Machine Learning
Spectral Initialization and Scheduled Graph Smoothness for Uncertain Knowledge Graph Completion
Md Abrar Jahin, Taufikur Rahman Fuad, Jay Pujara et al. (+1 more)
Uncertain knowledge graphs (UKGs) extend knowledge graphs by assigning each triple a continuous confidence score. Since most possible triples lack observed confidences, recent methods rely on semi-supervised learning to generate pseudo-labels. These methods initialize entity
embeddings without using the confidence-weighted graph, discarding its global community and hub structure. We introduce QUEST, which adds no trainable parameters to the standard confidence-distribution learning pipeline. First, QUEST initializes entity
embeddings using the smallest non-trivial eigenvectors of the confidence-weighted graph
Laplacian, incorporating community and hub structure before training. Second, QUEST applies an unbiased mini-batch Dirichlet energy regularizer to enforce early-stage structural consistency. On two UKG
datasets, QUEST improves confidence prediction and link prediction on six of eight metric-
dataset pairs over prior methods and matches the previous best on the remaining two, while removing the instability spike observed on dense graphs. These results indicate that spectral structural priors combined with a graph Dirichlet energy regularizer improve accuracy, training stability, and checkpoint reliability in UKG completion.
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All authors Md Abrar Jahin, Taufikur Rahman Fuad, Jay Pujara, Craig A. Knoblock
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV
Orthogonal Ensembles and Tested Explanations for Performer-Independent Body-Motion Emotion Recognition
Naoto Nishida and Yoshio Ishiguro
We study body-only, 12-class acted-
emotion classification from skeleton motion under leave-performer-out (LPO) evaluation, a hard, underdetermined setting: chance is 8.3%, and a protocol-matched reproduced STGCN++ baseline reaches only 25.73 +/- 4.03% Macro-F1. We show that reliable gains come not from a new architecture but from combining eleven models with orthogonal error modes: under 10-fold LPO cross-validation on the labeled training performers, an equal-weight logit-mean ensemble reaches 36.80 +/- 4.00% per-fold Macro-F1, a protocol-matched +11.07 pp (+43% relative) over the same-split reproduced baseline. Our central contribution is a tested explanation suite: for a strong ensemble member, part-masking and counterfactual edits show (rather than assert) that its decisions depend on motion-grounded body-region evidence, and this region saliency aligns with rule-based Laban Movement Analysis (LMA) attributes far more than with classical kinematics: region-level saliency-LMA Spearman rho = +0.500 versus +0.033, roughly 15x, and the
alignment holds for the submitted 11-way ensemble itself at rho = +0.517; the audit is post hoc and needs no retraining. The same suite faithfully reports a negative: within-window temporal saliency is diffuse rather than localized. On the hidden challenge test set the submitted ensemble scored 37.23 % Macro-F1 and received the Best Performance Award of the MMAC Challenge 2026 (Human score is 39 %). Code is available at https://github.com/nawta/diema-challenge and the presentation at https://nawta.github.io/mmac2026/.
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Machine Learning
Rethinking the Teacher-Student Framework for Test-Time Adaptation
Damian Sójka, Marc Masana, Bartłomiej Twardowski et al. (+1 more)
Test-Time Adaptation (TTA) has recently emerged as a promising strategy that allows the adaptation of pre-trained models to changing data distributions at deployment time, without access to any labels. To mitigate error accumulation, researchers have widely adopted the teacher-student framework, though its long-term stability is often taken for granted. In this work, we challenge the common strategy of setting the teacher weights to an exponential moving average of the student by showing that error accumulation still occurs, although it is mostly apparent on longer sequences compared to those commonly utilized. We analyze the stability-plasticity trade-off within the teacher-student framework and propose to use an intransigent teacher that does not update its weights. Surprisingly, we show that this simple change allows TTA methods to significantly improve their performance on multiple
datasets with longer scenarios and result in increased robustness to changes in hyperparameters. Finally, we show that those changes can be seamlessly and effectively applied to various architectures and experimental setups, including semantic
segmentation. The code is available at https://github.com/dmn-sjk/intransigent_teacher.
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All authors Damian Sójka, Marc Masana, Bartłomiej Twardowski, Sebastian Cygert
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.IR
Training seeds and model-selection stability in recommender-system evaluation
Juan Manuel Rodriguez, Oleg Lesota and Antonela Tommasel
Recommender-system experiments often rely on a single random training seed, assuming that run-to-run stochasticity has limited impact on evaluation conclusions. This assumption is risky, as a training seed may influence several
algorithm-dependent mechanisms, including parameter initialization, mini-batch ordering, dropout, masking, latent sampling, and training-time negative sampling. We examine this assumption by fixing the data partition and varying the training seed across hyperparameter configurations. We analyze seed effects at three levels: user-level metric sensitivity, validation-based model selection and recommendation-list agreement. Results show that seed variation is often detectable. Its impact depends on whether configurations are clearly separated, whether validation results transfer to test, and whether similar scores lead to similar top-$k$ lists. Findings suggest that reporting single-seed results can overstate the stability of recommender system evaluation, and that training seeds should be treated as part of the evaluation protocol rather than as incidental implementation noise.
