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Monday 13 July

Machine Learning

Transformer-Guided Swarm Intelligence for Frugal Neural Architecture Search

Neural Architecture Search (NAS) has automated the design of deep learning models but traditionally requires massive computational resources, often measured in thousands of GPU-days. In this paper, we propose a frugal and memetic NAS framework designed to democratize architecture design on consumer-grade hardware. Our approach combines the global macro-search capabilities of an autoregressive Transformer controller, trained via Reinforcement Learning (RL), with the local micro-exploitation of an Artificial Bee Colony (ABC) algorithm. To prevent premature convergence during the RL phase, we introduce a dynamic entropy mechanism that forces topological exploration upon detection of performance stagnation. Evaluated on a standard GPU (NVIDIA RTX 3060), our hybrid method effectively resolves the "cold-start" problem inherent in metaheuristics. By algorithmically penalizing network depth, our framework actively mitigates model bloat: on the CIFAR-10 dataset, it discovers an efficient architecture reaching 84.85% accuracy with only $\sim$174,000 parameters (significantly smaller than standard baselines like ResNet-20) in 3 hours of search time. Furthermore, we demonstrate the framework's flexibility by applying it to credit card fraud detection, directly optimizing the F1-Score on highly imbalanced tabular data to reach a F1-Score of 0.71 with a compact network of $\sim$4,600 parameters. These results suggest that our approach can yield tailored, accessible, and highly parameter-efficient deep learning models suitable for edge deployment.
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Machine Learning

Relaxing Faithfulness with Intervention-Only Causal Discovery

Causal discovery algorithms learn a network that describes the causal dependencies among random variables. A common workflow involves first utilizing conditional independence properties on observational data to determine partially directed causal relationships, then applying interventions to orient the unknown causal directions. A critical assumption for the first step is faithfulness: a requirement that causally linked variables exhibit statistical dependence. Many natural systems include buffering and stabilizing pathways that cancel out to achieve systemic robustness. This cancellation of pathways violates faithfulness, leading causal discovery algorithms to incorrectly remove causal dependencies. In this paper, we argue that hard interventions contain information about the presence/absence of causal linkage that is overlooked in the first stage of structure discovery. We show that a mild assumption – called intervention-immediacy faithfulness – that allows cancellations, is sufficient to nonparametrically identify causal structures with hard interventions. These results position interventions as the primary carriers of information about causal structure, which should take precedence over conditional independence testing. To flip the paradigm, we also specify equivalence classes when the identification criteria are not met due to limitations in the scope of interventions.
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Machine Learning

An Exact Instrument for State Usage in Selective State-Space Models, and the Input-Driven Migration It Reveals

Selective state-space models such as Mamba route information through a bank of first-order modes whose input coupling is set by a learned selection mechanism. We give an exact instrument for measuring how a trained model uses these modes. Because the state matrix is diagonal, each channel's output decomposes exactly into per-mode contributions, and a per-(layer, channel, window) Gram tensor yields the exact output error of dropping any subset of modes, offline, at any budget. Validated against the reference implementation to a relative error of $2.3\times10^{-7}$ on the Mamba-1 family where it is exact, the instrument predicts a layer's deployed pruning error to a median relative deviation of $5\times10^{-7}$ over $4{,}464$ configurations, its floor set by the reconstruction. Applying the instrument across the Mamba-1 family (130M–2.8B), the deployed 7B Falcon-Mamba, and Mamba-2, we find that trained models re-allocate their state space with the input: which modes carry the signal migrates across contexts, and at the most affected layers a per-input oracle roughly halves the output error of a fixed mode set. Frozen-signal counterfactuals attribute the migration primarily to the input-dependent write map $B_t$; the timestep usually identified with selectivity carries almost none of it. Input-scheduled mode pruning on this measurement outperforms static, Hankel-based, and layer-adaptive rankings at every scale from 130M to the deployed 7B Falcon-Mamba, and at half the state budget it matches the unpruned model. Because the scheduler reads each window's mode usage from a first pass, this demonstrates realizable headroom; we claim no deployed compute or memory saving.
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Machine Learning

From Expressivity to Sample Complexity: Narrow Teachers for Transformers via C-RASP

A theoretical understanding of Transformers is crucial to better understand the capacities and limitations of large language models (LLMs). There is much work analyzing the expressivity of attention-based models. By proposing handcrafted weights or using computational complexity arguments, a large amount of past theoretical works have sought to characterize which tasks are and which are not in the hypothesis class of Transformer models. However, little work investigates the learnability of such solutions. In this work, we make progress towards this goal. Inspired by recent loss landscape analysis work, we propose preliminary sample complexity bounds for learning C-RASP constructions with Transformers.
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All authors Michael Rizvi-Martel, Satwik Bhattamishra, Guillaume Rabusseau, Michael Hahn

