Machine Learning
RL Forgets! Towards Continual Policy Optimization
Mao-Lin Luo, Zhe-Xu Wang, Zi-Hao Zhou et al. (+4 more)
Continual post-training is becoming a central paradigm for adapting
vision-
language models to evolving tasks. Recent studies report that reinforcement learning is less prone to forgetting than supervised fine-tuning, motivating the view that RL is inherently resistant to forgetting. However, this view remains insufficiently validated, as existing evidence is largely drawn from outdated or homogeneous
benchmarks. We revisit this assumption by introducing MRCL, a
Multimodal Reasoning Continual Learning
benchmark built from recent and diverse
multimodal reasoning tasks. Experiments on MRCL show that standard reinforcement learning still suffers from catastrophic forgetting during continual post-training. We trace the failure to an objective mismatch. The KL regularization used in common policy optimization methods is evaluated on current-task data, whereas forgetting is caused by behavioral drift on prior-task distributions. To address this problem, we propose Continual Policy Optimization (CPO), a replay-free method grounded in a prior-task behavioral KL objective. CPO derives a local Fisher surrogate from the historical KL objective and uses parameter movement as a gradient-free proxy for Fisher sensitivity, enabling sparse regularization with negligible additional overhead. Experiments on three model scales and comparisons with multiple RL baselines show that CPO consistently reduces forgetting while maintaining effective adaptation and preserving broader pretrained capabilities. The implementation code is available at https://github.com/MaolinLuo/CPO.
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All authors Mao-Lin Luo, Zhe-Xu Wang, Zi-Hao Zhou, Bo Ye, Jian Zhao, Min-Ling Zhang, Tong Wei
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML
Optimal Mixture-of-Experts Model Averaging for Conditional Generative Models
Shijin Gong, Baihua He and Xinyu Zhang
Conditional generative models have emerged as powerful tools for sampling from target conditional distributions, driving substantial advances across a wide range of scientific and applied domains. As these models proliferate, practitioners often face multiple plausible generators whose performance can vary with the task, data, or input condition. We propose an optimal model averaging framework for conditional generative models, allowing candidate generators to be combined even when they are accessible only through conditional samples without tractable densities. Specifically, we use a sample-based maximum mean discrepancy between conditional distributions, which first leads to a static model averaging method, StaticMA, assigning fixed weights to different candidates. In addition, we develop MoEMA (mixture-of-experts model averaging), an input-adaptive method that parameterizes
covariate-dependent weights through a softmax neural-network gate. We establish in-sample and out-of-sample asymptotic optimality for the proposed methods, together with consistency of the estimated adaptive weight function under regularity conditions. The framework applies directly to Euclidean responses and extends to unstructured data by combining our formulation with fixed representation maps. Across a broad set of simulations and real-data studies spanning tabular, image, and text modalities, MoEMA generally improves over competing baselines, demonstrating the effectiveness of our proposed methods.
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Machine Learning
How Many Initial Points Does Bayesian Optimization Need?
Mujin Cheon, James Odgers, Dong-Yeun Koh et al. (+1 more)
Bayesian Optimization (BO) generally begins with an initialization phase: a batch of $n_0$ uninformed evaluations. The choice of $n_0$ remains largely heuristic, and we empirically observe that the total cost (random initial points plus BO iterations needed to find the global optimum) is U-shaped in $n_0$, i.e., a practitioner wastes resources by selecting either too low or too high a value of $n_0$. We find this tradeoff persists across MLE,
Bayesian MCMC, and exact GP hyperparameters, as well as across acquisition functions. Toward the latter, Thompson Sampling appears an exception, with both total cost and simple regret essentially $n_0$-agnostic, though higher in our experiments. We attribute this U-shape to the known boundary issue of variance-driven BO: BO burns early budget on corners of the hypercube before turning inward. We demonstrate this effect using a 3D BO trajectory where the exact hyperparameters are known. We conclude with practical recommendations: use multi-step lookahead BO where possible; otherwise use Thompson Sampling when $n_0$ cannot be tuned, and a generously large $n_0$ when it can.
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All authors Mujin Cheon, James Odgers, Dong-Yeun Koh, Calvin Tsay
Machine Learning
One Framework for All: Cross-Modal Membership Inference for Generative Models
Dayong Ye, Tainqing Zhu, Kun Gao et al. (+6 more)
Large generative models across text-to-text, text-to-image, and image-to-text modalities have been shown to pose significant
privacy risks. One fundamental threat is membership inference attacks (MIA), which aim to determine whether a given data point was used in a model's training set. Although prior work has investigated MIAs against these three classes of generative models, existing approaches treat them in isolation and are not cross-applicable, thereby limiting their real-world utility. To address this limitation, we present the first comprehensive study of a unified membership inference framework that applies across text-to-text, text-to-image, and image-to-text modalities. Our approach is grounded in a key modality-agnostic observation: the output distribution of a generative model can approximate its training data distribution. Leveraging this property, we model the distributions of model-generated outputs and auxiliary non-member samples in a shared
embedding space, and perform membership inference via likelihood ratio testing. We conduct extensive experiments in a strict black-box setting under both partial-knowledge and zero-knowledge threat models, and evaluate membership inference against both fine-tuning and pre-training data. Experimental results demonstrate our approach's superior performance in comparison to existing state-of-the-art methods, which are typically optimized for a single model class.
