Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.AI
Papers
Fresh from arXiv, typeset properly. Highlighted words trade on the market.
Monday 28 September
When an agent reuses logged experience, a changed decision may reflect the recorded score, the action's name, or the record's position in storage. Standard memory evaluations do not reveal which relationship drives that change. We introduce ReplayLens, a black-box audit that changes one relationship in the stored history at a time, holds the remaining interface fixed, and measures the resulting decision. Four interventions target four relationships. Outcome reassignment swaps which scores belong to which actions. Pair transport moves intact action-score pairs to new record slots. Consistent renaming relabels actions in both history and menu. Key-slot reassignment changes both score attachment and position. A constructive separation shows why the audit is needed: two memory writers with identical endpoint accuracy respond differently to the same replay, so conventional evaluation cannot resolve the underlying dependence. On black-box LLM interfaces, swapping scores changes decisions while moving intact pairs does not, separating score attachment from record order. A bounded-memory study exposes ingestion-order sensitivity that endpoint comparison misses. In sequential experiment planning, altered historical scores redirect exploration and reduce final utility despite fresh measurements. A code-debugging agent with sealed hidden tests shows the same pattern outside model selection. ReplayLens provides a relationship-level audit for deciding whether logged experience can be merged, reordered, or reindexed safely.
Machine Learning
GradLev: Token-Parallel Test-Time Training Via Costate Prediction
Test-time training (TTT) allows a model to improve its predictions at inference time by updating weights after every observed token. However, sequential gra- dient writes make parallel training difficult. We observe that, given layer inputs and activation gradients (costates), online gradient descent admits exact parallel scans for both forward evaluation and reverse backpropagation. GradLev lever- ages this duality: a causal auxiliary network predicts costates across all tokens in parallel; associative scans compute the adapted weights and forward activations and propagate gradients backward; and the resulting gradient targets supervise the predictor via a consistency loss. Exact consistency guarantees exact recovery of the sequential online learner. At deployment, the auxiliary predictor is discarded, and the model updates natively via token-by-token forward and backward passes.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
GPARA: Graph-Posterior-Aligned Refinement and Active Acquisition for Grounding Diffusion Priors
Active grounding of a frozen diffusion prior requires jointly determining where new measurements should be taken and how they should be used to refine the current reconstruction. Posterior-ensemble-based methods can estimate acquisition utility from generated samples, but require repeated ensemble generation as observations accumulate and capture posterior geometry only through empirical statistics. This paper proposes GPARA, which learns a context-dependent graph surrogate over diffusion prediction residuals, inducing an explicitly reusable posterior response operator that propagates measurement innovations to unobserved variables and evaluates candidate measurements through weighted posterior-risk reduction. Under the matched surrogate, we show that the same response operator also determines expected one-step acquisition benefit and yields an analytic ranking consistent with expected reconstruction improvement. A bounded learned residual calibrates the analytic utility to account for surrogate mismatch, while a small prior ensemble is generated once and reconditioned to update risk weights without repeated diffusion posterior sampling during acquisition. Experiments on two reconstruction tasks spanning physical field and computer vision show consistent improvements in refinement and active acquisition over the evaluated baselines. Ablations further support the complementary roles of step-wise graph refinement, adaptive risk weighting, and analytically anchored calibration.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
Hidden Activations are not Enough I: Knowledge Matrices as Higher Representations
We study the knowledge matrix of a trained feedforward network as a higher representation of its inputs. A network is a pair $(W,f)$, a thin representation $W$ of its quiver and an activation $f$; its function factorizes through the space of quiver representations, each input $x$ inducing a representation, and the knowledge matrix $M(x)\in\mathbb{R}^{C\times(d+1)}$ is the contraction of that representation to one matrix whose rows sum exactly to the logits. At one trained network we ask what determines it, what it is invariant to, what it determines, and what its geometry measures. Under (LCS), a locally constant slope diagonal, as for ReLU, the matrix at a regular input is a function of the realized germ; its stabilizer among encodings regular there is exactly the germ stabilizer at inputs with no vanishing coordinate, neuron permutation a special case; and it recovers the germ, whereas hidden activations, gauge-covariant and germ-incomplete, are not enough. Under (LCS) it equals per-class gradient$\times$input plus an exact aggregate bias attribution, grounding it in attribution theory and computing it by $C$ vector-Jacobian products instead of probing. The fixed shape gives an alignment-free per-sample distance between ResNet-152, DenseNet-121 and GoogLeNet; the row-sum identity gives an exact visible/invisible displacement decomposition whose unit-free coherence $A=(d_\Psi/d_M)^2$ puts adversarial germ motion at median $A\le 0.23$, with an attack-family ordering concordant across six architectures (Kendall $W=0.921$; $0.97$ on the three networks at full scale). Two honest negatives: on AlexNet/CIFAR-10 penultimate features win 5 of 6 detectors and all 16 attacks, and a matrix-direction counterfactual fails 0/54.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.DC
