Machine Learning
Papers
Fresh from arXiv, typeset properly. Highlighted words trade on the market.
Friday 2 October
Post-training a large language model (LLM) often requires exploring trade-offs between multiple rewards, but retraining for each trade-off is expensive. Decoding-time policy composition allows these trade-offs to be adjusted by combining reward-specific policies at inference time. This composition targets a weighted product of the policies' probabilities over complete responses, but standard implementations combine their next-token probabilities, generally introducing sampling bias. We analyze a known iterative correction based on independence Metropolis-Hastings (MH). Our main result shows that, for every rollout budget, MH produces an output distribution at least as close to the target as sampling-importance-resampling (SIR) with the same budget, as measured by every convex f-divergence. We also derive a lower bound on MH's improvement over the uncorrected decoder in a consensus objective measuring agreement with the supplied policies. We further characterize the correction's sampling error in two asymptotic regimes: when the reward-specific policies approach agreement, and when the log ratio between target and uncorrected-decoder probabilities fluctuates increasingly widely, as can happen for long responses. We complement our analysis with experiments in enumerable and LLM-scale settings.
Robotics
MobiAgent: Dual-Loop Recursive Policy Self-Improvement for Long-Horizon Mobile Manipulation
Long-horizon mobile manipulation presents significant challenges due to compounding execution errors and capacity interference between locomotion and arm control. While recent Vision-Language-Action models excel at short-horizon tasks, they lack the hierarchical reasoning required for multi-stage objectives. Furthermore, existing hierarchical agents suffer from rigid sub-task mapping, inflexible replanning, and a lack of continuous learning. To address these limitations, we introduce MobiAgent, a dual-loop agentic framework that bridges robust deployment execution and recursive policy self-improvement. During deployment, the Inner Loop decouples high-level reasoning from low-level control through highly composable atomic skills. It employs Vision-Language models for receding-horizon planning and visual reflection, dynamically composing skills to ensure robust error recovery. These skills are executed by specialized flow-matching experts that share a unified VLM backbone, maximizing reusability while mitigating capacity interference. Concurrently, the Outer Loop drives automated lifelong learning by autonomously segmenting and verifying deployment rollouts, clustering them to discover atomic skills, and continuously fine-tuning the skill library without human annotations. Evaluations on RoboCasa, BEHAVIOR-1K, and real-world tasks demonstrate the effectiveness of MobiAgent. It outperforms $\pi_{0.5}$-TA by 22.5 percentage points on BEHAVIOR-1K and enables robust recovery from execution failures. Through autonomous data recycling, success improves from 7.50% to 27.50% on RoboCasa and from 32.5% to 57.5% on Astribot S1.
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Machine Learning
Single or Multiple Policies for Phase-Structured Reinforcement Learning?
Many reinforcement-learning (RL) problems are non-stationary yet structured and can be decomposed into phases, each with its own transition probabilities and reward functions. When the phase sequence is known, the common solution augments the state with information to satisfy the Markovian property and applies standard RL techniques. However, prior work finds that the multi-policy approach for different phases can outperform a single state-augmented policy shared among the phases, for reasons that remain unclear. In this work, we first show that the shared policy can theoretically achieve performance of any multi-policy solution. However, whether a multi-policy solution can perform better than the corresponding single shared policy in practice depends on function approximation, learning and optimization processes, as well as, for multi-policy solutions, the sample efficiency and loss of continuity from one policy to another. We propose a regime-based phase decomposition method to identify which policy can provide better performance. The method is based on consideration of the duration of transient system dynamics relative to the duration of the quasi-stationary period. Numerical experiments are conducted with different non-stationary RL problems to validate our four major hypotheses: (a) longer phase durations favor multi-policies, (b) the heterogeneity between phases increases the burden on single policy, (c) multi-policies need sufficient data for each phase, and (d) environment-specific transition dynamics between phases can affect which policy is preferable.
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Computer Vision
Fed-ADApt: Federated Anytime Depth Adaptation for Resource-Aware Medical Image Segmentation
Federated learning (FL) enables collaborative training of medical image segmentation models without sharing raw patient data, yet existing approaches assume a homogeneous compute budget across institutions, limiting participation of low-resource sites. We propose Fed-ADApt, a depth-adaptive federated framework for UNet-based segmentation that jointly addresses low-compute training and inference. Fed-ADApt integrates multi-depth supervision with hierarchical depth-wise aggregation, allowing each site to train according to its local compute budget while contributing to a global model that supports dynamic depth selection at deployment. We evaluated Fed-ADApt on multi-site 2D retinal fundus disc segmentation and 3D brain tumor segmentation. Across both tasks, federated collaboration substantially improves robustness under domain shift. Fed-ADApt matched the full-resource FedAvg performance in 3D and achieved competitive 2D performance with a 4.7% average Dice reduction, while reducing average inference cost by 19.5% in 3D and 34.5% in 2D and substantially reducing training cost by 98% at the most constrained sites. Importantly, Fed-ADApt enables low-resource institutions that cannot train full-capacity models to participate in federations while maintaining competitive global performance under a favorable accuracy to efficiency trade-off. By considering training and inference compute budgets, Fed-ADApt provides a practical and equitable solution for federated medical image segmentation across heterogeneous clinical and edge-enabled imaging environments.
