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Sunday 20 September

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.SD

OmniEcho: Audio-Visual Spatial Understanding for Omni-Modal Embodied Agents

Humans can effortlessly localize the direction of a sound source and integrate it with visual cues for reasoning, yet this remains challenging for embodied agents. In particular, it is still unclear how to effectively evaluate and model spatial audio understanding in embodied settings. To address this gap, we introduce OmniEchoBench, a unified benchmark for spatial audio-visual perception and audio-vision-language navigation. OmniEchoBench comprises six tasks over 197 real-world spatial audio-visual scenes, 2,972 question-answer pairs, and 900 navigation samples with first-order ambisonics (FOA) audio collected from 30 real-world environments. To enable scalable training supervision, we develop a controllable rendering pipeline for spatial audio. It preserves geometric consistency among sound sources, visual observations, and agent trajectories. Building on this, we propose OmniEcho, a spatially aware omni-modal model. It introduces an FOA spatial encoder alongside a pretrained semantic audio pathway. Extensive experiments show that OmniEcho achieves state-of-the-art performance on spatial audio-visual perception. For our sound-guided navigation, OmniEcho reaches a performance level close to that of traditional vision-language navigation. These results demonstrate that spatial audio can serve as a valuable signal for embodied scene reasoning and navigation, while also highlighting fine-grained spatial localization and distance estimation as important open challenges. Our code and data will be available in https://github.com/PKU-VaLuE-Lab/OmniEcho/tree/main
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All authors Ruixun Liu, Yuxuan Wang, Jiacheng Xie, Yuhuan You, Donghua Cai, Junming Lin, Xiong-Hui Chen, Zhifang Guo, Yunfei Chu, Qize Yang, Xize Cheng, Jin Xu, Yiwu Zhong

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Enhancing Shrimp Disease Detection via Deep Learning and Data Refinement for Resilient Aquaculture

Shrimp diseases continue to cause devastating losses in the aquaculture industry, driving a critical need for robust, automated detection. This work contributes the first application of Vision Transformers (ViT) and Self-Supervised Learning (SSL) to the shrimp farming domain, addressing both performance bottlenecks and data labeling challenges. We propose two deep learning pipelines to classify four key diseases: Healthy, Black Gill (BG), White Spot Syndrome Virus (WSSV), and a co-infection of both using a dataset of 4,348 images. First, our supervised transfer-learning approach leverages ImageNet-pretrained ViT-Small/16 and EfficientNet backbones. Second, we introduce a contrastive learning framework (SimCLR) with a ViT-Small encoder to extract robust representations from unlabeled images prior to fine-tuning. Our results establish strong new baselines for sustainable aquaculture monitoring. The supervised approach achieves an outstanding 96% accuracy with fast convergence, outperforming traditional generic models, while the label-efficient SSL approach reaches a highly competitive 85% validation accuracy.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Blind Thermodynamic Ontology Discovery from Anonymous Experiments

Before a machine learning model can learn a thermodynamic equation of state, it must discover what its measurements represent: which channels scale with system size, which are intensive conjugates, how sectors pair through contact, and which potential governs stability. When sensors expose only an unknown linear mixture of extensive states and intensive responses, passive observations cannot disentangle physical quantities from coordinate artifacts. We formulate the problem of discovering this hidden thermodynamic ontology directly from anonymous controlled experiments. We present an operational identifiability theory and a constructive polynomial-time algorithm that extracts extensive and intensive scaling sectors from replication contrasts, recovers their dual cotangent pairing from thermal contact and reciprocity, verifies a globally admissible concave potential via discrete cyclic concavity, and determines an invariant matroid of reservoir ensembles. We prove that the residual observational equivalence is strictly (x, lambda) ~ (A x, a A^{-T} lambda + beta), establishing the sharp observational limit that no permitted experiment can break. Blind evaluations on van der Waals fluids and Curie-Weiss magnets confirm robust recovery under ill-conditioned mixing, correctly resolving anonymous Maxwell tie-lines while rejecting non-equilibrium continuations. External validation across six real fluids from the NIST WebBook demonstrates that operational ontology discovery transfers across real physical substances without coordinate leakage.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from stat.ML

Bayesian Filtering in Physical Systems via Test-time Trained Flow Matching

Bayesian filtering provides a principled framework for online state estimation under uncertainty, yet its application to systems with high-dimensional states and complicated posterior distributions remains challenging. Recent generative models, such as flow matching, have shown potential in Bayesian filtering. However, they still rely on particle-based representations of the posterior, which lose the rich information of the full distribution, or tackle a trajectory-level inverse problem that conflicts with the recursive structure of Bayesian filtering. To address this, we propose a new perspective of directly encoding the evolving distribution into flow matching model weights, namely, the Belief Flow Filter (BFF). It is a generative filtering framework that updates model weights via gradient descent at test time to track the posterior evolution. Thereby, BFF bypasses the scalability issue of particle representations or the flexibility limitation of Gaussian assumptions in conventional filters. We theoretically justify that the BFF design is structurally aligned with Bayesian filtering, and its training objective targets the recursive filtering operator. BFF is empirically verified across 5 different physical systems, including ones with chaotic dynamics and highly sparse, non-linear observations. The results show that BFF attains the best score in 8 of 9 metric-benchmark cells across the three standard 1D and 2D PDE benchmarks, and similarly leads on the extreme single-moving-sensor setting and on a real-world-grounded tokamak plasma estimation task, demonstrating its potential to accurately approximate the Bayesian filtering operator in high-dimensional probability space.
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All authors Ruiqi Feng, Chongyi Wang, Tao Zhang, Tailin Wu

