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Computer Science Machine Learning

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Sunday 20 September

Machine Learning

Global Ranks Survive, Selected Heads Shift: BOS-Sink Topology under 4-bit Weight-Only Quantization

Sink-aware deployment may identify important first-token attention heads before a model is quantized, then reuse that map at the edge. We test when this shortcut is safe for 4-bit NF4 weight-only post-training quantization (PTQ). Our Sink Topology Consistency (STC) metrics separate global rank preservation, top-$k$ set overlap, and layerwise sink-mass shift, and distinguish per-input sensitivity from calibration-map transfer. Across Qwen2.5-0.5B, Qwen2.5-1.5B, and Llama-3.2-1B, global bf16-to-4-bit ranks remain high at 4,096 tokens ($\rho_s \geq 0.980$), yet top-$k$ Jaccard overlap is only 0.619-0.793, corresponding to 76.5-88.5% membership retention. The global statistic also masks local failures: terminal Qwen layers shift by 6.2-7.9x their model means, whereas Llama-3.2-1B shows low, nearly uniform drift. Under a C4-to-LongBench shift, cross-domain overlap degrades more than the within-domain precision comparison for both Qwen models, but not for Llama-3.2-1B. Matched-domain 4-bit recalibration reaches 90% of a split-half stability plateau at the smallest tested $n=8$ for both Qwen models and $n=32$ for Llama-3.2-1B, though not as a sharp threshold; for the two Qwen models, updating only selected layers does not reach the full-map stability criterion. On Jetson Orin NX, the 16-sample workload takes seconds for the two models with valid on-device sink measurements. The practical message is precise: global rankings often transfer, but discrete head sets, layer-local policies, and cross-domain calibration should be revalidated after quantization.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CL

ARID: A Deployable Edge AI System for Structured Information Extraction from Industrial Maintenance Work Orders

Maintenance work orders must often be processed offline on embedded hardware, yet downstream software requires predictable structured output. We present ARID (Aviation-inspired Routing for Industrial Deployment), which extracts component, failure mode, symptom, and maintenance action into fixed-schema JSON on an 8 GB NVIDIA Jetson Orin NX. ARID combines conservative dual-teacher filtering, targeted noise-aware synthesis, one routing decision per work order, 4-bit inference, and grammar-constrained decoding. From 2,326 unlabeled OMIn records, it retains 716 training pairs and adds 99 topology-constrained records targeting action extraction. On 300 human-labeled records, ARID reaches 84.8% token-F1 on the reference stack and 82.9% on the deployed Jetson. Resident serving achieves 5,310/5,656 ms P50/P99 at 12.5 W. On zero-shot MaintNet transfer, semantic F1 falls to 46.4% while parser success remains at least 99.8%, showing that output validity transfers but field semantics do not.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML

PACE: Plug-and-Play Contextual Embedding for Feature Screening with Pretrained Tabular Foundation Models

In high-dimensional tabular learning, feature screening provides a lightweight, model-agnostic way to remove irrelevant features before model fitting. However, scoring raw values directly can miss nonlinear or distributional structure. We introduce PACE (Plug-and-Play Contextual Embedding), which inserts a frozen tabular foundation model (TFM) column encoder before an existing feature-scoring rule, expanding each feature into a higher-dimensional contextual representation. Across controlled studies, PACE improves raw-space screening of complex nonlinear dependence with only modest additional encoding cost. These gains translate to downstream prediction on TALENT datasets: PACE-DC improves binary AUC by 0.077 and multiclass macro-AUC by 0.064, with a median normalized RMSE improvement of 0.063 across ten learners. Matched random-weight and random-feature controls show that PACE gains from pretrained structure beyond generic dimensional expansion. PACE further achieves favorable performance–time trade-offs against task-fitted selectors and attribution-based methods, positioning pretrained column geometry as a reusable upstream primitive for tabular learning.
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All authors Qi Qin, Erbo Li, Ting Wei, Zizhou Huang, Zixuan Qin, Wu Wang, Yifan Sun

Machine Learning

Physics-residual machine learning predicts oxygen-evolution catalyst activity beyond the training range from sparse polarization measurements

Discovery campaigns for oxygen evolution reaction catalysts repeatedly choose, make and measure catalysts. High-throughput platforms stop polarization curves below potentials that damage the catalyst, so the endpoint, the activity at a target potential or current density, often lies beyond the measured window, and the catalysts of most interest are more active than any measured before. Existing methods do not predict these endpoints accurately when few or no endpoints of a new library have been measured. Here we present physics-residual machine learning (PR-ML), which predicts each endpoint as the sum of a Tafel term, computed from the catalyst's own measured curve with an estimated slope, and a residual term learned from labelled catalysts. In twelve Ni-Pd-Pt-Ru thin-film libraries, the current density at 1.70 V$_{RHE}$ was predicted from the currents at 1.40 and 1.55 V$_{RHE}$. Fitted only on earlier libraries, with ridge regression as the residual learner, PR-ML predicted the Ni–Ru library, whose currents mostly exceed theirs, with a mean absolute error of 0.194 mA cm$^{-2}$, against 1.330-1.882 for data-driven models. With five endpoints from the new library and extremely randomized trees as the residual learner, PR-ML gave a similar error, which the same learner used alone reached only with 20, and identified 63-83% of the catalysts more active than the best labelled catalyst, against 2%. In two independent datasets, this fraction rose from at most 1% to 33-95%. Our approach supplies catalyst selection with accurate endpoints beyond the measured part of each curve and above all earlier measurements.
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All authors Yong-Woon Kim, Jihyeok Lee, Sungtae Park, Sooseok Choi, Yung-Cheol Byun

