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Wednesday 15 April

Machine Learning

Time series causal discovery with variable lags

Causal Bayesian Networks (CBNs) are a powerful tool for reasoning under uncertainty about complex real-world problems. Such problems evolve over time, responding to external shocks as they occur. To support decision-making, CBNs require a cause-and-effect map of the variables under consideration, known as the network's structure. Learning the graphical structure of a causal model from data remains challenging; learning it from time-series data is even harder because dependencies may arise at different time lags. Existing time-series causal discovery methods often assume a fixed lag window and do not explicitly optimise edge-specific lags. We propose a Tabu-based structure learning algorithm that searches for a time-ordered directed structure (i.e., where every edge respects time) while allowing edge-specific lags up to a specified maximum lag. The approach uses a decomposable BIC-based score with node-specific effective sample sizes and an explicit lag-length penalty encouraging parsimonious delay assignments while preserving efficient local score updates. We provide theoretical guarantees of validity and local optimality, and we also describe a parallel implementation for improved scalability. In simulations, the method recovered graph structure competitively and estimated lags accurately when true adjacencies were recovered. On a real-world UK COVID-19 policy dataset, the learnt structure was dominated by short delays while retaining a substantial minority of longer-lag dependencies, consistent with delayed behavioural and epidemiological effects.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CL

H-Probes: Extracting Hierarchical Structures From Latent Representations of Language Models

Representing and navigating hierarchy is a fundamental primitive of reasoning. Large language models have demonstrated proficiency in a wide variety of tasks requiring hierarchical reasoning, but there exists limited analysis on how the models geometrically represent the necessary latent constructions for such thinking. To this end, we develop H-probes, a collection of linear probes that extract hierarchical structure, specifically depth and pairwise distance, from latent representations. In synthetic tree traversal tasks, the H-probes robustly find the subspaces containing hierarchical structure necessary to complete the tasks; furthermore, in comprehensive ablation experiments, we show that these hierarchy-containing subspaces are low-dimensional, causally important for high task performance, and generalize within- and out-of-domain. Furthermore, we find analogous, though weaker, hierarchical structure in real-world hierarchical contexts such as mathematical reasoning traces. These results demonstrate that models represent hierarchy not only at the level of syntax and concepts, but at deeper levels of abstraction – including the reasoning process itself.
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All authors Cutter Dawes, Aryan Sharma, Angelos Ioannis Lagos, Shivam Raval

Machine Learning

Comparative Study of Bending Analysis using Physics-Informed Neural Networks and Numerical Dynamic Deflection in Perforated nanobeam

In this chapter, we investigate the bending behavior of a perforated nanobeam subjected to sinusoidal loading using an efficient and computationally robust Physics-Informed Functional Link Constrained Framework with Domain Mapping (DFL-TFC) method. Our aim is to determine the relationship between static bending response and dynamic deflection of a perforated nanobeam for various perforation cases. The static bending is obtained using the FL-TFC with Domain mapped method, whereas dynamic deflection is determined using the Galerkin method. The proposed approach employs the theory of functional connections (TFC) to systematically embed governing differential equation constraints into a constrained expression (CE), which exactly satisfies all prescribed initial and boundary conditions (ICs and BCs) and domain of differential equation is mapped to domain of orthogonal polynomials. Within this framework, the free function appearing in the constrained expression is expressed through a functional link neural network (FLNN). The cost is minimized by the mean square residual of DE, allowing training without requiring complex deep network architectures. Relationship between static and dynamic defection of simply-supported (S-S) perforated nanobeams has been investigated here. FL-TFC with Domain mapped method eliminates the need for deep and complex neural network architectures while ensuring accuracy, efficiency, and strict satisfaction of boundary conditions as compared to standard PINN.
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Machine Learning

Automated detection of pediatric congenital heart disease from phonocardiograms using deep and handcrafted feature fusion

Congenital heart disease (CHD) is the most common type of birth defect, impacting about 1% of live births worldwide. Echocardiography, the gold-standard diagnostic method, is costly and inaccessible in low-resource settings. Diagnosis is delayed due to limited skilled experts, whose ability to interpret pathological patterns varies significantly, causing inter- and intra-clinician variability. Therefore, we present a new method for a more accessible diagnostic modality, the digital stethoscope, to detect CHDs. Our method is based on deep feature fusion, integrating deep and handcrafted features for the automated early detection of CHDs. For this work, Phonocardiography (PCG) recordings were obtained from 751 pediatric subjects (Age:1 month- 16 years) in Bangladesh, ranging from infants to adults at four auscultation locations: mitral valve (MV), aortic valve (AV), pulmonary valve (PV), and tricuspid valve (TV). These recordings were labeled based on confirmed diagnoses by cardiologists as either cases of CHD or non-CHD. The results demonstrated that our proposed model achieved an accuracy of 92%, a sensitivity of 91%, and a specificity of 91%, based on a patient-wise split of 70% training, 20% validation, and 10% testing. Furthermore, the Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUROC) of 96%, and an F1-score of 92%. This model promises efficient real-time remote detection of CHDs as a cost-effective screening tool for low-resource settings.
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All authors Abdul Jabbar, Ethan Grooby, Yang Yi Poh, Khawza I. Ahmad, Md Hassanuzzaman, Raqibul Mostafa, Ahsan H. Khandoker, Faezeh Marzbanrad