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Discovering Physical Representation Languages

Before a machine can discover a physical law, it must discover what its measurements are: which observations live on cells, which are intensive or extensive, which sectors are dual, and which distinctions are merely gauge. We introduce physical representation-language discovery, the problem of recovering this hidden ontology directly from anonymous controlled experiments. We give an identifiability theory and constructive polynomial-time procedure that recovers a carrier and differential sequence, measurement types and orientation twist, noninvertible refinement semantics, primal-dual Maxwell diagrams, and the residual equivalences that no permitted experiment can break. The theory turns material nuisance into a commutant, uses refinement to separate quantities from coordinates, and selects physics only after its representation has been recovered. For a certified finite experiment family, we prove an end-to-end two-stage measurement bound and a matching minimax rate in dimension, accuracy, and confidence. Blind Maxwell experiments recover complete primal/relative-dual ontologies on regular and unstructured carriers under jointly corrupted observations; an independent unstructured RLC system demonstrates that the result is not specific to Maxwell. The framework scales to tens of thousands of cells per carrier, while stress audits demonstrate robustness across severe physical regimes - including non-Markovian memory, nonlinearities, nonlocality, and complex constitutive hysteresis. A public FDTD audit demonstrates the emergence of anonymous curl structure from incomplete field data, while characterizing the informational prerequisites for complete recovery. The goal is to move scientific ML from learning laws in a human-supplied language to discovering the language in which laws become expressible, establishing exact theoretical limits on observational identifiability.
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Artificial Intelligence

Leaky-integrator reconstruction: taming error accumulation in recursive differenced time-series forecasting

Recursive differenced forecasting, the standard remedy for non-stationarity, predicts one-step changes and integrates them by cumulative summation. We show that this reconstruction is a discrete integrator with a pole on the unit circle, so the biased increment errors of a learned nonlinear model are summed without bound and the rollout diverges: at 336 steps its normalised MAE reaches 1.6-3.8 for every neural architecture tested, against 0.80 for a stable linear recursion. We then introduce leaky-integrator reconstruction, a training-free fix that moves the pole inside the unit circle with H(z) = 1/(1 - gamma z^-1), gamma < 1, bounding the accumulation of the model's own increment errors. Applied post hoc with a single fixed gamma=0.9 (no retraining, a two-line change to any deployed one-step or foundation-model forecaster), it beats the traditional recursive integrator at every horizon, with the mean gain over seven diverging architectures and twenty datasets growing from ~3% at H=24 to 23% at H=96, 37% at H=192 and 51% at H=336 (43-75% across those architectures; 78% with an oracle pole), bringing all of them to 0.87-0.97. Based on these extensive empirical experiments, adding a leaky integrator thus improves recursive differenced time-series forecasting.
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Artificial Intelligence

TicTacBench: Benchmarking Timing Closure Capabilities of Coding Agents

Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) have led to the emergence of coding agents capable of performing complex engineering tasks, including register-transfer level (RTL) design and optimization. Existing RTL benchmarks mainly evaluate functional correctness and performance, power, and area (PPA) of the generated RTL designs, leaving agents' ability for timing closure under-evaluated. We propose TicTacBench, a benchmark specifically designed to evaluate coding agents' capabilities for RTL-level timing closure under post-place-and-route (post-PnR) evaluation. TicTacBench contains 30 diverse tasks, each provided with a suboptimal RTL design, realistic timing constraints, functional equivalence verification, and timing reports. With over 300 runs of coding agents driven by 8 frontier LLMs, we find that even the best agent can only close 53.3% of tasks with 7.18% area-delay product (ADP) degradation and 8.83% energy-delay-squared product (EDDP) improvement on average. We identify common failure categories that explain why agents fail to close timing. Then we propose TicTacSkill, a new method that guides agents to follow standard timing-closure procedures and improves the Timing Closure Rate by 9%. These results suggest that while coding agents have made significant progress in RTL design, their timing-closure capability still has substantial room for improvement.
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All authors Bowei Wang, Zhigang Fang, Zhijie Yang, Renzhi Chen, Shanshan Li, Lei Wang

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CE

Human-guided physics-constrained AI agents construct an auditable model of soil-plug evolution

