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Saturday 18 July

Artificial Intelligence

Expected Free Energy as Belief-Dependent Utility for rho-POMDPs

An agent acting under partial observability must decide when to gather information and which observations are worth their cost. Standard POMDPs value information only through its eventual effect on reward. The $\rho$-POMDP framework instead rewards uncertainty reduction directly, through a belief-dependent utility $\rho$, but in practice both the choice of $\rho$ and the weight placed on it are tuned by hand for every task. We show that active inference removes this tuning entirely. Minimizing Expected Free Energy (EFE) is exactly equivalent to solving a $\rho$-POMDP whose utility is expected information gain, and the exploration weight is fixed at $w=1$ because the variational bound expresses pragmatic and epistemic value in the same units (nats). We prove this equivalence for observe-then-commit POMDPs and extend it to factored observation POMDPs, a broader class that covers interleaved observe-act problems such as non-destructive testing and mobile sensing, where gathering information leaves the hidden state unchanged. Experiments support the theory. Across environments ranging from the classic Tiger problem to RockSample and a new Structural Inspection benchmark with over 65,000 states, the untuned weight matches or outperforms reward-only planning at the same horizon, avoids the over-exploration of bonuses tuned per task, and sits near the reward-maximizing knee of the success-reward Pareto frontier. The practical payoff is an exploration objective that works out of the box. In applications such as fault detection and medical screening, where every test has a price and every missed fault has a cost, EFE supplies a belief-dependent utility that is derived rather than tuned.
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2607.16981 · 18 Jul · 41 pages, 12 figures. Paper accepted as a spotlight at the 2026 International Workshop on Active Inference (IWAI); the workshop version will appear in the Springer Communications in Computer and Information Science (CCIS) series. Code and experiment data at https://github.com/PatrickAllenCooper/rho_aif

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

TurboVec: A Case Study in Cost-Efficient Private Retrieval for Enterprise RAG via Codebook-Oblivious Quantization

Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) systems increasingly power enterprise LLM applications, yet the vector retrieval layer introduces two underexplored challenges: (1) trained codebook quantizers may expose corpus statistics during index construction, creating a leakage channel in multi-tenant deployments, and (2) post-hoc filtering for tenant isolation degrades recall on selective queries. We study TurboVec, an open-source vector index built on TurboQuant - a codebook-oblivious scalar quantizer requiring no corpus-dependent training. On the DBpedia OpenAI embeddings benchmark (d=1536, 100K-999K vectors), TurboQuant 4-bit outperforms trained FAISS Product Quantization at the same memory budget by 8.5-8.9 percentage points in Recall@5 across all scales. Compared to HNSW (R@5=0.991) and IVF-PQ (R@5=0.840), TurboQuant occupies a distinct design point: higher recall than IVF-PQ without training, at 4-8x less memory than HNSW. Deployed on Snowpark Container Services, TurboVec achieves 11ms median query latency at 100K vectors versus 707ms for warehouse brute-force scan. Kernel-level allowlist filtering maintains 0.86-0.93 Recall@10 across 10-1000 tenant workloads versus 0.09-0.19 for post-filter baselines. Codebook-oblivious design reduces membership inference accuracy to near-random (50.0%) versus 57.3% for PQ codebooks. Limitations include single dataset evaluation, uncompressed HNSW comparison, and privacy evaluation on synthetic data only.
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Artificial Intelligence

Training Continuous Chain of Thought Models: A Tale of Two Regimes

Continuous Chain-of-Thought methods replace verbose reasoning traces with a short sequence of dense latent representations. Earlier continuous CoT methods indirectly supervise the latent representations such that its final state match that of verbose reasoning traces, requiring autoregressive, slow generation during training. We introduce C-MTP, a simpler, faster direct supervision approach that models each latent as an average of the embeddings in the CoT traces to be compressed. Our approach outperforms a prior direct supervision method that approximates the distribution of compressed tokens, and performs competitively to slower indirect supervision approaches in existing evaluation setup with simplified CoT traces (less than 100 tokens). Lastly, we extend the evaluation of Continuous CoT methods to complex tasks with longer reasoning traces ($\ge$ few hundreds reasoning tokens). We find both direct and indirect supervision training methods perform poorly (roughly 65% performance drop) in this setting, revealing the limitations of current continuous CoT methods. The code and checkpoints are released at https://github.com/Varun221/cmtp_research
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Artificial Intelligence

