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Monday 11 May

Machine Learning

Error whitening: Why Gauss-Newton outperforms Newton

The Gauss-Newton matrix is widely viewed as a positive semidefinite approximation of the Hessian, yet mounting empirical evidence shows that Gauss-Newton descent outperforms Newton's method. We adopt a function space perspective to analyze this phenomenon. We show that the generalized Gauss-Newton (GGN) matrix projects the Newton direction in function space onto the model's tangent space, while a Jacobian-only variant obtained by applying the least squares Gauss-Newton matrix to non-least squares losses projects the function space loss gradient onto this same tangent space. Both projections eliminate distortions from the model's parameterization. Specifically, the evolution of the prediction-target mismatch depends on the model's parameterization through the matrix $JJ^\top$ where $J$ is the Jacobian of the model with respect to its parameters. The projections effectively replace $JJ^\top$ with the identity. We call this effect error whitening. Once the parameterization is removed, the prediction-target mismatch evolves according to dynamics dictated by the structure of the loss and the projection produced by the optimizer. Error whitening is a special property of Gauss-Newton descent that rigorously distinguishes it from Newton's method. We empirically demonstrate that Gauss-Newton optimizers follow the theoretically predicted function space dynamics and outperforms Newton's method, Adam, and Muon across case studies spanning supervised learning, physics-informed deep learning, and approximate dynamic programming.
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All authors Maricela Best McKay, Nathan P. Lawrence, Brian Wetton, R. Bhushan Gopaluni

Machine Learning

Couple to Control: Joint Initial Noise Design in Diffusion Models

Diffusion models typically generate image batches from independent Gaussian initial noises. We argue that this independence assumption is only one choice within a broader class of valid joint noise designs. Instead, one can specify a coupling of the initial noises: each noise remains marginally standard Gaussian, so the pretrained diffusion model receives the same single-sample input distribution, while the dependence across samples is chosen by design. This reframes initial-noise control from selecting or optimizing individual seeds to designing the dependence structure of a multi-sample gallery. This view gives a general framework for initial-noise design, covering several existing methods as special cases and leading naturally to new coupled-noise constructions. Coupled noise can improve generation on its own without adding sampling cost, and it is flexible enough to serve as a structured initialization for optimization-based pipelines when additional computation is available. Empirically, repulsive Gaussian coupling improves gallery diversity on SD1.5, SDXL, and SD3 while largely preserving prompt alignment and image quality. It matches or outperforms recent test-time noise-optimization baselines on several diversity metrics at the same sampling cost as independent generation. Subspace couplings also support fixed-object background generation, producing diverse, natural backgrounds compared with specialized inpainting baselines, with a tunable trade-off in foreground fidelity.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Vision2Code: A Multi-Domain Benchmark for Evaluating Image-to-Code Generation

We study whether vision-language models (VLMs) can reconstruct structured, graphics-based images by writing executable code to generate them. Existing benchmarks on image-to-code generation are generally limited in the domains they cover, rely on reference source code for evaluation, and do not provide metrics to quantify domain-specific issues. To address this, we introduce Vision2Code, a multi-domain, reference-code-free benchmark containing 539 test examples from 15 different datasets, spanning charts and plots, geometry, graphs, scientific diagrams, documents and 3D spatial scenes. Evaluation is done by executing the generated programs and comparing their rendered outputs to the source images using dataset- and domain-specific rubrics for a VLM judge. We find that the final scores obtained in this manner have substantially higher correlation with human ratings than those obtained via generic VLM rubrics or standard pixel-based, embedding-based or perceptual similarity metrics. We further demonstrate the reliability of our evaluation under repeated sampling from the VLM judges, varying rubric weights, and in the presence of controlled errors. Our results highlight the variability across domains of existing image-to-code generation models, with accuracy on charts and graphs being significantly higher than other domains. Lastly, we demonstrate the utility of our scoring method for rejection sampling of generated programs for fine-tuning, improving Qwen3.5-9B by 16% and Phi-4-MM by 28% compared to their base checkpoints. Our code and data are publicly available at https://image2code.github.io/vision2code/.
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Machine Learning

A Theory of Time-Sensitive Language Generation: Sparse Hallucination Beats Mode Collapse

We study language generation in the limit under a global preference ordering on strings, as introduced by Kleinberg and Wei. As is done in previous work, we aim for breadth, but impose an additional requirement of timeliness: higher-ranked strings should be generated earlier. A string is then only credited if it is generated before a deadline, where its deadline is defined by a function that maps a string's rank in the target language to the time by which it must be produced. This is in keeping with a central consideration in machine learning, where inductive bias favors “simpler” or “more plausible” outputs, all else being equal. We show that timely generation is impossible in a strong sense for eventually consistent generators – the protagonists of most prior related work. Under what is perhaps the mildest natural relaxation of consistency, a hallucination rate that vanishes over time, we show that we can circumvent our impossibility result. In particular, we can achieve optimal density with respect to any superlinear deadline function. We also show this is tight by ruling out timely generation with linear deadlines and vanishing hallucination rate.
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All authors Atul Ganju, Travis McVoy, Shaddin Dughmi, Shang-Hua Teng