Engineering predictions require physical mechanisms to be translated consistently into equations, discretization, code, and validation, yet errors can propagate despite local checks. Artificial-intelligence (AI) agents automate scientific tasks, but coordinating and independently auditing the theory-to-solver process under physical constraints and human oversight remains unresolved. We introduce a human-in-the-loop, physics-constrained multi-agent workflow where human experts define admissible physics and modeling boundaries, while agents retrieve evidence, derive equations, implement solvers, and audit the theory-to-code chain. Applied to soil-plug evolution during suction-caisson installation, the workflow generated and audited 6 formulations in 2.9 h of agent execution once physical knowledge and inputs were prepared. Among these formulations, adding seepage-driven soil void-ratio evolution to the geometric baseline reduced mean absolute final-heave error from 58.4% to 9.0% across 14 profiles; the selected model further incorporated near-wall dilation and achieved mean absolute percentage errors of 12.4% across 9 final-state cases and 4.2% at the endpoints of 5 process histories. Beyond predictive performance, blinded replay recovered all 9 target problems, while an independent audit uncovered 5 implementation problems after 36 predefined checks had passed. Overall, this work extends multi-agent AI beyond task automation toward human-governed engineering solvers.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

A Patient World Model for Early Forecasting of Digital Health Campaign Outcomes: Capabilities and Limits

Digital direct-to-consumer (DTC) health campaigns are usually measured after the fact. In-flight forecasting commonly relies on a separate classifier for every cutoff and horizon. We treat this task as a dynamic-system problem and build a compact patient world model. The architecture maintains a latent state per patient, learns exposure-conditioned state dynamics jointly with a weekly conversion hazard, and rolls forward into future conversion curves. We evaluate it on a US campaign dataset with 147{,}173 patients and 5.2 million at-risk person-weeks. In a retrospective evaluation conditioned on recorded future exposures, the model forecasts the remaining new-to-brand prescription volume through week 52 with a relative error of 2.9% from a week-4 cutoff and 0.8–2.6% from cutoffs at weeks 8–26. The strongest non-recurrent baseline, a pooled-hazard gradient boosting model given the same survival rollout and information, has relative errors of 13.6–33.1%. Per-horizon classifiers perform substantially worse. A Fisher-information analysis motivates dense next-exposure supervision when conversions are rare. Removing this auxiliary objective increases prescription-volume error by approximately $2$–$14\times$, while providing no consistent disadvantage on the more common specialist-visit outcome. We also evaluate scenario simulation. Switching all future exposure off raises predicted conversion from 0.31 to 0.89, a pattern consistent with selection effects in observational exposure data. This result highlights the limits of interpreting exposure-conditioned rollouts causally.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.DC

Co-occurrence Patterns of LoRA Adapters in Production Diffusion Model Inference Services

Low-rank adaptation (LoRA) has become a key technology for serving large-scale personalized large language models and diffusion models in the cloud. However, the co-occurrence patterns, resource contention relationships, and evolutionary regularities of adapters under production inference workloads have not been systematically or quantitatively studied. Based on GenTD26, Alibaba's production diffusion model inference dataset, this paper adopts a graph-theoretic framework to construct an adapter co-occurrence network and conducts a characterization from both static structure and dynamic evolution. Our main findings are as follows. (1) The co-occurrence network is extremely sparse, and adapter usage frequency follows a significant heavy-tailed distribution. (2) Introducing the first adapter incurs a 66.1% execution-latency overhead, with diminishing marginal costs afterwards. (3) Co-occurrence relationships are driven by base models: in 90.6% of multi-adapter requests, all adapters share the same dominant base model; 66.2% of significant co-occurrence edges connect same-model adapter pairs; and in 85.8% of multi-adapter requests, all adapter pairs form significant co-occurrence edges. (4) The adapter ecosystem exhibits a core-periphery bipolar structure, with a weekly Jaccard similarity of 0.696 at the model level and a churn rate of 54.5% for the top-10 hottest models within a 12-hour window. Based on these findings, we propose a preloading strategy built on top-k co-occurrence statistics; offline experiments show that it covers 81.0% of test-set co-occurrence pairs at k=3, and sensitivity analyses across frequency thresholds and time windows verify the robustness of the conclusions. These results provide a data-driven basis for cache preloading, adaptive scheduling, and GPU memory management in LoRA inference services.
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All authors Tao Zhang, Bin Liao, Tao Zhou, Yanping Liu

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.DB

Graph Memory for LLM Agents: At What Cost? A Comparative Evaluation of Query, Ingest, and Update Performance Across Graph Database Engines

Graph databases are frequently positioned as categorically necessary for connected-data workloads, yet the systems dimension along which they actually differ - query planning, indexing, and data-readiness cost - is rarely isolated from vendor framing. We construct a synthetic, biomedical-shaped property graph (1.02 million nodes, 5.34 million total node and edge rows) and a twenty-query workload spanning neighborhood lookups, bounded paths, set intersections, anti-joins, grouped aggregation, top-k ranking, temporal filters, full scans, and relational joins. We benchmark Corvic AI - a purpose-built columnar query engine underlying Corvic's ontology management layer ("memories")- against seven purpose-built or graph-extension database systems (LoraDB, Ladybug, DuckPGQ, Memgraph, Neo4j, HugeGraph, and FalkorDB) at three graph scales spanning three orders of magnitude. We report query latency geomeans, bulk-ingest throughput, point-update latency, and answer correctness for each system, and we derive a simple total-cost-of-ownership model that expresses the ingest/query trade-off as a function of query volume. Our central finding is that no system in this sample is categorically fastest: a native graph engine (Ladybug) outperforms Corvic AI on narrow, bounded-neighborhood shapes, while Corvic AI is faster on shapes that scan or join a large fraction of the graph, and a system implementing graph query syntax via SQL/PGQ (DuckPGQ) is measurably slower purely due to query-plan choice. The dominant cost differential in our data is not query latency but the cost of making data queryable at all: bulk-ingest throughput varies by three orders of magnitude across engines (5.0k-4.3M rows/s), a gap that a simple crossover-point calculation shows dominates total cost for any workload with fewer than roughly 105 queries per data refresh.
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All authors Donald Nguyen, Gurbinder Gill, Hadi Ahmadi, Christopher J. Rossbach

