KL at the $10^{-3}$-nat level on LongBench-v2 contexts. We examine absolute scores on long-context benchmarks such as RULER, OpenAI-MRCR, LongCodeQA, and $\infty$Bench: they are broadly preserved. We implement the window as a slice of the query–key contraction axis, leaving the online-softmax recurrences untouched, and port it with minimal diffs into the released FlashAttention-4 prefill and FlashInfer decode. On RTX PRO 6000 with Llama, both ports outpace stock with gains growing with context length, up to $1.29\times$ at 128K. End to end on Qwen2.5-7B-1M, with 57% of the inner-product terms pruned, the speedup reaches $1.31\times$ at a 1M-token context.
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All authors Shun-ichiro Hayashi, Daichi Mukunoki, Tetsuya Hoshino, Takahiro Katagiri

Machine Learning

Sedentary Behavior Classification for Wearable Sensors with a CNN-BiLSTM Model

Accurate detection of sedentary behavior is important for studying health risks related to prolonged sitting, but posture-based classification remains challenging with wearable sensors, especially at the wrist. We study whether a deep learning model trained on hip-worn accelerometer data can transfer to wrist-worn accelerometer data for sitting versus non-sitting classification. We use CHAP, a CNN-BiLSTM model originally developed for hip accelerometers, and evaluate its zero-shot performance on wrist data as well as its adaptation through finetuning with varying amounts of labeled wrist data. Experiments are conducted on the iWatch dataset with ground-truth posture labels derived from wearable cameras. The hip-trained model performs strongly on hip data without retraining, but accuracy drops on wrist data due to sensor placement shift. Finetuning CHAP provides consistent advantages over transformer models trained from scratch. These findings suggest that hip-based pretraining provides a useful starting point for wrist deployment, while highlighting the need for wrist-specific adaptation to handle higher signal variability.
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All authors Yuliang Chen, Weiwei Shi, Jingjing Zou, Rong Zablocki, Animesh Kumar, Jordan A. Carlson, Sheri J. Hartman, Mikael Anne Greenwood-Hickman, Paul R. Hibbing, Marta Jankowska, Jay Yang, Arun Kumar, Loki Natarajan

Machine Learning

Federated generative event models for tokenized electronic health records

Electronic health record foundation models are limited by institutionally siloed data and substantial performance degradation under cross-site transfer. We evaluated federated training of tokenized generative event models (GEMs) across 122,251 intensive care hospitalizations from three independent health systems harmonized to the Common Longitudinal ICU Data Format. Models were assessed on 12 post-24-hour clinical prediction tasks using within-site, cross-site, centralized, and federated training configurations. GEMs achieved the highest mean within-site and cross-site ROC-AUC and were substantially more transportable than conventional supervised models: their average cross-site penalties were 0.025 ROC-AUC and 0.027 PR-AUC, compared with 0.079 and 0.089 for LightGBM. Federated Learning (FedAvg and FedAvgM) approached the performance of centralized GEM training, with most gains obtained within 5-10 communication rounds. However, centralized multi-site training provided only modest improvements over complete local training. Multi-site models were most useful when local training data were limited, with their advantage narrowing as institutional data accumulated. These findings show that federated GEM training is technically feasible and preserves most centralized performance, but that the main open challenge is learning transportable representations to translate larger, but heterogeneous data from multiple health systems into a reliable target-site benefit.
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All authors Michael C. Burkhart, Luke Solo, Inhyeok Lee, S'Khaja Charles, Zewei "Whiskey" Liao, Kaveri Chhikara, Dema Therese, Wan-Ting Liao, Catherine A. Gao, William F. Parker, Brett K. Beaulieu-Jones

