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Tuesday 4 August

Machine Learning

Understanding Fault Tolerance of Adversarially Robust Pruned Models

Deep neural networks (DNNs) deployed on resource-constrained neuromorphic hardware face three concurrent challenges: the need for model compression through pruning, vulnerability to adversarial input perturbations, and susceptibility to hardware-induced weight faults such as stuck-at-zero errors. While each of these factors has been studied in isolation, their combined effects on model reliability have received little attention. This paper presents an empirical investigation of how pruning, adversarial training, and hardware fault injection interact to affect the robustness of convolutional neural networks. Using a compact three-layer CNN trained on MNIST, we conduct three experiments: (1) comparing the fault tolerance of naturally and adversarially trained models under simultaneous hardware faults and adversarial attacks, (2) evaluating how pruning affects adversarial robustness, and (3) characterizing the joint accuracy surface across fault rates, adversarial perturbation magnitudes, and pruning levels. Our results show that adversarial training improves robustness against input perturbations but increases sensitivity to stuck-at-zero weight faults. Contrary to intuition, pruning did not significantly increase fault sensitivity, and varying the pruning level had little effect across fault rates and attack strengths. These results highlight the need to jointly consider adversarial robustness and hardware reliability.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CL

Mind the Cap: Output-Budget Regimes Change the Measured Multilingual Reasoning Gap

Multilingual evaluations report accuracy at a single output-token cap, but languages need different numbers of tokens to express the same content, so the cap is a hidden experimental variable. We test whether the native-vs-translate gap on MGSM (German, Thai, Swahili) is a token-budget artifact for Qwen3-8B and Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct under four prompting strategies. The measured gap swings by up to 57 points across budgets, length normalization moves it by up to 38.9 points where the cap binds, and at tight caps normalization can reverse which strategy scores higher. We prospectively froze the sweep's three Qwen peaks and its near-zero value at 1024 and evaluated them on 540,000 independently hard-capped decodes: a second frozen family of six Holm-corrected tests rejects every null. The frozen test at $B^*=1024$ still fails to reject because native accuracy has already saturated there; above saturation, the residual difference is a strategy-performance gap, not an identified reasoning deficit. The same truncation channel prices a cost-ordered adaptation ladder: a cross-fitted Thai vocabulary extension closes 0.0 points of the gap at the frozen budget and 4.9 points where 19% of traces still truncate. A third frozen family varies only the announced budget at a fixed enforced cap; announcing 128 rather than 2048 tokens moves Thai native accuracy by 5.1 points, so accuracy is not a function of the enforced cap alone. A correct-emission timing identity computed from one long-cap run matches the three pre-specified MGSM peaks to 0.65 points and, in an exploratory Qwen-only analysis of three further benchmarks, tracks held-out items to 0.92 points, locating the peak exactly in five of seven cells. Treat the output cap as an independent variable and report accuracy across the budget regime, not at a single budget.
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Machine Learning

MINT: Tensor Decomposition on Stacked Recurrence Matrices for Time Series Data Mining

Recurrence plots are a time series data mining primitive applied to a variety of domains (e.g. star light curves, sound waveforms, CCT telemetry). This work proposes tensorized self-similarity matrices as a primitive for univariate time series datasets ($N\times n$) of $N$ time series of length $n$ with a subsequence window of length $m$, and whose tensor-based nature is naturally extensible to multivariate datasets. The proposed method to compute this primitive computes dot plots of size $N \times (n-m+1) \times (n-m+ 1)$ from these datasets, where the subsequent tensor is mined using tensor decomposition methods to mine for co-clustered patterns. We demonstrate our results in mass rapid transit, electricity demand, wind turbine, and car traffic data, finding the MINT pipeline effectively co-clusters cross-sensor patterns in highly regular datasets containing motifs at regular intervals.
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All authors Kaamil Kaka, Audrey Der, Evangelos E. Papalexakis, Zachary Zimmerman, Vikram Jayaram

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.AI

BrainBench: Benchmarking Large Language Models for Comprehensive EEG Understanding

Electroencephalography (EEG) analysis extends beyond assigning predefined labels to recordings; it requires workflows connecting natural-language instructions, signal processing, quantitative evidence, and scientific interpretation. We term this capability comprehensive EEG understanding. Existing evaluations, however, primarily target isolated decoding tasks or system-specific demonstrations, leaving the competence of large language models (LLMs) insufficiently quantified. We introduce \benchmarkname{}, a unified benchmark for comprehensive, instruction-conditioned EEG understanding. It comprises four subsets—Foundational Analysis, Sleep Assessment, Neurocognitive Assessment, and Physiological Integration—covering 17 datasets, \numcases{} tasks, and over \numinstances{} real-data instances. Given an instruction and EEG recordings with optional physiological signals, a system must perform the analysis and produce a scientifically grounded report and, when required, artifacts. Outputs are assessed through numerical, categorical, set, sequence, semantic, and artifact validation. We evaluate \nummodels{} representative LLMs across more than 100K executions under two paradigms: autonomous code execution with CodeAct and structured agentic analysis with BrainAgent. Results vary substantially across models, subsets, difficulty levels, and execution paradigms, showing that EEG competence depends on the model and its operationalization. \benchmarkname{} provides a reproducible testbed for advancing LLM-based EEG understanding. The code and benchmark will be released soon, with evaluation results continuously updated.
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All authors Yangxuan Zhou, Yuning Chen, Chen Wu, Jiquan Wang, Shijian Li, Gang Pan, Sha Zhao