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.AI

MIRROR: A Hierarchical Benchmark for Metacognitive Calibration in Large Language Models

We introduce MIRROR, a benchmark comprising eight experiments across four metacognitive levels that evaluates whether large language models can use self-knowledge to make better decisions. We evaluate 16 models from 8 labs across approximately 250,000 evaluation instances using five independent behavioral measurement channels. Core experiments are run across the full model roster; experiments with specialized infrastructure requirements report explicitly marked model subsets. We find two phenomena with direct implications for agentic deployment: (1) compositional self-prediction fails universally – the Compositional Calibration Error ranges from 0.500 to 0.943 on the original 15-model Exp3-v1 set (and 0.434 to 0.758 on the balanced 16-model Exp3-v2 expansion), indicating that models cannot predict their own performance on multi-domain tasks, and (2) models exhibit above-chance but imperfect domain-specific self-knowledge yet systematically fail to translate even this partial awareness into appropriate agentic action-selection – external metacognitive control reduces the Confident Failure Rate from 0.600 to 0.143 (76% reduction at temperature 0; mean 70% at temperature 0.7 across 5 models from 4 labs). Providing models with their own calibration scores produces no significant improvement (p > 0.05); only architectural constraint is effective. This suggests that external metacognitive scaffolding – not improved self-knowledge – is the path to safer autonomous AI systems. Code, data, and Croissant metadata will be released publicly with the benchmark.
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Machine Learning

Positive-Only Drifting Policy Optimization

In the field of online reinforcement learning (RL), traditional Gaussian policies and flow-based methods are often constrained by their unimodal expressiveness, complex gradient clipping, or stringent trust-region requirements. Moreover, they all rely on post-hoc penalization of negative samples to correct erroneous actions. This paper introduces Positive-Only Drifting Policy Optimization (PODPO), a likelihood-free and gradient-clipping-free generative approach for online RL. By leveraging the drifting model, PODPO performs policy updates via advantage-weighted local contrastive drifting. Relying solely on positive-advantage samples, it elegantly steers actions toward high-return regions while exploiting the inherent local smoothness of the generative model to enable proactive error prevention. In doing so, PODPO opens a promising new pathway for generative policy learning in online settings.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Operationalizing Fairness in Text-to-Image Models: A Survey of Bias, Fairness Audits and Mitigation Strategies

Text-to-Image (T2I) generation models have been widely adopted across various industries, yet are criticized for frequently exhibiting societal stereotypes. While a growing body of research has emerged to evaluate and mitigate these biases, the field at present contends with conceptual ambiguity, for example terms like "bias" and "fairness" are not always clearly distinguished and often lack clear operational definitions. This paper provides a comprehensive systematic review of T2I fairness literature, organizing existing work into a taxonomy of bias types and fairness notions. We critically assess the gap between "target fairness" (normative ideals in T2I outputs) and "threshold fairness" (normative standards with actionable decision rules). Furthermore, we survey the landscape of mitigation strategies, ranging from prompt engineering to diffusion process manipulation. We conclude by proposing a new framework for operationalizing fairness that moves beyond descriptive metrics towards rigorous, target-based testing, offering an approach for more accountable generative AI development.
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All authors Megan Smith, Venkatesh Thirugnana Sambandham, Florian Richter, Laura Crompton, Matthias Uhl, Torsten Schön

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Penny Wise, Pixel Foolish: Bypassing Price Constraints in Multimodal Agents via Visual Adversarial Perturbations

The rapid proliferation of Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) has enabled mobile agents to execute high-stakes financial transactions, but their adversarial robustness remains underexplored. We identify Visual Dominance Hallucination (VDH), where imperceptible visual cues can override textual price evidence in screenshot-based, price-constrained settings and lead agents to irrational decisions. We propose PriceBlind, a stealthy white-box adversarial attack framework for controlled screenshot-based evaluation. PriceBlind exploits the modality gap in CLIP-based encoders via a Semantic-Decoupling Loss that aligns the image embedding with low-cost, value-associated anchors while preserving pixel-level fidelity. On E-ShopBench, PriceBlind achieves around 80% ASR in white-box evaluation; under a simplified single-turn coordinate-selection protocol, Ensemble-DI-FGSM transfers with roughly 35-41% ASR across GPT-4o, Gemini-1.5-Pro, and Claude-3.5-Sonnet. We also show that robust encoders and Verify-then-Act defenses reduce ASR substantially, though with some clean-accuracy trade-off.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV