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

ValueDiff: Value-Geometric KV Cache Eviction for Sink-Suppressed LLMs

Modern LLMs with QK-normalization, gated attention, learned attention sinks, or logit softcapping exhibit weaker persistent attention sinks, on which existing KV cache eviction methods primarily rely. We observe that across these models, weaker sinks co-occur with greater value-vector dispersion relative to key-vector dispersion. Motivated by this value-side dispersion, we present ValueDiff, a value-geometric eviction that ranks tokens by the L2 deviation of their value vectors from the cache mean. The same score arises as the minimal-disturbance eviction under a max-entropy assumption about future attention. We evaluate under fixed cache budgets, with eviction at every block boundary during prefill and at every decoding step during generation. On RULER at a tight 2k token budget, ValueDiff retains 88-99% of dense across seven sink-suppressed models (best on 6 out of 7). On LongBench at the 4k budget, ValueDiff averages 92% retention across sink-suppressed models versus 83% for the strongest prior baseline. On MATH-500, ValueDiff is the strongest non-dense method on every sink-suppressed model tested at the 25% cache budget, outperforming prior methods by up to ~20 points on gated-attention models. Across all three benchmarks, value geometry emerges as the more reliable query-invariant eviction signal for sink-suppressed models.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.IR

Semantic Candidate-Job Matching: A Comparative Evaluation of Dense Embedding Models in Hybrid Retrieval

This paper presents a comparative evaluation of dense embedding models for semantic candidate-job matching in high-volume staffing workflows. Incoming job descriptions are converted into structured English search text and language-specific keywords through LLM-based parsing, and candidate profiles are indexed as semantically enriched resume representations. We evaluate EmbeddingGemma (base) against EmbeddingGemma fine-tuned with Cached Multiple Negatives Ranking Loss (MNRL) within a unified hybrid retrieval pipeline that fuses vector similarity and full-text relevance via reciprocal rank fusion (RRF), and benchmark both against the MPNet model on a batch comparative evaluation dataset scored through the deployed job-candidate matching scoring pipeline. We further document, with mathematical detail, the broader set of contrastive fine-tuning objectives considered during model development (including AnglE/CoSENT-style refinement) and the empirical rationale for retaining Cached-MNRL-only adaptation as the preferred configuration. To support reproducible model selection, we define a broader evaluation framework comprising standard information retrieval metrics (Recall@K, mean reciprocal rank, nDCG) under the exact hybrid-retrieval protocol; the metrics used for the evaluation reported in this paper are fine-tuning convergence diagnostics and a batch comparative evaluation using the deployed AI-Match score and an independent LLM-as-a-Judge relevance score, and we state this scope explicitly rather than implying the full framework was measured. The paper addresses the gap between general-purpose embedding benchmarks and enterprise job-candidate matching constraints, providing a structured basis for comparing embedding strategies under realistic job-candidate retrieval conditions.
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All authors Sai Yashwant, Siddhartha Jain, Anurag Dubey, Samaroha Chatterjee, Gantala Thulsiram

Artificial Intelligence

Expansion Counts under Standard A* Tie-Breaking Strategies on the Final Plateau

In the A* search algorithm, the tie-breaking strategies for nodes with the same $f$-value determines which states A* expands on the final $f$-layer. For nine standard tie-breaking strategies, we show that under a consistent heuristic, every pair has positive-cost instances favoring each strategy over the other by an arbitrarily large additive expansion gap. A parameterized unit-cost grid example also gives unbounded expansion-count ratios between low-$h$ with FIFO and LIFO. In unit-cost search with $h > 0$ at non-goals, exact heuristic values near the goal lead to complementary extremal results: low-$h$ minimizes the number of remaining expansions from a common configuration within the perfect region, while high-$h$ maximizes the total number of expansions when every final-plateau state with $h=1$ is a goal predecessor. Finally, with the evaluation function $f_{\alpha} = g + \alpha h$, when $h>0$ at non-goals, every heuristic weight $0 \leq \alpha<1$ eliminates tie-breaking sensitivity, and all tie-breaking strategies expand the same set of states.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CL