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Machine Learning
RINSE: Robust Target-Time Normality Estimation for Zero-Shot Graph Anomaly Detection
Taufikur Rahman Fuad, Md Abrar Jahin and Amir Hussain
Zero-shot graph anomaly detection seeks to deploy a detector trained on source graphs to unseen, unlabeled targets, yet domain shift can make source-derived notions of normality unreliable. We introduce RINSE (Robust Iterative Normality Self-Estimation), a gradient-free target-time framework that keeps the source-trained detector fixed while sequentially estimating target normality, representation calibration, and evidence reliability from the target graph. Its core idea is to identify a reliable subset of low-residual target nodes, use them to construct a trimmed target-aware normality model, and combine complementary anomaly evidence through reliability-gated rank fusion and encoder ensembling. Across eight unseen target graphs, RINSE achieves the highest average AUPRC among the evaluated methods under two separate preprocessing protocols, while block ablations and sensitivity analyses support the combined design. These results support robust target-time estimation as a practical approach to generalist graph anomaly detection without target labels, gradients, or per-target tuning.
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Machine Learning
DeepAffinity: Long-Term Aspect Preference Prediction in eCommerce using Small Language Models
Yotam Eshel, Guy Hadad, Guy Feigenblat et al. (+3 more)
We explore predicting eCommerce user preferences for product aspects such as brand, size, and color - a task we define as Aspect Affinity. Solving this task improves customer understanding and enables fine-grained personalization in recommendation, search, and marketing. We frame Aspect Affinity as a temporal prediction task:
forecasting a users future aspect choices from their time-ordered interaction history, capturing long-term preferences that evolve beyond the current session. To this end, we propose DeepAffinity, which leverages Small
Language Models (SLMs) with structured
prompts and specialized prediction heads fine-tuned for this task. We show DeepAffinity outperforms standard generative fine-tuning methods, while general-purpose open-source LLMs perform poorly without task-specific tuning, highlighting their limits in modeling nuanced behavior. Finally, DeepAffinity enhances recommendation quality on a large-scale multinational eCommerce platform.
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All authors Yotam Eshel, Guy Hadad, Guy Feigenblat, Yuri M. Brovman, Matt Gearhart, Bracha Shapira
Machine Learning
Scalable Kronecker-Fisher Approximation: Efficient Hessian Analysis for Billion-Parameter Language Models Compression
Viacheslav Yusupov, Daria Cherniuk and Evgeny Frolov
In this paper, we propose a scalable Kronecker-based approximation that captures cross-layer interactions without storing the entire Fisher
matrix, enabling practical Hessian analysis for billion-parameter networks where full computation is infeasible. Our approach reveals consistent vulnerability patterns: value projection layers exhibit the highest sensitivity and strongest cross-layer correlations across multiple model families, while other components exhibit architecture-specific behaviors. Through extensive experiments on quantization, sparsification, inter-layer corruption, and post-corruption fine-tuning, we demonstrate that our approximation strongly correlates with both performance degradation and recovery. Our framework provides a practical, theoretically grounded tool for identifying fragile components in large models, opening new avenues for guided compression and optimization strategies, such as mixed-precision allocation, layer-wise sparsity, and adaptive low-rank decomposition across layers and even individual weight groups.
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Machine Learning
CACTUS: Mask-Guided Semantic Clean-Label Backdoors in Decentralized Federated Learning
Chao Feng and Burkhard Stiller
Semantic triggers in
federated learning (FL) can be less conspicuous than synthetic patches, but sample-dependent placement may weaken
backdoor implantation across aggregation rounds. This challenge is compounded in decentralized FL (DFL), where
topology-dependent peer aggregation repeatedly mixes local models. CACTUS converts label-consistent semantic pairs into target-directed representation shifts. Mask-guided, modality-specific operators isolate trigger effects, couple them across samples, and apply the shifts counterfactually to clean non-target
embeddings before peer aggregation. Experiments cover
speech, text, tabular, and image tasks under nine aggregation rules. With 30% malicious nodes, CACTUS reaches a nine-rule mean attack success rate (ASR) of 51.2% on
Speech Commands and the highest nine-rule mean ASR among evaluated attacks on three of four modalities. Sensitivity analyses show that ASR varies with network
topology and increases with the malicious-node ratio. These results indicate that CACTUS can propagate
backdoors through repeated DFL aggregation.