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.GT

Sublogarithmic Swap Regret in Multiplayer General-Sum Games via Hybrid Regularization

Swap regret governs the rate at which uncoupled learning dynamics converge to correlated equilibria in multiplayer general-sum games. Under full-information feedback, the best previous guarantee when every player follows the same dynamics grows logarithmically in the horizon $T$. We construct uncoupled dynamics under which every player incurs only $O(nm^2\sqrt{\log m\log T})$ swap regret, where $n$ is the number of players and $m$ bounds the number of actions per player. To our knowledge, this is the first sublogarithmic individual guarantee in this setting, and it implies that the time-averaged product distribution of play is an $O(nm^2\sqrt{\log m\log T}/T)$-approximate correlated equilibrium. The key algorithmic choice is to combine the Blum–Mansour reduction with optimistic follow-the-regularized-leader using a hybrid regularizer that separately weights negative Shannon entropy and the log-barrier: the entropy controls the optimistic prediction error, whereas the log-barrier controls the transition-matrix movement through its Bregman divergence. A new sensitivity theorem for stationary distributions of Markov chains, which involves neither mixing parameters nor the smallest transition probability, transfers this control to the played strategies and yields a simpler analysis without local-norm or self-concordance arguments. The guarantee is preserved by an adversarially robust variant that additionally ensures $O(nm^2\sqrt{\log m\log T}+\sqrt{mT\log m})$ swap regret against arbitrary utility sequences, and by a horizon-free variant that requires no prior knowledge of $T$.
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Machine Learning

LiNC: Lightweight Noise Correction via Per-Sample Trust and Gaussian Mixture Modeling

Label noise is common in medical imaging datasets due to factors such as inter-rater variability, annotation errors, and ambiguous cases. This can severely undermine the reliability and clinical effectiveness of machine learning models trained using those datasets. To address this challenge, we introduce Lightweight Noise Correction (LiNC), which adds a single trainable trust parameter per training sample and learns when to use the observed label and when to defer to the model during a standard training loop. The key idea is to train using a convex combination of the observed label and the model's own predictive distribution, controlled by a per-sample trust parameter. We show that the gradient of this objective drives trust values in opposite directions for clean versus noisy samples in the early training phase, yielding separable trust distributions. We use a 3-component Gaussian Mixture Model over the trust values to separate them into clean, ambiguous, and noisy cases and then execute a short soft-correction phase on the noisy cases and a final hard correction phase. Experiments on ten 2D datasets from MedMNISTv2 under label noise of up to 50% show consistent gains in accuracy and strong mislabel detection. LiNC adds negligible asymptotic overhead: the training-time complexity remains dominated by the base network, with additional memory growing linearly with the size of the training set.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.IR

Neighborhood-Aware Dual Biomedical Entity Linking

Biomedical entity linking grounds mentions in clinical and scientific text to entities in a curated knowledge base (KB) with ontological structure, which supports downstream applications such as literature-scale information extraction and patient-record normalization. The task has several challenges at once: the KB contains large numbers of entities, mentions are often ambiguous, and gold labels follow annotation conventions specific to each corpus. To address these challenges, we propose PILOT, a three-stage framework made up of neighborhood-aware retrieval, dual reranking, and score fusion. The retriever injects ontological structure from both the query and KB side, by reformulating mentions and pooling entity embeddings. The retrieved pool is then scored from two complementary views, one over surface forms and one over context, and fused together. PILOT achieves the state of the art on average across five widely-used benchmarks and remains efficient at inference.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.SD

InvFlowFD: Reference-Free and Background-Set-Free Perceptual Music Quality Metric with Flow Matching Inversion

Existing reference-free methods for evaluating music perceptual quality alleviate the need for paired noisy-clean data, but they still rely on a background set, which is used to compute aggregated statistics of clean audio samples. In this work, we propose a novel approach that eliminates this requirement, achieving background-set-free and reference-free quality estimation using only a pre-trained Flow Matching backbone. We demonstrate that unconditional Flow Matching inversion via simple Euler integration is sufficient to detect various artificial distortions and accurately rank music generation models against human perceptual judgments. We introduce InvFlowFD, which performs flow inversion and compares a group of inverted samples to the prior distribution. We evaluate our method against prior work, quantitatively and with a thorough human study. Results suggest that InvFlowFD is highly correlated with human perception of sound distortions, as well as generative models' quality, while being more flexible and less restrictive than existing metrics.
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Machine Learning