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All authors Dayong Ye, Tainqing Zhu, Kun Gao, Junhao Liu, Yichuan Chen, Shuai Zhou, Hengzhu Liu, Bo Liu, Wanlei Zhou
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.AI
Server-side Anti-cheat in FPS games for Aimbot detection using Deep learning and Machine learning
Siddhesh A. Dhinge, Shubham G. Sukum, Harsh S. Ranjane et al. (+2 more)
Modern
video games are becoming more complex day by day. Most of these modern games are multiplayer first-person shooter (FPS) games. The rising popularity of FPS games emphasizes the need to combat cheating for fair and enjoyable gaming. As the number of players using cheating techniques like aimbots, wallhacks, and speed hacks is also increasing, we need a way to detect players who are using cheating tools to gain an unfair advantage over regular players. In this system, we focus exclusively on detecting aimbot cheats. Players who use aimbot cheats generally do not prioritize other aspects of the game. To distinguish between regular and cheating players, we identify specific features encompassing time-series data such as aim velocity, number of shots, distance to target, and more, along with behavioral data such as utility usage, player movement, and other gameplay patterns. Utilizing these features, we construct a server-side aimbot detection classifier named 'YAACS'. YAACS comprises a parser, a deep learning model, and intermediary connection utilities designed for integration with the game server. The proposed system achieves a classification accuracy of 88.6% with a false positive rate of 0.97% using a Stacked LSTM with Dense layers trained on sequences of 128 ticks (Tick Delta Negative=56, Tick Delta Positive=24), outperforming the Decision Tree baseline which achieves a higher accuracy of 96.2% but at a false positive rate of 2.68%, 2.76x worse than the best LSTM configuration. These results demonstrate that incorporating temporal context through sequence modelling is critical for minimising false accusations in FPS cheat detection.
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All authors Siddhesh A. Dhinge, Shubham G. Sukum, Harsh S. Ranjane, Ruturajsingh R. Rajput, Jyoti H. Jadhav
Machine Learning
Structure-Specific Representational Priors Causally Control the Grokking Delay
Gunner Levi Howe
Grokking – generalization long after training-set interpolation – has been accelerated by structure-agnostic interventions (gradient filtering, weight-norm clamping,
geometric penalties). Whether the delay specifically measures the time to form task-structured representations has remained observational. We test it causally by injecting representational priors of varying content into a one-layer
transformer learning modular addition, via a supervised-contrastive loss whose positives encode (i) the task's true structure ($(a+b) \bmod p$), (ii) a coherent-but-wrong sibling ($(a-b) \bmod p$), or (iii) a random partition – all with identical loss form, strength, class sizes, and geometry. Whether generalization occurs follows a clean gradation: true 22/30 runs, sibling (same periodic features, wrong combination) 14/15, random (only memorizable) 0/20 (Fisher $p=1.3\times10^{-7}$). A weight-norm-matched control replaying the norm trajectory onto plain cross-
entropy generalizes 0/15, ruling out the norm as mediator. Probes show structure formation precedes and predicts generalization in all runs. Only the true structure also accelerates grokking (up to $2.75\times$), but this is dose-dependent and bimodal. We then confirm the mechanism by prediction: because the acceleration is gated by a weight-norm side-effect, clamping the norm during training yields a reliable, standalone accelerator with a median $8.6\times$ speedup (up to $22\times$ on the fastest seeds, under 1000 epochs), growing monotonically as the norm is held lower; the residual stalls also vanish, though significant only pooled over the two mitigations run at both strengths ($0/40$ vs $6/20$, $p=7.7\times10^{-4}$), not per method. The grokking delay is, causally, the time to form the right representational structure – decided at the level of features, not labels.
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Machine Learning
On the effectiveness of reward functions in reinforcement learning for confidence calibration of large language models
Chee Heng Tan, Zhuoyi Lin, Mehul Motani et al. (+1 more)
In this paper, we consider the setting where large
language models (LLMs) are trained using reinforcement learning (RL) to simultaneously improve
reasoning accuracy and verbalize their confidence. Our reward scheme uses two functions for rewarding confidence verbalized by the LLM: one for correct answers and the other for incorrect answers. If poorly designed, such a scheme may incentivize an LLM to answer incorrectly in order for its confidence to be calibrated, a phenomenon we term confidence reward hacking. We introduce the notion of non-hackable confidence reward schemes and provide methods for constructing them. We show that selective confidence reward hacking can arise in practical
datasets under hackable reward schemes while non-hackable reward schemes are resistant to hacking. Finally, we place some of these schemes along an overconfidence-underconfidence spectrum for RL-based confidence calibration and demonstrate experimentally that they tend to exhibit the corresponding calibration biases relative to other schemes in the spectrum. The code of our experiments is available in https://anonymous.4open.science/r/rl-confidence-calibration-9ED4/README.md.