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Computer Vision
UniDynamics: Event-RGB Fusion for Unified Future 4D Dynamic Scene Generation
We propose UniDynamics, a diffusion-based framework for future 4D dynamic scenes (RGB, depth, and optical flow) generation from a single event-RGB pair, without requiring long histories or control priors as in existing methods, while explicitly modeling future motion fields. The core idea is to leverage event streams to offer an alternative motion prior for single-RGB extrapolation, and to enforce geometric and motion constraints throughout generation via multimodal modeling. Specifically, we design an Event Latent Enhancement (ELE) module to align and enhance event latents into diffusion-injectable conditioning features, providing robust initial motion priors and reliable texture/structure cues. We further introduce a Perceptual Dynamics Space (PDS) embedded in the multi-scale U-Net, which decouples and adaptively interacts depth and flow while continuously feeding back constraints to appearance features, improving geometric-motion consistency for physically plausible and spatiotemporally coherent prediction. Experiments on VKitti2 and DSEC demonstrate state-of-the-art performance, producing high-quality, temporally coherent, and 4D-consistent future predictions, especially under challenging high-speed motion blur.
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Cryptography and Security
CorrectGuard: Eyes-Off Correctness Estimation for Black-Box Security Guardrails
AI services increasingly rely on black-box security guardrails, yet privacy-preserving model auditing regimes often cannot measure how well these systems perform in both a human eyes-off production setting, which disallows human inspection of user input, and a machine eyes-off setting, which disallows model inspection of such input. We introduce CorrectGuard, an eyes-off correctness estimation framework for both settings, which involves an independent model-based evaluator predicting whether guardrail decisions on human- and machine-inaccessible inputs are correct using only labeled eyes-on data and without access to the guardrail's internals. We evaluate in-context learning, embedding, and finetuning-based correctness models under leave-one-dataset-out evaluation across 13 safety and security datasets spanning harmful content, jailbreaks, prompt injection, and extraction, and across open-weight guardrails treated uniformly as black boxes. Across both human and machine eyes-off settings (the latter implemented using privacy-preserving fingerprinting of inputs), in-context-learning-based correctness classifiers substantially improve error identification across guardrails, achieving up to a 25 percentage-point increase in macro accuracy, as do finetuning-based approaches which provide a nearly 15-point boost, although performance varies sharply across guardrails and held-out datasets. Correctness scores also support guardrail decision ranking and abstention: across 3 guardrails, the best correctness rankings reduce AURC from unranked baselines of 0.33-0.44 to 0.17-0.22, while the best operating points retain 37.5-52.0% of guardrail decisions at 15% observed risk. These results show that external correctness models can expose systematic failures and support guardrail decision abstention without privileged access to the guardrail.
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Computer Vision
A Vision-Language Model (VLM)-based Pipeline for End-to-End Procedural Modeling of Field-Grown Maize from Point Clouds
Editable 3D models of field-grown crops support high-throughput phenotyping and in silico breeding trials, but building them from scanned point clouds requires organ-level segmentation and fitting. Procedural generators can turn an organ-level parameter set into an analysis-suitable 3D model, but obtaining that set requires hours of manual tuning per plant or segmentation models trained on species-specific labels. We present an automated pipeline that reconstructs procedural maize models from raw 3D point clouds without manual tuning or species-specific training data. A multimodal vision-language model (VLM) annotates leaf midlines in rendered orthographic views. Deterministic geometric algorithms back-project the annotations onto the point cloud, merge them into 3D leaves by cross-view consensus, and grow the midlines to full blades on an orientation-weighted surface graph. Measured organ parameters populate a plant descriptor for a Non-Uniform Rational B-Spline (NURBS)-based procedural model generator. Each leaf surface is then refined against its scan points by differentiable NURBS fitting. The pipeline reached a median whole-plant Chamfer distance of 5.4 mm on 100 genotypically diverse field-grown maize plants from the MaizeField3D dataset. The reconstructions were closer to the scans than those of an earlier semi-automated pipeline based on manual annotations. The pipeline recovered 1,017 of 1,023 (99.4%) curated reference leaves at an intersection-over-union of at least 0.5 without using those labels as input. These results show that VLM annotations become usable organ-level measurements when downstream geometric stages can correct them. This makes automated generation of editable 3D plant assets feasible at the scale of modern phenotyping experiments.
