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Machine Learning

Declarative Outcome-Conformant Synthesis: Exact, Closed-Form Specification Satisfaction and a Conformance Benchmark

We study a capability the dominant paradigm in synthetic tabular data does not provide: exact satisfaction of a declared analytical outcome with no source data. Imitation methods (copulas, GANs, diffusion) learn a real distribution and sample from it, and are judged on fidelity to real data. A large, practical class of needs is different: generating data with no source data ("cold start") that reproduces a declared outcome (a revenue curve, a churn rate, a group share) across a relational schema. Off-the-shelf imitation tools offer no interface for such targets, and no sampler can hit an exact aggregate, because sampling has variance. On a real public dataset, off-the-shelf learned synthesizers trained on that very data miss the declared monthly aggregate by 74 to 86 percent; a per-period steelman cuts the miss to about 19 percent and still cannot reach 0; a closed-form generator reaches exactly 0. We name this task outcome-conformant synthesis, argue its evaluation axis is conformance rather than fidelity, and show the two axes are orthogonal. We contribute: (1) a formal account showing a widely-used family of exact-aggregate generators is exactly conditional-sum sampling of a Gamma population (via Lukacs' characterization), with closed-form exactness, a closed-form marginal CV, and scale-invariance; a controlled experiment maps the boundary, enforcing the exact aggregate costs at most 0.006 in 1-Wasserstein distance to an arbitrary external marginal, the rest being shape-family mismatch; (2) SpecBench, to our knowledge the first benchmark to measure conformance to analytical outcomes for cold-start relational synthesis; and (3) a closed-form, deterministic reference system. Exact aggregation alone is trivial; the contribution is conformance jointly with closed-form marginals, integrity, determinism, and zero source data. We concede fidelity to imitation where real data exists.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.RO

IR-SIM: A Lightweight Declarative Simulator for Navigation Learning and Benchmarking

Developing navigation policies requires simulation scenarios that support repeatable training and evaluation. Despite the availability of numerous simulators, constructing diverse navigation scenarios often involves writing simulator-specific code, using complex graphical interfaces, performing substantial manual configuration, or relying on resource-intensive computing platforms, making scenarios difficult to reproduce and reuse across experiments. To this end, we develop the Intelligent Robot Simulator (IR-SIM), a lightweight declarative simulator implemented as a Python library to support navigation learning and benchmarking through rapid construction of reusable and diverse scenarios and efficient execution on accessible platforms. IR-SIM represents scenarios as human-readable YAML configurations, in which necessary objects, behaviors, sensors, maps, and environment parameters can be flexibly specified and composed. This declarative representation makes IR-SIM friendly to large language model (LLM)-powered agents, enabling them to compose and modify executable navigation scenario files through the provided agent skills, instead of writing a large amount of code that is difficult to reuse. Despite its lightweight implementation, IR-SIM provides the essential components for navigation simulation, while retaining interfaces to high-fidelity simulators for downstream validation. Experiments demonstrate that IR-SIM runs up to several hundred times faster on the evaluated CPU platform, while agent skills reduce mean LLM-based scenario construction time by more than $50\%$ across both evaluated models. The experiments further show ability to support reproducible benchmarking and RL-based navigation policy learning.
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All authors Ruihua Han, Shuai Wang, Chengyang Li, Rui Gao, Xinyi Wang, Zhe Liu, Guoliang Li, Yupu Lu, Qi Hao, Jia Pan, Hengshuang Zhao

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.AI

Artificial Intelligence for Mathematical Reasoning: An Integrated Survey of Language Models, Neuro-symbolic Systems, and Verified Discovery

Mathematical reasoning has long served as a stringent test of machine intelligence; over the past decade, it has moved from a niche problem within NLP to one of the most consequential AI frontiers. This survey provides a unified account of the field's evolution, from early rule-based math word problem (MWP) solvers and template-driven geometry systems, through neural expression generation and LLM prompting, to contemporary reasoning models, multi-agent systems, neuro-symbolic theorem provers, and verified discovery workflows. We organize the landscape along four axes: (i) informal reasoning over text and diagrams, spanning MWP solving, multimodal geometry, and VLMs; (ii) formal reasoning in proof assistants, including autoformalization, tactic prediction, compiler-guided repair, and proof search; (iii) mathematical discovery, where systems propose constructions, improve bounds, or assist attacks on open problems; and (iv) the inference and training-time techniques, including CoT prompting, tool use, process reward models, and RLVR, that increasingly connect generation with verification. We catalog major benchmarks across grade-school arithmetic, competition mathematics, geometry, formal proving, multimodal and multilingual reasoning, and expert evaluation, and we examine benchmark saturation, contamination, reporting mismatches, and the distinction between pass@1, majority voting, and verifier-assisted pass@$k$. We critically assess failure modes: brittleness under perturbation, reward hacking, multimodal grounding failures, fragile formalization, and the energy cost of reasoning-scale inference. Drawing on recent perspectives from working mathematicians, we identify future directions centered on verified-discovery workflows, reasoning efficiency, and infrastructure to make AI-assisted formalization broadly usable. Companion materials: https://github.com/Starscream-11813/awesome-AI4Math.
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All authors Syed Rifat Raiyan, Mohsinul Kabir, Hasan Mahmud, Md Kamrul Hasan, Sophia Ananiadou