SlideDP: Scaling Host-Resident LLM Fine-Tuning Across Multiple GPUs
Host-resident layer streaming enables full-parameter LLM fine-tuning beyond GPU memory, but data-parallel ranks compete for shared host resources. Replicated transfers amplify traffic, while strong scaling can expose host work as computation windows shrink. We present SlideDP, a synchronous data-parallel runtime for shared-host multi-GPU systems. It maintains one authoritative host state, decouples communication routes from state layout, and pipelines parameter delivery, gradient aggregation, and CPU updates across ranks and chunks. An analytical step-time model characterizes resource bottlenecks and pipeline exposure; runtime measurements guide communication, chunking, and activation policies under a GPU memory budget. In matched-batch sweeps, SlideDP achieves geometric-mean throughput ratios of 1.46-2.64$\times$ over SlideFormer, MegaTrain, and ZeRO-Offload. On four H100s, SlideDP approaches GPU-resident FSDP2 throughput for Qwen3-14B at a smaller batch size. With a larger batch, it processes over 1M tokens per step and exceeds FSDP2's measured peak throughput by 11.2%. Separately, it supports 256K-token sequences for the same model and fine-tunes Qwen2.5-72B on four RTX 4090 GPUs. Project page: https://github.com/RegiaYoung/SlideDP.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML
GT-PSSM: Unified Probabilistic Framework for Stochastic Dynamics Modeling and Dependency Learning in Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection
Multivariate time series anomaly detection (MTAD) is crucial for ensuring the safe and reliable operation of complex systems. Many existing methods learn normal patterns by training reconstruction or forecasting models on predominantly normal data. However, a large portion of these approaches rely on deterministic models and their associated point-wise output errors for anomaly scoring. Since real-world multivariate time series are inherently stochastic due to measurement noise and intrinsic system randomness, purely error-based scores can be unreliable, as large errors may arise from benign fluctuations rather than true anomalies. Probabilistic approaches address this limitation by quantifying uncertainty in model outputs. In particular, probabilistic state-space models (PSSMs) provide a principled framework by modeling stochastic system dynamics through latent state transitions and measurement noise via emission models. Despite this advantage, existing PSSM-based MTAD methods often struggle to capture long-range temporal dependencies and inter-variable dependencies, as they typically rely on noise-sensitive recurrent architectures and lack explicit cross-variable structure modeling. To address these limitations, we propose Graph-Transformer-Enhanced Probabilistic State-Space Model (GT-PSSM), a novel PSSM-based MTAD method that tightly integrates PSSM-based probabilistic modeling of stochastic dynamics with Graph Transformer-based learning of temporal and inter-variable dependencies. By jointly modeling stochasticity, long-range temporal dependence, and variable interactions within a unified probabilistic framework, GT-PSSM enables more robust anomaly detection.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
WorldGraph: Graph-Native World Modeling
World models infer latent states of an environment to capture its underlying dynamics and predict future evolution. Many real-world environments, however, are inherently relational and observed as evolving graphs, where entities, relations, and their properties change over time. Prior graph-related world models use graph structures to organize internal states or support task-specific reasoning, rather than treating an evolving graph itself as the modeled world. We instead study graph world modeling (GWM), where graph evolution itself constitutes the world dynamics. We formulate graph world modeling over observed graph evolution, latent graph states, and heterogeneous graph-transition predictions. Based on this formulation, we construct GWM-Zero, a benchmark covering node-, edge-, and graph-level transitions over eight temporal graph datasets. We propose WorldGraph, which combines a state-aware graph transformer for multi-granularity structural and transition-conditioned evolution modeling with transition-aware GRPO using dynamic grouping and structure-aware verifiable rewards. Extensive experiments on GWM-Zero show that WorldGraph consistently outperforms representative graph representation, temporal graph learning, graph pretraining, and graph world-model baselines across all three transition granularities.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
Transfer Calibrated Prediction Powered Inference
Prediction-powered inference (PPI) and its power-tuned extension (PPI++) improve confidence intervals by combining a small gold-standard labeled sample with a large AI model's predictions. Its efficiency gain relies on low residual variance, which may not hold if the predictor is pre-trained on a different source domain. We propose Transfer Calibrated Prediction-Powered Inference (TC-PPI), adapting the source-domain predictor to the target domain using gold-standard samples through cross-fitting. This approach supports various adaptation methods, such as sparse linear calibration, LoRA, and fine-tuning. Our jointly tuned cross-fit estimator, Joint-TC-Cross-PPI++, maintains unbiasedness and is simultaneously at least as efficient as classical inference, PPI, and PPI++, thereby protecting against negative transfer. We provide high-dimensional MSE bounds for calibration and show empirical improvements over baseline methods across various real-world applications.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
