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Tuesday 14 July

Artificial Intelligence

MemoHarness: Agent Harnesses That Learn from Experience

An agent harness is the external control layer that turns a base LLM into an executable agent by managing context, tools, orchestration, memory, decoding, and output handling. While harness design strongly affects agent behavior, most automatic improvement methods optimize narrower artifacts such as prompts, pipelines, or workflows, and deployed agents usually reuse a single global harness for all cases. We introduce MemoHarness, an adaptive harness optimization framework that learns from its own executions. MemoHarness decomposes the harness into six editable control dimensions, stores per-case diagnoses and distilled global patterns in a dual-layer experience bank, and adapts the learned harness to each test case using retrieved experience without test-time labels, feedback, or additional search. In our evaluation across shell-agent, code-generation, and analytical-reasoning benchmarks, MemoHarness improves over the fixed harnesses we compare against and shows selective transfer to unseen suites and base models. Its additional context can also remain cost-competitive when much of the retrieved experience is cacheable. These results provide evidence that execution experience is a practical substrate for building agent harnesses that are more adaptive than a single static configuration, while leaving broader claims about statistical robustness and component attribution to future work.
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All authors Yue Huang, Wenjie Wang, Han Bao, Yuchen Ma, Xiaonan Luo, Yi Nian, Haomin Zhuang, Zheyuan Liu, Yue Zhao, Xiangliang Zhang

Artificial Intelligence

Orchestrating Power Grid Studies with Multi-Agent AI and MCP Servers

This position paper explores how Agentic AI and Model Context Protocol (MCP) can support power-grid studies in a Transmission System Operator (TSO) context. We focus on integrating Large Language Models with numerical simulation tools, structured workflows, and human supervision. We identify key industrial requirements for agent assisted grid studies and introduce pypowsybl-mcp, an MCP-based interface exposing selected capabilities of our simulation tool, pypowsybl to AI agents. This first step provides a testbed to study how agents can setup simulations, execute analyses, retrieve results, and interact with power-system simulators through standardized tool calls. We also discuss principles for human-in-the-loop, multi-agent workflows and outline an evaluation strategy combining technical metrics and practitioner feedback. The paper positions MCP-based tool integration as a step toward more interactive, auditable, and scalable grid-study environments.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Certified Domain Consistency for Multi-Domain Retrieval: Label-Free Per-Domain Contamination Control with Conformal Risk Guarantees

Retrieval over corpora that mix several domains often returns relevant but wrong-domain evidence that ranking metrics miss and that conformal risk control bounds only marginally, under-covering the worst domains. This work introduces C3R, a drop-in control layer that, from an inferred domain posterior and no query-time label, certifies a per-domain contamination budget where feasible and otherwise abstains rather than silently violating; on the hardest domains it guarantees a reduction, not a tight bound. The core is a two-split scheme built on risk-controlling prediction sets, whose finite-sample transfer bound crosses from the inferred to the true domain with fully estimable slack, supports heterogeneous budgets, and inverts for deployment. Population validity rests on this bound and a controlled simulation; across a thousand resampled calibrations the certificate never violates (a stability result) while marginal control violates the most-contaminated domain in every draw, and soft demotion retains more recall than the strongest calibrated cascade at equal certified contamination. The method replicates across open testbeds including an independent one from public federal regulations, and an LLM-judged downstream probe indicates wrong-authority grounding rises with contamination and falls under control. The layer is frozen-stack and reranker-agnostic.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.HC

"Trust Junk" Leads to Unjustified Support for Highly Discriminatory Predictive Models

The persuasive power of data visualizations can go awry: for instance, in an explainable AI (XAI) context, visualizations can produce over-trust of predictive models. In this paper, we use a crowdsourced study to show that providing accurate (but superfluous or irrelevant) data in a model explanation can, in fact, result in unjustified trust and other positive beliefs about a model, even when the model is patently discriminatory and unfair. Our results suggest that XAI designers and developers need to consider the implicit or explicit rhetorics of their work, and beware of the potential of visualizations to imbue models with unearned trust.
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Artificial Intelligence

Enhancing Small Language Models Reasoning through Knowledge Graph Grounding

Although large language models (LLMs) have set benchmarks for zero-shot reasoning, their deployment remains cost-prohibitive and environmentally taxing. Small Language Models (SLMs) offer a sustainable alternative, but prone to errors, on tasks requiring complex, multi-hop logical grounding. We investigate a neuro-symbolic agentic framework to enhance the reasoning capabilities of SLMs, specifically Gemma 3 (1B, 4B) and Llama 3.2 (3B), using the CLUTRR kinship benchmark. Our approach transforms the SLM into a minimalist agent utilizing two specialized tool calls: extract_facts for symbolic triplet extraction and get_hint for expert reasoning via a Relational Graph Convolutional Network (RGCN). We evaluate these models across two configurations, both in an Oracle scenario with ground-truth triplets and a Realistic scenario relying on self-extracted knowledge. Our results reveal that while RGCN-derived hints provide a 1.5 - 2x performance gain over story-only baselines, the system is constrained by the extraction bottleneck and sequential deductive fragility, where early extraction errors compound over multi-hop chains. Furthermore, we identify a "distraction effect" in specific architectures where noisy, self-generated facts degrade performance despite the presence of expert hints. This work characterizes the challenges of symbolic grounding in low-resource agentic systems and provides a roadmap for iterative verification in neuro-symbolic agentic pipelines.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CL