Machine Learning

Preserving Geometric Integrity in Graph Prompting via Measure-Constrained Optimal Transport

Graph prompt learning enables parameter-efficient adaptation of frozen Graph Neural Networks to downstream tasks through lightweight prompt parameters. As routing becomes increasingly node-adaptive, however, independently optimized local decisions can collectively concentrate assignment mass on a small subset of a finite shared prompt bank, even when individual node–prompt matches remain locally meaningful. We propose MINT (Measure-INtegrity Transport), an entropically regularized optimal transport framework that formulates node-to-prompt adaptation as a globally coupled allocation problem. The transport cost favors local geometric compatibility, while a prescribed prompt-side marginal explicitly controls graph-wide prompt utilization. We further derive an exact variance decomposition that separates prompt-side geometric variance into retained prompt-update variation and within-node barycentric dispersion, together with a conditional stability bound for the frozen-encoder forward map. Across standard citation networks and additional heterophilic graphs, MINT remains competitive in few-shot adaptation. Controlled and end-to-end experiments further distinguish the roles of routing and topology: fixed-marginal routing controls graph-wide prompt utilization and has measurable end-to-end effects on citation networks, while topology augmentation provides a complementary, graph-dependent mechanism for addressing structural mismatch. Code is available at https://github.com/Ga1axy0051/MINT.
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All authors Xiangyu Wang, Shuo Wang, Ruiyi Fang, Zhao Kang

Machine Learning

Decoupled Causal Discovery

Causal discovery from observational data is a fundamental yet challenging task in scientific research. While existing approaches are primarily based on conditional independence tests, structure scores, or restrictive functional assumptions, we propose Decoupled Causal Discovery (DCD), a novel decoupling-based perspective that does not rely on these methodologies. DCD directly identifies the Markov boundary (MB) by decoupling non-target variables via weighting functions, such that only variables within the MB preserve dependence with the target under the decoupled distribution. Building on this, DCD iteratively constructs the Completed Partially Directed Acyclic Graph (CPDAG) by exploiting structural asymmetries within the MBs. We establish the theoretical identifiability, soundness, and completeness of DCD. Empirical evaluations demonstrate that DCD achieves strong performance, particularly excelling in challenging noise regimes.
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Machine Learning

Predicting Out-of-Distribution Generalization of Neural Operators via Observable Spectral Error Decomposition

Neural operators have emerged as powerful surrogates for solving partial differential equations (PDEs), yet their reliability under distribution shift remains a critical barrier to deployment. Existing approaches to out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization in operator learning are largely empirical and black-box: they report aggregate error metrics without explaining why errors arise or when they will grow. We propose a structure-preserving framework that makes OOD generalization predictable and auditable. Our key idea is to parameterize the learned solution operator as a spectral filter $h_\theta(\lambda)$ acting on the eigenvalues of the underlying elliptic operator, implemented via Chebyshev polynomial expansions and trained with a weak-form objective. This parameterization admits an exact decomposition of the energy-norm error into two observable components: a model-dependent spectral approximation term and a distribution-dependent spectral weighting term induced by the input. From this decomposition we derive three diagnostics: a conservative in-band supremum $\vareps_{\mathrm{sup}}$, a global RMS proxy $\vareps_{\mathrm{rms}}$, and a sample-dependent effective metric $\vareps_{\mathrm{eff}}(f)$. These diagnostics can be computed without access to ground-truth solutions. Through four controlled experiments, we show that $\vareps_{\mathrm{eff}}(f)\|f\|$ consistently predicts energy error under in-distribution, in-band spectral shift, out-of-band tail, and compound shifts, whereas global metrics can be systematically misleading. Our framework shifts OOD assessment of neural operators from black-box benchmarking to operator-structure diagnostics, providing a practical route to auditable scientific machine learning.
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Machine Learning

Feature Suppression and Differential Privacy for Residential Traffic Classification: A Two-Home Federated Study

Residential traffic classification supports service management, but learning across homes must account for heterogeneous traffic and privacy constraints. Privacy-aware training may impose uneven costs across traffic categories. We study this tradeoff in simulated two-client federated learning using 1.62 million preprocessed gateway-collected flows across six categories. We compare a full-feature baseline, feature suppression (FS), and differentially private stochastic gradient descent (DP-SGD) under one fixed record-level privacy setting. FS-mild excludes four timing features from 16 model inputs; it provides no formal privacy guarantee. With size-proportional aggregation, FS-mild achieves higher combined macro-F1 and worst-group F1 (the minimum per-class F1 across homes) than DP-SGD in all five seeds at both model capacities under stratified and temporal splits. The tested DP-SGD configuration incurs pronounced minority-category losses, especially in the smaller home, but FS-mild does not uniformly improve on the full-feature baseline. On stratified-split models, loss-based and shadow-model membership probes show near-chance aggregate discrimination without a consistent ranking across probes; this does not establish equivalent privacy. These findings support FS as an input-minimization baseline, not a substitute for formal privacy.
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Machine Learning