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from math.NA

Compositional Approximation Can Strictly Outperform Superpositional Approximation

Many classically studied function classes are known to be approximated optimally by superpositional methods, i.e. with approximants constructed as the linear combination of elements in some dictionary. Here optimality means that the uniform approximation error viewed as a function of the number of parameters used has polynomial decay of the highest order achievable by any parametrized method whose parameters can be encoded as a bit string of length proportional, up to logarithmic factors, to the number of parameters. While compositional methods like neural networks are structurally different, their approximation rates can be made comparable by imposing constraints that ensure such a proportional bit string encoding. In this work we study function classes exhibiting structural properties that limit superpositional approximation rates to be strictly lower than compositional approximation rates. In particular, we construct explicit examples for which there is an arbitrarily large gap.
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Machine Learning

Directional Linear Separability of Neural Representations: Geometry and Transformations

Neural networks build representations through affine maps and nonlinear activations. Injective affine maps preserve linear separability, raising the problem of how they prepare data for nonlinear improvement and how much gain can be guaranteed before complete separation. We introduce the directional linear separability measure (D-LSM), which quantifies unavoidable competing-sample intrusion over affine halfspaces retaining every target sample, characterize its supporting geometry, and prove invariance under injective affine embeddings. For gated activations including ReLU, GELU, and SiLU, pre-activation projection bounds yield sufficient conditions for preserving all previous exclusions and recovering additional samples, with a gain bound determined by the certified recovery count. Under an aggregate-tube condition, an explicit affine construction realizes recovery with sufficient width, scaling conditions, and simultaneous multiclass guarantees through a shared layer. Exact controlled experiments compare certified and realized gains, assess certificate coverage, and exhibit bound attainment before complete separation and in affine-tube constructions. In learned Vision Transformer (ViT) representations, a feasible lower-bound estimator yields earlier post-GELU saturation certificates of exact separability, while boundary transport numerically supports affine invariance.
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All authors Yi Wei, Xuan Qi, Suorong Yang, Furao Shen

Machine Learning

Deep Active Re-Labeling: Toward Noise-Resilient Annotation Efficiency

While Deep Active Learning (DAL) effectively reduces human annotation costs, its efficacy is constrained by human annotation errors. This is because the data sampled for active learning is assumed to be highly informative for training. When human annotators introduce errors into this informative data at a certain rate, the active learning performance drops significantly and, in some cases, even exhibits worse outcomes than passive learning. In this paper, we first analyze the impact of human annotation errors in the DAL setting. Then we propose a framework to address the human annotation noise problem for DAL. Informed by human learning patterns, the core idea of our proposed solution involves allocating a portion of the human annotation budget to re-annotate data that has already been labeled. Previous theoretical work suggests that when the model possesses a certain level of ability to identify potentially noisy data, even re-labeling a small fraction of the data can effectively remove noise from the active training set. To achieve this, we implement two active noise sampling strategies to detect noise under different circumstances and allocate a part of the annotation budget to re-annotate these instances. Our approach imbues active learning with a revisiting and introspective behavior. Our experiments demonstrate that, under the same annotation budget, our method is more data-efficient and yields a relatively noise-free annotation dataset in the end.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from eess.SY

Hybrid Neural Network and Conventional Controller Approach for Robust Control of Highly Unstable Systems: Application to Tilt-Rotor Control

Multirotors are widely used in applications ranging from surveillance to precision agriculture, yet conventional designs remain limited by their under-actuation. Tilt-rotor configurations overcome this limitation by enabling full actuation. This paper investigates neural-network-based control strategies for a fully actuated tilt-rotor system with four thrust-vectoring inputs. Our work is structured in two parts. First, we deliberately present a negative result by evaluating a direct input-output control approach. In this method, multilayer perceptrons (MLPs), long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, and transformer models are trained to map system states and their desired values directly to control signals. We show that this strategy fails to stabilize the system, highlighting the inherent difficulty of applying direct input-output learning to highly unstable plants. Second, as the main contribution, we propose a neural-network-enhanced sliding mode controller (SMC). The method decomposes the system dynamics into input-independent and input-dependent components, with the former learned from a small dataset using lightweight networks, thereby reducing real-time computational demands. Moreover, the proposed method can be trained using flight logs collected from low-performance controllers, and the resulting dynamic model learned from real-world data can be used in simulation. We further compare MLP- and LSTM-based implementations under model uncertainties and external disturbances, demonstrating the robustness and effectiveness of the proposed approach; in particular, the controller with the LSTM plant dynamics predictor achieves superior performance to its MLP-based counterpart while also exhibiting lower runtime.
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All authors Ali Kafili Gavgani, Amin Talaeizadeh, Aria Alasty, Hossein Nejat Pishkenari