BARD: Bridging AutoRegressive and Diffusion Vision-Language Models Via Highly Efficient Progressive Block Merging and Stage-Wise Distillation

Autoregressive vision-language models (VLMs) deliver strong multimodal capability, but their token-by-token decoding imposes a fundamental inference bottleneck. Diffusion VLMs offer a more parallel decoding paradigm, yet directly converting a pretrained autoregressive VLM into a large-block diffusion VLM (dVLM) often leads to substantial quality degradation. In this work, we present BARD, a simple and effective bridging framework that converts a pretrained autoregressive VLM into a same-architecture, decoding-efficient dVLM. Our approach combines progressive supervised block merging, which gradually enlarges the decoding block size, with stage-wise intra-dVLM distillation from a fixed small-block diffusion anchor to recover performance lost at larger blocks. We further incorporate a mixed noise scheduler to improve robustness and token revision during denoising, and memory-friendly training to enable efficient training on long multimodal sequences. A key empirical finding is that direct autoregressive-to-diffusion distillation is poorly aligned and can even hurt performance, whereas distillation within the diffusion regime is consistently effective. Experimental results show that, with $\leq$ 4.4M data, BARD-VL transfers strong multimodal capability from Qwen3-VL to a large-block dVLM. Remarkably, BARD-VL establishes a new SOTA among comparable-scale open dVLMs on our evaluation suite at both 4B and 8B scales. At the same time, BARD-VL achieves up to 3$\times$ decoding throughput speedup compared to the source model. Code is available at https://github.com/fudan-generative-vision/Bard-VL.
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All authors Baoyou Chen, Hanchen Xia, Peng Tu, Haojun Shi, Liwei Zhang, Yuxuan Yao, Weihao Yuan, Siyu Zhu

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV

SynthPID: P&ID digitization from Topology-Preserving Synthetic Data

Automating the digitization of Piping and Instrumentation Diagrams (P&IDs) into structured process graphs would unlock significant value in plant operations, yet progress is bottlenecked by a fundamental data problem: engineering drawings are proprietary, and the entire community shares a single public benchmark of just 12 annotated images. Prior attempts at synthetic augmentation have fallen short because template-based generators scatter symbols at random, producing graphs that bear little resemblance to real process plants and, accordingly, yield only approximately 33% edge detection accuracy under synth-only training. We argue the failure is structural rather than visual and address it by introducing SynthPID, a corpus of 665 synthetic P&IDs whose pipe topology is seeded directly from real drawings. Paired with a patch-based Relationformer adapted for high-resolution diagrams, a model trained on SynthPID alone achieves 63.8 +/- 3.1% edge mAP on PID2Graph OPEN100 without seeing a single real P&ID during training, closing within 8 pp of the real-data oracle. These gains hold up under a controlled comparison against the template-based regime, confirming that generation quality drives performance rather than model choice. A scaling study reveals that gains flatten beyond roughly 400 synthetic images, pointing to seed diversity as the binding constraint.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Medial Axis Aware Learning of Signed Distance Functions

We propose a novel variational method to compute a highly accurate global signed distance function (SDF) to a given point cloud. To this end, the jump set of the gradient of the SDF, which coincides with the medial axis of the surface, is explicitly taken into account through a higher-order variational formulation that enforces linear growth along the gradient direction away from this discontinuity set. The eikonal equation and the zero-level set of the SDF are enforced as constraints. To make this variational problem computationally tractable, a phase field approximation of Ambrosio-Tortorelli type is employed. The associated phase field function implicitly describes the medial axis. The method is implemented for surfaces represented by unoriented point clouds using neural network approximations of both the SDF and the phase field. Experiments demonstrate the method's accuracy both in the near field and globally. Quantitative and qualitative comparisons with other approaches show the advantages of the proposed method.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.RO

Learning-Guided Sparsification of Dynamic Graphs in Robotic Exploration

Many robotic exploration algorithms rely on graph structures for frontier-based exploration and dynamic path planning. However, these graphs grow rapidly, accumulating redundant information and impacting performance. We present a hybrid transformer-based framework trained with Proximal Policy Optimization which complements exploration algorithms by pruning these graphs during exploration, limiting their growth and reducing the accumulation of excess information. The framework was evaluated on simulations of a robotic agent using Rapidly-Exploring Random Trees to carry out frontier-based exploration, where the learned policy reduces graph size by up to 96%. We find preliminary evidence that our framework enables effective, generalizable exploration under reduced information density, consistently outperforming the randomly pruned baseline and improving both exploration efficiency and computational efficiency beyond the unpruned baseline for complex long-horizon exploration tasks. To the best of our knowledge, these results are the first suggesting the viability of RL to prune dynamic graphs used in robotic exploration algorithms.
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Machine Learning

M3R: Localized Rainfall Nowcasting with Meteorology-Informed MultiModal Attention

