Machine Learning
When does a network's training history predict its future learning better than its current state? Evidence from a response probe and a forecasting screen
Martin Hofmann and Patrick Mäder
Networks that behave alike now can still learn differently when training continues. Work on loss of plasticity and critical periods shows that the path to a state shapes what follows; it does not show whether the path carries information that a measurement of the state itself misses. We ask when the training history of a network predicts its future learning better than its current state. In a main study, small multilayer perceptrons were trained under three history regimes (42 histories), and future learning was measured at four checkpoints by a short probe: a copy of the network trained for 100 updates on a new task. Before the prediction result was read, the protocol checked the probe. It responded monotonically to a function-preserving rescaling of hidden units, repeated measurements agreed (intraclass correlation 0.940, [0.903, 0.997], in the least reliable class, mean of three repeats), and a re-initialisation of units was visible directly after it but not 100 to 200 updates later. A history state of at most four dimensions did not improve on a calibrated model of the current state (gain -21.4%, 90% interval [-91.9, 8.1]; required in advance: 10%). A companion screen on 1,560 synthetic regression runs asked the same question for a target further away, the final error of the run. There, history models forecast better than the current validation error after 12 of up to 240 epochs (compact state 30.3%, [15.8, 39.4], a contextual comparison) and were not distinguishable from it after 48. In both studies the history was informative only while the current state was not yet informative about the target; this reading was formed after the results.
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Machine Learning
The Identifiability and Observability of Deep Normalized Attention
Pranav Venkata Konda
We study which parameters of deep, unmasked, single-head
attention are determined by its input–output function. For known positive nonconstant real-analytic normalizers, the function generically determines the effective scores and combined value map up to the signs induced by even normalizers. This proves the real-analytic case of a
conjecture of Henry–Marchetti–Kohn, including softmax. We then classify exceptional fibers under explicit normalizer conditions, identifying when collapse makes later scores unobservable, and establish sharp Taylor orders for local identification. Near simultaneous query/key collapse, we compute the complete native Jacobian decay spectrum on separating finite input banks. For common first nonconstant normalizer degree $k$, layer $i$ has contact order $2k3^{i-1}-1$, with exact multiplicities and kernel dimension. High-precision and automatic differentiation calculations illustrate the resulting loss of numerical sensitivity.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from eess.SP
Second-order optimization of variable projection SVM models and road abnormality detection
Andrea Angino, Matthias Voigt, Rolf Krause et al. (+1 more)
We introduce a novel second-order optimization framework for minimizing so-called variable projection functionals. We demonstrate that the proposed framework is especially usefulfor the training of variable projection based kernel methods. In particular, the problem of efficiently training variable projection support vector machines (VP-SVMs) is considered. We show the effectiveness of the proposed training methodology in a real-world application, namely we demonstrate how second-order trust region
algorithms can be used to train VPSVM models to recognize road surface abnormalities based on 1D signals obtained from a tire sensor.
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All authors Andrea Angino, Matthias Voigt, Rolf Krause, Tamás Dózsa
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from q-fin.ST
Residual Learning in Empirical Asset Pricing
Dexin Peng and Xiaoyu Wang
Shallow models are special cases of deep models, and deep models theoretically have the potential to outperform the shallow ones. However, the existing empirical asset pricing literature provides strong
benchmarks for shallow models. Residual learning allows neural network models in asset pricing to go deeper by preserving and refining their shallow counterparts. The out-of-sample Sharpe ratio for value-weighted long-short portfolios of deep residual models (2.07) is higher than that for the corresponding shallow ones (1.92) and more than twice that of the deep feedforward models (0.89). We show that model depth is a source of additional economic value in asset pricing. Residual learning can be used to deepen other neural-network-based asset pricing models if they contain intermediate layers. Our design also provides one way to scale asset pricing models, making native "large asset pricing models" more feasible.
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Machine Learning
Sequential Pretraining Favors Large Models
Mohnish Harwani and Yujia Zheng
Large neural networks often acquire capabilities that small models fail to learn. Does this stem from large models learning more representative features, or from being more robust to unaccounted-for adverse effects introduced during training? We define and quantify one such adverse effect, primacy bias, as the extent to which exposure to early data distributions impairs later learning. We show that small models can allocate learning capacity inefficiently toward early distributions, whereas sufficiently overparameterized models are robust to this effect. This inefficiency is particularly consequential in pretraining, where foundation models often encounter heterogeneous data distributions sequentially rather than jointly. As a result, small foundation models can struggle to learn distributions encountered late in training, which is particularly harmful when later data emphasizes desirable capabilities such as code, mathematics, and
reasoning. Motivated by these findings, we introduce Exposure Therapy (ET), a simple regularization that promotes more efficient allocation of learning capacity during sequential pretraining. We demonstrate that ET improves foundation models' performance on late data distributions as well as overall capability in models up to the billion-parameter scale. Overall, our results suggest that some benefits of large foundation models may arise from greater robustness to adverse training effects, rather than from learning more representative features, and that improved training
algorithms can recover some of these advantages in smaller models.