Machine Learning

SNR-ST-Mix: Sample-specific Neighborhood Regression Mixup for Augmented Spatial Transcriptomics Imputation with Deep Neural Network

Purpose: Spatial transcriptomics (ST) enables gene expression measurements within the tissue context. However, these measurements are often noisy, low-resolution, and sparsely sampled, which limits the recovery of fine spatial structure. Deep neural networks have become powerful tools for expression imputation from histology, but their performance remains constrained by limited sample sizes and a lack of biologically informed augmentation. Most of the existing augmentation strategies for learning are designed for classification tasks rather than regression, which neglect spatial and transcriptomic relationships, leading to biologically implausible interpolations that hinder prediction performance. Approach: To address these limitations, we propose SNR-ST-Mix, a geometry- and expression-aware data augmentation framework designed specifically for ST data. It constrains mixing to a spot's k-nearest spatial neighbors and adaptively weights interpolation coefficients based on expression similarity, generating augmented samples that preserve local biological structure while ensuring spatial smoothness. This dual conditioning yields synthetic examples that expand the effective training manifold, promote generalization, and enhance prediction stability under sample-specific training. Results: Extensive experiments with various tissue types demonstrate that SNR-ST-Mix consistently outperforms conventional augmentation methods without requiring architectural changes or additional computation. Conclusions: SNR-ST-Mix provides an effective and biologically principled augmentation strategy for spatial transcriptomics regression tasks. By explicitly leveraging spatial geometry and transcriptomic similarity, it expands the effective training manifold and improves predictive performance without increasing model complexity.
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All authors Hongyi Yu, Yaoyu Fang, Jiahe Qian, Xinkun Wang, Lee A. Cooper, Bo Zhou

Machine Learning

Agentic Search for Counterfactual Recourse under Fixed LLM Budgets

Counterfactual recourse aims to provide actionable feature changes that would alter an unfavorable decision made by a predictive model. In practice, affected individuals often benefit from multiple feasible alternatives rather than a single optimal explanation. A natural way to produce such alternatives is to prompt large language models (LLMs). However, prompting incurs a practical constraint: the number of LLM calls is often the dominant computational and economic cost. Together, the need for multiple alternatives and this cost constraint shift the problem from finding a single high-quality counterfactual to efficiently generating a set of oracle-validated counterfactuals under a fixed LLM-call budget. In this work, we study counterfactual recourse generation in the LLM-agentic setting as a fixed-budget search problem and propose Recourse Monte Carlo Tree Search (ReCo-MCTS), an agentic tree-search framework that aims to increase the yield of unique, oracle-validated counterfactuals under this budget while accounting for the extent of the required changes. ReCo-MCTS combines LLM-based multi-candidate generation, constraint checking, black-box oracle evaluation, and UCT-guided tree search to accumulate valid counterfactuals under a fixed LLM-call budget. On four real-world tabular datasets, ReCo-MCTS returns more counterfactuals than the evaluated baselines in our main comparison under the specified resource limits, with trade-offs in the extent of the required changes.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cond-mat.soft

Discovering and decoding latent mean-field structure with variational autoencoders

Generative models are increasingly used to capture correlations in many-body systems, but the representations they learn remain largely opaque to physical interpretation. Here, we establish an intuitive criterion that quantifies the capacity of a variational autoencoder (VAE) to faithfully reconstruct the joint probability distribution of a many body system. In a nutshell, a bound on the VAE capacity is obtained by comparing the rate of the latent channel to the bipartite mutual information of the data. Using this bound, we show that the conditionally independent decoder of any successful VAE is structurally identical to a finite-size mean-field factorization. Hence, a successful reconstruction is direct evidence for a latent mean-field theory and the microscopic parameters of that theory can be read off the trained decoder. We validate these conclusions on a hierarchy of solvable models with scalar (Curie-Weiss), vector (Hopfield) and tensor (Maier-Saupe) order parameters, recovering the full Hopfield pattern matrix from equilibrium samples alone. We find that, when applied to Salamander retinal recordings, a two-latent VAE reproduces the population statistics with only two effective collective variables allowing us to recover the `stored patterns' of the neural population and write a generalized Hopfield model which correctly models the experimental data.
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Machine Learning

Hierarchical Projection for Adaptive Knowledge Transfer

Modern data-driven applications increasingly involve learning from multiple heterogeneous sources, where a target dataset is limited but related information is available across domains. Naively combining these sources can degrade performance when relevance varies or spurious signals are present, posing a fundamental challenge for trustworthy cross-domain learning. We propose Projection Transfer Learning (ProjectionTL), a unified framework that integrates hierarchical Bayesian modeling with adaptive projection for selective knowledge transfer. The key idea is to decouple transfer at two levels: first, we construct a source-guided hierarchical prior that aggregates information across sources using data-driven weights, capturing global alignment between each source and the target; second, we refine this borrowing through a posterior-projection step that operates at the feature level, selectively retaining coordinates that exhibit local agreement with the target signal. This two-stage design enables the method to simultaneously perform source selection and feature selection, thereby mitigating negative transfer while preserving interpretability. ProjectionTL provides a principled approach to integrating heterogeneous data across domains, bridging statistical modeling and modern machine learning paradigms for robust and interpretable transfer. Through simulations and real-world biomedical applications, we demonstrate improved accuracy, stability, and interpretability compared to existing methods. Our framework offers a scalable and generalizable strategy for trustworthy cross-domain learning in high-dimensional settings.
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Machine Learning

