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Computer Science Machine Learning

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Monday 21 September

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.AI

Jev-Mem: System-One-Controlled Agentic Memory for Efficient AI Agents

Agentic memory is becoming essential for long-horizon AI agents, yet many existing systems rely on autoregressive LLMs to control how memories are organized, retrieved, and used, placing expensive generation on the critical path of memory operations. We introduce \method, a new agentic memory architecture inspired by System-One/System-Two cognition. System One captures fast, lightweight decision-making, whereas System Two performs slower, deliberative reasoning. Jev-Mem brings this division of labor to agentic memory through a dedicated System-One control plane, a structured multi-relational memory plane, and a System-Two reasoning plane. The System-One controller governs memory typing and relational organization during construction, and dynamically performs query routing, retrieval-budget allocation, graph traversal, candidate scoring, and adaptive stopping during retrieval. System Two is invoked only for complex reasoning and answer synthesis. This design improves both memory effectiveness and system efficiency: on LoCoMo Jev-Mem achieves an overall LLM-as-a-Judge score of 0.777, an 11.0% relative improvement over the strongest baseline, while reducing memory construction time to 158\,s, a 6.6$\times$ speedup over the fastest competing memory system, and lowering average query latency to 0.93\,s, a 36.7% reduction.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CR

MobileCybench: Evaluating Agent Vulnerability Discovery via Executable Probes

AI agents now report vulnerabilities faster than maintainers can review them. Reports often depend on security properties specific to the application, and require considerable human labor to process. To mitigate this, we introduce a framework for evaluating vulnerability reports via probes, executable checks of security properties. A reported exploit is evaluated by replaying it against the application and running the probes: a triggered probe indicates both that the exploit succeeded and which security property it violated. As a probe encodes a security property rather than a known vulnerability, it can detect vulnerabilities that were not known when the probe was written. We instantiate the framework as MobileCybench, a benchmark for vulnerability discovery by AI agents in 13 Android applications, with 495 probes written and reviewed by the authors. We evaluate 5 coding agents (OpenCode with GPT-5.5, GPT-5.6-Sol, and GLM-5.2; Claude Code with Opus 4.8 and Opus 5) under 4 settings: as a malicious app on the victim's device or as a remote attacker with a low-privilege account, each with either only an obfuscated APK or access to the application's source code. Given only the obfuscated APK, the top agent, OpenCode with GPT-5.6-Sol, triggers probes in 53.8% of applications in the malicious-app setting and 16.7% in the remote-attacker setting. With source code, the trigger rate across all agents and both attack settings increases from 28.8% to 32.8%. Building and running the benchmark surfaced 23 previously unreported vulnerabilities, the majority of which have been confirmed by maintainers.
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All authors Andy K. Zhang, Ava Huang, Joey Ji, Wai Han, Thomas Qin, Nardos Demilew, Michael Tian-Yue Liu, Brian Song, Riya Dulepet, Brian Wang, Kyleen Liao, Cuiyuanxiu Chen, Nishka Kacheria, Andrew Wu, Pratham Rangwala, Xinjie Wang, Laura Gomezjurado Gonzalez, Anita Ding, Benjamin Yi, Daniel E. Ho, Dan Boneh, Dawn Song, Ion Stoica, Percy Liang

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.AI

UniK: Universal Knowledge Perception for Digital and Physical AI

Two transformative classes of AI systems are reshaping how organizations operate: digital AI, which reasons over enterprise knowledge to power chatbots and agent workflows; and physical AI, which learns to control robots and autonomous systems from video, gameplay, and sensor telemetry. Both face the same foundational bottleneck: raw knowledge at scale, spanning heterogeneous modalities, locked in private corpora that existing AI infrastructure cannot access reliably or efficiently. We propose Universal Knowledge Perception (UniK) as a common platform for both classes, covering the full knowledge lifecycle (ingestion, enrichment, indexing, retrieval, and continuous evaluation) across modalities from rich text and video to molecular data and sensor telemetry. We present UniK, built on Polymath Retrieval (multi-index fusion over automatically enriched indices) with no task-specific fine-tuning. Across five digital AI domains (medical literature, open-domain QA, chemistry, legal video proceedings, and government open data) UniK combined with an open-source 70-billion-parameter model consistently matches or outperforms frontier proprietary LLMs that are orders of magnitude larger: 76% RAG accuracy on government data versus 47% for GPT-5; 77.9% on medical QA without fine-tuning; topping all open-source chemistry pipelines. We show that the same infrastructure directly addresses the data curation, indexing, and retrieval challenges facing physical AI world model training, where the knowledge problem is harder but structurally identical.
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All authors Nirmit Desai, Kunal Sawarkar, Aditya Mahakali, Dongkon Lee, Kevin Park, Eric Song

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML

Exponential Family Synthetic Controls

We develop exponential family synthetic controls (EFSC), a distributional version of synthetic controls for a panel of datasets. Each cell of the panel corresponds to a dataset drawn from an exponential family whose natural parameters factorize probabilistically across units and times. We estimate the latent factors using black-box variational inference. This replaces the usual weighted-average view of synthetic controls with a flexible probabilistic model that operates on full distributions. We propose causal estimands based on divergences between pre- and post-intervention distributions induced by the posterior of the natural parameters, together with distributional placebo tests to support causal inference and assess the significance of the estimated effects. We validate the proposed framework on synthetic and real data. Across a variety of exponential-family distributions, EFSC accurately recovers causal effects induced by exponential tilts, together with the corresponding divergences between treated and counterfactual distributions. The framework also captures effects induced by structural perturbations of the latent factors and by heavy-tailed noise contamination. Finally, we apply EFSC to study the expansion of Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act (ACA) and its impact on the distribution of health insurance coverage across U.S. states. Code is available at https://github.com/blei-lab/efsc.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Rethinking Diffusion Segmentation: When Does It Rely on Its Noisy State, and Does Diffusion Matter?