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Computer Vision
Preserving Anatomical Continuity: Three-Stage Pipeline for Colon Segmentation in 3D Abdominal CT Scans
Accurate colon segmentation from CT images is essential for colorectal disease analysis, yet deep learning based methods often produce disconnected predictions due to complex anatomy. This study introduces a three-stage, topology-preserving segmentation pipeline to address this issue. The first stage performs initial deep learning-based segmentation, followed by centreline bridging to reconnect disjoint regions and a reconstruction stage to refine continuity. Evaluations on TotalSegmentator and RAOS datasets using overlap, distance and topology-based metrics demonstrate improved structural consistency while maintaining segmentation accuracy. The proposed method enhances topological integrity, enabling more reliable colon segmentation for clinical and research applications.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML
When Is Accuracy Evidence? A Unified Theory of Generalisation, Validation, and Information Fusion
K-fold cross-validation (CV) is widely used as evidence of out-of-sample performance, although folds are neither independent experiments nor equally informative under heterogeneous data. Cross Upper-Bound Validation (CUBV) replaces point-wise CV accuracy by conservative upper bounds on true risk. Here we generalise CUBV through a single exponential framework in which the moment-generating function of the generalisation gap is controlled by a cumulant envelope gamma(lambda). This yields a family of risk bounds covering Hoeffding-, Bernstein-, dependency-aware, PAC-Bayesian, and heterogeneous source-fusion settings. For K-fold CV, dependence between fold-wise gaps is modelled through a joint sub-Gaussian proxy matrix. Under equicorrelation, this gives an effective number of folds, Keff = K/[1+(K-1)rho], showing that increasing K does not necessarily increase statistical evidence when folds are strongly dependent. The framework is also extended to posterior distributions over predictors and weighted multi-source fusion, where weights are selected by minimising an upper bound on future risk rather than empirical error alone. Experiments with trained linear classifiers on heterogeneous multimodal Gaussian mixtures compare K-fold CV with full-sample resubstitution plus risk correction. Bounds are evaluated by coverage and tightness. In low-dimensional small-sample settings, K-fold partitioning can increase uncertainty because individual folds under-represent minority modes, while corrected resubstitution can remain valid and tighter; this effect disappears as sample size increases. Overall, gamma-CUBV separates observed performance, uncertainty, dependence, model complexity, and confidence into explicit terms, providing a unified route from CV scores to risk statements and a principled validation criterion for heterogeneous small-sample applications such as neuroimaging.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from quant-ph
Generalization of Transformer-Based Neural Quantum States via In-Context Learning
Neural quantum states based on modern deep learning architectures have emerged as powerful representations for quantum many-body systems. In particular, Transformer-based neural quantum states provide expressive models capable of capturing long-range correlations, and their empirical generalization performance has recently been demonstrated. However, a theoretical understanding of their generalization behavior remains largely unexplored. In this paper, we develop a theoretical framework to analyze the generalization properties of Transformer-based neural quantum states under in-context learning. We establish a rigorous inference-time generalization error bound in terms of mean squared error (MSE), showing that the pointwise prediction error decreases inversely with both the number of in-context examples and the depth of the Transformer. We further show that the Transformer depth required to achieve this guarantee scales only linearly with the system size–namely, the number of particles in continuous systems or the number of qudits in discrete systems. Building on this result, we extend our analysis to full quantum states formulated as rank-one density operators, and derive MSE-based generalization bounds over both continuous and discrete domains under physical constraints. Finally, numerical simulations corroborate our theoretical analysis.
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Information Theory
Code distances of matrix rank-metric codes under Add-and-Remove transformations
For a matrix rank-metric code $\mathcal{C}$ and an integer $i$, the $i$-th subcode distance of $\mathcal{C}$ is the largest minimum rank distance of an $i$-dimensional subcode of $\mathcal{C}$. We study how subcode distances change under the Add-and-Remove construction, in which a subcode of codimension $\ell_s$ is kept and a space of dimension $\ell_a$ is added; this construction is used, with Gabidulin codes, in the $\mathsf{MIRANDA}$ signature scheme. For arbitrary matrix codes, we give inequalities between the subcode distances of the original and of the new code, and we show that Delsarte duality interchanges $\ell_s$ and $\ell_a$. For matrix Gabidulin codes, whose subcode distances are given by an explicit formula, we show that, if $\ell_s<\max\{m,n\}$, then within each block of indices $(a-1)\max\{m,n\}+1,\ldots,a\max\{m,n\}$ not exceeding $\dim_{\mathbb{F}_q}(\mathcal{C}_s)$, all but the last $\ell_s$ subcode distances are the same as for the Gabidulin code, and the remaining ones decrease by at most one; a small example shows that such a decrease can occur. We also express the minimum distance of the new code in terms of the rank distance between the added space and the common subcode. For $\mathsf{MIRANDA}$, the lower bound on the minimum distance of the dual public code used by the known distinguisher when $\ell_s=0$ is a special case of these results; for the proposed parameters, where $\ell_s>0$, the same bound holds for a subcode of codimension $\ell_s$ of the dual public code.