Accurate and timely rainfall nowcasting is crucial for disaster mitigation and water resource management. Despite recent advances in deep learning, precipitation prediction remains challenging due to limitations in effectively leveraging diverse multimedia data sources. We introduce M3R, a Meteorology-informed MultiModal attention-based architecture for direct Rainfall prediction that synergistically combines visual NEXRAD radar imagery with numerical Personal Weather Station (PWS) measurements, using a comprehensive pipeline for temporal alignment of heterogeneous meteorological data. With specialized multimodal attention mechanisms, M3R novelly leverages weather station time series as queries to selectively attend to spatial radar features, enabling focused extraction of precipitation signatures. Experimental results for three spatial areas of 100 km * 100 km centered at NEXRAD radar stations demonstrate that M3R outperforms existing approaches, achieving substantial improvements in accuracy, efficiency, and precipitation detection capabilities. Our work establishes new benchmarks for multimedia-based precipitation nowcasting and provides practical tools for operational weather prediction systems. The source code is available at https://github.com/Sanjeev97/M3Rain
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All authors Sanjeev Panta, Rhett M Morvant, Xu Yuan, Li Chen, Nian-Feng Tzeng

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.MA

InfoChess: A Game of Adversarial Inference and a Laboratory for Quantifiable Information Control

We propose InfoChess, a symmetric adversarial game that elevates competitive information acquisition to the primary objective. There is no piece capture, removing material incentives that would otherwise confound the role of information. Instead, pieces are used to alter visibility. Players are scored on their probabilistic inference of the opponent's king location over the duration of the game. To explore the space of strategies for playing InfoChess, we introduce a hierarchy of heuristic agents defined by increasing levels of opponent modeling, and train a reinforcement learning agent that outperforms these baselines. Leveraging the discrete structure of the game, we analyze gameplay through natural information-theoretic characterizations that include belief entropy, oracle cross entropy, and predictive log score under the action-induced observation channel. These measures disentangle epistemic uncertainty, calibration mismatch, and uncertainty induced by adversarial movement. The design of InfoChess renders it a testbed for studying multi-agent inference under partial observability. We release code for the environment and agents, and a public interface to encourage further study.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CL

Applied Explainability for Large Language Models: A Comparative Study

Large language models (LLMs) achieve strong performance across many natural language processing tasks, yet their decision processes remain difficult to interpret. This lack of transparency creates challenges for trust, debugging, and deployment in real-world systems. This paper presents an applied comparative study of three explainability techniques: Integrated Gradients, Attention Rollout, and SHAP, on a fine-tuned DistilBERT model for SST-2 sentiment classification. Rather than proposing new methods, the focus is on evaluating the practical behavior of existing approaches under a consistent and reproducible setup. The results show that gradient-based attribution provides more stable and intuitive explanations, while attention-based methods are computationally efficient but less aligned with prediction-relevant features. Model-agnostic approaches offer flexibility but introduce higher computational cost and variability. This work highlights key trade-offs between explainability methods and emphasizes their role as diagnostic tools rather than definitive explanations. The findings provide practical insights for researchers and engineers working with transformer-based NLP systems. This is a preprint and has not undergone peer review.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CR

TopFeaRe: Locating Critical State of Adversarial Resilience for Graphs Regarding Topology-Feature Entanglement

Graph adversarial attacks are usually produced from the two perspectives of topology/structure and node feature, both of them represent the paramount characteristics learned by today's deep learning models. Although some defense countermeasures are proposed at present, they fails to disclose the intrinsic reasons why these two aspects necessitate and how they are adequately fused to co-learn the graph representation. Towards this question, we in this paper propose an adversarial defense approach through locating the graph's critical state of adversarial resilience, resorting to the equilibrium-point theory in the discipline of complex dynamic system (CDS). In brief, our work has three novelties: i) Adversarial-Attack Modeling, i.e. map a graph regime into CDS, and use the oscillation of dynamic system to model the behavior of adversarial perturbation; ii) 2D Topology-Feature-Entangled Function Design for Perturbed Graph, i.e. project graph topology and node feature as two characteristic spaces, and define two-dimensional entangled perturbation functions to represent the dynamic variance under adversarial attacks; and iii) Location of Critical State of Adversarial Resilience, i.e. utilize the equilibrium-point theory to locate the graph's critical state of attack resilience resorting to the perturbation-reflected 2D function. Finally, multi-facet experiments on five commonly-used realistic datasets validate the effectiveness of our proposed approach, and the results show our approach can significantly outperform the state-of-the-art baselines under four representative graph adversarial attacks.
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All authors Xinxin Fan, Wenxiong Chen, Quanliang Jing, Chi Lin, Shaoye Luo, Wenbo Song, Yunfeng Lu