Breaking Refusal in the First Half: A Mechanistic Study of the Prefill Jailbreak

Aligned language models refuse harmful requests, but a one-line prefill ("Sure, here is") strips the refusal. We ask where and how it fails. The harm representation stays intact: on the prompts the attack flips to compliance, a linear probe reads harm as high as on the refused ones (0.91-0.98), while behavioral refusal drops to chance. This holds across four models and three families (1.5-3.8B, and at 14B). Refusal is therefore a shallow, response-site computation. We localize it to an early window: a dose-matched position control shows the first half of the response suffices to break refusal, while the second half is nearly inert. Three causal probes converge on that window. Restoring the harm direction there partially re-engages refusal. Injecting the model's own refuse-state reverses the jailbreak (74%, held-out). And knocking out the early response's attention to the prefill, but not an equal attention mass elsewhere, selectively collapses the harmful continuation. A base-model control identifies the mechanism: the same knockout collapses the continuation prefill-specifically even in a non-safety-tuned base model (64% to 25% harmful content vs a matched control's 64%, replicated at 7B). So the prefill's grip is generic autoregressive conditioning, not safety-specific suppression, and "refusal restoration" is a model-dependent fallback. The dominant mechanism is passive. A small safety-specific attractor remains on top (logit-trace concentration 0.24 vs 0.03), whose active-vs-passive character we size but do not fully separate. No single direction or component is a clean handle either: the decision is decodable but distributed, and refusal tracks harm rather than scary surface. The consequence is structural: a monitor reading the untouched prompt-side representation is immune by construction, but only to response-site attacks. The mechanism is diffuse; the failure surface is local.
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Artificial Intelligence

ToolAnchor: Anchoring Counterfactual Context to Boost Agentic Tool-use Capability

Tool-augmented large language model agents excel at long-horizon tasks, yet they are typically post-trained on fixed toolsets. When tasks demand new tools, these agents struggle to incorporate them effectively, and retraining from scratch is often impractical. We identify the core obstacle in such toolset expansion problem as behavioral inertia: the tendency of agents to fall back on familiar tools and established reasoning patterns despite having access to new ones. We demonstrate that injecting counterfactual anchor contexts at critical decision points can break this inertia, recovering failed trajectories by eliciting suppressed agent capabilities. To scale this insight, we propose ToolAnchor, a framework that uses teacher models to hypothesize these counterfactual contexts, verifies them via student rollouts, and internalizes the successful interventions through agentic post-training. Extensive evaluations across general AI assistant (GAIA), textual search (BrowseComp), and visual search (VDR-Bench) tasks demonstrate that ToolAnchor consistently exhibits competitive performance under expanded toolsets. Our work bridges the gap between static post-training and dynamic adaptation, charting a new path for scalable agentic reinforcement learning.
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All authors Weiting Liu, Jieyi Bi, Wanqi Zhou, Jianfeng Feng, Yining Ma, Ai Han, Wenlian Lu

Artificial Intelligence

The Capability Convergence Hypothesis: Capability from Access Structure, Not Scale

The Platonic Representation Hypothesis (PRH) holds that as models scale, representations of heterogeneous networks converge toward a shared model of reality. We propose its sequel and boundary, the Capability Convergence Hypothesis (CCH): under a fixed per-token inference budget, representational convergence does not entail capability convergence. Capability instead converges toward a class, the access-complete hybrid: any architecture holding both a compressive O(1)-state channel and a scalable verbatim-index channel. We anchor it on a witness task, the Newton's-apple problem in an infinite stream, and name three resource walls: a Shannon wall barring any o(Nb)-state architecture, a horizon wall barring any fixed window, and a circuit wall barring fixed-depth attention-only composition (conditional on TC0 != NC1). Under an explicit separability assumption a hybrid crosses all three by paying each wall's price, so capability is strictly super-additive under composition. We separate what we prove from what we conjecture: the access-completeness principle rests on information-theoretic lower bounds and pre-registered experiments, while the field-level convergence trend is an economics-motivated conjecture. We report the first pre-registered small-scale tests under criteria frozen before the data: the predicted scissors gap is measured (exact-retrieval error 0.994 vs. 0.000 once a 64-scalar state gains one global-attention layer), the state-tracking bifurcation lands at the registered boundary, and a conjunction witness shows an irreducibly two-channel solution; one prediction failed with its direction reversed and is reported as such. Representational convergence is given freely by scale; capability convergence must be purchased by access structure.
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All authors Wenhui Chen, Jianlin Chen, Ziyao Lin, Chi Man Vong