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Artificial Intelligence
A Near-Zero Monitor Readout Is Not Evidence of Behavioral Control
Post-training with verifiable rewards can induce reward hacking, motivating the use of monitors within the training objective rather than solely for offline auditing. We show that a low monitor readout does not identify whether such an intervention controls behavior. In a code-generation environment whose dominant exploit is available at the start of the reasoning trace, we train policies against three monitors that pass the same offline gate: an in-domain activation probe and two penalties conditioned on how early the policy commits to its own final answer. The probe score is at its numerical floor from the first recorded training step, and the trained-score median is zero for every prefix-trained run at the endpoint. These readouts estimate different quantities, and we do not compare their scales; within each monitor family, however, low values do not establish behavioral control. Within one fixed configuration, prefix-trained runs with the same zero-median trained score range, by seed alone, from a mixed regime with a low hacking share to near-pure reward hacking. All probe runs reach the hacking regime, but their floor-level readout reflects a mismatch between the position where the probe was validated and the position where it was read during training, not a second instance of this ambiguity. Text-level analysis identifies a prefix failure mode: generic planning and filler shells postpone the exploit past the cut without eliminating it from the final output. Low measured commitment therefore does not distinguish a low hacking share from delayed commitment to the exploit. Offline discrimination and low monitor-aligned readouts are insufficient evidence of behavioral control; an out-of-band behavioral check is required. We characterize the endpoint readout, not its evolution. Code is available at https://github.com/zhezhou1106/spoof-cost.
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Distributed Computing
Cross-Facility LLM Pre-training on HPC: Elastic Aggregation, Data Leasing, and Queue-Aware Placement
Academic compute is fragmented: allocations are granted per facility, and facilities differ in accelerators and software stacks, schedule jobs independently, and share neither a network nor a filesystem. We present a system that pools such allocations to pre-train a single language model across three supercomputers on two continents, up to 7,400km apart: Snellius (NVIDIA H100), LUMI and Frontier (both AMD MI250X). It combines (i) DiLoCo-style two-loop training with an elastic, token-weighted Nesterov outer step for which zero, one or many live sites are all normal states; (ii) DARL, a data-leasing protocol whose heartbeat-backed leases guarantee that, within an epoch, no sample is trained twice or lost under crashes, late joins and work stealing; and (iii) queue-aware placement driven by unprivileged sbatch –test-only probes. Training Qwen3-0.6B on C4 for 20,000 optimizer steps, the three-site run reaches a held-out perplexity of 34.7, against 28.2 for a centralised baseline. Per-round overhead (weight exchange and checkpointing) stays near 110 s regardless of the number of local steps H, so its share of wall-clock time falls from 32% at H=100 to 5.7% at H=1,000 and 3.1% at H=2,000. In a 23.8 h three-site run with four site departures, 1.2% of granted data blocks were reclaimed and none was duplicated or lost. In an idealized queue-model projection, queue-aware placement shortens time-to-target by 18-43% compared with waiting for all sites to be allocated. Cross-site pre-training is thus operational rather than competitive: it turns fragmented allocations into one training run at a measured cost.
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Machine Learning
Beyond Random Splits: Evaluating Drug-Target Affinity Models Under Chemically and Biologically Motivated Distribution Shifts Copy
Drug-target affinity (DTA) prediction is widely used to prioritize candidate compounds before costly experimental screening. DTA models are often compared under a single data split, even though deployment may require extrapolation to new chemical series, new protein targets, or both. We ask whether the distribution shift used for evaluation changes which architecture appears best. We curate 718,800 unique drug-protein pairs from the ChEMBL and BindingDB datasets. We compare a Morgan-fingerprint + protein-CNN baseline with 12 controlled architectures that combine four drug representations with three ESM-2 interaction modes. Mean validation RMSE increases from 0.950 and 0.945 under scaffold and fingerprint-cluster OOD to 1.299 and 1.321 under protein-cluster and dual OOD. Model rankings are similar across the two chemical shifts (tau = 0.79), but agreement with scaffold OOD falls under protein OOD (tau = 0.39) and reverses under dual OOD (tau = -0.55). Held-out evaluation, repeated seeds, group-aware bootstrap analysis, and a size-matched control support the same conclusion: architecture selection depends on the form of extrapolation, not only on average error or training-set size. DTA benchmarks should therefore match the chemical and target shifts expected at deployment.