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Machine Learning
Towards One-for-All Robustness Across a Continuum of Threat Levels
Zhichao Hou and Xiaorui Liu
Adversarially robust models often overfit to a specific attack budget, necessitating multiple specialized models for diverse and dynamic
adversarial environments, a strategy that becomes fundamentally intractable as the threat space grows. This raises an open challenge: can we achieve strong robustness across a continuum of threat levels within a single model? We propose the Threat Conditional Network (TCN), grounded in a representation factorization framework that decomposes representation learning into a threat-invariant shared backbone and a lightweight threat-conditional adaptor. TCN conditions a single model on the perturbation level via
Fourier-based
embeddings and channel-wise affine modulation, and is trained against a distribution over perturbation budgets, enabling flexible and seamless adaptation across an infinite continuum of threat levels during inference. Extensive experiments on CIFAR-10, CIFAR-100, and Tiny-ImageNet show that TCN matches or surpasses a full ensemble of budget-specialized models with a single set of parameters, generalizes to unseen perturbation budgets, and transfers robustly under mismatched threat conditions, with only 4.6% parameter overhead. These contributions chart a promising path toward adaptive and generalizable robustness in dynamic and diverse threat environments.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CL
When Decodability Is Not Enough: Logical Validity Representations, Behavioral Dissociation, and Causal Tests in Language Models
Smitha Muthya Sudheendra and Jaideep Srivastava
Large
language models can look capable of logical
reasoning, but correct or incorrect answers alone tell us little about what the model represents internally. We study logical verification in five open-weight
transformer models using matched valid–invalid premise–claim pairs that vary across inference families, semantic domains, templates, and difficulty levels. Despite near-chance behavioral performance, logical validity is often almost perfectly decodable from hidden states and remains strongly decodable under held-out templates, domains, and inference families. Validity also remains highly decodable on behaviorally incorrect examples in the conditions where correctness-conditioned evaluation is well defined. At the same time, exhaustive leave-one-out tests reveal clear limits to this generalization, and interventions along probe-derived validity directions have only weak, nonspecific effects compared with random controls. Our results suggest that representing validity, expressing it in behavior, and using it causally are distinct. Validity related information can be strongly decodable from a model's hidden states without being reliably expressed in its output.
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Machine Learning
IFW-BLS: Dual-Robust Broad Learning System with Intuitionistic Fuzzy Wave Loss
Mushir Akhtar and M. Tanveer
Broad Learning System is an efficient randomized learning model that expands network width through feature and enhancement nodes and estimates the output weights without deep backpropagation. Its standard least-squares training, however, is vulnerable in two different ways: (i) large residuals caused by noise, outliers, or corrupted labels can dominate the objective, and (ii) all samples are treated as equally reliable even when some lie in ambiguous or locally conflicting regions. This paper proposes IFW-BLS, an Intuitionistic Fuzzy Wave Broad Learning System that addresses these two sources of fragility within one optimization model. The first robustness mechanism is residual-level protection, obtained by replacing the squared loss with the bounded, smooth, and asymmetric wave loss. Boundedness prevents extreme residuals from receiving unbounded influence, while asymmetry allows positive and negative deviations to be penalized differently when the dominant error direction varies. The second mechanism is sample-level credibility control, obtained through intuitionistic fuzzy scores that combine global class-center consistency with local neighborhood conflict. The resulting model evaluates the wave loss on credibility-weighted residuals, so unreliable samples are down-weighted before the bounded loss further limits the effect of extreme errors. A Nesterov accelerated gradient based optimizer is used to solve the proposed objective, avoiding the explicit
matrix inversion used in conventional BLS. Experiments on UCI
benchmark datasets validate the superiority of the proposed IFW-BLS model over the baseline models; additional corruption experiments also show more stable performance than BLS under noise and outlier contamination.
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Machine Learning
Coverage, Not Targeting: A Structural Regime in Multi-Turn Agent Credit Assignment
Chenyu Zhou, Qiliang Jiang, Shuning Wu et al. (+1 more)
Multi-turn agentic RL increasingly treats credit assignment as a targeting problem: given a terminal verifiable reward, per-turn methods localize credit onto the turns that mattered. We identify the structural quantity that predicts when this is the right move, the verifier information density V_d = k/C (the fraction of an
agent's C-step causal chain whose per-turn correctness the verifier exposes), and show that terminal-state verifiers sit deep in a low-V_d regime where targeting is the wrong axis. In controlled shared-rollout comparisons on tau^2-bench that separate reward density from credit geometry, a continuous dense reward spread uniformly beats the sparse binary outcome reward (net-harmful on 4/5 seeds), while concentrating the same advantage on progress turns or on random turns is equally harmful: targeting is second-order. The mechanism is coverage: terminal-state verification collapses the observable signal to a single final-write turn (k=1 in 98% of rollouts) while success requires a 5-8 step chain of prerequisite tool calls. A synthetic phase boundary places the crossover at V_d* ~ 0.8, whereas measured V_d is ~0.15 on tau^2-bench and ~0.4 on BFCL V3; uniform also wins on BFCL, where a matched-concentration shuffled control is negative on 8/8 seeds. The effect reproduces across model families on ToolACE-2-8B (Delta = -0.048 over 32 pre-registered seeds; an independent 20-seed replication is itself significant), and a pre-registered matched-budget breadth sweep traces a monotone dose-response whose deficit vanishes only at full chain coverage, with a reward-to-go arm reaching full-coverage parity. Uniform redistribution is the zero-information coverage default that per-turn schemes must beat; we contribute the matched-concentration shuffled control that any targeting claim should clear.