SPINET: Sheaf Protein Inverse Folding Network
Proteins change shape as they function, yet most inverse folding models predict amino acid sequences from a single, fixed backbone. A central challenge in protein engineering is to design proteins that undergo specific motions, which requires accounting for how their structures change over time. This motivates inverse protein folding conditioned on protein motion. We introduce SPINET, which predicts sequences from molecular dynamics trajectories. It uses cellular sheaves to represent residue interactions within each frame and recurrent units to integrate information across frames, then predicts all amino acids in a single pass. We evaluate SPINET on mdCATH and ATLAS, where it outperforms all evaluated static and ensemble baselines in sequence recovery. On mdCATH, it achieves 56.7% top-1 recovery, compared with 44.5% for the strongest static baseline and 40.7% for the strongest ensemble baseline. We also evaluate whether the predicted sequences are compatible with conformations sampled along the target trajectory. On mdCATH, they achieve a median TM-score of 0.760, and structural recovery favors target conformations over unrelated decoys for 99.5% of test domains.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
ExpertoRhythm: Morphology-Aware Learning for Waveform Reconstruction and Cuffless Blood Pressure Estimation from Single-Channel PPG
Continuous cuffless blood pressure (BP) monitoring from photoplethysmography (PPG) has strong potential for wearable health and telemonitoring, but accurate estimation remains difficult because PPG-to-BP mapping must preserve subtle waveform morphology and pressure-range-dependent dynamics. We introduce ExpertoRhythm, an attention-enhanced 1D U-Net that reconstructs the arterial blood pressure (ABP) waveform from a single-channel PPG signal and derives systolic and diastolic BP directly from the reconstructed waveform. The central contribution is a composite morphology-aware learning objective that integrates range-weighted SmoothL1 reconstruction with a window-range regularizer to emphasize high-dynamic BP segments and reduce amplitude under/over-shoot. On the UCI cuff-less BP dataset with 942 subjects, ExpertoRhythm achieves 2.46/1.46 mmHg MAE for systolic/diastolic BP (SBP/DBP), while obtaining a 30.4% average relative error reduction over pure MSE across waveform reconstruction and BP estimation metrics. Clinical-style evaluation further demonstrates low bias and strong agreement across the BP range, including high-pressure windows up to 200 mmHg, satisfying AAMI criteria and achieving BHS Grade A. These results suggest that morphology-aware waveform reconstruction from a single PPG channel can provide an accurate and practical pathway toward continuous cuffless BP monitoring in wearable and remote-care settings.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CL
Word Similarity Datasets for Indian Languages: Annotation and Baseline Systems
With the advent of word representations, word similarity tasks are becoming increasing popular as an evaluation metric for the quality of the representations. In this paper, we present manually annotated monolingual word similarity datasets of six Indian languages - Urdu, Telugu, Marathi, Punjabi, Tamil and Gujarati. These languages are most spoken Indian languages worldwide after Hindi and Bengali. For the construction of these datasets, our approach relies on translation and re-annotation of word similarity datasets of English. We also present baseline scores for word representation models using state-of-the-art techniques for Urdu, Telugu and Marathi by evaluating them on newly created word similarity datasets.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
Training and Inference Dynamics of PLDR-LLMs: Row-Map Collapse, Renormalization, and Predictive Reduction
This monograph develops a unified account of training and inference in Power Law Decoder Representation language models (PLDR-LLMs). Exact finite work identities decompose changes in the absolute energy of the row-centered learned map into parameter contributions, signed interactions, and numerical observation defects. Positive affine blocking retains restarts at the row-constant face, while the augmented AdamW state supplies the complete dynamical description. Predictive renormalization acts on the complete conditional training law for a single pass over distinct corpus target blocks, retaining optimizer memory, remaining data, schedule, and numerical policy. Autonomous reductions require closure; approximate reductions carry successor and emission errors. Finite-population covariance, matched physical clocks, matrix fluxes, and signed temporal energy connect row dynamics to model-wide observations. Absolute row collapse, relative row concentration, operator stabilization, and predictive accuracy are distinguished. Experiments reveal observer and optimizer dependence, reject the tested autonomous row-state candidates, and support finite conditional prediction and state-specific operator reduction. Independent single-pass families exhibit moving finite fluctuation regions without establishing a thermodynamic critical class. Conditional symmetry, head limits, covariance flows, and readout error budgets specify assumptions needed to transfer scaling laws to inference. The theory separates exact identities, conditional dynamical claims, and finite empirical findings, with proofs, selected formal checks, and compact numerical evidence.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
What Does a Stream Model Buy You in Flow Matching?