Machine Learning

Quantization of Spiking Neural Networks Beyond Accuracy

Quantization is a natural complement to the sparse, event-driven computation of Spiking Neural Networks, reducing memory bandwidth and arithmetic cost for deployment on resource-constrained hardware. However, existing SNN quantization evaluation focuses almost exclusively on accuracy, overlooking whether a quantized network preserves the firing behavior of its full-precision counterpart. We demonstrate that quantization method, clipping range, and bit-width can produce substantially different firing distributions at equivalent accuracy, differences invisible to standard metrics but relevant to deployment, where firing activity governs effective sparsity, state storage, and event-processing load. To capture this gap, we propose Earth Mover's Distance as a diagnostic metric for firing distribution divergence, and apply it systematically across weight and membrane quantization on SEW-ResNet architectures trained on CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100. We find that uniform quantization induces distributional drift even when accuracy is preserved, while LQ-Net style learned quantization maintains firing behavior close to the full-precision baseline. Our results suggest that behavior preservation should be treated as an evaluation criterion alongside accuracy, and that EMD provides a principled tool for assessing it.
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Machine Learning

Scouting By Reward: VLM-TO-IRL-Driven Player Selection For Esports

Traditional esports scouting workflows rely heavily on manual video review and aggregate performance metrics, which often fail to capture the nuanced decision-making patterns necessary to determine if a prospect fits a specific tactical archetype. To address this, we reframe style-based player evaluation in esports as an Inverse Reinforcement Learning (IRL) problem. In this paper, we introduce a novel player selection framework that learns professional-specific reward functions from logged gameplay demonstrations, allowing organizations to rank candidates by their stylistic alignment with a target star player. Our proposed architecture utilizes a multimodal, two-branch intake: one branch encodes structured state-action trajectories derived from high-resolution in-game telemetry, while the second encodes temporally aligned tactical pseudo-commentary generated by Vision-Language Models (VLMs) from broadcast footage. These representations are fused and evaluated via a Generative Adversarial Imitation Learning (GAIL) objective, where a discriminator learns to capture the unique mechanical and tactical signatures of elite professionals. By transitioning from generic skill estimation to scouting "by reward," this framework provides a scalable, workflow-aware digital twin system that enables data-driven roster construction and targeted talent discovery across massive candidate pools.
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All authors Qing Yan, Wenyu Yang, Yufei Wang, Wenhao Ma, Linchong Hu, Yifei Jin, Anton Dahbura

Machine Learning

Auxiliary Finite-Difference Residual-Gradient Regularization for PINNs

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) are often selected by a single scalar loss even when the quantity of interest is more specific. We study a hybrid design in which the governing PDE residual remains automatic-differentiation (AD) based, while finite differences (FD) appear only in a weak auxiliary term that penalizes gradients of the sampled residual field. The FD term regularizes the residual field without replacing the PDE residual itself. We examine this idea in two stages. Stage 1 is a controlled Poisson benchmark comparing a baseline PINN, the FD residual-gradient regularizer, and a matched AD residual-gradient baseline. Stage 2 transfers the same logic to a three-dimensional annular heat-conduction benchmark (PINN3D), where baseline errors concentrate near a wavy outer wall and the auxiliary grid is implemented as a body-fitted shell adjacent to the wall. In Stage 1, the FD regularizer reproduces the main effect of residual-gradient control while exposing a trade-off between field accuracy and residual cleanliness. In Stage 2, the shell regularizer improves the application-facing quantities, namely outer-wall flux and boundary-condition behavior. Across seeds 0-5 and 100k epochs, the most reliable tested configuration is a fixed shell weight of 5e-4 under the Kourkoutas-beta optimizer regime: relative to a matched run without the shell term, it reduces the mean outer-wall BC RMSE from 1.22e-2 to 9.29e-4 and the mean wall-flux RMSE from 9.21e-3 to 9.63e-4. Adam with beta2=0.999 becomes usable when the initial learning rate is reduced to 1e-3, although its shell benefit is less robust than under Kourkoutas-beta. Overall, the results support a targeted view of hybrid PINNs: an auxiliary-only FD regularizer is most valuable when it is aligned with the physical quantity of interest, here the outer-wall flux.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.HC

Bias in Surface Electromyography Features across a Demographically Diverse Cohort

Neuromotor decoding from upper-limb electromyography (sEMG) can enhance human-machine interfaces and offer a more natural means of controlling prosthetic limbs, virtual reality, and household electronics. Unfortunately, current sEMG technology does not always perform consistently across users because individual differences such as age and body mass index, among many others, can substantially alter signal quality. This variability makes sEMG characteristics highly idiosyncratic, often necessitating laborious personalization and iterative tuning to achieve reliable performance. This variability has particular import for sEMG-based assistive devices and neural interfaces, where demographic biases in sEMG features could undermine broad and fair deployment. In this study, we explore how demographic differences affect the sEMG signals produced and their implications for machine learning-based gesture decoding. We analyze the data set provided by, in which we derive 147 common sEMG features extracted from 81 demographically diverse individuals performing discrete hand gestures. Using mixed-effects linear models and partial least squares (PLS) analysis, which take into consideration demographic variables (including age, sex, height, weight, skin properties, subcutaneous fat, and hair density), we identify that 33% (49 of 147) of commonly used sEMG features show significant associations with demographic characteristics. These results may help guide the development of fair and unbiased sEMG-based neural interfaces across a diverse population.
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All authors Aditi Agrawal, Celine John Philip, Giancarlo K. Sagastume, Marcus A. Battraw, Wilsaan M. Joiner, Jonathon S. Schofield, Lee M. Miller, Richard S. Whittle