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Machine Learning
Measure Less, Know More: Self-Supervised Test-Time Feature Acquisition
Recent progress in multimodal, high-dimensional learning has enabled foundation models to process heterogeneous, large-scale data. However, at test time, acquiring all features or modalities can be prohibitively costly and often redundant. Sequentially selecting informative modalities is therefore critical, yet challenging when the downstream task or prediction target is unknown. To this end, we introduce ECHO-$k$, a task-agnostic and self-supervised learning principle for modality acquisition: we use a deep model's internal pretrained representations (e.g., from a foundation model) as proxy targets that summarize cross-modal information. We provide theoretical guarantees in a stylized linear setting that motivate a reinforcement learning (RL) policy for sequential modality selection. Across task-agnostic and label-free acquisition baselines, ECHO-$k$ consistently improves budgeted downstream performance across diverse foundation-model backends. Our method provides a principled route to cost-aware test-time deployment, with implications for any multimodal system where measurements are expensive or time-constrained, and downstream tasks unknown a priori.
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Robotics
I2CD: Direct Image-to-Convex Decomposition for Simulation-Ready Collision Geometry
Physics simulators and motion planners require convex collision geometry, yet image-to-3D generative models output dense, frequently non-manifold visual meshes. Bridging the two today takes a slow, brittle reconstruct-then-decompose pipeline of repair, decimation, and approximate convex decomposition. We present I2CD, which predicts a convex decomposition directly from a single RGB image. Rather than train a new image-to-3D model, I2CD freezes the pretrained Hunyuan3D-2 image-conditioned diffusion transformer and shape decoder and trains only a lightweight cross-attention head (38M parameters, under ten GPU-hours) whose learned "convex-slot" tokens emit the halfplane parameters of $K$ convex polytopes. The output is compact, convex by construction, and loads into physics engines without any post-processing, in ${\sim}0.5$s per image. On $227$ held-out OmniObject3D and Google Scanned Objects instances, I2CD attains the highest volumetric IoU among eight reconstruct-then-decompose pipelines while running $6$-$37\times$ faster end-to-end. In a cross-simulator study in MuJoCo, PyBullet, Genesis, and Isaac Sim, every engine uses I2CD geometry as delivered, whereas raw generated meshes "load" everywhere but are silently replaced by a different collision shape in most cases or need seconds to minutes of per-object preprocessing. On a physical xArm7, I2CD produces planner-ready geometry for a $20$-object cluttered scene in $11$s versus $328$s for the strongest baseline, at comparable pick-and-place execution success ($85$ vs. $90$ of $100$ trials).
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Machine Learning
Causal Representation Learning with Instantaneous and Lagged Relations via Nonstationarity
Causal representation learning for time-series data aims to identify latent states and their causal relations from observations. In this setting, an important challenge is to model both lagged causal relations across observation intervals and faster causal effects that appear as instantaneous relations within an interval, while accounting for nonstationarity in time-series data. However, methods that jointly handle these causal relations and nonstationarity remain limited. To address this gap, we establish sufficient conditions for identifying latent states up to component permutation and component-wise invertible transformations, and their instantaneous and lagged causal structures up to the same permutation, using an observed auxiliary variable, such as time or a condition label, associated with changes in transition-noise distributions. Based on these results, we propose iCReN, a framework that uses contrastive learning with discrete or continuous auxiliary variables to learn latent representations and estimate their instantaneous and lagged causal structures. Experiments demonstrate accurate recovery of latent states and both instantaneous and lagged causal structures on synthetic data and the utility of the learned representations for downstream forecasting on real-world data.
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Computational Geometry
Point and Line Nearest-Neighbor Searching in 3-Space
This paper presents data structures for nearest-neighbor (NN) searching problems involving points, lines, segments, and triangles in 3-space, achieving significantly better performance than the previously best-known results for these problems. For example, we present a linear-size data structure for answering NN queries with lines or segments amid $n$ points in 3-space with $O^*(n^{1/2})$ query time (where the $O^*(\cdot)$ notation hides subpolynomial factors). We also present a data structure of $O^*(n^4)$ size that answers such queries in $O^*(1)$ time. For the converse problem, in which we seek the nearest neighbor of a query point amid $n$ lines, segments, or triangles in 3-space, we present a linear-size data structure with $O^*(n^{2/3})$ query time. These results constitute a significant improvement over previous solutions. We obtain improved solutions for the two extreme regimes of (near-)linear storage and of fast query time. These results also yield trade-off bounds between the query time and the size of the data structure. Our results rely on several combinatorial and algorithmic results on arrangements of surfaces in 3-space and 4-space, particularly on recent results on vertical decompositions of substructures in such arrangements established by the authors.
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Cryptography and Security
Passing the Test You Trained On: Re-evaluating Prompt-Injection Detectors for LLM Agents
LLM agents increasingly screen tool outputs with small prompt-injection detectors, and teams choose among detectors by their scores on public benchmarks. We ask whether those scores predict how a detector behaves inside an agent. We replay the ground-truth tool calls of two agent benchmarks, AgentDojo and tau-bench, without an LLM to obtain tool outputs that are benign by construction, label injected outputs by differential replay, and evaluate fifteen detectors, including Meta's Prompt Guard 2, and two task-aware LLM judges on these outputs and on the BIPIA benchmark. Detection rankings transfer poorly between benchmarks: the best detector on BIPIA catches 2% of AgentDojo injections at a 1% false-positive rate, and a detector that catches 72% of AgentDojo injections catches 15% on tau-bench. False-positive rates on tool outputs, which range from none to over 90%, do transfer between the two agent benchmarks. Where training data is public, the form of the training inputs explains the results. The BIPIA leader was trained on full BIPIA inputs, but having seen InjecAgent's attack strings as short prompts does not help it find them inside tool outputs; the best detector on both agent benchmarks shares no data with any benchmark and was trained on agent-style inputs. Evaluations meant to inform deployment should use the agent's own tool outputs, report detection at a low false-positive rate, and audit what the detector was trained on.