Lomekwi: Resource-Bounded Tool Discovery in LLM Agents

Existing tool-use benchmarks report a single success rate for complex, multistep tasks. Inspired by ideas from cognitive science, we distinguish tool use from tool discovery and decompose the latter into curiosity (the model's ability to discover the parts needed to build the tool), recognition (the model's ability to discover the process of creating the tool), and efficiency (the model's use of the tool after creation). We show that this framework can be applied to existing discovery tasks, such as Voyager. In addition, we provide evidence that recognition inversely scales with model size, and we introduce and analyze a class of combinatorial games that demonstrates this. We further observe inverse scaling in a separate environment designed to emulate real-world tasks.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

CADENCE: Closing the Reasoning Gap via Coverage-Adaptive On-Policy Distillation

On-policy knowledge distillation transfers reasoning from large teachers to compact students, but existing approaches suffer three compounding failure modes: (i) cold-start collapse, where a fresh student assigns near-zero mass to teacher-preferred tokens; (ii) state-agnostic divergence scheduling, where time-only forward/reverse-KL interpolation ignores the student's coverage state; and (iii) binary reward sparsity, where pass/fail signals discard information from partially correct traces. We present CADENCE, a unified framework with a targeted fix for each. Its DRIFT mechanism schedules a per-token convex mixture of forward-KL and reverse-KL surrogate objectives on student-sampled trajectories (per-token surrogates, not sequence-level KL gradient estimators). Six components extend it: (A) COVA, a coverage-adaptive $\beta$ schedule accelerating the forward-to-reverse transition; (B) FTB, a forking-token boost concentrating gradient at high-entropy positions via a globally-normalized entropy reference; (C) CCD, a dense reward adding numerical-proximity partial credit for incorrect-but-close traces; (D) LAP, brevity-preferential correct-rollout reinforcement; (E) EMR, an entropy-matching calibration regularizer; (F) BSD, a bootstrapped self-distillation phase. On GSM8K and MATH-500 (corrected 512-token protocol, 5 seeds, reported std), CADENCE distills a 0.5B student from a 1.5B teacher to 69.8 $\pm$ 0.5% GSM8K pass@1 (from 48.7% pretrained; 63.2% of the teacher gap closed) and to 72.1 $\pm$ 0.4% with a 3B teacher (76.2% closed), beating the strongest matched-compute label-using baseline (DRIFT+binary reward) by +4.4 $\pm$ 0.7 points. All experiments run on a single Apple Mac Studio (M-series, 64GB unified memory), showing principled distillation reaches strong reasoning quality without datacenter-scale hardware.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Investigation of Polycystic Ovary Syndrome (PCOS) Diagnosis Using Machine Learning Approaches

Polycystic Ovarian Syndrome (PCOS) is a widespread hormone problem for women of childbearing age. Women with PCOS may not ovulate; they might have high levels of androgens and have many small cysts on the ovaries. It can cause missed or irregular menstrual periods, excess hair growth, acne, infertility, and weight gain. Machine Learning (ML) can effectively diagnose this disease at an earlier stage as tons of medical data are available now. Traditional approaches to detect PCOS encompass a combination of clinical evaluation, medical history assessment, physical examination, and laboratory tests. These approaches aim to identify the characteristic symptoms and hormonal imbalances associated with PCOS. Physical examination requires good resources and costs time and money. In recent times, data-driven techniques have substantially advanced disease prediction within the medical field. We aim to utilize ML approaches, incorporating unique feature selection algorithms, to predict PCOS. This paper introduces a data-driven approach to PCOS diagnosis, combining Feature Engineering and ML. Several feature selection approaches have been considered to select sets of features for training the ML model, including CatBoost, Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM), AdaBoost, Random Forest (RF). Results demonstrate that AdaBoost, with ten features selected by RF Feature Importance and Highest Correlation (HC), provides the highest test accuracy.
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All authors Al Zadid Sultan Bin Habib, Md Asif Bin Syed, Md. Ekramul Islam, Tanpia Tasnim