Stream-level flow matching replaces the linear interpolant of conditional flow matching (CFM) by a Gaussian-process (GP) stream connecting each source–target pair, and reports lower sample error than \icfm{} on 2-Gaussian, MNIST and CIFAR-10 benchmarks. We ask what such a stream model actually contributes. Three results answer the question. (i)~Reduction. The stream-level CFM objective depends on the stream law only through the per-time joint law of $(s_t,\sdot_t)$, so the conditional paths a Gaussian stream can reach are exactly the Gaussian conditional paths CFM already parametrises; in the coordinate-wise, shared-scalar-kernel construction gpcfm actually uses, the entire design space collapses to two scalar curves $(m_t,v_t)$, and cross-time covariance affects only estimator variance. (ii)~The GP is a constrained chart of that space. One kernel sets both $m_t$ and $v_t$, so the paper's own recipe for widening coverage-shrinking the SE length-scale—destroys the interpolant (the midpoint mean weight falls from $1.03$ to $0.00$). On the 2-Gaussian benchmark this makes the GP chart diverge on $15/200$ runs at high coverage against $0/200$ for a decoupled $(m_t,v_t)$ chart ($p=6.6\times10^{-5}$), and crossing the two curves shows the divergence tracks the mean, not the variance. On MNIST the same sweep does not diverge and the ordering reverses, so whether the coupling is harmful is benchmark-dependent; what holds on both is that the recipe buys nothing—no coverage level beats the paper's own, and past $\max_t\sqrt{v_t}\approx0.6$ both charts degrade. (iii)~Audit. The released code does not implement the mechanism it describes: state and velocity are drawn independently ($\mathrm{corr}=0.00\pm0.01$ against an intended $\pm0.83$–$0.99$).
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
Probabilistic electrical power demand forecasting with uncertainty quantification
The majority of research on electricity consumption forecasting has focused on deterministic approaches, which generate a single point estimate for each time step in the forecasting horizon. However, the increasing penetration of renewable energy sources and the growing complexity of modern smart grids have introduced greater variability and uncertainty into power-system demand and operation. Consequently, probabilistic forecasting, which quantifies the uncertainty and variability associated with future electricity demand, is becoming increasingly important for reliable power-system planning and operation. This study presents an empirical comparison of four contemporary probabilistic forecasting models for electricity consumption, highlighting their respective strengths and limitations. We have performed comparision on real-world power systems related datasets. Across all power-consumption zones, NGBoost demonstrates superior probabilistic forecasting performance, achieving the lowest MAE and RMSE while providing well-calibrated uncertainty estimates with high prediction-interval coverage and reasonably narrow intervals. These results indicate that NGBoost offers a more accurate and reliable forecasting framework than Bayesian, Monte Carlo (MC) Dropout, and Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) models for the considered electricity consumption data.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
SlimWise: Decoupling Expert Pruning Across Prefill and Decode for Efficient MoE Serving
Mixture-of-experts (MoE) models activate few experts per token, yet batched decoding can access nearly the entire expert pool, making expert-weight traffic a major bottleneck. Expert pruning reduces this traffic, but conventional approaches also prune compute-bound prefill, sacrificing model quality for little throughput benefit. We present SlimWise, a serving framework that tailors the expert pool to each inference phase. SlimWise performs prefill with the full model and decode with a pruned model that directly reuses the prefill-generated KV cache without conversion. Across two MoE backbones and three pruning criteria, this training-free KV cache handoff substantially narrows accuracy gaps relative to the full model in many settings. We also show that benchmark accuracy can conceal substantial pruning-induced changes in generation length. To address these distortions and residual accuracy loss, SlimWise introduces a low-cost distillation stage that trains the decoder to continue from full-model KV caches while updating only a small subset of parameters. Implemented in vLLM, SlimWise supports both prefill-decode (PD) disaggregation and PD-colocated serving. On Qwen3.6-35B-A3B, SlimWise improves decode throughput by up to 1.81x at 50% expert pruning with minimal accuracy loss.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ME
Forecast-Necessary Causal Discovery for Nonlinear Political Panel Data: Feedback, Functional Form, and the Dynamics of Democratization
A non-significant coefficient in a dynamic panel model need not imply the absence of a relationship. It may instead reflect heterogeneous effects averaged toward zero, reciprocal dynamics overlooked by a recursive specification, or relationships masked by the omission of correlated covariates. Standard linear estimators cannot distinguish among these possibilities. We develop an inferential workflow for political panel data that resolves this ambiguity by combining flexible autoregressive estimation, forecast-necessity testing, functional characterization, and same-data linear benchmarking. The workflow first identifies relationships required for out-of-sample prediction, then characterizes their functional form across political contexts, and finally, distinguishes differences arising from estimator flexibility from those due to model specification. Applied to the causal sequence model of democratization on the V-Dem panel of 113 countries, the workflow reproduces the model's central finding - the protective belt of civil society, the rule of law, and institutionalized parties - while recovering reciprocal relationships from democracy to its institutional supports that a linear model cannot detect. Most importantly, three weak published direct effects, of which two are null, and one is marginally significant, receive three different diagnoses: one dissolves under the full specification, one reflects heterogeneous effects averaged toward zero, and one was masked by the reduced variable set. The workflow corrects the published record in both directions, removing one relationship and recovering two. More broadly, the workflow provides a framework for evaluating dynamic political theories under a model class capable of representing nonlinear and reciprocal mechanisms while preserving relationship-level interpretation and explicit inferential standards.