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Tuesday 30 June

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Learning Structurally Consistent Representations for Multi-View Radar Semantic Segmentation

Radar sensors provide reliable perception under adverse weather and lighting conditions, but their sparse, noisy, and weakly semantic measurements make dense semantic segmentation challenging. Most existing radar segmentation methods rely on grid-based encodings and pairwise interactions, which struggle to capture the higher-order relational structure formed by multiple radar returns from the same physical object. We introduce a unified higher-order structural alignment framework for multi-view radar segmentation. The proposed method refines radar feature representations using learnable hypergraphs to capture higher-order dependencies among spatially related responses. To ensure consistency across heterogeneous radar projections, we further align view-specific features using Unbalanced Optimal Transport (UOT), enabling correspondence-free alignment under varying measurement densities and partial observations. An adaptive attention mechanism then fuses complementary radar views while emphasising structurally informative responses under sparsity and noise. The resulting architecture learns structurally consistent representations across Range Angle (RA), Range Doppler (RD), and Angle Doppler (AD) views and is trained using supervised segmentation together with cross-view consistency regularisation. Experiments on the CARRADA and RADIal benchmarks demonstrate consistent improvements over strong radar-specific baselines, achieving 63.8% mIoU on CARRADA and 83.4% mIoU on RADIal, improving the previous best methods by +1.7 and +2.3 mIoU, respectively. These results highlight the importance of higher-order relational modelling for robust radar perception.
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All authors Ali Zia, Muhammad Umer Ramzan, Abdelwahed Khamis, Usman Ali, Abdul Rehman

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Preserve the Hard, Regenerate the Rest: Uncertainty-Guided Synthetic Training Data Augmentation with Diffusion Models

Semantic segmentation models struggle with data sparsity and rare or visually diverse regions, e.g., dense regions or small objects in aerial or autonomous mobility data. While synthetic augmentation is an appealing solution, directly generating new labeled data risks misalignment of labels and generated pixels. Existing solutions to this problem often rely on external models, or employ coarse heuristics such as indiscriminately augmenting all foreground objects or entire backgrounds, which wastes capacity on uninformative pixels. To address this, we propose an uncertainty-guided synthetic context augmentation strategy that strictly preserves label validity and efficiently maximizes pixel informativeness per synthetic sample - no external guardrails required. Using a baseline segmenter's predictive entropy, we identify uncertain semantic regions and inpaint only the complementary visual context. When fine-tuning the segmenter on this synthetic data, we compute the loss only over the original pixels, excluding inpainted regions. This focuses learning on the unmodified, uncertain regions while presenting them in novel contexts. We demonstrate substantial mIoU gains on Cityscapes, UAVID, and BDD100K with the largest gains on rare and difficult classes such as buses, trains, or (from the aerial perspective) cars. Our results demonstrate that uncertainty-guided context augmentation is a highly effective lever to improve segmentation performance on complex datasets, with code provided at https://github.com/XITASO/Preserve-the-Hard-Regenerate-the-Rest.
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All authors Nikolai Röhrich, Julian Gleißner, Ahmed H. A. Ibrahim, Silvan Mertes, Tobias Huber

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Token-Sparse Medical Multimodal Reasoning via Dual-Stream Reinforcement Learning

Vision-language models (VLMs) combining reinforcement learning (RL) ignite remarkable progress in multimodal reasoning, yet still struggle with medical images, which typically exhibit extremely sparse visual evidence to inform clinical decision-making. We recognize that pruning visual tokens outside the grounding region greatly enhances medical reasoning. However, a united RL framework for active visual token pruning (VTP) and medical multimodal reasoning remains unestablished. Here, we propose a dual-stream RL framework, ViToS, to fulfill token pruning and question answering. ViToS trains one policy model with two task branches, where one focuses on grounding while the other conducts token-sparse reasoning after VTP. Furthermore, we solve the coupled policy learning problem by introducing the cross-feedback sequential optimization, avoiding gradient conflict and facilitating convergence of the shared policy model. Evaluated on seven medical benchmarks, our method reduces visual tokens to 77% of the original sequence length while achieving a 108.27% relative performance on Lingshu-7B and 104.16% relative performance on HuatuoGPT-Vision-7B. Overall, ViToS delivers superior performance and inference speedup, establishing an efficient paradigm for medical multimodal reasoning.
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All authors Kaitao Chen, Weiqian Zhao, Jiamin Wu, Qihao Zheng, Shangquan Sun, Chunfeng Song, Xiaosong Wang, Mu Zhou, Mianxin Liu

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CR

Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning based Intrusion Detection in Realistic IoT Networks