2607.14144 · 14 Jul · 43 pages, 16 figures. v2: title now names the hypothesis (CCH); postscript on two post-registration frontier releases (Kimi-K3, Qwen3.8-Max) with a registered forward prediction; new citations and consistency fixes. Registered census statistics and experimental results unchanged. Code and data: https://github.com/wenhui-ml/Capability-Convergence-Hypothesis (DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.21714418)

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from eess.AS

Efficient Text-to-Audio Generation via Pruning

Diffusion-based text-to-audio generative models such as AudioLDM achieve high perceptual quality and strong semantic consistency; however, their practical deployment is hindered by the substantial computational cost of the U-Net denoising backbone. In this work, we apply model pruning to improve the computational efficiency of AudioLDM, a U-Net-based text-conditioned audio latent diffusion model. We analyse parameter redundancy across U-Net convolutional blocks and evaluate a filter-pruning strategy. Pruning is guided by norm-based criteria and followed by lightweight finetuning to recover performance losses. Experimental results demonstrate that up to 83% of the parameters and 39% of the multiply-accumulate operations of U-Net have been reduced while maintaining, and in some cases improving, generation quality compared to the baseline unpruned network. We find that pruning affects AudioLDM's ability to generate certain sound events including safety-critical sounds such as gunshots, sirens, and explosions, as well as mechanical sounds such as drills and sewing machines, and other sounds such as sprays and tick-tocks, which are mostly recovered by lightweight finetuning of the pruned model.
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All authors Arshdeep Singh, Yi Yuan, Yun Chen, Wenwu Wang, Mark D. Plumbley

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CR

Privacy Preserving Recommender Systems Balancing Personalization with Privacy

Personalized recommendation systems are central to modern e-commerce and retail platforms, but they typically rely on centralized storage of detailed user interaction data, creating significant privacy and regulatory challenges. With increasing requirements from regulations such as GDPR, CCPA, and CPRA, organizations must develop recommendation systems that preserve user privacy without substantially degrading recommendation quality. This work presents and evaluates a privacy-preserving recommendation framework that combines federated learning, differential privacy, cohort-level modeling, and privacy-aware intelligent agents. The framework keeps raw user data decentralized while introducing mathematically bounded noise to model updates. Experiments were conducted on synthetic retail datasets that emulate customer clickstream and purchase behavior. Recommendation quality was evaluated using Click-Through Rate (CTR), Precision@K, Recall@K, and Normalized Discounted Cumulative Gain (NDCG@K) across multiple differential privacy budgets. We evaluate matrix factorization, neural collaborative filtering, and GRU4Rec under varying privacy constraints and analyze the trade-off between privacy and utility. An interactive Streamlit dashboard was developed to visualize recommendation performance, ranking stability, privacy-utility trade-offs, and fairness metrics. Results show that the proposed framework maintains competitive recommendation quality at moderate privacy budgets (approximately $\epsilon \approx 5$), demonstrating that strong privacy guarantees can be achieved with limited impact on recommendation effectiveness. This work provides a practical framework for deploying privacy-preserving recommendation systems that balance personalization, regulatory compliance, and business objectives, offering a scalable approach for next-generation AI-driven retail platforms.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.RO

Adapting Generalist Vehicle Models for High-Speed MPC Across Terrains

High-speed off-road autonomy requires precise closed-loop control for a target vehicle while remaining robust across changing terrains. Recent forward kinodynamic (FKD) prediction foundation models suggest a promising path, starting from a generalist model and specializing it to the target platform. However, effective specialization remains challenging, as it often requires substantial real-world data, and models adapted to one setting can still overfit to specific terrains or driving regimes. We present OptCar (Optimized Car), a recipe for bridging the gap from generalist to specialist FKD models that preserves cross-terrain generalization while optimizing performance for a specific vehicle. OptCar introduces a transformer FKD architecture that uses FiLM to condition multi-step predictions on a single dynamics context token summarizing recent state-action history. It then specializes the generalist model using limited real-world data and targeted synthetic rollouts from environment-specific system identification. In closed-loop model predictive control (MPC) experiments across three terrains and an out-of-distribution cart-pulling task, the largest gains appear at 6 m/s, the highest speed evaluated and the regime in which slip dominates tracking error. On vegetation + dirt, the most slip-diverse terrain, OptCar reduces 6 m/s trajectory tracking error by roughly 55% relative to AnyCar fine-tuned on real data alone, and remains the most accurate even when an unseen cart payload changes the dynamics. With 5 minutes of real data per terrain, OptCar is competitive on road with a specialist trained on 30 minutes of road data and outperforms it when the terrain changes. Project Page : https://amrl.cs.utexas.edu/optcar/
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All authors Rwik Rana, Jesse Quattrociocchi, Christian Ellis, Nathan Tsoi, Garrett Warnell, Joydeep Biswas