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
Evolution of fairness in multi-objective reinforcement learning framework
Fairness, as a fundamental social norm, continues to pose a longstanding puzzle regarding its emergence. Traditional game-theoretic models largely rely on the assumption of Homo economicus, wherein individuals are purely rational and self-interested, acting solely to maximize material payoffs. Such accounts, however, overlook the multidimensional nature of human decision-making, which is often shaped also by other considerations beyond economic incentives. To address this gap, we propose a multi-objective reinforcement learning framework that models the evolution of fairness as a dynamic trade-off between material payoff maximization and fairness-driven moral behavior, regulated by a fairness pressure coefficient. Using simulations of a two-objective Q-learning ultimatum game, we find that increased fairness pressure promotes fair outcomes, as expected. Strikingly, however, under moderate pressure, responder behavior reverses: responders become “forgiving" by accepting low offers – a pattern in line with our daily experience. Microscopic analyses reveal that this strategy reversal stems from competition between payoff-maximizing and fairness-oriented preferences. We further extend our framework to an asymmetric setting, where proposers and responders assign different weights to the two objectives. Overall, our work expands the reinforcement learning paradigm from a single-objective to a multi-objective formulation, offering a versatile tool for elucidating a broader range of human social behaviors.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
Beyond Correctness: Evaluating Semantic Knowledge in Cross-Table Transfer
Semantic knowledge is increasingly used to bridge heterogeneous schemas in tabular learning, but how much does that knowledge actually improve prediction? Studies in tabular learning commonly answer this question through semantic ablations that modify or suppress the supplied semantic knowledge. We show that these ablations can lead to misleading conclusions about predictive benefit: poor performance under altered semantics may be taken as evidence that the intended knowledge is beneficial. Across real and controlled experiments, altering semantic content can produce large performance differences even when the model gains little predictive benefit from having that semantic knowledge in the first place. To separate these effects, we distinguish two quantities: content sensitivity and predictive utility. Content sensitivity measures the change in performance when semantic content is altered, whereas predictive utility measures the benefit of the intended semantic knowledge relative to a suitable reference without that knowledge. This distinction motivates an evaluation framework in which the control is chosen according to the question being asked: altered controls assess sensitivity to semantic content, whereas claims that semantic knowledge improves prediction require a suitable reference. Even then, predictive utility is not fixed; it varies across suitable references and decreases when the reference can more easily recover the tested knowledge from other inputs or labeled examples. In a bounded audit of 25 semantic-ablation comparisons across nine studies, only one of 18 explicit predictive-utility claims is paired with a control that clearly isolates the tested semantic contribution. Together, these findings motivate a simple evaluation principle: semantic-ablation controls should be chosen and interpreted according to the question they are intended to answer.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
When Is an SAE Feature Interpretable? A Validation Ladder for EEG Foundation Models
Sparse autoencoders (SAEs) decompose dense model activations into discrete latents, making individual features easy to interpret–and easy to misinterpret. In EEG foundation models, this creates a tempting inference: if removing alpha-band activity strongly changes a latent's activation, one might conclude that the latent represents alpha activity. Across 27 settings spanning three backbones, three EEG datasets, and three network depths, this interpretation initially appears compelling: alpha removal changes latent firing 7.3 times more than an equal-width sham notch (95% CI [6.2, 8.7], bootstrapped over settings). However, the alpha filter also deletes far more signal than the sham. After normalizing by removed spectral energy, the ratio falls to 0.28 (95% CI [0.22, 0.36]) and exceeds one in none of the 27 settings. Latents selected for their response to alpha removal are, on clean EEG, slightly anti-correlated with relative alpha power (mean r = -0.073), giving no support for a simple alpha-detector reading. Motivated by this failure case, we propose a validation ladder for semantic interpretations of SAE latents: it asks in turn whether a latent responds, whether that response survives controlling for how much signal the intervention removes, whether it is specific rather than broadly fragile, and whether the proposed property is visible on unperturbed data–while separately testing the stronger claim that the latent matters to a task classifier. Perturbation sensitivity alone does not establish what an SAE latent represents.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
