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Computer Science Machine Learning

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Monday 1 June

Machine Learning

CRePE: Convolution-aware Relative Importance in Post-training Pruning with Efficient Search

Deploying Large Language Models (LLMs) in practice incurs substantial memory and computational costs. Post-training pruning (PTP) is an effective approach to reducing these costs by removing weights without additional training. Among existing methods, RIA introduces relative importance scores normalized by row and column sums, achieving state-of-the-art accuracy. However, RIA considers only 1D cross-shaped (row/column) directional information and assigns equal weight to row and column contributions. In this paper, we propose CRePE, which incorporates 2D local neighborhood context and adaptive coefficients into Relative Importance scoring. CRePE consistently outperforms existing PTP methods across diverse models and sparsity settings. However, identifying optimal adaptive coefficients via perplexity (PPL)-based hill climbing requires numerous PPL evaluations and approximately 11 hours of search time. To address this, we propose PHO (Proxy-based Hyperparameter Optimization), which eliminates the need for repeated PPL measurements and reduces the search time to approximately 20 minutes. Furthermore, the optimal hyperparameter configuration found by PHO on one model transfers well to other models, demonstrating strong generalization. Finally, we verify that CRePE can be orthogonally combined with existing techniques including Channel Permutation, non-uniform sparsity allocation, and re-pruning methods.
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Machine Learning

TN-SHAP-G: Graph-Structured Tensor Network Surrogates for Shapley Values and Interactions

Shapley values are a widely used tool for attributing importance and interactions among input variables in black-box models, but their computation involves a function defined over an exponentially large space of subsets. We propose TN-SHAP-G, a framework that exploits structure in graph-structured inputs to compute Shapley values and higher-order interaction indices efficiently. Given a predictor and a fixed masking scheme, TN-SHAP-G learns a compact, graph-aligned multilinear surrogate that approximates the masked-input behavior, represented as a tensor network whose topology mirrors the input graph. Once trained from a small number of oracle queries, the surrogate enables deterministic recovery of first- and higher-order Shapley indices via the multilinear extension, without additional model queries or Monte Carlo variance. Experiments on molecular benchmarks show that the learned factorization closely matches exact Shapley values on small graphs and scales efficiently to larger graphs where sampling-based methods become infeasible.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ME

Scalable Counterfactual Risk Estimation for Rare Events in Longitudinal Data

Estimating the causal effect of time-varying treatments on survival outcomes in large observational studies is computationally demanding, particularly when outcomes are rare. While g-formula-based methods such as the iterative conditional expectation (ICE) estimator provide a principled framework for longitudinal causal inference, they become computationally expensive, especially when bootstrap-based variance estimation is required. In addition, outcome rarity at each time point induces severe class imbalance, leading to instability and convergence issues in logistic regression and related models. To address these challenges, we propose a principled subsampling and reweighting strategy for longitudinal survival data that can be applied to a range of existing causal effect estimators in this setting, including the ICE estimator. The proposed method substantially reduces computational burden while preserving consistency and improving estimation stability in rare-outcome settings. We evaluate the method through simulations and validate it using a large-scale EHR cohort study on social and behavioral determinants of health (SBDH) and suicide risk, demonstrating its effectiveness for modeling rare outcomes in longitudinal data.
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All authors Xiaohui Yin, Avijit Mitra, Ying Zhou, Kun Chen, Hong Yu

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.GR

MPMWorlds: Material-Point-Method Simulations for Inferring and Extrapolating Physical Dynamics

To study the ability to infer physical dynamics from videos and extrapolate them forward in time, we assemble a dataset of 2D Material Point Method (MPM) physical simulations covering rich physical phenomena such as deformable objects, fluids, kinetic objects, and emitters. We study code generation and video diffusion approaches on this dataset, identifying their strengths and weaknesses by varying the amount of physically relevant side information. The code generation model, beyond giving a working demonstration of automatic synthesis of MPM simulations, reveals that such an approach struggles with inferring physical parameters from visual input, but relative to video diffusion, produces physically and temporally stable extrapolations forward in time, while the video diffusion model more strongly identifies geometric properties from visual input but produces physically implausible extrapolations.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV

PaCX-MAE: Physiology-Augmented Chest X-Ray Masked Autoencoder

Clinical diagnosis often requires combining imaging with physiological measurements, yet deployed models typically operate on unimodal data. We present PaCX-MAE, a cross-modal distillation framework that injects physiological priors into chest X-ray (CXR) encoders while remaining strictly unimodal at inference. PaCX-MAE augments in-domain masked autoencoding with a dual contrastive-predictive objective, aligning CXR representations with paired ECG and laboratory embeddings. Extensive evaluation across nine benchmarks demonstrates consistent improvements over domain-specific MAE, particularly on physiology-dependent tasks (e.g., +2.7 AUROC on MedMod; +6.5 F1 on VinDr). The method proves highly label-efficient in the 1% regime and preserves anatomical fidelity, achieving parity with MAE on segmentation tasks. Zero-shot and attention analyses confirm that PaCX-MAE successfully learns to attend to physiological indicators, such as the cardiac silhouette, absent in standard visual pretraining.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.MA