The Internet of Things (IoT) is rapidly growing and expanding into various sectors, such as healthcare, transportation, smart homes, and more. Despite the benefits of using IoT devices, they present several challenges. Given the significant role these devices play in our lives, it is crucial to address issues related to their security and privacy. These devices are limited in resources, which complicates their security and the protection of the data that they manage. The paper aims to examine intrusion detection systems using the Gotham2025 dataset, generated through the Gotham testbed, which consists of 78 emulated IoT devices utilising various protocols, including MQTT, CoAP, and RTSP, to assist in safeguarding IoT networks from attacks. We conduct a comparative analysis between five machine learning algorithms, including Random Forest, XGBoost, Logistic Regression, Naive Bayes, and Deep Neural Network. We demonstrate that the Random Forest Classifier was the top-performing model, achieving an F1-score of 0.99 in classifying attacks.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Evil Spectra: How Optimisers can Amplify or Suppress Emergent Misalignment

Emergent misalignment (EM) is a recently discovered phenomenon in LLMs where fine-tuning on a narrow misaligned task, such as writing insecure code, leads to broadly misaligned behaviour on unrelated prompts. Previous work has noted that the severity of EM is highly sensitive to training choices; however, we still lack a systematic characterisation of this sensitivity. We perform a sweep over several Qwen3 models, optimisers, datasets, and batch sizes, and find that the choice of optimiser has the largest effect, producing a 7x spread in misalignment rate. Surprisingly, model size has a negligible effect within the Qwen3 family. An additional sweep over 12 models from three families using Adam confirms that model scale (1B-235B) and family have negligible effects for that optimiser. Analysing the loss-alignment relationship on Qwen3-8B, we find that final log training loss is a strong predictor of alignment, and that stratifying by optimiser captures nearly all the residual variance. Training dynamics reveal that each optimiser follows a different trajectory through loss-alignment space, and that after significant training, the optimiser becomes more important than training loss as a predictor of alignment. Muon, the adaptive optimiser that preserves alignment the best, implicitly regularises for a more uniform distribution of singular values of the LoRA adapter. We evaluate this insight by training with an additional loss term that incentivises a flatter singular value spectrum, and find that this substantially recovers alignment for the more EM-prone adaptive optimisers (Adam and Lion), with negligible cost to training loss. These results identify optimiser choice as a key factor in EM severity, but show that spectral regularisation can substantially mitigate the effects of EM-prone optimisers.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.SD

ZEBRA: Zero-Shot Entropy-Regularized Prompt Learning for Base-to-Novel Generalization in Audio-Language Models

Audio-Language Models (ALMs) achieve strong zero-shot performance by aligning audio with textual class descriptions. Although prompt learning improves accuracy on base classes through few-shot supervised adaptation, we observe a critical trade-off: it often degrades performance on novel classes, sometimes falling below zero-shot accuracy. This exposes a base-to-novel generalization gap in prompt learning for ALMs. To address this issue, we propose ZEBRA (Zero-shot Entropy-Regularized Prompt Learning for Base-to-Novel Generalization), a plug-and-play framework that fuses zero-shot logits with prompt-learning logits, and employs self-entropy regularization to reduce overfitting to base classes. Experiments across multiple audio classification datasets show that ZEBRA consistently improves novel-class performance while maintaining strong base accuracy, significantly reducing the base-to-novel gap compared to standard prompt learning. The code is available at: https://github.com/asif-hanif/zebra.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CV

DPPE: Rethinking Camera-Based Positional Encoding for Scaling Multi-View Transformers

The remarkable scalability of Transformers has expanded their application to 3D computer vision, where camera-aware positional encoding is crucial for providing spatial cues in multi-view geometry. Recent advancements have established the practice of using camera parameters—such as extrinsics or projection matrices—as relative positional encoding into the query, key, and value vectors of the attention mechanism. However, when scaling up the training recipe of novel view synthesis (NVS) models with the camera-based positional encoding, we observe a significant issue: model performance stagnates in the late stages of training. In this paper, we investigate the cause of the performance bottleneck when scaling up and demonstrate that storing rotation and translation given by the positional encoding in the same dimensions of the value vector causes indeterminacy in their independent identification, hindering training scalability. To address this, we propose Decoupled Pose Positional Encoding (DPPE), a novel camera-based positional encoding that explicitly decouples rotation and translation. Extensive evaluations on NVS tasks demonstrate that DPPE enables stable long-term training even in scaled-up training setup. Furthermore, it exhibits superior generalization performance in extrapolation settings, such as handling an increased number of viewpoints and zoom-in scenarios. Code is available at https://github.com/sbintuitions/dppe.
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Artificial Intelligence

Which Tokens Matter? Adaptive Token Selection for RLVR with the Relative Surprisal Index