Machine Learning

From Global to Factor-Wise Expert Composition in Discrete Diffusion Models

Discrete diffusion models offer a powerful framework for solving complex reasoning tasks, particularly through compositional generation, which combines multiple pre-trained experts to generalize beyond their individual training data. Recent theoretical corrections introduce time-dependent mixing weights to better align composed diffusion dynamics with the intended target. However, these methods are fundamentally limited by working on a per-sample basis, treating each generated state monolithically and ignoring the potential spatial or functional specializations of different experts. In this work, we address this limitation by proposing FactorDiff - a factor-wise composition framework for diffusion models. We posit that samples can be further decomposed into smaller factors, and propose a sampling process that dynamically routes each factor to the most relevant expert. We instantiate this framework with spatial/pixel-level compositions and validate it on the ARC-AGI benchmark, demonstrating that simple factor-specific routing consistently outperforms complex global scalar weighting schemes on tasks that require logical consistency and spatial disentanglement.
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All authors Haozhe Huang, Yudong Xu, Abhijoy Mandal, Alán Aspuru-Guzik

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.GT

Paradoxes of Game Theoretic Equilibria and Price of Anarchy

For decades, static solution concepts (Nash, Correlated, and Coarse Correlated Equilibria) and the Price of Anarchy (PoA) have formed the bedrock of algorithmic game theory, with no-regret learning proving fast convergence to such game-theoretic equilibria. We show that reducing multi-agent learning to static equilibrium and black-box regret analysis obscures underlying dynamic disequilibrium and game theoretic bounds. First, interior Nash equilibria lack $C^1$ vector field information, meaning agents cannot distinguish aligned from strictly opposing incentives. Inheriting this geometry, the worst-case pure Nash equilibria dictating robust PoA bounds manifest as topologically unstable strict saddles, and in canonical congestion games, as global repellers supported on almost everywhere strictly dominated strategies. Anchoring efficiency guarantees to these unstable states causes algebraic sensitivity; we prove that accommodating all strictly positive affine costs renders the PoA unbounded. Furthermore, projecting learning trajectories onto the discrete simplex of correlated play systematically accommodates non-rationalizable behavior. Evaluating dynamics via Coarse Correlated Equilibria or proximal refinements fails to preclude strictly dominated strategies. Moreover, optimal $O(1/T)$ swap-regret minimization does not preclude macroscopic turbulence, manifesting as chaotic limit sets even in minimal games. Finally, we examine the non-atomic limit of congestion games. Though considered highly stable with tight sub-linear $\Theta(p/\ln p)$ PoA bounds (where $p$ is the polynomial degree), we prove that under discrete-time learning, the unique equilibrium destabilizes into Li-Yorke chaos and global attractors whose time-averaged inefficiency degrades exponentially as $2^p$. These results necessitate re-evaluating worst-case equilibrium frameworks for dynamically grounded metrics.
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All authors Georgios Piliouras, Ian Gemp, Siqi Liu, Luke Marris

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CR

When Local Monitors Miss Compositional Harm: Diagnosing Distributed Backdoors in Multi-Agent Systems

As multi-agent, tool-using LLM systems are deployed, a common safety net is a runtime monitor that checks each message, tool call, or step on its own. We show this net has a fundamental hole. A distributed backdoor splits a harmful payload across agents, so every local check passes while the assembled object is the attack. The monitor can be right on every step and still miss the attack. The problem is not splitting itself: split fragments can still leak suspicious tokens or provenance edges. The hard case is local benignness. No fragment carries the harm, and what is left looks like ordinary benign traffic. We formalize this as an observability boundary: a monitor catches only what its view can tell apart from benign traffic. We prove that once the fragments look benign in the monitored view, no detector on that view can catch them, however strong it is. Across a controlled testbed, an external benchmark, and end-to-end agent runs, local monitors lose the signal exactly as local evidence disappears, and it returns only when the monitor sees the assembled object. A monitor trained only on benign traffic recovers the attack's code structure across held-out encodings (0.874 mean AUROC). A decoded-view gate, given the encoding family, blocks every tested attack. But seeing more is not enough: full-trace monitors and decoders still fail unless they reach the representation where the payload is exposed. Local safety is not global safety when harm is compositional, and the open problem is finding that representation.
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Machine Learning

HiFi-LLP: High-Fidelity, Low-Cost Latency Predictors with Confidence for Robust HW-NAS

With deep neural networks (DNNs) increasingly deployed on edge devices, hardware (HW)-aware optimization techniques–such as HW-aware compression and HW-aware neural architecture search (HW-NAS)–have become essential. These methods rely on real feedback from the target hardware to tailor DNN architectures for efficient deployment. While the search can be parallelized, latency measurements via hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) remain a bottleneck due to their sequential nature. Recent approaches use latency predictors to replace costly HIL feedback, but challenges persist: (1) platform-specific predictors often require tens of thousands of samples, and (2) inaccurate predictions can mislead the NAS process. To address this, we introduce HiFi-LLP, a high-fidelity, low-cost latency predictor based on graph attention networks, augmented with a confidence metric. HiFi-LLP outperforms prior platform-specific predictors by up to 9 percentage points (p.p.) in the 10% accuracy bound and achieves a Spearman's rank correlation of up to 0.996 across six devices in the LatBench dataset. We further propose a hybrid NAS framework that routes low-confidence predictions to HIL, achieving up to 8.6$\times$ speedup compared to typical NAS while maintaining a competitive Pareto front.
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All authors Shambhavi Balamuthu Sampath, Behzad Shomali, Nael Fasfous, Moritz Thoma, Judeson Anthony Fernando, Lukas Frickenstein, Pierpaolo Mori, Manoj Rohit Vemparala, Alexander Frickenstein, Walter Stechele