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All authors Chenyu Zhou, Qiliang Jiang, Shuning Wu, Xu Zhou
Machine Learning
Evidence for Shared Routing Geometry and Dynamics in Sparse Mixture-of-Experts
Kirill Labzin, Stepan Kulibaba, Artem Dzhalilov et al. (+1 more)
Sparse mixture-of-experts (MoE) models use an independently parameterized router at each sparse layer to select experts for every
token. Prior work has shown that routing decisions across depth can often be predicted from earlier routing signals, suggesting that routing is not fully independent across layers. However, the structure behind this predictability remains unclear. In this work, we provide evidence that routing-relevant states across layers share a common
geometric structure that is obscured by layer-specific coordinate systems. We isolate the control subspace of each router and align these spaces into a shared canonical representation using generalized orthogonal Procrustes analysis. After
alignment, a single linear transition reaches $R^2=0.39$–$0.71$ and retains 79–90% of the predictive power of separately fitted layer-specific dynamics, indicating that much of routing-state
evolution follows a reusable process across depth. We then ask whether this shared dynamics is specific to routing or simply reflects the smooth
evolution of hidden representations. A matched-rank comparison shows that residual representations are often easier to predict across layers, while router-control states preserve the model's expert choices much more faithfully. This separates generic cross-layer predictability from routing-specific information. Finally, we test whether the predicted canonical states remain meaningful when used in place of native routing states. The transported states preserve local routing behavior, while learned state
evolution reduces $\Delta\mathrm{NLL}$ relative to simple persistence by 15.7% on OLMoE and 6.2% over a 10-router horizon on Phi.
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All authors Kirill Labzin, Stepan Kulibaba, Artem Dzhalilov, Artem Gorokhov
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML
A computational approach to maximum likelihood thresholds for colored Gaussian graphical models
Roser Homs, Olga Kuznetsova and Bernadette J. Stolz
Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are essential tools for interpretable structure learning. However, in high-dimensional, small-sample regimes, the available data is often insufficient for the maximum likelihood
estimator to exist. Colored Gaussian graphical models (CGGMs) mitigate this limitation by imposing
symmetry constraints through graph coloring, which reduces the required sample size. This minimal number of observations needed to guarantee that the
estimator exists almost surely is defined as the maximum likelihood threshold (MLT). Here, we address the computation of the MLT for CGGMs by focusing on its
geometric formulation: finding the minimum rank of a sample covariance
matrix such that its projection lies almost surely within the interior of the cone of sufficient statistics. We establish a unified theoretical framework, extending results from uncolored to colored models and introducing new symbolic
algorithms. Furthermore, we present a computational study integrating sampling with topological data analysis (TDA) to investigate the local geometry of the cone of sufficient statistics. Our results demonstrate the potential of TDA to overcome the computational bottlenecks of traditional symbolic algebraic methods, particularly Groebner basis computations, in analyzing the likelihood geometry of CGGMs.
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Machine Learning
Percolation Dynamics in Optimization: Variance Cascades and Nested Symmetry
Sai Niranjan Ramachandran and Suvrit Sra
We study the dynamics of
Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD), which is known to steer deep neural networks toward invariant sets that correspond to simpler subnetworks. How this steering unfolds over time remains poorly understood. We answer this by modeling the
stochastic gradient flow (SGF) as a percolation process, in which nested architectural
symmetries force subnetworks to merge in discrete blocks rather than by single-edge attachment. These structural transitions register as variance spikes in a macroscopic order parameter echoing physical phase transitions. We further state sufficient conditions under which the trapping argument carries over to Adam and AdamW under heavy-tailed gradient noise and measure them on a trained
Transformer.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.RO
Humanoid Safe Stop via Learned Stoppability Value
Junfeng Long, Pieter Abbeel, Koushil Sreenath et al. (+3 more)
Humanoid robots responding to emergency stop commands typically execute a fixed maneuver, without
reasoning about whether a safe stop is actually feasible from the current state. We cast emergency stopping as a reach-avoid problem and propose Safe-Stop, a task-agnostic framework that pairs a learned stop policy with learned stoppability
estimators. The
estimators are complementary: a stop-probability
estimator supervised by the actual outcomes of the fixed stop policy, and a reach-avoidance
estimator supervised by a Hamilton-Jacobi backup over physical state. The first captures emergent stopping behavior of the learned controller; the second provides a complementary recoverability signal. Because the stop policy and
estimators do not depend on the behavior policy that preceded the stop command, they transfer across diverse upstream tasks without retraining. At deployment, the two estimates are combined: Safe-Stop commits to the stop only when both
estimators indicate that stopping remains feasible, otherwise it hands off to a fall policy, instantiated as a damping fallback. This agreement check yields decisions that are robust without sacrificing reactivity.
