Papers

Residential short-term load forecasting (STLF) is challenging because household demand is heterogeneous, temporally variable, and shaped by diverse behavioural routines. This work investigates whether inferred behavioural structure can be embedded within the forecasting mechanism of a Neural Process-based probabilistic model, rather than used only as an external grouping signal, for context-conditioned residential STLF. We propose a behaviour-conditioned Attentive Neural Process framework that treats each load profile as a forecasting task. Behavioural structure is represented by a discrete latent variable inferred from the available context and used for behaviour-conditioned decoder conditioning, while a continuous latent variable captures shared functional uncertainty across heterogeneous profiles. To enable conditioning without ground-truth behavioural labels, clustering-derived information provides weak supervision during training, whereas test-time conditioning relies only on context-inferred class distributions. Experiments on the Smart Grid, Smart City (SGSC) dataset use user-disjoint train/validation/test splits, variable context lengths, and multi-step forecast horizons, with comparisons against a label-agnostic ANP baseline and fixed-window deterministic STLF baselines. The proposed variants improve MAE and CRPS over ANP across horizons and context settings, with the largest gains under limited context. The best-performing variant achieves average reductions of 7.9% in MAE and 6.9% in CRPS relative to ANP. Compared with fixed-window baselines, this variant achieves lower RMSE across all evaluated horizons while maintaining competitive MAE, suggesting fewer large prediction deviations under heterogeneous consumption patterns. These results support single-model, uncertainty-aware forecasting across heterogeneous households, contexts, and horizons.

Human vision is a closed loop: gaze is continuously redirected by intermediate hypotheses rather than a single snapshot. Decades of psychophysics and cognitive science have argued that this active observation is essential for a wide range of tasks. Whether today's multimodal large language models (MLLMs) exercise active observation is an empirical question that current vision-language benchmarks do not answer. We introduce ActiveVision, a benchmark that makes active observation measurable for MLLMs, comprising 17 tasks across 3 categories. Tasks are designed to force repeated visual perception rather than a single static description. Frontier MLLMs collapse on ActiveVision: the highest-scoring model we evaluate, GPT-5.5 at the highest exposed reasoning-effort tier, solves only 10.6% of items and scores zero on 11 of the 17 tasks, and even Claude Fable 5, despite topping most reasoning and coding leaderboards, solves just 3.5%, far behind three human participants who average 96.1%. Furthermore, much of the gap persists even when models write and run their own vision code: such code is unreliable on realistic imagery, and catching its failures itself requires the active perception the models lack. Together, these results indicate that current MLLMs lack robust active visual observation, motivating architectures and training objectives that close the perception-reasoning loop.

Urban intersections are among the most hazardous locations in road networks, posing significant risks to vehicles and vulnerable road users (VRUs) such as pedestrians and cyclists. The complexity of multi-agent interactions demands continuous, real-time monitoring systems capable of anticipating conflicts before they escalate into crashes. We present PRISA, a modular infrastructure LiDAR framework leveraging privacy-preserving, low-light-robust roadside sensors for long-term traffic observation and real-time risk detection at the edge. The framework comprises two core components: a sensing and perception layer and a plug-and-play risk assessment module. The latter automatically curates site-specific training data from accumulated perception outputs to train a trajectory prediction model without manual annotation. It then deploys the trained model for continuous motion forecasting and dual surrogate safety evaluation, using Time-to-Collision (TTC) for longitudinal conflicts and Predicted Post-Encroachment Time (PPET) for crossing and VRU-involved interactions. PRISA is evaluated on the public R-LiViT dataset and deployed on an NVIDIA Jetson AGX Thor at a live signalized intersection in Chattanooga, Tennessee. PPET-based assessment operates at 194~ms end-to-end latency over a 2.4-second predictive horizon, with TTC-based detection and perception remaining within real-time constraints, demonstrating practical feasibility for proactive multi-agent intersection safety monitoring.

In this work we demonstrate that a single transformer-based generative model can capture Standard Model structure spanning five decades of invariant mass, from the sub-GeV regime to the TeV continuum, a range that no single Monte Carlo sample covers. To achieve this we design ShellFlow, a Riemannian conditional flow matching model that, given the recorded event composition, generates each particle on its on-shell manifold. Its only physics priors are the on-shell condition and the invariant-mass formula. The model is trained on $\sim 10^{9}$ real $pp$ collision events from the ATLAS Open Data 13~TeV release and told nothing else. From a single training run, the model learns to reproduce all of the following: intra-particle kinematics, the dilepton resonances ($J/\psi$, $\Upsilon$, $Z$) at their PDG positions, the leptonic Weinberg angle, the $W$ and top-quark masses, and inter-particle correlations that enter no training objective. A substantial fraction of the Standard Model is thus learnable directly from recorded collision data.