Out-Of-The-Loop Multi-Fidelity Bayesian Optimization

Black-box optimization is a ubiquitous problem in science and engineering, often dealing with expensive objective functions with cheaper lower-fidelity proxies available. Multi-fidelity Bayesian optimization (MF-BO) is a principled approach to this problem, leveraging correlations across different fidelities when querying the objective. However, for many important MF-BO tasks, the true highest-fidelity function is prohibitively expensive to be part of the optimization loop. Nevertheless, practitioners often have gold standard data (observations of the highest-fidelity function) obtained from previous experiments that might provide information for the current task. For instance, in molecular optimization, chemists often pick the top-$k$ candidate molecules using various computer simulations, and later reveal their true objective function values. In this work, we demonstrate the suboptimality of standard MF-BO algorithms in the real-world scenarios above, even under ideal assumptions. Next, we mitigate this problem by incorporating historical high-fidelity data accompanied by task descriptors—which can be explicitly given or extracted from unstructured metadata. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our methods on synthetic functions, as well as real-world problems in chemistry and hyperparameter optimization.
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All authors Gustavo Sutter, Hao Wang, Luis Ricardez-Sandoval, Pascal Poupart, Agustinus Kristiadi

Machine Learning

SpecDrop: Parameter-Free Category-Conditioned Routing for Modular Specialization

Mixture-of-experts (MoE) networks pursue specialization through learned routers, gates, and load-balancing losses, yet at matched total-parameter budgets learned routers can underperform equal-weight No-Routing baselines. Is the bottleneck the routing algorithm, or the alignment between training-signal granularity and the target categories? We probe the question with SpecDrop, a fixed parameter-free routing scheme: each of $K$ branches receives weight $p_a$ for its assigned category and a small leakage $p_i > 0$ otherwise, merged through a category-independent fixed denominator, with no learned routing parameters and no auxiliary losses; the category label is required at inference. On vision tasks where each image has one superclass label (CIFAR-100 on ResNet-110; ImageNet-1K on ViT-S/16), SpecDrop reaches 79.23% on CIFAR-100 and 79.89% on ImageNet-1K, exceeding parameter-matched baselines that do not use the label (+4.75 over dense on CIFAR-100; +6.53 over the No-Routing+SE control on ImageNet-1K). These gains quantify what category supervision buys when deployed through routing – not an advantage over label-aware deployments of the baselines: given the same label, masking a dense model's outputs is stronger for accuracy alone (85.2 / 83.7). SpecDrop's contribution is converting the label into trained-in modular structure: 68%/100% branch-category alignment, and masking gains of 0.00 (CIFAR) / +1.06 (ImageNet) – the output-space restriction is largely internalized during training. On fuzzy partitions, where training units span multiple categories (SlimPajama-6B language modeling with a 30M Transformer; SuperNI instruction tuning over Llama-3.2-1B with LoRA), the routing mechanism reduces to the matched No-Routing controls within seed noise, the null our thesis predicts. Granularity alignment, not algorithm choice, localizes when routing helps. Code: https://github.com/Beryex/SpecDrop
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Machine Learning

Spatiotemporal Graph Transformer for Traffic Intelligence in Edge Computing

Accurate traffic forecasting is essential for proactive resource management in edge computing, where service demand evolves dynamically across both space and time. In practical cellular edge systems, traffic exhibits strong spatial correlations among neighboring service regions and long-range temporal dependencies driven by user mobility and application behavior. Existing recurrent forecasting approaches can capture short-term dynamics but often struggle to model long-horizon traffic evolution under non-stationary conditions. To address this challenge, we propose a spatiotemporal graph Transformer framework that jointly models spatial interactions and temporal dependencies for traffic forecasting in edge computing. The framework employs graph neural networks to capture spatial correlations among service regions and leverages Transformer-based self-attention to learn long-range temporal patterns from historical traffic observations. By decoupling spatial representation learning from temporal reasoning, the proposed approach provides an effective mechanism for large-scale spatiotemporal traffic modeling. Extensive experiments on a real-world cellular network dataset demonstrate that the proposed graph Transformer consistently outperforms recurrent graph-based baselines, including GCN-RNN, GCN-LSTM, and GCN-GRU models, across multiple forecasting horizons. The resulting forecasts enable more effective proactive resource provisioning and reduce overload risk compared with reactive management strategies. These results highlight the potential of graph-enhanced attention mechanisms for building intelligent and adaptive edge computing systems.
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All authors Laha Ale, Letian Lin, Na Cao, Zheng Ma, Peng Yu

Machine Learning

Spend Bits Where Queries Look: KV Cache Vector Quantization with Attention-Preserving Transforms

Long-context LLM decoding reads the key-value (KV) cache at every step. Loading it takes longer than computing attention over it, so throughput is bandwidth-bound. Hence, reducing the cache size can raise both decoding speed and serving capacity. The challenge is to reduce cache size while preserving the attention products, keeping reconstruction cheap, and using a fixed per-token bit count. At two bits per element, the most competitive methods rely on orthogonal transforms. However, existing techniques are either data-oblivious or use the query statistics without deriving the transform from a distortion criterion. Moreover, they rely on transforms built on top of random or Hadamard rotations, which equalize variances across entries rather than compacting energy, and fixed-width scalar quantizers, which are suboptimal at low rates. In this paper, we formulate KV cache quantization as a transform coding problem in which distortion is the error in the attention products. We derive closed-form optimal transforms for keys and values from calibration statistics, under a high-resolution model. We show that the optimal key transform is not orthogonal and satisfies a generalized Parseval relation: the attention-aware distortion becomes mean-squared error (MSE) in the transform domain. Thus, we can use MSE-optimal vector quantizers applied directly to the transformed key coefficients. To meet the fixed-width layout requirement, we show that grouping coefficients into equal-volume partitions makes equal-size codebooks attain the variable-rate optimum under the same high-resolution model. At two bits per element, our method, termed NOVA-KV, recovers most of the long-context retrieval accuracy lost by scalar quantization methods at comparable throughput.
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All authors Samuel Fernández-Menduiña, Amir Ziashahabi, Eduardo Pavez, Antonio Ortega, Salman Avestimehr