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Tabular Foundation Models for Discrete Choice Estimation

Tabular foundation models (TFMs) generate predictions on structured data via in-context learning, without task-specific estimation. We ask whether TFMs can be effectively applied to discrete choice, a central demand estimation framework in marketing and operations, and find that directly applying TFMs yields limited performance. The gap is structural: TFMs assume row-independent observations, whereas discrete choice is inherently set-valued and subject to persistent consumer preference heterogeneity. We propose a reformulation that encodes both choice-set dependence and individual heterogeneity within a row-based learning framework. Evaluated on a yogurt scanner panel, individual-level heterogeneity encoding is the dominant driver of predictive accuracy. The best reformulation outperforms hierarchical Bayesian estimation on both holdout log-likelihood and hit rate, running 16 times faster, a practical advantage for large-scale demand estimation. The advantage is largest in the medium-data regime (10–40 purchase occasions per consumer), where parametric Bayesian shrinkage most distorts estimates for atypical consumers. Fine-tuning on population choice data provides additional gains for consumers with shallow purchase histories, where in-context learning has limited individual-specific signal to condition on. These results establish a principled approach for applying foundation models to consumer choice problems more broadly.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Accuracy Without Grounding: Diagnosing Visual Dependency Dissociation in Video LLM Benchmarks

Benchmark accuracy in video large language models (LLMs) is often treated as evidence of visual understanding. We audit this assumption across twenty models spanning 2-78B parameters and ten architecture families. We introduce the Visual Dependency Gap (VDG), the difference in per-question correctness between original-video and black-screen conditions. Paired McNemar tests on MVBench show that accuracy and visual dependency are separable: models differ on original video (p = 0.0003) but not on black screens (p = 0.53). Across models, task-type rankings are stable: Attribute Perception is strongly visual, whereas Temporal Reasoning approaches the language-only baseline. A diagnostic ladder from black screen to single frame, shuffled frames, and original video reveals that frame diversity supplies most of the visual benefit, while temporal order contributes near-zero accuracy across sixteen open-weight models. An ablation from 0.5 to 24 FPS rules out sparse sampling as the cause. H.264 experiments further show that stable aggregate accuracy conceals bidirectional question-level answer flips. The diagnostic also generalizes to four API-accessed models, whose VDG values range from 0.025 to 0.315. These results motivate VDG as a standard audit for whether video benchmarks measure visually grounded capability. Code is available at https://github.com/JaeLee18/accuracy-without-grounding.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.SE

Faithful Autoformalization of Natural Language Assertions

Formal contracts are essential for software testing and verification, yet writing them remains labor-intensive and error-prone. LLMs offer a promising path toward autoformalization: synthesizing executable assertions from natural-language specifications and thereby bridging the gap between informal developer intent and formal executable specifications. We present Monty: an autoformalization framework for assertions that tackles the challenges of expectations of validity of assertions and ambiguity in natural-language. Our techniques are based on filtering formalizations using a novel conformance score metric and validity scores obtained from testing the code against formalized assertions. We evaluate our approach on 541 assertion-generation tasks derived from 22 collection-like Java classes, and show that our technique produces the ground truth more reliably (improving upto 20 points in precision on average) than when using LLMs naively to translate assertions.
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Artificial Intelligence

Theory-Level Autoformalization: From Isolated Statements to Unified Formal Knowledge Bases

Autoformalization translates informal natural language into formal, machine-verifiable languages. While most work focuses on individual statements, real formalization efforts are inherently theory-level: they require an entire web of axioms, definitions, and lemmas before target theorems can even be stated. In this position paper, we argue for theory-level autoformalization: formalizing complete theories, including all their inter-dependencies, as structured libraries. We examine the significance of this shift, address alternative views, identify open challenges, and propose three promising paths forward. Our survey of autoformalization is available at https://github.com/marcusm117/Awesome-Autoformalization.
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All authors Marcus J. Min, Mike He, Zhaoyu Li, Zixuan Yi, Sharad Malik, Aarti Gupta, Xujie Si, Osbert Bastani

Artificial Intelligence

Harness Handbook: Making Evolving Agent Harnesses Readable,Navigable, and Editable