Reinforcement learning (RL) has become a powerful tool for propelling Large Language Models (LLMs) beyond imitation-based training towards more robust reasoning capabilities. Among existing approaches, RL with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) has emerged as a pivotal paradigm for advancing LLM reasoning. Despite its empirical success, recent studies have offered different insights. One line of inquiry advocates prioritizing high-entropy token positions during training, while another perspective cautions against allowing low-probability tokens to dominate gradient updates. Notably, although high-entropy tokens are usually correlated with low probability, both paradigms empirically yield substantial performance gains. In this work, we argue that evaluating sampled-token probability or entropy in isolation is insufficient to capture the policy optimization dynamics. To resolve this tension, we introduce the Relative Surprisal Index (RSI), a principled, information-theoretic metric that naturally couples the token's entropy with the probability of the selected token. We show that, under mild conditions, RSI is related to the local ratio between the first-order variations of the logit-gradient norm and predictive entropy under a selected-logit perturbation. Building on RSI, we propose RSI Selection (RSI-S), an entropy-adaptive token filtering method that retains tokens within a stable RSI interval. RSI-S successfully reconciles previous contradictory paradigms and filters out both redundant low-surprisal tokens and unstable high-surprisal tail tokens. Empirical evaluations show that RSI-S achieves higher avg@32 accuracy across different model scales (Qwen2.5-1.5B, 3B, and 7B) on AIME and AMC benchmarks: RSI-S improves avg@32 accuracy by 2–3 percentage points over GRPO. Overall, RSI offers a promising perspective for RLVR improvement.
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All authors Outongyi Lv, Yanzhao Zheng, Yuanwei Zhang, Zhenghao Huang, Xingjun Wang, Baohua Dong, Hangcheng Zhu, Yingda Chen

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Temperature Field Reconstruction of Tungsten Monoblock Divertor on EAST using Physics-aware Neural Operator Transformer

Accurate modeling of the divertor temperature field is essential for preventing material melting and damage and for extending the service life of fusion devices. However, conventional numerical methods, such as the Finite Element Method (FEM), are computationally expensive and therefore unsuitable for real-time applications. Therefore, a fast and generalizable method is required for real-time reconstruction of the divertor temperature field and subsequent real-time control. To address the above issue, we propose a Physics-aware Neural Operator Transformer (PNOT) to characterize the spatiotemporal evolution of the divertor temperature field. It models boundary heat-flux relations as a structured graph and employs graph attention to explicitly capture spatial physical dependencies. Inspired by physics-aware attention, we further develop a physics-aware neural operator module to aggregate query points with similar physical conditions via slicing and model heat diffusion, while a gradient-constrained Sobolev regularization loss enforces consistency between function values and their derivatives. Experimental results show that these physical constraints improve prediction accuracy while preserving physical consistency. The source code of this paper will be released on https://github.com/Event-AHU/OpenFusion
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All authors Zikang Yan, Xiao Wang, Qingquan Yang, Zhendong Yang, Gaoting Chen, Zehua Chen, Bo Jiang, Jin Tang, Guosheng Xu

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Mitigating Positional Leakage in 3D Masked Autoencoders for Robust Representation Learning

Masked autoencoding has emerged as a prominent paradigm for self-supervised learning on 3D point clouds, achieving competitive performance across downstream tasks. Unlike its 2D counterpart, 3D masked autoencoding directly reconstructs spatial coordinates, making it inherently susceptible to positional leakage. In this work, we identify that the decoder in existing 3D MAE frameworks tends to over-rely on positional information, which weakens semantic representation learning and leads to suboptimal feature quality. To address this issue, we propose MPL-MAE, a masked point learning framework that mitigates positional over-reliance while enhancing the utilization of encoder features. Specifically, we introduce a recalibrated positional embedding module that suppresses metric-dominant coordinate signals while preserving geometric topology, together with a gated positional interface module that dynamically regulates positional injection during reconstruction. These designs promote a more balanced interaction between spatial priors and semantic features, yielding robust and informative representations. Extensive experiments across downstream tasks demonstrate that MPL-MAE consistently achieves competitive performance, validating its effectiveness. Code is available at https://github.com/yanx57/MPL-MAE.
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All authors Xu Yan, Huiqun Wang, Chen Wang, Lei Ren, Di Huang

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CY

FLARE-AI: Flaw Reporting for AI

Flaw reporting for deployed AI systems is fundamental to identifying system failures and improving AI safety. Yet the AI reporting ecosystem is fragmented: researchers who identify flaws often do not know what or where to report, and groups who receive reports rarely share them with other relevant stakeholders. As a result, good-faith reporters duplicate effort by submitting many different forms, and recipients lack standardized, triage-ready information. We audit 12 reporting systems published by AI developers, cybersecurity groups, and AI flaw aggregators, identifying five recurring design challenges spanning discoverability, scope, information collection, coordination, and guidance for strict-liability cases. Building on this analysis and feedback from 49 experts across 32 organizations representing developers, security researchers, and ecosystem coordinators, we introduce FLARE-AI, an open-source AI flaw reporting system designed for interoperability with existing systems. FLARE-AI streamlines flaw report creation by collecting triage-relevant information through conditional logic and early classification, then enables optional dissemination of standardized, machine-readable reports to multiple developers, coordinators, and incident registries from a single submission. By lowering barriers to reporting AI flaws and improving interoperability across stakeholders, FLARE-AI helps break down silos and accelerate remediation across the AI ecosystem.
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All authors Shayne Longpre, Elaine Zhu, Carson Ezell, Avijit Ghosh, Sean McGregor, Kevin Paeth, Kevin Klyman, Sayash Kapoor, Rishi Bommasani, Ruth Appel, Gregory Strom, Lauren McIlvenny, Mark M. Jaycox, Peter Slattery, Nathan Butters, Arvind Narayanan, Percy Liang, Alex Pentland