Machine Learning

Asynchronous Probability Ensembling for Federated Disaster Detection

Quick and accurate emergency handling in Disaster Decision Support Systems (DDSS) is often hampered by network latency and suboptimal application accuracy. While Federated Learning (FL) addresses some of these issues, it is constrained by high communication costs and rigid synchronization requirements across heterogeneous convolutional neural network (CNN) architectures. To overcome these challenges, this paper proposes a decentralized ensembling framework based on asynchronous probability aggregation and feedback distillation. By shifting the exchange unit from model weights to class-probability vectors, our method maintains data privacy, reduces communication requirements by orders of magnitude, and improves overall accuracy. This approach enables diverse CNN designs to collaborate asynchronously, enhancing disaster image identification performance even in resource-constrained settings. Experimental tests demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms traditional individual backbones and standard federated approaches, establishing a scalable and resource-aware solution for real-time disaster response.
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All authors Emanuel Teixeira Martins, Rodrigo Moreira, Larissa Ferreira Rodrigues Moreira, Rodolfo S. Villaça, Augusto Neto, Flávio de Oliveira Silva

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Zero-Ablation Overstates Register Content Dependence in DINO Vision Transformers

Zero-ablation – replacing token activations with zero vectors – is widely used to probe token function in vision transformers. Register zeroing in DINOv2+registers and DINOv3 produces large drops (up to $-36.6$\,pp classification, $-30.9$\,pp segmentation), suggesting registers are functionally indispensable. However, three replacement controls – mean-substitution, noise-substitution, and cross-image register-shuffling – preserve performance across classification, correspondence, and segmentation, remaining within ${\sim}1$\,pp of the unmodified baseline. Per-patch cosine similarity shows these replacements genuinely perturb internal representations, while zeroing causes disproportionately large perturbations, consistent with why it alone degrades tasks. We conclude that zero-ablation overstates dependence on exact register content. In the frozen-feature evaluations we test, performance depends on plausible register-like activations rather than on exact image-specific values. Registers nevertheless buffer dense features from [CLS] dependence and are associated with compressed patch geometry. These findings, including the replacement-control results, replicate at ViT-B scale.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from cs.CL

Three-Phase Transformer

We present Three-Phase Transformer (3PT), a residual-stream structural prior for decoder-only Transformers on a standard SwiGLU + RMSNorm + RoPE + GQA backbone. The hidden vector is partitioned into N equally-sized cyclic channels, each maintained by phase-respecting ops: a per-channel RMSNorm, a 2D Givens rotation between attention and FFN that rotates each channel by theta + i*(2*pi/N), and a head-count constraint aligning GQA heads with the partition. The architecture is a self-stabilizing equilibrium between scrambling and re-imposition, not a bolted-on module. The partition carves out a one-dimensional DC subspace orthogonal to the channels, into which we inject a fixed Gabriel's horn profile r(p) = 1/(p+1) as an absolute-position side-channel composing orthogonally with RoPE's relative-position rotation. The canonical N=3 borrows its metaphor from balanced three-phase AC, where three sinusoids 120 degrees apart sum to zero with no anti-correlated pair. At 123M parameters on WikiText-103, 3PT achieves -7.20% perplexity (-2.62% bits-per-byte) over a matched RoPE-Only baseline at +1,536 parameters (0.00124% of total), with 1.93x step-count convergence speedup (1.64x wall-clock). N behaves as a parameter-sharing knob rather than a unique optimum: at 5.5M an N-sweep over {1,2,3,4,6,8,12} is near-monotone with N=1 winning; at 123M a three-seed sweep finds N=3 and N=1 statistically indistinguishable. The load-bearing mechanism is the channel-partitioned residual stream, per-block rotation, per-phase normalization, and horn DC injection. We characterize (a) self-stabilization of the geometry without explicit enforcement, a novel instance of the conservation-law framework for neural networks; (b) a U-shaped depth profile of rotation-angle drift at 12 layers; (c) orthogonal composition with RoPE, attention, and FFN.
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Machine Learning

Non-intrusive Learning of Physics-Informed Spatio-temporal Surrogate for Accelerating Design