Multi-Agent Computer Use

Computer use agents (CUAs) today are primarily deployed as single serial agents. This setup is suboptimal for complex long-horizon tasks that benefit from task decomposition, parallel execution, and consistent re-planning based on new information. In this paper, we argue that we should instead move towards evaluating and building multi-agent computer use (MACU) systems. These systems, which emphasize planning and parallel execution, alleviate many of the shortcomings of single-agent CUAs. We propose a general multi-agent setup in which a manager model decomposes computer use tasks as a directed acyclic graph (DAG), encoding relevant dependencies and goals for subagents. At each iteration, the manager dispatches parallel CUA subagents to carry out nodes on the ready frontier of the DAG, and continuously revises the DAG (adding, canceling, or rewriting nodes) as new findings arrive from subagents. This design treats the partially observable environment of computer use as a first class challenge: information that downstream agents may not be able to re-observe are retained and passed forward through the manager and DAG structure. We demonstrate that MACU consistently improves over strong single-agent baselines by $3.4-25.5\%$ on desktop (OSWorld) and web navigation (Online-Mind2Web, WebTailBench, Odysseys) benchmarks, exhibits more favorable test-time scaling, and solves complex long-horizon tasks where single-agent CUAs get stuck. On Odysseys, a long-horizon web navigation benchmark, MACU improves average task completion wall-clock time by ${\sim} 1.5 \times$, demonstrating its efficacy in speeding up traditionally slow CUA pipelines. Our findings highlight that multi-agent coordination is a promising axis for scaling computer use agents to work productively for longer and more effectively. We release all code and interactive visualizations at https://jykoh.com/multi-agent-computer-use.
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Machine Learning

Rethinking the Role of Positional Encoding: Sliding-Window Transformers without PE Remain Turing Complete

Positional encoding (PE) is widely viewed as necessary for transformers to process ordered sequences: without them, the next-token map appears permutation-invariant in its context tokens. This intuition underlies all prior universality results, which rely on positional information to prove that transformers with chain-of-thought can perform arbitrary computation, i.e., they are Turing complete. We revisit this belief in the regime most relevant to long-form reasoning, where generation proceeds through a finite sliding context window. Our opening perception is that the window mechanism itself (mildly) breaks the permutation symmetry. To distill and precisely capture the degree of this added expressiveness, we introduce an abstract autoregressive model, the HIST model, in which each update depends only on constant-size internal state and the token-count histogram within the current window. We prove that this HIST model is Turing complete by showing that the evolution of the window can reveal the token that has just left the window, which suffices to simulate Turing-complete Post machines. We then construct a sliding-window transformer over a constant-size token alphabet, without PE, and show that it can simulate the HIST model. Our result demonstrates that positional encodings are not indispensable for transformers to perform universal computation: The window sliding itself already breaks permutation symmetry and captures sufficient positional information.
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Machine Learning

Near-Optimal Machine Unlearning Utility for Smooth Strongly Convex Losses

Machine unlearning is motivated by legal and user-facing requirements to remove the influence of individuals' data from trained models, such as the right to be forgotten. Prior work has developed algorithms and error bounds for unlearning in smooth strongly convex stochastic optimization but the fundamental statistical cost of unlearning has remained unclear. We nearly resolve this problem by proving upper and lower bounds on the excess population risk of approximate $(\varepsilon, \delta)$-unlearning; our bounds are tight up to a condition-number factor. For mean estimation over the unit ball, our upper and lower bounds match. In fact, our algorithm achieves $\varepsilon$-unlearning, which implies a notable separation between differential privacy and unlearning: $(\varepsilon, \delta)$-unlearning has no statistical advantage over pure $\varepsilon$-unlearning. The optimal rate is the usual sampling error plus an unlearning penalty that interpolates between the retraining from scratch rate and an exponentially smaller term as $\varepsilon/d$ grows, where $d$ is the dimension of the model. The retraining penalty dominates the sampling error for large unlearning requests. In particular, retraining from scratch is information theoretically optimal up to $\varepsilon \lesssim d$. On the other hand, for $\varepsilon \gg d$ and large unlearning requests, our $\varepsilon$-unlearning algorithm offers an exponential accuracy improvement over retraining the model from scratch and differentially private baselines.
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Machine Learning

Semi-Supervised Hyperbolic Hierarchical Clustering with Set-Level Structural Priors