Improved Kernel Partial Least Squares (IKPLS) algorithms 1 and 2 are among the fastest PLS calibration algorithms. This article focuses on two shared steps, the computation of the $\mathbf{X}$ rotations, $\mathbf{R}$, and the $\mathbf{Y}$ loadings, $\mathbf{Q}$, and accelerates both. For $\mathbf{R}$, term-by-term accumulation is replaced by a direct evaluation strategy that requires the same number of multiplications but parallelizes better on modern hardware. For $\mathbf{Q}$, I identify - to the best of my knowledge, for the first time - equivalences showing that each $\mathbf{Y}$ loading is obtainable, up to explicitly derived constants, from quantities already computed earlier in the same iteration, and I exploit them in IKPLS to reduce the cost of each loading from $\Theta\left(KM\right)$ to $\Theta\left(M\right)$ operations whenever $M = 1$ or $2 \leq M < K$, with $K$ predictor variables (number of columns in $\mathbf{X}$) and $M$ response variables (number of columns in $\mathbf{Y}$). Both improvements provably yield exactly the same $\mathbf{W}$, $\mathbf{P}$, $\mathbf{Q}$, $\mathbf{R}$, and $\mathbf{T}$ as the original algorithms. Benchmarks with NumPy (CPU) and JAX (GPU) show speedups of up to two orders of magnitude for the isolated steps and of approximately $2\times$ (CPU) and $6\times$ (GPU) for entire fits. Both improvements are implemented in the free, open-source Python package ikpls.

LLM powered multi-agent systems (MAS) have emerged as a promising paradigm for complex tasks. However, their advantages over single-agent systems (SAS) remain unclear, with performance varying inconsistently across settings. Here, we provide an information bottleneck perspective on elucidating the differences between MAS and SAS. Specifically, our key observation is that a SAS accumulates its full reasoning trace in one shared context, while a MAS uses isolated local contexts connected by bounded relay messages. We show that, under infinite relay bandwidth, any SAS can be simulated by a MAS that transmits the full upstream context. Thus, the nontrivial advantage of MAS arises under bounded relays, where compression introduces a fundamental trade-off: reducing redundant context can improve efficiency, but may also incur loss of task-relevant information. We formalize this trade-off as an information bottleneck controlled by an effective parameter $\beta$, which captures how the balance shifts with model capability, and shows that MAS gains arise when context reduction outweighs relay information loss. We conduct 18 controlled experiments across five benchmarks and three model scales to validate our theoretical studies. We observe that MAS consistently helps when relays are near-sufficient, especially for weaker models. In contrast, MAS gains shrink or reverse when relays incur information loss, especially for stronger models that can already extract useful information from redundant context and thus gain little from compression. Our study shows that multi-agent design is fundamentally an information-bottleneck optimization problem. This perspective explains when bounded inter-agent communication helps or hurts.

Evaluations should do more than measure a models current performance. They should tell us what to fix for the next model iteration and provide a way to generate targeted post training data. Most evaluation pipelines identify weak examples, topics, or categories, but they leave the underlying capability failure implicit: they say where a model fails, not why. We introduce CRAFT, a method that converts any rubric based evaluation dataset into a model specific diagnosis of weak capabilities. CRAFT treats each grading criterion as a capability probe: it extracts a capability description from every prompt rubric pair, clusters these descriptions into a hierarchical capability tree, scores the target model at every node, and selects low performing nodes dynamically across tree levels, at the granularity where each failure is clearest. The selected weak capabilities then direct the generation of targeted supervised finetuning data. Holding the data generation, finetuning, and evaluation setup fixed, we compare CRAFT against prompt level EvalTree clustering and untargeted random generation on four open source models, two professional domains (finance and legal), and 13 held out benchmarks disjoint from the diagnostic data. CRAFT achieves the strongest finance domain average for all four models under repeated temperature decoding; on legal domain, it is strongest for three of four models and remains within the decoding variance bands of the best baseline on the fourth. Diagnosing weaknesses at the level of rubric criteria, rather than prompts or categories, thus yields both a sharper picture of what a model cannot do and measurably better models after finetuning on that diagnosis.