Activation Steering Induces Emergent Misalignment: Steering Vector Construction and Comprehensive Evaluation

Activation steering (AS) has emerged as a popular inference-time technique for modulating the behavior of large language models (LLMs). AS modulates model behavior in a flexible and lightweight manner by injecting task-specific steering vectors (SVs) into intermediate activations. Meanwhile, recent work has identified emergent misalignment (EM) as an emerging safety concern, whereby finetuning on unsafe examples from a narrow task unexpectedly induces broadly unsafe behavior in unrelated domains. With the increasing popularity of AS, it is pressing yet under-explored to thoroughly investigate whether AS can induce EM. In this paper, we conduct a comprehensive study of activation-steering-induced emergent misalignment. Specifically, (1) we identify a steering vector construction to confirm that SVs derived from a narrow task can indeed induce misalignment across broad unrelated domains. Qualitative measurement further reveals that AS-induced EM may pose more severe safety risks than finetuning-induced EM, i.e., AS elicits more actionable harmful responses with greater semantic coherence than those generated by finetuned models. (2) We characterize the properties of AS-induced EM by analyzing key steering-specific factors, including steering magnitude, the low-rank structure of the steering subspace, and the number of fine-tuning epochs used during steering-vector construction. (3) We evaluate the robustness and sensitivity of AS-induced EM across diverse model families, model scales, target tasks, and intervention layers. Our findings reveal activation steering as a significant yet underexamined source of emergent misalignment and provide an activation-space perspective on emergent misalignment and its safety risks.
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All authors Qi Cao, Jian Lou, Meiting Liu, Wenjie Feng, Dan Li, Anh Tuan Luu

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML

Rank Intervals for Leaderboards: A Hierarchical Framework for Model Evaluation

Pretrained models are often evaluated on multi-task leaderboards to measure their applicability in diverse contexts. However, current methods for aggregating performance across tasks into leaderboard-level rankings do not address the uncertainty and variability at the task level. While recent works have proposed interval-based model rankings, the principled aggregation of uncertainty from individual tasks to leaderboard-level rankings remains unaddressed, and variation in models' performance across tasks is frequently obscured. In this work, we introduce a hierarchical framework that constructs model rank intervals with statistical guarantees at both levels: task-level rank confidence intervals from pairwise comparisons, and leaderboard-level rank prediction intervals using a conformal approach. This enables reliable quantification of model rank for each observed task and for new potential tasks. Experiments on simulated data and the TabArena and PromptEval (MMLU) benchmarks show that our method yields statistically valid and informative intervals, enabling reliable, uncertainty-aware model ranking on leaderboards.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.SD

Speaker-Invariant Representation Learning for Spoofing Detection via Gradient Reversal and A Variational Information Bottleneck

Sophisticated generative speech technology can undermined the reliability of voice biometrics. While spoofing detection systems excel when assessed under in-domain conditions, generalisation to out-of-domain settings is often poor. In this paper, we show that such issues could be caused by speaker bias, where models learn individual voice traits rather than markers of manipulation or generation. We propose a teacher-student framework for speaker-invariant spoofing detection that disentangles identity without requiring speaker labels. We leverage a pre-trained speaker recognition teacher to guide a student model via a gradient reversal layer. To control the balance between suppressing cues related to voice identity with the preservation of those related to spoofing detection, we integrate a Variational Information Bottleneck. Evaluations across nine datasets show our model achieves a 25.7% relative reduction to the EER compared to the MHFA baseline.
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All authors Anh-Tuan Dao, Driss Matrouf, Mickael Rouvier, Nicholas Evans

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Learning to Solve Generative ODEs Beyond the Linear Span

Diffusion and flow generative models sample by integrating a learned ODE, but high quality still requires many sequential model evaluations. Solver learning reduces this cost by adapting scalar coefficients, timesteps, or both, while keeping the backbone model fixed. In this work, we identify a structural bottleneck in this update family: each step remains span-limited. Since the scalar-coefficient update lies in the span of buffered velocity evaluations, it can fit only the in-span component while leaving any out-of-span residual unreachable by scalar recombination alone. We propose SpanLift, a lightweight neural solver that augments scalar-coefficient updates with a spatial residual operator. SpanLift keeps a fixed base solver as an in-span prior and learns a spatial residual operator over the state and velocity buffer. The operator is trained by endpoint teacher matching, preserves the pretrained backbone, and adds no model NFEs. Empirically, the learned correction transfers across base solvers and is predominantly out-of-span. Across pixel-space diffusion, latent flow matching, and precipitation nowcasting, SpanLift achieves state-of-the-art few-step sampling. With only 3 NFE, it improves CIFAR-10 FID from 8.16 to 5.69 and ImageNet FID from 17.37 to 11.83.
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All authors Sihyeon Kim, Seunghun Lee, Vikas Singh, Hyunwoo J. Kim