Knowing When to Trust Images: Reliability-Aware Multi-modal Entity Alignment

The visual modality, i.e., images, plays a key role in multi-modal entity alignment (MMEA). Existing approaches often directly fuse the image with other modalities to align different entities. Although simple, such strategies overlook the potential noise in the images and their semantic misalignment with corresponding entities, resulting in suboptimal fusion and degraded performance. Addressing this, we propose a novel Reliability-Aware framework for MMEA (RA-MMEA), which assesses visual reliability and adaptively improves unreliable visual representations for robust entity alignment. The core lies in two modules, including dependency-aware visual reliability prediction (DA-VRP) and stability-regularized visual embedding generation (SR-VEG). The former aims to estimate the reliability of an image by leveraging multi-modal dependency within the entity, while the latter focuses on producing alternative visual representation conditioned on semantics encoded in textual modalities for multi-modal fusion. Compared to current methods, RA-MMEA enables more reliable visual representations for modality fusion, thereby improving performance. In extensive experiments, RA-MMEA achieves state-of-the-art results, verifying the importance of reliable visual modality for entity alignment and the effectiveness of RA-MMEA. The code and results will be released.
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All authors Chenxiao Li, Yunhe Feng, Dongfang Liu, Dong Nie, Yan Huang, Heng Fan

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Why Ghost Outputs Teach: A Kernel-Based Understanding of Subliminal Learning

Subliminal Learning (SL) is a recently identified phenomenon in which a student model acquires downstream task capabilities by matching seemingly unrelated auxiliary outputs from a teacher, despite never observing task labels, task-specific outputs, or the original training data. While recent studies have identified where subliminal signals may reside, the optimization mechanism underlying this phenomenon remains poorly understood. In this work, we provide a mechanistic understanding of SL through the lens of learning dynamics. Specifically, we derive a chained cross-task kernel that explicitly links ghost-output supervision to changes in task predictions through shared backbone representations. Our unified analytical framework provides a rigorous mathematical explanation for three central empirical puzzles in SL: (i) under shared initialization, the transfer operator forms a strictly Positive Semi-Definite (PSD) structure, guaranteeing that ghost-output optimization aligns the student with the teacher's true task objective without explicit label exposure; (ii) the ghost-output dimensionality acts as an explicit rank bottleneck governing the transfer of task-relevant features; and (iii) synthetic, high-entropy inputs function as broadband probes that maximize cross-task kernel overlap, explaining why random noise consistently outperforms structured data for subliminal transfer. Experiments on the canonical ghost-output setting validate all three theoretical predictions, providing the first learning-dynamics-based theoretical explanation of how ghost-output supervision gives rise to subliminal learning.
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All authors Zhe Li, Bicheng Ying, Chaosheng Dong, Haibo Yang

Saturday 19 September

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.RO

Context-Aware RGB-Thermal-Radar Obstacle Perception for Resource-Constrained ASVs

Reliable obstacle perception is challenging for small autonomous surface vessels (ASVs): reflections and glare confound visible-light cameras, vessel motion shifts the apparent waterline, and darkness removes the dominant sensing modality altogether. Rather than treating multimodal fusion as a static accuracy gain, we propose a context-aware architecture that combines RGB and long-wave infrared (LWIR) imagery, frequency-modulated continuous-wave (FMCW) mmWave radar, and inertial context. A bearing-sector interface provides the navigation controller with calibrated obstacle probabilities, radar ranges, and sensor status. It also distinguishes sensor dropout from a valid observation with no detected obstacle. Using new multimodal lake recordings, we deployed the pipeline in a 24-leg closed-loop pilot under uncontrolled lake conditions (16 day, 4 dusk, and 4 night; 351 m), including night legs in which RGB was unusable and the vessel drove on LWIR and radar evidence alone. On eight held-out low-light recordings, the calibrated fusion model achieved average precision (AP) 0.869 and expected calibration error 0.108, compared with AP 0.673 for rule-based fusion, 0.620 for gated fusion, and 0.903 for RGB alone. Our results expose a central tradeoff: RGB ranks best when usable, whereas fusion preserves a navigation input when RGB fails. This work is a step toward perception that remains usable and degrades predictably across multi-day ASV missions.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Beyond Baseline Severity: Temporal and Disease-Specific Predictors of Depression Outcomes Following Mindfulness Interventions

Depression severity among patients with chronic or acute medical conditions is influenced by a complex interaction of baseline psychological state, demographic characteristics, clinical context, and engagement with behavioral interventions. This paper presents an interpretable machine-learning analysis of a multi-center longitudinal clinical cohort to predict Beck Depression Inventory-II (BDI-II) scores at 12 and 24 weeks following mindfulness-based intervention participation. The study uses demographic variables, clinical condition information, hospital-center identifiers, baseline BDI-II scores, and therapy engagement measures to model short-term and long-term depression outcomes. Missing follow-up outcomes were addressed using a model-based stochastic imputation procedure to preserve the modest sample size while maintaining outcome variability. Five regression models were evaluated, spanning regularized linear regression and tree-based ensemble methods. Ridge Regression achieved the best 12-week performance with an RMSE of 5.186 and R^2 of 0.474, while LightGBM achieved the best 24-week performance with an RMSE of 5.038 and R^2 of 0.525. Beyond prediction accuracy, the analysis reveals three clinically relevant patterns: baseline severity remains the strongest overall predictor, short-term outcomes are more strongly associated with clinical and hospital context, and long-term outcomes show greater dependence on behavioral adherence and demographic factors. Disease-specific and hierarchical subgroup analyses further indicate that predictors differ substantially across and within clinical categories. These findings support the use of interpretable, context-aware modeling to inform personalized mental-health support following mindfulness-based interventions.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Learning When to Refine: Long-Horizon Reinforcement Learning for Budgeted Neural-Operator PDE Solvers