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All authors Chee Heng Tan, Zhuoyi Lin, Mehul Motani, Wee Sun Lee
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CL
Mark Oskin
A companion paper showed that a
transformer's feed-forward layer can be rebuilt from explicit fuzzy set operations - intersection, set-difference, and a self-forgetting sequence quantifier - so its hidden units read as named logical operators at no cost to
language-model quality. That left the other half of the
transformer opaque. Here we carry the same idea into
attention and join the two into one model. The mechanism is minimal: a head's value is passed through a sigmoid, so each value channel becomes a readable detector of whether a feature holds at a
token. This adds no parameters and leaves the standard head otherwise untouched. A Boolean variant goes further, restructuring the value into an explicit within-
token intersection and negation-capable set-difference. In both designs the output projection is left free, not tied to the vocabulary, which is the load-bearing decision: bounding what a head detects while leaving what it writes unconstrained yields selective detectors, whereas constraining the write does not. A bounded value is shaped into a readable detector by two selectivity pressures - one for sparse firing, one for decisive firing at the rails - and which a design wants is not universal. Across five specialized-
attention designs at 125M parameters, 44 to 62 percent of value channels become crisp, contextually selective detectors, and their legibility rises with depth rather than crystallizing only on punctuation.
Language-model quality is at parity with a conventional baseline. Finally, we couple the Boolean
attention to the legible feed-forward layer and train an end-to-end legible-by-construction
language model at
benchmark parity: its feed-forward units are named set and quantifier operations throughout, and we can take a
token it generates and read the named units that compose to produce it.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML
Fixed-Confidence Best-Arm Identification for Causal Mediation Analysis
Harsh Shrivastava, Yuta Kawakami, Junpei Komiyama et al. (+1 more)
This paper studies the problem of identifying the treatment that maximizes the expected natural direct potential outcome (NDPO), which captures the potential outcome of an intervention while excluding the pathway transmitted through a mediator that researchers may wish to remove from evaluation. We first establish population-level identification of the expected NDPO in a causal bandit setting using observable interventional distributions. We then develop a fixed-confidence best-arm identification (BAI)
algorithm based on the Track-and-Stop (TaS) framework, employing a cutting-set method to solve the resulting semi-infinite optimization problem. The proposed
algorithm achieves sample-efficient identification with a high-probability correctness guarantee. We prove that it satisfies $\delta$-correctness and asymptotic optimality. Finally, we validate the approach through empirical evaluations on a large-scale real-world advertising
dataset (IPinYou).
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All authors Harsh Shrivastava, Yuta Kawakami, Junpei Komiyama, Jin Tian
Machine Learning
SAD-LoRA: Spectral Alignment for Low-Rank Knowledge Distillation
Omer Tariq, Syed Muhammad Raza and Jeongbae Son
Distilling a fine-tuned teacher into a LoRA-adapted student is a standard recipe for parameter-efficient compression, but output-level KD does not explicitly control which rank-$r$ weight subspace the adapter occupies. We propose SAD-LoRA (Spectral
Alignment Distillation), which selects this subspace from the data-weighted student-space reference update $\DWT\Sigx^{1/2}$ and maintains it during training via a differentiable principal-angle loss on $\colspan(B)$. We show that the data-weighted
distillation error decomposes exactly into subspace misalignment, within-subspace coefficient mismatch, and irreducible rank residual; standard KD can affect the first term only indirectly through output gradients. On controlled synthetic problems with a flat teacher spectrum, SAD-LoRA reduces the subspace-misalignment term from $51\%$ to nearly zero and lifts final subspace
alignment from $0.49$ to $1.00$. On RoBERTa-large to RoBERTa-base
distillation across six GLUE tasks, SAD-LoRA improves rank efficiency: at $r{=}4$, it matches or beats the strongest included spectral baseline on five of six tasks, and at $r{=}8$ it gives the best result on SST-2 and CoLA. Ablations identify subspace
alignment as the load-bearing component, while coefficient matching is auxiliary.
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Machine Learning
HiFA4: Training-Free 4-bit FlashAttention on Ascend HIF4 NPUs for LLM Inference
Hui Dong, Yanzhao Li, Jie Gao et al. (+5 more)
We present HiFA4, a post-training operator-level design that executes both QK^T and PV in FlashAttention as 4-bit HIF4 Cube GEMMs for LLM inference on Ascend NPUs, while maintaining the online softmax state in FP16. To our knowledge, HiFA4 is the first Ascend-HIF4-targeted design of this kind evaluated on standard NLP
benchmarks. HiFA4 combines two mechanisms. Smooth-QK applies a calibration-static per-channel equivalent rescaling to Q and K after RoPE, transferring quantization difficulty from K to Q without per-tile online reduction at inference. P-Reordering accumulates the softmax normalizer from the same quantized
attention weights P_hat used in the PV GEMM, rather than from a higher-precision reconstruction. We show that this inconsistent formulation introduces a coherent output-scaling error, and validate the effect on a Qwen3-8B Layer-0 MMLU trace, where all 3.6M measured
attention tiles exhibit net probability-mass loss with median epsilon_bar = -0.064. P-Reordering also allows the normalizer to be fused into the PV Cube GEMM. Across five LLMs, HiFA4 reduces quantization-induced decision drift. On Qwen3-8B, it recovers 37.5% of the accuracy gap introduced by direct HIF4 quantization, narrows the sample-weighted accuracy loss from 1.12 pp to 0.70 pp, reduces BF16-inconsistent MMLU predictions from 16.3% to 8.2%, and cuts MMLU accuracy regressions by 57% (1071 to 465). On Gemma2-9B, mild smoothing keeps HiFA4 within 0.7 pp of BF16 while reducing MMLU regressions by 27%. On LLaMA3.1-8B, Mistral-7B, and Phi-4B, where Smooth-QK is disabled, P-Reordering with the adopted Q-Mean auxiliary still reduces full-set MMLU regressions by 41-52%. A preliminary instruction-scheduling analysis projects a 35.4% critical-path latency reduction relative to BF16 by fusing the softmax normalizer into the PV Cube GEMM; on-hardware validation is left to future work.