Machine Learning

SkillHone: A Harness for Continual Agent Skill Evolution Through Persistent Decision History

Agent skills extend language-model agents with task-specific procedures, scripts, and references, but the tasks and environments they target continually change. Existing methods improve skills in bounded runs and retain only the final artifact, discarding the decision history that later agents need to interpret prior revisions, evaluations, and rejected alternatives. We introduce SkillHone, a harness for continual agent skill evolution grounded in persistent decision history. SkillHone pairs skill revisions with evaluation-side evidence that supplies practice feedback, recording structured histories of diagnoses, revisions, evidence, and outcomes. Role-separated subagents run candidate skills on practice probes with redacted reporting and propose revisions informed by prior decisions, enabling cross-session refinement without rediscovering past rationale. On deep-research benchmarks, SkillHone runs without a pre-integrated search stack and outperforms the commercially backed deep-research agent by 15.8 points on GAIA and 3.2 points on WebWalkerQA-EN, while also exceeding prior skill-evolution methods. We further deploy SkillHone on internal tool-mediated analysis scenarios, where it improves accuracy by an average of 18.8 points across seven settings.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.SD

A Comparison of SSL-Based Feature Extractors and Back-End Classifiers for Spoofing Detection: A Multi-Corpus Training and Cross-Linguistic Analysis

Voice biometric systems face growing threats from spoofing attacks, yet the evaluation of detection models remains inconsistent across datasets. To investigate these unpredictable fluctuations, we conduct a comprehensive benchmark of four self-supervised learning feature extractors paired with four back-end classifiers. We compare the hierarchical local feature extraction of ResNet with the global sequence and relational modeling of attention and graph-based back-ends. Through multi-corpus training across three scenarios and six evaluation datasets, our empirical analysis yields two critical findings. First, we expose a domain bias within the ASVspoof 5 dataset, showing that naive data scaling actively degrades performance. Second, our cross-linguistic analysis reveals that fine-tuning with just 8 hours of target-language data enhances detection robustness. Together, these findings emphasize the critical need for domain-aware and language-specific adaptation in spoofing detection.
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All authors Anh-Tuan Dao, Driss Matrouf, Mickael Rouvier, Nicholas Evans

Machine Learning

Operator learning for the 2D incompressible Navier-Stokes equations: a conformal prediction approach in the data-scarce regime

In this paper, we propose a perturbation-based conformal prediction framework for uncertainty quantification in operator learning, with a focus on the 2D Navier–Stokes equations. While neural operators provide fast surrogates for expensive PDE solvers, they do not by themselves provide calibrated uncertainty for spatiotemporal field predictions. Our approach wraps a trained Fourier Neural Operator (FNO) with split conformal prediction and constructs the local uncertainty scale by comparing the predictions of two operators trained on nearly identical datasets: one on the original labels and one on labels perturbed by small Gaussian noise. We consider this procedure in the data-scarce regime, where the total label budget is fixed and methods that require a separate uncertainty network must divide training data between multiple models. On the 2D Navier–Stokes benchmark, the perturbation-based method produces substantially narrower conformal bands than existing methods under matched total data budgets while maintaining the target simultaneous coverage. These results suggest that perturbation sensitivity is a practical and sample-efficient uncertainty proxy for conformalized neural operators.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV

FiberTune: Preserving Action-Fiber Visual Residuals in Vision-Language-Action Fine-Tuning

Action-supervised fine-tuning of vision-language-action (VLA) policies can compress visual structure that is weakly constrained by the action objective. We formalize this as residual visual collapse along local action fibers and propose FiberTune, a training-time objective that preserves teacher-structured visual residuals without adding inference-time overhead. FiberTune uses an online action probe to filter action-predictive directions from intermediate visual-token representations. It preserves the residuals through centered directional alignment with a frozen visual teacher and effective-rank regularization. Under identical training conditions, FiberTune improves over task-loss-only fine-tuning in every one of six simulation settings spanning two benchmarks and two architectures ($\pi_{0.5}$ and OpenVLA-OFT), as well as on physical SO-101 pick-and-place; representative gains include +10.7 pp SR(5) on long-horizon CALVIN ABC$\rightarrow$D and physical SO-101 task success rising from 72.7% to 78.1%. Representation analyses support the preservation of visual information in the residuals.
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All authors Haihao Lin, Xiangsheng Huang, Xiao Yang, Weibang Zhou, Yiqi Zhang, Bo Yang, Simin Zeng, Jiawei Yang, Zhengyang Wang, Jiahui Du

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from math.OC

Parameter Tuning with Generalization Guarantees for GPU-Accelerated Linear Programming