Neural operators provide fast surrogates for time-dependent PDEs, but autoregressive deployment creates a refinement-allocation problem: prediction errors vary over space and time, while only a finite number of local corrections can be committed along a trajectory. We formulate this as budgeted adaptive neural-operator solving. A global Fourier neural operator advances the full field, a local operator proposes patch-wise residual corrections, and a set-aware selector chooses where to refine. A macro policy decides when and how much of the remaining refinement budget to spend. We introduce rollout-verified policy improvement (RV-PI), which evaluates feasible refinement counts through actual continuation rollouts of the learned PDE solver, converts long-horizon advantages into conservative policy targets, and accepts an update only when held-out trajectory error improves. On the shallow-water benchmark with a 32-intervention budget, RV-PI achieves a three-seed mean trajectory relative L2 error of 0.6910, improving over immediate-only policy improvement by 5.37% and RandomMacro by 2.41%. On the forcing-driven Brusselator benchmark with a 76-intervention budget, RV-PI attains 0.09954, improving over immediate-only policy improvement by 2.31% and RandomMacro by 5.32%. These results show that, under a fixed refinement budget, the value of a local correction depends on its downstream effect on the autoregressive trajectory, not only on its immediate error reduction.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Comparative review of hybrid forecasting models for short-term prediction of building thermal load

In this paper, a comparative review of different hybrid models for short-term forecasting of building thermal demand is carried out. Particularly, the assessment tackles the comparison of data-driven models enhanced with other state-of-the-art techniques. At the first step, the existing techniques reported in the literature are analysed. It is concluded that Metaheuristics or a data-driven model are used to identify the parameters of the basic model. The qualitative evaluation includes for each method the input and output features, main advantages and drawbacks. At the second step, an existing dataset of historical thermal demand from Scottish households, as well as historical weather forecasts are utilized to assess additionally the performance of existing hybrid methods. From the assessment of 13 hybrid methods, the Empirical Modal Decomposition - long short-term memory - Markov (EMD-LSTM-Markov) model can predict with the highest accuracy the day-ahead power pattern of heating and domestic hot water (DHW) demands. Though local power peaks are also accurately predicted, high power swells and spikes are underestimated. Other methods, such as Support Vector Machine - Simulated Annealing (SVM-SA) and Random Forest - Improved Sparrow Search Algorithm - LSTM (RF-ISSA-LSTM) predict a smooth pattern of heating and DHW demand profiles with rapid changes underestimating most power peaks.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CL

Environment Steering: Using Data Flow Control to Improve Agent Utility and Safety

LLM agents can make unsafe tool calls even when instructed to behave safely. Existing defenses constrain agents before execution, modify tool inputs/outputs, or rely on LLM judges; these approaches may depend on model behavior or block unsafe actions without helping the agent recover. We argue that the execution environment should instead enforce safety as the agent runs and steer it toward safe alternatives when violations occur—we call this Environment Steering. We implement this by modeling the agent and harness execution state as database tables, track the record-level data flows, and check these data flows against declarative policies during runtime. When violations are detected, policy- and context-specific feedback steers the agent toward safe trajectories. On AgentDyn, this enables the agent to improve task success rate over no-defense while achieving 0% attack success rate.
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All authors Charlie Summers, Prajwal Raghunath, Aaditya Pai, Mayur Kulkarni, Zhuo Zhang, Oliver Kennedy, Eugene Wu

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CL

From Lexical Baselines to Agentic Retrieval-Augmented Generation: Structured Skill and Responsibility-Level Extraction with the SFIA Framework

Automated skill extraction underpins workforce planning, yet most systems represent skills as flat labels with no notion of the responsibility level at which a skill is practiced. The Skills Framework for the Information Age (SFIA) captures exactly this dimension, defining 147 professional skills across seven responsibility levels, but no automated LLM-based extraction targeting SFIA has been reported. We formalize the task as structured prediction of (skill, level) pairs from free text and ask three questions: how accurately can text be mapped onto SFIA's closed vocabulary, which strategies reliably predict the level alongside the skill, and do agentic designs improve on simpler retrieval and prompting? We evaluate five strategies (a lexical baseline, dense retrieval with LLM reranking, a zero-shot schema-constrained LLM, single-agent agentic RAG, and a three-agent retriever–matcher–verifier crew) against expert-mapped European ICT role profiles, all drawing on an SFIA~9 corpus built by a fully automated agentic pipeline that we release. Retrieval-based matching identifies the most skills while generative strategies are markedly more precise; only strategies assigning the level as an explicit decision predict it reliably, with similarity-based selection more than twice as inaccurate; and the crew doubles latency without improving accuracy, so added agent roles do not automatically benefit closed-taxonomy matching. These results provide the first reproducible baseline for structured, level-aware skill extraction against SFIA.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CL