Diffusion models are increasingly adapted from generation to conditional prediction, where a conditioning signal is combined with an evolving noisy representation of the target. In fully supervised segmentation, however, the conditioning image can already support direct target prediction, so endpoint performance alone establishes neither reliance on the added diffusion state nor a deterministic advantage over image-only prediction. For state reliance, we disrupt target-derived state content or correct image-state pairing during retraining of twelve published methods across three datasets, with ten matched seeds per setting. All 40 original-method comparisons whose evaluated-mask routes remained downstream of noised-quantity reconstruction exhibited state reliance, whereas all 30 comparisons with a segmentation-supervised bypass preserved reference performance. Rerouting five originally bypass-capable methods by forcing segmentation supervision through noise-to-mask reconstruction converted all 30 corresponding comparisons from preserved performance to state reliance. For deterministic utility, matched image-only counterparts achieved similar or better performance in 28 of 35 settings overall, including 16 of 20 whose native methods relied on both audited state properties. These results identify supervision path as a determinant of state reliance in the audited methods. Separately, matched image-only counterparts show that diffusion-specific computation often provides no deterministic endpoint advantage, including in methods that rely on the audited state properties. More generally, when conditioning already supports strong target prediction, diffusion-specific claims require additional evidence that the added state is used and that diffusion-specific computation improves the claimed capability beyond a matched condition-only counterpart.
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Sunday 20 September

Machine Learning

Transferability and operational reliability of a Prithvi crop classification foundation model under phenological and geographic shift across three continents

Fine-tuned geospatial foundation models (GeoFMs) pretrained on large satellite archives have been shown to improve crop classification accuracy and geographic transferability. However, their operational performance beyond the training distribution remains poorly characterized. We evaluated the out-of-distribution performance of a widely adopted GeoFM [Prithvi-EO-2.0] across 37 events in 12 countries on three continents and validated against regional reference products. Results indicated that the mean overall accuracy (OA) declined from 0.65 in the United States to 0.40 in Europe. Beyond accuracy metrics, we assessed five key aspects of model performance: whether model confidence indicates signal failure, sensitivity to observation windows, the effect of coarsening class schemes, and robustness to both band loss and cloud- and shadow-contamination. Accuracy collapsed when the observation window misaligned with local crop phenology, while deterministic confidence remained high. Expected calibration error increased for seven of eight paired events, and 12-51% of each affected scene was confidently mislabeled at near-zero precision. Monte Carlo dropout entropy registered the shift in all eight, indicating that much of the apparent cross-continent decline reflected phenological misalignment rather than spatial transfer. Two adjustments recovered accuracy without retraining. Consolidating 13 classes into 10, based on the model's dominant confusions, raised the mean OA by 8.4 percentage points. Compressing the window toward near-real-time use preserved accuracy across a 45- to 90-day plateau, peaking near 75 days, though arms tighter than 30 days fell about 0.11 below that plateau. Fine-tuned crop GeoFMs therefore transfer usefully only where observation windows match local growing seasons. We translate these findings into operational guidance for the reliable deployment of the released model.
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All authors Venkatesh Kolluru, Rajat Shinde, Abdelhak Marouane, Caden Helbling, Deepak Shah, Othneil Drew, Srinivas Kolluru, Iksha Gurung, Manil Maskey, Rahul Ramachandran

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CL

When a Data Artifact Isn't a Shortcut: Causal Auditing of Synthetic RLVR Corpora

Several recent pipelines build RLVR training data by masking a span of real corpus text and asking a language model to invent plausible wrong answers around it. The correct option is therefore genuine human prose; every distractor is synthetic. Correctness and provenance become entangled, and a policy could in principle learn the second instead of the first. We audit that possibility in GooseReason-0.7M. First we ask whether the asymmetry is visible at all: a classifier reading only five surface statistics (never the meaning) reaches AUROC 0.562 over 315,499 options, barely above chance. The aggregate hides something, though. Code sits at 0.416, below chance, and manual inspection explains why: code distractors turn out to be single-operator mutations of the gold answer rather than freely written alternatives, so the two classes are nearly identical by construction. Detecting a signal is not the same as showing a model uses it, so we then run an intervention. We build a paraphrase-matched control corpus, hold training-set size identical across arms, and train two policies under one fixed budget. The exploitation gap does not favour the unmodified-data arm: 0.021 against 0.027 for the control. Under our budget, in other words, a detectable artifact went unexploited. We think that dissociation, along with the domain-specific construction finding, is worth knowing for anyone curating corpora of this kind, and we release the audit as a mostly CPU-only protocol.
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Machine Learning