State machine replication (SMR) and Byzantine fault-tolerant (BFT) consensus guarantee agreement despite a bounded number of arbitrary, colluding faulty participants. However, these guarantees rely on participants outside this set correctly executing the protocol's transition semantics. Agentic validators expose a weaker boundary: an authenticated, responsive, non-equivocating, and protocol-compliant reasoning participant may still endorse a semantically invalid transition due to reasoning errors. We call this failure mode an epistemic fault, and the collective phenomenon the Honest Quorum Problem (where "honest" means protocol-compliant, not semantically correct). Such a quorum can satisfy ordinary checks while forming a certificate for an invalid transition. Thus, agreement alone does not guarantee semantic validity or execution safety. Furthermore, because agentic validators often share model weights, training distributions, prompts, or toolchains, they are highly susceptible to correlated epistemic faults. We define Epistemic Byzantine Fault Tolerance (EBFT), a fault-tolerance model for agentic infrastructure and post-deterministic distributed systems. EBFT augments the conventional Byzantine fault bound with two separate, confidence-indexed quantities: $e_\delta$ bounds coherent invalid endorsements outside the Byzantine set, and $u_\epsilon$ bounds unusable validator support that degrades liveness. These quantities characterize semantic safety risk and liveness degradation independently. We derive quorum-threshold conditions for semantic validity, consensus agreement, liveness, and feasible threshold selection, and outline a calibration methodology for estimating these budgets. We show that adding nominally distinct agents improves fault tolerance only when it measurably reduces the upper-tail concentration of invalid endorsements or unusable support.

Reinforcement learning (RL) has become central to improving large language models (LLMs) on complex reasoning tasks, yet RL post-training is largely studied in isolation from the pretraining that precedes it. As a result, two basic questions remain open: (1) how do pretraining choices (model size, data) shape the returns to RL compute, and (2) what does RL actually do to the model? These questions are difficult to study in the standard LLM setting: pretraining corpora are vast and uncontrolled, making it hard to attribute behaviors to pretraining versus RL, and systematic compute sweeps across both stages are prohibitively expensive. To address these challenges, we use chess as a controlled testbed for studying reasoning across the full pretraining-to-post-training pipeline. We follow the standard LLM training pipeline by pretraining language models from 5M to 1B parameters on human chess games, supervised fine-tuning on synthetic reasoning traces, and running RL on chess puzzles with verifiable rewards. Using this framework, we find that the post-RL performance at given RL compute level is well-predicted from the pretraining loss, and slope of the RL reward curves improves approximately linearly with the pretraining tokens. Beyond scaling, we find that RL does not simply sharpen the SFT policy: on easy puzzles it amplifies correct moves the SFT policy already preferred, while on hard puzzles it surfaces correct moves that were nearly absent under SFT. We further test whether our findings transfer beyond chess by training a 1B language model on math-domain text, where the same predictive pattern emerges: longer-pretrained checkpoints reach higher post-RL performance and improve faster under RL. In sum, we provide a quantitative account of the pretraining-to-RL interface and a controlled testbed for studying the science of reasoning across the full pretraining-to-post-training pipeline.

Transferring policies across domains poses a vital challenge in reinforcement learning, due to the dynamics mismatch between the source and target domains. In this paper, we consider the setting of online dynamics adaptation, where policies are trained in the source domain with sufficient data, while only limited interactions with the target domain are allowed. There are a few existing works that address the dynamics mismatch by employing domain classifiers, value-guided data filtering, or representation learning. Instead, we study the domain adaptation problem from a generative modeling perspective. Specifically, we introduce DADiff, a diffusion-based framework that leverages the discrepancy between source and target domain generative trajectories in the generation process of the next state to estimate the dynamics mismatch. Both reward modification and data selection variants are developed to adapt the policy to the target domain. We also provide a theoretical analysis to show that the performance difference of a given policy between the two domains is bounded by the generative trajectory deviation. More discussions on the applicability of the variants and the connection between our theoretical analysis and the prior work are further provided. We conduct extensive experiments in environments with various shifts to validate the effectiveness of our method. The results demonstrate that our method provides superior performance compared to existing approaches, effectively addressing the dynamics mismatch. We provide the code of our method at https://github.com/hanyang-chen/DADiff-release

AlphaFold2's 93 million parameters, shaped by the evolutionary record of protein structure encoded in the Protein Data Bank and in sequence alignments, are conventionally treated only as machinery for converting sequence to structure. We propose they are also a scientific object that can be analyzed directly: a learned encoding of protein conformational organization that can be probed and characterized. By smoothing the Evoformer's weight tensors with a Gaussian convolution and scaling the result, we show that the trained model produces physically structured conformational landscapes. Under perturbation, ubiquitin's native contacts break in the order established by decades of folding experiments. For KaiB, five independently trained models agree that the alternative fold is not recovered under perturbation. For alpha-synuclein, five models produce five different but coherent landscapes, mapping where the training signal has determined the representation and where it has not. Matched-power noise controls confirm that random corruption of equal magnitude produces debris, not conformations. The model learned to predict static structures; the conformational organization visible under perturbation was not an explicit training target, suggesting it emerged as a byproduct of that objective. AlphaFold2's weights appear to encode structural constraints, shaped by evolutionary and structural training data, that extend beyond what unperturbed inference reveals. We call the approach of reading them neural spectroscopy, and Scaled Gaussian Convolution one such protocol.