ITSY: Causal Discovery From Irregular Time-Series Data

Structural causal models for time series recover contemporaneous and lagged effects, but most methods require complete observation windows and become misspecified when samples are missing. We introduce ITSY, the first continuous-optimization method for causal discovery from irregular time series under a linear model. ITSY reformulates the structural equation so that prediction uses the nearest available history rather than the possibly missing current slice, and jointly imputes missing values while learning both graphs. A weighted reconstruction objective corrects the noise transformation induced by this reformulation. Across synthetic regimes varying missingness, scale, graph density, and noise, and on a real world benchmark, ITSY consistently improves graph recovery over representative SCM-based baselines, demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results establish a focused solution for irregular linear first-order dynamics and clarify the assumptions required for nonlinear or higher-order extensions.
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All authors Wenbo Xu, Yue He, Yunhai Wang, Yueguo Chen, Kun Kuang

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from quant-ph

Comparative Study of Quantum and Classical Machine Learning Models in Binary Classification

A potential path forward is Quantum Machine Learning (QML), which aims to leverage quantum computing in conjunction with classical machine learning to enhance computing efficiency and the expressiveness of models. In this paper, two different quantum classifiers - Variational Quantum Classifier (VQC) and Quantum Kernel Support Vector Machine (QSVM) - are compared with three classical classifiers as baseline classifiers - Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine (SVM), and a Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) - on the Breast Cancer Wisconsin dataset. The quantum circuits were created in the PennyLane framework and simulated on a classical backend. However, in terms of accuracy, classical Logistic Regression performed better with an accuracy of 97.8%, classical SVM and QSVM with an accuracy of 95.6% each, although the Quantum VQC achieved a lower accuracy of 88.9% and had a recall of 100% for the benign class, though it correctly identified only 12 of the 17 malignant cases (a malignant-class recall of approximately 70.6%). The drawback of quantum models is the higher training time; however, since the quantum circuit needs to be classically simulated, the quantum SVM took 23.29 seconds compared to less than 0.01 seconds for the classical linear models. These results indicate that for small structured datasets, classifiers based on quantum computing have not yet surpassed well-tuned classical counterparts. In some respects (e.g., benign-class recall), they perform competitively, though not on malignant-class recall, where the VQC in particular performed worse than the classical baselines, which is worth further investigation on real quantum computers.
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Machine Learning

TRACE: Tractable Routing Autoencoder for Clinical ECG

Deep learning has advanced automated electrocardiogram (ECG) diagnosis, but the field's most accurate models, foundation models pretrained on millions of recordings, are not decision-pathway auditable: a clinician cannot trace a diagnosis to a physiological pathway or intervene on one. We propose TRACE, a Tractable Routing Autoencoder for Clinical ECG, whose 32-dimensional clinical latent space is specified in advance from domain knowledge rather than discovered by optimization. TRACE partitions this space into perfusion, structure, and conduction subspaces, routes each to its own diagnostic head by design, regularizes the partition with an orthogonality penalty, and reconstructs the ECG through a decoder that permits latent perturbation. On PTB-XL and Georgia, TRACE exceeds unconstrained classifiers and stays ahead of an ECG foundation model pretrained on ten million recordings, evaluated by linear probe on frozen features, at roughly an eighth of the parameter count. On the nine-label CPSC2018 cohort, which carries no structural class, the framework transfers with only the routing table re-specified to a perfusion/rhythm/conduction partition. Joint probe, erasure, and perturbation analyses verify the routing contract, and perturbing the depolarization and repolarization pathways modulates the reconstructed waveform. Removing the specified partition and its orthogonality penalty costs 1.70 AUC and 11.30 macro-F1 points on PTB-XL, and 2.76 AUC and 16.92 macro-F1 points on Georgia. A capacity-matched permutation control places arbitrary assignments within 0.34 AUC points of the ontology routing and leaves macro-F1 statistically level (p=0.619): the ontology supplies decision-pathway auditability at no macro-F1 cost.
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All authors Shunbo Jia, Runze Ma, Haonan Lyu, Haijin Zhang, Qiang Yang, Caizhi Liao

Machine Learning

RLVR$^{2}$: Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rubric-based Ranking

Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) is expanding from tasks with well-defined correctness signals, such as mathematics and code, toward multifaceted quality requirements specified by multi-dimensional rubrics. Since policy optimization consumes one scalar per rollout, rubric-based pipelines must map multiple criterion scores into a scalar reward. This aggregation is often treated as score scaling, but it implicitly determines how quality dimensions trade off during training. The prevailing practice, normalizing each criterion and taking a linear combination, assumes that cardinal score differences are comparable across criteria and that gains on one criterion compensate for failures on another; both assumptions are unreliable when criteria are semantically heterogeneous. We propose Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rubric-based Ranking (RLVR$^2$), a verifiable ranking paradigm for rubric-based RLVR. For each criterion, RLVR$^2$ converts rubric scores into criterion-specific within-group ordinal outcomes, recovers a latent utility from the resulting comparison matrix, and merges these utilities into one training signal. By retaining only within-group ordering and discarding raw score magnitudes, RLVR$^2$ avoids calibrating heterogeneous rubric scales. It further supports objective-preserving attribute adjustment: auxiliary attributes that correlate with observed rankings but are not training objectives can enter the estimation without expanding the rubric or rewarding them directly. Across three model scales and 16 benchmarks, RLVR$^2$ consistently outperforms representative rubric-based baselines, achieving the best overall performance on most benchmarks at every scale. Analysis shows it controls systematic effects tied to reasoning efficiency and response formatting while preserving the quality objective.
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All authors Hao Li, Zhengkun Zhang, Gangqiang Hu, Zhen Zhang, Yude Gao, Dai Dai, Jing Liu