What Makes a Terminal-Bench Task Hard? Separating Genuine Hardness from Fake-Hardness on an Adjudicated Agentic Corpus

Frontier benchmarks need tasks that current models cannot solve. But a task that no model solves is not automatically a hard task. The same zero pass rate can come from a real capability gap, but it can also come from missing context, a broken reference solution, infrastructure failure, or a verifier that can be bypassed. In this paper, we study this issue using a frozen Terminal-Bench 3 / Frontier-Bench 0.1 production record with 1,081 pull requests, 639 scored tasks, 28,801 trials, and $105,933 in logged agent spend. We ask what an all-fail task actually certifies. For the 125 tasks with no honest pass, we combine task artifacts, reference-solution runs, empty-solution controls, adversarial trials, trajectories, telemetry, and review records, and apply an ordered validity screen. Only 78 of the 125 tasks survive as certified-unsolved candidates. The remaining tasks include 14 with broken oracles, 8 dominated by infrastructure failures, 4 that are only passable through verifier bypasses, and 21 whose solvability is not certified by the available evidence. Thus, lack of saturation and genuine difficulty are not the same thing. The certified-unsolved label is also narrow: it means that the authored route passed, infrastructure did not dominate, no strict bypass was observed, and all evaluated agents failed. It does not prove intrinsic hardness, verifier completeness, or failure at the intended capability. We further analyze rejected submissions and passing tasks to show that pass rate alone cannot explain why a task is difficult. Overall, our results suggest that frontier benchmarks should report the evidence behind their all-fail tasks before using them as capability claims.
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All authors Edward Lue Chee Lip, Boden Moraski, Tim Knappe, Lang Xiong, Sarvesh Gharat, Antonio Mari, Ivan Bercovich

Machine Learning

HARN: Hierarchical Associative Resonance Network for Event-Driven Multi-Timeframe Forecasting

Financial time series evolve across multiple temporal resolutions, challenging forecasting systems to incorporate newly available information without repeatedly recomputing unchanged representations. We introduce HARN, a Hierarchical Associative Resonance Network for event-driven multi-timeframe forecasting. HARN maintains persistent representations across temporal levels and updates each level only when its corresponding completed bar becomes available. The architecture combines causal multi-scale temporal encoding, gated associative memory, cross-level resonance, and hierarchical evidence aggregation, with forecasting performed in basis-point space and reconstructed to the original price scale. We evaluate HARN on four assets spanning equity, foreign exchange, and commodity markets using multiple random seeds and component ablations. HARN achieves competitive reconstructed-price forecasting errors against single-timeframe PatchTST and TimeXer baselines, while ablations reveal the effects of removing individual components across assets and timeframes. A code-level audit further examines consistency between the implementation and the defined event-driven causal protocol. The results position HARN as a persistent multi-timeframe forecasting framework rather than evidence of universal predictive superiority.
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Machine Learning

Signal2Symbol: Neuro-Symbolic Temporal Reasoning for Explainable Physiological Time-Series Anomaly Detection

Physiological time series such as electrocardiograms (ECG) and electroencephalograms (EEG) exhibit complex temporal structure, substantial acquisition variability, and a strong need for transparent decision-making. Although deep models can achieve high detection performance, they often provide limited insight into why a segment is anomalous, how local anomalies relate over time, and whether a detection belongs to a broader recurring pattern. We propose Signal2Symbol, a neuro-symbolic framework for explainable biosignal anomaly detection. The method first converts ECG/EEG signals into symbolic sequences using either a learned VQ-VAE (Vector Quantized Variational Autoencoder) codebook or a SAX (Symbolic Aggregate approXimation) baseline. It then constructs bigram enriched token-window transactions and scores anomalies through rare itemset evidence derived from minimal rare itemset mining. Detected anomalous windows are merged into intervals and related using Allen interval algebra, enabling composite temporal explanations such as escalation chains, artifact overlap, and cross-channel synchrony. Finally, we introduce a rare temporal concept lattice based on Formal Concept Analysis (FCA), which groups anomalous intervals by shared rare symbolic evidence, Allen temporal relations, channel context, and robustness attributes. The resulting Galois lattice compresses many local detections into interpretable families of temporal-symbolic anomalies. We evaluate on three public benchmarks: MIT-BIH Arrhythmia (beat-level ECG), PTB-XL (record-level ECG), and the Bonn EEG dataset (segment-level EEG). We stress-test robustness under additive noise and baseline-wander perturbations. The results highlight the value of neuro-symbolic tokenization for temporal anomaly analysis and show that Allen/FCA reasoning provides compact, interpretable summaries of local detections.
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Machine Learning