This paper illustrates the Pick-to-Learn methodology applied to the calibration of a Model Predictive Control policy. While developed around a specific example, the presentation is meant to highlight a methodology of broad applicability. The example concerns an aircraft traveling from an origin point to a destination point in the presence of uncertain crosswinds and a low-connectivity zone that should be avoided. The MPC policy is parameterized by two hyperparameters, which are selected from data by the P2L procedure. Starting from a dataset of 400 wind realizations, also called scenarios, P2L identifies a final compression set containing only two informative scenarios. The resulting MPC policy avoids the low-connectivity zone on all available scenarios and, according to the P2L theory, satisfies a probabilistic risk bound of $4.8\%$ at confidence level $1-10^{-5}$, where the risk is the probability of entering the low-connectivity zone in a future flight under a new wind realization not included in the sample.

Precipitation nowcasting over the immediate 10-90 min period is important for flood management and real-time decision-making in urban regions. Conventional short-range forecasting with high-resolution numerical weather prediction requires frequent data assimilation, model initialization, and spin-up, introducing computational latency. Machine learning provides an alternative by learning storm evolution directly from high-frequency observations and producing forecasts quickly after training. This is particularly relevant for Mumbai, India, where monsoon convection, land-sea interactions, and localized intense rainfall make short-term prediction difficult. Here, we develop a compact radar-only nowcasting framework that combines multi-elevation reflectivity, Doppler radial velocity, and radial-velocity-gradient proxy features within an encoder-decoder U-Net. Using the most recent radar volume scan, the model predicts 12 future composite reflectivity fields at 7.5-min intervals up to 90 min lead time. The derived velocity magnitude, divergence-like, directional-shear, and vorticity-like channels represent kinematic signatures associated with convergence and boundary interactions without requiring full wind-field retrieval. A high-reflectivity attention module improves sensitivity to convective cores, and physics-guided attribution examines whether the learned sensitivities are meteorologically meaningful. The model is trained using Mumbai Doppler radar observations from May to August 2023 and evaluated on temporally independent events. At 90 min lead time, Critical Success Index values are 0.437, 0.332, and 0.193 for $\geq$10, $\geq$20, and $\geq$30 dBZ thresholds, respectively. Compared with persistence, the model gives lower RMSE and higher spatial correlation at longer lead times. Once trained, it runs on a standard computer, generating nowcasts within seconds for real-time use.

Model merging is promoted as a substitute for joint multi-task training, yet in the reinforcement-learning setting this substitution is essentially never tested against the baseline it claims to replace: methods merge independently released agents precisely because a joint model is unavailable. We build the missing comparison. Training difficulty-1 and difficulty-2 Qwen3-8B specialists on the AppWorld agent benchmark with LOOP, we merge them (TIES, RAM+) and pit the result against a jointly trained model on the same data. On task-goal completion, merging matches joint RL – and every merge variant is statistically indistinguishable. To explain why merge method does not matter here, we measure the geometry of the specialists' task vectors, which carries no task-sampling noise: they are near-orthogonal (cosine 0.06 - 0.10) despite ~65% support overlap, a small, shared direction that grows over training and that we calibrate against a random-init floor and a same-run ceiling to confirm it reflects learning, not the low-rank parameterization. Because direction and support are decoupled, support and sign-based merging (RAM, TIES) collapse to near-uniform averaging. We release all code and statistics.

Gene regulatory networks (GRNs) link transcription factor (TF) proteins to their target genes, yet reconstructing these networks from genome-wide data remains challenging under practical and methodological constraints. Many methods couple modeling assumptions to a specific inference procedure and rely on heuristic model selection, while evaluation is constrained by incomplete reference networks and point-estimate outputs that lack uncertainty. GRN reconstruction also depends on prior knowledge to constrain TF-gene interactions, yet available priors are often assay-dependent and difficult to transfer across species and less-characterized systems. In this thesis, we develop two complementary frameworks that address these limitations. In the first, PMF-GRN casts GRN inference as a probabilistic graphical model optimized by variational inference, enabling principled model selection and uncertainty-aware edge estimates. In the second, GLM-Prior addresses the prior bottleneck by fine-tuning the pretrained Nucleotide Transformer to predict TF-target gene interactions directly from nucleotide sequence, while generalizing across yeast, mouse, and human settings. Together, PMF-GRN and GLM-Prior motivate a dual-stage view of GRN reconstruction in which sequence-derived priors provide a transferable starting scaffold and probabilistic inference refines regulatory estimates with quantified uncertainty under incomplete evaluation resources.