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.IR

PSD: Pseudo Self-Distillation of Memory Representation Capabilities for LLM Agents

Memory systems are becoming a core component of LLM agents, but constructing and maintaining memory remains expensive because it relies on repeated calls to large proprietary language models. This cost creates a major barrier to deploying memory-enhanced agents at scale. In this paper, we present Pseudo Self-Distillation (PSD), a framework that enables small language models (SLMs) to construct hierarchical memory representations by distilling behavior from a strong black-box oracle through a multi-stage training pipeline. Standard distillation methods require access to teacher logits or hidden states, which closed models do not expose. Unlike conventional self-distillation settings, where supervision is derived from a model's own predictions, sampled rollouts, or aggregated outputs, PSD enables a single-model distillation setup while channeling external oracle knowledge through the prompt. PSD uses a single small model in two roles: a teacher that sees a privileged prompt containing the oracle's answer as reference context, and a student that sees only the task prompt. The student learns to reproduce the teacher's output distribution, absorbing oracle-guided behavior into its own weights without accessing the oracle's internals. On LoCoMo, PSD-trained Qwen3-0.6B, 1.7B, and 4B match or exceed GPT-4.1-mini on downstream retrieval at a fraction of the deployment cost, with off-policy PSD achieving the strongest results across most conditions. We further show that this memory-construction capability transfers out-of-distribution to LongMemEval, despite the students being trained exclusively on LoCoMo with no exposure to LongMemEval data.
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All authors Pirzada Suhail, Menglin Xia, Xuchao Zhang, Mayukh Das, Chetan Bansal, Saravan Rajmohan

Machine Learning

Tool-Augmented On-Policy Distillation for LLM Domain Adaptation in Sequence-Based Omics Tasks

Multi-omics sequences contain complex biological patterns, yet deciphering their mechanisms for automated scientific discovery remains challenging. As large language models (LLMs) interpret these sequences, evaluating both predictions and scientific reasoning is critical. However, existing benchmarks for multi-omics sequence tasks rely on classification and regression metrics, neglecting whether models grasp the underlying biological evidence. We introduce OmicsBench, the first reasoning benchmark for multi-omics sequences, comprising 1,160 expert-validated questions across six tasks spanning DNA regulation, RNA processing, and protein function. OmicsBench requires traceable evidence chains, evaluated using instance-specific rubrics developed with domain experts. Evaluating 17 LLMs reveals an inverse relationship: while scientific LLMs outperform general-purpose LLMs in sequence classification accuracy, they fail to provide valid evidence to support their predictions. One plausible interpretation is shortcut learning: specialized models may rely on statistical patterns rather than the biological mechanisms needed for scientific discovery. Motivated by this finding, we introduce tool-augmented on-policy distillation (TA-OPD), a post-training method to align sequence prediction with evidence-grounded biological reasoning. Across five Qwen3.5 models spanning 0.8B to 27B parameters, TA-OPD consistently strengthens biological evidence grounding while improving predictive performance on most tasks. These gains persist across model scales, indicating that stronger sequence reasoning does not arise solely from increased model capacity, but can be improved through evidence-aware training. Together, OmicsBench and TA-OPD provide a framework for diagnosing reasoning failures in multi-omics LLMs and a path toward models whose predictions are better grounded in biologically meaningful evidence.
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All authors Jie Ying, Zhefan Wang, Zihong Chen, Zhengqing Li, Jinzhe Li, Gang Li, Jian Liu, Fang Hu, Tao Luo, Zhonghang Yuan, Wanli Ouyang, Stan Z. Li, Fan Yang, Nanqing Dong

Machine Learning

Blind Thermodynamic Ontology Discovery from Anonymous Experiments

Before a machine learning model can learn a thermodynamic equation of state, it must discover what its measurements represent: which channels scale with system size, which are intensive conjugates, how sectors pair through contact, and which potential governs stability. When sensors expose only an unknown linear mixture of extensive states and intensive responses, passive observations cannot disentangle physical quantities from coordinate artifacts. We formulate the problem of discovering this hidden thermodynamic ontology directly from anonymous controlled experiments. We present an operational identifiability theory and a constructive polynomial-time algorithm that extracts extensive and intensive scaling sectors from replication contrasts, recovers their dual cotangent pairing from thermal contact and reciprocity, verifies a globally admissible concave potential via discrete cyclic concavity, and determines an invariant matroid of reservoir ensembles. We prove that the residual observational equivalence is strictly (x, lambda) ~ (A x, a A^{-T} lambda + beta), establishing the sharp observational limit that no permitted experiment can break. Blind evaluations on van der Waals fluids and Curie-Weiss magnets confirm robust recovery under ill-conditioned mixing, correctly resolving anonymous Maxwell tie-lines while rejecting non-equilibrium continuations. External validation across six real fluids from the NIST WebBook demonstrates that operational ontology discovery transfers across real physical substances without coordinate leakage.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from physics.ins-det

Leveraging Industrial Foundation Models at the Edge of Particle Physics Detectors via Distillation Learning and Hardware Co-design