Machine Learning

When Should Graph Attention Be Sparse? Learning a Per-Edge Tsallis Index

Graph attention normalizes neighborhood scores with softmax, the maximum-entropy choice under Shannon statistics. But homophilic and heterophilic graphs want different attention shapes, and one fixed normalization cannot serve both. We propose LTGA (Learnable Tsallis Graph Attention), a graph attention layer whose Tsallis entropic index $q$ is learned jointly with the weights, interpolating continuously between heavy-tailed ($q\!<\!1$), softmax ($q\!=\!1$) and compact-support ($q\!>\!1$) attention at four granularities from a global scalar to a per-edge index, under a bounded reparameterization that starts every model at the GAT baseline. Across eight benchmarks at ten seeds, LTGA-Edge takes the best average rank ($2.75$), but the omnibus test does not reject ($p\!=\!0.199$) and learning $q$ does not beat searching it: a validation-tuned frozen grid reaches $61.4\%$, tuned $\alpha$-entmax $62.2\%$ and a capacity-matched $q\!\equiv\!1$ control $62.0\%$, against $61.7\%$ for LTGA-Edge. What the learned index buys is one run instead of a grid, and an interpretable mechanism: where $q$ leaves $1$, it prunes $42\%$ of attention coefficients to exactly zero, and those edges are selectively the wrong ones, restoring them costs $7.1$ points, while random pruning at the same rate costs $13.0$ more. Project page: https://kleyt0n.github.io/ltga
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from eess.IV

ScoreField: Neural Inverse Scattering with Score-Based Generative Priors

Designing an effective electromagnetic inverse-scattering solver requires faithful enforcement of nonlinear full-wave physics together with an expressive prior on the unknown permittivity contrast. We propose ScoreField, a neural inverse scattering framework that integrates coupled implicit neural representations (INRs) with a pretrained score-based generative prior. ScoreField employs two INRs to parameterize the permittivity contrast and the induced current fields, and jointly optimize them under the Lippmann-Schwinger equations. In addition to the implicit regularization by the INR architecture, the score model provides a learned prior gradient on the contrast, which is propagated to the contrast INR through the chain rule. This formulation enables ScoreField to effectively handle strong multiple scattering, where nonlinear wave interactions require accurate modeling of the coupled full-wave physics. We evaluate ScoreField on simulated weak- and strong-scattering benchmarks, the canonical Austria phantom, and experimental Fresnel measurements. We note that ScoreField significantly improves reconstruction fidelity and suppresses artifacts relative to classical full-wave methods and deep learning baselines, achieving an average PSNR improvement of $1.8 \, \mathrm{dB}$ over the best competing method on real Fresnel data.
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Machine Learning

Forecasting Revenue with its Customer-Base Drivers: When and Why Coordination Helps

Revenue forecasts guide acquisition budgets, demand planning, and customer-based valuations, yet an aggregate forecast does not show whether change reflects acquisition, repeat purchasing, spending per order, or offsetting movements. Using weekly transaction panels for 966 companies in 25 industries, the authors develop the Customer-Based Multi-task Transformer (CBMT), which learns shared structure, retains separate primitive forecasts, and aligns their combination with downstream revenue. CBMT's mean total-sales error is 30% below the strongest representative established customer-base benchmark. It is also 2.65% below a Transformer that forecasts total sales directly, although the paired difference is not statistically significant (p=.222), and it beats separately estimated single-task forecasts for 74.3% of firms. CBMT's source MAE is lower in 23 of 24 benchmark-by-outcome comparisons, with the remaining difference not statistically distinguishable from zero. Firms whose primitives co-move more strongly are more likely to benefit from joint forecasting; selected-family scenario-3 comparisons are consistent with gains from shared representation and revenue alignment but remain diagnostic rather than causal. Accuracy deteriorates for all models when customer-base dynamics are highly volatile, and CBMT's advantage narrows there. Calibration-period routing rules do not improve average accuracy over always deploying CBMT. The results show how coordinated customer-base forecasts support revenue planning and when they warrant greater caution.
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Machine Learning

Bayesian Data Reweighting Improves Multimodal Retrieval for Knowledge-Based Visual Question Answering