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Computer Vision
Corrupted but Correct: Why Vision-Language Models Lie to Themselves Internally
A targeted adversarial perturbation can drive a vision-language model's (VLM's) teacher-forced training loss for a fixed target caption to near zero, yet the same model, allowed to generate freely, produces the original, correct description with no trace of the target. We call this dissociation the train/inference gap, and give it a precise mechanistic account on Qwen2.5-VL-7B-Instruct using a controlled two-stage PGD attack on 200 held-out COCO images. First, we show that image-level pixel statistics, including a correctly re-implemented, texture-based attackability measure from the CNN robustness literature, have essentially no predictive power over which images are corrupted (best predictor r=-0.050, p=0.484; ridge regression R^2=0.069). Second, using the logit lens, we localise the gap to a single autoregressive step: the rank of the target token, conditioned on the correct first token already being generated, is fixed at exactly 3,488 out of 152,064 vocabulary entries for every image and every condition, with zero variance. Third, tracking target-token rank across all 28 LLM decoder layers reveals that the visual encoder corrupts every image's representation by a comparable margin regardless of eventual outcome, but the language model decoder then differentially arbitrates: amplifying the corrupted signal for susceptible images and actively suppressing it, past its clean-image baseline, for resistant ones (p<0.001, rank-biserial r=0.579). A linear probe on the merger hidden state separates these two outcomes with AUC=0.858, though we flag a circularity concern in this estimate. Together these results argue that adversarial robustness in autoregressive VLMs is substantially a property of the language decoder's prior, not the visual encoder, with direct implications for where faithfulness evaluations and defenses for deployed VLM systems should be targeted.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from physics.chem-ph
Electronic Density versus Geometry for Machine-Learned Molecular Absorption Spectra
Molecular optical absorption spectroscopy provides a direct probe of electronic structure and is widely used for molecular identification, interpretation of photophysical behaviour, and planning of spectroscopy experiments. Calculating the absorption spectra using first-principle excited-state methods, however, is computationally demanding, at least compared to ground-state calculations, which limits their routine application across large molecular sets. Machine-learning (ML) surrogates can reduce this cost and allow rapid spectral prediction. However, their performance depends strongly on how molecular information is represented. Here, we compare using the ground-state electron density versus the molecular geometry as inputs to a ML model for predicting absorption spectra, for a training set of 6874 molecules selected from the QM7 dataset. For each of these molecules, the density was calculated using density functional theory (DFT) and the absorption spectrum was calculated using linear-response (LR) time-dependent DFT (TDDFT). Utilizing the ground-state density as the input to the ML model is motivated by the Hohenberg-Kohn and Runge-Gross theorems, and the fact that the ground-state density encodes information about bonding, charge localisation, and electronic delocalisation. Hence, it may be a more judicious starting point for the ML model compared to the geometry, as it effectively decouples the chemistry of the ground-state. The question we test is whether the benefits of using the density outweigh the (notprohibitive) penalty of requiring an additional single-point DFT calculation for the density. We find that the density-based convolutional neural network achieves a validation correlation of 0.9926, compared with 0.9795 for the best geometry-based graph model, reducing the residual decorrelation, by approximately 64%.
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Digital Libraries
Still funded, no longer counted: how NIH's 2025 award reviews changed what the government counts as minority health research
Funders know their portfolios through software that classifies award text. The US National Institutes of Health (NIH) reports its spending in more than 300 categories mined this way, and work on classification and indicators treats the text as the applicant's to write. In 2025 NIH required "DEI language" removed from awards not supporting DEI activities, and so policed the words it also counts. We followed population names through 37,790 continuing awards, checking them against practice records. Names were informative: in new awards with trial baselines, a title naming Black populations predicted a 60-percentage-point higher enrolled share. Text features predicted which names survived, and practice records added little. NIH's minority health category followed the names: of continuing projects carrying it, 99.4% with unchanged summaries kept it, against 15.7% of those whose summaries no longer named a racial or ethnic population, while the projects kept their funding. Blinded reviewers judged 42 of a random 50 such losses to have met its definition in FY2024. Comparing both summaries of 70 name losses, they found aims concerning the population recast in 49. Read alone, 63 FY2025 summaries no longer met the definition. Awards naming sexual and gender minorities were recorded as terminated 37.8 points more often after adjustment for listed terms, institute and activity. We call the mechanism word targeting, its boundary population targeting, and its product uncounted science: funded research the count no longer records. The count followed the edited text, and the edited record cannot say whether the research changed with it.