Data acquisition (DAQ) systems at future particle physics experiments stand to benefit from the extremes of AI/ML development: large-scale foundation models can enhance the performance of feature extraction algorithms, and small-scale on-detector deployments can enable real-time intelligent data handling. This work provides the first fine-tuning of an industrial foundation model for particle physics DAQ. Starting from the backbone of Google Research's TimesFM (Time Series Foundation Model), we demonstrate fine-tuning on real-time regression tasks for drift chamber trackers and dual-readout calorimeters. Furthermore, the fine-tuned TimesFM model is distilled into a student and co-designed with FPGA implementation to enable these models to run in real-time at future colliders. The fine-tuned distillations meet or exceed the performance of previously published AI/ML solutions for each task. Further, the pipeline of distillation and model compression from TimesFM is generic and can be easily adapted to a variety of 1D waveform tasks across domains.
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All authors Gia Ancone, Qibin Liu, Liangyu Wu, Julia Gonski

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML

Bayesian Filtering in Physical Systems via Test-time Trained Flow Matching

Bayesian filtering provides a principled framework for online state estimation under uncertainty, yet its application to systems with high-dimensional states and complicated posterior distributions remains challenging. Recent generative models, such as flow matching, have shown potential in Bayesian filtering. However, they still rely on particle-based representations of the posterior, which lose the rich information of the full distribution, or tackle a trajectory-level inverse problem that conflicts with the recursive structure of Bayesian filtering. To address this, we propose a new perspective of directly encoding the evolving distribution into flow matching model weights, namely, the Belief Flow Filter (BFF). It is a generative filtering framework that updates model weights via gradient descent at test time to track the posterior evolution. Thereby, BFF bypasses the scalability issue of particle representations or the flexibility limitation of Gaussian assumptions in conventional filters. We theoretically justify that the BFF design is structurally aligned with Bayesian filtering, and its training objective targets the recursive filtering operator. BFF is empirically verified across 5 different physical systems, including ones with chaotic dynamics and highly sparse, non-linear observations. The results show that BFF attains the best score in 8 of 9 metric-benchmark cells across the three standard 1D and 2D PDE benchmarks, and similarly leads on the extreme single-moving-sensor setting and on a real-world-grounded tokamak plasma estimation task, demonstrating its potential to accurately approximate the Bayesian filtering operator in high-dimensional probability space.
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All authors Ruiqi Feng, Chongyi Wang, Tao Zhang, Tailin Wu

Machine Learning

Discovering Physical Representation Languages

Before a machine can discover a physical law, it must discover what its measurements are: which observations live on cells, which are intensive or extensive, which sectors are dual, and which distinctions are merely gauge. We introduce physical representation-language discovery, the problem of recovering this hidden ontology directly from anonymous controlled experiments. We give an identifiability theory and constructive polynomial-time procedure that recovers a carrier and differential sequence, measurement types and orientation twist, noninvertible refinement semantics, primal-dual Maxwell diagrams, and the residual equivalences that no permitted experiment can break. The theory turns material nuisance into a commutant, uses refinement to separate quantities from coordinates, and selects physics only after its representation has been recovered. For a certified finite experiment family, we prove an end-to-end two-stage measurement bound and a matching minimax rate in dimension, accuracy, and confidence. Blind Maxwell experiments recover complete primal/relative-dual ontologies on regular and unstructured carriers under jointly corrupted observations; an independent unstructured RLC system demonstrates that the result is not specific to Maxwell. The framework scales to tens of thousands of cells per carrier, while stress audits demonstrate robustness across severe physical regimes - including non-Markovian memory, nonlinearities, nonlocality, and complex constitutive hysteresis. A public FDTD audit demonstrates the emergence of anonymous curl structure from incomplete field data, while characterizing the informational prerequisites for complete recovery. The goal is to move scientific ML from learning laws in a human-supplied language to discovering the language in which laws become expressible, establishing exact theoretical limits on observational identifiability.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.SE

One to More, More to One: Category-Aware Iterative Expert Training for Software Engineering Agents

Repository-level software engineering (SWE) comprises heterogeneous task categories, whose progress under pooled agentic reinforcement learning can be uneven: gains in some categories coincide with regressions in others, while aggregate resolution obscures these changes. Motivated by this category see-saw, we develop a category-aware expert-training and policy-integration framework. Executable task construction and SWE Labeler, an evidence-grounded multi-axis labeling system, organize the training pools. Initial category-specific RL improves average training success while leaving uneven instance-level progress, motivating explicit consolidation of successful behavior and policy-adaptive task selection. Same-origin category experts alternate long-horizon Agentic-miniRL with Refresh-Repair-Expand (RRE): the updated policy refreshes instance mastery, reuses its own verified successful trajectories for Repair SFT, and reselects tasks for further RL. Label-routed multi-teacher on-policy distillation (MOPD) consolidates the experts into one deployable student, with ReLU-gated reward extrapolation keeping only each teacher's improving direction over the reference. Expert training and policy integration require no external model to provide solution trajectories or action targets. We evaluate Pooled RL and Balanced RL, expert development, and single-model integration through aggregate and per-category resolution, the minimum category lift over each joint-RL baseline, and expert-gain recovery. The final MOPD policy achieves mean resolution of 58.04% on Pro-618 and 59.00% on SWE-bench Multilingual, improving over the base model by 5.39 and 2.78 percentage points, respectively.
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All authors Jie Zhao, Ziyu Jiang, Suhang Zheng, Minghui Shan, Xiaoxiao Xu, Lin Qu