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All authors Hui Dong, Yanzhao Li, Jie Gao, Chunlu Li, Zhiyuan Zhang, Yupeng Sun, Zhenyuan Chen, Zhiqiang Zou
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CL
CausalGame: Benchmarking Causal Thinking of LLM Agents in Games
Zhenhao Chen, Yongqiang Chen, Chenxi Liu et al. (+7 more)
Building AI Scientist
agents with Large
Language Models (LLMs) has recently attracted growing
attention. Since scientific discovery fundamentally relies on uncovering causal relationships from observations, the capability of causal thinking, i.e., distinguishing causation from correlation and recognizing hidden biases, is essential to LLM
agents. Although a number of
benchmarks exist for AI Scientists, none explicitly incorporate challenges from selection bias, measurement error, and hidden confounders that widely exist in real-world scientific discovery. To this end, we present CausalGame, a
benchmark that evaluates the causal thinking capabilities of LLM
agents through interactive games. CausalGame asks LLM
agents to actively design experimental protocols, collect observation data, and derive a final solution with an explanation report. To emulate realistic scientific discovery challenges, we design 14 scenarios that incorporate selection bias, measurement error, and hidden confounders. Across 30 LLM
agents, none demonstrates reliable causal thinking: the best model reaches only 68.0% survival against analytical optima of 78-85%, and merely 5-7% of sessions receive credits on the causal-
reasoning rubrics. CausalGame provides a scalable and controlled testbed for evaluating the causal thinking of AI Scientist
agents.
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All authors Zhenhao Chen, Yongqiang Chen, Chenxi Liu, Junchi Yu, Xiangchen Song, Zijian Li, Jialin Li, Philip Torr, Bo Han, Kun Zhang
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from q-fin.CP
Deep Learning for Dynamic Programming with Recursive Utility
Xianhua Peng and Wu Guo
We propose the first deep learning
algorithm, the Certainty Equivalent Learning (CEL)
algorithm, for solving high-dimensional discrete-time dynamic programming problems with recursive utility. Dynamic programming with recursive utility is numerically challenging because the recursive utility does not have an explicit representation and the Bellman equation contains a certainty equivalent that is difficult to evaluate. The CEL
algorithm learns this certainty-equivalent value directly with neural networks and jointly approximates value functions, policy functions, and certainty-equivalent functions. The CEL
algorithm is mesh-free and simulation-based, allowing high-dimensional state and control spaces, and does not rely on Euler equations, first-order conditions, or differentiability of the state transition function. The CEL
algorithm also works for dynamic programming problems with expected utility as expected utility is a special case of recursive utility. We apply the CEL to discounted linear exponential quadratic Gaussian control, small-noise robust control, Epstein-Zin DSGE, and multivariate strategic asset allocation problems. Compared with closed-form and VFI-based
benchmarks, the CEL delivers accurate value and policy approximations, remains effective in high-dimensional problems, achieves accuracy comparable to VFI in the small-noise robust-control case, and produces out-of-sample Bellman errors and Euler or first-order residuals that are in the range from 1.0e-4 to 1.0e-3 for most problems.
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Machine Learning
On Preserving Geometrical Invariance for Superpixel Image Classification using Graph Transformer
Sarabeshwar Balaji, Shubham Mohanty and Akash Anil
Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and
Vision Transformer (ViT) for image classification exploit a dense grid of pixels containing redundant information. Consequently, for a larger image
dataset, CNNs and ViTs face deployability challenges due to high computational complexity. Representing images as graphs of superpixels offers an efficient alternative that preserves key information while eliminating pixel-level redundancy. Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have been utilized on such graphs to perform image classification. However, GNNs are known to struggle with capturing long-range dependencies which is important in the domain of image classification. Furthermore, a majority of these superpixel-based image classification approaches do not explicitly preserve translation/rotation invariance. Nevertheless, preserving translation/rotation invariance is important for robust image classification. Thus, this paper proposes SuperGT, a Graph
Transformer-based framework for image classification, which captures the long range dependencies, along with a pre-processing scheme that preserves translation/rotation invariance. We evaluate SuperGT on CIFAR-10
dataset and observe that it performs significantly better than many baselines. Furthermore, we note that the overall performance of SuperGT is comparable to the previous state-of-the-art model, namely, ShapeGNN, without relying on coordinates of the boundary points of each superpixel required by ShapeGNN.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.DC
Air-Plan: Query-Optimized Topology Selection for Over-the-Air Decentralized Federated Learning
Kaushal Attaluri, Rebeca P. Diaz-Redondo and Manuel Fernandez Veiga
Over-the-air (OTA) aggregation exploits the superposition property of wireless multiple-access channels to aggregate model updates from multiple devices within a single transmission slot, significantly reducing communication latency. While OTA computation has been extensively studied for centralized
federated learning (FL), its integration with decentralized
federated learning (DFL) remains largely unexplored, and principled communication
topology selection is absent from existing work. We present AIRPLAN, a query-optimized
topology selection framework for Over-the-Air Decentralized
Federated Learning (OTA-DFL). AIRPLAN establishes a formal equivalence between OTA-DFL and distributed query processing, enabling
topology selection to be formulated as a cost-based query optimization problem. Using
privacy-preserving Count-Min Sketch statistics, AIRPLAN estimates workload characteristics, evaluates a graph-aware cost model across candidate
topologies, and selects the communication graph that minimizes training cost while satisfying a target accuracy SLA. Experiments across five graph families, three
vision benchmarks, four client scales, and multiple SNR settings show that AIRPLAN matches the oracle-optimal
topology in 91.4% of workloads while introducing less than 1.8% overhead. We further derive theoretical error bounds for
topology-aware sparsification, demonstrating that well-connected
topologies better tolerate aggressive compression. AIRPLAN introduces a systems-oriented perspective that bridges wireless
federated learning and distributed query optimization.