Recent research has developed practical, parallelizable first-order methods for large scale linear programming, but performance is highly dependent on hyperparameter selection. We derive generalization guarantees for hyperparameter tuning within (cu)PDLP, a state-of-the-art first-order LP solver designed for modern hardware. First, we pin down the behavior of PDHG, the primal-dual hybrid gradient algorithm that underlies PDLP, as a function of its step size and primal weight, leading to linear sample complexity guarantees for learning those parameters. We then conduct a structural analysis of PDLP, which augments PDHG with several specialized techniques like preconditioning, adaptive step sizes, averaging, adaptive restarts, and smoothed primal weight updates. Our analysis captures the behavior of the solution trajectory as a function of the hyperparameters and leverages recent advances in data-driven algorithm design to obtain polynomial sample complexity guarantees for learning those hyperparameters. Finally, we conduct proof-of-concept experiments that demonstrate the need for data-driven PDLP parameter tuning. Our results showcase the versatility of the data-driven algorithm design toolkit for principled hyperparameter tuning within solver-grade implementations of complex modern optimization algorithms.
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Machine Learning

SpectrumKV: Per-Token Mixed-Precision KV Cache Transfer for Prefill-Decode Disaggregated LLM Serving

Prefill-decode (PD) disaggregation decouples prompt processing from token generation, but it also turns the key-value (KV) cache into a network payload. Existing PD-side KV reduction methods are mostly binary: selected tokens are transmitted at full precision and the rest are not transmitted. This paper argues that binary selection leaves a useful design space unused. SpectrumKV assigns a precision level to each token instead: attention sinks and other high-importance tokens are protected at FP16, medium-importance tokens are sent at INT8, and low-importance tokens are sent at INT4 when the model can tolerate it. The main practical complication is that INT4 tolerance is model-dependent. Qwen2.5-7B catastrophically fails under INT4 KV quantization, while Mistral-7B and Gemma-2-9B remain stable. SpectrumKV therefore runs a lightweight deployment-time probe: three aggressive NIAH trials under a 3-tier policy. Models that pass use FP16+INT8+INT4; models that fail fall back to FP16+INT8. Across Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct, Mistral-7B-Instruct-v0.3, and Gemma-2-9B-it, SpectrumKV improves quality at the same transfer budget. At a 50% normalized KV budget on WikiText-2, SpectrumKV changes perplexity by +1.97%,-0.06%, and-0.44%, respectively, compared with PDTrim's +25.85%, +22.07%, and +35.63%. On NIAH retrieval at 4096 tokens, the adaptive policy reaches 52.6% on Qwen at the aggressive b=0.3 budget versus 26.3% for PDTrim, and reaches 100% by b=0.5; Mistral and Gemma preserve retrieval under the 3-tier policy. End-to-end GPU timing of the transfer path shows 50-62% TTFT reductions at b=0.5. These results suggest that PD KV transfer should be treated as a precision-allocation problem, not only as token pruning.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.AI

Towards Long-Horizon Vessel Trajectory and Destination Forecasting with Reasoning Large Language Models

Long-horizon maritime trajectory prediction is important for shipping management, logistics planning, and maritime risk analysis, yet month-level forecasting remains insufficiently studied. Existing deep learning methods mainly focus on short- and mid-term coordinate extrapolation and often struggle to preserve route feasibility and destination correctness over extended horizons. This paper investigates joint long-horizon vessel trajectory and destination forecasting with reasoning-capable large language models, and develops a Maritime LLM post-training framework based on Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Reward (RLVR). An AIS-based benchmark is constructed with 60-day historical trajectories and 30-day forecasting horizons, where trajectories are converted into semantic textual representations for RL prompt construction. RLVR aligns LLMs with maritime forecasting objectives by enforcing physical validity, providing early-weighted trajectory supervision, and evaluating destination correctness through hierarchical matching and curriculum learning. Experimental results show that RLVR-trained LLMs substantially improve over zero-shot LLMs and representative deep learning baselines, especially on destination-related metrics. Among the evaluated RLVR-trained variants, 4B LLMs achieve the best overall performance, suggesting that reward-compatible optimization and task-specific capacity matching are more important than simply using larger 8B or 14B LLMs. The results also show that LSTM remains a strong deep learning baseline under limited fine-tuning data, while Transformer-style spatio-temporal models typically require larger datasets and richer structured inputs. Overall, this work advances semantic, verifier-aligned maritime forecasting for operational decision support.
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All authors Hongwei Wang, Miao Zhou, Fengde Wang, Yuting Wang, Jiewen Yu, Jun-Yan He, Bohao Qu, Wanbing Zhang, Xiuju Fu, Qing Guo, Zipei Fan, Yingying Xing, Yi Yuan

Machine Learning

Tyan-WP: A Wind Power Foundation Model for Ultra-Short-Term Probabilistic Forecasting