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.MM

If You Hear It, Help Find It: Orthogonal Knowledge Distillation for Open-Vocabulary Audio-Visual Event Localization

Open-vocabulary audio-visual event localization (OV-AVEL) grounds a text-queried event in time from video, audio, and language. The supervision sources available to this task can differ in temporal-boundary reliability: on OV-AVEBench, our configured visual teacher gives more reliable boundary cues than the configured audio teacher, although the latter is a strong pretrained audio model and remains semantically informative. This is a setting-specific diagnostic rather than a universal ranking of vision and audio. We formulate the resulting challenge as supervision placement: which teacher signals may shape the localization decision, and which should remain auxiliary. Based on this view, we propose OV-OrthKD, a reliability-aware asymmetric distillation framework. Visual feature transfer shapes a decision-aligned representation, audio feature transfer enriches a complementary auxiliary subspace, a text prototype anchors seen/unseen category semantics, and an orthogonality loss limits directional overlap between the two teacher-specific projections. The student continues to use both modalities through query-aware fusion at inference, while the default training recipe keeps audio-teacher supervision off the segment-logit path. On OV-AVEBench, OV-OrthKD achieves 0.816 segment AP and improves F1@0.5 over the official fine-tuning baseline by 2.7 points overall and 3.4 points on unseen categories. Path-assignment, role-swap, corruption, and transfer analyses consistently support supervision placement as a task-specific design axis for OV-AVEL.
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Machine Learning

The Evidence Ladder for Reinforcement Learning in Healthcare: From Retrospective Policies to Trusted Interventions

Reinforcement learning (RL) offers a natural language for healthcare decisions whose conse- quences unfold over time, yet most reported progress remains far from routine intervention. Ex- isting surveys organize the field by algorithm or clinical application. We instead review healthcare RL through an evidence ladder: problem formulation, retrospective identification, policy estima- tion, stress testing, prospective evaluation, and lifecycle monitoring. This view connects clinical treatment, patient engagement, and health-system operations while exposing a recurring gap: evi- dence that a policy scores well in a historical dataset is not evidence that it will improve care. We synthesize the assumptions and failure modes at each rung, identify what evidence can and can- not transfer across settings, and propose reporting practices for cumulative evaluation. Restless bandits are included as one special case, not as the organizing framework. The central lesson is that healthcare RL should be evaluated as an intervention embedded in a changing sociotechnical system, rather than only as an optimizer of a retrospective reward.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CL

Machine-Interpretable Information: Compiling Documents into Searchable and Readable Protocol States

Long-context language models interface with external knowledge through raw natural language. In retrieval-augmented systems, this creates a persistent index-payload schism: dense vectors enable searchable routing, but models must re-ingest lengthy text payloads for reasoning at O(N^2) attention cost. Existing compression methods further produce private states tied to specific architectures. We introduce Machine-Interpretable Information (MII), the first agent-to-agent (A2A) document-to-state protocol. A dual-timescale state-space Writer compiles documents into a canonical, fixed-bandwidth state (56 tokens), and a lightweight Translator maps it into any frozen Reader's embedding space, reducing query-time cost to O(K). The resulting .mii artifact unifies Retrieval (searchable geometry), Reasoning (global memory), and Reconstruction (grounded details) in a single transferable medium. We demonstrate strong cross-model interoperability across heterogeneous LLMs (e.g., Llama, Qwen, Mistral) – despite the Writer using a legacy GPT-2 vocabulary, forcing genuine semantic translation rather than token-level memorization. Mechanistic probes reveal modular latent structure: entity representations can be causally traced and zero-shot transplanted between unrelated document states while remaining decodable. To address lexical reconstruction under fixed bandwidth, we propose Residual-MII, a cache hierarchy combining compiled global memory with sparse local evidence. On HotpotQA (7,405 queries), Residual-MII exceeds full-context Exact Match at approximately 7% of the attention FLOPs, suggesting a paradigm shift toward compiled, transferable neural document formats.
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Machine Learning

What Can a Recurrent State Safely Forget?

Recurrent models must preserve information that changes future behavior while suppressing hidden-state error. These objectives conflict: contraction improves stability, but contraction along a future-distinguishing direction destroys memory. We formalize this boundary through the predictive quotient of a recurrent state space. Two hidden states are equivalent when they induce the same conditional future; their equivalence classes form predictive fibers. Every exact semantics-preserving corrector acts as the identity on this quotient. At a regular point with hidden dimension d and predictive dimension k, it can eliminate at most d - k independent directions. This establishes a discrete-continuous boundary: finite predictive states admit positive-radius exact correction basins, whereas an uncountable continuum of future-distinguishable states cannot be decoded after arbitrary positive-radius perturbations in finite-dimensional Euclidean space. To operationalize this principle, we develop an auditable finite-future framework. A compact deployment bank W is evaluated against an independent audit bank A (W subseteq A) on a declared correction domain. Under generative probe access and audit-metric coverage, finite stochastic rollouts furnish a high-probability certificate for the separation margin Omega_{W|A}(delta). Preserving learned W-predictions within this certified margin guarantees bounded audit-semantic distortion. For intrinsic audit dimension k, the required probe outcomes scale as O(M * Omega^{-(k+2)}), where M = |A|; a matching minimax lower bound proves this exponent is optimal. Extending guarantees to continuous futures is achieved via an explicit completeness modulus. Controlled experiments validate the certified margins, scaling laws, and automated probe refinement under a safety-first evaluation paradigm.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from eess.AS