Artificial Intelligence

ACE: Pluggable Adaptive Context Elasticizer across Agents

The increasing complexity of agentic tasks has led to rapidly growing trajectory lengths, which poses significant challenges for large language model (LLM) based agents with fixed context windows. Existing context management techniques, such as truncation and summarization, suffer from inherent inflexibility and irreversibility: once information is discarded or compressed, it cannot be recovered even when it becomes critically relevant in later decision steps. To address these limitations, we propose the Adaptive Context Elasticizer (ACE), a plug-and-play module that elastically orchestrates historical step information into the agent's context at each decision step. ACE maintains a lossless message maintenance layer that stores both raw messages and compressed abstractions for each historical step, while a context orchestration layer adaptively assigns each step an elastic type as raw, abstract, or drop, at every decision step based on the current task state. This reversible design ensures that the main LLM always receives a compact yet information-rich context. We adapt ACE to four diverse agent frameworks, including ReAct, DeepAgent, WebThinker, and MiroFlow, without training or architectural modifications. Experiments show that ACE consistently outperforms truncation and summarization baselines, and brings consistent performance gains across all four agent frameworks.
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All authors Ning Liao, Zihao Long, Xiaoxing Wang, Xue Yang, Yaoming Wang, Ziyuan Zhuang, Xunliang Cai, Rongxiang Weng, Junchi Yan

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CR

CVE-TTP KG: Knowledge Graph Linking Software Vulnerabilities to Attack Behaviors

In the evolving threat landscape, adversaries exploit software vulnerabilities to launch sophisticated attacks, challenging traditional defenses. Although databases like CVE and NVD provide detailed technical information, they often lack links to attacker behaviors such as tactics and techniques, limiting effective threat interpretation and response. This work bridges this gap by connecting vulnerabilities with behavioral patterns from the MITRE ATT&CK framework. We construct a CVE-TTP Knowledge Graph that links CVEs to tactics and techniques using classification and relation extraction. Transformer-based models are developed for behavior identification, with CySecBERT achieving macro F1-scores of 87.71% (techniques) and 96.16% (tactics). Also, we created an annotated dataset with 24,820 entities and 43,608 relations for entity and relation extraction. The pipeline-based approach achieves macro F1-scores of 0.86 (entity extraction) and 0.99 (relation extraction), while a span-based joint model achieves 0.78. These outputs are integrated into a Neo4j-based Cyber Threat Knowledge Graph, enabling structured visualization of vulnerabilities.
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All authors Swati Yadav, Dincy R. Arikkat, Basant Agarwal, Serena Nicolazzo, Antonino Nocera, Vinod P

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from eess.AS

Improving multichannel speech enhancement through accurate room-acoustic simulations

Room-acoustic simulations are widely used to augment training data for deep-learning-based speech enhancement. While most pipelines rely on simplified geometrical acoustics, wave-based approaches offer greater physical accuracy. In this work, we examine how simulation fidelity affects multichannel speech enhancement performance. To this end, we train SpatialNet on datasets augmented with different room-acoustic simulation methods and evaluate the resulting models on measured data. We compare lower-fidelity datasets based on geometrical acoustics with a high-fidelity dataset using advanced acoustic modelling and a hybrid combination of wave-based and geometrical acoustics simulations. Training on the high-fidelity dataset results in an up to 38 % relative reduction in median word error rate compared to the lower-fidelity alternatives. These results show that augmentation with high-fidelity room-acoustic simulations directly translates into improved multichannel speech enhancement performance.
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All authors Georg Götz, Alessia Milo, Steinar Gu{\dh}jónsson, Daniel Gert Nielsen, Jesper Pedersen, Finnur Pind

Artificial Intelligence

Modality-Driven Search with Holistic Trace Judging for ARC-AGI-2

Large language models can produce fluent, internally coherent reasoning traces for abstract reasoning tasks while still being confidently wrong - making selection among candidates, not just generation, the central challenge. I present a solver for ARC-AGI-2, a few-shot visual reasoning benchmark, built around two principles: (i) treating reasoning modalities as search operators, generating diverse candidates independently across text, image, and code channels, and (ii) context-preserving holistic judging, in which a judge model jointly compares all candidate reasoning traces within a single long-context prompt. Unlike self-consistency or majority voting, this approach reliably recovers correct minority hypotheses on tasks where the modal answer is wrong. On the ARC Prize semi-private evaluation set, the solver achieves 72.9 percent at USD 38.99 per task - the highest score on the verified leaderboard at the time of writing, exceeding the best standalone frontier models, GPT-5.2 Pro at 54.2 percent and Gemini 3 Pro at 54.0 percent, by +18.7 percentage points. On the public evaluation set, it achieves 76.1 percent at USD 19.69 per task. I release the full source code and document extensive negative results, including the finding that prescriptive prompting templates and iterative refinement systematically reduce hypothesis diversity and degrade performance.
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Artificial Intelligence