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Machine Learning
Signal or Noise? Understanding Generative Models for Real-World Sensor Time Series
Zitao Shuai, Zongzhe Xu, Yuntian Wu et al. (+3 more)
Generative models have changed how machine learning represents complex data distributions, especially in
language and
vision, yet many real-world systems are observed instead as continuous, high-dimensional, and noisy sensor time series. Existing generative modeling of sensor data, however, remains fragmented across modalities,
datasets, and task formulations, limiting a systematic understanding of when, how, and why generative models succeed or fail in real-world settings. To address this gap, we introduce SensorGen, a large-scale study of sensor-signal generation spanning 14 settings across 4 domains, 7
datasets, and 12 signal modalities. Leveraging SensorGen, we systematically evaluate generative models from five major families and uncover three key findings: (1) flow-matching models provide strong overall performance across most settings; (2) signal properties matter, with demographic
covariates improving longitudinal generation and time-frequency modeling improving high-frequency signal generation; and (3) generated signals have practical utility beyond visual realism, with scaling improving generation quality and synthetic data improving downstream performance. Together, SensorGen establishes a broader understanding of design choices, evaluation protocols, and failure modes in real-world sensor data generation.
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All authors Zitao Shuai, Zongzhe Xu, Yuntian Wu, Sirui Li, Tianhong Li, Yuzhe Yang
Machine Learning
Quantize the Target, Quantize the Drafter: Efficient Inference with Qwen3.5-4B
Jaeyeon Kim, Jewon Lee and Bo-Kyeong Kim
This report describes our approach to the Efficient Qwen Competition, where the goal is to enable low-latency serving of Qwen3.5-4B on a resource-constrained NVIDIA A10G GPU. Our system combines a quantized target model with speculative decoding. To recover accuracy, we apply quantization-aware
distillation to the target model while retaining the original quantization grid. To speed up decoding, a block-
diffusion drafter specialized for the quantized target model is trained using a two-stage procedure: first learning from the high-precision target and then adapting to the low-precision target. Because the drafter is invoked at every speculative decoding step, we further reduce its overhead with quantization and sliding-window
attention, preserving draft-
token acceptance while improving long-context decoding latency. As a result, our submission achieves a 6.978$\times$ average speedup over the baseline while satisfying the required quality thresholds, ranking 3rd overall. We hope these results provide useful insights for practical LLM inference. The code and resources are available at https://github.com/nota-github/adaptfm-quant-dflash
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV
Hierarchical Multi-to-Single-Modal Knowledge Distillation for Disruption Prediction in EAST
Qiang Chen, Xiao Wang, Hao Si et al. (+9 more)
Plasma disruption is a critical threat to tokamak safety. Existing data-driven predictors mainly rely on time-series diagnostic signals, while visible images provide complementary spatial cues including
plasma deformation, local brightening, and radiation-structure
evolution. Although the image modality improves the model's discriminative capability, it also substantially increases the computational cost during inference. To address this issue, we propose a hierarchical multi-to-single-modal knowledge
distillation framework for disruption prediction on a synchronized EAST
multimodal dataset. During training, visible images and time-series signals are used to train a
multimodal teacher, which learns disruption precursor representations through
Transformer-based encoders and a prototype-guided spatiotemporal hypergraph module. During inference, only the time-series student is retained, with
multimodal knowledge transferred through graph-structure-level, representation-level, and decision-level
distillation. On the 640-discharge EAST
dataset, the results demonstrate that the proposed framework can preserve the discriminative advantages of
multimodal learning while substantially reducing inference cost, and providing an effective route for efficient disruption prediction in EAST. The source code of this paper will be released on https://github.com/Event-AHU/OpenFusion.