The Probabilistic Structure of Large Language Models

This paper presents a probabilistic perspective on large language models (LLMs), developed with the aim of bringing together, in a single self-contained account, tools that are usually treated separately across the literature. LLMs are described through probability measures on the set of sequences of tokens, specified via their autoregressive conditional distributions. Training is formulated as a maximum-likelihood estimation problem, addressed by stochastic gradient methods, while text generation is viewed as the sequential simulation of the resulting stochastic process. The role of the asymmetry of the Kullback–Leibler divergence in text generation is examined in relation with characteristic phenomena such as hallucination and the distinction between statistical plausibility and truth. As a complementary illustration of the same viewpoint, we also discuss diffusion models, built around the score function, which cast generation not as sequential token prediction but as the simulation of a reverse-time stochastic process transforming noise into data both in discrete and continuous time.
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Machine Learning

Entropy Can Flow, or It Can Guide. Be Entropy. LEDFlow: Introducing Entropy-guided Generation Order into Uniform Discrete Flow

Uniform discrete flow permits repeated updates at every generation position. While continued revision supports correction of wrong tokens, it also exposes correct intermediate predictions to later errors. An experiment on Sudoku puzzles shows that 9.4% of generated cells are correct at an intermediate step but incorrect in the final output. We introduce generation order into uniform discrete flow through selective absorption, which fixes chosen predictions while preserving the uniform flow velocity at active positions. To prioritize reliable predictions for absorption, we propose Low-Entropy Discrete Flow (LEDFlow), a training-free sampler that adaptively orders absorption by local entropy. By decomposing absorption error into joint dependence and conditional prediction terms, we show that, under entropy-error regularity, selecting the lowest-entropy positions under a fixed absorption count minimizes an upper bound on the conditional term. We further analyze sensitivity of global lookahead, whose worst-case decision-error bound grows with lookahead window under an imperfect denoiser. Across reasoning benchmarks, LEDFlow attains 0.845 Nikoli Sudoku solve accuracy, with largest gains on strongly constrained tasks. On a text-to-image generation benchmark it attains the best overall score among decode-time samplers, and on multimodal understanding it improves over the default sampler on all six benchmarks, at an inference cost comparable to standard flow sampling.
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All authors Tung Sum Thomas Kwok, Yidong Ouyang, Yingjia Wan, Ying Nian Wu, Zhijiang Guo, Oscar Leong

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CL

Impact Is Not Invalidation: Ask About the Claim, Not the Diff

Memory systems for coding agents must decide, when a repository changes, which of their stored claims have become false. Content anchoring invalidates a claim whenever the artifact it came from changes, which fires constantly. Semantic-equivalence classification asks whether a diff preserves behavior, a question about the diff rather than about any stored claim. We show the second signal fails for a reason unrelated to model capability: asked whether a commit preserves behavior, five models spanning a 40x price range fire on 59-72% of real commits and reach precisions of only 0.291 to 0.329 against a 0.25 base rate. Asked instead whether one specific claim still holds, the same models on the same diffs reach 0.705 to 0.974. A control that hands the behavior-preservation judge the claim text, changing only the question, moves precision by 0.010 and 0.016; changing the question moves it by 0.49 and 0.65. We also compare against pytest-testmon, a deployed regression-test selector with coverage-derived dependency data: it reaches 0.868 recall at 0.415 precision, so near-complete knowledge of what a change can reach does not identify what it falsifies. Ground truth is execution, not annotation: a claim is a test function passing at commit t, and it has flipped if that same assertion text fails at t+1. Building this required an observation we did not find in prior work. On a CI-gated mainline a commit that leaves a pre-existing test failing cannot merge, so the naive construction has an empty positive class by design. We report 10,369 claims with 184 execution-verified flips mined from 23 Python libraries, splits held out by repository, a post-knowledge-cutoff split, a shuffled-diff null, a paraphrase control, and a leave-one-repository-out analysis over 17 repositories.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from q-bio.QM

WILSON - Multi-magnification composites as a foundation for patient-level pathology analysis and diagnostic text generation

Pathologists examine tissue sections across multiple magnifications and slides, integrating morphological information to establish a diagnosis. In contrast, most pathology foundation models encode thousands of image patches from a single representative ("best") slide and aggregate their features, limiting multiscale and patient-level contextual integration. Here we introduce WILSON, a vision-language foundation model that represents whole-slide images and multi-slide cases through multi-magnification composites. Trained on approximately 189,000 slides spanning 42 organs and 838 diagnostic entities, WILSON enables patient-level analysis, multimodal retrieval and diagnostic text generation. Without task-specific training, WILSON outperformed a dedicated case-level model (macro-F1, 0.52 versus 0.38) and matched substantially larger slide-level models while requiring 400-1,350 times fewer computational operations. End-to-end fine-tuning improved breast cancer subtyping and stromal lymphocyte grading. WILSON also surpassed PRISM in image-text retrieval (recall@1, 75.6% versus 58.1%) and generated diagnostic descriptions that received higher ratings from five board-certified pathologists than competing models. These findings demonstrate that compact, multiscale representations can support computationally efficient, clinically grounded pathology foundation models.
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All authors Saghir Alfasly, Wataru Uegami, Sobhan Hemati, Wenchao Han, Xiaojia Tang, Kevin Thompson, Daniel Stone, Ghazal Alabtah, Chris Hartley, Chady Meroueh, John C. Cheville, Thomas J. Flotte, Saba Yasir, Michael R. Lucas, Eric W. Klee, Cheryl L. Willman, Judy C. Boughey, Matthew P. Goetz, Krishna R. Kalari, H.R. Tizhoosh