TRACE: Expert-Aligned ECG Representation Learning with Rigorous Benchmarking and Real-World Validation in Acute Cardiac Care
TRACE (Text-Reinforced Analysis of Cardio ECGs) is a multimodal electrocardiogram (ECG) representation model that learns clinically grounded signal embeddings for downstream cardiac classification. It is designed to address the limitations of existing CLIP-style training, which often struggles with noisy clinical text and fails to leverage the complementary strengths of unimodal (from ECG) and cross-modal (between ECG and matched cardiologist reports) learning. To bridge this gap, we propose a hybrid architecture that jointly learns unimodal and cross-modal representations via uncertainty-weighted multi-task learning while utilizing an LLM-based pipeline to extract high-fidelity findings from cardiologist reports. We evaluate TRACE across a spectrum of clinical urgency, establishing robust performance on public benchmarks for arrhythmia classification and structural abnormalities relative to existing unimodal and multimodal ECG models. To demonstrate real-world utility, we further validate the model on acute coronary occlusion (ACO), where the prevailing ST-elevation criteria miss 25-34% of true occlusions. Utilizing a large private ACO dataset with expert-annotated ground truth, TRACE significantly outperforms real-world clinical practice, yielding a 19.0% increase in sensitivity or a 62.6% reduction in false positive rates at the clinical baseline. This extensive evaluation confirms that TRACE delivers both strong performance on benchmark tasks and tangible clinical impact in the most acute, high-risk cardiac scenarios.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.RO
AD-E2E-JEPA: A Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture For End-to-End Autonomous Driving
Autonomous driving requires world models that can understand the physical world, reason and plan, and operate safely. In this paper, we first systematically evaluate existing action-conditioned joint-embedding predictive architecture (JEPA) world models, including LeWM, DINO-WM, and JEPA-WM for end-to-end autonomous driving (E2EAD). To isolate world-model quality from policy learning, we employ a goal-conditioned zero-shot planning setting that evaluates these models using ground-truth future observations as goals, without training any driving policy. We find that existing JEPA-based world models are either accurate for driving but computationally expensive, or computationally efficient but insufficient for planning. To address this trade-off, we propose AD-E2E-JEPA, which introduces a SIGReg-regularized learnable projector applied to projected patch embeddings. The projector reduces the number of planning patches by $16\times$ and the embedding dimension by $4\times$, achieving a $100\times$ inference speedup while retaining planning performance, with a 0.8-second runtime for an 8-frame rollout over 256 candidate trajectories. Without training any driving policy, the world model itself reaches the goals located 20 meters away on average within the displacement of respectively 4.0/2.8 meters, using world-model rollouts over trajectory vocabularies of respectively 256/8,192 candidates. On the NAVSIMv2 benchmark, it achieves 67.3/72.9 EPDMS with multiplicative safety metrics and 84.1/86.5 EPDMS$^{\dagger}$ without them in goal-conditioned zero-shot planning. Experiments further show that the self-supervised pretrained projector improves downstream imitation learning performance from 80.2 to 85.4 EPDMS. The source code is available at https://github.com/HaoranZhuExplorer/AD-E2E-JEPA
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
Beyond One Epoch: Uncertainty-Weighted Sensitivity Regularization for Recommendation Models
Recommendation models with sparse embeddings and a shared consumer often exhibit the one-epoch phenomenon: a second epoch lowers training loss while sharply degrading generalization. We present a view based on the violation of the prequential principle. On the first epoch, an example's label has not affected the embedding rows used to score it. On later epochs, those rows contain a displacement induced by the labels earlier update. This creates an incentive for the shared consumer to exploit this displacement in subsequent epochs, which fails to generalize. We call this self-influence asymmetry. Using an exact scalar model and local influence analysis, we connect this mismatch to the uncertainty in the embeddings and the consumers incentive to exploit it in subsequent epochs. We verify this hypothesis using an embedding-consumer-update interventions in deep recommendation models and propose uncertainty-weighted sensitivity regularization (UWSR) which counteracts this mismatch by augmenting the loss function to penalize the consumer for relying on uncertain embeddings. Unlike existing remedies, UWSR preserves the learned embeddings and across three benchmarks, four-epoch UWSR reduces test cross-entropy by 1.38%-6.78% and improves AUC by 0.0058-0.0231 relative to one-epoch training.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
MaskCoFT: Masked Co-Adaptive Fine-Tuning for Memory-Efficient MoE Inference