Semi-supervised hierarchical clustering aims to learn a tree structure consistent with data patterns and user-provided supervision. Supervision is usually given as leaf-level relations, such as pairwise must-link/cannot-link constraints or triplet-wise must-link-before constraints. Although useful for regulating local sample relations, such supervision does not directly indicate which samples should form coherent subtrees. Consequently, the non-leaf structure of the learned tree may deviate from the hierarchical organization preferred by ground-truth labels. To address this limitation, we propose a semi-supervised hyperbolic hierarchical clustering method with set-level structural priors. The main contribution is to introduce sets as basic modeling units for hierarchy learning. Each set denotes samples expected to cohere within a subtree and is induced from leaf-level supervision together with a learned constraint-consistent similarity structure. These sets act as soft structural priors for subtree-level supervision, allowing supervision to guide non-leaf hierarchy formation beyond local leaf-level relations. Specifically, we first learn constraint-consistent embeddings to obtain a reliable set partition, then construct constraint-induced sets and estimate inter-set similarities to form set-level structural priors. Finally, these priors are incorporated into a hyperbolic hierarchy objective for continuous tree optimization. Experiments on eleven benchmark datasets and ablation studies show that the proposed method consistently improves label consistency over representative hierarchical clustering baselines while also enhancing similarity-based tree quality.
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All authors Junjing Zheng, Xinyu Zhang, Xiangfeng Qiu, Chengliang Song, Weidong Jiang

Machine Learning

Fast Generalization after Interpolation via Critically Damped Momentum Optimization

A central problem in machine learning is that models can achieve near-perfect training performance while generalizing substantially less well to unseen examples. This gap is especially acute in high-dimensional, low-sample regimes, where many interpolating solutions exist and optimization must implicitly select among minima with different generalization properties. Following recent theoretical advances on optimization dynamics near the interpolation threshold, we note that the two-regime structure of risk minimization, with loss minimization followed by complexity minimization, motivates a biphasic optimization schedule. We thus theoretically demonstrate that GROKtimizer, a biphasic strategy that combines rapid convergence to interpolation with Critically Damped Momentum (CDM)-based post-interpolation norm minimization, offers a natural solution for selecting low-norm interpolating solutions. Under a local quadratic model of the post-interpolation basin, GROKtimizer provides a quadratic speedup over classical gradient descent, with provable optimality among first-order optimizers. To showcase the applicability of our method, we evaluate GROKtimizer on several synthetic benchmarks common in the classical grokking literature and on various real-world datasets. Finally, we reconcile our findings with the flat-minima hypothesis, highlighting the importance of post-interpolation dynamics in the construction of high-quality, generalizing models.
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All authors Luca Muscarnera, Silas Ruhrberg Estévez, Yuanzhang Xiao, Mihaela Van der Schaar

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.DC

Compliance-Scored Best-of-N Guardrail Orchestration for Multimodal Document Generation in Payments Dispute Defense

High-stakes enterprise document generation, including financial dispute narratives, compliance notices, and audit summaries, demands schema correctness, policy compliance, and low-latency operation at scale. Prior to a unified guardrail layer, production systems often stitched together separate PII redaction, content moderation, and format validation steps, leading to fragmented logic, slower request paths, and higher operational cost. We present a guardrail orchestration layer for text and image inputs that couples multi-candidate generation with an explicit compliance score used for early exit. The framework runs configurable parallel generation heads, scores candidates against weighted guardrails including PII detection, content moderation, schema constraints, and domain rules, and returns the best-scoring output with selection metadata. The available operational readout reports 5 attempts within 20 seconds and 91 percent compliance. For payments dispute defense summaries, we analyze aggregate operational scenario readouts rather than a randomized A/B test. Variable cohorts show higher count win rates than controls overall, 301/659 versus 536/1548, corresponding to +11.0 percentage points with 95 percent confidence interval [6.6, 15.5] and p < 0.001, and for adjusted item-not-received cases, +7.5 percentage points with 95 percent confidence interval [0.2, 15.7] and p = 0.045. Fraud and local evidence-ranking deltas are directionally positive but not statistically significant from the aggregate count data. We also report reviewer-calibrated Responsible-AI evidence-quality signals from 770 generated-evidence reviews and a 70-case OCR slice, and document the reproducibility boundary through the request interface, scoring logic, pseudocode, and operational evidence boundary.
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Machine Learning

ProbMoE: Differentiable Probabilistic Routing for Mixture-of-Experts

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) models scale by activating only a small subset of experts per token. However, training such models remains challenging because top-$k$ routing is discrete and non-differentiable, requiring gradient estimators for expert selection whose design remains a central open problem. We introduce ProbMoE, a probabilistic routing framework that models expert selection as a distribution over cardinality-constrained expert subsets and formulates routing as probabilistic inference in this discrete subset space. We first propose ProbMoE Exact-$k$ routing, which samples $k$-expert subsets in the forward pass, and the backward pass uses gradients through each expert's exact marginal probability as a tractable surrogate for the true gradient. ProbMoE naturally generalizes to a dynamic-$k$ routing setting, where both training and inference constrain the routing cardinality to the same predefined range, allowing adaptive expert allocation per token. Across benchmarks and model backbones, ProbMoE Exact-$k$ achieves strong performance compared to competitive baselines, with improved expert utilization and routing diversity; ProbMoE Dynamic-$k$ achieves comparable performance with fewer activated experts.
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All authors Heng Zhao, Zilei Shao, Guy Van den Broeck, Zhe Zeng