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CR

FBID: Adaptive Personalized Federated Learning for Robust Out-of-Distribution Attack Detection in IoT Networks

Personalized Federated Learning (PFL) has emerged as a promising solution for intrusion detection in heterogeneous IoT environments, as it can improve local adaptation under highly Non-Independent and Identically Distributed (non-IID) data distributions. However, existing PFL methods often rely on client-side self-adjustment, which may lead to over-personalization and substantial degradation in out-of-distribution (OOD) attack detection. In this paper, we propose Federated Bandit Intrusion Detection (FBID), a novel adaptive PFL framework to address this limitation through server-side personalization control. In particular, FBID employs a contextual multi-armed bandit at the server to dynamically regulate each client's local training intensity according to its observed behavior and update quality. Moreover, FBID introduces a trust-based blending mechanism to derive client-specific interpolation coefficients between the global and local models, thereby preserving global attack-detection knowledge while still allowing beneficial local specialization. Through extensive experiments on the CICIoT2023 dataset under heterogeneous client distributions and OOD stress-test settings, we show that FBID improves individual client OOD Detection Rate (DR) by up to 7.66% and F1-Score (F1) by up to 5.08% (relative) over the strongest stable baseline, while also improving robustness to previously unseen attack classes.
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All authors An Khanh Bui, Cong Thanh Nguyen, Hoang-Anh Pham, Hoang Thai Dinh, Diep N. Nguyen

Machine Learning

SJEPA: Learning Elegant Latent Dynamics with Hybrid Symbolic-Neural Predictors

Joint-embedding predictive architectures learn abstract states by predicting target embeddings from context embeddings, but their transition models are typically opaque neural maps. We introduce SJEPA, a reconstruction-free JEPA framework that learns predictive representations whose induced dynamics admit compact symbolic descriptions. Its hybrid transition combines a symbolic law with a regularised neural correction for dynamics outside the selected grammar. The central principle is to learn the simplest adequate dynamics: representation constraints preserve informative, non-collapsed predictive coordinates, while operator compression favours low-complexity symbolic-neural transitions that remain predictively adequate. We formalise this principle through induced-dynamics complexity, analyse predictive-coordinate non-identifiability, and show that unconstrained operator compression creates a direct shortcut to representation collapse. The framework supports both alternating representation-equation learning and symbolic dynamics fitted to fixed representations. In controlled pendulum experiments, joint learning discovers substantially simpler symbolic dynamics with lower long-horizon rollout error and divergence than post-hoc fitting, while an unconstrained one-step diagnostic realises the predicted collapse shortcut. Under grammar misspecification, correction regularisation preserves the representable symbolic mechanism and directs the neural component towards residual dynamics. The results expose a controllable trade-off among predictive fidelity, representation quality, symbolic parsimony, and symbolic-neural allocation.
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Machine Learning

LaPrune: Controllable Differentiable Sparsity at Million Scale

Top-$k$ selection determines which components of a sparse model remain active. Hard selection blocks gradients, while continuous relaxations often couple mask hardness to the selected mass. We introduce LaPrune, a mathematically exact-budget differentiable layer that controls the normalized second moment while preserving the selected mass. A LapSum barrier preserves the selection mass, and a normalized second-moment constraint moves the mask from a dense equal-mass allocation toward hard top-$k$ at each budget. We derive a population prediction of the saturated fraction, a near-binary limiting law, and a tight worst-case guarantee on the near-zero fraction. The normalized hardness parameter is invariant to score scale, while a fixed LapSum temperature is not.
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All authors Jakub Antczak, Joanna Wojciechowicz, Łukasz Struski, Jacek Tabor

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CL

Learning Sexism Detection Using Multi-Agent Perspectivist Preference Optimization

When people label text for sexism, they often disagree, and not because some of them are wrong: they genuinely perceive sexism differently. Most NLP systems discard this disagreement by collapsing it into a majority vote. We propose the Multi-Agent Perspectivist Preference Optimization (MAP-PO) framework to keep these different perspectives. On the EXIST 2024 dataset of labeled English and Spanish tweets, we first cluster annotators by their labeling behavior rather than their demographic attributes. We then fine-tune one Large Language Model agent per cluster to reproduce that cluster's annotation behavior, and coordinate the agents with preference optimization that combines individual and team-level rewards. We evaluate MAP-PO in four settings defined by two languages and two backbone language models, asking whether each agent reproduces the annotations of its own cluster and whether the agents together reproduce the majority label. Two findings hold in all four settings. First, without fine-tuning the agents behave almost identically, so cluster-specific training is necessary. Second, we show that training each agent only on the labels of its own cluster pushes the agents far beyond the clusters they should represent, while adding a shared team-level training signal consistently keeps each agent calibrated to its cluster.
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All authors Hadi Mohammadi, Tina Shahedi, Robert A. Bagheri, Mehdi Dastani, Masoume M. Raeissi