Machine Learning

Primal Generation, Dual Judgment: Self-Training from Test-Time Scaling

Code generation is typically trained in the primal space of programs: a model produces a candidate solution and receives sparse execution feedback, often a single pass/fail bit. Test-time scaling enriches the inference procedure by sampling multiple candidates and judging among them, but the comparative information this process reveals is discarded after inference. We argue that this information defines a dual judgment space that provides a far richer training signal: the model learns not from an isolated success or failure, but from the relative correctness structure across its own plausible attempts, identifying which succeed, which fail, and what distinguishes them. We introduce DuST (Dual Self-Training), a framework for self-training from the dual judgment space. DuST samples candidate programs from the model's own distribution, labels them through sandbox execution, retains groups containing both successes and failures, and trains the model to rank candidates by execution correctness using GRPO. The objective is purely discriminative: the model is never directly rewarded for generating correct programs. Dual self-training improves both judgment and generation. Across five models spanning two families and three scales (4B to 30B), DuST consistently improves Best-of-4 test-time scaling on LiveCodeBench. For Qwen3-30B-Thinking on LiveCodeBench v6, judgment quality improves by +6.2 NDCG, single-sample pass@1 improves by +3.1, and Best-of-4 accuracy improves by +4.1. The trained model's single rollout matches the base model's Best-of-4 performance. SFT on the same ranking data improves judgment without improving generation, confirming that on-policy RL is the mechanism that transfers dual-space learning back into primal generation.
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All authors Yizhu Jiao, Ruixiang Zhang, Richard Bai, Jiawei Han, Ronan Collobert, Yizhe Zhang

Machine Learning

Optimal Representations for Generalized Contrastive Learning with Imbalanced Datasets

In this paper, we provide a computable characterization of the geometry of optimal representations in Contrastive Learning (CL) when the classes are imbalanced. When classes are balanced and the representation dimension is greater than the number of classes, it is well-known that the optimal representations exhibit Neural Collapse (NC), i.e., representations from the same class collapse to their class means and the class means form an Equiangular Tight Frame (ETF). For imbalanced classes and a large, generalized family of CL losses, we prove that the optimal representations of all samples from the same class collapse to their class means and their geometry exhibits an angular symmetry structure that is determined by the relative class proportions. In general, we show that the geometry can be determined by solving a convex optimization problem. Exploiting this symmetry structure, we analytically investigate a special case where class imbalance is extreme and prove that CL exhibits a phenomenon called Minority Collapse (MC) where all samples from the minority classes (classes with small probabilities) collapse into a single vector, whenever the class imbalance exceeds a threshold, which in turn depends on the regularity properties of the CL loss used and on the number of negative samples. Numerical results are provided to illustrate these phenomena and corroborate the theoretical results. We conclude by identifying a number of open problems.
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All authors Thuan Nguyen, Shuchin Aeron, D. Richard Brown III, Prakash Ishwar

Machine Learning

Quotient-Categorical Representations for Bellman-Compatible Average-Reward Distributional Reinforcement Learning

Average-reward reinforcement learning requires estimating the gain and a state-dependent bias, which solves the Poisson equation only up to an additive constant. Distributional analogues of the bias inherit this same ambiguity. We introduce a quotient-space formulation in which state-indexed laws are identified up to a common translation, together with a categorical parameterization that respects this symmetry. On this space, we define a projected average-reward distributional operator and show that it is well-defined, non-expansive in a coordinate Cramér metric, and admits fixed points. We interpret the projected fixed points through geometrically-stopped differential returns, whose categorical operators are contractive and whose fixed points converge in the Abel sense to a canonical fixed point of the projected undiscounted operator. We show that the means of the projected fixed points match the scalar bias up to an error caused by endpoint clipping of the categorical projections, and we bound this error. Finally, we establish almost-sure convergence and finite-iteration residual bounds for temporal-difference recursions with gain-centered rewards under i.i.d. and Markovian sampling. When the gain is unknown, we couple the recursion with an online gain estimator and prove the same guarantees under Markovian sampling, with a bound on the gain error.
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All authors Ege C. Kaya, Aliasghar Pourghani, Vijay Gupta, Abolfazl Hashemi