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from eess.IV

ORION-CMR: On-scanner Reporting with Integrated Foundation Model for End-to-End Cardiac MRI Analysis and Interpretation

Cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) provides comprehensive cardiac assessment but remains underutilized because of the complexity of acquisition, post-processing, and interpretation. Existing artificial intelligence (AI) methods address isolated tasks, limiting clinical integration. We present ORION-CMR (On-scanner Reporting with Integrated fOunda-tioN Model), the first clinically evaluated scanner-native end-to-end CMR foundation model. Pretrained on 12,896,733 CMR images from 9,258 studies, ORION-CMR performs sequence classification, ventricular function assessment, late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) detection, binary and multiclass disease classification, and local large language model-based report generation in approximately 90 seconds. The framework. was evaluated on public benchmarks and clinically validated in a multi-vendor cohort of 68 subjects with normal examinations, congenital heart disease, dilated cardiomyopathy, and myocardial infarction. ORION-CMR outperformed supervised baselines and the previously published CMR foundation model (CMR-FM), achieving state-of-the-art performance for LGE classification and scar segmentation. Clinical evaluation achieved an AUC of 0.96 for normal-versus abnormal classification and 0.88 for multiclass disease classification, while generated reports demonstrated 81.4% agreement with expert interpretation. These results demonstrate the feasibility of real-time scanner-native AI-assisted CMR analysis and automated report generation.
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All authors Omer Burak Demirel, Kelly K. Horst, Alessio Perazzolo, Elisa Bruno, Kenan Kaya, Rongzhen Ouyang, Enas Ahmed, Jouke Smink, Spencer L. Waddle, Zainudeen Kallumpurath, Tzu Cheng Chao, Dinghui Wang, Steve G. Langer, Timothy L. Kline, Panagiotis Korfiatis, Jacinta Browne, Ivana Isgum, Tim Leiner

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML

Sparse Regression Distilled from a Single Robust Fit

Robust linear fits can resist response contamination yet remain too dense or unstable for useful global explanations. We propose penalized distillation, which fits a smoothly clipped absolute deviation (SCAD) estimator to a robust initial estimator's empirical fitted surface along a safeguarded coordinate-descent path and evaluates candidate states separately for fidelity, parsimony, perturbation stability, and held-out prediction. The new results attach to the states the algorithm actually computes. Conditional on a fixed uncontaminated design, deterministic bounds transfer response-replacement boundedness from the initial fit to every retained path state. Turning to fixed dimension, we characterize the oracle-support branch by its empirical-Gram projection and influence function, give conditions for covariance-weighted least-squares approximation equivalence, and establish a path-conditional generalized information criterion. By contrast, at large dimension-to-sample ratios the full-coordinate robust fit collapses without warning, and screening restores the construction. Under a sure-screening framework, the robustness bound and the support and selection guarantees transfer to the screened fit. Simulations separate robustness transfer from support recovery, efficiency, and computation across the dimension-to-sample ratio, with p up to 240, and the signal density, which isolates what the sparse stage adds once the screen over-selects. In a duplicate-grouped superconductivity study, the distilled estimator remains predictively stable under prespecified training-response shifts but retains 66.8–68.8 of 81 slopes. Stronger sparsification reduces the model to 12.6–14.0 slopes only at visible fidelity and prediction cost. Distillation therefore preserves predictive stability on these data without substantiating a compact coordinate-level explanation.
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Machine Learning

The Neural Forcing for Three-Dimensional Incompressible Navier-Stokes finite time blowup

We present a two-part neural framework for forced three-dimensional incompressible Navier–Stokes flow. Part~I develops the computational forcing system. A physics-informed neural model generates structured external-force trajectories, candidates are optimized through differentiable PDE rollouts or PPO-Clip, and selected forcings are frozen and checked by independent fixed-force replay. Part~II provides the mathematical certification layer. It separates neural candidate discovery from continuum analysis, derives integrated reciprocal-vorticity criteria that imply Riccati-type growth and finite-time loss of smooth continuation, develops a validated computational-to-continuum transfer strategy, and establishes a conditional positive-probability closure for a nondegenerate neural output law. The proof is complete at the continuum level.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML

Density-Ratio Rescoring for Imbalanced Classification Using Raking Duals and Classifier Scores

Density-Ratio Rescoring (DRR) augments a classifier trained at the original class prior with a survey-raking dual score. Raking reweights the majority sample to match minority feature moments within a tolerance. DRR marginally standardizes the dual and base scores and combines them with a fixed weight of one half, using the fitted dual directly for prediction without resampling or refitting the base classifier. Under exact population matching and a correctly specified log-linear tilt model, the dual equals the log density ratio up to an additive constant. A class-separation analysis characterizes the signal strength and correlation conditions under which fusion improves separation under common within-class covariance. On 24 tabular benchmarks, evaluated over 30 trials and five base learners, DRR at the D=128 random-feature setting improves average precision over the standardized base on every dataset, with a mean gain of 0.034. It exceeds the shared-dual raking-and-relabeling resampler on 22 of 24 datasets, with a mean gain of $0.092$, and on all eight one-versus-rest tasks of a shared gene-expression cohort. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of using raking duals as reusable scores for improving rare-class ranking while retaining classifiers trained at the original prior.
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Machine Learning