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Machine Learning
Decoupled Optimization for Teacher-Student Semi-Supervised Learning via a Pioneer Student
Haorong Han, Jidong Yuan, Chixuan Wei et al. (+1 more)
Semi-supervised learning (SSL) relies on two core mechanisms: self-training under the Teacher-Student (T-S) framework and joint optimization of labeled and unlabeled losses. Despite their effectiveness, we find both mechanisms introduce distinct optimization pathologies. First, parameter coupling enforces strict synchronization between teacher and student, where strong regularization on the student degrades the teacher's fitting ability, thereby limiting the permissible generalization intensity. Second, the imbalance in gradient update consistency between labeled and unlabeled losses drives the shared parameters to prematurely converge to labeled-dominated local minima, creating a bottleneck for global optimization. To address both issues, we propose the Pioneer Student (PiS), an auxiliary branch that operates in an independent parameter space and periodically transfers accumulated knowledge back to the T-S model. Extensive experiments show that PiS is a universal plug-and-play module that consistently improves mainstream SSL methods.
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All authors Haorong Han, Jidong Yuan, Chixuan Wei, Yongqi Sun
Machine Learning
Lightweight and Versatile Learned Optimization by Recombination of Gradient History
Minyoung Choi, Dalta Imam Maulana and Wanyeong Jung
This paper presents a lightweight and versatile learned optimizer that dynamically recombines gradient history, represented as averages over disjoint time spans. The optimizer reduces the prediction space to one scalar coefficient per gradient average, shared by multiple parameters. Progressively averaging older gradients minimizes
memory cost of long history, while keeping their contributions independently accessible. A 37k-parameter network trained in 0.87 GPU-hours generalizes zero-shot to unseen tasks, lowering validation loss by 9.1% and 0.4% on BERT-Tiny and GPT-Tiny, and improving test accuracy over Adam by 3.5 %p on a
Vision Transformer and by 2.7 %p on average across nine graph models, with FLOPs overhead as low as 0.3%.
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Machine Learning
COPC: Coupled Off-Policy Correction for Asynchronous LLM Reinforcement Learning
Zicheng Hu, Zhijian Zhou, Xuan Zhang et al. (+7 more)
Asynchronous RL accelerates large
language model post-training by decoupling rollout generation from optimization, but trains on stale trajectories. Existing methods primarily correct
token-level policy mismatch through importance-ratio control in the actor objective. We show that this policy-side correction alone is insufficient: advantage estimates also inherit mismatch from behavior-policy continuations, which we term advantage staleness. We derive exact bias and variance decompositions for a general two-channel actor update, revealing nonseparable coupling between policy-weight and advantage-estimation errors: their interaction induces multiplicative bias terms, while squared policy weights amplify advantage uncertainty in gradient variance. This motivates the hypothesis that policy- and advantage-side correction should be coordinated. We introduce Coupled Off-Policy Correction (COPC), an actor–critic method combining
token-level ratio masking with two-sided clipped-ratio weighting of TD residuals for return and advantage estimation. Joint parameter sweeps across staleness levels support this hypothesis: the effect of one correction parameter depends on, and can reverse with, the other. COPC achieves the highest reported performance on tool-integrated mathematical
reasoning and search, outperforming the strongest reported asynchronous baseline in each setting. It also offers a broad high-performing parameter region and improved training stability. In search, COPC remains stable throughout training, while most evaluated asynchronous baselines collapse late in training. These gains persist at 64-step policy staleness. COPC adds minimal step-time overhead over asynchronous PPO and retains a $1.7\times$ step-time speedup over synchronous PPO.
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All authors Zicheng Hu, Zhijian Zhou, Xuan Zhang, Yuchen Liu, Cheng Chen, Yuan Li, Qi Gu, Yan Feng, Hongyan Hao, Chao Qu
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML
Scalable Logistic Gaussian Process Density Regression with Kinetic Langevin Sampling
Daniel Paulin, Ádám Jung and András A. Benczúr
Conditional density estimation targets the full distribution of a response given
covariates, as required, for example, for per-
galaxy photometric
redshifts. We develop a scalable
Bayesian estimator based on the logistic Gaussian process. The log conditional density has a separable covariance: a Matérn kernel along the response, represented in a truncated
Fourier basis on a circle, and a
covariate kernel represented by Nyström features, which accommodate non-stationary kernels with input-dependent amplitudes and length scales. Instead of a Laplace or variational approximation, we sample the latent field of this finite-feature model. Given the hyperparameters, its posterior is strongly log-concave with a uniformly bounded Hessian, and we draw from it by simulating kinetic Langevin dynamics with symmetric minibatch splitting in Kronecker-whitened coordinates. Marginal-likelihood gradients follow from Fisher's identity as posterior expectations. Under the conditions of our analysis their bias is controlled by the sampler's step size and run length, and the predictive averages over the non-Gaussian latent posterior instead of a Gaussian around its mode. On photometric-
redshift benchmarks with up to 3.9 million training observations, trained on a single GPU, the
estimator is competitive with state-of-the-art tabular foundation models on density and calibration metrics.