Machine Learning

Beyond Similarity: Temporal Operator Attention for Time Series Analysis

A persistent paradox in time-series forecasting is that structurally simple MLP and linear models often outperform high-capacity Transformers. We argue that this gap arises from a mismatch in the sequence-modeling primitive: while many time-series dynamics are governed by global temporal operators (e.g., filtering and harmonic structure), standard attention forms each output as a convex combination of inputs. This restricts its ability to represent signed and oscillatory transformations that are fundamental to temporal signal processing. We formalize this limitation as a simplex-constrained mixing bottleneck in softmax attention, which becomes especially restrictive for operator-driven time-series tasks. To address this, we propose $\textbf{Temporal Operator Attention (TOA)}$, a framework that augments attention with explicit, learnable sequence-space operators, enabling direct signed mixing across time while preserving input-dependent adaptivity. To make dense $N \times N$ operators practical, we introduce Stochastic Operator Regularization, a high-variance dropout mechanism that stabilizes training and prevents trivial memorization. Across forecasting, anomaly detection, and classification benchmarks, TOA consistently improves performance when integrated into standard backbones such as PatchTST and iTransformer, with particularly strong gains in reconstruction-heavy tasks. These results suggest that explicit operator learning is a key ingredient for effective time-series modeling.
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All authors Jevon Twitty, Vinh Pham, Nitiwith Rotchanarak, Viresh Pati, Yubin Kim, Shihao Yang, Jiecheng Lu

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ME

Rethinking external validation for the target population: Capturing patient-level similarity with a generative model

Background: External validation is essential for assessing the transportability of predictive models. However, its interpretation is often confounded by differences between external and development populations. This study introduces a framework to distinguish model deficiencies from case-mix effects. Method: We propose a framework that quantifies each external patient's similarity to the development data and measures performance in subgroups with varying levels of alignment to the development distribution. We use generative models, specifically autoencoders, to estimate similarity, offering a more flexible alternative to traditional linear approaches and enabling validation without sharing the original development data. The utility of autoencoder-based similarity measure is demonstrated using synthetic data, and the framework's application is illustrated using data from the Netherlands Heart Registration (NHR) to predict mortality after transcatheter aortic valve implantation. Results: Our framework revealed substantial variation in model performance across similarity-defined subgroups, differences that remain hidden under conventional external validation yet can meaningfully alter conclusions. In several settings, conventional external validation suggested poor overall performance. However, after accounting for differences in patient characteristics, for some sub-groups, the model performance was consistent with internal validation results. Conversely, apparently acceptable overall performance could mask clinically relevant performance deficits in specific subgroups. Conclusion: The proposed framework enhances the interpretability of external validation by linking model performance to population alignment with the development data. This provides a more principled basis for deciding whether a model is transportable and to which patients it can be safely applied.
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All authors Mohammad Azizmalayeri, Ameen Abu-Hanna, Saskia Houterman, Marije M. Vis, Giovanni Cinà

Machine Learning

Localization Boosting for Growth Markets: Mitigating Cross-Locale Behavioral Bias in Learning-to-Rank

Adobe Express is expanding internationally, but the US has a disproportionately large content supply and interaction volume. Learning-to-rank (LTR) models trained primarily on behavioral feedback inherit this imbalance: templates popular in US are over-served in non-US locales. This cross-locale exposure bias suppresses local content discoverability and degrades ranking quality in growth locales. We show that click-only training suppresses semantically informative localization features. Adding vision-language model (VLM) graded relevance labels as auxiliary supervision alongside clicks improves semantic alignment but does not preserve local content visibility. We propose a multi-objective framework combining behavioral supervision, VLM-derived relevance signals, and locale-aware boosting. Across five locales, the resulting model improves relevance while restoring stable localization, demonstrating the importance of disentangling exposure from semantic supervision.
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All authors Suryaa Veerabathiran Seran, Ashwin Naresh Kumar, Tracy Holloway King, Jing Zheng

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV

PG-3DGS: Optimizing 3D Gaussian Splatting to Satisfy Physics Objectives

Recent advances in Gaussian Splatting have enabled fast, high-fidelity 3D scene generation, yet these methods remain purely visual and lack an understanding of how shapes behave in the physical world. We introduce Physics-Guided 3D Gaussian Splatting (PG-3DGS), a framework that couples differentiable physics simulation with 3D Gaussian representations to generate 3D structures satisfying physics functionalities. By allowing physical objectives to guide the shape optimization process alongside visual losses, our approach produces geometries that are not only photometrically accurate but also physically functional. The model learns to adjust shapes so that the generated objects exhibit physically meaningful behaviors, for example, teapots that can pour and airplanes that can generate lift, without sacrificing visual quality. Experiments on pouring and aerodynamic lift tasks show that PG-3DGS improves physical functionality while preserving visual quality. In addition to simulation gains, bench-top physical lift tests with 3D-printed aircraft (Cessna, B-2 Spirit, and paper plane) under identical airflow conditions show higher scale-measured lift for PG-3DGS, generated structures than an appearance-matching baseline in all three cases. Our unified framework connects appearance-based reconstruction with physics-based reasoning, enabling end-to-end generation of 3D structures that both look realistic and function correctly.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV

DenseTRF: Texture-Aware Unsupervised Representation Adaptation for Surgical Scene Dense Prediction

Dense prediction tasks in surgical computer vision, such as segmentation and surgical zone prediction, can provide valuable guidance for laparoscopic and robotic surgery. However, these models often suffer from distribution shifts, as training datasets rarely cover the variability encountered during deployment, leading to poor generalization. We propose DenseTRF, a self-supervised representation adaptation framework based on texture-centric attention. Our method leverages slot attention to learn texture-aware representations that capture invariant visual structures. By adapting these representations to the target distribution without supervision, DenseTRF significantly improves robustness to domain shifts. The framework is implemented through conditioning dense prediction on slot attention and model merging strategies. Experiments across multiple surgical procedures demonstrate improved cross-distribution generalization in comparison to state-of-the-art segmentation models and test-distribution adaptation methods for dense prediction tasks.
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Machine Learning

Latent Chain-of-Thought Improves Structured-Data Transformers

Chain-of-thought and more broadly test-time compute are known to augment the expressive capabilities of language models and have led to major innovations in reasoning. Motivated by this success, this paper explores latent chain-of-thought as well as the impact of depth and looping for time-series and tabular data. We propose a recurrent scheme in which a structured-data transformer, after an initial forward pass, compresses its query-position hidden states into feedback tokens that are appended to the input and processed again, allowing multiple rounds of latent computation before prediction. We compare CoT models against a same-depth no-CoT baseline, a deeper baseline matched to the CoT model in effective depth, and a looped transformer with weight-tied recurrence but no additional chain-of-thought tokens. Across 36 datasets in time-series forecasting and tabular prediction, latent chain-of-thought improves over the baseline on 7/9 time-series datasets (+12.63% average gain) and 23/27 tabular datasets (+3.25% average gain), with CoT models performing best on average in both settings. We also show that the benefit of CoT extends to pretrained foundation models: applying latent CoT to nanoTabPFN, a small open-source tabular foundation model, improves its performance above the much larger TabPFN-v2 on TabArena. Together, these results demonstrate that chain-of-thought is a useful axis for scaling test-time compute for structured data.
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Machine Learning

Curriculum Learning-Guided Progressive Distillation in Large Language Models

Knowledge distillation is a key technique for transferring the capabilities of large language models (LLMs) into smaller, more efficient student models. Existing distillation approaches often overlook two critical factors: the learning order of training data and the capacity mismatch between teacher and student models. This oversight limits distillation performance, as manifested by the counter-intuitive phenomenon where stronger teachers fail to produce better students. In this work, we propose Curriculum Learning-Guided Progressive Distillation (CLPD), a unified framework that explicitly accounts for both factors by aligning data difficulty with teacher strength. CLPD constructs an explicit curriculum by organizing training examples from easy to hard, while simultaneously applying an implicit curriculum over supervision signals by progressively scheduling teachers of increasing capacity. Our framework is modular and can be integrated into standard distillation algorithms with minimal overhead. Empirical results on the reasoning benchmarks demonstrate that CLPD consistently outperforms standard distillation, data ordering alone, and teacher scheduling alone across multiple settings. These findings highlight the importance of jointly considering data ordering and teacher capacity when distilling reasoning abilities into small language models.
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All authors Jincheng Cao, Fanzhi Zeng, Leqi Liu, Aryan Mokhtari

Machine Learning

A Proof-of-Concept Simulation-Driven Digital Twin Framework for Decision-Aware Diabetes Modeling

This paper presents a proof-of-concept digital twin framework for simulation-driven diabetes modeling using benchmark clinical data, synthetic temporal augmentation, and illustrative continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) analysis. Unlike traditional predictive models, the framework focuses on generating interpretable simulated trajectories rather than clinically validated outcomes. Evaluation is conducted using a public dataset combined with controlled synthetic scenarios to illustrate temporal behavior and intervention effects. Results illustrate the feasibility of integrating prediction with counterfactual simulation for decision-aware analysis. This work does not claim clinical readiness but provides a foundation for future research on simulation-driven digital twin systems in healthcare.
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Machine Learning

Support-Proximity Augmented Diffusion Estimation for Offline Black-Box Optimization