A time-series classification framework for individual-level absenteeism prediction under severe class imbalance

Staff absenteeism imposes substantial operational costs in high-demand work environments such as healthcare, emergency services, meat processing, construction, and courier and delivery services, where proactive workforce planning depends on reliable individual-level absence prediction. Existing regression and classification approaches share a structural limitation; they map features observed at time t to labels at the same time t, reproducing already-realised outcomes rather than predicting future events, and discard the sequential behavioural structure inherent in individual attendance histories. We propose a Time Series Classification (TSC) framework that separates historical attendance sequences from future absence labels, enabling genuinely proactive prediction. Due to the lack of public longitudinal attendance data, we construct a reproducible simulated dataset calibrated to the UCI dataset. We analyse Binary Focal Loss (BFL) and Geometric Mean (G-Mean) loss under severe class imbalance using only the imbalance ratio $\rho$. For BFL, the initial gradient ratio is $\rho\alpha/(1-\alpha)$, implying the balanced weight $\alpha = 1/(1+\rho) \approx 0.023$. Experiments show that performance is governed mainly by $\alpha$, with BFL achieving specificity 0.813 and balanced accuracy 0.888, comparable to G-Mean. Unlike BFL, G-Mean adapts automatically without parameter calibration. Among three deep learning architectures evaluated, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), and the hybrid LSTM-Fully Convolutional Network (LSTM-FCN), the LSTM-FCN delivers strong precision and specificity. Stable performance is obtained with batch sizes >= 64 and window sizes between 40-80 days, yielding balanced accuracy of approximately 80% on held-out test data.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

On the Convergence of Self-Improving Online LLM Alignment

The Self-Improving Alignment (SAIL) algorithm addresses distribution shift by reducing a bilevel formulation of the problem to an efficient, single-level method. Empirically, SAIL has demonstrated strong performance on this task. However, a formal analysis of its convergence properties has been lacking. We identify a key theoretical challenge: the standard SAIL objective function is not guaranteed to be strongly concave due to unfavorable properties of its Hessian. To address this limitation, we propose a regularized objective, SAIL-RevKL, which incorporates a reverse Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence penalty to improve the optimization landscape. Our central theoretical contribution is to prove that this regularized objective satisfies the Polyak-Lojasiewicz (PL) condition within a bounded parameter space. We establish global convergence guarantees, achieving a near-linear sample complexity. We further validate the effectiveness and stability of SAIL-RevKL through empirical evaluations, demonstrating that it outperforms the vanilla SAIL on both MuJoCo benchmarks and LLM alignment tasks.
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All authors Xudong Wu, Pangpang Liu, Vaneet Aggarwal, Jiayu Chen

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CL

FinPersona-Bench: A Benchmark for Longitudinal Psychometric Stability of Autonomous Financial Agents

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed as autonomous financial agents initialized with explicit behavioral mandates such as "preserve capital" or "avoid speculative bets" that are meant to govern every decision throughout deployment. In practice, however, as market context accumulates over long horizons, these mandates gradually lose their behavioral influence, a phenomenon we formalize as Mandate Salience Decay (MSD). To measure MSD objectively, we introduce FinPersona-Bench, a simulation benchmark in which a synthetic market decouples observable price from hidden fundamental value, enabling falsifiable evaluation across three failure modes: trading without signal in calm markets, panic-selling during crashes, and ignoring fundamental value during speculative bubbles. Evaluating 18 leading frontier and open-source LLMs, each assigned one of three behavioral profiles ranging from strict capital preservation to aggressive growth, shows that MSD compounds over time and is model-dependent. In crash scenarios, the behavioral gap between static agents and those receiving periodic mandate re-grounding grows 4.4x from the first to the final quarter of the simulation. The effects of mandate re-grounding are not uniformly positive: it consistently helps conservative agents in low-signal markets but actively worsens behavior for aggressive agents in the same setting. These findings suggest that reliable long-horizon deployment requires selective, mandate-aware re-grounding based on agent profile and market regime.
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All authors Muhammad Usman Safder, Ayesha Gull, Rania Elbadry, Fan Zhang, Yankai Chen, Xueqing Peng, Xue Liu, Preslav Nakov, Zhuohan Xie

Artificial Intelligence

Design and Implementation of Agentic Orchestrations and Orchestration of Agents

Agentic Business Process Management has gained momentum recently. The prospect is that the autonomy of AI agents, i.e., predominantly LLM-based agents, can be balanced with a certain level of robustness, tractability, and traceability through a combination with process technology. In this paper, we provide a classification framework for agentic orchestration options along properties such as task specificity, traceability and tractability, autonomy and reactivity, and correctness assurance and present qualitative decision criteria for realizations of different scenarios. We also provide metrics for the quantitative assessment of realization properties and show them through different agentic implementations of a predictive light sensing scenario. Altogether, this work aims at providing properties, criteria, and metrics for the design and implementation of agentic orchestrations and orchestration of agents.
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All authors Stefanie Rinderle-Ma, Juergen Mangler, Johannes Loebbecke, Dominik Voigt, Nataliia Klievtsova, Matthias Ehrendorfer