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CV

What Do They See? Interpreting Complex Road Scenarios Through the Eyes of Vision-Language-Action Models for Safe and Trustworthy Autonomous Vehicle Learning

End-to-end autonomous driving models are now able to navigate complex road scenarios, mapping raw sensor observations directly to observed paths for open-loop evaluation and often effective driving in closed-loop evaluation. Yet the internal logic of these safety-critical systems remains largely opaque, due to the complexity of traffic scenes. We propose a counterfactual ablation framework called Counterfactual Vision Action Analysis (CVAA) that systematically removes individual detected objects from front-camera images using photorealistic generative inpainting to prepare counterfactual sets to evaluate the difference in the model's response. This isolates the causal effect of each object's presence on the model's planning behaviour. Applied to the Alpamayo 1 trajectory predictor across 210 nuScenes driving scenes, we create a dataset Counter -nuScenes, using which we see that vehicles and pedestrians within the model's 'path' dominate causal influence as expected, while traffic lights, as expected, exert disproportionate effect relative to their image footprint. However, we also find cases where the model responds strongly to objects a human driver would consider irrelevant. This brings forth a deeper question: does the model itself view the scene as a sum of individual objects influencing the outcome, or does it encode an entirely different set of internal features that do not correspond to human-legible scene elements? To further understand this, we compare intermediate representations of original and inpainted image pairs using mechanistic interpretability techniques and examine the effect of the removal through the various model layers. Together, these two stages offer a path from behavioral auditing to representational understanding, creating explainable driving systems and solidifying human-AI trust.
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All authors Kalpana Panda, Wesley Maia, Vinti Agarwal, Ross Greer

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Pediatric Bone Age Prediction Using Deep Learning

Pediatric bone age prediction is a crucial task in clinical practice that can help diagnose endocrine disorders and provide insight into a child's growth and development. However, conventional bone age prediction methods are often labor-intensive and require specialized radiological expertise. This paper presents a Deep Learning (DL)-based approach to pediatric bone age prediction using EfficientNet with Additive Attention, a state-of-the-art neural network architecture for image classification and regression tasks. The method utilizes over 12,000 X-ray images from the RSNA bone age dataset. It involves image preprocessing, transforming them into three-channel images, and training a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to automatically learn the features of hand bone images. This approach provides a more effective and accurate solution for predicting bone age, which is critical in diagnosing pediatric endocrine diseases. This work uses two variations of the EfficientNet model (B0 and B4), where EfficientNetB4 is also finetuned with the Additive Attention mechanism. These three models predict the age for the original age, and their comparison is shown in curves. The predicted ages depict that in most cases, EfficientNetB4 and EfficientNetB4 with Additive Attention (EN-AA) successfully predicted the bone ages more accurately regarding the original age, and their performance was better than the EfficientNetB0. Specific performance metrics are provided to underscore this improvement. Learning curves for training and validation loss confirm effective learning without overfitting or underfitting, further validating our approach's efficacy in pediatric endocrine disease diagnosis.
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All authors Al Zadid Sultan Bin Habib, Md. Ekramul Islam, Md Asif Bin Syed, Md Younus Ahamed, Tanpia Tasnim

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from stat.AP

Optimizing Clinical Trial Protocols Using EHR-Derived Heterogeneous Treatment Effects