Offline black-box optimization aims to discover novel designs with high property scores using only a static dataset, a task fundamentally challenged by the out-of-distribution (OOD) extrapolation problem. Existing approaches typically bifurcate into inverse methods, which struggle with the ill-posed nature of mapping scores to designs, and forward methods, which often lack the distributional expressivity to quantify uncertainty effectively. In this work, we propose SPADE (Support-Proximity Augmented Diffusion Estimation), a novel framework that reimagines forward surrogate modeling through the lens of conditional generative modeling. SPADE models the forward likelihood p(y|x) using a diffusion model, but with two critical enhancements to tailor it for optimization: (1) a Calibrated Diffusion Estimation module that enforces global consistency in statistical moments and pairwise rankings, and (2) a Support-Proximity Regularization mechanism that implicitly internalizes the data manifold constraint p(x) via kNN-based density estimation. Theoretically, we prove that our regularization is first-order equivalent to maximizing a Bayesian posterior with a valid design prior. Empirically, SPADE achieves state-of-the-art performance across Design-Bench tasks and an LLM data mixture optimization benchmark.
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All authors Yonghan Yang, Ye Yuan, Zipeng Sun, Linfeng Du, Bowei He, Haolun Wu, Can Chen, Xue Liu

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.GT

When to Ask a Question: Understanding Communication Strategies in Generative AI Tools

Generative AI models differ from traditional machine learning tools in that they allow users to provide as much or as little information as they choose in their inputs. This flexibility often leads users to omit certain details, relying on the models to infer and fill in under-specified information based on distributional knowledge of user preferences. Such inferences may privilege majority viewpoints and disadvantage users with atypical preferences, raising concerns about fairness. Unlike more traditional recommender systems, LLMs can explicitly solicit more information from users through natural language. However, while directly eliciting user preferences could increase personalization and mitigate inequality, excessive querying places a burden on users who value efficiency. We develop a stylized model of user-LLM interaction and develop an objective that captures tradeoff between user burden and preference representation. Building on the observation that individual preferences are often correlated, we analyze how AI systems should balance inference and elicitation, characterizing the optimal amount of information to solicit before content generation. Ultimately, we show that information elicitation can mitigate the systematic biases of preference inference, enabling the design of generative tools that better incorporate diverse user perspectives while maintaining efficiency. We complement this theoretical analysis with an empirical evaluation illustrating the model's predictions and exploring their practical implications.
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Machine Learning

A Dual Representation of Influence Functions for Linearizable Models

In this paper, we present a dual representation of influence functions, whose computational complexity scales with dataset size rather than model size. Both analytically and experimentally, we show that this representation can be an efficient alternative to the original influence functions for estimating changes in parameters, model outputs and loss due to data point removal, when model size is large relative to dataset size, or when evaluating the original influence functions in parameter space is infeasible. The dual representation, however, is limited to linearizable models, which are models whose behavior can be approximated by their linearizations throughout training, and requires materializing a matrix, whose size grows with the product of model output dimension and dataset size.
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Machine Learning

DeconDTN-Toolkit: A Library for Evaluation and Enhancement of Robustness to Provenance Shift

Despite the burgeoning body of work on distribution shifts, provenance shift-where the relationship between data source and label changes at deployment-remains poorly understood and under-addressed. In this paper, we establish a formal connection between provenance shift, counterfactual invariance, and invariant learning to derive a learning objective for robustness. We then introduce DeconDTN-Toolkit, a specialized evaluation and remediation suite designed to simulate provenance shifts of varying degrees while maintaining the training protocol and the infrastructure of existing benchmarks. We reveal the vulnerability of Empirical Risk Minimization under provenance shift, introduce a robust out-of-distribution performance indicator, and conduct a comprehensive evaluation on existing algorithms. Our work provides both the theoretical grounding and the practical tools necessary to characterize the problem of confounding by provenance, and implementations of methods to mitigate it.
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All authors Yongsen Tan, Zhecheng Sheng, Xiruo Ding, Serguei V. S. Pakhomov, Trevor Cohen

Machine Learning

Internalizing Curriculum Judgment for LLM Reinforcement Fine-Tuning

In LLM Reinforcement Fine-Tuning (RFT), curriculum learning drives both efficiency and performance. Yet, current methods externalize curriculum judgment via handcrafted heuristics or auxiliary models, risking misalignment with the policy's training dynamics. In this paper, we introduce METIS (METacognitive Internalized Self-judgment), a novel framework that internalizes curriculum judgment as a native capability. Leveraging a critical observation that within-prompt reward variance effectively gauges prompt informativeness, METIS predicts this metric based on recent training outcomes as lightweight in-context learning examples. This intrinsic self-judgment then dynamically dictates the training allocation. Moreover, METIS closes the loop between judgment and optimization by jointly optimizing the standard RFT rewards and a self-judgment reward. This allows the policy to learn what to learn next, as a form of metacognition. Across mathematical reasoning, code generation, and agentic function-calling benchmarks, METIS delivers superior performance while achieving up to a 2.1x training speedup, with controlled ablations and in-depth analysis further validating the benefits of internalized curriculum judgment. By bypassing handcrafted heuristics and auxiliary models, our work establishes a simple, closed-loop, and highly efficient curriculum internalization paradigm for LLM reinforcement fine-tuning.
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All authors Han Zheng, Yining Ma, Karthick Gunasekaran, Bharathan Balaji, Zheng Du, Shiv Vitaladevuni, Cathy Wu