The capability of a modern AI agent depends not only on its foundation model but also on its harness, which constructs prompts, manages state, invokes tools, and coordinates execution. As models, APIs, environments, and requirements evolve, the harness must be continually modified. Before such a change can be made, a developer or coding agent must identify all code locations that implement the target behavior. This is difficult because production harnesses are large, tightly coupled, and behaviorally distributed, while modification requests describe what the system should do and repositories are organized by files and modules. Code search, repository indexing, and long-context processing ease inspection, but still leave this behavior-to-code mapping to be recovered by hand. Behavior localization is therefore a central bottleneck in harness evolution. We introduce the Harness Handbook, a behavior-centric representation synthesized automatically from a harness codebase via static analysis and LLM-assisted structuring, linking each behavior to its corresponding source. We also introduce Behavior-Guided Progressive Disclosure (BGPD), which guides agents from high-level behaviors to relevant implementation details and verifies candidate locations against the current source. On diverse modification requests from two open-source harnesses, Handbook-Assisted planning improves behavior localization and edit-plan quality while using fewer planner tokens, with the largest gains on scattered sites, rarely executed paths, and cross-module interactions. Evolving complex agentic systems thus depends not only on generating edits, but also on determining where those edits should be made.
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All authors Ruhan Wang, Yucheng Shi, Zongxia Li, Zhongzhi Li, Yue Yu, Junyao Yang, Kishan Panaganti, Haitao Mi, Dongruo Zhou, Leoweiliang

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Deconstructing Actor-Critic: A Large-scale Empirical Study of Design Components for Practitioners

Reinforcement learning is increasingly being considered for controlling real-world systems, from fusion plasma and autonomous vehicles to drug discovery and drinking water treatment, where reliability is essential and tuning budgets are limited. Actor-critic algorithms share a set of design decisions, such as how the policy is updated, how it represents the distribution over actions, how its gradient is estimated, and how often it is updated relative to the value estimator. Using a control task derived from a real water treatment plant, we analyze over 33,000 experiments to determine how these components affect variability across runs and sensitivity to hyperparameters. Common defaults, such as Gaussian action distributions with pathwise gradient estimators, are among the least reliable configurations, whereas bounded distributions with adaptive update schedules remain robust across a wide range of settings. These findings offer empirical guidance to practitioners across scientific and engineering domains for understanding and making component-level decisions when adapting actor-critic methods to new real-world control settings.
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All authors Haseeb Shah, Lingwei Zhu, Adam White, Martha White

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CL

Discourse-Aware Policy Analysis with Argumentation: A Hybrid LLM-Symbolic Framework for Disaster Governance

Policy documents shape governance outcomes, but their reasoning is often implicit. Participatory commitments and managerial control routinely coexist in the same text, and the tensions between them are rarely stated directly. Existing computational approaches to policy discourse cannot express the frame-mediated relations that drive these tensions, where one argument narrows or instrumentalizes another rather than rejecting it. End-to-end summarization by large language models produces fluent text but offers little structure that domain experts can inspect or contest. We present Apaf, a hybrid LLM–symbolic pipeline that operationalizes critical discourse analysis as a quantitative bipolar argumentation framework over policy text. Arguments are first classified into deliberative or managerial frames. Four frame-mediated relation subtypes (agency reduction, agenda shift, instrumental support, and normative support) are then produced by deterministic rules over LLM-extracted features. We release a novel dataset of 100 sub-documents of disaster-risk-reduction policy from the USA, UK, Canada, and Australia, and show that the resulting argument graphs are accurate, interpretable, and stable across jurisdictions.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Reassessing Muon for Matrix Factorization

Muon has recently emerged as a strong optimizer for large-scale deep learning, where it reshapes gradient updates through approximate orthogonalization and has been reported to outperform Adam and AdamW in large language model training. Its empirical success has motivated a growing body of theoretical work that interprets Muon as steepest descent under the spectral norm. Yet it remains unclear which of Muon's advantages stem from its update rule itself and which are artifacts of the scale, architecture, and data of modern deep networks. In this work, we isolate the optimizer from these confounding factors by studying Muon on a simple, well-understood, and spectrally structured problem: low-rank matrix factorization. Through a controlled comparison against carefully tuned adaptive baselines, we find that Muon does not consistently outperform AdamW in this setting and that several previously reported advantages are sensitive to hyperparameter choices. Our results provide a more nuanced picture of when spectrum-aware orthogonalization is beneficial and argue for evaluating modern optimizers on controlled problems in addition to end-to-end benchmarks.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

EMAGN: Efficient Multi-Attention Graph Network via Learned Clustering for Scalable Traffic Forecasting