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All authors Qiang Chen, Xiao Wang, Hao Si, Qingquan Yang, Meiwen Chen, Jianhua Yang, Xiaofeng Han, Yunhu Jia, Ran Chen, Liang Wang, Jin Tang, Guosheng Xu
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML
Robust Bayes-Assisted Conformal Prediction
Kianoosh Ashouritaklimi, Stefano Cortinovis and François Caron
Bayes-assisted conformal prediction combines the strengths of
Bayesian modelling with exact, distribution-free frequentist coverage guarantees. Although conformal validity is preserved even when the
Bayesian working model (BWM) is misspecified, the size of the resulting prediction sets can degrade substantially when the prior is poorly aligned with the observed data. We address this limitation by introducing RoBAS (Robust Bayes-Assisted Shrinkage): a Bayes-assisted framework for constructing robust nonconformity scores, with two instantiations: one induced by a heavy-tailed BWM, and a closed-form empirical Bayes shrinkage score. The resulting scores adapt to the quality of the working information encoded in the prior: when this information is reliable, they exploit it to produce efficient prediction sets; when it is weak or inaccurate, they revert to the Distance-To-Average (DTA) score, a robust non-informative baseline. We evaluate the proposed scores on tabular and image regression tasks where the training distribution may differ from the calibration and test distributions, while the calibration and test data themselves remain exchangeable. We find that they are competitive with widely used scores in the absence of such shift, while substantially reducing interval widths in shifted settings.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from math.OC
Unified convergence analysis for gradient descent optimization methods in the training of deep neural networks
Shokhrukh Ibragimov and Arnulf Jentzen
Gradient based optimization methods are nowadays the methods of choice for training deep neural networks (DNNs) in artificial intelligence (AI) systems. In practically relevant DNN training problems, one does usually not apply the standard gradient descent (GD) optimization method but instead one employs suitable sophisticated GD optimization methods, which incorporate adaptivity and/or acceleration techniques, such as the famous Adam optimizer. It is a key contribution of this work to provide a general unified convergence analysis for GD optimization methods in the training of DNNs with analytic activations such as the softplus and the popular Gaussian error linear unit (GeLU) activation. Our general unified convergence result applies to a large class of gradient based optimization methods such as the standard GD, the momentum, the Nesterov accelerated gradient (NAG), the RMSprop, the Adam, the Adamax, the Nadam, the Nadamax, the Adan, the AdaBelief, the AMSGrad, and the Yogi optimizers. Our analysis employs the theory of Kurdyka-Łojasiewicz (KL) inequalities to establish convergence to critical points in the training of DNNs. To the best of our knowledge, the generality of our convergence analysis is also just in the special situation of the Adam optimizer a new contribution to the literature on the analysis of AI optimization
algorithms.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from eess.SP
AI-RAN on NPUs: Baseband Processing Without Baseband Chips
Shilong Zhang, Luping Xiang, Jienan Chen et al. (+1 more)
AI-RAN aims to unify artificial intelligence and
radio access network workloads on a shared compute substrate. While this paradigm has so far been demonstrated primarily on Graphics Processing Units (GPUs), it remains unclear whether Neural Processing Units (NPUs), which are AI accelerators optimized for inference, can also support wireless baseband processing. Here, we provide the first affirmative answer by resolving the fundamental mismatch between baseband workloads and NPU architecture. A computational isomorphism exists:
matrix and vector engines NPUs dedicate to inference inherently cover physical-layer operations. Yet NPU architectures are natively shaped for dense-tensor AI inference, not baseband. This architectural mismatch surfaces as opposing optimization objectives: traditional baseband minimizes arithmetic operations, whereas NPU performance demands maximizing engine utilization. We close this gap by reconstructing communication
algorithms onto AI compute primitives, prioritizing engine utilization over arithmetic count. We validate this with a complete OFDM transceiver on an Ascend 310B1 edge NPU, demonstrating end-to-end over-the-air transmission via USRP X300 at 3.0 GHz.
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All authors Shilong Zhang, Luping Xiang, Jienan Chen, Kun Yang
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CL
Sentence-Level Context Sensitivity as a Training-Free Detector of Unsupported Content, Evaluated Against Trained Verifiers
Mohamed Aly Bouke
Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) assistants summarize records in clinical and legal work, where one unsupported sentence can mislead a reader. The contrast between an output's likelihood with and without its source is an established faithfulness score for whole summaries and answers, but it has not been measured as a detector of the individual unsupported sentence in multi-passage RAG answers, against trained verifiers, or for its cost. We implement it as a training-free detector that re-scores a fixed answer under the full context, no context, and each chunk removed, and returns the chunk whose removal lowers a sentence's likelihood most as a candidate supporting passage. We evaluate it on RAGTruth, TofuEval, and RAGBench with six scorers and against five verifiers, up to a large
language model (LLM) judge, on identical inputs under a source-level split. Scoring per sentence ranks unsupported sentences better than the answer-level form of the same signal on all three
benchmarks, by 0.033 to 0.071 in the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). On RAGTruth the training-free score reaches an AUC of 0.717 to 0.745 across scorers and 0.773 with a classifier, above entailment and attribution baselines and level with per-chunk fact-checkers, at about one forty-seventh of the LLM judge's compute on a 1.5B scorer, while a full-context fact-checker and the judge are more accurate and are not improved by it. The signal is weakest on short-answer question answering, where the scorer can answer from
memory.
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Machine Learning
Channel-Adaptive Robust Aggregation for Over-the-Air Federated Learning in Heterogeneous Networks
Zubaida Fatima, Zubair Shaban, Yusuf Jamal et al. (+3 more)
The growing demand for
privacy-preserving, data-intensive applications such as IoT, augmented reality, and autonomous systems positions
Federated Learning (FL) as a key enabler in 6G networks. Over-the-Air FL (OTA-FL) leverages the superposition property of the wireless multiple access channel for efficient aggregation via simultaneous transmissions. Existing methods rely on fixed aggregation schedules and do not jointly address noise, fading, and client heterogeneity. We propose CHARGE-FL (CHannel-Adaptive Robust agGrEgation), a framework that adaptively schedules aggregation based on channel dynamics and application readiness. By combining a tailored optimization strategy with a dual-purpose precoding mechanism, CHARGE-FL mitigates channel distortion and bias from partial updates, achieving superior accuracy, stability, and convergence under realistic wireless conditions. Empirical results under realistic wireless conditions show that CHARGE-FL significantly improves accuracy, stability, and convergence over state-of-the-art OTA-FL methods, particularly in straggler-prone and noisy scenarios.