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All authors Junfeng Long, Pieter Abbeel, Koushil Sreenath, Roberto Horowitz, Guanya Shi, C. Karen Liu
Machine Learning
AGI Maze Prediction Datasets: A Compact Benchmark for Learning World Dynamics with Transformers
Alexey Potapov
World modeling requires a predictive model to maintain and update an internal state adequate for
reasoning about the consequences of actions. We introduce the AGI Maze Prediction
Datasets and
Benchmark, a lightweight controlled testbed for studying this capability in
Transformers and other predictive models. Derived from procedurally generated, stateful grid worlds, the
benchmark comprises per-step transition prediction, fixed-horizon state prediction, and sequential textual-observation prediction. Source-maze-disjoint training and validation splits, together with greedy exact-match evaluation, distinguish learning transferable action-conditioned dynamics from memorizing transitions in familiar layouts. We establish from-scratch byte-level
Transformer baselines and compare them with two working-
memory-augmented architectures. A generic auxiliary latent-
memory Transformer can fit some training sets perfectly but does not consistently improve held-out performance. In contrast, a pseudo-
video spatial-
memory Transformer initializes a two-dimensional latent workspace from the input map and updates it from action history without receiving intermediate maps, positions, or state labels. Under the same data, objectives, and evaluation protocol, this model reaches perfect validation accuracy on selected fixed-horizon tasks where the byte and unstructured-
memory baselines do not, and substantially improves sequential text-trace prediction. These results suggest that structured, task-aligned working
memory can be more useful than additional latent capacity alone. More broadly, we argue that
language grounding is mediated by persistent data structures and computations over them; the
benchmark offers a compact setting for testing architectures that couple textual interfaces to learned structured state.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.DB
Poisoning Attacks on the PGM-index
Atsuki Sato, Martin Aumüller and Yusuke Matsui
The PGM-index (Ferragina and Vinciguerra, VLDB'20) is one of the most practical learned indexes, owing to its theoretical elegance and consistently strong empirical performance. It is built on optimal piecewise linear approximations (PLAs) that minimize the number of segments. In this paper, we ask how sensitive this optimal PLA itself is to poisoning attacks. We propose PGM-attack, an efficient poisoning attack that sequentially inserts
adversarial keys to inflate the resulting number of segments, and we develop a method for deriving theoretical upper bounds on the number of segments attainable under arbitrary insertions. Our experiments show that poisoning only 10% of the keys allows PGM-attack to increase the segment count by up to 120x. On every evaluated instance, our instance-dependent upper bound is at most 1.92x the segment count attained by PGM-attack, certifying that PGM-attack achieves at least 52% of the optimum. This increase in the number of segments enlarges the PGM-index by up to 120x. Moreover, the attack also transfers to other learned indexes, substantially inflating the index size of PLA-based ones in particular. Our results reveal that, despite the optimality of its PLAs, the PGM-index has an intrinsic vulnerability rooted in its optimization objective, motivating robustness-aware objective design for future learned indexes. Our code is publicly available at https://github.com/atsukisato/pgm-attack.
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Machine Learning
What Is Worth Representing? Representational Empowerment for Continual Model Construction
Fei Dai, Hanqi Zhou, Alison Gopnik et al. (+1 more)
The first problem of modeling the world is not just estimating the right parameters or causal structure, but deciding what should be represented at all. We frame this problem as continual model construction: an
agent maintains an environment-specific model M of an inaccessible world W and curates a persistent library L of reusable representational elements across environments. We propose Representational Empowerment (RepEmp) to score candidate elements by how much they expand the
agent's future capacity to model and plan, complementing the classic definition of empowerment, but redefined as control over internal representations instead of external states. We realize the framework as a hierarchical Curator-Actor architecture and test it across three experiments. In a closed-vocabulary causal-learning task, human participants construct causal models at varying abstraction granularities to maximize goal reachability rather than fidelity to the world, a signature better predicted by RepEmp than by information-gain alternatives. Matched simulations reveal that RepEmp-guided construction contributes more than exploration to sufficient structure recovery and cross-task transfer. Finally, in an open-vocabulary planning domain, an LLM-augmented Curator builds more compact symbolic libraries, which also generalize better than baselines. Ablating RepEmp eliminates these benefits. Together, these results identify RepEmp as a key principle for continual model construction: deciding what to build, retain, and reuse under bounded resources.