Traffic forecasting is highly challenging due to complex and nonlinear spatial and temporal dependencies. Self-attention mechanisms have been widely adopted to model dynamic and long-range dependencies, achieving state-of-the-art performance, but suffer from limited scalability due to quadratic computational and memory complexity. To address this, we propose an Efficient Multi-Attention Graph Network (EMAGN) that linearises the spatial attention mechanism itself, inspired by the theory of fast high-dimensional Gaussian filtering. Two learned clustering matrices C_k and C_v adaptively group key and value vectors into M super-clusters, reducing complexity from O(N^2 d) to O(NMd) without sacrificing the flexibility of attention for dynamic dependency modelling. Experimental results on PEMS-BAY and METR-LA show that EMAGN achieves accuracy within 2.7-3.2% MAE of full-attention GMAN while reducing training time by 32%, inference time by 38%, and GPU memory by 58%. Critically, at K=16 attention heads, full-attention GMAN runs out of memory on a standard 11 GB GPU entirely while EMAGN continues to operate, demonstrating a categorical expansion of feasible model configurations. EMAGN also surpasses Linformer and Performer in both accuracy and efficiency within the same backbone, owing to its traffic-network-aware adaptive clustering.
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All authors Mingxing Xu, Rakesh Chowdary Machineni, Ke Liu, Xi Cheng, Chengqi Lu, Xin Hu, Lyuhao Chen, Xiangyu Li, Junwei You, Oliver Gao

Artificial Intelligence

Cost-Optimal Foundation Model Deployment Portfolio for Transportation Management

Foundation models, including large language models (LLMs) and vision-language models (VLMs), are increasingly used for transportation management center (TMC) tasks such as anomaly detection, incident reporting, and traveler information. Deploying multiple such models across TMC functions raises a portfolio question: which model should serve each function, in which deployment mode, and under what shared hardware budget? We formulate this as the Foundation Model Deployment Portfolio (FMDP) problem, a mixed-integer program minimizing total cost of ownership (TCO) subject to per-function quality, latency, and safety constraints over shared GPU capacity. We prove the problem NP-hard by reduction from the 0-1 knapsack problem and propose a polynomial-time greedy heuristic. In an illustrative case study with five TMC functions and 19 candidate (model, mode) pairs, FMDP identifies a mixed portfolio costing $34/mo (97% below the cheapest feasible all-closed-API baseline) by routing four functions to open-source APIs and the one function whose quality floor no open-source model meets to a closed API. Break-even analysis shows that on-premise GPU investment becomes reasonable only above approximately 309 vision queries/hour or if API prices double.
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All authors Xi Cheng, Ke Liu, Siyuan Feng, Jane Lin, H. Oliver Gao

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Continuously Evolving Deepfake Detection: An Architecture and Public-Benchmark Evaluation of a Dynamic Detection System

Deepfake detectors that achieve near-perfect scores on academic benchmarks collapse on real-world content: recent in-the-wild evaluations report AUC drops of 45-50% for state-of-the-art open-source models. We argue this gap is structural: static detectors are trained once against a moving generative frontier. We present BitMind Forensics (BMF), trained through Bittensor SN34, an open adversarial competition that continually refreshes the training distribution. We evaluate one dated export comprising image, general-video, and human-video checkpoints across nineteen public datasets: the canonical face-swap suites (FaceForensics++, Celeb-DF v1/v2/++, DFDC, DFD, UADFV, DF40) and recent in-the-wild and AI-generated-media benchmarks (Sumsub, Deepfake-Eval-2024, WildRF, Community Forensics, AIGCDetectBench, GenImage, AI-GenBench, AIGIBench, RAID, GenVidBench, GenVideo-100K). BMF reaches 0.936 AUC on Sumsub's original images and 0.872 pooled AUC over its full four-condition manipulation battery (1.4M images), staying robust under perturbation (0.855 JPEG, 0.799 downscaled), while GPEN enhancement improves detection (0.996). On Deepfake-Eval-2024, it matches the best commercial detector on images (0.915 vs 0.90) and exceeds it on video (0.822 vs 0.79), far above the best open-source detectors (0.56 and 0.63). It reaches 0.991 AUC on a 21-generator AI-image panel and 0.918 on GenVidBench, and exceeds the FF++-trained frontier on DFDC (0.947 vs 0.843) and Celeb-DF v2 (0.9985 vs 0.956), both contamination-audited, with statistical parity on Celeb-DF++. In a temporal study, successive dated exports improve on held-out media from generators absent from the static baseline's training (image 0.842 to 0.902; video 0.864 to 0.936). Our evaluation harness is public, and at publication the production API serves the exact evaluated snapshot for independent verification.
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Artificial Intelligence

AI-Native Insurance for Agentic AI: Pricing, Underwriting, and End-to-End Automation