Pluvial (rainfall-driven) flooding accounts for 45% of National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims in the United States and is harder to predict than its riverine and coastal counterparts, with existing approaches limited to coarse resolution, regional domains, or computationally intensive process-based models unsuitable for daily continental-scale use. We present DELUGE, a multimodal deep learning framework for daily pluvial flood damage prediction at ~1 km resolution and national scale, trained on spatially and temporally corrected NFIP claims (2017-2022) and structured around the hazard, exposure, and vulnerability components of disaster risk. Rather than blanket coverage of the Conterminous United States (CONUS), we model the top 100 highest-claim 75 km cells, distributed nationwide and accounting for ~81% of total pluvial flood claims. Our architectural novelty is a pair of parametric modules in the hydrometeorology branch, a Value Modulator and a Temporal Modulator, conditioned on terrain descriptors and AlphaEarth foundation-model embeddings, that expose directly inspectable hydrological response parameters and provide architecture-level interpretability-by-design. Under a spatial block holdout, DELUGE outperforms tuned Random Forest, XGBoost, and LightGBM baselines by 9% to 30% on a dollar-weighted area under the precision-recall curve (PR-AUC), a metric that emphasizes the rare, high-cost claims of greatest operational interest. Beyond DELUGE, we argue this interpretable conditioning scheme is a transferable pattern for integrating foundation-model embeddings into other geospatial prediction tasks.

Data-driven pre-fault dynamic security assessment (DSA) rapidly evaluates the dynamic risk of credible contingencies on a power system using machine learning. Existing approaches face two limitations. First, they require a large labelled database for training, with a separate model trained, tuned, and maintained for each contingency in a potentially long list of credible contingencies. Second, the trained models generalize poorly to unseen contingencies. This work addresses the limitations by using a tabular foundation model (TFM) that assesses stability through in-context learning, requiring no retraining or hyperparameter optimization. A single TFM can assess many contingencies at once, removing the need for one model per classifier. We also characterize when the use of electrical distance coordinates (EDC) as continuous features enables generalization of TFM to unseen contingencies and when they do not, demonstrating how a few labelled samples can reliably improve generalization. Through comprehensive case studies on the IEEE 68-bus system, we show that a single TFM attains an average Macro F1 score of about 90% with only 120 labelled samples per contingency, roughly two orders of magnitude fewer than conventionally assumed, without any model retraining or hyperparameter tuning. For new/unseen contingencies, we show that using just 10 labelled samples of the new contingency with EDC encoding matches the best achievable transfer learning oracle model, which requires fully labelled data and is not deployable in practice. Overall, this initial study paves the way towards developing and deploying foundation models for power system operations, with possible applications across multiple operational tasks.

Quantum continual learning aims to train quantum models on sequential tasks without losing previously learned knowledge. However, variational quantum classifiers (VQCs) are prone to catastrophic forgetting under nonstationary task distributions. We propose quantum elastic weight consolidation (QEWC), a quantum Fisher information (QFI)-informed regularization method for mitigating forgetting. Unlike conventional elastic weight consolidation based on classical Fisher information (CFI), which measures parameter importance through measurement-dependent output statistics, QEWC uses QFI to quantify the intrinsic sensitivity of the parameterized quantum state. This gives an information-geometric view in which important parameters are identified by the local response of the quantum state manifold. We evaluate QEWC on VQCs trained on sequential binary classification tasks, including classical image-classification and quantum phase-classification tasks. Simulations show that sequential training without regularization causes severe forgetting, while both CFI-based EWC and QFI-based QEWC improve retention of previous tasks. Mechanistic analyses further show that the two methods impose different regularization geometries: CFI acts selectively on measurement-sensitive directions, whereas QFI imposes a denser state-geometric constraint over parameter space. Under depolarizing noise, CFI values are strongly suppressed by degraded measurement statistics, while QFI preserves a more stable sensitivity structure of the noisy parameterized quantum state. These results establish QEWC as a physically motivated approach for studying and mitigating forgetting in quantum continual learning through quantum-state geometry.