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All authors Fei Dai, Hanqi Zhou, Alison Gopnik, Charley Wu
Machine Learning
Bayes-Optimal BER and AUC: Estimation and Evaluation of Estimators
Ryota Ushio, Takashi Ishida and Masashi Sugiyama
A fundamental quantity in machine learning is the optimal performance achievable by any model on a given task. Estimating this quantity allows us to distinguish the irreducible part of the error from a deficiency of the model, telling us how much room for improvement remains. Recent work has shown that the Bayes error, or equivalently the optimal accuracy, can be estimated from soft labels in binary classification. However, accuracy is often a poor summary of performance in settings with severe class imbalance or noisy annotations, where metrics such as the balanced error rate (BER) and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) are more appropriate. We address this gap with two complementary contributions. (i) Estimation. We propose soft-label-based
estimators for the optimal BER and AUC. We first consider the clean setting in which true soft labels and the class prior are known, and then extend the
estimators to a more realistic setting in which the class prior is unknown and the observed soft labels are corrupted by an unknown order-preserving transformation, possibly followed by additive noise. In the latter setting, we approximately recover the clean soft labels via isotonic regression with auxiliary hard labels, estimate the class prior with a clipped mean of the hard labels, and derive finite-sample error bounds for the resulting plug-in
estimators. (ii) Evaluation. Since the optimum is unobservable on real
datasets, evaluating any such
estimator is itself nontrivial. We extend the FeeBee framework, originally proposed for evaluating Bayes-error
estimators, to the optimal BER and AUC. The resulting procedure provides practical evaluation scores without requiring knowledge of the optimum, and applies to any
estimator of the optimal BER or AUC, not only our proposed ones. Experiments on synthetic and real-world
datasets validate both the
estimators and the evaluation procedure.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.AI
Improving Evaluation Realism with Inference-Time Compute and Deployment Scaffolds
Axel Ahlqvist, Richard Guan, Juan-Pablo Rivera et al. (+6 more)
A core obstacle to
alignment evaluation is evaluation awareness: capable models can tell when they are being tested rather than deployed, weakening the conclusions a safety evaluation can support. We present two techniques that make simulated
alignment evaluations harder to distinguish from real deployments. Our first technique, critique refinement, spends additional inference-time compute on each simulator action: the simulator generates multiple candidate actions, refines them using feedback from an instance of the target model on how to make them more realistic, and continues the evaluation with the most deployment-like candidate. Our second technique, DISH (Deployment-Imitating SWE-
Agent Harness), wraps the target in an
agent harness, reducing the gap between simulated and real deployment environments in coding settings. We test the techniques on multiple target models and find that they compose: applying both yields larger realism gains than either alone. Our results show that automated approaches can improve the realism of
alignment evaluations, and that these improvements use additional compute more effectively than making the audits longer.
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All authors Axel Ahlqvist, Richard Guan, Juan-Pablo Rivera, Adeline Kassler, Dmitrii Troitskii, Alexandra Souly, Kai Fronsdal, Robert Kirk, John Hughes
Machine Learning
SEAL: Reinforcing Global Safety in Mixture-of-Experts through Shared Expert ALignment
Qingyu Meng, Yiwei Zha, Jiahuan Pei et al. (+3 more)
Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) is a scaling architecture for large
language models that activates only a small subset of expert modules per
token, enabling massive parameter growth with nearly constant computation. Recent Hybrid MoE architecture adds shared experts to capture consistently useful representations, further improving stability and generalization. MoE now powers many flagship open-source and commercial models, yet remains vulnerable to
adversarial attacks. Specifically, sparse routing introduces a structural vulnerability: MoE safety hinges on which experts are activated, and adversaries can subvert this selection through jailbreak
prompts, malicious fine-tuning, and weight-level
pruning of safety-critical
neurons. Existing defenses primarily focus on hardening the router, but an adversary may still manipulate or bypass the routing trajectory due to the routing process's nondeterministic nature, thereby collapsing the defense. To cope with this problem, we first identify theoretically and empirically that shared expert, an always-activated component containing a small proportion of safety-critical
neurons, can overcome the uncertainty of sparsely activated routing path and serve as a router-independent anchor to enhance global safety
alignment. Based on this insight, we propose SEAL, a training-time parameter-efficient defense that produces a plug-and-play adapter attached to shared expert, and SEAL++, a variant that adds an orthogonal constraint preserving pre-existing safety subspaces during training. We evaluate SEAL and SEAL++ across six attack scenarios that combine three
adversarial inputs (harmful prompting, jailbreak, malicious fine-tuning) with and without
neuron pruning. SEAL reduces attack success rate (ASR) by up to 60%, at a capability cost of at most 1.4% on a five-
benchmark average. Additionally, SEAL can seamlessly integrate with router-level ......
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All authors Qingyu Meng, Yiwei Zha, Jiahuan Pei, Koen Hindriks, Herbert Bos, Min Chen
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML
From topology learning to graph generation: A unifying perspective
Xiaowen Dong, Hoi-To Wai, Siheng Chen et al. (+2 more)
Learning graph structures from data is a fundamental problem that spans a wide range of signal processing and machine learning tasks. While significant effort has been made to tackle the problem, existing research has largely evolved along two parallel directions. The first seeks to infer the
topology of an individual graph from observations supported on it, whereas the second seeks to learn a generative distribution from observed graph instances, enabling the sampling of new graphs. This review presents a unified framework that connects these formulations by viewing them as inverse problems of a common generation process for graph data. We review the major methodologies within this framework, highlight their relationships, strengths, and limitations, and identify opportunities for integrating ideas across paradigms. By bridging graph
topology learning and graph generation, this review provides a broader cross-disciplinary perspective on the field and outlines promising directions for future research.