Artificial Intelligence

Surprise as a Signal for Plasticity and Metacognition

We study a single idea across two settings: that a prediction-error signal, computed by a small predictor over the latent space of a frozen encoder, can serve both as a gate on plasticity and as a substrate for metacognition. In the first system, a non-parametric episodic memory writes a new concept only when this surprise is high, and a periodic offline replay phase consolidates recent traces into a slow linear readout. On a continual stream of 1000 ImageNet classes with a frozen DINOv2 or I-JEPA backbone, the consolidation phase recovers 17.7 points of retention on the oldest classes for DINOv2 and 51.3 points for I-JEPA (single-seed runs), and an ablation shows that replaying only a recent window is worse than no replay at all. In few-shot evaluation the same memory reaches 91.6% on 5-way 1-shot mini-ImageNet, above a task-specific baseline, while a harder 500-way regime exposes the true difficulty. In the second system, the same surprise signal, computed in a shared text-image space, modulates the behaviour of a vision-language model: it answers assertively when a concept is known, hedges when it is partially familiar, and refuses to identify the object and asks for an explanation when it is novel, learning the concept from a single user utterance. The external detector separates known from novel concepts at an AUROC of 0.966 (95% CI +/-0.024), far above the model's own verbalised confidence (0.618), while its token-level confidence sits below chance under greedy decoding; after a sleep phase that empties the fast store, the system recalls 99.2% of fifty taught facts from the consolidated store while a base model recovers none. We report both systems as proof-of-concept, with explicit limitations, and position the second against recent episodic-memory and personalised-VLM work.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.RO

Robustness of Robotic Manipulation: Foundations and Frontiers

Humans and animals exhibit remarkable robustness in physical manipulation, yet robots remain far behind. Progress toward human-level manipulation robustness is hindered by the absence of a unified and systematic understanding: different subfields frame robustness in distinct ways, often leaving the concept ambiguous and limiting deeper analysis as well as communication across research areas. This paper presents a systematic study of manipulation robustness. We begin with a formal definition, characterizing robustness as the degree to which a manipulation system can achieve its goal in the presence of uncertainty and variation. Building on this definition, we introduce general formulations of manipulation robustness from probabilistic and control-theoretic perspectives. We then synthesize the guiding principles and concrete mechanisms of manipulation robustness across perception, planning, control, policy learning, and hardware, illustrating each mechanism through representative works, including foundational and recent studies. In addition, we revisit existing metrics and evaluation methods for quantifying manipulation robustness. Finally, we distill broader lessons for designing robust manipulation systems and discuss open problems and future directions toward achieving human-level robustness in robotic manipulation.
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All authors Yifei Dong, Zhanyi Sun, Lujie Yang, Manuel Baum, Kei Ikemura, Shuran Song, Florian T. Pokorny, Xianyi Cheng

Artificial Intelligence

One Reflection Is Not Enough: Self-Correcting Autonomous Research via Multi-Hypothesis Failure Attribution

Autonomous research agents can now draft hypotheses, write code, run experiments, and produce papers, but they remain brittle when experiments fail. Under the prevailing paradigm, failure recovery is usually delegated to a single free-form reflection: a rich trajectory of metrics, logs, and design choices is compressed into one verbal critique, which often leads either to localized trial-and-error or to hard pivots that discard useful context. We propose SAGE, a Self-correcting, Autonomous, Grounded Experimenter, to tackle this failure-recovery bottleneck. Its core mechanism, Multi-Hypothesis Failure Attribution (MHFA), treats recovery as a structured causal diagnosis. By analyzing dynamic trajectory features, MHFA systematically generates multiple evidence-grounded explanations for a failure, independently evaluates their severity, and deterministically routes the verified root cause to the correct intervention level (hypothesis, experimental design, or implementation). To guarantee scientific honesty, SAGE further employs a grounded reporting mechanism that explicitly constrains drafted results to actual measured values, redacting hallucinated numbers. On a 12-topic, 5-domain benchmark, SAGE increases metrics-bearing outputs from 42% to 92% over a reflection baseline, improves artifact quality from 5.00 to 6.75/10, and blindly outscores AI-Scientist-v2 (52.0 vs. 48.2), with gains concentrated in code development and execution. While fully autonomous scientific writing and generating conference-ready papers remain notoriously difficult open problems for the entire field, SAGE successfully produces significantly more reliable and higher-quality scientific artifacts. Ultimately, by coupling structured recovery with explicit grounding constraints, SAGE significantly outperforms monolithic reflection paradigms, establishing a highly trustworthy foundation for future autonomous research.
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All authors Jie Ma, Binfei Chu, Jie Gao, Jinlu Zhang, Yiwei Ma, Yi Tan, Jiayi Ji, Xiaoshuai Sun, Rongrong Ji