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Machine Learning
Collaborative Reasoning Distillation via Cross-Feedback and Coherent Curation
Taehoon Kim, Seunggeun Cho and Dongsu Han
Reasoning capabilities are critical for advancing Large
Language Models, yet current approaches either require massive computational budgets or struggle to effectively distill
reasoning to smaller models. Standard
distillation methods rely on outcome-based rewards, failing to distinguish between sound
reasoning and lucky guesses. We propose Collaborative
Reasoning Distillation (CRD), a framework that enhances
reasoning in compact models through three innovations: (1) interactive cross-feedback where teachers iteratively critique each other's
reasoning, (2) fine-grained step-wise quality assessment capturing logical validity independent of final answers, and (3) coherence-aware step stitching that synthesizes complementary strengths. Students are trained via
Reasoning Quality Optimization (RQO) with budget constraints. Our model, CRD-4B, achieves 97.3% on MATH-500 and 70.3% on AIME'25, surpassing baselines while using only 50K training examples, up to 12 times smaller than the
datasets of comparable models.
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Machine Learning
Online Resource Allocation with an Endogenous Markov State: Fewer LP Solves Earn More
Zhaohua Chen
We study finite-horizon online resource allocation with i.i.d. requests and an endogenous Markov state on a finite state space: each action affects the transition of the state that governs future rewards and resource consumption. In this problem, a transient fluid LP
benchmark upper bounds the expected reward of every nonanticipating policy, while a stationary LP supplies randomized state-dependent controls. We assume that the stationary LP has a unique optimum and identify primal nondegeneracy and irreducibility of the optimal induced kernel as important regularity conditions in this framework. With a known request prior, we show that, under nondegeneracy and irreducibility, both frequent and infrequent re-solving attain $O(1)$ regret. However, under a degenerate optimum, irreducibility yields the sharp worst-case $\Theta(\sqrt{T})$ rate for infrequent re-solving, while frequent re-solving can incur $\Omega(T)$ regret. Thus, more frequent optimization can perform asymptotically worse. With an unknown request prior, we develop a three-phase U-shaped infrequent re-solving policy that coordinates learning and inventory correction with $O(\log\log T)$ LP solves. When the optimal induced kernel is irreducible and the
algorithm is given the optimal target state class and a constant-cost entrance policy, it attains $O(1)$ regret under nondegeneracy and $O(\sqrt{T})$ regret under degeneracy. Without the target-class information, linear minimax regret is unavoidable. Numerical experiments further illustrate the instability of round-by-round re-solving relative to epoch-wise infrequent re-solving, show that thresholding greatly mitigates its loss, and find that infrequent schemes remain dominant under both known and estimated priors.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from physics.chem-ph
PEACE: Covariant learning of nonadiabatic manifolds with parity-resolved Hamiltonians
Rongzhi Gao, Shuguang Chen, Yang Zhou et al. (+3 more)
Nonadiabatic molecular dynamics provides mechanistic insight into light-driven processes and informs the design of molecules and materials for solar energy conversion, photocatalysis and photo switching. Accurately describing these processes requires a representation that respects electronic
symmetry and consistently relates energies to interstate couplings. Here we introduce PEACE, which combines a parity-equivariant latent
Hamiltonian with a learned electronic connection. Controlled ablations reveal the complementary roles of
symmetry-allowed state mixing and electronic-frame variation in reproducing crossing structures and relaxation dynamics. PEACE closely reproduces excited-state population dynamics from first-principles simulations, while its extension to
spin-orbit coupling enables simulations of intersystem crossing. These results demonstrate that a more complete incorporation of the underlying physics into learned electronic representations leads to more accurate predictions of nonadiabatic dynamics.
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All authors Rongzhi Gao, Shuguang Chen, Yang Zhou, GuanHua Chen, Ziyang Hu, ChiYung Yam
Machine Learning
EvoSignal: LLM-Guided Evolutionary Design of Modular Traffic Signal Control Programs
Leizhen Wang, Peibo Duan, Zhenlin Qin et al. (+5 more)
Effective traffic signal control (TSC) requires policies that respond to changing traffic demand and network conditions while meeting different control objectives. However, adapting existing strategies often involves repeated manual design and adjustment, making it difficult to systematically explore better control rules for a target network. Large
language models (LLMs) can automate this process, but directly using them to select signal phases leaves decision rules embedded in black-box models and incurs recurring inference costs and latency. This paper formulates TSC as a modular program design problem and proposes EvoSignal, an LLM-guided evolutionary framework using traffic knowledge and performance feedback. The modular representation separates traffic feature extraction, local phase prioritization, and optional network-based priority adjustment. Starting from several established strategies, EvoSignal improves programs through feedback on congestion and signal operation, retaining strategies with different performance trade-offs. The resulting programs operate without online LLM inference. Simulation experiments across five scenarios on two real-world road networks show that the selected default EvoSignal program reduces waiting time by 16.8–49.2% relative to the lowest waiting time achieved by the 20 conventional, reinforcement learning-based, and LLM-based baselines in each scenario. A program prioritizing travel time and queue length outperforms all 20 baselines on all three metrics in the search scenario and remains among the top three on each metric when transferred unchanged to the other four scenarios. These findings support automated design of inspectable control programs that transfer across the evaluated road networks and traffic demands. Code is available at https://github.com/georgewanglz2019/EvoSignal.