Alignment Forecasting: Predicting Misalignment From Training Data

Training a language model on data with a narrow flaw can sometimes make the model broadly misaligned. Inspecting the data at face value often does not settle whether it will emerge, and today it is caught only after training, by auditing the resulting model. To complement post-hoc audits, we introduce Alignment Forecasting: the task of predicting alignment failures before training. Given a target model, a fine-tuning dataset, and a failure mode such as deception or sycophancy, a forecaster outputs the probability that fine-tuning would meaningfully increase that failure mode. To measure progress on alignment forecasting, we introduce ALIGNMENTFORECASTBENCH, a benchmark of over 5,000 forecasting questions spanning 17 target models, 32 datasets, and 16 failure modes. Frontier models prompted directly perform poorly on ALIGNMENTFORECASTBENCH. We therefore propose a forecasting scaffold in which an LLM reads the dataset and rates how strongly and broadly it pushes the model toward misbehavior, and a simple learned model combines that rating with the failure mode's base rate and the target model's prior tendency. This forecasts well above chance, and beats a model fine-tuned on the task and a simple forecaster allowed to see how weaker models behaved after fine-tuning on the same data. Its signals also flag problematic training examples that a frontier-model classifier misses. Filtering those examples out from real post-training data such as UltraChat results in more aligned models on our multiple-choice evaluation in most cases, though the benefit in open-ended conversations is unclear. More progress is needed before forecasts can reliably guide training data curation in practice, but our results suggest that forecasting many alignment failures before training can be tractable in the SFT setting.
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All authors Chen Yueh-Han, Bruce W. Lee, Ilia Sucholutsky, Tomek Korbak

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Integrated Deep Learning Framework Designed on Hybrid Optimization Strategies for Automated Health Detection and Analysis in Silkworms

A Hybrid Residual Attention Network is proposed for accurately classifying silkworm images into six different classes, including healthy and diseased states. It uses residual blocks for deep feature extraction and attention to focus on disease related features. A novel Integrated Adaptive Momentum Optimizer was introduced to enhance convergence and improve training efficiency. The dataset of silkworm images underwent preprocessing techniques such as normalization, resizing, and noise reduction, along with augmentation strategies to improve data quality and diversity. It is optimized using IAMO, achieved an accuracy of 98.67%.The integration of spatial and channel wise attention mechanisms, coupled with IAMO, significantly enhanced the model ability to recognize subtle differences between classes. Results indicate that HRAN can be used to detect disease at an early stage in sericulture, and future work will enhance scalability and efficiency in different environments.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from physics.flu-dyn

Learning Stiffness Dependent Fluid Structure Dynamics from Coarse Flow Representations

This paper develops a data-driven framework for long-term prediction of fluid–structure interaction (FSI) dynamics, focusing on the flow-induced vibration (FIV) of a flexible plate. A stiffness-conditioned neural evolution operator jointly represents the Eulerian flow field and Lagrangian structural state. The plate is represented by 101 ordered structural tokens carrying nodal coordinates and velocities, with nondimensional bending stiffness as a global conditioning variable. Bidirectional cross-attention couples fluid and structural representations within a hybrid CNN-Transformer architecture. Trained with staged multi-step autoregressive rollouts and symmetry-reflected trajectories, a single operator captures three stiffness-dependent response regimes: deflected–flapping, deflected, and flapping. The predicted trajectories preserve the principal flow structures, structural oscillations, and dominant frequencies, while blind 1000-step rollouts remain bounded. The operator also interpolates to stiffness values excluded from training. To reduce sensitivity to under-resolved near-wall gradients in force reconstruction, we develop a differentiable aerodynamic-force module based on the derivative-moment transformation (DMT). Conventional wall-stress surface integrals are replaced by an enclosed 2D curve integral around the core vortex region, enabling accurate reconstruction of lift and drag. A Signed Distance Function (SDF) and smoothed Dirac-delta formulation make the integration fully differentiable while preserving gradient flow. The proposed framework provides an accurate and differentiable surrogate for stiffness-dependent FSI dynamics, enabling efficient parameter studies and future stiffness optimization for flow-energy-harvesting applications.
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Artificial Intelligence

An Accurate and Interpretable Hyper Graph Neural Network for GBM Survival Prediction

Survival prediction for glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) demands models that are both accurate and interpretable, yet existing approaches treat these objectives as com- peting, where performant models sacrifice transparency, while interpretable models accept degraded predictive power. We argue that this trade-off is not inherent. Graph neural net- works offer a structural foundation for extracting interpretable, explainable representations without compromising discriminative ability. Furthermore, current methods typically rely on a single imaging modality, underutilizing the complementary information available across multi-modal MRI and clinical metadata. We propose a multi-modal framework that inte- grates three components to address both objectives simultaneously: (1) a sheaf hypergraph neural network that captures higher-order relationships among tissue patches through direc- tional, asymmetric message passing; (2) a concept bottleneck layer that compresses learned representations into clinically grounded concepts, enforcing ante-hoc interpretability; and (3) an extension sufficiency test (EST) regularizer that penalizes unfaithful explanations during training, ensuring that model explanations genuinely reflect the internal decision process. Clinical and genomic features are incorporated through gated fusion, preserving the dominant prognostic signal of molecular markers while retaining concept-level traceabil- ity. Evaluated on 593 patients from the UPenn-GBM dataset under 5-fold cross-validation, our framework achieves a concordance index of 0.643 with the lowest fold-level variance among all compared models (std = 0.015). To our knowledge, this is the first work to unify sheaf hypergraph convolution, concept bottleneck supervision, and EST regularization for interpretable survival prediction from brain MRI
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Triggers and Diagnostics for LLM-Based Interpretability Failures in Active Inference Agents