Machine Learning

A Comparative Study of Model Selection Criteria for Symbolic Regression

Effective model selection is critical in symbolic regression (SR) to identify mathematical expressions that balance accuracy and complexity, and have low expected error on unseen data. Many modern implementations of genetic programming (GP) for SR generate a set of Pareto optimal candidate solutions, but reliable automatic selection of solutions that generalize well remains an open issue. Current literature offers various information-theoretic and Bayesian approaches, yet comprehensive comparisons of their performance across different data regimes are limited. This study presents a systematic empirical comparison of widely used selection criteria: the Akaike information criterion (AIC), the corrected AIC (AICc), the Bayesian information criterion (BIC), minimum description length (MDL), as well as Efron's bootstrap estimate for the in-sample prediction error on seven synthetic datasets with Gaussian noise. We rank candidate expressions generated by perturbing ground-truth functions to assess generalization error and selection probability of the ground-truth expression. Our findings reveal that MDL consistently identifies models with the lowest test error and the shortest length across most datasets. While no single criterion dominates all results, MDL and BIC produced the highest probability of selecting the ground-truth expressions.
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All authors Ali Soltani, Gabriel Kronberger, Fabricio Olivetti de Franca, Mattia Billa, Alessandro Lucantonio

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.AI

Rethinking LLMOps for Fraud and AML: Building a Compliance-Grade LLM Serving Stack

Fraud detection and anti-money-laundering (AML) compliance are high-value domains for large language models (LLMs), but their serving requirements differ sharply from generic chat workloads. Compliance prompts are often prefix-heavy, schema-constrained, and evidence-rich, combining reusable policy instructions, risk taxonomies, transaction or document context, and short structured outputs such as JSON labels or risk factors. These properties make prefix reuse, KV-cache efficiency, runtime tuning, model orchestration, and output validation first-order systems concerns. This paper introduces a workload-aware LLMOps stack for fraud and AML workloads using self-hosted open-weight models such as Meta Llama and Alibaba Qwen. The stack combines vLLM-style runtime tuning, PagedAttention, Automatic Prefix Caching, multi-adapter serving, adapter and prompt-length-aware batching, sleep/wake lifecycle management, speculative decoding, and optional prefill/decode disaggregation. To avoid exposing institution-specific data, the reproducibility track converts public synthetic AML datasets, including IBM AML and SAML-D, into prefix-heavy compliance prompts with reusable policy text, transaction evidence, typology definitions, and schema-constrained outputs. We also incorporate an LLM-as-judge quality gate using deterministic compliance checks, reference metrics, expert-adjudicated calibration data where available, and multi-judge rubric scoring. Across public-synthetic AML workloads and controlled serving benchmarks, workload-aware tuning improved throughput from 612-650 to 3,600 requests/hour, reduced P99 latency from 31-38 seconds to 6.4-8.7 seconds, and increased GPU utilization from 12% to 78%. These results show that regulated LLM performance is a workload-design, serving-optimization, and quality-gating problem, not only a model-selection problem.
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Machine Learning

LiBaGS: Lightweight Boundary Gap Synthesis for Targeted Synthetic Data Selection

Synthetic data is useful only when the added samples fill missing parts of the training distribution that matter for the downstream task. We introduce LiBaGS, a lightweight, generator-agnostic method for targeted synthetic training data selection. LiBaGS scores candidate synthetic samples by combining decision-boundary proximity, predictive uncertainty, real-data density, and support validity, so that selected samples are both informative and likely to remain on the real data manifold. We then use a boundary-gap allocation rule that targets sparse but realistic decision-boundary neighborhoods, rather than simply adding more data or selecting only the most uncertain candidates. LiBaGS also learns when enough synthetic samples have been added through a marginal-value stopping rule, assigns softer labels near ambiguous boundaries, and uses a diversity objective to avoid redundant near-duplicate selections. Experiments show that LiBaGS improves accuracy over classical oversampling, hard augmentation, uncertainty and density ablations, and targeted-generation selection criteria.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.AI

PIVOT: Bridging Planning and Execution in LLM Agents via Trajectory Refinement

Large language model (LLM)-based agents frequently generate seemingly coherent plans that fail upon execution due to infeasible actions, constraint violations, and compounding errors over extended horizons. PIVOT (Plan-Inspect-eVOlve Trajectories) addresses this plan-execution misalignment through a self-supervised framework that treats trajectories as optimizable objects iteratively refined via environment interaction. The framework comprises four stages: PLAN generates candidate trajectories; INSPECT executes them and computes structured losses with textual gradients encoding plan-execution discrepancies; EVOLVE applies these signals to produce improved trajectories; and VERIFY performs a final global check against task constraints. A monotonic acceptance process ensures a non-decreasing solution quality. Empirical evaluations on DeepPlanning and GAIA demonstrate state-of-the-art performance: with human-in-the-loop (HITL) feedback, PIVOT establishes a strong upper bound up to 94% relative improvement in constraint satisfaction, while its fully autonomous variant retains substantial gains, showing that the core trajectory-refinement mechanism remains effective without external supervision. At the same time, PIVOT remains computationally efficient, requiring up to 3x to 5x fewer tokens than competing refinement methods. These findings establish that (self- or human-supervised) feedback-based trajectory optimization is a principled methodology for mitigating plan-execution gaps in autonomous agent systems.
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All authors Tuo Zhang, Alin-Ionut Popa, Yan Xu, Rui Song, Dimitrios Dimitriadis