Agentic AI introduces new insurance challenges because autonomous AI systems can make decisions, invoke tools, modify external environments, and interact with third-party services. This paper develops an AI-native mathematical framework for underwriting, pricing, and contract design for agentic AI deployments. A deployment is represented by a risk state that captures autonomy level, operational authority, permission exposure, governance maturity, and dependency concentration. The framework maps the risk state to event probabilities, loss severities, governance costs, premiums, deductibles, coverage allocation, and policy covenants, and formulates an optimization problem for insurance contract design under participation, profitability, and incentive compatibility constraints. The paper establishes structural properties of insurability, including characterization of an insurability region, monotone deterioration of feasibility with increasing exposure, and governance certification thresholds. Insurance is further interpreted as both an operational cost and a regulatory mechanism for AI deployment. A healthcare case study illustrates contract optimization, sensitivity analysis, and automated claims processing for agentic AI systems.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from eess.SY

Audited Selective Verification for Risk-Controlled N-1 Thermal Contingency Screening under Deployment Shift

Real-time N-1 contingency screening in an energy management system trades assurance against cost: verifying every credible outage with full power flow is too slow, while fast linear-sensitivity screening gives no statistical guarantee and can silently pass unsafe operating points, especially when a controller drives the system into unfamiliar regimes. This paper introduces Audited Selective Verification, a risk-budgeted screening and triage layer for any controller's output (optimization, model-predictive, or learned). A cheap surrogate proposes which outages to skip; an online audit runs full power flow on a small random sample each window; and a calibrated threshold certifies a thermal-violation-rate bound for the skipped set at a chosen budget and confidence, with a corresponding bound for the unverified trusted subset. Validity rests on real verification and the audit rather than on surrogate accuracy, so it holds under arbitrary deployment shift. It is a risk-budgeted screen, not a replacement for deterministic verification when policy requires checking every credible contingency. On three public transmission systems up to 1354 buses, the realized violation rate stays within budget, standard deterministic and calibrated screens become unsafe under shift, and the method cuts full power-flow studies by 29 to 75 percent per real-time operating point.
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Artificial Intelligence

Networked Intelligence: Active Shared Context Graphs for Human-AI Team Science

Most AI-for-science systems focus on scaling a single reasoning process by using better models, larger context windows, long-horizon agentic execution, or digital co-scientists working with one principal user. However, challenging scientific problems are rarely solved by one reasoner alone. They are solved by teams whose members carry different priors, experimental background, tacit knowledge, and domain-trained intuitions. The open problem is therefore not only how to scale models, but how to develop "networked intelligence", scaling the connections between humans and AI systems so that a result or hypothesis produced in one context reaches another person, agent, instrument or robot that can act on it. We introduce Mycelium, an active shared workspace that automatically connects researchers and AI agents. As human users and agents work, the system captures important observations and hypotheses, tracks how they relate to the team's evolving knowledge model, and routes them to the person or agent whose next decision they can inform. We evaluate Mycelium through a real-world scientific discovery use case: a biological multi-omics campaign where shared context turned a local analytical finding into a cross-expert mechanistic constraint and ultimately into an experimental design. Finally, we describe networked intelligence as sparse conditional computation over distributed scientific contexts. This framework establishes when a scaled standalone agent is sufficient, and when isolated data and specialized expertise make a networked approach essential.
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All authors Sutanay Choudhury, Jeffrey J. Czajka, Lummy M. O. Monteiro, Erin Bredeweg, Jason McDermott, Katherine Wolf, Alex Beliaev, Josh Elmore, Paul Piehowski, Kylee Tate, Yuqian Gao, Aivett Bilbao, Kelly Stratton, Scott Baker, Jaydeep P. Bardhan, Kristin Burnum Johnson, Chris Oehmen, Robert Rallo

Artificial Intelligence

CayleyR: Solving the TopSpin puzzle via cycle intersection

We present cayleyR, an R package for solving permutation puzzles by detecting cycle intersections in Cayley graphs. The core algorithm performs an iterative bidirectional search: from both the initial and target permutation states, random operation sequences generate cycles in the Cayley graph of the symmetric group Sn; their intersection yields a connecting path. When no direct intersection is found, a distance-guided bridge selection narrows the gap, and the process repeats. The package targets the TopSpin(n,k) puzzle, whose state space is a Cayley graph of Sn generated by a cyclic shift and a prefix reversal. We describe the mathematical framework, the algorithm, and its implementation, which combines a C++ hash-indexed state store with optional Vulkan GPU acceleration. The software is publicly available on CRAN.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from q-bio.NC