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All authors Xiaowen Dong, Hoi-To Wai, Siheng Chen, Laura Toni, Dorina Thanou
Machine Learning
Entangled Representations Amplify Collateral Damage in Unlearning
Evžen Wybitul, Tim G. J. Rudner and Christian Schroeder de Witt
A long-held intuition in interpretability research is that representational
entanglement, the sharing of structure between knowledge domains in a neural network, makes unlearning harder. While the intuition is widespread, it has never been directly tested in a controlled experiment. We present a way to do so: by repurposing Selective Gradient Masking (SGTM), we train a suite of six 254M-parameter
language models on English Wikipedia with graded levels of disentanglement between biology and non-biology knowledge. Applying three standard unlearning methods to every model in the suite, we find that more disentangled models consistently achieve better retain-forget trade-offs: at a fixed level of forgetting, the most disentangled models incur roughly $4\times$ lower retain cost under two of the three methods, and $1.3\times$ lower under the third. Because our intervention changes only the model, not the data or the unlearning
algorithm, this is direct evidence that representational
entanglement is one of the causes of collateral damage in unlearning, as interpretability researchers have long suspected. A similar design could be used to test other structural claims from interpretability.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CL
Do Large Language Models Capture the Diversity in their Training Data?
Youqi Wu and Farzan Farnia
Large
language models are trained to model conditional distributions over text, yet it remains inadequately understood whether they capture the full diversity of plausible outputs present in their training data. We study this question through an information-theoretic lens by comparing the conditional
entropy of model-generated outputs with that of the corresponding training data. Given paired input-output samples, we use conditional
entropy and its
matrix-based analogue based on von Neumann
entropy to measure output variability beyond what is explained by the conditioning input, without requiring multiple reference outputs for the same
prompt. Across LLM families with publicly available training data, including OLMo, Pythia, and GPT-Neo, we consistently find that model-generated outputs exhibit lower conditional
entropy than their training data, across different model scales, sequence lengths, and decoding strategies. We observe a similar conditional diversity gap beyond
language modeling, including class-conditioned ImageNet generators and text-conditioned models trained on MS-COCO. To address this gap, we propose a post-hoc correction mechanism that generates multiple outputs for each input and reweights them through a
matrix-
entropy projection, increasing conditional diversity while remaining close to the original model distribution. We prove the concavity of the
matrix-based conditional
entropy functional, which makes the resulting
entropy-constrained projection a convex optimization problem, and develop a scalable mirror-descent
algorithm for its implementation. Our results reveal a systematic conditional diversity gap between modern generative models and their training data, and provide an information-theoretic framework for measuring and mitigating this gap.
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Machine Learning
CAPTURE: Disentangling Preference Drift from Memory Poisoning in Personalized LLM Agents
S M Asif Hossain, Ruksat Khan Shayoni and Md Kishor Morol
Personalized
language agents use persistent
memory to adapt to users over time, but the same mechanism creates an attack surface. When new information conflicts with stored preferences, an
agent must distinguish genuine preference drift from temporary context shifts, ambiguity, or
adversarial memory poisoning. We formulate this problem as a continuous-time partially observable decision process over a latent user state and show why rules based only on recency and provenance are insufficient. CAPTURE addresses this ambiguity with a neural differential-equation belief tracker, a multi-timescale
memory ledger, uncertainty-triggered clarification, and counterfactual
auditing of cited
memories. On 480 held-out episodes from 96 users, CAPTURE achieves a 71.5% win rate, compared with 69.3% for an identically supervised baseline and 66.1% for the strongest heuristic baseline. It limits fixed-policy poisoning success to 11.5% while accepting 83.5% of genuine preference updates. Under an adaptive attacker with access to the released weights, attack success rises to 24.7%, exposing a real adaptation-security tradeoff. We further evaluate the frozen system zero-shot on an independently constructed
benchmark and replay longitudinal interaction histories from 40 users collected over two to three weeks. These results suggest that modeling preference authenticity explicitly can improve both personalization and robustness in
memory-augmented LLM
agents.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.AI
Codebook Agent: Amortized Topology Design for LLM Multi-Agent Systems
Jinxi Yu, Yubei Li, Eric Hanchen Jiang et al. (+6 more)
Adapting the communication
topology of an LLM multi-
agent system to each query improves both accuracy and efficiency, yet current designers treat this as conditional graph generation: a variational, autoregressive, or
diffusion decoder searches the $N \times N$ adjacency space, and a graph-network proxy trained on utility and a structural cost such as edge count ranks the sampled candidates. We argue that this formulation is misaligned with the problem. Empirically,
topologies that survive a reward filter collapse to about six distinct graphs even when the codebook capacity grows from 8 to 64; edge count is negatively correlated with measured
token consumption (Pearson $r \approx -0.4$), so sparsifying the graph makes inference more expensive; and a message-passing scorer over
agent-profile nodes is adjacency-invariant whenever
agents share a profile—the default configuration of published
benchmarks—so it cannot rank candidates at all in that regime. These three facts motivate Codebook
Agent: a vector-quantized autoencoder compresses successful
topologies into a query-independent 16-entry codebook; a reward-weighted MLP maps the query
embedding to a distribution over codes; and an MLP proxy that reads the flattened adjacency, regressed on measured utility and per-task normalized
token cost, reranks the top decoded candidates in a single batched forward pass. With no iterative search and no message passing at test time, Codebook
Agent is the most accurate method on all six
benchmarks we compare (84.6 average against 83.0 for the strongest prior designer), emits a
topology in 2.4 ms, and uses 21.9–33.2% fewer LLM
tokens.