Sunday 31 May

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CL

Comparative Analysis of Multilingual Pre-trained Models for Nepali Automatic Speech Recognition

Multilingual pretrained models nominally support Nepali, yet no controlled benchmark has compared them under a single fine-tuning protocol. We fine-tune six pretrained models (XLSR-53, IndicWav2Vec, MMS-1B, Whisper-Medium, Whisper-Large-v3-Turbo, and Conformer-Hi) spanning CTC self-supervised, autoregressive encoder-decoder, and hybrid Conformer-CTC architectures, on the OpenSLR SLR54 Nepali corpus (~165 hours) using identical preprocessing, splits, optimizer, and family-matched learning-rate schedules. We evaluate Word Error Rate (WER), Character Error Rate (CER), and Real-Time Factor (RTF) on three independent test sets (OpenSLR, FLEURS, Common Voice). Whisper-Large-v3-Turbo (14.76% WER) and IndicWav2Vec (14.89% WER) tie at the top despite a 9x parameter gap and 40x pretraining-data gap, providing direct empirical evidence that language-family proximity in pretraining can substitute for raw scale for in-domain Nepali. CTC decoders run up to 29x faster than autoregressive Whisper at the same accuracy, flipping the practical deployment preference toward CTC under any latency budget. Massively multilingual pretraining (MMS-1B) yields the smallest out-of-domain degradation on FLEURS (+12.55 pp), indicating that scale buys robustness rather than peak in-domain accuracy. The resulting benchmark provides the first standardized, multi-model, efficiency-aware reference numbers for Nepali ASR.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from eess.SY

Active Inference for Adaptive Traffic Signal Control in Noisy Nonstationary IoT Environments

Urban traffic signal control at IoT-instrumented intersections must remain effective under sensor occlusion, weather attenuation, and nonstationary demand. Conventional controllers degrade under these conditions, and learned policies remain difficult to audit. To address these challenges, we propose an active inference controller for a four-arm signalized intersection that dynamically selects phases by minimizing expected free energy (EFE) over Gaussian beliefs about per-direction congestion levels, yielding a fully traceable decision pipeline. We benchmark the controller in a SUMO traffic simulator against a rule-based heuristic and a deep Q-network (DQN) across four scenarios that progressively increase noise and nonstationarity, spanning sensor occlusion, adverse weather, and stochastic accidents. Across 100 independent random evaluations per scenario, active inference attains the lowest idle times and CO2 emissions in the noisiest scenarios (56,977 s and 29.12 kg vs. 71,741 s and 30.56 kg for DQN). These gains come at a modest cost in bus priority service rate and phase switch frequency.
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All authors Dénes Toth, George Ambroladze, Edwin Sundberg, Ali Beikmohammadi, Alfreds Lapkovskis

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CY

AGORA: Can Deliberation and Governance Gates Absorb Participation Bias in Transit Planning?

Transit network design depends not only on the optimization algorithm but also on who shows up to the public hearing. Current practice often collects one-directional comments from self-selected attendees, leaving participant mix as an uncontrolled source of outcome variation. We present AGORA, a framework that holds the network, demand, and solver fixed while systematically varying meeting composition through stakeholder agents, structured deliberation, and governance gates. Across two standard benchmark networks at different scales, we find that (i) aggregate outcomes vary little across compositions, but on tail risk and fairness disparity, representative sampling still tends to outperform skewed compositions; (ii) without deliberation, composition produces no variation at all, showing that deliberation is the mechanism through which who attends affects outcomes; and (iii) governance gates compress cross-profile variance without shifting the average outcome on Mandl, but low acceptance on Mumford0 shows thresholds require instance-specific calibration. These findings reframe participation bias from an uncontrollable input to a process-design problem: even without guaranteed representative attendance, well-structured deliberation and governance criteria can substantially reduce how much outcomes depend on who is in the room.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from physics.geo-ph

Korzhinskii-Net: Physics-Informed Neural Network for Sub-Surface Mineral Prospectivity Modelling