Machine Learning

ADMM-Q: An Improved Hessian-based Weight Quantizer for Post-Training Quantization of Large Language Models

Quantization is an effective strategy to reduce the storage and computation footprint of large language models (LLMs). Post-training quantization (PTQ) is a leading approach for compressing LLMs. Popular weight quantization procedures, including GPTQ and RTN, suffer in model utility, especially at aggressive quantization levels (sub-4-bit). We propose ADMM-Q, a novel weight quantization algorithm that considers the layer-wise quantization problem. Our algorithm is based on a combinatorial variant of the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM). Our operator-splitting procedure updates weights continuously to minimize the layer-wise reconstruction error, while gradually enforcing the quantization constraints with convergence guarantees. We propose additional algorithmic enhancements (e.g., penalty scheduling, preconditioning, and a local search post-processing step) to make ADMM-Q efficient at LLM scale. ADMM-Q is modular and can be used as a drop-in replacement for any weight quantizer within existing quantization pipelines: ADMM-Q is fully composable with existing techniques including range clipping, learned or random rotations, and activation scaling. Using ADMM-Q in place of GPTQ on Qwen3-8B, we decrease WikiText-2 perplexity in: (i) the W3A16 weight-only setting (12.85 $\rightarrow$ 10.06); (ii) the W4A8 SmoothQuant procedure (9.29 $\rightarrow$ 8.68); and (iii) the W2A4KV4 SpinQuant procedure (66.11 $\rightarrow$ 19.42).
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All authors Ryan Lucas, Mehdi Makni, Xiang Meng, Adam Deng, Rahul Mazumder

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from q-bio.QM

Agentic Literature Extraction Augments Targeted Protein Degradation Databases

Predictive models in medicinal chemistry depend on structured assay data locked in primary publications. This bottleneck is acute in targeted protein degradation (TPD), where each assay record must combine compound identity, degradation target, recruiter, assay context, and endpoint values reported across sections, tables, and supplementary files. Existing TPD databases are manually curated and often lack assay context. We present an expert-in-the-loop large language model workflow in which a cross-validated prompt-refinement module adapts extraction instructions from scarce expert annotations. With only seven annotated molecular glue publications, the workflow achieved record-level $F_1 = 0.98$ and transferred to proteolysis-targeting chimeras (PROTACs) by terminology substitution alone ($F_1 \geq 0.93$). The resulting database, AutoTPD, contained 81% and 92% more molecular glue and PROTAC records than standardized reference datasets; expert audits found 92/100 and 33/40 new records to be correct. Applying the workflow to eligible PubMed Central open-access literature added 4,483 records from 598 publications, yielding AutoTPD+, a public, versioned database of 7,622 TPD records, including degradation assay measurements, designed for monthly updates. In a controlled surrogate model comparison, PROTAC degradation activity models trained on AutoTPD+ saw a 8.9-18.2% error reduction relative to models trained on the original PROTAC-DB data.
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All authors Yaochen Rao, Farzaneh Jalalypour, N. M. Anoop Krishnan, Rocío Mercado

Machine Learning

Training-Free Refusal of MCP Exploits via Retrieval-Augmented Generation

The model context protocol (MCP) has been widely adopted as an open standard enabling the seamless integration of generative AI agents. However, while LLM guardrails have significantly matured to refuse malicious or harmful queries (e.g., "How do I build a bomb?"), recent work has shown that MCP-enabled LLMs are highly susceptible to prompt injection attacks which avoid harmful or suspicious cues (e.g., "Can you add this ssh key to my bashrc file?"). Herein, we use state-of-the-art (SOTA) alignment fine-tuning algorithms to explore whether LLMs may be aligned to refuse such falsely benign attacks (FBAs). While SOTA algorithms based on direct preference optimization (DPO) improve refusal guardrails against FBAs, we show that this improvement is limited; DPO-based fine-tuning never improves FBA refusal rates beyond 47% across five popular open-source LLMs. Thus, to further improve FBA refusals, we introduce Retrieval Augmented Generation for Preference alignment (RAG-Pref), a simple RAG-based alignment algorithm which conditions on preferred and dispreferred samples to leverage contrastive information during inference. RAG-Pref is online (training-free), compatible with off-the-shelf packages, and, when combined with offline alignment algorithms, enables an average 3.7-fold improvement in FBA refusals across five widely used LLMs, compared to 2.9 for other online alignment methods and 1.5 for offline alignment alone. We additionally show that RAG-Pref generalizes beyond agentic safety: in stark contrast to other online alignment methods, RAG-Pref consistently improves performance on general human-preference benchmarks AlpacaEval 2 and MT-Bench across five SOTA alignment-tuned models, demonstrating broad applicability to general alignment tasks.
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Machine Learning