Mixture-of-experts (MoE) language models often exceed the memory of a single GPU. Expert offloading keeps most experts in host memory and loads them on demand, so decoding speed depends on how many experts each token must fetch. Caching and prefetching reduce this cost only as far as the routing allows. Router-only fine-tuning can reshape the routing to reuse experts, but it keeps the experts frozen, so they cannot adapt to the tokens the new routing sends them. We propose MaskCoFT, a masked co-adaptive fine-tuning method that trains routers and experts together with the cross-entropy loss alone. During fine-tuning, a learnable binary mask restricts the Top-K routing of each layer to a subset of experts, and the experts adapt to the tokens redirected to them. At inference, the learned mask becomes a soft prior that re-ranks experts, so every expert remains selectable. We simulate a GPU cache of 4 experts per layer for Mixtral-8x7B and 12 for DeepSeek-V2-Lite. MaskCoFT cuts expert fetches per token by 23.7% and 10.1% relative to the base model. In real offloading system serving, it lowers the time per output token by up to 16.4% and 5.5%, respectively. Its average accuracy over nine benchmarks stays above the base model by 0.92 and 0.53 points.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.GT
The Double-Edged Sword of Information: Revealed versus Hidden Lotteries in School Choice
In school choice, a lottery number is often used by the matching mechanism to break ties when there are more students who prefer the same school than the number of seats available. There has been growing theoretical and empirical interest in understanding the impact of revealing the lottery number to students. In practice, in recent years, the NYC Public Schools started revealing the lottery number to students to improve transparency. Theoretical findings from prior literature also suggest that revealing the lottery number strictly improves the number of matches under the deferred acceptance algorithm. However, these theoretical results are based on the over-simplifying assumption that all students share the same preference ranking for schools. In this work, we relax this assumption and allow students to have heterogeneous preference rankings. Under a game-theoretic model where student strategies form a Bayesian Nash equilibrium, we characterize scenarios where revealing the lottery number can either improve or worsen the matching outcome, measured by two metrics of match rate and social welfare. We further consider revealing partial information about the lottery, and demonstrate non-monotonic effects in the amount of information available to students. These results together illustrate complex tradeoffs induced by the lottery revealing policy.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
FLARE: Flow Matching with Local Axis-Angle Representations for Stochastic Micromagnetic Evolution
Long-horizon micromagnetic simulation remains expensive because conventional and learned solvers typically propagate Landau–Lifshitz–Gilbert (LLG) dynamics step by step. Existing learned approaches generally retain stepwise integration or model deterministic evolution, leaving full-field, direct-horizon stochastic prediction largely unexplored. We propose FLARE, a flow-matching framework that recasts stochastic finite-time magnetization prediction as conditional transport over anchor-relative local axis-angle rotations. This rotation-space formulation respects the intrinsic geometry of magnetization dynamics and preserves pointwise unit norm by construction. By explicitly conditioning on the physical prediction horizon, FLARE directly generates full-field stochastic endpoints across multiple target times without stepwise integration. Against the strongest single-checkpoint external baseline on each metric, FLARE achieves 29.9% lower angular energy distance ($15.30^\circ$), and a 37.3% lower fair energy score (0.393). On a representative composed 5-ns two-segment protocol, FLARE achieves a $3{,}062\times$ best-batch speedup over the widely used GPU micromagnetic solver MuMax$^3$ on a single GPU.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CL
Who Gets a Token, and What Does It Carry? Unequal Name Support and Concept Access in Large Language Models
Names are personal identifiers, but they also carry social meaning and are widely used to evaluate how language models treat different people. Such evaluations typically assume that matched names are comparable model inputs. We show that this assumption often fails at the lexical interface: matched names are not necessarily matched inputs. Some names receive direct single-token access, while others are assembled from multiple subwords, creating unequal name-surface support. Across nearly half a million first names and 12 LLM-associated tokenizers, direct lexical access is highly selective, model dependent, and uneven across race- and gender-associated name metadata. We introduce NameTrace, a model-native, fine-grained, pre-behavioral framework for measuring whether unequal name-surface support remains a vocabulary property or becomes visible in task-relevant internal representations. NameTrace measures concept accessibility from the model's own probabilities over task-specific adjective axes with continuous task-aligned weights. On matched atomic and short-fragmented names within the same race/ethnicity–gender-associated strata, support predicts systematic differences in concept accessibility across fellowship, hiring, clinical assessment, and lending. These differences persist across all eight matched strata, extend across model families, and transfer to unseen names. Hidden-state interventions further show that the measured task directions have downstream leverage, shifting later constrained choices. Unequal lexical support is therefore demographically structured at the input and remains visible in task-relevant model computation. NameTrace makes lexical comparability measurable, supporting a broader principle: behavioral comparability begins with lexical comparability.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
Learning Perturbation Robust Policies for LLM Agents with Stable Optimization