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.RO

NeuralActuator: Neural Actuation Modeling for Robot Dynamics and External Force Perception

Differentiable simulators have advanced policy learning and model-based control across robotic tasks. Yet actuator dynamics remain underexplored and can be a major source of sim-to-real error, particularly on low-cost platforms, where the linear current-to-joint-torque approximation $\tau = K_t I$ becomes unreliable because of friction, hysteresis, backlash, and thermal effects. Accurate actuator models can also support force perception and integrated force/position control. We present NeuralActuator, which jointly predicts (i) a torque surrogate for trajectory propagation on low-cost servo platforms, (ii) external forces with a contact-probability gate for sensorless force perception, and (iii) a motor-condition score for a supervised joint, distinguishing normal from mechanically restricted operation. A twin-arm teleoperation system records robot states and actuator telemetry alongside external-force labels, yielding the Neural Actuation Dataset (NAD). The torque-surrogate head is trained through differentiable simulation from pose trajectories without ground-truth joint-torque measurements. A Transformer captures temporal dependencies while enabling real-time inference. We validate NeuralActuator on a 5-DoF OpenManipulator-X, a 6-DoF SO-101 from LeRobot, and a 7-DoF Franka Emika Panda, spanning three actuator families and costs from approximately \$500 to more than \$30{,}000. The low-cost platforms support physically plausible dynamics and force evaluation, while the offline Franka experiment provides a payload-force-estimation benchmark. We also demonstrate motor-condition estimation and improved behavior-cloning performance using NeuralActuator as a pretrained module. We release the dataset, code, and hardware configurations on the project page: https://frank-zy-dou.github.io/projects/NeuralActuator/index.html.
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All authors Zhiyang Dou, John U. Onyemelukwe, Hangxing Zhang, Heng Zhang, Minghao Guo, Yunsheng Tian, Michal Piotr Lipiec, Joshua Jacob, Chao Liu, Peter Yichen Chen, Yuri Ivanov, Wojciech Matusik

Machine Learning

SLAB: Time-Lag-Aware Deep Reinforcement Learning for Flexible Job-Shop Scheduling in PPVC Module Factories

Prefabricated prefinished volumetric construction (PPVC) builds room-sized modules in factories that operate as flexible job shops. A module waits 12 to 48 h after casting, waterproofing, and painting, while its station is free for other modules. Existing learned dispatchers release the next operation before this wait ends, so their plans need repair. This paper presents SLAB (Scheduling under time-Lags with an Admissible Bound), a decision process for dispatchers trained by deep reinforcement learning. Its transition releases a module only after its wait, and its reward is the decrease of a proven lower bound that includes the waits. Training on 10-module orders with halved waits also teaches the policy the station contention of larger orders. On three existing networks, repaired plans are 42% to 133% longer than the same network's schedules inside SLAB. On orders generated from Singapore's PPVC guidebook, one trained policy gives schedules 2.2% to 8.1% shorter than the shortest-processing-time rule at 10 to 80 modules. At 50 and 80 modules, it outperforms a time-lag memetic algorithm by 6.7% and 7.4% and constraint-programming search started from that rule's schedule and given 600 s by 6.6% and 7.6%. The memetic algorithm gives shorter schedules on orders of 10 modules, and the same search given 300 s on orders of 10 and 20 modules. A module factory can therefore train one dispatcher on small orders and run it without a solver on production batches of 50 to 80 modules.
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Machine Learning

Active Offline-to-Online Reinforcement Learning

Background: Offline reinforcement learning (RL) enables effective policies to be trained from large, previously collected datasets and subsequently improved through limited online interaction. This offline-to-online RL (O2O-RL) paradigm is particularly promising in nonstationary domains where interaction is costly or potentially hazardous. Standard O2O-RL pipelines train multiple candidate policies offline, evaluate them using off-policy or online evaluation, and then deploy and fine-tune the policy with the highest estimated value. However, as in offline pretraining, fine-tuning performance is highly sensitive to the choice of algorithm and hyperparameters, making it risky to commit to a single policy. Objectives: We study active policy selection for fine-tuning under a limited interaction budget in O2O-RL settings. To our knowledge, this is the first work to address this problem. Methods: We formulate the problem by identifying a fundamental trade-off between allocating online interactions to policy evaluation, which helps identify high-performing policies, and allocating them to fine-tuning, which improves policy performance. We then propose an approach that balances this trade-off by actively selecting policies for fine-tuning based on upper-confidence bounds on their future performance. These bounds are derived from locally linear performance forecasts fitted to observations obtained through online evaluation. Results: Across a diverse range of experiments, the proposed approach consistently outperforms existing O2O-RL baselines. Conclusions: Actively selecting and fine-tuning policies uses limited online interaction budgets more effectively than either committing to a single policy or dividing the budget equally among all policies. Our framework also advances offline RL toward practical deployment in real-world systems where online interaction is costly or risky.
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Machine Learning

CatRetriever: Contrastive Representation Learning for Slab-to-Bulk Retrieval in Generative Catalyst Discovery