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Computer Vision
ChromaGS: Text-Driven Semantic Editing of 4D Gaussian Avatars
We present ChromaGS, a method for real-time, language-guided color editing of animatable 3D Gaussian head avatars. Given a trained animatable avatar, users can instantly modify the color of semantic regions through natural language, with edits applied at render time and no retraining required. Our key insight is to augment each Gaussian primitive with learned soft assignments to semantic regions and decompose colors into region-level base colors and Gaussian-level residuals. This decomposition enables coherent color transfer: modifying a region's base color propagates naturally through all associated Gaussians while preserving fine appearance details encoded in residuals. A two-stage language pipeline translates text instructions into target colors, supporting both absolute specifications and relative adjustments. Unlike generative editing methods that may introduce unintended modifications, our approach provides deterministic, precisely localized semantic control. Experiments demonstrate faithful appearance preservation and intuitive interaction across diverse subjects. Project page and code are available at: https://a-canela.github.io/chromags/
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Computers and Society
Quantifying Ethereum Energy Consumption via Network Mapping
Ethereum's electricity use fell by about 99.95% after the move from proof of work to proof of stake. Service providers still need to report operational energy use, e.g. under the EU Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCAR). Existing estimates either apply one typical wattage to every node or start from aggregated monitoring counts. Both ignore attributes that nodes already advertise on the peer-to-peer network: client software, ARM or x86 hardware, hosting location, and validator role. We crawl the consensus and execution layers, assign each peer a wattage from those attributes using published measurements, and estimate the remaining incomplete peers with a Random Forest. On 6,934 peers from two Nebula crawls (19 and 22 June 2026), reachable nodes sum to 415 kW, or 3.63 GWh if that draw were held for a year. The same Lighthouse+Nethermind x86 wattage on every peer yields 431 kW. Observed attributes lower the total by 3.9%, mainly because nodes at Hetzner and other non-AWS clouds draw less than that home-desktop figure. AWS accounts for 15.6% of watts from 12.2% of peers, and validator-flagged nodes for 31.4% of watts from 25.7% of peers. The 415 kW snapshot is about 46% of the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance (CCAF) estimate of about 0.90 MW. Both use about 60 W per node, so the gap is mostly how many nodes each estimate includes. Rules cover 3,110 peers and the forest the other 3,824. On held-out labeled peers with client, architecture, and OS hidden, the forest's mean absolute error against the rule wattage is 4.3 W. Twenty-four-hour measurements on a gaming desktop differ from the predictions. After subtracting a 33 W idle graphics card that Ethereum clients do not need, both differences fall to about 19%.
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Computer Vision
Depth Hypothesis Guided Iterative Refinement for Event-Image Monocular Depth Estimation
Event cameras hold excellent dynamic properties, showing great potential for monocular depth estimation (MDE). However, existing methods mainly improve performance by optimizing contextual features, but still struggle with the ill-posed and nonlinear nature of direct full-depth regression. In this paper, we propose HypoDepth, the first event-image monocular depth iterative refinement framework. By introducing a discrete Depth Hypothesis Volume (DHV), we transform the depth regression problem into a constrained depth search task. Specifically, we construct a 3D cost volume between the DHV features and contextual features and perform a multi-scale correlation search to guide stable residual optimization. This lightweight cost volume enables efficient global-to-local refinement across multi-resolution. Our method outperforms existing approaches on DSEC and MVSEC with state-of-the-art results and strong zero-shot generalization. Meanwhile, our tiny model achieves an excellent balance between accuracy and efficiency, enabling real-time performance on resource-limited devices.
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Graphics
The Shape of Speech: A Geometric Measure of Coarticulation for Speech-Driven 3D Facial Animation
Speech-driven 3D facial animation can reproduce recognizable mouth poses. However, it can simplify the motion between them, and that motion carries coarticulation, the way the sounds around each sound shape its articulation. We introduce a geometric measure of this trajectory shaping: lip-path length compared with the shortest route through the vowel, consonant and vowel positions of a speech segment. In contrast to the endpoint chord, this consonant-aware route accounts for obligatory transit and avoids degeneracy, while preserving invariance to uniform motion gain. The measure needs only a forced alignment, so it applies where no ground truth exists. We demonstrate it on four state-of-the-art methods, one per architectural family, real-time and offline. All four trace flatter lip trajectories than captured speech. Against frame-rate-matched ground truth, DiffPoseTalk, ARTalk and FaceFormer show clear deficits, equivalent on this measure to removing 15-60% of real speech's fast articulatory component. CodeTalker is marginal on the primary measure and clear on a companion measure. A pre-registered study with 97 viewers and 3,523 judgments underpins the measured direction: controlled damping of real motion lowers the score and is penalized, whereas exaggeration shows no detected penalty over the tested range. Viewers also prefer real speech in 73.4% of sentence comparisons and, in the aggregate, on single words. Together, the measure, its calibration and the study identify a perceptually relevant loss of trajectory shaping and a concrete target for improving synthesized articulation.