Multimodal retrievers are essential for knowledge-based visual question answering, where they retrieve external evidence for image-question pairs. However, existing contrastive training methods typically treat all unmatched query-document pairs as equally informative negatives, which is problematic because many unmatched documents may still be semantically relevant or partially useful. We propose Bayesian Data Reweighting, a probabilistic framework that models query-document importance as latent variables and adaptively infers posterior weights to downweight likely false negatives. With closed-form posterior updates under conjugate priors and stochastic EM optimization, our method consistently improves retrieval accuracy across three retrievers and seven knowledge-based VQA benchmarks.
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All authors Jingchen Sun, Shaobo Han, Ruiyi Zhang, Naresh Kumar Devulapally, Ming Liu, Yitao Long, Vishnu Suresh Lokhande, Changyou Chen

Machine Learning

AnchorKV: Anchor-Residual KV Cache Compression

The key-value (KV) cache is the primary memory bottleneck in long-context LLM inference. Existing approaches attack it from opposite ends: eviction methods permanently discard tokens, degrading performance whenever a discarded token later proves essential, while quantization methods retain all tokens at low precision but offer limited compression. We propose AnchorKV, a compression scheme that shrinks the cache by $20\times$ without discarding a single token. AnchorKV represents the cache using a small set of anchors stored exactly, expresses every other token through its most similar anchor, and refines only those whose approximation most affects the model's output. AnchorKV consistently preserves accuracy across models and datasets, retaining 99% of the full-cache score at the 70B scale, while keeping the entire context at a fraction of its cost.
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All authors Malik Khalaf, Yara Shamshoum, Nitzan Hodos, Yuval Sieradzki, Assaf Schuster

Machine Learning

Robust Counterfactual Policy Optimisation via Nondeterministic Causal Models

Counterfactual inference approaches for sequential decision-making typically assume deterministic causal models, where all randomness stems from latent variables. However, Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) are inherently stochastic. We address this by formalising counterfactual policy optimisation under probabilistic nondeterministic causal models, which properly separates latent confounding from irreducible stochasticity, and here propose a first practical optimisation problem for identifying robust counterfactual policies under a sensitivity analysis framework. We validate our approach on a sepsis treatment simulator, where diabetes status acts as a hidden global confounder.
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All authors Jessica Lally, Milad Kazemi, Nicola Paoletti, David Watson, Sander Beckers

Machine Learning

Population-Robust Feature Selection via Generalized Welfare Optimization

Choosing which features to collect is a deployment decision: the same limited questionnaire, test panel, or sensor set may need to serve several heterogeneous populations. Standard feature-selection methods typically optimize for one large population, while existing robust approaches tend to learn one shared model for every population. We introduce PopFS, a method for learning one shared, deployable feature set that is robust to population differences while letting each pop- ulation train its own model. PopFS uses a tunable welfare objective that lets practitioners balance overall predictive ben- efit against stronger protection of the populations that benefit least. To make this objective practical at scale, PopFS first uses multitask sparse learning to reduce the candidate pool, then searches directly over hard feature sets by ranking promising additions and swaps and fully refitting only a shortlist. Across eight population splits from six prediction tasks drawn from five tabular and public-health datasets, PopFS consistently achieves strong average and worst-population performance while scaling to thousands of candidate features. A 43-state COVID-19 nowcasting study further shows that changing the welfare objective can improve the least-served states with lit- tle change in average performance and yields an interpretable change in the selected symptom signals. Our code is available at https://github.com/Rachel-Lyu/PopFS.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.IR