Low-Rank Frequency Convolution and Noise-Range Augmentation for Real-Time Pitch Estimation on Edge Devices

Pitch estimation on an edge device is constrained in three ways at once. The model must be small, it must stay accurate when the input is noisy, and one frame must be produced inside the frame period. In this report the Frequency Convolution Network (FrCN) of our earlier work is factored into a low-rank form. The number of parameters is reduced by 35.9%, from 17,787 to 11,397, and accuracy is not reduced, either in domain or on two corpora the model was never trained on. The range of the noise used during training is also shown to dominate the architecture in setting how the model behaves when the interference is severe. When the training noise floor is lowered from +6.02 dB to -20 dB, 0.35 points of clean RPA50 are lost and RPA50 at -20 dB is raised from 2.44 to 22.41. This effect is about two orders of magnitude larger than any architectural effect that was measured. The semi-orthogonal constraint used in TDNN-F is found to be redundant with the normalization inside the bottleneck, and accuracy is reduced when both are applied. Whether the factorization saves time depends on the runtime: in eager PyTorch the factored model is 45% slower, while in a compiled kernel it is 15% faster. For deployment, a small C kernel was written. It needs 83 kB on disk and no runtime library beyond libc and libm. It is faster than OpenBLAS on all four CPUs that were tested, faster than ONNX Runtime by 3.8 times, and faster than PyTorch by 13 times. Its output was checked against PyTorch on 271,893 held-out frames per model, and the same pitch bin was selected on every one of them.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from quant-ph

Stochastic Reconfiguration as Statistical Filtering for Overparameterized Neural Quantum States

Stochastic reconfiguration (SR) is the standard optimizer for neural quantum states (NQS), but modern NQS often have far more parameters than Monte Carlo samples. We show that in this regime the diagonal shift is more than a numerical stabilizer. It acts as a statistical filter for finite-sample generalization. At a fixed wave function, SR is ridge regression from tangent features to the centered local energy. Its residual is the expressivity gap, the part of imaginary-time evolution outside the current tangent space. This gap is orthogonal to the tangent space in population, but finite batches make it act as noise that SR can overfit. The shift therefore balances shrinkage of useful update directions against variance from fitting sampled residuals. Exact diagnostics on a $4\times4$ Heisenberg graph separate two effects of overparameterization. Larger tangent spaces help when they reduce the expressivity gap, but they can hurt when they overfit a fixed gap. In a $100$-site transverse-field Ising family trained with a foundation NQS, validation risk is U-shaped in the shift while variance decreases, matching the noisy-ridge model. This view leads to multi-shift SR (MS-SR), which averages independent ridge solves at data-adaptive shifts to form a richer, lower-variance spectral filter. Checkpoint-local experiments show that MS-SR lowers validation risk and update variance relative to the fixed-shift SR baseline. We further compare MS-SR and SR in paired online training continuations, with independent endpoint energy evaluations and a separate update-cost benchmark.
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Machine Learning

A Patient World Model for Early Forecasting of Digital Health Campaign Outcomes: Capabilities and Limits

Digital direct-to-consumer (DTC) health campaigns are usually measured after the fact. In-flight forecasting commonly relies on a separate classifier for every cutoff and horizon. We treat this task as a dynamic-system problem and build a compact patient world model. The architecture maintains a latent state per patient, learns exposure-conditioned state dynamics jointly with a weekly conversion hazard, and rolls forward into future conversion curves. We evaluate it on a US campaign dataset with 147{,}173 patients and 5.2 million at-risk person-weeks. In a retrospective evaluation conditioned on recorded future exposures, the model forecasts the remaining new-to-brand prescription volume through week 52 with a relative error of 2.9% from a week-4 cutoff and 0.8–2.6% from cutoffs at weeks 8–26. The strongest non-recurrent baseline, a pooled-hazard gradient boosting model given the same survival rollout and information, has relative errors of 13.6–33.1%. Per-horizon classifiers perform substantially worse. A Fisher-information analysis motivates dense next-exposure supervision when conversions are rare. Removing this auxiliary objective increases prescription-volume error by approximately $2$–$14\times$, while providing no consistent disadvantage on the more common specialist-visit outcome. We also evaluate scenario simulation. Switching all future exposure off raises predicted conversion from 0.31 to 0.89, a pattern consistent with selection effects in observational exposure data. This result highlights the limits of interpreting exposure-conditioned rollouts causally.
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Machine Learning

Rethinking Class Imbalance for Single-Cell Foundation Models: A Systematic Benchmark Across Architectures and Long-Tail Loss Functions