Inverse design is an emerging data-driven paradigm for efficiently navigating vast chemical spaces to discover new materials with targeted properties, and in the context of heterogeneous catalysis, surface generative models have recently advanced this goal by directly generating catalyst surface-adsorbate structures. However, these models typically operate at the slab level and do not provide the corresponding parent bulk structure, making it difficult to assess bulk-dependent properties such as formation energy, surface energy, crystallographic symmetry, and synthesizability. Here, we address this missing slab-to-bulk connection as a retrieval problem and introduce CatRetriever, a contrastive representation learning model that aligns slab and bulk crystal representations in a shared latent space. From a slab query, CatRetriever accurately retrieves plausible parent bulk candidates with R@1 > 91% and R@3 > 98% on both the in-distribution and holdout evaluation sets. We further extend the CatRetriever framework into an adsorption energy targeted bulk discovery pipeline that combines bulk retrieval, generative search space expansion, and adsorption energy distribution analysis. This workflow evaluates candidates by both structural compatibility with the query slab and their ability to access the target adsorption energy range across diverse surface environments. CatRetriever therefore provides a scalable route for connecting catalyst generative models with physically plausible and adsorption energy compatible bulk catalyst discovery.
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All authors Jungho Oh, Woosung Kim, Dong Hyeon Mok, Jonggeol Na, Seoin Back

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from quant-ph

$\mathtt{Q^2SAR}$: overcoming classical bottlenecks in drug discovery via quantum multiple kernel learning

Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationship ($\mathtt{QSAR}$) modeling is a foundational computational methodology in early-stage drug discovery, heavily relied upon for predicting compound toxicity, bioavailability, and therapeutic potential. However, classical methods often struggle to effectively map the highly complex, non-linear, and high-dimensional interactions inherent in molecular data, leading to reduced predictive accuracy and costly late-stage clinical failures. In this paper, we present a Quantum Multiple Kernel Learning ($\mathtt{QMKL}$) framework, dubbed Next-Gen $\mathtt{Q^2SAR}$, that leverages Quantum Support Vector Machines ($\mathtt{QSVMs}$) to overcome these classical limitations. By encoding molecular descriptors into exponentially large quantum Hilbert spaces, our approach substantially enhances the expressiveness of non-linear modeling. Benchmarking our quantum-enhanced framework on a dataset targeting the $\mathtt{DYRK1A}$ kinase (a critical target for Alzheimer's disease), the $\mathtt{QMKL}$-$\mathtt{SVM}$ achieves an impressive Area Under the Curve ($\mathtt{AUC}$) score of $0.8750$, significantly outperforming classical state-of-the-art Gradient Boosting models ($\mathtt{AUC} = 0.8037$). Furthermore, we establish a theoretical and empirical pathway toward resolving classical data bottlenecks through projected quantum kernels ($\mathtt{PQK}$) and measurement accelerators. As quantum computing architecture matures, this framework paves the way for autonomous cognitive architectures and self-improving drug discovery pipelines, promising to unlock deeper insights across vast chemical spaces and to accelerate the development of life-saving therapeutics.
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All authors Mariano Caruso, Daniel Ruiz, Alejandro Giraldo, Guido Bellomo

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.RO

Self-Healing Visual Recovery for Autonomous Ground Vehicles Using Camera-Only Visual Odometry

Low-cost unmanned ground vehicles are often used in indoor places like warehouses, inspection corridors, and farm rows, where painted floor lines guide the robot. Line following is useful because it only needs one camera and little computing power, but it can fail when the line is blocked or turns sharply and goes out of view. Sensor-rich platforms tolerate this through hardware redundancy (LiDAR, GPS, multiple cameras), but camera-only systems must recover at runtime with no additional infrastructure. This paper presents a lightweight, two-stage recovery approach that restores guideline tracking without LiDAR, GPS, or a GPU. When the line is lost, the robot first turns in place while slowly relaxing its color checks and waiting for confirmation across multiple frames (Stage 1). If the line is still not found, monocular visual odometry moves the robot back to saved breadcrumb positions before it tries again (Stage 2). The system uses a depth-gated HSV line tracker, a YOLOv8n obstacle detector, and a visual odometry breadcrumb mapper, and it runs at 20 Hz on CPU-only hardware. The controller embeds a complete MAPE-K loop within a single 50 ms control tick, with no external adaptation manager required. The approach is evaluated across 119 fault-injected episodes on three Webots simulation courses. The method was successful in 86.6% of cases, with a median recovery time of 3.26 seconds. These results demonstrate that reliable visual recovery is feasible on camera-only UGVs within practical cost and computational limits.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ML

Diversified Multinomial Logit Contextual Bandits

Existing contextual multinomial logit (MNL) bandits model relevance-driven choice but ignore the potential benefits of within-assortment diversity, while submodular/combinatorial bandits encode diversity in rewards but lack structured choice probabilities. We bridge this gap with the $\textit{diversified multinomial logit}$ (DMNL) contextual bandit, which augments MNL choice probabilities with a generally submodular diversity function, thereby formalizing the relevance–diversity trade-off within a single model. Incorporating diversity renders exact MNL assortment optimization intractable. We propose a $\textit{white-box}$ UCB-based algorithm, $\texttt{OFU-DMNL}$, that constructs assortments item-wise by maximizing optimistic marginal gains, avoids black-box optimization oracles. We show that $\texttt{OFU-DMNL}$ achieves at least a $(1-\frac{1}{e+1})$-$\textit{approximate}$ regret bound $\tilde{O}\left(d \sqrt{T/K}\right)$, where $d$ is the context dimension, $K$ the maximum assortment size, and $T$ the horizon, and attains an improved approximation factor over standard submodular baselines. Experiments demonstrate consistent gains and, relative to exhaustive enumeration, comparable regret with substantially lower runtime. Overall, DMNL bandits provide a practical foundation for diversity-aware assortment optimization under uncertainty, and $\texttt{OFU-DMNL}$ offers a statistically and computationally efficient solution.
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Machine Learning