LLM explainers are increasingly attached to autonomous agents as runtime oversight, with operators reading a generated account of the agent's beliefs and actions rather than its internal state. We audit the account itself, pairing an Active Inference (AIF) agent that tracks German grid demand and adjusts generation with an LLM explainer on three backends (GPT-4o, Claude-3-Opus, Gemini), and probing the pair with three black-box triggers. Corrupting the observation stream by 600 MW per step moves the agent's posterior by 490 MW, roughly 0.9% of grid capacity. None of the 30 explanations produced during the injection flag anything under a stated rubric, and each narrates the corrupted belief fluently. On timesteps where the agent takes an objectively wrong action, all three explainers produce a sycophantic rationalization 80-95% of the time (n = 20 per backend). Attacker-controlled text in the observation metadata field steers the explainer, with susceptibility differing by provider and data exfiltration succeeding on all three. We propose mitigations for each failure but do not evaluate them. In every failure we observed, the explanation was fluent and wrong. Moreover, nothing in the explainer architecture checks whether an explanation is true before an operator acts on it. Testing the explainer therefore belongs in any audit of an agentic deployment.
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Artificial Intelligence

Do Not Trust the Benchmark: Limitations of General LLM Rankings and a Case for Task-Specific Evaluation

Benchmark scores increasingly influence the development, marketing, and selection of large language models (LLMs). Yet an overall score is interpretable only in relation to the system tested, the questions included, and the conditions of evaluation. This perspective examines five connected limitations of general LLM rankings: differences between evaluated and publicly available systems; commercial incentives and dependencies in external evaluation; benchmark saturation, defective tests, and data contamination; models exploiting scoring procedures; and the limited relevance of general scores to users' tasks. Documented cases illustrate why these problems require different responses. I argue for evaluation procedures that disclose the tested configuration, validate questions and successful task completion, report performance alongside cost and execution time, and make the scope of generalization explicit. I then discuss Isotanta, a crowdsourced benchmarking platform, as a practical example of contributed questions and repeated evaluation. A larger question pool may improve task coverage, while repeated sampling can improve the stability of estimates on that pool; neither guarantees validity or personalization. The paper distinguishes the platform's current shared ranking from proposed task-specific and user-provided evaluations. Its central argument is that model selection requires evidence about performance on the intended work, not simply a high position on a general leaderboard.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CR

LLMs as Linguistic Chameleons: Decoupling Semantics and Structure for Privacy-Preserving Communication

As Large Language Model (LLM) APIs become increasingly integrated into privacy-sensitive workflows, ensuring inference-time privacy without compromising task utility remains a major challenge. Existing approaches preserve most of the original semantic content to maintain downstream performance, but this also leaves exploitable cues for reconstructing the original text. This work investigates semantic decoupling, which replaces original semantics with alternative content while preserving the structure needed for LLM reasoning. Based on this idea, we propose CROSS-MAP, a bidirectional framework that maps private inputs into a different semantic domain before inference and recovers the corresponding outputs afterward. Local models are trained with multi-objective optimization to maximize semantic divergence in the mapping stage while minimizing semantic inconsistency in the recovery stage. Experiments show that CROSS-MAP reduces reconstruction success across multiple attack settings while outperforming existing baselines in utility.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CV

GrapeSplat: Geometry-Grounded Reconstruction via Amalgamated Pose-Free Encoding for Feed-Forward 3D Gaussian Splatting

Feed-forward 3D Gaussian Splatting now reconstructs renderable scenes from unposed, uncalibrated images. Yet, most models supervise only photometric consistency and predict Gaussians pixel by pixel, which leaves global structure fragile and ties primitive count to image resolution and view count. To this end, GrapeSplat amalgamates multi-view cues into a voxel-aligned scene representation and decodes Gaussians directly from the learned grid, requiring no per-scene optimization or post-processing. An Atlas Encoder lifts all views into pixel-wise geometry-and-appearance features anchored at predicted 3D points. PEACH-Vox compands the unbounded scene into a bounded sparse grid through a smooth per-axis map with an exact closed-form inverse. The Sparse Decoder then consolidates the grid with sparse convolutions and decodes the full scene as multiple Gaussians per occupied cell. This amalgamated representation exploits sparse voxel occupancy, where the Gaussian count follows the occupied cells and saturates as views cover the scene, while grid resolution sets its ceiling. GrapeSplat turns unposed images into a renderable Gaussian scene in a single forward pass. Trained with 2D and 3D supervision on 8-view sequences, it generalizes zero-shot from 4 to 64 views across indoor and unbounded scenes. Code and trained weights are available at https://github.com/VAISR/GrapeSplat
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All authors Si-Yu Lu, Yung-Yao Chen, Yi Jan Chen, Shang-Lin Li, Ching-Chan Liao, Wen-Huang Cheng