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All authors Leizhen Wang, Peibo Duan, Zhenlin Qin, Yancheng Ling, Jian Xu, Yue Wang, Hao Wang, Zhenliang Ma
Machine Learning
UniCSI Towards a Universal Wi-Fi CSI Encoder for Ubiquitous Human Sensing
Daniel Eckhoff, Hua Kang, Zhitang Chen et al. (+1 more)
Wi-Fi sensing promises to turn the everyday wireless signals that already surround us into ubiquitous sensors for human sensing. However, a fundamental obstacle is that CSI is acquired under diverse device-specific configurations, including different subcarrier counts, bandwidths, and carrier bands. Consequently, the resulting CSI tensors vary in both spectral resolution and tensor shape, making heterogeneous modeling challenging. Standard architectures struggle with such heterogeneity, forcing lossy pre-processing which compromises the underlying signal. To bridge this gap, we present UniCSI, a unified foundation architecture that directly operates on heterogeneous CSI while preserving the integrity of the native waveform. UniCSI hinges on two core innovations: (1) a physics-informed RF tokenizer that encodes each frequency channel based on its fractional position within the physical spectrum rather than rigid array indices. It preserves intrinsic spectral coherence and enables seamless, frequency resolution-agnostic processing across arbitrary sensing configurations. (2) a spectral aggregator that distills variable-length channel sequences into a fixed-size spectral signature, effectively decoupling the feature dimensionality from the physical subcarrier spacing. Extensive evaluations on a large-scale corpus of 25 heterogeneous public
datasets, spanning 14 to 2048 subcarriers, 20 to 160 MHz bandwidth, and the 2.4 and 5 GHz bands, demonstrate that native heterogeneous ingestion substantially improves cross-domain transfer under both supervised and self-supervised training schemes, particularly in regimes where fixed-grid architectures fail to generalize.
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All authors Daniel Eckhoff, Hua Kang, Zhitang Chen, Jie Chuai
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CR
Constitution-Guided Watermarking
Toluwani Aremu, Samuele Poppi and Nils Lukas
Watermarking enables
language model providers to identify text generated by their models. However, its desired properties can conflict (\ie~stronger watermark signals can degrade text quality), while designs that resist editing may also facilitate forgery. Providers address these trade-offs by choosing configurations that balance competing objectives or prioritize particular properties. Either approach imposes a shared operating point on requests with different requirements, potentially sacrificing quality where wording preservation matters or robustness where reliable attribution is essential. To allow flexible and adaptable designs, we introduce Constitution-Guided Watermarking, a framework that selects request-appropriate trade-offs from provider requirements, listed as natural-
language principles. Offline, a pretrained
reasoning agent examines constitutional rules alongside watermark implementations and iteratively refines rule-specific configurations using empirical feedback. At deployment, a separate monitor identifies applicable rules and retrieves the corresponding policy, including watermarking exemptions, without modifying the serving model. Furthermore, our framework supports offline parallel optimization and refinement of rule-specific configurations based on evolving provider requirements without affecting deployment, and binds each deployed configuration to its evaluation evidence, making deployment decisions auditable. In a proof-of-concept evaluation using KGW and a five-rule constitution, our framework selects configurations responsive to provider priorities and improves post-paraphrase detection on robustness-prioritized requests by up to $14$ percentage points over fixed configurations, while matching or exceeding all baselines in aggregate quality and clean detection at a nominal $0.1\%$ false-positive rate.
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Machine Learning
A Framework for the Systematic Review of ML Assets in AI Registries
Alexandra González, Quim Motger, Xavier Franch et al. (+1 more)
Background: Modern software systems increasingly rely on Machine Learning (ML) assets (i.e., pre-trained models,
datasets,
benchmarks) for building, evaluating, and integrating ML-based systems. However, current exploration, selection and reuse practices of ML assets are not supported by systematic
retrieval methodologies comparable to those used in traditional evidence synthesis. Consequently, in practice, ML asset selection is often presented as a settled design decision, supported by informal justification rather than a traceable, evidence-based, and updatable selection process. Aims: This paper explores how systematic review methods can support ML asset
retrieval. In doing so, we aim to make their selection transparent and reproducible, grounded in explicit evidence, and ultimately better suited to its intended use. Method: We analyze established systematic review practices from scientific literature and adapt their phases (i.e., planning, conducting, and documenting) to Artificial Intelligence (AI) registries, treating ML assets as first-class units of analysis. The resulting framework integrates registry-aware search strategies, cross-registry schema
alignment, and dependency-driven ML asset exploration. Results: We conceptualize ML asset
retrieval as a systematic and reproducible process rather than an ad hoc activity, and propose a framework for structured ML asset discovery. Conclusions: This work illustrates how systematic review principles can be extended beyond scientific literature to support evidence synthesis over evolving AI registries.