This paper presents our system for Task 3 of the CLEF 2026 FinMMEval Lab, which requires daily long, flat, or short trading decisions for Bitcoin (BTC) and Tesla (TSLA) using news and historical market data. We formulate the problem as a discrete-action Markov Decision Process and compare four deep reinforcement learning algorithms: Policy Gradient (PG), Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO), Deep Q-Learning (DQL), and Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (DDPG). The agents use technical indicators, cyclical calendar encodings, and daily news sentiment scores produced by LLaMA 3.2 1B. To reduce overfitting and align training with the objective of outperforming buy-and-hold, we introduce an alpha reward based on excess market return and randomize episode start dates. Hyperparameters are optimized with Ray Tune over 180 trials per algorithm-asset pair, with early stopping and model selection based on validation Sharpe ratio. On the CLEF Task 3 test set, DDPG achieves the strongest overall performance. DQL was selected a priori for the live endpoint because it obtained the highest validation Sharpe ratio, with selection performed without access to the test period. For TSLA, DDPG and DQL achieve cumulative returns of 54.96% and 52.62%, respectively, compared with 16.45% for buy-and-hold. For BTC, DDPG achieves a positive return of 1.58% while buy-and-hold declines by -34.27%. The results also reveal a substantial validation-to-test generalization gap, highlighting the difficulty of transferring policies selected in bull-market conditions to a bear-market regime.

Introduction: Biological systems face anatomical and metabolic constraints, including costly synaptic maintenance and limited connectivity. These constraints favor neural codes that compress behaviorally relevant information into low-redundancy patterns. We test whether an excitatory competitive Hebbian rule can support synaptic resource allocation under such constraints and whether the resulting representations occupy a more favorable cost-performance regime than reference learning rules. Methods: Representational cost is quantified using mutual-information-based measures derived from the Variational Information Bottleneck. Experiments use fixed audiovisual embeddings from three audiovisual benchmarks (AVE, Kinetics-Sounds, VGGSound100) to isolate downstream associative plasticity. Hebbian learning is compared with Dense Difference Target Propagation (DDTP) and backpropagation (BP) under matched sparsity and architectural constraints. Results: Hebbian learning achieves lower task-information cost (CTI) than sparse BP and DDTP in the main compressed comparisons, while reaching CTI values comparable to shallow BP with nonnegative weights. Rather than uniformly improving classification performance, Hebbian learning shifts the trade-off between task-relevant information and representational cost, yielding lower CTI at comparable functional performance in several settings. Discussion: The results indicate a cost-performance trade-off rather than uniform accuracy gains. For a given level of task-relevant information, Hebbian representations retain less input information while preserving functional performance, although accuracy is slightly reduced on some datasets. These findings support interpreting Hebbian learning as a mechanism for synaptic resource allocation rather than as a general strategy for maximizing audiovisual classification accuracy.

AI systems increasingly retrieve from records that revise themselves: issue threads, encyclopedic histories, policy logs, and long conversations. The challenge is not only finding relevant evidence, but deciding which claims remain in force, which were superseded, and when to abstain. Structured memories promise to solve this with typed edges, temporal updates, and conflict status, yet evaluations often change mechanism and prompt presentation together. We study this as Evidence-State Revision, comparing flat retrieval, coarse edge invalidation, and fine-grained RevisionLedger on 2,907 high-agreement questions from GitHub, multi-repo issue histories, Wikipedia, and DyKnow-style temporal streams. A render-matched control (same layout, deprecation disabled) reveals the central confound: when a value is changed and later restored, RevisionLedger appears to beat a flat baseline by +0.182, but almost all the gain comes from easier presentation; the fine-grained mechanism residual is indistinguishable from zero (+0.021 to +0.025 across two judge families). After presentation is controlled, coarse invalidation is the only mechanism that pays for current-state queries, beating the fine ledger by 0.084; the same query-sufficiency principle says provenance mainly needs retained invalidated evidence, not richer typing. Memory evaluations should hold render fixed, and deprecation-aware systems should deploy the coarsest retained state that covers their queries.

Deep remote photoplethysmography (rPPG) attains sub-bpm heart-rate error on frontal, stationary faces yet degrades sharply under head pose: on MMPD, the state-of-the-art FactorizePhys backbone's MAE grows $1.60\times$ from frontal ($|\text{yaw}|{<}15^\circ$) to large-yaw ($|\text{yaw}|{\geq}45^\circ$) frames. We argue that pose is a coordinate-structural nuisance rather than a data-augmentation problem: in image coordinates the same pixel maps to different anatomy at different poses, blocking three priors otherwise natural for rPPG, namely the dichromatic reflection model, pulse-phase invariance across skin regions, and the POS/CHROM chromaticity projection, each of which presumes a stable anatomy-to-pixel mapping. We introduce CanonicalPhys, which prepends a differentiable four-point homography that fixes four facial anchors at canonical positions; in this canonical frame the three priors become expressible as a per-pixel Lambertian weight, a cross-ROI temporal consistency loss, and knowledge distillation from windowed POS, none of which adds trainable parameters over the backbone. At an identical parameter count, CanonicalPhys reduces MMPD's frontal-to-large-yaw MAE degradation from $1.60\times$ to $1.33\times$ and flattens the mild-yaw bin from $1.32\times$ to $1.07\times$ (across CanonicalPhys variants), with matched cross-dataset MAE reductions of up to $32\%$ on pose-rich targets. Code: https://github.com/infraface/CanonicalPhys