Field-Aware Agent Skill Retrieval

As lifelong learning agents accumulate lifelong growing skill banks, retrieving the correct skill becomes an increasingly important bottleneck. Most current skill retrieval methods treat each skill as one flat document by concatenating fields such as the name, description, and body. However, skills are naturally structured, multi-field objects, where each field provides different information about when and how the skill should be used. In this work, we study whether preserving this structure improves skill retrieval. We represent each skill as its separate components, and compute sparse and dense similarities for each field independently, exposing a naturally tensorized, field-aware representation of the skill bank. We then combine these field-level scores either with uniform weights or with a small learned MLP. Across two different skill retrieval benchmarks, SkillRet and SRA-Bench, we find that keeping fields separate improves hybrid retrieval, and learning over the field-level scores gives the strongest and most consistent results. Our field-aware MLP reaches $77.95$ Recall@10 on SkillRet and $83.78$ Recall@10 on SRA-Bench, outperforming the corresponding concatenated learned baselines. We also find that the advantage grows as the skill bank becomes larger, suggesting that field-aware skill retrieval becomes especially useful in the setting where retrieval is most difficult. Our results show that skill representation itself matters, and that simply preserving the structure already present in skill files can substantially improve retrieval.
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All authors Paimon Goulart, Liang Wu, Kelly Wan, Evangelos E. Papalexakis, Liangjie Hong

Machine Learning

GoT-CD: Graph-of-Thoughts Causal Discovery and the Fragility of Post-hoc Path-Specific Fairness Audits

Causal discovery recovers directed structure from observational data and is increasingly used in clinical settings to support mechanism reasoning and fairness audits of predictive models. Path-specific counterfactual fairness asks whether a protected attribute influences an outcome through illegitimate pathways, but these estimands are defined relative to a supplied causal graph and therefore inherit whatever errors the discovery step introduces. Discovery methods are routinely scored on aggregate structural metrics that weight all edges equally, and no established evaluation asks whether the specific pathway an audit depends on survives discovery—or what the audit reports when that pathway is missing. Here we show that full-graph Graph-of-Thoughts reasoning yields acyclic discovered graphs that are structurally competitive with large language model (LLM) baselines, yet that structural fidelity alone does not guarantee fairness-faithful audits. We introduce GoT-CD, in which the reasoning unit is a complete candidate edge set: multiple graphs are generated in parallel, scored by a deterministic validity function, and merged under a hard union constraint that forbids invented edges, with greedy projection enforcing a DAG before commitment. GoT-CD returns a valid DAG on all five reported benchmarks and achieves the best DAG-valid F1 score among LLM methods on Asia, Alzheimer's, and COVID-Respiratory datasets. On an Alzheimer's benchmark with known unfair path, a post-hoc path-specific audit shows that five of eight discovered graphs recover no path from the sensitive attribute to the outcome and therefore report a null overall effect while mediated effects persist, necessitating downstream path-specific fairness analysis along with structural discovery.
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All authors Nitish Nagesh, Elahe Khatibi, Thomas Dean Hughes, Mahdi Bagheri, Pratik Gajane, Amir M. Rahmani

Machine Learning

Maglev: Sliding Recurrent Memory

We introduce \ours{}, a recurrent Transformer architecture with fixed-size memory that generalizes sliding-window attention while remaining parallelizable during training. \ours{} consists of two coupled models: a prefiller $Q$, which leverages full attention\footnote{In practice, we use interleaved full and sliding-window attention for $Q$, as this yields stronger performance. The essential requirement is that $Q$ be more expressive than $P$, with access to the full history.} to produce memory targets $m'_t$, and a decoder $P$, which uses only sliding-window attention and recurrent K/V injection to produce decoder memories $m_t$ for next-token prediction. We train \ours{} with a memory consistency loss that aligns $m_t$ with $m'_t$, allowing inference to use $P$ alone. Empirically, \ours{} improves validation loss and downstream pretraining benchmarks over sliding-window and latent recurrent transformer baselines. Moreover, sharing parameters between $P$ and $Q$ reduces parameter memory while preserving most of the gains.
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Machine Learning

Contrast-invariant deep ptychography neural networks

Ptychography neural networks suffer from scaling inconsistencies when generalizing out of distribution, limiting their real world viability. We address this scaling mismatch using a factorization strategy which decouples the learned object texture from measurement scaling, enabling a single trained network to produce measurement-consistent reconstructions across varying illumination conditions. This requires predicting the learned object in real and imaginary units instead of the canonical amplitude and phase representation. We additionally introduce a synthetic object sampling strategy that minimizes phase distribution mismatch between synthetic training data and experimental targets. These improvements yield up to a 5x reduction in Fourier error over the previous PtychoPINN-torch baseline across 5 experimental datasets spanning multiple beamlines and facilities.
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All authors Albert Vong, Steven Henke, Oliver Hoidn, Hanna Ruth, Junjing Deng, Apurva Mehta, David Shapiro, Alexander Hexemer, Nicholas Schwarz