Traditional randomized trials often obscure clinically meaningful heterogeneity in treatment response by focusing on average effects. Leveraging real-world data to emulate clinical trials and estimate heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) offers a promising path toward more precise and efficient trial design. In this study, we emulate the DAPA-HF trial using electronic health records from the Mayo Clinic Cloud (MCC) to investigate whether HTE-guided stratification can identify patient subgroups with distinct treatment responses to dapagliflozin versus placebo in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction. All-cause mortality was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards models, with HTEs estimated using a Meta-S learner and subgroups defined using a decision tree-based thresholding approach. In the overall cohort of the emulation, no significant treatment difference was observed (HR, 1.681; 95% CI, 0.828-3.413; p = 0.1507). However, compared with the overall emulated cohort, in which dapagliflozin showed no statistically significant survival benefit, HTE-driven stratification identified subgroups with significant and directionally distinct treatment effects. The beneficial (low-HTE) subgroup showed a significant survival benefit from dapagliflozin (HR = 0.203, 95% CI, 0.087-0.476, p = 0.0002), whereas the harmful (high-HTE) subgroup showed a significant harmful association with markedly increased mortality risk (HR = 6.680, 95% CI, 2.759-16.171, p < 0.0001). These findings indicate that HTE-guided stratification can uncover clinically meaningful beneficial and harmful treatment-effect patterns that are masked in the full-cohort emulation.
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All authors Xiaodi Li, Munhuwan Lee, Pengyang Li, Xiaoke Liu, Jose K. James, Patricia A. Pellikka, Cui Tao, Nansu Zong

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.NI

A Multi-Agent System for 5G Throughput Prediction in Multi-Operator Urban Environments

Throughput prediction is foundational for artificial intelligence-driven 6G resource orchestration. Conventional monolithic machine learning models struggle to generalize across diverse operators, mobility modes, and traffic types, leaving a critical stochasticity gap between signal conditions and achievable throughput. To overcome these constraints in heterogeneous urban environments, we propose a Tiered Multi-Agent System (TMAS) that dynamically routes edge telemetry to context-aware Domain Micro-Agents, validated on a dataset of 48,618 samples collected in Sunway City, Malaysia, with Nemo Handy drive test software, spanning three Tier-1 mobile network operators, three mobility modes, namely (i) elevated pedestrian walkway, (ii) ground-level shuttle bus, and (iii) elevated bus rapid transit; and three traffic profiles, namely (i) persistent download, (ii) persistent upload, and (iii) adaptive video streaming. Our evaluations reveal that TMAS overcomes predictability bottlenecks, achieving a coefficient of determination (R2) of up to 0.931 and a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) as low as 0.53 Mbps. The system demonstrates high operational efficiency, with rapid micro-agent training times, low inference latencies, and agentic routing overhead of 0.004 to 0.126 ms. These latency characteristics indicate the architecture is a promising candidate for the response times required by next-generation wireless networks.
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All authors Muhammad Kabeer, Rosdiadee Nordin, Nadiva Nuriftitah, Sian Lun Lau

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.RO

PREFAIL: Identifying Precursors to Failures in Robotic Lift-and-Place Tasks to Improve Task Execution Performance

Non-prehensile manipulation enables flexible material handling with part carriers, but friction-based support makes high-speed motions failure-prone, while slower operation increases cycle time. Proactive failure prediction is therefore essential for efficient and reliable performance, yet existing approaches remain limited by key constraints, including sensitivity to dynamic actions and high dependence on known policy structures. Furthermore, existing methods and datasets lack a precise characterization of the latest intervention time, leaving it unclear whether a detected failure can still be prevented through timely intervention. In this paper, we investigate lift-and-place tasks for non-prehensile material handling manipulation and propose a more effective approach to predicting precursors to failures (PREFAIL) by analyzing the relative motion of target objects with respect to the carrier. We further introduce a dataset that precisely identifies the latest intervention time for risky manipulations, enabling rigorous evaluation of whether a failure prediction is actionable. We validate our approach on both simulation and real-world datasets. Our experimental results demonstrate that PREFAIL substantially improves both the accuracy and timeliness of responses to failure precursors.
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All authors Zeyu Shangguan, Rajas Chitale, Rutvik Patel, Satyandra K. Gupta, Daniel Seita

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CY

A Method for Learning Value Systems in Generative AI

Value-aware AI systems require explicit computational representations of human values (groundings) and their aggregation into value systems in order to align their decisions with ours. As such representations are difficult to elicit, value learning seeks to infer them by observing human behaviour. This work addresses the lack of grounded value learning methods in generative AI: existing approaches typically replicate human preferences without awareness of the multidimensional structure of value alignment, or lack principled value system elicitation methods. To address these gaps, we adapt a previously validated value system learning method to the generative AI setting, which, based on pairwise prompt-response preference data, simultaneously learns: i) an implementation of a grounding for a set of values given by a multi-objective reward model, and ii) a value system representation in the form of a weighted linear scalarization of the previous grounding model. To ensure that the learned value systems are based on coherent value representations, our algorithm dynamically prioritizes the grounding learning process. We evaluate the method against baselines and a contemporary method on prompt-response preference datasets. Results show competitive performance and minimal trade-offs against the baselines, while improving explainability.
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Artificial Intelligence