Most practical engineering design problems involve nonlinear spatio-temporal dynamical systems. Multi-physics simulations are often performed to capture the fine spatio-temporal scales which govern the evolution of these systems. However, these simulations are often high-fidelity in nature, and can be computationally very expensive. Hence, generating data from these expensive simulations becomes a bottleneck in an end-to-end engineering design process. Spatio-temporal surrogate modeling of these dynamical systems has been a popular data-driven solution to tackle this computational bottleneck. This is because accurate machine learning models emulating the dynamical systems can be orders of magnitude faster than the actual simulations. However, one key limitation of purely data-driven approaches is their lack of generalizability to inputs outside the training distribution. In this paper, we propose a physics-informed spatio-temporal surrogate modeling (PISTM) framework constrained by the physics of the underlying dynamical system. The framework leverages state-of-the-art advancements in the field of Koopman autoencoders to learn the underlying spatio-temporal dynamics in a non-intrusive manner, coupled with a spatio-temporal surrogate model which predicts the behavior of the Koopman operator in a specified time window for unknown operating conditions. We evaluate our framework on a prototypical fluid flow problem of interest: two-dimensional incompressible flow around a cylinder.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from physics.flu-dyn

Timescale Separation Enables Deep Reinforcement Learning Control of Rotating Detonation Engine Mode Transitions

Rotating detonation engines (RDEs) are a promising propulsion concept that may offer higher thermodynamic efficiency and specific impulse than conventional systems, but nonlinear phenomena, including transitions to oscillatory or chaotic propagation modes, can hinder practical operation. Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) has emerged as a promising method for controlling complex nonlinear dynamics such as those observed in RDEs. However, the multi-timescale nature of the RDE system makes direct application of DRL challenging. We address this challenge by reformulating the DRL problem in a moving reference frame that follows the detonation-wave pattern, making the wave structure appear quasi-steady to the agent. This reformulation enables scale separation between fast detonation propagation and slower operating-mode dynamics. We train DRL controllers to modulate spatially segmented injection pressure in a one-dimensional reduced-order RDE model and induce rapid transitions between different mode-locked states. Across a range of actuation periods, initial states, and target modes, controllers trained in the moving frame learn more reliably than those trained in a stationary frame and remain effective over a broader range of actuation periods. These results suggest that symmetry-aware moving reference frame formulations may be useful for related multiscale flow-control problems and that scale separation should be exploited whenever possible to enable DRL control of multi-timescale systems.
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All authors Kristian Holme, Jean Rabault, Ricardo Vinuesa, Mikael Mortensen

Machine Learning

Step-level Denoising-time Diffusion Alignment with Multiple Objectives

Reinforcement learning (RL) has emerged as a powerful tool for aligning diffusion models with human preferences, typically by optimizing a single reward function under a KL regularization constraint. In practice, however, human preferences are inherently pluralistic, and aligned models must balance multiple downstream objectives, such as aesthetic quality and text-image consistency. Existing multi-objective approaches either rely on costly multi-objective RL fine-tuning or on fusing separately aligned models at denoising time, but they generally require access to reward values (or their gradients) and/or introduce approximation error in the resulting denoising objectives. In this paper, we revisit the problem of RL fine-tuning for diffusion models and address the intractability of identifying the optimal policy by introducing a step-level RL formulation. Building on this, we further propose Multi-objective Step-level Denoising-time Diffusion Alignment (MSDDA), a retraining-free framework for aligning diffusion models with multiple objectives, obtaining the optimal reverse denoising distribution in closed form, with mean and variance expressed directly in terms of single-objective base models. We prove that this denoising-time objective is exactly equivalent to the step-level RL fine-tuning, introducing no approximation error. Moreover, we provide numerical results, which indicate our method outperforms existing denoising-time approaches.
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Machine Learning

Modular Continual Learning via Zero-Leakage Reconstruction Routing and Autonomous Task Discovery

Catastrophic forgetting remains a primary hurdle in sequential task learning for artificial neural networks. We propose a silicon-native modular architecture that achieves structural parameter isolation using Task-Specific Experts and a distributed, outlier-based Gatekeeper. Moving beyond traditional sequential consolidation, our framework utilizes a Simultaneous Pipeline where Teacher learning, Student distillation, and Router manifold acquisition occur in parallel while raw data is present in a localized training session. This approach ensures computational efficiency and complies with privacy mandates like GDPR by deleting raw data as soon as a task is learned. We demonstrate that a Tight-Bottleneck Autoencoder (TB-AE) can effectively distinguish semantically crowded manifolds in high-dimensional latent spaces, overcoming the posterior collapse inherent to standard variational methods. By establishing strict topological boundaries, our TB-AE resolves latent space crowding in 4096-D LLM embeddings to provide a robust, unsupervised novelty signal. Furthermore, we validate an Autonomous Retrieval mechanism that confidently identifies returning manifolds, enabling stable lifelong learning without redundant module instantiation. Empirical results demonstrate that our “Live Distillation” approach acts as a natural regularizer, achieving strong retention across computer vision and natural language processing domains without suffering a student fidelity gap.
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Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ME

Deployment of AI-Assisted Interventions: Capacity Constraints and Noisy Compliance