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All authors Jinxi Yu, Yubei Li, Eric Hanchen Jiang, Zhi Zhang, Dong Liu, Wenxiao Zhao, Levina Li, Kai-Wei Chang, Ying Nian Wu
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.MA
RideSkill: A Hierarchical Algorithm for Generalized Ride Sharing with LLM-Driven Automatic Evolution
Zijian Zhao, Sen Li, Xialiang Tong et al. (+1 more)
Ride-sharing, which allows multiple passengers with different origin-destination (OD) pairs to share a single vehicle, is a challenging operational problem, as it requires orders with different OD pairs to be efficiently bundled and assigned to vehicles under uncertain and varying scenarios. Although multi-
agent reinforcement learning (MARL) solutions have achieved promising performance, they suffer from limited generalization (adapting to different environmental scenarios), low transferability (adapting to different platform objectives), and training difficulties in large-scale systems, such as the curse of dimensionality. Recently, motivated by the scaling of large
language models (LLMs), several works have incorporated LLMs into ride-hailing systems, either by employing LLMs directly as decision-making
agents or using them for automatic
algorithm design. However, none of these approaches support vehicle sharing, which complicates the problem by expanding both the state and action spaces exponentially. Moreover, most of them require frequent LLM calls at inference time, making them infeasible for real-time deployment. To address these issues, we propose RideSkill, a hierarchical method for ride-sharing that leverages LLM-assisted automatic algorithmic design. RideSkill consists of a combiner that assigns appropriate skills to each vehicle from a learned skill repository, enabling adaptive dispatch under varying scenarios and objectives, and a repositioner that sequentially relocates idle vehicles to emerging regions, avoiding conflicts among vehicles. Crucially, the skill repository, combiner, and repositioner are all trained by an LLM-based automatic evolutionary method, eliminating the need for LLM calls during deployment and thus ensuring high real-time performance.
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All authors Zijian Zhao, Sen Li, Xialiang Tong, Mingxuan Yuan
Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.AI
LLM-as-a-Judge Is Not an Oracle: Why Self-Improving Agents Need Deterministic Guardrails
Vansh Wahi
Self-improving
agent pipelines have a problem at their center. An optimizer rewrites
prompts to score higher, and the score comes from a judge that is itself an LLM. That judge has the last word on whether the system is getting better, and our position is that it has not earned it. The judge should be demoted from oracle to advisor: its verdict becomes one input among several, and every change is gated instead by a deterministic verification layer the judge cannot override. We reached this position by building the alternative and running it. Over months of running autonomous
prompt-optimization loops in production across contract analysis, compliance review, and code quality, we cataloged eleven ways the evaluation signal failed, in four classes: judge bias, harness and metric failures, ground-truth errors, and reward hacking.
Agents achieved perfect scores by reading cached answer keys from their environment, a 100% pass rate concealing 68% true capability. A corrupted ground-truth label caused the optimizer to delete correct compliance rules to agree with it. A syntactically broken
prompt was promoted as the winner because a silent parser fallback improved the metric. Attempts to fix the judge by rewriting its rubric plateaued; the only reliable gain came from a structural constraint on its output order. In response we describe PROCTOR, a Teacher-Student loop in which a stateful orchestrator holds all tool access, stateless subagents diagnose failures and draft mutations they cannot apply, and a Teacher grades those mutations under five deterministic guardrails: hermetic sandboxes, capability-disjoint roles, acceptance checks that outrank the Teacher, frozen holdouts, and canary cases engineered so that a perfect score is itself evidence of cheating. We report the failures this prevented, and, because the Teacher is itself an LLM judge, the failures it did not.
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Machine Learning
Similarity-Aware Personalized Federated Learning in Heterogeneous Environments
Arun Kumar A V, Sunil Gupta, Dang Ngyuen et al. (+2 more)
Federated Learning (FL) allows decentralized clients to train models collaboratively while preserving data
privacy. However, distribution mismatch across clients often leads to poor global generalization and degraded local client-level performance. In such scenarios, some of the clients with their local models trained solely on local data may perform better than the globally learnt model, thus nullifying the benefits of collaborative
federated learning. To address this, we propose SAPE-FL (Similarity-Aware Personalized
Federated Learning), a novel personalization framework that anchors each client's model to both the global model and a similarity-weighted peer averaged model. By incorporating dynamic, client-specific regularization based on both model similarity and output similarity, SAPE-FL adaptively balances global knowledge transfer and peer collaboration while filtering out dissimilar clients. This dual anchoring mitigates negative transfer and enhances robustness in heterogeneous settings. We theoretically analyze our
algorithm establishing its convergence guarantees and empirically show that SAPE-FL outperforms state-of-the-art methods under high statistical heterogeneity and low client data regimes.
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All authors Arun Kumar A V, Sunil Gupta, Dang Ngyuen, Bao Duong, Dat Phan Trong