Matched-Input Estimates Differ in Sign Across Architectures: Auditing EEG Foundation Models on Motor Imagery

Pretrained EEG foundation models are increasingly proposed as general-purpose encoders for brain-computer interfaces, yet recent benchmarks disagree about when their representations transfer to downstream tasks. We audit LaBraM and CBraMod on motor imagery under a validation-locked protocol in which preprocessing, architecture, optimization, freeze depth, checkpoint, temperature, and method selection are determined using training-session data only. On four-class BCI Competition IV-2a, every supervised comparator evaluated here outperforms every foundation-model configuration, including validation-selected fine-tuning. We then examine a key confound: foundation models and task-specific decoders are normally evaluated using different input pipelines. Retraining three supervised architectures on the broadband arrays consumed by the foundation models produces matched-input accuracy differences of opposite sign across architectures: broadband input improves ATCNet by 0.078 accuracy while reducing EEG Conformer accuracy by 0.088. None of the three individual matched-input terms is significant after multiple-comparison correction at n = 9, so we treat the sign variation descriptively rather than as a formal architecture-by-pipeline interaction. These observed sign differences suggest that a single comparator may not provide an architecture-invariant decomposition of a pretrained-versus-supervised performance gap. The four-class deficit also does not reproduce uniformly across motor-imagery datasets: on two-class BNCI2014-004 we cannot detect the same separation between fine-tuned CBraMod and the supervised comparators. Finally, validation-fitted temperature scaling returns foundation-model calibration error to the supervised range despite substantially lower four-class accuracy.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.AI

Increasing Skill Level Recruits Deeper Attention Layers in a Frozen Chess Transformer

Chess involves complex reasoning in a deterministic environment, which makes it a useful setting for studying the mechanisms of computation inside transformers. The Maia-3 chess transformer takes Elo, a measure of competitive chess skill, as an input to the pre-trained network, so we can vary the skill the network is conditioned on with no change to its weights. Here we investigate how turning this skill dial affects self-attention. Ablating every attention head at every Elo from 700 to 2500, we find 1) increasing skill pushes the causal center of mass of the computation deeper, monotonically, for every chess piece and move type we measured; 2) the depth migration is much greater for specific tactics, especially knight forks, than for other move types; 3) the migration consists of deeper heads getting recruited for more specialized computations while one shared shallow head keeps a roughly constant contribution. These results may shed light on how conditioning inputs redistribute computation in larger transformers.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from eess.IV

Learning-Based 3D Reconstruction of Power Networks from Aerial Point Clouds

This paper presents an end-to-end framework for reconstructing overhead power utility network topology and extracting span-level physical metadata from large-scale aerial LiDAR. The pipeline begins with semantic segmentation of the input point cloud using an improved KPConv-based model, in which data sampling and loss functions are adapted to emphasize pole and conductor (wire) classes. Network topology inference then proceeds in two stages: (i) pole instances are obtained by clustering pole-class points and validating candidates using geometric criteria, including height and verticality estimated via PCA, and (ii) candidate pole pairs are evaluated using a heuristic method and a lightweight ResNet-based classifier on 2D top-view projections of pole and wire point distributions to determine whether a physical conductor span exists. By explicitly classifying candidate spans, the approach mitigates common failure modes of heuristic connectivity rules in dense or cluttered scenes and under partial wire observation. For each validated wire, attributes regarding utility infrastructure geometry are computed, including endpoint conductor heights, ground elevation, sag-related lowest-point features, conductor arrangement, and wire width. Evaluation on multiple real-world aerial LiDAR datasets demonstrates decimeter-level endpoint height accuracy and approximately 9% relative improvement in recall for topology reconstruction compared to heuristic nearest-neighbor baselines, with larger gains in complex layouts.
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Machine Learning

A discrete generative model of neuronal spiking activity on microelectrode arrays

Generative models of neural activity could help characterize tissue dynamics, compare experimental conditions, and simulate population activity for applications ranging from disease and drug-response studies to closed-loop experimentation. Existing approaches, however, typically assume a fixed set of sorted neurons, whereas high-density microelectrode arrays produce extremely sparse, array-wide binary spike volumes in which the observed subset of electrodes varies across assays. We introduce a discrete generative model that represents this activity using a shared vocabulary of spatiotemporal motifs. A residual vector-quantized autoencoder learns the motif vocabulary, while a factorized masked transformer predicts where activity occurs and which motif appears at each active location. We evaluate the model on 31 assays spanning human brain organoids and acute ex vivo human hippocampal tissue. The learned motifs are broadly reused: assay identity explains only $9%$ of the entropy in motif use, and motif overlap across tissue types is comparable to overlap within them. When representation quality is evaluated independently of the generative prior, our approach achieves $5.2\times$ the voxel-level reconstruction average precision of a matched flat tokenizer. For masked completion and free generation, the full model achieves $1.4$–$2.6\times$ the site-level average precision of the matched generative baseline and outperforms it across all four families of generation metrics. These results establish a compact, reusable representation for array-wide spiking activity without learned assay-specific parameters, providing a scalable foundation for generative modeling across diverse neural preparations.
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Machine Learning