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from quant-ph

Unifying quantum measurement constructions via a relative-entropy minimum change principle

The minimum change principle provides an information-theoretic characterization of the Bayes reversal channel in classical probability theory and has recently been proposed as a framework for extending Bayes' rule to quantum information theory. Using quantum relative entropy, we investigate a minimum change principle for the setting of quantum statistical inference. Specifically, we consider a forward process based on a classical-to-quantum preparation channel and a reverse process based on a quantum-to-classical measurement channel. We establish a closed-form characterization of measurements that are optimal for this principle, and this optimal measurement can be found via a dual formulation involving a single unconstrained Hermitian variable. This perspective allows us to recover some notable measurements within the same framework, including pretty good measurements and Fermi-Dirac thermal measurements, and we use it to discover a novel family that we call softmin thermal measurements. We further show that softmin thermal measurements arise as optimal solutions to entropy-regularized semidefinite optimization problems, demonstrating that they play a role for measurements analogous to that of thermal states in statistical mechanics. Finally, we prove an additivity property for the relative-entropy minimum change principle and investigate the performance of Fermi-Dirac thermal measurements for quantum hypothesis testing.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.MM

Modality Agreement- and Conflict-Aware Prototype Hypergraph Learning for Multimodal Intent Understanding

Multimodal intent recognition requires understanding not only what textual, acoustic, and visual signals share, but also how they disagree. Such disagreement is frequently class-informative; for example, lexical positivity accompanied by incongruent vocal or facial behavior may indicate sarcasm or taunting, yet most fusion methods either encourage modality alignment or treat inconsistency as uncertainty to be suppressed. We propose MACH (Modality Agreement- and Conflict-aware prototype Hypergraph), a hierarchical prototype-hypergraph framework that represents multimodal agreement and conflict as distinct, recurring relational structures. MACH progressively composes unimodal representations into bimodal and trimodal abstractions. At each applicable level, modality-composition anchors activate sparse agreement prototype hypergraphs that capture reusable consensus patterns, while a separate conflict pathway maps cross-modal discrepancies to dedicated conflict prototype hypergraphs. The two pathways are combined through a feature-wise, sample-adaptive arbitration mechanism, enabling the model to preserve informative disagreement while suppressing incidental modality noise. A progressive optimization strategy stabilizes the interdependent hierarchy before joint agreement-conflict learning. Experiments on benchmark datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed formulation, while component and robustness analyses validate the distinct roles of hierarchical composition, prototype-mediated semantic refinement, and agreement-conflict arbitration.
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All authors Mohnish Raj, Suraj Kumar, Soumi Chattopadhayay, Chandranath Adak, Ayan Dutta

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CR

When Modalities Fail to Tango: Conformal Backdoor Detection in Multimodal Contrastive Learning

Backdoor attacks in multimodal contrastive learning (MCL) have garnered growing attention in recent years, as many downstream tasks critically depend on pre-trained MCL models. Existing detection-based defenses predominantly rely on the CLIPScore metric, under the assumption that poisoned pairs exhibit lower semantic similarity between the image and the caption. However, we identify two critical flaws remaining in existing methods: (1) the substantial overlap between CLIPScore distributions of benign and poisoned pairs undermines the reliability of this metric, and (2) fixed-threshold detection cannot provide statistical guarantees for ambiguous samples within overlapping regions. To overcome these limitations, we propose integrating conformal prediction (CP), a statistical framework that quantifies uncertainty through nonconformity scores (NCSs), to establish provable confidence bounds for detecting poisoned image-caption pairs. Building on CP, we introduce CASCADE, a novel two-stage Coarse-to-Fine Conformal Backdoor Detection framework. The coarse-grained stage uses cross-modality consistency to identify high-confidence benign and poisoned pairs. In the fine-grained stage, a reference set is constructed from high-confidence poisoned pairs, and instance-level NCSs based on text-space similarity are computed for each sample in the unidentified subset. These NCSs measure conformity to the poisoning distribution and enable precise identification of latent poisoned pairs within the unidentified subset. Extensive experiments on the large-scale CC3M dataset demonstrate that CASCADE achieves an average FPR of 5.79% at 100% TPR and an average AUROC of 0.9867 across diverse attacks, while remaining effective against adaptive attacks.
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All authors Yiming Chen, Kemou Li, Haiwei Wu, Jiantao Zhou

Machine Learning

CAMP: A Cycle-Aware Multi-Scale Patch Mixer for Time Series Forecasting

Real-world time series are often governed by recurring patterns, but their dominant periods may vary across datasets, forecasting settings, and individual input windows. Existing cycle-aware forecasters commonly rely on a single period selected at the dataset level, which can be restrictive when periodic behavior changes over time or when multiple cycles coexist. Moreover, patch-based models typically process all patch positions uni- formly, although patches farther from the forecast boundary may require broader contextual refinement, while recent patches contain information that should be preserved more directly. Af- ter cyclic behavior is removed, the remaining dynamics may also span multiple temporal resolutions and cannot be adequately de- scribed at a single scale. We introduce CAMP, a Cycle-Aware Multi-Scale Patch Mixer designed to address these challenges. The Adaptive Cycle Learning module identifies dominant fre- quencies separately for each input window and generates both historical and future cyclic components without requiring a pre- defined cycle length. The Horizon-Guided Patch Mixer intro- duces position-dependent refinement, allowing earlier patches to incorporate broader temporal context while preserving infor- mation close to the forecast boundary. CAMP further models the de-cycled residual through temporally aligned multi-resolution representations, enabling complementary dynamics at different scales to be captured within one forecasting framework. Across seven long-term forecasting benchmarks, CAMP achieves the best average MSE on six datasets and the best or tied-best MAE on six. It also obtains the highest MSE win count across sixteen settings on four PEMS traffic benchmarks.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.NI