Mineral prospectivity modelling (MPM) underpins exploration economics, yet most operational pipelines reduce to data-driven classifiers trained on shallow surface proxies. Such models are blind to the subsurface physics that actually localises ore: heat advection, fluid flow, and lithology-dependent precipitation. We present Korzhinskii-Net, a 2-D radial physics-informed neural network (PINN) that couples Darcy flow, advective-diffusive heat transport, and a softplus-saturated reaction rate into a single differentiable forward model, weakly supervised by surface and remote-sensing proxies. The network is named after Dmitri S. Korzhinskii (1899-1985), whose theory of infiltration metasomatism provides the physical scaffold. We evaluate Korzhinskii-Net on six ore provinces spanning three commodity classes - Udokan (sandstone-hosted Cu), Sukhoi Log, Olimpiada, and Berezovskoye (orogenic Au), Vorontsovskoye (Carlin-type Au), and Dalnegorsk (skarn polymetallic) - under a fair, leakage-controlled 5-fold cross-validation protocol with hard ring-shaped negatives and baseline proxy features disabled. Korzhinskii-Net attains a mean PR-AUC of 0.708 versus 0.235 for the strongest classical baseline (support vector machine), and a mean fractional rank of 0.036 versus 0.475. The improvement is consistent across all six provinces and three commodity systems, suggesting that physics-informed differentiable simulators, even when constrained only by global open-data proxies, can recover localisation patterns that pure feature-based learners systematically miss. We release the full pipeline and evaluation harness as open source.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from eess.SP

Efficient Temporal Modeling for Mobile Sleep Staging via Lightweight Random Attention

Mobile sleep staging serves as a foundational infrastructure for in-home sleep monitoring and closed-loop modulation. But existing sequential models such as RNNs and Transformers are computationally expensive for mobile deployment. In this paper, we propose Random Attention (RA), a lightweight temporal modeling module based on fixed random projections, which replaces learnable sequence modeling with similarity-based aggregation. RA introduces little additional parameters beyond the epoch encoder while enabling effective temporal smoothing. We further provide a theoretical interpretation via the Random Attention Prior Kernel (RAPK), which decomposes RA into a global smoothing term and a feature similarity term, offering an interpretable view of temporal sleep structure. Experiments on Sleep-EDF-20 and Sleep-EDF-78 show that RA consistently improves epoch-wise baselines by 1-3% in accuracy and F1 score, while achieving competitive performance compared with LSTM, GRU, and Transformer models. RA also demonstrates strong generalization across different backbone encoders and improved robustness over conventional temporal smoothing methods. These results indicate that efficient sleep staging can be achieved through lightweight similarity-based temporal aggregation, making RA suitable for real-time wearable applications.
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All authors Guisong Liu, Pengfei Wei, Jainsong Zhang, Martin Dresler

Machine Learning

Blurry Window Attention

The Softmax Attention operation in Transformer language models has a quadratic complexity in the sequence length and a growing state size in the form of KV cache, which becomes a bottleneck in long context scenarios. To overcome this limitation, alternative architectures with linear complexity and finite state size have been introduced, such as State-Space Models (SSMs), Linear Attention (LA), and Attention with Bounded-memory Control (ABC). Though linear models achieve similar language perplexity as Transformers, they are still behind in tasks which require retrieval or recall of specific information. In this work, we introduce Blurry Window Attention (BLA) a novel ABC method inspired by SSMs. BLA stores a frequency window from which a blurry KV history is reconstructed via interpolation using Dirichlet kernels. BLA can be understood as a generalization of Sliding Window Attention (SWA) depending on the Dirichlet kernels resolution or as a special case of the Gated Slot Attention (GSA), where the decay factor is implemented with Dirichlet kernels. We describe in details the theory and efficient implementation of BLA. On the Multi-Query Associate Recall (MQAR) synthetic task, we show that the state efficiency of BLA is 8$\times$ better than SWA and is competitive with popular linear attention models, and in the RegBench synthetic task, only BLA and SWA improve their performance as the state size grows among the linear models we tested.
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All authors Axel Laborieux, Christos Sourmpis, Juan Gabriel Kostelec, Qinghai Guo

Machine Learning

Time Series as Language: A Universal Tokenizer for General-Purpose Time Series Foundation Models

While Next-Token Prediction (NTP) has unified LLM pretraining, its adaptation to unbounded, continuous time series (TS) remains open. To bridge the gap, we introduce UniTok, a universal tokenizer that transforms TS into discrete tokens, and UniTok-FM, a foundation model pretrained via NTP on these tokens. UniTok-FM is a general-purpose foundation model that supports zero-shot and prompt-boosted forecasting, as well as few-shot generation and classification via training-free in-context inference–a capability not achieved by prior works. Technically, UniTok is a vector-quantized autoencoder incorporating prefix normalization for scale stabilization, a progressive-resolution causal architecture for encoding and decoding, and a structure-preserving reconstruction loss for training. UniTok-FM adopts an off-the-shelf LLM architecture without TS-specific modifications. Instead of pretraining on isolated TS, it performs NTP on context windows formed by multiple series with similar patterns, aiming to capture their shared dynamics. Experiments on forecasting, generation, and classification show that a single unified UniTok-FM consistently outperforms statistical and supervised baselines, achieves competitive performance with task-specific foundation models, and uniquely enables training-free in-context inference across tasks.
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All authors Yunhao Zhang, Ruiying Qi, Jiale Zheng, Jianfeng Zhang, Lujia Pan, Junchi Yan