Single-cell foundation models (scGPT, scBERT, Geneformer) achieve cell-type classification accuracy up to 97.5% in our experiments, yet this aggregate accuracy can mask systematic failure on rare, often disease-relevant cell populations that long-tail loss functions are widely assumed to address. We present a systematic benchmark of six long-tail loss functions (cross-entropy, weighted CE, class-balanced loss, focal loss, LDAM, logit-adjusted softmax) across three architectures and three datasets (Multiple Sclerosis, Zheng68K, human Pancreas), totaling 162 controlled training runs (3 backbones x 3 datasets x 6 losses x 3 seeds). The gap between overall accuracy, Macro-F1, and rare-class recall under plain cross-entropy is consistent across all nine (architecture, dataset) settings, driven by dataset structure rather than pretraining. Rare-class failure itself splits into two regimes with distinct embedding-geometry signatures, visible before any loss is chosen: some classes are recoverable by the right loss, while others retain linear separability yet are absorbed into unrelated classes' neighborhoods under every evaluated loss and architecture. Among the recoverable classes, the efficacy of reweighting is predicted by a class's absolute training-set size, rather than its share of the dataset or the dataset's overall imbalance ratio. Class-balanced loss and LDAM are the most consistent choices across all nine settings, while logit adjustment trades rare-class precision for recall rather than improving both. Our results give both a reusable benchmark and mechanism-grounded practical guidelines for combining foundation models with imbalanced biological data.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.DC

Co-occurrence Patterns of LoRA Adapters in Production Diffusion Model Inference Services

Low-rank adaptation (LoRA) has become a key technology for serving large-scale personalized large language models and diffusion models in the cloud. However, the co-occurrence patterns, resource contention relationships, and evolutionary regularities of adapters under production inference workloads have not been systematically or quantitatively studied. Based on GenTD26, Alibaba's production diffusion model inference dataset, this paper adopts a graph-theoretic framework to construct an adapter co-occurrence network and conducts a characterization from both static structure and dynamic evolution. Our main findings are as follows. (1) The co-occurrence network is extremely sparse, and adapter usage frequency follows a significant heavy-tailed distribution. (2) Introducing the first adapter incurs a 66.1% execution-latency overhead, with diminishing marginal costs afterwards. (3) Co-occurrence relationships are driven by base models: in 90.6% of multi-adapter requests, all adapters share the same dominant base model; 66.2% of significant co-occurrence edges connect same-model adapter pairs; and in 85.8% of multi-adapter requests, all adapter pairs form significant co-occurrence edges. (4) The adapter ecosystem exhibits a core-periphery bipolar structure, with a weekly Jaccard similarity of 0.696 at the model level and a churn rate of 54.5% for the top-10 hottest models within a 12-hour window. Based on these findings, we propose a preloading strategy built on top-k co-occurrence statistics; offline experiments show that it covers 81.0% of test-set co-occurrence pairs at k=3, and sensitivity analyses across frequency thresholds and time windows verify the robustness of the conclusions. These results provide a data-driven basis for cache preloading, adaptive scheduling, and GPU memory management in LoRA inference services.
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All authors Tao Zhang, Bin Liao, Tao Zhou, Yanping Liu

Machine Learning

CSC: Calibrated Simplicity for Conflict-Aware Social Bot Detection in the LLM Era

Social bot detection is essential for protecting online platforms from misinformation amplification, coordinated manipulation, and distorted public discourse. However, large language models have made social bots much harder to detect from text alone because semantic camouflage is now cheap, fluent, and scalable. The resulting challenge is modality conflict: an account may look human-like in semantics while remaining suspicious in graph structure, profile attributes, or cross-modal consistency. Recent graph-based detectors tackle this limitation by adding graph-side complexity, such as sparse prototype selection, adaptive gating, or architecture-specific control logic, yet our experiments suggest that complexity alone is not the most reliable way to resolve such conflict. We therefore propose CSC, a calibrated-simplicity framework for conflict-aware LLM-era social bot detection. The framework combines three design choices: a simplified prototype-guided graph expert that retains useful structural biases while removing unstable graph-side heuristics, calibrated simplex-constrained fusion that aligns heterogeneous confidence spaces before late fusion, and a lightweight inconsistency expert that models cross-modal disagreement. Experiments on TwiBot-22, TwiBot-20, and MGStBot-large show that CSC improves calibrated operating-point decision quality while remaining competitive across external benchmarks. Further analyses show that calibration improves confidence reliability, the inconsistency expert mainly provides localized corrections in high-conflict or near-threshold regions, and simplified graph-side control yields a better stability-cost trade-off. A targeted semantic-camouflage stress test further shows that replacing selected bot text with matched human text sharply degrades the standalone text expert while leaving graph and fused evidence stable on a balanced challenge set.
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Machine Learning

ValueDiff: Value-Geometric KV Cache Eviction for Sink-Suppressed LLMs

Modern LLMs with QK-normalization, gated attention, learned attention sinks, or logit softcapping exhibit weaker persistent attention sinks, on which existing KV cache eviction methods primarily rely. We observe that across these models, weaker sinks co-occur with greater value-vector dispersion relative to key-vector dispersion. Motivated by this value-side dispersion, we present ValueDiff, a value-geometric eviction that ranks tokens by the L2 deviation of their value vectors from the cache mean. The same score arises as the minimal-disturbance eviction under a max-entropy assumption about future attention. We evaluate under fixed cache budgets, with eviction at every block boundary during prefill and at every decoding step during generation. On RULER at a tight 2k token budget, ValueDiff retains 88-99% of dense across seven sink-suppressed models (best on 6 out of 7). On LongBench at the 4k budget, ValueDiff averages 92% retention across sink-suppressed models versus 83% for the strongest prior baseline. On MATH-500, ValueDiff is the strongest non-dense method on every sink-suppressed model tested at the 25% cache budget, outperforming prior methods by up to ~20 points on gated-attention models. Across all three benchmarks, value geometry emerges as the more reliable query-invariant eviction signal for sink-suppressed models.
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