Multivariate quantile regression via Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks

This paper introduces a novel algorithm for predicting conditional joint distributions of vector-valued targets in stochastic systems whose randomness is intrinsic rather than arising from observation errors or additive noise. Multivariate quantile regression also involves modeling conditional joint distributions but represents a less challenging task. It predicts the probability that vector-valued targets fall within predefined regions, identifies regions corresponding to predefined probability levels, or performs both tasks simultaneously. The proposed identification technique employs ensembles of Kolmogorov-Arnold networks (KANs) as flexible function approximators. Although the suggested technique is not theoretically restricted to KANs, KANs are particularly well suited to the proposed construction and are therefore used throughout this study. In addition to the training procedure, this work introduces a new discrepancy measure for joint distributions and a goodness-of-fit (GoF) test based on it. This GoF test was initially developed to validate and calibrate the proposed identification technique and is used here in an ad hoc manner. Although the test could be tabulated for broader use, such a tabulation is not pursued in this work. The test is also applicable more generally.
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Machine Learning

LumoTree: Path-Parallel Speculative Verification for Hybrid Language Models

Tree speculative decoding for recurrent-hybrid language models requires each accepted path to maintain consistent recurrent state, convolution history, and attention caches. We present LumoTree, a GPU serving design that coordinates verification and commitment through a shared tree descriptor. The verifier processes independent paths in parallel and reuses recurrent state tiles across local updates. Boundary states connect dependent paths. Accepted-path replay publishes the selected continuation into native running state, alongside coordinated convolution gathering and attention-cache remapping. Fused selection, device-resident acceptance, graph replay, and tree-aware attention integrate this organization into the serving cycle. The design separates temporary branch computation from persistent request state while retaining native prefix-cache interfaces. We evaluate numerical behavior, serving performance, and coding-agent outcomes on NVIDIA DGX Spark.
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Machine Learning

Circuit-Diff: Factual Edit-based Intervention Method for Localizing Knowledge in Attribution Graphs

Mechanistic interpretability defines features as the fundamental units of a neural network and circuits as the weighted subgraphs that carry out its computation. Because individual neurons are polysemantic, Cross-Layer Transcoders (CLTs) were introduced as a way to approximate a model's circuits by generating an attribution graph. The nodes of that graph, however, are unlabeled features: reading a graph means pruning it and then working out by hand what each surviving node means. To make CLTs easier to use for circuit discovery, we introduce Circuit-Diff, which intervenes on the model itself with a low-rank factual edit and takes the features whose role in the attribution graph changes under that edit as related to the edited knowledge. On the edits we examine, the flagged nodes are not only detectors of the object token: read off the CLT's released feature dashboards, they include features for the history, geography and associations surrounding the old and new objects. We formalize the method, measure how reliable a frozen CLT remains after a factual edit, test the selected nodes causally by patching them on up to 24 CounterFact edits, give a case study, and release an open-source implementation built on the circuit-tracer package, together with two further tools (multi-prompt aggregation and rule-based supernode labeling).
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.RO

HumynexSurg-1: A Curated Expert Liposuction Dataset

Robot foundation models learn manipulation from large demonstration corpora, but surgery is missing from those corpora: across the 780-hour Open-H surgical collection, one dataset carries synchronized force and none covers an aesthetic procedure. Liposuction is the hard case, because the instrument works under the skin and the surgeon operates by feel and by judgment. Humynex Robotics builds curated expert datasets for this kind of procedure. HumynexSurg-1 is the first release: a master liposuction surgeon performing on porcine abdominal tissue while narrating every decision, recorded with synchronized suction pressure, six-axis hand force/torque, top-down RGB-D video, side video and a lavalier microphone – 14 episodes, 42,738 frames, 35.6 minutes, 356 utterances of which 95% compile into a liposuction-specific label schema. The capture follows a patent-pending sensing plan organized around the quantities a policy needs, so a channel captured today by a model can be upgraded to a sensor tomorrow without changing the data format. This release captures the instrument motion as a tool-hand track in the side video and provides the force channel as state; the funded capture adds a measured 6-DoF handle pose, a validated force channel, ultrasound imaging of the fat layer, and palpation sensing. As a proof of concept, NVIDIA Isaac GR00T N1.7 fine-tunes on the dataset with no custom code in under an hour per run and learns the recorded sessions; scaling probes on the same episodes show where further gains come from: every new session lowers the error on an unseen session. The dataset, its label schema, its quality-assurance reports and its evaluation protocol are the product; the next capture, many short sessions across fat regions with the sensors named here, is what the probes point to.
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Machine Learning

Collaborative Streaming Anomaly Detection with Interactive Explanations and Ensemble Consensus