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Cryptography and Security
Persona Guardrail: A Production-Grade Defense Framework for Agentic Systems
Large language model-based agents are increasingly deployed to perform domain-specific tasks by interacting with enterprise knowledge, tools, and external services. Existing runtime guardrails primarily target prompt injection and other attack-specific behaviors under a black-box threat model, but provide limited guarantees that agents operate within their intended functionality. As a result, production agents remain vulnerable to malicious requests and out-of-domain queries that existing defenses often fail to distinguish. We present Persona Guardrail, a production-grade runtime defense framework that enforces explicit functional boundaries for customer-facing agentic AI systems through synchronous input and output validation driven by semantic allowlist and blocklist specifications. We also introduce PAGE (Persona-Aware Guardrail Evaluation), a benchmark for evaluating function-specific guardrails across benign, adversarial, and out-of-domain interactions on both user and agent turns. Compared with a generic LLM-based guardrail, Persona Guardrail improves overall accuracy from 85.7% to 95.9%, increases out-of-domain detection from 57.3% to 93.5%, and reduces the false-approved rate from 25.0% to 4.7%. Currently deployed in production, Persona Guardrail meets its latency budget while sustaining a very low false-block and false-allow rate under realistic production workloads. These results demonstrate that Persona Guardrail provides a practical, scalable, and production-ready foundation for securing agentic AI systems.
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Machine Learning
OptiSelect: How does the Optimizer Shape Data Curriculum?
Online data selection has demonstrated substantial efficiency gains for LLM pretraining by training on the most valuable candidates within each batch. Since a candidate's value is realized through its effective model update, principled selection should account for the optimizer step, which reshapes the raw gradient before it updates model parameters. We formalize this optimizer-aware selection paradigm as OptiSelect and present the first systematic study of how the optimizer shapes data selection. Our theory establishes a selection gain principle in which the advantage of online selection is governed by the discriminability of the optimizer-induced utility scores. We prove that sign-based and polar-tangential preconditioners of Lion and Muon would suffer from a discriminability collapse which caps attainable gains from OptiSelect, whereas diagonal-adaptive optimizers such as AdamW and Sophia admit strictly better upper bounds. The proposed principle also yields a quantitative derivation of the optimal candidate oversampling ratio. Pretraining experiments on 124M and 720M models are consistent with our theoretical analysis and show that AdamW's diagonal-adaptive scoring geometry remains the strongest scoring geometry even with Muon as optimizer. We further demonstrate that OptiSelect retains its benefits under data rephrasing, a technique used in modern data processing pipelines. Our findings provide theoretical foundations and practical guidance for co-designing optimizers and data selection in LLM pretraining.
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Artificial Intelligence
Jumping the Line: Exploiting Length Predictions in LLM Scheduling
Efficient request scheduling is increasingly important for reducing completion time in large language model (LLM) serving. Size-based policies such as Shortest Job First prioritize shorter requests, but output lengths are unknown before generation, so practical schedulers rely on predicted lengths. We introduce JIL, an attack on prediction-based LLM schedulers that manipulates the scheduling signal to obtain higher priority and reduce completion time. Using TRAIL as a case study, JIL optimizes an adversarial suffix that causes a lightweight output-length probe to underestimate a request's length. We evaluate JIL on two datasets and four LLMs across varied request profiles and deployment configurations. JIL reduces predicted output lengths by up to 83.4 percent, and adversarial requests complete up to 1.53 times faster on average in end-to-end serving experiments. The reduction in predicted length is substantially larger than the change in actual output length, revealing a mismatch between the scheduler's estimate and the request's realized size. Response utility varies across models and tasks, exposing a trade-off between scheduling advantage and response quality. We also evaluate scheduler-side defenses and find that grouping length predictions into coarse intervals reduces JIL's scheduling advantage and mitigates delays to benign requests.
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Sound
LayerIt: Towards a Framework for Time-Aligned, Composable Music Visualizations
Music information retrieval often relates signal-derived, algorithmic, and symbolic information across different coordinate systems. Existing visualizations typically leave notation separate from physical time, while composites that combine them are assembled by hand. We present LayerIt, an open-source Python library for composing independent representations with notation on a shared performance-time axis. Given a score warped into performance time and a note-level alignment, LayerIt emits a single SVG that preserves the score's MEI structure and keeps added components identifiable and restylable. We demonstrate this through a challenging beat-tracking analysis, in which tracker output, signal representations, and notation can be inspected together to locate metrical disagreement and other errors against both notated structure and performed time.