Machine Learning

Conformal Risk Prediction for Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Using Gradient Boosting with Distribution-Free Coverages

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects roughly 25% of global adults, posing substantial hepatic and cardiovascular risks. Yet, population-level screening tools remain inadequate. We present Method, a machine-learning framework for NAFLD risk prediction coupling gradient-boosted decision trees with conformal prediction to yield calibrated, distribution-free coverage guarantees on individual risk estimates. It integrates a mutual-information-based stability selection procedure to identify a compact, clinically interpretable feature subset via bootstrap resampling, constructing prediction sets whose marginal coverage provably exceeds a user-specified confidence level. We evaluated Method on a multicenter cohort from Guangzhou, China (primary n=2,187; external validation n=412) using 78 candidate features across demographics, metabolic biomarkers, and lifestyle factors. Method achieves an AUROC of 0.912 internally and 0.891 externally, outperforming deep neural networks, TabNet, support vector machines, and logistic regression. Conformal prediction sets achieve 91.3% empirical coverage at the 90% nominal level. A three-tier risk stratification derived from these scores separates the population into distinct groups, with the high-risk subgroup showing a 12-month progression rate 4.7 times that of the low-risk tier. The selected features – notably waist circumference, ALT, GGT, triglycerides, fasting glucose, and BMI – align with established metabolic risk factors, providing biological plausibility.
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Machine Learning

Mitigating Manifold Departure: Uncertainty-Aware Subspace Rectification for Trustworthy MLLM Decoding

MLLMs frequently hallucinate objects inconsistent with visual inputs. This issue is typically attributed to the over-reliance on language priors, which can override the visual context. Recent training-free decoding strategies address this by penalizing language priors. However, these methods overlook the dual nature of language priors, where they can be both helpful and harmful depending on the alignment with visual evidence. In particular, blindly suppressing language priors often disrupts the model's semantic manifold, leading to performance degradation, a phenomenon we term Manifold Departure. To address this, we propose Manifold-Guided Adaptive Projection (MGAP), a geometry-aware, training-free decoding method that mitigates hallucinations while preserving representation structure. MGAP first constructs a language-prior subspace from blind hidden states via SVD. During decoding, MGAP projects each multimodal hidden state onto this subspace and applies a consistency-aware gate to adaptively attenuate only the projected prior component, yielding a subspace-selective update that largely preserves the orthogonal semantic components. Extensive experiments on POPE and CHAIR show that MGAP outperforms prior decoding baselines, achieving stronger hallucination suppression without sacrificing coherence.
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All authors Yingxuan Zhuang, Jingxiao Yang, Miao Pan, Cheng Tan, Yuxiang Cai, Siwei Tan, Chen Zhi, Xuhong Zhang, Jianwei Yin, Jintao Chen

Machine Learning

Evaluation of ML Resource Utilization Requires Model Life Cycle Assessment

Proper accounting of the energy requirements and environmental impact of artificial intelligence (AI) systems is necessary for researchers, developers, policy makers, and users to assess the barriers to building systems at scale. With the growing complexity of pipelines and underlying infrastructure needed to develop and deploy AI systems, previous approaches for evaluating AI efficiency which focus on the costs of a single training run or an individual inference prediction are no longer sufficient. In this position paper, we enunciate the need for applying life cycle assessment to evaluate the costs of the machine learning model development and deployment pipeline to properly account for the required resources and downstream impact. Life cycle assessments enable the incorporation of costs across the full life cycle of an AI system and its underlying infrastructure, from the embodied costs associated with the physical computing hardware through the operational costs in training and inference.
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All authors Jared Fernandez, Clara Na, Yonatan Bisk, Constantine Samaras, Emma Strubell

Machine Learning

Trait-space Monitoring for Emergent Misalignment During Supervised Finetuning

Emergent misalignment (EM) occurs when narrow finetuning induces dangerous behavior outside the finetuning task. Detecting this shift through repeated behavioral evaluation is costly, motivating our checkpoint-level monitoring from internal representations. We define a fixed coordinate system from seven alignment-relevant activation directions and use it to track representational drift during LoRA finetuning of four open-source 7-9B language models. Finetuning drift in this space exhibits a dominant axis that explains 78.6% of variance and remains stable across datasets, extraction choices, and parameter-update capacities. Across 468 checkpoints from three EM-relevant held-out datasets, the resulting monitors attain 1.8% FNR, 2.0% FPR, and 0.989 AUROC, outperforming semantic, random, PCA, and SAE feature baselines. On a fourth dataset, a matched benign-dangerous control shows that substantial representational drift can also occur under benign finetuning, while changes across the 7D profile still distinguish dangerous from benign runs. Stress tests across two 14B models, full finetuning, longer training horizons, and misaligned starting states show that the signal can persist across shifts in training configuration, while reliable deployment may require recalibration.
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All authors Huy Nghiem, Sy-Tuyen Ho, Sarah Wiegreffe, Hal Daumé III