A multi-scale feature enhanced graph neural network for fluid dynamics prediction in complex geometries

Industrial design in fields such as vehicle and aerospace engineering often relies on large-scale numerical simulations to evaluate fluid dynamics performance, which can incur substantial computational costs. Deep neural networks have shown promise in improving simulation efficiency, especially graph neural networks (GNNs), which demonstrate great potential due to their flexibility with unstructured data. However, GNNs face challenges when dealing with tasks involving complex geometries and large-scale meshes. In this paper, we propose the Multi-scale Feature Enhanced Graph Neural Network (ME-GNN) to tackle these challenges. ME-GNN employs a graph neural network with a two-step message-passing mechanism to capture detailed local features effectively. Additionally, it integrates an Attention U-Net with uniform grid discretization, enabling the extraction of both fine and coarse features. The model also utilizes K-hop sampling to construct subgraphs, facilitating efficient training on large datasets while preserving detailed local features. We evaluated ME-GNN on three benchmark datasets and achieved state-of-the-art results: a relative L2 error of 0.0196 for the velocity field and 0.0556 for the surface pressure on ShapeNet-Car, a normalized mean squared error of 0.0033 for the flow field on AirfRANS, and a relative L2 error of 0.1416 for the surface pressure on DrivAerNet.
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All authors Li Xiao, Tianyu Li, Yiye Zou, Mingjie Zhang, Xiaogangd Deng

Machine Learning

How to Tame Grokking: Representation Geometry as a Control Signal

Grokking is a phenomenon in which neural networks initially memorize training data and only later exhibit strong generalization after prolonged optimization. Despite extensive recent study, the factors influencing the emergence and timing of grokking remain incompletely understood. We investigate the relationship between representation geometry and delayed generalization. We find that dimensionality collapse consistently precedes the onset of grokking in all evaluated settings. Motivated by these observations, we introduce Geometric Dimensionality Regularization (GeomDR), a simple spectral regularizer that modifies the effective dimensionality of hidden representations during training. Across modular addition, modular division, and permutation composition tasks, GeomDR consistently alters grokking dynamics and can substantially accelerate the onset of generalization depending on the intervention schedule and target dimensionality. In several settings, grokking is accelerated by up to 52 times relative to standard AdamW training. Similar qualitative effects are observed in both multilayer perceptrons and transformers. Together, these results suggest that representation geometry can serve as an effective control signal for grokking and provide evidence that geometric interventions offer a practical approach for studying and influencing delayed generalization in neural networks.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from q-bio.NC

Imputation-free transformer learning enables robust Alzheimer's disease prediction and calibrated uncertainty quantification across heterogeneous clinical cohorts

Accurate diagnostic classification and disease-severity prediction for Alzheimer's disease are hampered by the incompleteness and heterogeneity of real-world clinical data. Left unaddressed, these barriers prevent reliable disease modelling and hinder effective clinical evaluation. Conventional imputation strategies introduce systematic bias, distort inter-feature relationships, and yield overconfident predictions, limitations especially consequential in diagnostic settings. Here, we propose NITROGEN, an imputation-free transformer that jointly models within-patient feature dependencies and between-patient relational structure through masked and intersample attention, enabling robust multimodal learning directly from partially observed records. We trained NITROGEN on ADNI (N=7858 scans), and evaluated it on two independent cohorts: OASIS-3 (N=2675 scans) and AIBL (N=1286 scans). Across cohorts and diagnostic and cognitive score prediction tasks, NITROGEN showed robust calibration and uncertainty quantification advantages over tree-based ensemble methods, while maintaining competitive discriminative performance. Cross-cohort and cross-method analyses identified cortical thickness in the temporal pole, age, and APOE genotype as important, though not individually sufficient, features for AD classification. We further introduced a modality-aware uncertainty adjustment that augments predictive uncertainty proportionally to the importance of absent modalities, enabling calibrated confidence when diagnostic information is unavailable. Together, our results show that imputation-free attention learning preserved meaningful discrimination under cohort shift, revealing expected degradation on more distributionally different cohorts, and demonstrate that evaluating models along calibration, interpretability, and cross-cohort reliability, not accuracy alone, is essential for clinical deployment.
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All authors Christelle Schneuwly Diaz, Narmina Baghirova, Duy-Thanh Vu, Duy-Cat Can, Gilles Allali, Philippe Ryvlin, Oliver Y. Chén

Machine Learning

Bet on Features: Anytime-Valid and Feature-Aware Auditing of Conditional Quantile Forecasters