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All authors Zubaida Fatima, Zubair Shaban, Yusuf Jamal, Nazreen Shah, Ranjitha Prasad, B. N. Bharath
Machine Learning
Ball Differential Privacy: How to Mitigate Data Reconstruction with Less Noise
Joseph Margaryan and Nirupam Gupta
Vector
embeddings of raw records, while not human-readable, do not preserve record
privacy: an adversary can reconstruct training records from a released model even when that model is a simple convex classifier. Differential
privacy (DP) is the principled defense, but its noise is calibrated to worst-case indistinguishability, hiding arbitrary single-record substitutions, including those far outside the set of plausible alternatives relevant to a reconstruction adversary. The result is noise far larger than what reconstruction robustness requires, degrading accuracy without a corresponding security benefit. We propose Ball-DP: enforcing epsilon-delta indistinguishability over single-record substitutions restricted to a ball of radius r under a distance metric d in the
embedding space. A deployment facing only local reconstruction threats can choose a small r, thereby reducing noise and recovering accuracy. The radius makes the scope of the
privacy claim explicit against reconstruction attacks; standard DP is recovered when r covers the entire admissible record domain. We provide noise calibrations for regularized convex learning problems under Ball-DP, and derive corresponding reconstruction-robustness certificates, called Ball-ReRo, that upper-bound an attacker's reconstruction success. By deriving the optimal finite-prior MAP reconstruction attack, we empirically audit Ball-ReRo certificates on seven
benchmark learning tasks. Our experiments show that calibrating noise to Ball-DP improves utility, considerably exceeding the dilution of reconstruction robustness in high-
privacy regimes, i.e., when epsilon is small.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.DC
Sangam: Efficiently Serving Diffusion LLMs with the AR Stack
Nitin Kedia, Saurabh Agarwal, Myungjin Lee et al. (+1 more)
Diffusion language models (dLLMs) generate text by iteratively denoising a masked response and can commit multiple output positions per model invocation. Their bidirectional
attention prevents exact autoregressive-style KV caching, since committing one position shifts the KV activations of all others. Approximate caching techniques such as Fast-dLLM and dKV-Cache refresh KV activations repeatedly and reuse them across intervening decodes, inducing a repeated prefill/decode structure. This makes AR serving mechanisms relevant to dLLMs, but not directly applicable. dLLM decodes are block-sized rather than
token-sized, prefills recur, and bidirectional
attention precludes the chunked prefill mechanism used for stall-free colocated serving. We present Sangam, a serving system for cached dLLM inference. Sangam introduces a deficit
token-budget scheduler that admits in-flight decodes first, admits whole indivisible prefills only when the accumulated
token budget allows, and carries unused budget forward. This achieves amortized stall-free scheduling. Disaggregated serving avoids prefill-decode interference but suffers from prefill/decode resource partitioning problem. Sangam adopts a hybrid serving strategy, overflowing prefills onto decode workers to relieve prefill under-provisioning, and uses the same deficit-budget scheduler to protect those workers' decodes from the overflow. We show that like AR serving, dLLM serving design space is governed by prefill-decode interference and prefill/decode partitioning. Colocated serving is most effective on decode-heavy workloads, cutting mean latency by 9-20% over hybrid execution on LLaDA-8B ShareGPT; while hybrid execution is most effective on prefill-heavy workloads, cutting mean latency by 8-20% over colocated execution on Dream-7B arXiv. Sangam is available at https://github.com/UT-InfraAI/sangam.
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All authors Nitin Kedia, Saurabh Agarwal, Myungjin Lee, Aditya Akella
Machine Learning
Exploring Convolutional Neural Processes for Weather Downscaling
Francisco Passos
Global reanalysis products such as ERA5-Land provide spatially complete weather fields but at resolutions too coarse for local applications, particularly in mountainous regions where temperature can vary by several degrees over short distances. This project investigates Convolutional Conditional Neural Processes (ConvCNPs) for statistical downscaling of daily maximum temperature from the ~11km resolution ERA5-Land grid to ~1km resolution over Switzerland, building upon the architecture of Vaughan et al. (2022) and adapting it to the topographically complex Swiss domain with high-resolution elevation features from the swisstopo DHM25. The best model, trained on ten years of data (2014-2023) with five-fold temporal cross-validation, achieves a mean absolute error of 1.31 Celsius and a CRPS-based skill score of 0.524 relative to bilinear interpolation, reducing the expected prediction error by more than half. An ablation study reveals that the elevation MLP is the indispensable component - without it, the model diverges entirely - while explicit seasonal features and Topographic Position Index provide secondary benefits. Under sparse on-grid input the model degrades gracefully, maintaining positive skill down to approximately 10% of the input grid; however, zero-shot deployment on off-grid station observations does not achieve positive skill at any density tested. All configurations exhibit severely overconfident uncertainty estimates, a structural limitation of the Gaussian likelihood training objective. These results demonstrate that ConvCNPs are a viable and effective approach to
climate downscaling in complex terrain, and identify uncertainty calibration and native support for non-gridded input as the key challenges for operational deployment.