Machine Learning

Adaptive Sampling for Automated Post-Disaster Rapid Damage Assessment via Level-Set Cost-Aware Bayesian Optimization

Natural disasters frequently inflict severe damage to the built environment, which demands a rapid, reliable, and cost-effective damage assessment for emergency response. However, traditional methods for post-disaster damage assessment often rely on static, labor-intensive data collection strategies that can be prohibitively expensive and struggle to adapt to dynamic post-disaster conditions. In this study, we propose a cost-aware Bayesian optimization framework combined with level-set estimation that continuously guides autonomous data collectors, e.g., an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV), toward the most informative regions. By dynamically updating damage estimates across different geographic zones, our approach systematically reduces uncertainty while minimizing operational costs. The proposed framework is first validated using a controlled synthetic toy study, demonstrating the agent's ability to efficiently trace damage boundaries, recover the underlying damage map, and rapidly reduce predictive uncertainty. Furthermore, the approach is evaluated using high-fidelity disaster data generated by the Regional Resilience Determination (R2D) software. The results of the algorithm provide accurate and timely damage estimates that support informative and fast emergency response.
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All authors Boyang Xu, Mostafa Reisi Gahrooei, Mohammad Ilbeigi, Hao Yan

Machine Learning

NOMADD: Numerical Optimization of Models Adapting to Data Drift

Tabular model performance degrades when feature distributions change over time or the relationship between features and outcome variables change over time, known as data drift and concept drift, respectively. These issues are challenging to mitigate in real time because labeled data may not be immediately available, or re-training a model could be impractical. While tools exist to reduce drift, they are typically bespoke to neural network architectures and adapt how models are trained. In this paper, we offer an alternative post-hoc method to reduce concept drift, which is applicable to a variety of models, from trees to neural networks to tabular foundation models. This new tool is especially useful when constraints, such as high model accuracy, bounded inference time, or model size requires users to choose between different models for their specific use-cases. Our algorithm fits the base model separately on each labeled training period, measures how its parameters evolve against a single anchor model pooled over all of those periods, compresses those changes with a low-rank factorization, and extrapolates each latent factor forward with a damped, regularized forecast. On the 18-dataset Drift-Resilient TabPFN benchmark, evaluated under that benchmark's own protocol and metric, the extrapolation improves every base family it is applied to, and achieves performance competitive with the state-of-the-art Drift-Resilient TabPFN with seconds of training. In contrast, Drift-Resilient TabPFN requires pre-training on millions of synthetic datasets over approximately 1,300 GPU-hours, and is orders of magnitude slower in inference (depending on the model). In the discussion, we explore the promise and challenges of extending this tool to other modalities.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML

Particle-based Generalised Stochastic Optimisation

We develop a class of general diffusion-based stochastic particle optimisation methods for loss functions with intractable gradients. Specifically, we consider problems in which the loss gradient is an integral with respect to a parameter-dependent distribution, a structure that includes training generative models, fine-tuning, and learning latent-variable models. We introduce mean-field dynamics and its interacting-particle approximations, which contain several existing algorithms as special cases and provide a route to constructing new methods. Under well-posedness and joint contractivity assumptions, we prove exponential convergence and show that the continuous-time particle system admits a non-asymptotic error bound. We illustrate our framework by developing higher-order Langevin and momentum optimisers and evaluating them on maximum marginal-likelihood estimation and energy-based-model training.
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Machine Learning