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML

Target Updates May Stabilize Linear Q-Learning: Periodic and Soft Dynamics

Periodic target updates in Q-learning and soft target updates in actor-critic methods are empirically well established stabilization mechanisms, but their precise theoretical explanation is still incomplete. This paper gives a rigorous and exact analysis of these mechanisms for Q-learning with linear function approximation (linear Q-learning) using the exact switched linear system (SLS) dynamics induced by the Bellman maximum and the joint spectral radius (JSR) of the resulting switching matrix families. Although linear Q-learning can fail to converge in general, we prove that, under explicit spectral and step-size conditions, periodic hard target updates and soft target updates can guarantee convergence to the exact projected Q-Bellman solution. The main analysis is carried out for deterministic linear Q-learning, where the target-update mechanism is most transparent. Once the corresponding JSR certificate is established for the mean recursion, the stochastic reinforcement-learning setting can be treated by replacing deterministic modes with sampled stochastic modes and adding the corresponding stochastic-noise analysis.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from eess.AS

SVHalluc: Benchmarking Speech-Vision Hallucination in Audio-Visual Large Language Models

Despite the success of audio-visual large-language models (LLMs), they can produce plausible but ungrounded outputs, termed hallucination. Existing benchmarks focus on environmental sounds (e.g., dog barking) to indicate event occurrence. In contrast, human speech carries fundamentally different, rich semantics and temporal structures, yet it remains unexplored whether current models can accurately align speech content with corresponding visual signals. In this work, we show that speech content can induce hallucinations in audio-visual LLMs. To systematically study this, we introduce SVHalluc, the first comprehensive benchmark for evaluating speech-vision hallucination in audio-visual LLMs. Our benchmark diagnoses speech-vision hallucinations from two critical and complementary aspects: semantic and temporal. Experimental results demonstrate that state-of-the-art open-source audio-visual LLMs struggle with aligning speech content with corresponding visual signals, with a near-random accuracy on multiple tasks. In contrast, Gemini 2.5 Pro significantly outperforms the open-source models. Our analysis suggests that their failures stem from limited ability in cross-modality understanding, despite strong performance in single-modality perception. Our work uncovers a new and fundamental limitation of current audio-visual LLMs and highlights the need for speech-grounded video comprehension. Project page: https://chenshuang-zhang.github.io/projects/svhalluc/.
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All authors Chenshuang Zhang, Kyeong Seon Kim, Chengxin Liu, Tae-Hyun Oh

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.IR

Semantic Retrieval for Product Search in E-Commerce

Semantic retrieval in e-commerce must handle short, noisy, and colloquial queries over large product catalogs with fine-grained attribute distinctions. We present a Siamese LLM dual-encoder trained through a two-stage pipeline: contrastive learning with a false-negative margin mask to prevent penalization of near-duplicate products, followed by Relative Odds Alignment for Retrieval (ROAR), a preference optimization objective that extends Bradley-Terry to variable-sized graded relevance groups via consecutive odds-ratio margins. The training corpus mirrors this progression - substitute query-product pairs provide coarse semantic supervision in Stage 1 and graded relevance annotations drive fine-grained ranking in Stage 2. The resulting system accurately retrieves exact matches while correctly ordering substitutes and complementary products, with gains confirmed across query-frequency strata and business verticals, and statistical significance validated through live A/B deployment at scale.
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All authors Nikhil Kothari, Saksham Samdani, Ritam Mallick, Praveen Gupta, Ankit Vijay, Surender Kumar

Machine Learning

CART: Context-Anchored Recurrent Transformer – A Parameter-Efficient Architecture with Learned Stability

We present CART (Context-Anchored Recurrent Transformer), a parameter-efficient language model that reuses a single shared core block R times across depth. Unlike prior looped transformers that recompute key-value tensors at every iteration, CART computes K and V once from a multi-layer prelude and has the recurrent core cross-attend to those frozen tensors via multi-head latent attention. A learned Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) gate keeps the recurrence stable: its spectral radius settles in a narrow band (rho in [0.79, 0.83]) across all 36 fully-trained configurations. We evaluate CART on single consumer GPUs in two stages: a 64-configuration screen at 3,000 steps, then 36 configurations (P=6, R in {6,8,10}, three seeds) trained for 30,500 steps (~1B tokens). Two patterns hold across widths d in {256,512,768,1024}: prelude depth P dominates loop count R, and the Stage-1 ranking of R reverses at full training (R=6 becomes best at d>=512). At the binding d=1024 parameter-parity test, CART does not beat a parameter-matched dense baseline, losing by 1-2% at stored-parameter parity and by ~10% at effective-parameter parity. Diagnostic ablations split the effective-parameter gap into ~5% from weight sharing and a residual ~5% from the heterogeneous prelude/anchor/core/coda framing; the recurrent-core machinery (hyper-connections, LTI gate, loop-index embedding) is individually vestigial. Variable-R inference degrades on both sides of the trained R, a negative result for test-time depth scaling under this recipe.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Perception First: A Frontier Native-Video Model with Self-Consistency for Implicit Video Question Answering