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All authors Alexandra González, Quim Motger, Xavier Franch, Silverio Martínez-Fernández
Machine Learning
CircuitGate: Logic-Consistent Circuit-Level Functional Modeling for And-Inverter Graphs
Qifan Zhang, Ruijie Li, Fangzhou Zhang et al. (+6 more)
And-Inverter Graphs (AIGs) are fundamental representations for logic synthesis and verification in Electronic Design Automation (EDA). As structured representations of complex digital systems, AIGs require models to capture functional dependencies beyond local structure and remain robust to functionality-preserving transformations. In learning-based AIG representation, existing approaches are predominantly based on GNNs and rely on local gate-level message passing, limiting their ability to capture
circuit-level functional context and making the learned representations sensitive to
topology-specific patterns. Therefore, we propose CircuitGate, a function-aware AIG representation learning framework that advances from gate-level semantics to
circuit-level functional modeling. CircuitGate explicitly encodes global primary-input (PI) support and models support-overlap-aware reconvergence between fanins, while incorporating logic-inspired Boolean constraints to encourage functionally consistent representations. We evaluate CircuitGate on the large-scale ForgeEDA
benchmark and further validate it on the EPFL and ITC'99
benchmarks. Across equivalent-gate identification and signal-probability prediction tasks, CircuitGate consistently outperforms existing methods, achieving up to 21.7% and 14.2% reductions in MAE, respectively. Under direct ForgeEDA-to-OpenABC transfer without fine-tuning, CircuitGate also achieves the best equivalent-gate identification performance, demonstrating strong cross-
dataset generalization. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of modeling
circuit-level functional dependencies beyond local
topology.
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All authors Qifan Zhang, Ruijie Li, Fangzhou Zhang, Qian Ma, Hui Li, Furui Zhan, Yongpeng Wang, Liying Hao, Shikai Guo
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML
Certified by Abstention: Distribution-Free Guarantees for Chain-of-Thought Verifiers at Small Calibration Budgets
Arjun Balaji
Signals that predict whether a chain-of-thought (CoT) trace is correct are compared by AUC, but deploying one requires a threshold with a guarantee. We ask what distribution-free selective guarantees deliver for CoT verifiers at realistic calibration budgets of tens to a few hundred labelled problems, using seven open models, five verifier signals and 37,000 graded traces. The central observation is validity by abstention: an $(\alpha,\delta)$-valid procedure that issues a certificate with probability $P_{\rm fire}$ bounds the failure probability of an issued certificate only by $\delta/P_{\rm fire}$, so a certificate that rarely fires can be valid and wrong every time it is used. In a simulation with known risk the standard certificate fails in at most 0.3% of calibration draws but in up to 69% of those in which it fires. A certification floor and a
lattice condition for Benjamini-Hochberg conformal selection explain why certificates abstain at these budgets, and the data bear them out: the standard certificate returns nothing or a large accepted set, and an unreadable residual-stream probe buys two to three times the coverage of the readable signals, an edge a cross-fitted reconstruction cannot recover linearly from the readable features. We then give a floor-started fixed-sequence certificate, valid without monotonicity assumptions, that covers more than the Bonferroni certificate on every model-signal pair and raises coverage at the non-vacuous target $0.75\pi_0$ from 0.05 to 0.16, although the floor keeps absolute coverage small. Finally, a certificate cannot see what matters after deployment: under
benchmark shift the error among accepted traces tracks the new task's base error, and under best-of-$n$ selection against the verifier it rises past the target while the empirical failure frequency stays below $\delta$, because abstention absorbs the failures.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML
Unpaired Canonical Correlation Analysis
Nir Ben-Ari, Ronen Talmon and Uri Shaham
Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) is a fundamental method for multiview shared space learning. However, its strict reliance on paired data poses a significant limitation, as such data is often difficult to obtain or entirely unavailable. In this paper, we present Unpaired CCA (UCCA), a novel method that learns linear projections to maximize the correlation of the true underlying pairing without access to any paired samples during training. We first establish theoretical results connecting the Quadratic Assignment Problem (QAP) to CCA. Leveraging these theoretical insights, we derive a practical method to maximize correlation exclusively from unpaired data. To the best of our knowledge, UCCA is the first approach to learn maximally correlated projections in a strictly unpaired setting. We validate UCCA on real-world multi-modal
datasets, demonstrating that it significantly outperforms recent unpaired
alignment baselines in recovering the underlying true correlation. This work fills a critical gap between traditional statistical multiview learning and the growing field of unpaired data learning.