FM4WiFi: Flow Matching for Multi-AP Coordination in Dense Deployments of Beyond Wi-Fi 8 Networks

Wi-Fi networks are moving beyond random channel access toward tightly coordinated operation across access points (APs), a shift reflected in Wi-Fi 8's multi-AP coordination (MAPC). However, the current MAPC specification restricts cooperation to AP pairs, fundamentally limiting the gains achievable in dense deployments and calling for scalable, network-wide coordination in beyond Wi-Fi 8 systems. We target coordinated spatial reuse (Co-SR), where APs transmit concurrently at reduced power. Effective Co-SR demands joint selection and configuration of AP-station transmissions, yet existing approaches simply do not scale: they rely on heavy signaling, slow convergence, unrealistic assumptions, and often require computation time that explodes with network size. We introduce FM4WiFi, a generative ML pipeline that addresses these limitations by producing high-quality Co-SR configurations in a single inference step. FM4WiFi integrates (i) an autoencoder that learns compact latent representations of network states, (ii) a flow-matching generative model that synthesizes feasible Co-SR configurations (including rate control, absent from prior work), and (iii) a surrogate rate predictor that allows rapid, large-scale Co-SR candidate evaluation without dependence on a live system or digital twin. Across extensive evaluations (including experimental validation), FM4WiFi matches or exceeds state-of-the-art baselines at medium-to-large scales and scales to 30+ APs with sub-second inference. Extensive ablation studies validate each modeling and optimization choice.
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All authors Maksymilian Wojnar, Krzysztof Rusek, Katarzyna Kosek-Szott, Szymon Szott

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML

Statistical learning theory and Occam's razor: Regularization

The principle of Occam's razor, which instructs us to prefer simplicity in inductive inference, has attracted much scrutiny both in the philosophy of science and in machine learning. In either field, however, a justification for the principle has been elusive. In this paper, building on an earlier "core argument," I spell out a justification from statistical learning theory for the procedure of regularization: for trading off fit for simplicity. The means-ends argument is that in order to profit from theoretical reliability and "what-you-see-is-what-you-get" guarantees, one must implement a certain preference for simplicity over fit. This is a genuine methodological justification, which neither collapses to a purely pragmatic principle that we prefer simplicity for its own sake, nor to an ontological assumption that the truth is simple.
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Machine Learning

Recurrent Residual Quantization: A Progressive Multi-Precision Representation for LLMs

Serving large language models (LLMs) under diverse deployment constraints requires flexible trade-offs between accuracy, memory footprint, and throughput. However, conventional quantization methods typically require a separate checkpoint for each target bit-width. We introduce Recurrent Residual Quantization (RRQ), a post-training quantization (PTQ) framework that represents weights as a low-bit quantized base together with a sequence of quantized residual corrections, enabling multiple effective precisions from a single checkpoint. Starting from a 2-bit model obtained via post-training quantization (PTQ) or round-to-nearest (RTN), RRQ progressively adds lightweight 2-bit residuals generated via RTN to construct 4-, 6-, and 8-bit representations. The method is calibration-free and avoids joint multi-bit optimization. In our Qwen3-8B setup, the full all-RTN 2-/4-/6-/8-bit package is constructed in 1,293 seconds, 3.3 times faster than the measured MatGPTQ construction. Experiments on six recent LLMs show competitive accuracy at 6 and 8 bits, with model-dependent behavior at 4 bits. The code will be made publicly available upon publication.
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All authors Yu Luo, Bo Dong, Wenhua Cheng, Haihao Shen

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CR

Beyond the QBER Threshold: A Temporal QBER Based Machine Learning Framework for Multi Attack Detection in BB84 QKD

Conventional BB84 Quantum Key Distribution (QKD) systems rely on a fixed 11% Quantum Bit Error Rate (QBER) threshold to detect eavesdropping. However, stealthy attacks can remain below this threshold while still compromising channel security. This paper proposes a temporal QBER based machine learning framework for detecting and classifying eavesdropping attacks in BB84 QKD systems. Rather than relying on average session level QBER, the framework extracts 63 physics-informed temporal features capturing burst behavior, temporal instability, basis dependent asymmetry, and QBER loss interactions. Random Forest, XGBoost, and Support Vector Machine with a Radial Basis Function kernel (SVM-RBF) classifiers are evaluated on seven eavesdropping attacks and a normal channel scenario under noisy and lossy conditions. Averaged over ten independent runs, XGBoost achieves the best performance with 88.01% (0.47%) accuracy and a macro F1 score of 0.8803, while SVM-RBF performs comparably, confirming the robustness of the proposed features. Evaluated as a binary attack-versus-normal detector for comparison with conventional monitoring, a fixed 11% QBER threshold achieves only 25.82% accuracy with a False Negative Rate (FNR) of 0.8477, whereas the proposed framework reduces the FNR to 0.0198, substantially improving detection of stealthy attacks that evade threshold-based monitoring. SHapley Additive exPlanations based (SHAP) explainability shows that physics-informed temporal and channel derived features are highly discriminative for identifying eavesdropping strategies. These results demonstrate that temporal QBER driven machine learning provides an accurate, explainable, and practical framework for multi attack security monitoring in BB84 QKD systems.
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All authors Isha, Deepak Singh, Devesh Kumar, S.K Pal, Praful Hambarde, Amit Shukla