Black-box conditional quantile forecasts are widely used for sequential decisions under asymmetric costs. Once deployed, such forecasters must be monitored continuously as data streams drift and regimes change; this invalidates standard, fixed-horizon backtests for calibration. Further, existing backtests do not take into account that the notion of calibration is, in fact, information-dependent: forecasts can look calibrated to an auditor with coarse information while being miscalibrated to an auditor with richer information. We develop a distribution-free and game-theoretic testing framework for continuously auditing such forecasters with dependent, potentially nonstationary observations. We first formalize notions of conditional quantile calibration relative to the contextual features available to the auditor, showing how coarser information can limit detection. We then identify detectable alternative classes and, for contextual bets linear in the features, derive finite-time detection guarantees without an i.i.d. assumption. The resulting evidence processes provide interpretable, "feature-aware" evidence for miscalibration. We empirically validate these methods on simulated and real data, finding that a popular time series forecaster (Chronos-2) is highly miscalibrated w.r.t. multiple relevant features.
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All authors Ivane Antonov, Sohom Mukherjee, Richard Pibernik, Yo Joong Choe

Machine Learning

Fundamental Limitations of Fixed-Budget Best-Arm Identification

In fixed-budget best-arm identification, also known as ranking and selection, an algorithm has a sampling budget to distribute across $K$ arms. Each sample provides noisy feedback about that arm's mean, and the goal is to identify the arm with the largest mean. A common performance benchmark is the static oracle: a non-adaptive strategy that knows the means in advance and chooses fixed sampling proportions to maximize the exponential decay rate of the probability of incorrect identification. Several adaptive algorithms have been constructed such that their sampling proportions converge to the static oracle proportions. However, it has remained open whether any algorithm could match the static oracle's error decay rate uniformly across all problem instances. We answer this in the negative. For any $K\ge 3$ and for rewards drawn from any one-parameter natural exponential family, we show that for any algorithm, there is at least one instance where the error decay rate is at most $\left(1 + \frac{\log(K)}{8}\right)^{-1}$ times that of the static oracle. This also answers the open question posed by Qin (2022), showing that fixed-budget best-arm identification does not admit a complexity.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.AI

Reproducing human biases in route choice using large language models: Toward scalable behavioral modeling

Human choice behavior, including route choice, exhibits systematic behavioral biases that deviate from the assumptions of full rationality. Cumulative prospect theory (CPT) has been widely recognized as an effective framework for characterizing such behavioral patterns. However, its large-scale application, particularly in simulation and agent-based modeling, critically depends on specifying individual-level CPT parameters, which remain a major bottleneck. Conventional approaches typically rely on surveys and controlled experiments to calibrate CPT parameters, yet these methods are difficult to generalize and often fail to capture the full diversity of human decision-making. To address this challenge, this paper investigates whether large language models (LLMs) can reproduce human behavioral biases in choice-making without explicit specification of prospect-theoretic parameters. Using route choice as a representative scenario, we design a behavioral evaluation framework and systematically compare LLM-generated decisions with established human behavioral patterns predicted by CPT. Experimental results demonstrate that LLMs are capable of reproducing non-rational human choice biases and can exhibit decision behaviors consistent with prospect-theoretic effects under uncertainty. These findings suggest that generative AI models may provide a scalable alternative for modeling human decision processes and offer a promising foundation for next-generation large-scale agent-based simulation and AI-driven behavioral research.
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All authors Jiangtao Han, Shoufeng Ma, Shuxian Xu, Geng Li, Shuai Ling, Ning Jia, Zhengbing He

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.RO

SKooP: Symmetric Koopman Predictions for Faster and More Generalizable Legged Robot Locomotion with Reinforcement Learning

Reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms classically suffer from poor sample efficiency. In robotics, a recent line of work has emerged addressing this problem by encoding physics priors in the learning process. However, most of these approaches are validated on well-defined, low-dimensional benchmark systems rather than high-dimensional robots with complex nonlinear dynamics. In this paper, we introduce SKooP (Symmetric Koopman Predictions), an approach combining the advantages of morphological symmetries with those of a Koopman model learned via autoencoder to enhance policy learning. SKooP learns a Koopman model of the system dynamics alongside the policy. The resulting Koopman predictions are used as privileged observations for the critic, allowing the agent to learn based on smoother, more informative features. We also incorporate group symmetries into the actor, critic, encoder and decoder networks to produce a highly equivariant policy. The SKooP approach is validated via in-depth analysis of the learned Koopman models and symmetric policies to showcase how each of these influences the agent's performance. We also show that the learned policies are transferable to different simulation environments. Our results show that SKooP consistently reduces convergence time and increases the learned reward for multiple challenging bipedal locomotion tasks on a quadruped robot. Project page: https://evelyd.github.io/SymmetricKoopmanPredictions
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All authors Evelyn D'Elia, Weishu Zhan, Giulio Turrisi, Giulio Romualdi, Giuseppe L'Erario, Raffaello Camoriano, Wei Pan, Daniele Pucci