Reinforcement learning (RL) has become an effective post-training paradigm for long-horizon large language model (LLM) agents. However, we find that the resulting policies can be sensitive to various policy perturbations, such as hidden-state noise, pruning, and quantization. In this work, we study how to improve perturbation robustness during policy optimization. We first introduce the notion of a perturbation robust policy and analyze conditions under which perturbed policy updates preserve stable monotonic improvement. Based on this analysis, we introduce Stable Perturbation-Robust Policy Optimization (SPrPO), which applies adaptive and sensitivity-aware perturbations during RL training. We evaluate SPrPO on ALFWorld and WebShop and conduct systematic experiments across multiple perturbation types and scales, showing improved perturbation robustness while maintaining stable policy optimization.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
Counterexamples to Local Reconstruction Gain as a Proxy for Final Fidelity in Residual Completion
Residual completion augments query-aware sparse attention by estimating the contribution of tokens omitted from the exact sparse computation. We ask whether improving a layer's attention-output reconstruction on the same incoming Q/K/V and selected support necessarily improves the fidelity of the final model output. We study training-free RESA and learned Top-K+$\phi$ with frozen backbone language models. A prespecified single-layer screen yields two Qwen3-0.6B/Multi-LexSum interventions for which direct-runtime measurements show positive prespecified request-aggregate local reconstruction gain but worse final KL fidelity than the corresponding all-abstain Exact Top-K baseline on both discovery and prompt-token-disjoint holdout requests. Exact restoration at the same layer instead improves final fidelity, showing that the reversal is specific to approximate completion in these cases. In complementary multi-layer experiments, a task-independent local diagnostic often repairs the tested completion estimators, although the repaired models do not consistently outperform Exact Top-K. Together, these results show that better local reconstruction need not translate into better final-model fidelity.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
KVCMAS: Efficient KV cache Correction for Shared Context in Multi-Agent Systems
Prompt-specialized multi-agent systems enable multiple agents to share a model while performing complementary roles to solve complex tasks. However, agent-specific prefixes change the KV cache generated for the same shared context, causing each agent to repeatedly prefill the growing context and construct a separate cache with high computation and memory overhead. Selective recomputation reduces this redundancy but still retains substantial model execution, while existing delta correction methods either support only recurring context relations or maintain memory-intensive online correction states for dynamically changing context. For first seen shared context, these methods also construct a reference cache outside the agent workflow, and an approximate correction at the first agent affects the outputs passed to subsequent agents. We present KVCMAS, an online KV cache correction framework that represents cross-agent cache deviations using compact low-rank states and seamlessly chains corrections along the agent workflow without an additional reference prefill. This design supports dynamically changing shared context while preserving an exact first-agent cache. Across multiple language and vision-language workloads, KVCMAS matches or improves the accuracy of prior KV cache sharing methods while achieving the lowest TTFT under highly concurrent serving. Under controlled serving traces, it provides a 2.0x TTFT speedup over inference without KV cache sharing and reduces peak GPU memory by up to 3.7x relative to a prior KV cache correction method. These results establish KVCMAS as an accurate and scalable KV cache sharing approach for prompt-specialized multi-agent serving.
Read the full abstract
Machine Learning
Do World Models Learn Global Understanding?
AI systems often feel brittle and fragmented. A large language model (LLM) may correctly explain a concept but fail to apply it, or follow safety instructions in one context but not another. This behavior suggests a general failure to lift local information to a global understanding. To gain fundamental insight, we frame "understanding" as learning constraints and propagating their consequences. We construct learning tasks on monoid worlds, sets of states connected by action transitions, where observed training transitions and an unseen constraint jointly determine held-out transitions. Measuring generalization tests whether models can learn global constraints from local transitions and propagate their consequences. We consider inverse, commutativity, composition, and periodicity constraints relevant to spatial and semantic structure. Across attention, recurrent, and state-space architectures, next-state training fits the data but fails to propagate non-trivial constraints. Compositional training, which uses identical paths but hides intermediate states from the input, achieves 96% accuracy on inverse, commutativity, and composition constraints across architectures, yields corresponding improvements in geometric generalization of world models trained on embodied environments and relational generalization in Wikidata-finetuned LLMs. How far do models propagate constraints when inferring an unseen fact may depend on first inferring others? We define proof depth d of a held-out transition, measuring the minimum number of inference rounds to infer the transition, and find that model generalization decreases sharply with proof depth. Increasing compositional path length T improves generalization. These results provide a formal way to investigate global understanding in language and world models and demonstrate that compositional training promotes information propagation and integration.