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from q-bio.QM

The Cost of Binarizing Survival Outcomes in Clinical Prognostic Modeling

Survival analysis is an established framework for analyzing time-to-event data, yet many clinical machine learning studies still binarize the outcome before model training. This practice excludes censored patients, collapses temporal information into a single threshold, and can affect which features are selected as prognostically relevant. We examine the cost of this binarization in the context of Bayesian network (BN) feature selection, using two recent publications as case studies: one that applies BN-based feature selection to a head-and-neck cancer cohort and a second surgical cohort study that, while not BN-based, likewise binarizes its survival endpoint. We replace the binary scoring function with the Cox partial log-likelihood for feature-to-outcome edges, a modification we call the Survival-Aware Bayesian network, and recover prognostic features that binarization misses. Our ablation experiment confirms that the improvement is driven by the time-to-event scoring formulation rather than by retaining more patients. The results generalize across five endpoint-cohort combinations in head-and-neck cancer and extend to three further cancer types (breast, colorectal, and kidney). We propose that clinical studies with survival outcomes should use time-to-event methods by default, as binarization discards the prognostic signal retained by survival analysis.
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Machine Learning

Robust and Personalized Federated Learning for Aircraft-Engine Prognostics under Benign and Adversarial Client Heterogeneity

Federated learning (FL) enables aircraft fleet operators to jointly train remaining-useful-life (RUL) models from engine sensor telemetry without sharing raw data. This study examines two complementary challenges: benign heterogeneity, where honest operators observe different operating conditions and fault modes, and adversarial heterogeneity, where compromised operators submit poisoned updates. We conduct a controlled, safety-oriented evaluation using a multi-task one-dimensional convolutional neural network and a structurally non-IID partition of the Commercial Modular Aero-Propulsion System Simulation (C-MAPSS) benchmark. We compare four remedies for benign heterogeneity and evaluate five attacks against four aggregation methods, including a physically motivated sensor-value backdoor designed to mask engine degradation. Shared-representation personalization closes approximately 70% of the local-to-centralized root-mean-square-error gap, compared with 21% for proximal regularization and 10% for server-side reweighting. The backdoor achieves a 94.9% attack success rate against standard averaging while leaving clean accuracy statistically unchanged, demonstrating that accuracy alone cannot certify model safety and that attack success must be evaluated explicitly. Krum reduces attack success by an order of magnitude and is the only evaluated aggregator that withstands coordinated attackers, whereas personalization alone provides no protection. Combining personalization with robust aggregation restores robustness (2.8% attack success) with only a small accuracy cost, revealing a trade-off between robust update selection and collaborative representation learning. Results remain consistent across client counts and on a harder six-condition dataset. Code and data partitions are released for reproducibility.
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All authors Chinmoy Mitra, Md. Mehedi Hasan Nipu, Mohammad Sakib Mahmood, Md. Rakibul Islam, M. F. Mridha

Machine Learning

Tactus: Open-Vocabulary Object Recognition from Low-Cost Pressure Arrays

Resistive pressure arrays are the cheapest and most widely shipped tactile sensors, yet tactile representation learning has concentrated on optical sensors that image a deforming gel. We present Tactus, an open model that answers text queries from pressure data alone: on the STAG benchmark (27 objects, held-out recordings), it reaches 0.771 +/- 0.062 top-1 over four runs (top-3 0.935), matching, and at best exceeding, the dataset's supervised closed-set CNN at 0.76, with no trained classifier head. The recipe is small-data: 187 training recordings, masked-autoencoder pretraining on 144k unlabeled same-sensor frames, and the sensor's own calibration affine, which recovered more accuracy than every architecture change combined. The released model's errors concentrate in a few contact-ambiguous classes, are uncorrelated with text-target geometry (Spearman rho <= 0.05 over 702 class pairs), and survive paraphrased and even bare-name queries within one point; two diverse frames recover 89% of eight-frame accuracy. Failures are reported with equal precision: cross-sensor pretraining pooling gave no gain, vision co-training degraded touch, and a mis-normalized input pipeline silently discarded 97% of the sensor's dynamic range while producing plausible intermediate results. Weights, code, and the memory layer the model plugs into are released openly.
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Machine Learning