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from eess.SP

Von Mises Based Uncertainty Quantification for Closely Spaced Automotive Radar Targets

This work investigates uncertainty-aware deep learning approaches for direction of arrival (DOA) estimation in automotive radar, focusing on probabilistic modeling and downstream integration. A circular-statistics-based von Mises (VM) ensemble (ENS) is compared with an evidential deep learning (EDL) framework based on a normal inverse gamma formulation, yielding a Student t predictive distribution in the Euclidean domain. The ENS framework produces angular predictions parameterized by (mu, kappa), enabling interpretable uncertainty aligned with directional geometry. Performance is evaluated under in distribution and multiple out-of-distribution conditions using risk coverage and ROC or AUROC analyses. Results indicate that ENS achieves lower uncertainty under nominal conditions and exhibits stronger sensitivity to severe perturbations, whereas EDL provides smoother uncertainty variation and slightly improved ranking consistency. Importantly, the ENS representation enables direct probabilistic integration into association modules via closed form VM likelihoods, facilitating a unified detection tracking pipeline. These findings highlight a trade-off between geometric consistency and statistical generality in uncertainty-aware DOA estimation.
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Artificial Intelligence

CLOUDADV: Decision-Aligned Instance Sizing with Zero-Shot Foundation Models under Drift

Cloud virtual machines are often overprovisioned, creating avoidable cost and operational inefficiency. We present CLOUDADV, an interactive engineer-facing advisory system for cloud instance sizing under workload drift. The system combines zero-shot time-series forecasting with bounded recommendation generation across day-, week-, and month-scale planning horizons. For each query, CLOUDADV constructs a structured decision context from historical utilization, forecast summaries, current VM metadata, candidate instance options, pricing, and explicit sizing heuristics. A higher-capacity LLM is used offline to generate reference recommendations, while a smaller production model is evaluated on the same prompts to assess deployment-time alignment under latency and cost constraints. Evaluation prioritizes downstream recommendation quality using simulated Azure cost savings and ex-post exceedance, with rolling-origin forecast accuracy reported as a secondary diagnostic against classical and supervised baselines. In a case study of seven production VMs, the reference recommendations reduce simulated monthly cost from about \$1,503 to \$708, yielding \$795/month in savings (52.9%) under conservative heuristic constraints, while the highest observed exceedance rate among downgraded cases is 1.5%. Although Chronos-2 does not minimize every forecasting metric, it often induces recommendation patterns similar to those of a supervised per-VM baseline. These results suggest that zero-shot foundation models can support decision-aligned provisioning in non-stationary cloud environments while reducing the operational burden of repeated per-tenant retraining, revalidation, and redeployment.
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All authors Jack Bell, Giacomo Carfi, Gerlando Gramaglia, Andrea Simioni, Daniele Fontani, Vincenzo Lomonaco

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CL

Team MKC at CLPsych 2026: Capturing and Characterizing Mental Health Changes through Social Media Timeline Dynamics

Recent advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) have motivated their adoption across a wide range of domains, including Artificial Intelligence (AI) for mental health. Given the growing prevalence of mental health disorders worldwide and the limited accessibility of professional care, there is an increasing demand for scalable computational approaches that can assist in early detection and continuous monitoring of psychological well-being. In this area, ongoing efforts have focused on curating domain-specific datasets and leveraging them to develop LLMs capable of supporting holistic mental health analysis. In line with this direction, we propose an LLM-based pipeline for comprehensive mental health analysis over sequentially ordered user posts, as part of the CLPsych shared task. Our pipeline offers a unified framework that jointly enables post-level assessment and user-level temporal modeling.
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All authors Kyomin Hwang, Hyeonjin Kim, Hyunho Lee, Nojun Kwak

Artificial Intelligence

CSTrader: A Testbed for Language-Grounded Trading in a Community-Driven Virtual Asset Market

Niche asset markets, such as Counter-Strike 2 (CS2) weapon skins, are small, volatile, and heavily driven by community discussions and platform rules. These properties make them hard for traditional quantitative models, but provide an ideal testbed for studying how large language models (LLMs) turn unstructured text into trading actions. We present CSTrader, a multi-agent framework for language-grounded trading in the CS2 skin market. The system first integrates heterogeneous signals from various sources, then uses specialized agents for technical analysis, liquidity, events, and (reversed) sentiment, and finally applies risk control, transaction friction, and portfolio management agents to produce buy, sell, or hold decisions under realistic trading frictions. We build a live-like evaluation environment with real CS2 data from a highly volatile period and evaluate several recent LLM backbones. Across models, CSTrader consistently outperforms both a falling market index (-15.62%) and simple single-prompt LLM baselines, achieving up to a 7.58% cumulative return with controlled risk. Ablation studies show that liquidity, reversed sentiment, and transaction friction agents are crucial for turning noisy language signals into stable profits, suggesting that niche, language-driven markets are a useful benchmark for future language-to-action research. Code is available at: https://github.com/IatomicreactorI/CSGOTrading?tab=readme-ov-file#quick-start
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All authors Yao Shi, Kingfung Luo, Nan Tang, Yuyu Luo