This application paper presents DebrisTracer, a framework for the reliable tracking of debris in hypervelocity impact fast imaging. These noisy and highly specific datasets capture the ejection of a large number of debris fragments after the impact of a projectile launched at hypervelocity into a target material. The reliable estimation of debris mass and speed distributions is of major importance in aerospace applications. We document how to extend an off-the-shelf topology tracking framework based on critical point extraction and matching, in order to incorporate domain knowledge and physical assumptions. Our approach automatically produces an accurate and reliable debris tracking, enabling an interpretable visual analysis of this complex space-time phenomenon. Extensive experiments demonstrate the accuracy improvements provided by our approach over established tools used by domain experts in terms of physical validation, specifically via the prediction of the experimental ejected mass and crater depth profiles. We illustrate the utility of our approach across several use cases (with varying impact angles and physics). We show that our statistical summaries enable the visual identification of distinct regimes within the debris population, corroborating and refining prior expectations of domain experts. Our database and our C++ implementation are available at this address: https://github.com/tloloum/DebrisTracer.

Accurate hand gesture recognition using surface electromyography (sEMG) typically relies on multichannel sensor arrays and computationally intensive models. This limits practical deployment in low-power and embedded systems. This study investigates the feasibility of classifying ten hand gestures using a single sEMG channel combined with lightweight machine learning architectures. Raw sEMG signals were transformed into a comprehensive feature-based representation, including time-domain, frequency-domain, higher-order-crossing, and relative-intensity features. Feature redundancy was reduced using Pearson correlation filtering and the removal of highly correlated features, while dimensionality-reduction techniques (LDA and PCA) were applied selectively. Three classifiers, a feed-forward neural network (NN), k-nearest neighbors (KNN), and a support vector machine (SVM), were systematically evaluated across four experiments. Results demonstrate that combining time and frequency features with Pearson filtering and a compact NN can achieve up to 90 percent accuracy, even with limited temporal and spatial information. These findings highlight the potential of single-channel sEMG systems for cost-effective, low-power gesture-recognition applications.

The flourishing code hosting platforms and coding agents enable even beginners with private data to build tailored Machine Learning (ML) models using available code quickly. The training data for ML models, often regarded as private property (e.g., clinical records, transaction information), is at significant risk of information leakage. Property Inference Attacks (PIAs), as a significant type of privacy attack, aim to expose global property information of the training set. In this paper, we present Code-Poisoning Property Inference Attack (CPPIA), the first code-level PIA, which overcomes four limitations of existing works: insufficient attack performance, severe degradation of model accuracy, high computational overhead, and failure under defenses. We consider malicious code providers from code hosting platforms (GitHub) and coding agents (Codex). Upon downloading the poisoned code, data holders train models with their private data without professional auditing, subsequently releasing label-only APIs to the public. The adversary embeds the properties into secret samples during training and queries the trained model on these samples later to leak privacy. CPPIA offers 100% attack accuracy without degrading model accuracy. It is also computationally lightweight and requires no shadow models. We evaluate the attack performance across four datasets, eight model architectures, eighteen properties, and under three defense mechanisms, demonstrating the universality and effectiveness of CPPIA.

Remote sensing vision-language models are increasingly expected to support open-ended reasoning over Earth Observation data and a variety of tasks. Most recent progress in this area has been driven by remote-sensing-specific architectural designs, often introducing new encoders, alignment modules, or task-specific fusion mechanisms. In this work, we challenge the necessity of such architectural specialization. We show that a generally capable vision-language model can achieve competitive or state-of-the-art performance at challenging remote sensing benchmarks, provided that it is trained at sufficient scale across diverse data and tasks. Our model uses a single language policy that can either answer directly in text or invoke a localization tool for segmentation and grounding. To train this heterogeneous behaviour, we employ a multi-task reinforcement learning framework with adaptive task rewards covering multiple-choice VQA, free-form VQA, captioning, detection, and segmentation across a large variety of input types. Our approach achieves competitive results across a broad set of benchmarks, including high-resolution, multi-temporal, multi-modal and multi-view tasks. Further, as training data scales, our experiments show consistent improvements across most tasks both in and out of distribution, which correlate with per-task data diversity. These findings suggest that, for remote sensing VLMs, data scale is sufficient even without architectural novelty.

Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has a longstanding tradition in addressing the reach-avoid task problem, especially for controlling robotic arms. While this task serves as a baseline environment within the research community, the ability of DRL to effectively learn the each-avoid task in complex and realistic scenarios beyond simplified and restricted tabletop settings remains uncertain. In this paper, we present, for the first time, a comprehensive benchmark for the reachavoid task that accurately captures real-world complexities without simplifications. We demonstrate a diverse range of settings for robotic arm reach-avoid task, which can be used for evaluating DRL research. We achieved this by utilizing the MuJoCo MJX physics engine and parallelizing both the simulation environment and DRL algorithms using the Brax library. We achieved state-of-the-art results with success rates of 96.1% (UR5e) and 98.8% (Franka Emika Robot) for the reach task and 86.8% (UR5e) and 95.2% (Franka) for the static reachavoid task. Our results indicate that while in previous works DRL agents could solve, for example, a reach task in a simplified setting perfectly, their agents performance collapses when evaluated in realistic scenarios. Overall, this work identifies that additional research is still required to claim the successful resolution of the robotic arm reach-avoid task using DRL. The environment and benchmarking code is available as open source at the following link

Adult and pediatric electrocardiogram (ECG) interpretation relies on age-sensitive criteria, and models pretrained mainly on adult ECGs often transfer poorly to pediatric populations when pediatric labels are scarce. Existing multimodal ECG–text methods typically align waveforms and text at the global sample level, entangling evidence from co-occurring diagnoses and limiting transfer under this gap. We propose Pediatric-Adult ECG Alignment via Cross-modal Enhancement (PEACE), a knowledge-guided framework pretrained on the largely adult MIMIC-IV ECG corpus. PEACE describes each diagnosis along rhythm, morphology, and ST–T axes and, per recording, composes only positive-label descriptors into three axis tokens and a fused embedding. A label query network (LQN) uses diagnostic labels as queries to cross-attend over ECG tokens and axis tokens, while label set aware bidirectional contrastive learning (LSBC) aligns pooled ECG features with the fused embedding when recordings share diagnoses. Curriculum adaptive fusion (CAF) gates alignment strength according to smoothed classification loss and training progress, limiting disruption during early optimization. The knowledge branch is used only for training supervision; inference uses ECG signals alone. On ZZU-pECG, PEACE reaches macro average AUCs of 59.39%, 81.74%, and 91.56% under zero-shot, 50-shot, and full fine-tuning, with the clearest gains over foundation and knowledge-pretraining baselines under limited supervision; versus domain adaptation initializations, zero-shot improves substantially while 50-shot AUC is comparable to DANN. After fine-tuning on PTB-XL, PEACE reaches 96.90% macro average AUC over nine harmonized labels. Ablations confirm that label-conditioned knowledge alignment, rather than global text fusion, is the key driver of pediatric transfer gains.

Data-free knowledge distillation transfers the knowledge encoded in a teacher model to a student model without access to the original training data. Prior work such as Contrastive Abductive Knowledge Extraction (CAKE) achieves this for classifiers by synthesizing samples near the teacher's decision boundary. In this work, we investigate whether this boundary-seeking principle extends to autoencoder distillation through experiments on the MNIST dataset . To enable a direct comparison, we reformulate continuous reconstruction as a dense, per-feature classification task, allowing the decoder to output categorical logits. We show that boundary-seeking objectives are fundamentally ill-posed in bottlenecked generative architectures. CAKE operates on a single, instance-level objective, but a decoder acts as an array of tightly coupled, feature-level classifiers constrained by a shared low-dimensional bottleneck. Independently sampling contrastive targets for these coupled outputs violates the geometry of the learned latent manifold and produces severe gradient conflicts instead of informative boundary samples. Manifold-aware synthesis bypasses these conflicts entirely and establishes an effective baseline for data-free generative distillation.

Central to machine learning and signal processing is the ability to perform universal function approximation and learn complex input-output relationships from limited numbers of observations. Multivariate polynomial models offer a natural way to express such relationships through multiplicative feature interactions, but their coefficient tensors grow exponentially in size with the polynomial degree. Existing tensorized polynomial models reduce this cost, yet canonical polyadic decompositions have rank-limited expressivity, and tensor train formulations are feature order dependent. We introduce Multivariate Polynomial Optimization based on Matrix Product Operators (MPO)$^2$, a framework that combines learned MPO feature embeddings with compact polynomial weight tensors. This yields feature order independent polynomial representations that can incorporate structured operators such as projections, convolutions, and masks for weight tensor symmetries. Across regression and classification benchmarks, (MPO)$^2$ improves over existing tensor decomposition based polynomial models and provides a flexible alternative for efficient polynomial function approximation.