An Explainable LLM Agent Layer for Open-World Anomaly Detection in Oil Wells

Open-World Learning (OWL) pipelines for oil well anomaly detection have recently been shown to combine autoencoder-based detection, multiclass classification, and Mahalanobis-based novelty detection on the public 3W dataset. These pipelines answer what happened, but they do not explain why the model believes it or what the operator should do next, and they do not put a human-readable name on the novelty clusters they discover. This paper evaluates a Large Language Model (LLM) agent layer placed downstream of the OWL pipeline, designed as a companion to the published upstream methods rather than a replacement. Using the Qwen3.5-397B-A17B Mixture-of-Experts model served via NVIDIA NIM, the agent receives structured sensor metrics and upstream classification or novelty assertions, and returns natural-language justifications, confidence-ranked critiques, and consolidated names for detected novelties. Across three studies spanning 989 real well-file segments from the 3W dataset, the agent achieved $35.1\%$ top-1 / $63.9\%$ top-3 (95% CI [56.9, 70.4]) classification on all nine classes, $71.7\%$ top-2 validation [64.8, 77.6] with precision $0.91$ [0.84, 0.95] across 7 probed classes, and $89.7\%$ novelty detection [87.0, 91.9] with stable cluster naming on 5 of 7 hidden classes. The agent is not a standalone classifier. Its role is to: (1) confirm upstream decisions when sensor evidence supports them, (2) justify decisions in sensor-grounded language operators can audit, (3) flag disagreement when upstream labels are implausible, and (4) name novelties so that clustered unlabeled events arrive at the engineer with a consolidated human-readable label. The goal is to close the explainability gap that currently blocks deployment of OWL pipelines in operational settings.
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All authors Lucas Gouveia Omena Lopes, Thales Miranda de Almeida Vieira, Eduardo Toledo de Lima Junior, William Wagner Matos Lira

Machine Learning

Test-Time Scaling in Reasoning LLMs: Inference Regimes, Evaluation, and Reproducibility

Large language models can solve harder reasoning problems with more inference-time compute. The term "test-time scaling," however, covers several inference algorithms: extending deliberation along one trajectory, sampling completed candidates and aggregating them by voting or verification, and searching over partial states. These algorithms differ in statistical structure, compute requirements, and failure modes. Treating them as interchangeable under a scalar "budget," or reporting accuracy without specifying the inference protocol, makes results difficult to compare across studies. We study test-time scaling along three axes. First, we formalize it as budgeted inference over the implicit prefix tree of an autoregressive model and distinguish single-trajectory sequential scaling, leaf-level scaling with terminal reduction, and prefix-level scaling. Second, we treat the full inference system as the evaluated object and separate end-to-end performance from candidate-bank diagnostics. We introduce an evaluation profile whose coordinates and simple functionals recover or bound common repeated-sampling metrics, and require compute accounting and uncertainty estimates that match the protocol. Third, we distinguish exact replay from distributional reproducibility and state the requirements for each. We also organize open-weight reasoning models by model-side and interface mechanisms. Our empirical study covers broad knowledge, symbolic reasoning, and competition mathematics, and we publicly release 1,403,520 sampled model attempts. The project website is available at https://mohsenhariri.github.io/scorio/tts. The released datasets are Trace (https://huggingface.co/datasets/harimo/scorio-trace), Lite (https://huggingface.co/datasets/harimo/scorio-lite), Math (https://huggingface.co/buckets/harimo/scorio-math), and SuperGPQA (https://huggingface.co/buckets/harimo/scorio-gpqa).
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All authors Mohsen Hariri, Weicong Chen, Nahal Shahini, Vikash Singh, Kai Ye, Amirhossein Samandar, Debargha Ganguly, Sreehari Sankar, Yanyan Zhang, Shouren Wang, Jerry Peng, Biyao Zhang, Michael Hinczewski, Vipin Chaudhary

Machine Learning

Assessment of Conditional Diffusion Model for Synthetic Histopathology Image Generation

Synthetic histopathology image generation has emerged as an approach that may address data scarcity in computational pathology, yet current evaluation methodologies may not fully assess synthetic data quality for medical applications. This work investigates and addresses limitations in existing evaluation metrics, investigating an approach for assessing synthetic histopathology image quality through domain-specific metrics and downstream task validation. We show that conventional synthetic data evaluation metrics such as Frechet Inception Distance (FID) and Inception Score (IS) may have limitations when applied to histopathology images due to their reliance on ImageNet-pretrained feature extractors. To address these limitations, we propose for consideration modified FID and IS approaches utilizing foundation models pretrained on digital pathology datasets, supplemented by precision-recall based metrics as part of an additional quality assessment. Using conditional denoising diffusion models trained on four benchmark datasets, with a two-step training approach, we generated synthetic datasets with systematically varied quality characteristics. We also measured the correlation between the synthetic data quality metrics with downstream nuclei segmentation performance using common metrics including the aggregated Jaccard index (AJI+) and the Dice coefficient. The study results suggest that pathology-specific metrics may provide improved discriminative power. Specifically, the modified Inception Score indicates higher correlation with downstream task performance (r=0.6096 with AJI+, p=0.0122), compared to the original IS (r=0.0708, p=0.7944). Our observations indicate that increasing the variety of generated training data has a higher positive correlation with segmentation model performance than improving the visual fidelity of individual generated images.
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All authors Seyed Kahaki, Shijie Li, Weijie Chen, Nicholas Petrick