Classifying daily activities needs posture, reconstructing them needs motion

Humans recognize movements effortlessly, even from noisy and complex visual input. But what information in the stimulus allows humans to rapidly classify movements? No framework has systematically compared different strategies of movement analysis to address this question. Here, we used videos of 16 daily activities from the MoVi dataset and compared three strategies: Temporal Movement Primitives (TMPs), which decompose movements into weighted sums of temporally smooth basis functions; Legendre polynomial coefficients, which project joint-coordinate trajectories onto an orthogonal polynomial basis; and Autoencoder latent embeddings. Legendre coefficients and TMPs achieved the highest classifier accuracy, followed by autoencoders. We found two discriminative features for movement classification. The most informative is the general posture of the body, the average spatial configuration that distinguishes one activity from another. Additionally, we identified 9 critical joints that are most predictive for movement classification. Interestingly, good classification accuracy did not automatically lead to good movement generation: when we reconstructed movements for each activity, TMPs preserved the temporal dynamics and produced perceptually natural motion, whereas reconstructions from Legendre coefficients retained only the average posture and appeared frozen. These results reveal a dissociation in how movement information is organized: the static configuration of the body suffices to classify what activity is performed, but the temporal dynamics of movement are required to reconstruct how it unfolds. This distinction clarifies which features the visual system may rely upon for rapid action recognition, and suggests that postural features could enable efficient movement screening in clinical applications, while dynamic information remain essential wherever movement generation is the goal.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CL

Adaptive Filtering of the KV Cache: Diagnosing and Correcting Structural-Role Bias in LLM Inference

Attention-based KV cache eviction (H2O and its descendants) compresses the memory-constrained state of a long-context model by ranking tokens on accumulated attention mass, treated here as signal energy, and keeping the heaviest. On schema-dense input streams such as nested JSON, this score acts as a non-stationary filter that disproportionately retains noise: a non-content sink role (delimiters or whitespace) carries an order of magnitude more energy than any content role, and structural KEY tokens are over-retained at roughly 1.8x the rate of the answer-carrying VALUE tokens, collapsing exact-match accuracy from 88% to 0% at a 5% budget as the signal-to-noise ratio of the retained state degrades. A counterfactual experiment establishes that suppressing KEY tokens is the best deployable filter. Our retraining-free, role-conditional allocation over SnapKV's windowed score, governed by a single tuned hyperparameter, closes 63-98% of the H2O gap at sub-20% budgets and, at higher budgets, modestly matches or exceeds full-cache accuracy – a small, seed-sensitive denoising effect (borderline significant at B=0.50; not distinguishable from zero at B=0.30 over four seeds). A 15 MB linear role probe supplies these labels at negligible inference cost, though matching parser-level downstream accuracy remains open.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CL

RAGthoven at SemEval-2026 Task 1: A Multi-Stage Pipeline Walks Into a Benchmark and Barely Clears the Bar

We present RAGthoven, our system for SemEval-2026 Task 1 (MWAHAHA), Subtask A (multilingual constrained humor generation in English, Spanish, and Chinese). RAGthoven decomposes creative text generation into a multi-stage large language model (LLM) pipeline (Planner, Best-of-N Writer, Reflector for self-critique, LLM-as-a-judge Judge) grounded in computational humor theory (Benign Violation Theory, Script-based Semantic Theory of Humor) and refined across ten experiments. In our final configuration, we augment the Planner with retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) from a curated joke corpus, seeding generation with diverse joke mechanisms. We also evaluate two agentic variants – ReAct-style sequential tool-calling (Exp09) and autonomous multi-branch orchestration (Exp10) – that expose the same four stages with a deterministic ConstraintAudit checker. Across four frontier models on a held-out 12-instance English sample, neither agentic variant produced outputs we judged superior to the non-agentic pipeline despite substantially higher tool-call budgets. RAGthoven shares Rank 1 with the Gemini 2.5 Flash baseline in all three languages, with overlapping organizer-reported confidence intervals. In Spanish, it leads the baseline by 42 raw Elo points (1182 vs. 1140), while in English (1045 vs. 1081) and Chinese (1045 vs. 1053) the baseline holds the higher raw rating within the same statistical tie. Together, these results suggest language-dependent diminishing returns from elaborate multi-stage prompt engineering and agentic scaffolding once a strong frontier model is in the loop.
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All authors Marek Šuppa, Viktória Ondrejová, Lucia Ganajová, Gregor Karetka, Daniel Skala

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

SteinGate: Tail-Sensitive Safe Reinforcement Learning via Stein Discrepancy

Safe reinforcement learning typically enforces safety by bounding expected cumulative costs, a criterion that often fails to detect rare but catastrophic tail events. To overcome these limitations, this paper introduces SteinGate, a boundary-aware distributional safety certificate that replaces fragile tail fitting with a robust consistency check using Kernelized Stein Discrepancy while accounting for boundary atoms induced by clipped costs. SteinGate evaluates whether observed policy rollout costs remain consistent with a safe reference distribution, providing a non-parametric safety certificate. This certificate is used to dynamically adapt the learning regime: favoring reward-improving policy updates when rollouts remain consistent with the safe reference and switching to recovery behavior when the cost tail deviates. Experiments on continuous-control benchmarks demonstrate that SteinGate significantly reduces both the frequency and severity of constraint violations during training while maintaining competitive returns relative to state-of-the-art baselines.
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All authors Yassine Chemingui, Chenhua Fan, Honghao Wei, Janardhan Rao Doppa