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.RO

UniTac: A Unified Multimodal Model for Cross-Sensor Tactile Understanding and Generation

Unified multimodal models (UMMs) have shown great promise in integrating understanding and generation across diverse modalities. However, existing research rarely extends this paradigm to the tactile domain, where both object-level semantics and sensor-level configurations jointly determine the meaning of touch. To address this gap, we propose UniTac, the first UMM designed for tactile understanding and generation. UniTac models the tactile process as a transition from non-contact to contact, capturing the physical interaction between sensors and objects through a dual-level representation that encodes both sensor and object attributes. For tactile understanding, UniTac introduces two tasks, object property description and sensor identification, to enhance reasoning over physical and cross-sensor information. For tactile generation, we design a two-stage training paradigm consisting of reconstruction and alignment, together with a sensor-prior-based sampling strategy that simulates realistic tactile contact. Trained on large-scale multi-sensor datasets, UniTac achieves state-of-the-art performance in tactile understanding and generates realistic tactile signals across sensors.
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All authors Jiahang Tu, Fengyu Yang, Chenyang Ma, Xihang Yu, Ziyao Zeng, Shaokai Wu, Hanbin Zhao, Zhi Tao, Chao Zhang, Hui Qian, Alex Wong

Artificial Intelligence

Who Determines the Meaning of an Emotion? Affective Sovereignty as an Epistemic Consequence of Measurement Limits

Emotion-sensing AI is rapidly becoming embedded in vehicles, home appliances, dialogue agents, and social infrastructure, giving rise to a sphere in which emotion is no longer confined to individual experience but is instead observed and computed at a societal scale, a domain we term the Affectosphere. Yet a central normative question in this domain has remained underexplored: who has the final authority to determine the meaning of one's own emotion? This study addresses the question from the epistemological side of measurement's structural limits. We define a meaning distribution as the distribution of labels assigned by annotators drawn from a population under a fixed annotation protocol, and decompose its uncertainty into reducible and irreducible components. We then demonstrate that, while emotion AI can assign high-confidence point labels and discriminate real differences at an aggregate level, the irreducible component of the meaning distribution for individual instances cannot be estimated with adequate coverage under realistic annotator counts, a systematic divergence we term the epistemic gap. The key finding is that high device confidence does not constitute evidence that irrecoverable meaning has been recovered. From this epistemic gap, together with an explicitly stated normative premise, namely that the output of a system which cannot recover a quantity in principle must not be treated as its authoritative determination, we derive the norm that the final interpretive authority over the meaning of one's emotion is procedurally reserved for the experiencing subject, the norm of affective sovereignty. These results suggest that the design, evaluation, and regulation of emotion AI should place explicit allocation of interpretive authority, rather than accuracy maximisation, at their core.
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Artificial Intelligence

CDR-Bench: Evaluating Faithful Execution of Compositional, Order-Sensitive Data Refinement Recipes

Data refinement involves executing multi-step recipes over evolving text states, where both composition and execution order of processing operators determine the outcome. While existing benchmarks either isolate text editing or entangle it with code and tool execution, it remains unclear whether LLMs can directly and faithfully execute these compositional, order-sensitive data refinement recipes. To fill this gap, we introduce CDR-Bench, a comprehensive benchmark featuring 3,462 high-quality tasks spanning four real-world data refinement domains and 29 distinct operators. Our benchmark evaluates models across atomic, order-agnostic, and order-sensitive settings, leveraging deterministic reference outputs to enable exact evaluation. Experiments on 10+ state-of-the-art LLMs reveal consistent failure patterns: performance degrades sharply in compositional settings, and order-sensitive recipe success collapses. These findings underline that current LLMs lack the procedural faithfulness required for reliable compositional data refinement.
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All authors Yuchen Huang, Xiang Li, Zhenqing Ling, Sijia Li, Qianli Shen, Daoyuan Chen, Yi R. Fung, Yaliang Li

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.DB

DA-Studio: An Agentic System for End-to-End Data Analysis

Real-world data analysis is a multi-step process over heterogeneous inputs rather than merely producing a final answer. A practical system should autonomously organize multi-step workflows, execute generated code in a sandboxed and controllable environment, and remain inspectable through visible action traces and intermediate artifacts. Existing LLM-based analysis tools, however, often emphasize isolated subtasks, leaving limited support for complete execution-grounded workflows. We present DA-Studio (Data Analysis Studio), an interactive web-based demo system for end-to-end data analysis that is autonomous, sandboxed, and inspectable. DA-Studio integrates an action-structured analysis backend, a sandboxed execution workspace, and a browser interface for task setup, streamed action traces, artifact preview, code editing and rerunning, and report export. Through iterative action generation, code execution, and feedback incorporation, it incrementally constructs executable analysis steps from raw files and natural-language requests while exposing intermediate results and artifacts throughout the process.
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