Global wind power capacity, especially in China, is booming, with new farms spanning diverse terrains and climates. The industry urgently needs accurate wind power foundation models to shorten commissioning and accelerate grid connection. This is because site-specific time series models (TSMs) are not well suited to data-scarce scenarios and generalize poorly, while generic large time series models (LTSMs) are mostly limited to univariate inputs and cannot fully exploit static site attributes or the dependencies between power and meteorological covariates, leading to insufficient accuracy. To fill this gap, we propose Tyan-WP, the first wind power foundation model for ultra-short-term probabilistic forecasting. Pretrained on a large-scale wind power dataset covering more than 126,000 U.S. sites over seven years, Tyan-WP further improves zero-shot forecasting through two domain-specific module designs: static site embedding using coordinate, terrain, and ecoregion metadata, and a power-aware meteorological fusion (PAMF) module that models interactions between historical power and meteorological covariates. Under a unified evaluation protocol, Tyan-WP surpasses eight site-specific supervised TSMs on 10 in-domain sites and outperforms eleven generic LTSMs on 127 in-domain sites, reducing MAE by 19.9%, RMSE by 16.6%, CRPS by 22.2%, and AQL by 21.7%, while raising R^2 by 16.7%. It further demonstrates strong cross-geography generalization on six real U.K. sites. These results show that the wind power foundation model can achieve accurate zero-shot forecasting without target-site training, providing a practical pathway for rapid turbine onboarding and probabilistic risk management at new wind farms.
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All authors Jiahui Huang, Ao Luo, Lei Liu, Hongwei Zhao, Tengyuan Liu, Ruibo Guo, Bo Wang, Zhao Wang, Bin Li

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from eess.SY

Bayesian Optimization of a Multi-Product Chemical Reactor Using Composite Models and Partial Physics Knowledge

We study data-driven real-time economic optimization of a multi-product chemical reactor when no reliable first-principles model is available beyond a steady-state energy balance. Instead of learning the economic objective directly as a black-box function, we use a composite formulation in which Gaussian process (GP) models predict physically meaningful outputs, including product concentrations and reactor temperature, while profit is computed analytically from these predictions together with raw-material, product, and utility prices. This preserves the structure of the economic objective, makes it parametric in changing prices without needing retraining, and allows candidate operating points to be checked against the available energy balance through a physics residual. The GPs also provide predictive uncertainty, which is exploited in a Bayesian optimization (BO) framework both for data-efficient exploration and for conservative enforcement of the reactor temperature constraint through an upper confidence bound. The acquisition function additionally penalizes large energy-balance mismatch obtained by substituting the GP-predicted outputs and candidate inputs into the available steady-state energy balance. The approach is demonstrated on a benchmark simulation of a non-isothermal multi-product reactor. Relative to a trust-region safe BO implementation, the proposed method achieves better simulated economic performance within the available iteration budget. Relative to a purely data-driven BO approach that does not use the available physics information, it avoids reactor temperature constraint violations.
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Machine Learning

Reinforcement Learning for Flow-Matching Policies with Density Transport

We present an online reinforcement learning (RL) algorithm for fine-tuning flow-matching policies in continuous-control problems. Our key insight is to view RL-based policy improvement as a transport of action densities towards regions of high reward, which naturally aligns with the transport formulation of flow matching models. Prior methods either approximate the current or optimal policy distribution or resort to distillation, which introduces biased gradients or sacrifices multimodal modeling capacity. In contrast, our approach for RL with Density Transport, which we name RLDT, constructs a transport field from a maximum-entropy RL objective using Stein Variational Gradient Descent (SVGD). Then, it finetunes a pretrained flow matching policy to align with this field. Training with this alignment objective is nontrivial because flow-matching policies generate actions via a multi-step process, making direct gradient-based optimization challenging. To overcome this challenge and stabilize training, we approximate policy actions from intermediate denoising steps via expected-target estimation. This allows the transport-field update to propagate into the network parameters without unstable backpropagation through time. Experimental results demonstrate that RLDT outperforms competitive baselines in reward quality and convergence speed. This performance holds across diverse continuous-control tasks, encompassing both dense and sparse rewards, as well as state- and vision-based long-horizon robot manipulation. The project webpage is \href{https://rpfey.github.io/rldt/}{https://rpfey.github.io/rldt/}.
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Machine Learning

How Much Capacity Does EEG Denoising Need? Ultra-Compact Networks reveal Benchmark Saturation and Metric-Utility Gap