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Machine Learning
Align Before You Combine: Reference Space Calibration for Supervision Without Ground Truth
Jackson Eshbaugh and Jorge Silveyra
We introduce a calibration-first framework that produces supervision scores without access to ground-truth labels or a shared annotation space. Our framework aligns subset-specific scorers using a synthetic ordinal reference space before fusion. This reference space is constructed from ordered calibration features that represent the latent concept, providing a common scale on which otherwise incomparable scorer outputs can be aligned. Because our calibration procedure uses the reference space rather than training samples, it is independent of the training set's empirical distribution. Across three
benchmark datasets, our framework consistently outperforms uncalibrated averaging and achieves higher primary-metric point estimates on the evaluation metrics than the best individual scorer. Performance relative to sample-dependent baselines varies by domain, with absolute differences below 0.02 on Ames Housing and below 0.01 on Breast Cancer Wisconsin and Wine Quality. After Bonferroni correction, differences remain significant for all three comparisons on Ames Housing and one on Breast Cancer Wisconsin. Additionally, we show that using fewer calibration levels per feature can closely approximate higher-resolution results at substantially lower computational cost. Together, these results support our framework as a viable approach to construct supervision scores when neither ground-truth labels nor a shared annotation space is available.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML
Reflected Anchored Langevin Algorithms
Changwei Tu, Xiaoyu Wang, Yingli Wang et al. (+2 more)
First order Langevin
algorithms for constrained sampling in machine learning, such as projected Langevin Monte Carlo which are based on discretizations of reflected Langevin dynamics, require differentiable log densities that limits their applicability. This paper introduces reflected anchored Langevin dynamics (RALD), a reflected
diffusion that converges to non-differentiable targets on constrained domains. The method uses a smooth anchored reference potential and multiplies the drift and noise covariance of its reflected Langevin dynamics by the same state dependent scaling factor. Its Euler-Maruyama discretization with projection gives reflected anchored Langevin Monte Carlo (RALMC)
algorithm. We prove explicit convergence bounds and iteration complexity for RALMC in the 2-Wasserstein distance to the target distribution. Numerical experiments are provided to illustrate the theoretical predictions and the empirical performance of the method.
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All authors Changwei Tu, Xiaoyu Wang, Yingli Wang, Xicheng Zhang, Lingjiong Zhu
Machine Learning
Differential Refresh Policies for Models Trained on Lagging Data Snapshots: From a Single-Age Equivalence Limit to an Optimal Per-Segment Allocation
Amit Rajula
Production machine-learning models are derived artifacts of time-bounded training snapshots: a deployed model is a materialized view over a training cut that ages the instant it is built. A common response is to replace the fixed retraining cadence with an adaptive trigger – a weighted staleness score that retrains when accumulated source risk crosses a threshold. We show this is the wrong lever, and identify the right one. First, an equivalence limit: any refresh trigger that is a static, strictly monotone function of a single shared global training-data age is operationally equivalent to a calibrated uniform age timer, so a global staleness budget, however elaborately it weights segments, sources, and sensitivities, carries no scheduling information a clock does not. The limit also shows how to escape it: refresh segments differentially, giving each its own age and refresh interval, which is meaningful when refresh cost is separable across segments (incremental training or per-segment models). We solve the resulting budget-allocation problem. In the frequent-refresh regime each segment's optimal refresh rate is proportional to the square root of its risk $w_j \lambda_j$ (weight times change rate), and the optimal policy never costs more than the uniform timer, beating it by a closed-form Cauchy-Schwarz "price of uniformity" that is zero for homogeneous workloads and grows with heterogeneity. In a discrete-event simulation with real Poisson change events, the optimal policy lowers realized weighted stale exposure by 8-29% relative to the uniform timer at matched refresh budget, winning on 86-100% of seeds; a naive exposure-threshold policy does not, showing the allocation is what helps; and the advantage survives 50% rate-estimation noise. The leverage in model refresh is not a better score but a better action.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV
It Is Not Seeing the Hazard: A Frozen Vision-Language Safety Score Measures Its Caption Bank
Samuel Tetteh and Cody Fleming
Frozen
vision-
language models increasingly provide safety signals for reinforcement learning. Their use assumes that similarity to
language describing danger indicates the hazard itself. Yet policy return and collision rate cannot reveal whether a score detects hazards or responds to correlated features of the scene. VLM-based methods have reported gains in driving and safe-RL
benchmarks by converting image-text similarity into rewards, costs, or confidence weights. Such signals promise to reduce reliance on manually designed feedback. They may also reflect
prompt structure,
embedding geometry, or camera viewpoint, leaving their safety meaning unverified. To address this gap, we present a controlled evaluation of a frozen CLIP
prompt-margin safety score. We apply the score to trajectories generated by policies that never receive it, match pre-contact observations to contact-free observations with comparable hazard geometry, and vary the captions, encoder, and camera view. Across three policies, 180 episodes, and 130 isolated contact onsets, the score decreases for about twenty steps before contact. Mechanism controls indicate that the score mainly tracks resemblance to the scene shared by its captions and changes with caption separation and camera view. A constant-confidence control retains the lower catastrophe-rate point estimate, so policy gains do not establish hazard perception.