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.AI

Lesioned Multimodal Language Models Reproduce Aphasic Picture-Naming Patterns

Aphasia following stroke commonly produces systematic naming errors with characteristic profiles, but whether general-purpose language models not designed for clinical simulation can reproduce these patterns remains untested. We investigated (1) whether lesions or controlled perturbations to a multimodal language model can reproduce different types of errors in picture naming, and (2) whether the framework can reproduce the complete error profile of individual persons with aphasia (PWAs). Using LLaVA 1.6, we evaluated perturbation configurations that varied the layer, proportion, and amount of noise applied to model units. We examined 278 PWAs on the Philadelphia Naming Test, classifying responses into seven categories using a validated neural classifier. Six of seven response categories (correct, semantic, mixed, unrelated, neologism, no response errors) emerged at clinically-comparable proportions across distinct parameter space regions, with formal paraphasia being the exception. Searching the perturbation space revealed configurations that reproduced the individual error profile in at least six of seven categories for 97.8% of PWAs and in all seven categories for 79.5% of PWAs. Monte Carlo baselines confirmed that this matching reflects joint inter-category structure rather than marginal overlap. These results establish a quantitative framework for reproducing individual aphasic error patterns in picture naming. They suggest the potential for language models to serve as digital twins of individuals with post-stroke aphasia.
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All authors Yong Yang, Xiang Guan, Sophie Arheix-Parras, Saeed Ahmadi, Roger Newman-Norlund, Leonardo Bonilha, Christopher Rorden, Julius Fridriksson, Rutvik H. Desai, Srihari Nelakuditi

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.AI

Auditing the Risk Claims of Distributional Reinforcement Learning

Distributional reinforcement learning agents learn full return distributions that are increasingly read at face value: for interpretability, risk-sensitive control, and safety monitoring. We ask a question theory anticipates but that has not been measured directly: are the risk claims of a trained distributional agent true? Our audit combines a decision-relevant screening metric (the excess Wasserstein gap between the top two actions, which equals the mass by which first-order stochastic dominance is violated), ground truth from snapshot-restart Monte Carlo, and a statistical harness (permutation nulls, bootstrap refutation, FDR control) without which the audit itself manufactures false conclusions. Across QR-DQN, C51, and IQN on MinAtar (33 runs), 40-95% of the strongest claimed risk trade-offs are refuted at 95% confidence, the placement of the strongest claims is statistically indistinguishable from truth-blind, and essentially no claim is confirmable: for these agents, the learned "risk" reflects a training artifact rather than environment stochasticity. The artifact is structural (fully formed early in training, uncorrelated with final score, idiosyncratic to each seed) and appears unchanged at full-Atari scale, with every top Breakout claim of a pretrained near-state-of-the-art QR-DQN refuted. Positive controls of known magnitude confirm 96-100% of real claims (correlation 0.89-0.92): the reading measures the agents, not the audit. Acting on the heads' CVaR advice at their most-flagged states ranges from beneficial to significantly worse than chance. Neither training for risk nor ensembling removes the artifact, and recalibration passes the audit only by nullifying the claims: the head is uninformative, not merely miscalibrated. We release the toolkit and document two silent pitfalls that produced convincing but wrong audits of our own.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CL

Globally Consistent Coloring Schemes for Language Identification

We study how little extra information is needed to make adversarial language learning possible. In Gold's model of language identification in the limit, a learner is given an enumeration of the strings from an unknown language chosen from a countable language collection. The learner guesses the identity of the language over the course of the enumeration, and it succeeds if, eventually, all of its guesses are the correct language. Classical results of Gold and Angluin show that many natural collections cannot be learned in this way. Recent work on trace colorings, motivated by the success of thinking-trace strategies in language learning, overcomes this obstruction by annotating every symbol of every string with a color. We ask whether the learner really needs this whole sequence of colors, or whether one color at the end of each string (a terminal coloring) is enough for language identification. We show that just one terminal bit per string is enough for every countable collection of infinite languages. In fact, the colorings can be chosen collection-independently: there is a single assignment of a two-color terminal coloring to every infinite language such that the same preassigned colorings identify every countable subcollection. Thus, in this model, an entire color trace can be compressed to one bit attached to the end of each example. Our global construction uses transfinite recursion, and we prove that this kind of nonconstructivity is unavoidable for any bounded number of colors. As a notion of constructivity, we use the formalism of Borel maps (a regularity condition satisfied by natural explicit constructions); we show that no global terminal coloring with a finite number of colors defined by a Borel map can identify all countable subcollections. By contrast, known trace-coloring constructions are Borel when encoded as terminal colorings, but require infinitely many colors.
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Machine Learning

Privacy-Aware Collaborative and Distributed Bayesian Optimization

We propose a collaborative meta-learning framework for distributed Bayesian optimization matching centralized performance without raw-data exchange. We show gradient sharing leaks client observations, with leakage worsening as the search converges and queries concentrate near the optimum. We evaluate a differentially private defense and characterize its privacy-utility trade-off.
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All authors Aditya Rane, Sathwik Yamana, Paritosh Ramanan, Srikanthan Ramesh, Akash Deep