Wiring Beats Blending: Structure-Aware Compensation for Transformer Downscaling

Model families are trained size by size. Can a pretrained large model instead be converted into a smaller sibling? We characterize the 1.4B->410M conversion in Pythia end to end. Representations align strongly across sizes (ridge R^2=0.84); parameters align weakly. Dense weight projection is destructive; a bit-exact control places the fault in basis mixing, which breaks rotary, per-head, GELU, and LayerNorm structure. Residuals after the best-fit linear operator carry no learnable or transferable signal under shuffle controls, so conversion value lives in initialization. Matched-budget continued pre-training separates two independent levers, least-squares compensation (function lever, best zero-shot) and variance-preserving rescale (dynamics lever, best endpoints), with a placement rule read off the architecture: compensation is well-posed exactly where no normalization sits between cut and read; norm-fronted paths take rescale. At 30M tokens compensation beats the best subcloning variant on a width-reduced pair (84.6+-2.1 vs. 90.7+-3.8, 6/6 seeds) and a held-out depth-reduced pair (109.3 vs. 117.9, 3/3 seeds); the two reach parity at 33x the budget, and at ~5x the donor scale the levers anti-synergize. A second family, Qwen3-1.7B->0.6B (RMSNorm, SwiGLU, grouped-query attention), takes the placement rule unchanged but reverses a 2x2 crossing the re-fit with the activation statistic it reads: on Pythia the re-fit carries the gain and the statistic adds 2.3 perplexity; on Qwen3, with far more heterogeneous MLP unit energies, the statistic carries 66 points and the re-fit is a null on top. Informed selection + compensation + rescale is the best arm in both families, 19x and 23x lower perplexity than from scratch at matched budget (2.94 and 3.13 nats), and beats structured pruning plus distillation. Code, checkpoints, and the frozen eval corpus are released.
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2608.02829 · 3 Aug · v5: second architecture family (Qwen3-1.7B-Base -> 0.6B-Base) with the 2x2 selection-statistic result reversing across families; headline pair at six seeds; plain-selection baseline at the 6.9B->1.4B scale pair; CKA calibration; Proposition 1; positioning vs GRAIL/SliceGPT; descriptive arm names; code and checkpoints at the linked repositories. 25 pages, 5 figures, 22 tables

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from quant-ph

Improved Quantum Algorithms for Reinforcement Learning Under a Generative Model

Reinforcement learning is a subfield of machine learning that studies how an agent interacts with an environment in order to extract as large a reward as possible. A standard approach to study such interaction is through Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) and the task of choosing an optimal policy — a function that tells the agent which action to take. In this work, we study two types of MDPs — finite-horizon and infinite-horizon discounted — and propose new quantum algorithms for computing approximate optimal policies. Our quantum algorithms are based on a new combination of standard value iteration and quantum subroutines like quantum mean estimation and quantum maximum finding, overall enhanced with techniques from sample-optimal classical algorithms. Our resulting query complexities improve upon previous works, thus approaching already established quantum lower bounds.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CR

Evading Chain-of-Thought Monitoring Through Model Poisoning

Chain-of-thought (CoT) monitoring is an increasingly important component of AI safety stacks but relies on the assumption that a model's reasoning trace is informative about its actions. This work studies the limits of CoT monitoring through the lens of model poisoning. We demonstrate that backdoors can be implanted into reasoning models to elicit an attacker-chosen behavior while their CoT traces appear entirely benign. We find that these CoT-Hidden backdoors can be induced through simple fine-tuning recipes across reasoning-model architectures and sizes. When direct poisoning is ineffective, we introduce a curriculum training approach that progressively teaches the model to produce an attacker-chosen output while concealing the behavior from its reasoning traces. These findings suggest that CoT monitoring may be better framed as a question about the consistency between a model's reasoning trace and its final response than as anomaly detection within a trace. We further examine the mechanisms that allow models to suppress evidence of the target behavior from their reasoning traces. Causal interventions locate a trigger-conditioned activation pathway that does not depend on the visible reasoning, and residual stream verbalizations provide an anomaly warning near answer generation, but do not identify the trigger, target, or backdoor mechanism.
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All authors Giorgio Severi, Shujaat Mirza, Blake Bullwinkel, Amanda Minnich