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Machine Learning
SpecGradFilter: A Spectral Gradient Filtering Framework for Taming Federated Heterogeneity
Liyang Yuan, Yibo Yang, Dandan Guo et al. (+2 more)
Federated Learning (FL) is fundamentally challenged by statistical heterogeneity, where non-identically distributed (non-IID) data induces client drift that severely hampers global convergence. While existing approaches attempt to mitigate this drift through spatial-domain gradient correction or regularization, they overlook the intrinsic spectral structure of optimization signals. In this work, we revisit client drift from a novel frequency-domain perspective and uncover a critical Spectral Bias of Drift: inter-client gradient divergence is predominantly concentrated in low-frequency components which encode client-specific distributional shifts, while high-frequency components representing fine-grained features remain relatively consistent. Motivated by this, we propose SpecGradFilter, a unified Spectral Gradient Filtering Framework that tames heterogeneity by suppressing discordant low-frequency signals. Crucially, we demonstrate that SpecGradFilter is a generalizable principle, effective not only via precise FFT-based truncation but also through spatial approximations like Gaussian detrending. Extensive experiments on
benchmarks such as CIFAR-10/100 and Tiny-ImageNet demonstrate that SpecGradFilter significantly performs better performance in highly Non-IID settings with negligible communication overhead, establishing a new paradigm for robust
federated optimization.
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All authors Liyang Yuan, Yibo Yang, Dandan Guo, Peter Richtarik, Zhouchen Lin
Machine Learning
Physics-Informed Graph Learning with Uncertainty Awareness for Open-Set Domain Generalization in Fault Diagnosis
Jinfeng Zhu, Shiyu Long and Ye Yuan
Intelligent industrial maintenance critically relies on reliable fault diagnosis of rotating machinery. However, it faces formidable challenges from unknown fault types and domain shifts induced by varying operating conditions, which is formally formulated as the open-set domain generalization (OSDG) problem. Existing methods are mainly data-driven, thereby overlooking the cascaded propagation of uncertainty across feature extraction, topological learning, and decision-making stages.To tackle this challenge, we propose PGU-OD, a novel Physics-Informed Graph Learning framework with Uncertainty Awareness for Open-set Domain generalization. First, it designs a physics-informed spectral
attention module to extract condition-robust fault features, thereby suppressing perceptual uncertainty caused by frequency shifts. Further, it constructs an uncertainty aware adaptive graph learning mechanism to dynamically adjust the edge weights of the sample graph guided by class-scale Gaussian distribution parameters, which mitigates the structural propagation of uncertainty. Finally, a Gaussian-distribution-based adaptive boundary loss function and a dual-criteria open-set inference strategy are developed to optimize decision boundaries and reliably reject unknown faults. Extensive experimental evaluations on two public and widely used rotating machinery fault
datasets demonstrate that the proposed PGU-OD outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in both known fault classification and unknown fault rejection under domain shifts.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.AI
A Clustering-Based Framework for Identifying Suspicious Trading Patterns in Capital Market
Asif Zaman, Romona Magdalene Sarkar, Sabiha Khair Ohi et al. (+1 more)
Market manipulation is the dubious practice of manipulating stock prices in order to make a quick profit, which truly degrades confidence on trading platforms. We implemented an unsupervised fraud-detection toolkit that begins with K-Means++ clustering to address this issue. A
dataset of roughly one million financial transactions from 2012 to 2024 is used. In order to identify fraudulent trades and categorize them using
market practice heuristic thresholds, the study suggests a clustering-based pipeline. The method highlights 2.02% of trades as suspicious where 51.10% clearly indicate spoofing, 0.10% indicate pump and dump, 0.55% indicate insider trading, 1.43% indicate a fake breakout, and 46.83% are unclassified. Despite the lack of ground truth, the model's performance is confirmed by a Silhouette Score of 0.561.
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All authors Asif Zaman, Romona Magdalene Sarkar, Sabiha Khair Ohi, Iftekharul Mobin
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.RO
XS-VLA: Teaching Tiny Vision-Language-Action Models with Spatial Supervision and Demonstration Conditioning
Iok Tong Lei, Ying Jie Yap, Wei Huang et al. (+5 more)
How can richer training supervision improve
robot control while keeping the deployed policy compact? We present XS-VLA, a staged training framework using teacher-derived spatial labels and demonstration-conditioned action learning. Coarse-Grained Spatial
Distillation (CSD) initializes the backbone through an auxiliary region-label task. Latent Flow Matching (LFM) then conditions an action-space velocity field on a demonstration latent, using KL regularization while jointly optimizing the backbone and action modules. The deployed policy contains 243.99M parameters and operates without the teacher or posterior encoder. XS-VLA achieves 90.25% average LIBERO success in each of two training seeds, compared with 86.00% for a SmolVLA-256M base trained under our settings. Ablations examine both training stages through matched image pretraining and Huber/MSE controls. On three Mobile ALOHA tasks, average strict success increases from 21.7% to 65.0%. These results demonstrate the control utility of auxiliary representation initialization and regularized demonstration-conditioned flow learning for compact VLA~policies.
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All authors Iok Tong Lei, Ying Jie Yap, Wei Huang, Qingchen Xie, Qianzhi Li, Yujie Zhang, Xiaolong Liu, Zhidong Deng