We present a collaborative streaming anomaly detection system for high-speed data streams that explicitly integrates human analysts into the decision loop. The system combines heterogeneous detectors and aggregates their outputs through a normalization-based weighted consensus, complemented by artifact-aware rules to stabilize anomaly scoring under deployment. To improve interpretability, it derives surrogate models that approximate the ensemble consensus and expose human-readable sensor conditions associated with anomalous behavior. Analysts can actively intervene by reviewing anomaly episodes, adjusting consensus behavior, and refining surrogate rules used for anomaly prediction, producing a human-adjusted ensemble. We evaluate the approach on an industrial stream with 260\,000 events and 3 anomalous episodes, showing robust detection and actionable human-AI interaction.
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All authors Diogo Risca, Afonso Lourenço, Ricardo Martins, Goreti Marreiros

Machine Learning

GLR-MM: Graph-Based Global-Local Reconstruction for Robust Multimodal Chest X-ray and EHR Representation Learning under Missing Modalities

Clinical multimodal models must often predict before all chest X-ray (CXR) and electronic health record (EHR) inputs are available. Existing approaches align observed representations, model missingness, or reconstruct across modalities, but do not jointly exploit within-patient and clinically similar inter-patient evidence. We propose GLR-MM, a Graph-Based Global-Local Reconstruction framework for early ICU mortality prediction. It maps five CXR-EHR modalities to a shared space, reconstructs missing embeddings through complementary local cross-modal and global graph-attention branches, adaptively fuses their estimates, and optimizes class-balanced prediction, reconstruction, and contrastive objectives. On 9,620 MIMIC-derived ICU stays, we evaluate 10%, 30%, and 50% random modality missingness with shared deterministic masks. MUSE performs better under mild and moderate missingness, whereas GLR-MM achieves higher AUROC and AUPRC at 50% by 0.0088 and 0.0249, respectively. These results indicate that graph-guided reconstruction is most useful when inputs are severely incomplete.
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Machine Learning

VISTA: An Attention-Based Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning Architecture for Space Situational Awareness Sensor Tasking

The rapid growth of resident space objects is increasing the complexity of space situational awareness sensor tasking, challenging classical optimization methods as they allocate finite, heterogeneous, and distributed sensing resources across ever-larger catalogues. Existing deep reinforcement learning approaches show promise in reduced settings, but fixed-dimensional state and action representations limit their ability to scale to large, dynamic catalogues and distributed sensing networks. We introduce VISTA (Variable-Entity Intelligent Sensor Tasking Architecture), a scalable deep reinforcement learning architecture for persistent uncertainty-driven catalogue maintenance across variable object populations and sensor configurations. VISTA combines physics- and mission-informed top-K retrieval with entity-centric attention, recurrent memory, and pointer-based action decoding, thereby keeping each agent's observation and action spaces independent of catalogue size. We evaluate VISTA across different scenarios, from fixed-size single-sensor benchmarks to large-scale space-based tasking and heterogeneous cooperative sensing. With 30 orbiting targets, VISTA recovers the catalogue 31.2% faster than the fixed-dimensional recurrent baseline. In the large-scale regime, VISTA reduces five-hour uncertainty by 97.5% relative to the strongest classical reference and by 99.3% relative to the recurrent learner. Zero-shot tests up to 20,000 objects reveal near-linear relations between sensing capacity, catalogue size, and recovery horizon. Learned policies also exhibit sensor modality adaptation and generalization to population and initial-uncertainty shifts. Together, these results demonstrate that VISTA provides a scalable framework for adaptive space situational awareness sensor tasking across large, distributed networks of heterogeneous ground- and space-based sensors.
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All authors Miguel Leiva-Vélez, Adalberto Claudio Quiros, Nicolas Gaston Rozado, Hodei Urrutxua, Víctor Rodríguez-Fernández

Machine Learning

PROSE: A Theory of Optimal Stopping with Perishable Evidence for Peer Selection in Intermittently Connected Decentralised Learning

Decentralised federated learning removes the aggregation server but makes collaboration dependent on transient peer availability. In mobile and intermittently connected systems, evaluating a promising peer consumes contact time and may cause the exchange opportunity itself to vanish, so that the evidence a learner gathers about a peer is perishable: it decays because links expire and because peer models drift while old measurements age. This paper develops a self-contained theory of optimal stopping for the resulting peer-selection problem. We formalise a receiver's within-contact decision as a finite-horizon Markov optimal-stopping problem with costly information acquisition and a future-arrival outside option, and prove that it admits an optimal policy characterised by a reservation value (Snell-envelope structure). Around this formulation we prove: (i) stage-uniform, drift-aware concentration and a maximin certification rule that is correct with high probability together with a finite-sample identification bound; (ii) a mobility-aware value of-information stopping rule and comparative statics showing that higher link hazard lowers the value of continued probing and enlarges the stopping region; (iii) a closed-form value of waiting under marked-Poisson contact arrivals, together with a search-theoretic reservation value whose comparative statics we characterise; and (iv) a myopic-optimality theorem establishing that, in sufficiently volatile (monotone) mobility regimes, the one-step confidence-safe rule is a sound surrogate for the optimal policy and never stops prematurely. We instantiate the theory as PROSE (Perishable-evidence Reservation-value Optimal Stopping for Exchange), a lightweight, fully local policy, and delineate the static contact and drift-free limits in which classical sequential decision problems are recovered. The development is entirely analytical.
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