AI tools increasingly drive targeted interventions in various service settings, including healthcare, education, and public services. Algorithms score individuals, trigger outreach to those above a threshold (e.g., high-risk or high-value), and encourage them to request service; then providers deliver service to those who request. Much of the work in this area has focused on improving predictive accuracy, implicitly assuming that better predictions lead to better outcomes. We show that predictions are only one component of a larger service system: when service capacity is limited and behavioral responses to outreach are probabilistic, system efficacy depends on operational forces that predictive accuracy does not capture. In such settings, the optimal score threshold must balance two effects: ensuring all capacity is filled (utilization) and, when capacity is constrained, preventing low-value requests from crowding out high-value ones (cannibalization). We characterize the optimal threshold and prove that thresholds based solely on predictive accuracy are generally suboptimal. Further, algorithm selection metrics such as AUC can be misaligned with operational performance: they weight all thresholds equally, while optimal deployment uses a subset of thresholds that depends on both capacity and compliance behavior. We introduce a new metric, Operational AUC (OpAUC), and show that it identifies the efficacy-optimal algorithm. Finally, we conduct a case study on sepsis early warning data that illustrates the magnitude of the improvement available from better threshold selection and shows that a predictor with lower AUC can achieve higher system efficacy under optimal deployment.
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All authors Carri W. Chan, Yi Han, Hannah Li, Benjamin L. Ranard

Machine Learning · Cross-listed from stat.ME

PROXIMA: A Reliability Scoring Framework for Proxy Metrics in Online Controlled Experiments

Online A/B testing at scale relies on proxy metrics – short-term, easily-measured signals used in place of slow-moving long-term outcomes. When the proxy-outcome relationship is heterogeneous across user segments, aggregate correlation can mask directional failures akin to Simpson's Paradox, leading to costly ship/no-ship errors. We introduce PROXIMA (Proxy Metric Validation Framework for Online Experiments), a lightweight diagnostic framework that scores proxy reliability through a composite of three complementary dimensions: normalised effect correlation, directional accuracy, and segment-level fragility rate. Unlike surrogate-index approaches that predict long-term treatment effects, PROXIMA directly audits whether a candidate proxy leads to correct launch decisions and flags the user segments where it fails. We validate PROXIMA on two public datasets – the Criteo Uplift corpus (14M observations, advertising) and KuaiRec (7K users, video recommendation) – using 80 simulated A/B tests. Early engagement metrics achieve a composite reliability of 0.80 on Criteo and 0.62 on KuaiRec, yielding 98.4% average decision agreement with an oracle policy. Fragility analysis reveals that recommendation domains exhibit substantially higher segment-level heterogeneity (68% fragility) than advertising (13%), yet directional accuracy remains above 96% in both cases. A sensitivity analysis over the weight space confirms that no single component suffices and that the composite provides substantially better discrimination between reliable and unreliable proxies than correlation alone. Code and reproduction scripts are available at: https://github.com/Avinash-Amudala/PROXIMA
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Machine Learning

PAC-CF: Calibrating Irreversible Frontier Pruning in LLM-Guided Search

LLM-guided search explores multiple candidate trajectories, but at substantial test-time cost. Pruning low-scoring frontier candidates can control this cost, yet it also turns potentially biased evaluator scores into irreversible decisions: systematic ranking errors can persist under repeated scoring and remove useful branches. We propose Probably Approximately Correct Conformal Filtering (PAC-CF). Its fixed-frontier analysis formulates elimination as an $(\varepsilon,\delta)$-PAC problem under bounded evaluator bias; its operational rule separately calibrates a score-gap threshold on held-out tasks by running the original controller without PAC-CF and using post-search verifier labels to measure the deficit of solution-preserving candidates relative to the frontier leader. Conditional on exchangeable native-controller tasks with nonempty protected exposure, conformal calibration gives finite-sample coverage for retaining at least one verifier-defined valid continuation at every protected frontier on the native trajectory. At deployment, PAC-CF removes only candidates whose gap from the highest frontier score exceeds the frozen threshold. We evaluate PAC-CF across three domains, five controllers, and four request budgets from B100 to B500. In the cross-domain/controller macro averages, the point estimates for all three workload measures are lower at every budget; the paired-bootstrap 95% confidence interval for utility excludes zero at B100 and B200. For pruning-aware ToolTree, the full-test-set cross-domain utility difference is $+4.38$ points at each tested budget; on the natural-termination sensitivity cohort, physical requests decrease by $18.94$–$18.95\%$ and end-to-end token usage by $23.57$–$23.76\%$.
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All authors Tianhao Qian, Jiayu Chen, Zhenyu Sun, Lixu Wang

2604.14345 · 15 Apr · 26 pages. Major revision. Earlier versions circulated under the title PAC-MCTS and reported controlled proof-of-concept experiments. This version introduces native-trajectory conformal calibration, frozen-margin deployment, controller-agnostic integration, and benchmark-based multi-domain evaluation