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Machine Learning
Physics-Informed Neural Plasticity: PDE Solvers That Reshape Themselves
Chun-Wun Cheng, Bingcheng Hu and Angelica I. Aviles-Rivero
Physics-informed neural PDE solvers adapt their parameters to satisfy governing equations, yet their representational structure typically remains fixed throughout training. This rigidity is poorly matched to PDE solutions with strongly heterogeneous complexity across space and space–time, leaving capacity insufficient where the physics is difficult and redundant where it is simple. We introduce physics-informed neural plasticity, a paradigm in which the representation itself reshapes during optimization in response to unresolved physics. We instantiate this principle with Representation Capacity Adaptation for PDEs (ReCAP), a Gaussian-localized solver that dynamically redistributes capacity through local enrichment, residual-directed splitting, gate-based
pruning, and function-aware merging. ReCAP uses responsibility-weighted error indicators and the geometry of residual energy to determine where and how to refine. To limit the disturbance introduced by splitting, we introduce quiet-child refinement, which initializes new components by transporting the parent representation while controlling instantaneous functional perturbation. We further establish conditional a posteriori reliability and structural-stability guarantees linking localized physics residuals to solution error and stable refinement. Across five challenging 3D and 4D PDE
benchmarks against 11 physics-informed solvers, ReCAP achieves the lowest relative $L^2$ error on every problem, reducing error by $10.7\%$–$27.5\%$ relative to the strongest competing result. These results suggest that physics-informed solvers need not merely learn their parameters—they can learn how their representational capacity should be organized.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV
TERRA: Learning Transportable Latent Actions through Temporal Effect Representation and Relational Alignment
Tianxingjian Ding, Mubarak Shah and Yu Tian
Latent actions supervise
robot policies with action-like codes inferred from visual transitions, and their usefulness hinges on two questions: what a code keeps from a transition, and whether it still means the same thing when reused in a different initial state. The first is a tension in time: an endpoint difference discards how motion unfolds, while the full sequence admits nuisance variation. The second is left open by reconstruction, which only ever observes a latent together with the state it came from. We argue that both questions can be answered in the same place. TERRA (Temporal Effect Representation and Relational
Alignment) describes a transition by a compact temporal effect, its net feature change together with a low-order within-window dynamics component, and learns a continuous latent from this effect. The same effect space then serves as the reference for reuse: Effect-Anchored Transport (EAT) decodes a latent in other initial states and anchors the resulting effect to the one observed at its source, so that the latent is shaped by what it does across contexts rather than only by the transition it came from. With frozen linear readers, TERRA predicts actions more accurately than UniVLA and a LAPA-style baseline, degrades more slowly under visual distractors, and keeps transported transitions faithful to the donor action as the recipient context moves farther away; a same-budget control shows that these gains come largely from EAT. At matched pretraining scale, the complete system reaches 93.4% average success on LIBERO, compared with 91.8% for UniVLA.
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Machine Learning
Safe on Average, Unsafe in the Tail: When Is the Episodic-Cost Tail Controllable?