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from hep-ex

Machine Learning-Based Reconstruction for Resistive Silicon Sensors

Low-Gain Avalanche Diodes (LGADs) and AC-coupled Low-Gain Avalanche Diodes (AC-LGADs) are promising technologies for precision timing and four-dimensional tracking. In AC-LGADs, the AC pad is coupled to the resistive n$^{+}$ layer through a dielectric layer, while the gain layer remains unsegmented. This structure provides a 100% fill factor and enables good spatial resolution with a relaxed readout pitch. The same signal-sharing mechanism that makes interpolation possible complicates the readout: charge spreads across multiple pads, the useful information can approach the electronic-noise threshold, and matrix-inversion approaches can become computationally challenging and sensitive to off-diagonal noise. In this work, we study machine-learning-based reconstruction and compression for resistive silicon sensors. We use full-waveform information from correlated pads to regularise the reconstruction and extract spatial information beyond what is available from binary readouts or reduced-amplitude summaries. We first introduce recurrent neural network models based on LSTM layers, which provide a proof-of-concept implementation for full-waveform reconstruction and have been tested for FPGA deployment using \hls. We also study routes towards bandwidth reduction with waveform rasterisation and window-selection methods, and extend the approach beyond the first model to topology-agnostic transformer-based architectures that use pad coordinates as part of the input. These models are designed to support arbitrary pad counts and geometries, mitigate edge distortions, preserve approximately $10~\mu\mathrm{m}$ position resolution for $500~\mu\mathrm{m}\times500~\mu\mathrm{m}$ pitched sensors, and guide future resistive-silicon sensor designs
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All authors Alexander Aoki, Gaetano Barone, Leena Diehl, Gabriele Giacomini, Vagelis Gkougkousis, Hanshal Goyal, Rohan Kher, Daniel Li, Anna Macchiolo, Yevhenii Padnuik, Daria Senina, Samantha Sunnarborg, Jessica Tang, Alessandro Tricoli, Lixing Wang, Don C. Wong

Machine Learning

DiffEEG: A Self-Supervised Denoising Diffusion Model for Learning EEG seizure-related Representations

Deep learning for EEG-based seizure detection faces critical challenges: severe annotation scarcity and extreme class imbalance, where ictal events comprise less than 10% of clinical recordings. We present DiffEEG, a 9.6M-parameter self-supervised foundation model that addresses both limitations through denoising diffusion pre-training and reinforcement learning (RL)-based fine-tuning. Pre-trained on 1.3M unlabeled segments from the Temple University Hospital Seizure Corpus (TUHSZ), DiffEEG learns generic neural representations via a 1D U-Net with multi-head self-attention. For downstream adaptation, a reinforced decision layer employs policy gradient optimization to directly maximize F1-score, prioritizing sensitivity to rare seizure events over overall accuracy. Under strict patient-wise evaluation (279 patients, Leave-One-Fold-Out), DiffEEG achieves 61% accuracy and 59% F1 for 4-class seizure subtyping, and 81% accuracy with 85% weighted F1 for binary detection, maintaining clinically viable seizure recall (59%) despite extreme imbalance (6.7% prevalence). Segment-level evaluation establishes an upper bound of 97.6% accuracy, confirming strong architectural capacity. DiffEEG demonstrates that diffusion-based pre-training combined with metric-aware reinforcement learning enables clinically deployable seizure monitoring with minimal labeled data requirements.
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All authors Abdulkader Helwan, Lina Abou-Abbas, Hussein El Amouri, Belkacem Chikhaoui, Khadidja Henni

Machine Learning

Decoupled Structure-Feature Alignment via Alternating Optimization for Graph Learning

Conventional Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) couple feature transformation and neighborhood aggregation, which often renders them vulnerable to topological noise and heterophilous connections. To decouple this dependency, we present a constrained two-view learning framework for robust graph learning, which aligns structure-aware GNN embeddings with a structure-free feature prior. Specifically, the proposed Decoupled Structure-Feature Alternating Learning (DSAL) framework trains an independent anchor network using a self-supervised reconstruction objective to capture the intrinsic semantic information contained in node attributes. Within DSAL, to effectively integrate this prior, we design a channel-split adaptive gated (CSAG) layer. This architecture employs a gating mechanism to balance global spectral smoothing and local spatial representation dynamically. Furthermore, the model is optimized via a cyclic alternating procedure, which mitigates representation drift caused by mutual interference in standard joint optimization schemes. Experiments on diverse homophilous and heterophilous datasets suggest that our proposed approach provides improved node classification accuracy while maintaining robustness to structural perturbations compared to standard message-passing architectures.
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All authors Chengcheng Yan, Feifei Zhao, Dai Zhu, Wei Liu, Qingsong Wang

Machine Learning

Heuristic Learning for Active Flow Control Using Coding Agents

Active flow control involves nonlinear dynamics, partial observations, and computationally expensive simulations, making controller design particularly challenging. Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has emerged as a powerful framework for such problems, but its success typically relies on large numbers of simulator interactions and produces neural-network policies whose decision process often remains difficult to interpret. In this work, we investigate a different paradigm: instead of optimizing neural-network parameters, we use modern coding agents to search directly for explicit executable feedback laws. We introduce a constrained heuristic-learning protocol in which an agent iteratively proposes, evaluates, and revises controller implementations while interacting exclusively through the public benchmark interface. The proposed framework is evaluated on 13 active flow-control benchmarks spanning one, two, and three-dimensional problems and compared against the strongest available DRL baselines under identical simulation budgets. The discovered heuristic controllers match or outperform the best DRL policy in 10 of the 13 environments while remaining compact, interpretable, and directly inspectable. Beyond aggregate performance, the resulting controllers reveal physically meaningful feedback mechanisms, transfer successfully across more challenging configurations, and remain competitive under varying Reynolds and Rayleigh numbers, actuator counts, and observation sparsity. These results suggest that heuristic learning through coding agents constitutes a credible and complementary alternative to conventional reinforcement learning, combining competitive performance with physically interpretable controller representations. Prompts and source code are available at https://github.com/DonsetPG/fluid-heuristic-learning.
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