We describe our submission to the VRR Challenge @ CVPR 2026, built on the ImplicitQA / VRR-QA benchmark~\cite{implicitqa}: multiple-choice video question answering in which answers are deliberately not observable in any single frame and must be inferred from spatial layout, motion, depth, viewpoint, causality, and social context across discontinuous frames of creative video. We conduct a systematic, training-free study spanning open-source Video-LMMs (Qwen2.5-VL~\cite{qwen25vl}, Qwen3-VL~\cite{qwen3vl}, InternVL3, Gemma-3, and the RL-tuned video reasoners Video-R1~\cite{videor1} and VideoChat-R1.5~\cite{videochatr15}) and a battery of inference-time strategies (chain-of-thought, question decomposition, describe-then-reason cascades, audio transcripts, spatial state prompting, self-consistency~\cite{selfconsistency}, multi-model ensembling, and category routing). Our central finding is that this benchmark is perception-bound rather than reasoning-bound: reasoning-side augmentations are neutral-to-harmful, whereas base-model perceptual capability and lightweight test-time denoising are the only reliable levers. A per-category error analysis localizes the difficulty to low-level perception – relative depth, viewpoint, and counting are the hardest categories, while causal and social reasoning are nearly solved – and a prompt that explicitly injects monocular depth cues to attack the weakest category lowers test accuracy by $5.8$ points, confirming that the model needs a better percept, not a better procedure.
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Machine Learning

Murmur: Efficient Long-Context ASR Inference with Hierarchical Chunking

Long-form automatic speech recognition (ASR) requires both high accuracy and low inference latency, but existing systems fall short of handling the trade-off between the two. Chunk-based approaches process audio in parallel windows for low latency, but lose cross-chunk context and need brittle heuristics to align speakers and timestamps at boundaries. Long-context ASR models transcribe everything in a single pass for better accuracy, but run several times slower, and a single repetition loop can corrupt the entire output. In this paper, we first analyze how context length affects the accuracy of long-context ASR models and find that an intermediate chunk size of about five minutes matches single-pass accuracy while avoiding repetition loops. Building on this, we propose Murmur, an inference system for long-form ASR based on hierarchical chunking. The long-context model decodes intermediate target chunks in parallel, and a fast short-window ASR on 30 s draft windows accelerates each chunk with lossless, structure-aware speculative decoding. The short-window ASR drafts the transcript, simple format rules draft the timestamps and speaker tags, and the long-context model verifies every token. On two long-context ASR models and four meeting datasets in English and Mandarin, Murmur cuts end-to-end latency per recording by 2.5x on average (1.9-2.9x) relative to single-pass decoding, including diarization, while lowering tcpWER by 1.9 points on average. Our code is available at https://github.com/uw-syfi/Murmur.
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Machine Learning

OmniOPD: Logit-Free On-Policy Distillation via Speculative Verification

On-Policy Distillation (OPD) trains a student model on its own generative trajectories under dense token-level feedback from a stronger teacher, mitigating both the off-policy distribution shift of Supervised Fine-Tuning (SFT) and the sparse credit assignment of Reinforcement Learning (RL). However, standard OPD faces two coupled limitations. First, it requires direct access to the teacher's token-level logits, excluding a broad class of capable proprietary models from serving as teachers. Second, the token-level logit signal itself is brittle, depending on a narrow overlap of plausible next tokens between teacher and student, and prone to amplifying degenerate patterns such as repetition loops. In this paper, we introduce OmniOPD, a novel framework that addresses both limitations through a logit-free, chunk-level supervision signal. OmniOPD replaces deterministic logit matching with Monte Carlo rollouts that approximate the teacher's local preferences through a continuous semantic similarity metric over multi-token chunks, and concentrates this supervision via a peak-entropy scheduler that audits the student only at its high-uncertainty reasoning forks. A Dirichlet-Multinomial Bayesian prior and a base-model KL anchor further bound the variance of discrete sampling and prevent policy collapse across unaudited tokens. Across competitive benchmarks, OmniOPD surpasses the standard OPD approach by up to +28.64% on math, confirming that chunk-level semantic verification extracts a more reliable learning signal than token-level logit matching, whose high information density is offset by significant noise and brittleness. Furthermore, when paired with stronger black-box teachers such as Claude-4.5-Haiku and Gemini-2.5-Flash, OmniOPD achieves an additional +9.54% relative on math over its open-weight teacher counterpart, advancing the student past the performance of self-exploratory RL.
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All authors Yuhang Zhou, Lizhu Zhang, Yifan Wu, Mingyi Wang, Bo Peng, Jiayi Liu, Xiangjun Fan, Zhuokai Zhao