Deep learning EEG denoising architectures have scaled from tens of thousands to tens of millions of parameters, yet no prior study has isolated model capacity as the experimental variable or tested whether reconstruction metrics predict downstream neural-signal utility. We address both gaps by fixing architecture, loss, data split, and training recipe while sweeping only channel width from 1.05K to 40.26K parameters in a minimal depthwise-separable convolutional U-Net. Models were evaluated on the EEGDenoiseNet benchmark, cross-dataset BCI transfer tests, controlled baseline retraining, and downstream motor-imagery classification with five decoder families across all nine BCI Competition IV-2a subjects. Reconstruction performance saturated by 3-6.5K parameters, with post-elbow gains of at most 0.015 correlation coefficient per log10-parameter unit. An 8.46M-parameter baseline retrained under the same pipeline matched the 40.26K compact variant on EOG–a 200x parameter gap yielding no advantage–while a Patch-Transformer control reproduced the same diminishing-return shape. Downstream evaluation exposed a classifier-dependent metric-utility gap: reconstruction-optimized denoising significantly degraded CSP+LDA classification across all nine subjects and three artifact types (best denoised accuracy 0.547 vs. 0.612 noisy baseline; Bonferroni p=0.0488), persisting on naturally recorded trials (Delta=-0.047; BH-FDR q=0.0049). End-to-end neural decoders showed variable or neutral effects. Standard EEG denoising benchmarks are saturated far below current model capacity, and reconstruction metrics do not predict BCI utility. Ultra-compact models at 33-46 KB and 1.27-2.61M FLOPs/segment are practical for edge deployment. These findings argue for capacity-controlled evaluation, harder task-aware benchmarks, and mandatory downstream validation.
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Machine Learning

Quantum Global Variational Learning for Quantum Error Correction

Efficient quantum error correction is essential for the advancement of quantum computing. We propose a quantum neural network with a global structure that reduces the number of unitary matrices required in quantum circuits. This approach resulted in a 97% reduction in training time and up to a 25% improvement in the training completion rate, ultimately achieving a 100% success rate in training while surpassing the error correction performance reported in previous studies. In addition, we demonstrated the enhanced robustness of quantum error correction against internal network noise. Moreover, the fidelity of quantum error correction under internal network noise increased by up to 15% due to the reduced computational load.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML

Improving the sharpness in neural network-based parametric post-processing of ensemble forecasts

Statistical post-processing has proven to be an effective tool in improving ensemble forecast of different weather variables. Case studies show that post-processing can remedy the typically underdispersive and potentially biased behaviour of the ensemble while optimizing a proper scoring rule expressing the forecast skill. The price of these positive effects is generally a deterioration in sharpness; the width of the central prediction intervals and the uncertainty of the predictions are increasing, especially for shorter lead times. This work aims to reduce the extent of the latter phenomenon for neural network-based parametric post-processing methods by extending the network's loss function with a penalty term. We demonstrate the effect of the proposed technique for 2m temperature ensemble forecasts of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts downloaded from the EUPPBench benchmark dataset and verified against synoptic observations. Here, the predictive distribution is Gaussian, and we use the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) as loss function. The case studies confirm a substantial relative decrease ($8.2\%-12.5\%$) in the width of the nominal central prediction interval compared to the width of the predictive distribution computed without the penalty term, while there is no deterioration in the mean CRPS of probabilistic forecasts and in the RMSE of the predictive mean.
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Machine Learning

Convolutional Sparse Coding via the Locally Competitive Algorithm on Loihi 2

Sparse coding provides a principled framework for signal representation by expressing an input as a linear combination of only a small number of basis functions. The Locally Competitive Algorithm (LCA) is particularly attractive in the context of neuromorphic computing because its dynamics, leaky integration, thresholding, and lateral inhibition map naturally to neuromorphic hardware. While prior work has studied non-convolutional LCA on Loihi 2, the convolutional setting is of particular interest because it introduces spatial structure, weight sharing, overlapping receptive fields, and scaling behavior that are more representative of practical sparse inference workloads. In this work, we present a Loihi 2 implementation of convolutional sparse coding via the LCA and evaluate it against a conventional GPU baseline on the same inference problems. The implementation follows a one-layer recurrent LCA formulation and extends it to convolutional feature maps with local inhibitory kernels derived from pairwise filter interactions. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first implementation and benchmark of convolutional LCA on Loihi 2. Our goal is not only to demonstrate feasibility, but also to clarify in which operating regimes convolutional sparse inference becomes attractive on neuromorphic hardware. The resulting study positions convolutional LCA as a useful benchmark for structured sparse inference on emerging neuromorphic systems.
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Machine Learning

A spectral audit framework reveals task-dependent aperiodic reliance across EEG and ECG deep learning

Deep learning on physiological time series is interpreted through domain-specific features – oscillatory rhythms in EEG, morphological complexes in ECG – yet these signals sit atop a broadband aperiodic 1/f-like envelope that covaries with arousal, age, and pathology. We introduce a spectral audit framework combining aperiodic/periodic decomposition, phase-preserving Fourier interventions, sham controls, and simulation validation. Aperiodic reliance was task-dependent and architecture-general: across six neural architectures, flattening drops exceeded 0.42 balanced-accuracy points for sleep-wake classification, reached 0.07-0.13 for clinical abnormality detection, and remained minimal for motor imagery. Six of seven EEG foundation models showed FDR-significant aperiodic reliance on clinical EEG; age/sex and recording-era controls reduced but did not eliminate the effect. Applying the audit to PTB-XL ECG revealed neural drops of 0.32–0.36 persisting after demographic matching, confirming this confound class extends beyond EEG. Aperiodic controls should become standard for interpretable physiological time-series deep learning.
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