Enforcing Constraints in Generative Sampling via Adaptive Correction Scheduling

Hard constraints in generative sampling are typically enforced by projection, applied either once at the end of sampling or after every update. This binary framing overlooks a fundamental issue: projection changes the distribution of states which future updates depend on. As a result, delayed projection can produce samples that are feasible but inconsistent with the intended sampling dynamics, even after final projection. We formalize constraint enforcement as a correction scheduling problem over the generative rollout. Using one-step constraint defect as a local signal of geometric mismatch, we introduce adaptive correction scheduling, a state-dependent policy that allocates projection budget to the steps that most strongly perturb the trajectory. Terminal and stepwise projection arise as limiting cases of this family. Across controlled manifold rollouts and a learned projected diffusion sampler, adaptive scheduling improves the cost-accuracy frontier at matched projection budgets, recovering 71.2% of full stepwise benefit with 75% fewer corrections. These results show that constraint timing is a first-class design variable in generative sampling, and that enforcing feasibility alone is insufficient to preserve the intended constrained sampling dynamics.
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Machine Learning

Measuring Five-Nines Reliability: Sample-Efficient LLM Evaluation in Saturated Benchmarks

While existing benchmarks demonstrate the near-perfect performance of large language models (LLMs) on various tasks, this apparent saturation often obscures the need for rigorous evaluation of their reliability. In real-world deployment, however, achieving extremely high reliability (e.g., "five-nines" (99.999%) vs. "three-nines" (99.9%)) is fundamentally critical, as this gap results in an order-of-magnitude increase in failures, which is catastrophic in reliability-critical applications. Still, estimating such a rare failure probability with tight confidence bounds requires prohibitively large LLM inference sizes, making standard Monte Carlo evaluation infeasible under limited compute budgets. In this paper, we observe that LLM failures exhibit strong systematic patterns: across broad parameterized input spaces, a small subset of inputs disproportionately accounts for the majority of failures. Leveraging this observation, we propose to learn a sampling distribution concentrated on failure-prone inputs via the cross-entropy method (CEM). We evaluate our framework on three LLMs, Qwen2.5-Math-7B-Instruct, gpt-oss-20b-low, and Gemini 2.5 Flash Lite, across parameterized GSM8K templates and achieve up to 156.22x reduction in required inferences compared to naive uniform sampling. Our estimates reveal that models with indistinguishable accuracy on standard benchmarks can differ substantially in estimated failure rates, underscoring that reliability is a distinct and measurable axis of model quality. Our simple yet practical framework enables the evaluation of extreme reliability in LLMs, a distinct and underexplored dimension of evaluation beyond existing benchmarks, for their growing use in reliability-sensitive applications.
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All authors Eungyeup Kim, Chenchen Gu, Vashisth Tiwari, J. Zico Kolter

Machine Learning

The Scaling Law of Evaluation Failure: Why Simple Averaging Collapses Under Data Sparsity and Item Difficulty Gaps, and How Item Response Theory Recovers Ground Truth Across Domains

Benchmark evaluation across AI and safety-critical domains overwhelmingly relies on simple averaging. We demonstrate that this practice produces substantially misleading rankings when two conditions co-occur: (1) the evaluation matrix is sparse and (2) items vary substantially in difficulty. Through controlled simulation experiments across four domains – NLP (GLUE), clinical drug trials, autonomous vehicle safety, and cybersecurity – we show that Spearman rank correlation $\rho$ between simple-average rankings and ground-truth rankings degrades from $\rho = 1.000$ at 100% coverage to $\rho = 0.809$ at 67% coverage with high difficulty heterogeneity (mean over 20 seeds). A standard two-parameter logistic (2PL) Item Response Theory (IRT) model maintains $\rho \geq 0.996$ across all conditions. A 150-condition grid sweep over sparsity $S \in [0, 0.70]$ and difficulty gap $D \in [0.5, 5.0]$ confirms that ranking error forms a failure surface with a strong $S \times D$ interaction ($\gamma_3 = +0.20$, $t = 13.05$), while IRT maintains $\rho \geq 0.993$ throughout. We discuss implications for Physical AI benchmarking, where evaluation matrices are often incomplete and difficulty gaps are extreme.
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