Samuel Tetteh and Cody Fleming
Safe reinforcement learning seeks policies that maximize return while satisfying constraints on cumulative cost. Most methods impose these constraints on expected episodic cost. Consequently, standard evaluations report mean episodic cost without characterizing how cost is distributed across episodes. A policy that satisfies the mean-cost criterion may therefore remain unsafe in its worst episodes. Mean-cost reporting neither identifies this tail violation nor shows whether it can be brought within budget while preserving return. In this work, we measure the episodic-cost tail using $\mathrm{CVaR}_{0.1}$, the average cost of the worst $10\%$ of episodes. We classify a policy as tail-safe when $\mathrm{CVaR}_{0.1}$ is within the safety budget. This allows us first to identify policies that are safe on average but unsafe in the tail and then to study whether their tail violations can be controlled while preserving return. To identify tail-unsafe policies, we evaluate five standard
algorithms on three Safety-Gymnasium navigation tasks. We then examine four constraint families on dense-hazard navigation and assess tail control across four navigation and four locomotion tasks.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML
Adjoint-Based Calibration and Optimal Control of Stochastic Multiscale Bioprocess Digital Twins
Keilung Choy and Wei Xie
We develop a bias-aware digital-twin calibration and control framework for multiscale bioprocess models within a biological systems-of-systems (Bio-SoS) paradigm. The digital twin is represented by a
stochastic differential equation (SDE) model and calibrated from sparse, discrete observations using quasi-likelihood estimation and adjoint sensitivity analysis. SDE generator-based moment expansions characterize truncation-induced parameter bias, while forward-backward adjoints quantify how calibration uncertainty propagates to value functions and policy performance. The resulting parameter-error distribution supports both policy-directed adaptive experimental design and uncertainty-aware policy optimization through a second-order Gaussian-averaged objective. We characterize the asymptotic behavior of the resulting exploration criterion and derive a physical-system performance under the optimized policy. To implement these ideas, we develop an Actor-Simulator
algorithm that jointly updates model parameters, selects informative experiments, and optimizes control policies. Numerical studies demonstrate improved calibration accuracy, sample efficiency, and control performance relative to state-of-the-art baselines.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV
SpatialUQ: Post-Hoc Uncertainty Quantification from Spatial Consistency in Black-Box Vision Models
Md Kawsher Mahbub, Milon Biswas, Mirza Niaz Morshed et al. (+1 more)
Clinical
vision models are often deployed as frozen black boxes with no access to internals, retraining, or ground truth at inference time. We introduce SpatialUQ, a post-hoc uncertainty method using only output probabilities. It measures the Jensen-Shannon divergence between the global prediction and the mean of five fixed spatial crops in six deterministic forward passes. The premise is simple, trustworthy predictions are spatially consistent. On NIH ChestX-ray14 (DenseNet-121, $N{=}25{,}596$), our Multicrop Uncertainty Score (MUS) reaches $0.784$ failure-detection AUC versus $0.664$ for MC-Dropout ($p{<}10^{-6}$) at one-fifth the compute, with native calibration ($\text{SCE}{=}0.049$ vs.\ $0.127$ for $\ell_1$), the best-calibrated among methods above 0.78 AUC. A supervised fusion of MUS with
entropy, confidence, and $\ell_1$ reaches $0.832$, outperforming a five-member ensemble ($0.813$). MUS scales with model quality, reaching $0.899$ with BiomedCLIP ($\rho = 0.846$), while this relationship remains meaningful in-distribution ($\rho = 0.523$) but breaks down under severe distribution shift (VinBigData, $\rho = 0.027$). MUS is well-suited to diffuse findings but is less dependable for small focal lesions such as nodules. Code and experimental materials are publicly available at https://huggingface.co/
datasets/kawsher11/SpatialUQ.
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All authors Md Kawsher Mahbub, Milon Biswas, Mirza Niaz Morshed, Wei Yu
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.RO
Sparse Feature Policy Unlearning Mitigates State Hallucination in Vision-Language-Action Models
Jiho Lee, Jeongeun Park, Heayoun Choi et al. (+2 more)
Vision-
Language-Action (VLA) models have shown strong generalization in robotic manipulation by leveraging rich representations from pretrained
vision-
language models. However, their deployment in real-world environments remains limited by recurring unreliable behaviors. In this work, we study state
hallucination, a recurring failure pattern in which a VLA continues acting as if an unrealized
robot-object state had been achieved. Our analyses find that state
hallucination coincides with weakened
attention to task-relevant visual regions, and a mechanistic interpretation via sparse autoencoders reveals that
hallucination-associated sparse features are activated when these failures occur. Based on this analysis, we propose SOUL (Sparse feature pOlicy UnLearning), which selectively unlearns policy knowledge associated with state
hallucination behaviors, where sparse features identified from
hallucination failures and successful behaviors serve as explicit forgetting and retention targets, respectively. Experiments across VLA architectures in simulated and real-world environments show that our method substantially reduces hallucinated failures and improves task success without substantially compromising the existing manipulation capabilities. These results suggest that interpretable feature analysis provides a practical basis for selectively modifying undesirable knowledge in
robot policies.
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All authors Jiho Lee, Jeongeun Park, Heayoun Choi, Taekyung Kim, Eunwoo Kim
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.DB
Correspondences as Decisions: JevNexus for Decision-Centric Schema Matching
Runze Li, Hanchen Wang, Ying Zhang et al. (+1 more)
Schema matching increasingly uses generative
language models to rerank retrieved column candidates, although the underlying task is a bounded correspondence decision. We present JevNexus, which combines typed pairwise decisions with schema/instance evidence and invokes listwise refinement only when the evidence disagrees and the fused margin is small. The evaluation covers 561 cases from six
benchmark families. JevNexus obtains
dataset-macro MRR and Hits@1 of 0.930 and 0.909, compared with 0.926 and 0.903 for Magneto, while reducing mean latency from 123.452 to 15.929 seconds (7.750). Paired analysis finds no statistically significant difference in either MRR or Hits@1. The gate invokes listwise refinement for only 5.665% of source columns and avoids the degradation caused by unconditional refinement. Code and experimental artifacts are available at https://github.com/RazeenLI/JevNexus.
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All authors Runze Li, Hanchen Wang, Ying Zhang, Wenjie Zhang