Simulate to Generalize: Scaling Stateful Supervision for API-calling Agents using LLM World Models

Training agents that generalize to unseen, stateful environments requires a massive dataset of state-changing trajectories covering a vast and diverse set of APIs. However, scaling this broad supervision is severely bottlenecked by the immense effort required to implement and populate fully-executable environments across a broad spectrum of domains. To bypass this barrier, we introduce a data generation pipeline that decouples data synthesis from environment construction by leveraging LLMs as digital world models. Starting from only a list of broad domain names, our automated pipeline synthesizes diverse APIs and tasks. To produce trajectories, a teacher agent iteratively solves these tasks while an LLM simulator dynamically tracks state and provides coherent API responses on-the-fly. Finally, an automated judge filters the trajectories for quality. Fine-tuning on our broad synthetic dataset yields significant performance gains on AppWorld and OfficeBench, two challenging stateful benchmarks featuring environments completely unseen during training. These results establish our LLM world model-based synthesis approach as a highly scalable path for training generalizable, stateful API-calling agents.
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All authors Seanie Lee, Sanjoy Chowdhury, Chao Jiang, Cheng-Yu Hsieh, Ting-Yao Hu, Alexander T Toshev, Oncel Tuzel, Raviteja Vemulapalli

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Certified-Gap Dual-Price Policies for Real-Time Truckload Bid Acceptance with Relocating, Clock-Constrained Resources

A truckload carrier must accept or reject each load tender within seconds. The decision depends on fleet state, hours-of-service (HOS) clocks, and appointment windows. We model this as a weakly coupled dynamic program in which the resources relocate and carry clocks: serving a request moves the truck to a new market and depletes its clocks, and whether a truck can serve a request depends on its state. Occupancy-based reusable-resource models do not cover this setting. We build a real-time dual-price policy from the same Lagrangian relaxation that gives the problem's upper bound. Policy and bound come from one object, so every run reports a certified optimality gap. We prove three things. First, the certificate is valid for any duals, any discretization, and any surrogate quality. Second, the policy's same-time spatial-gradient rule is exactly fluid complementary slackness, and the policy is asymptotically optimal in the subcritical fluid regime; the fitted prices are also portable across sample paths, by linear-programming basis stability. Third, certificates have limits: per-resource Lagrangian slack can stay bounded away from zero at every fleet size. We exhibit a three-truck kernel with an exact rational certificate and a replication lemma. On a public closed-loop benchmark with thirty paired seeds, the policy – which needs no rollout labels, only one offline dual solve – beats a rollout-trained surrogate on two of three scenarios (tight: +2.0 pp, 95% CI [+0.5, +3.6], Wilcoxon p = 0.023; mild: +3.5 pp, CI [+2.4, +4.5]) and ties the third. It decides in 0.04-0.09 ms, three orders of magnitude faster than the Monte Carlo rollout teacher. Its certificates are stable across ten bounded instances per scenario, at 57-64% of optimal, within 3-6 points of what the 1000x-slower teacher certifies.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from math.OC

A Deep Reinforcement Learning Algorithm for the Vehicle Routing Problem with Stochastic Demands and Outsourcing

We introduce the vehicle routing problem with stochastic demands and outsourcing options (VRP-SDO), in which a logistics service provider partitions customer requests into customers outsourced to a common carrier and customers committed to its fixed fleet. The latter induces a vehicle routing problem with stochastic demands (VRP-SD), solved dynamically. Demands are revealed upon visit; residual demand may be served by other vehicles or after restocking at the depot. Work beyond the regular shift incurs overtime costs, and the unit outsourcing cost decreases with the expected outsourced demand. The objective is to minimize expected travel, overtime, and outsourcing costs. We propose an iterative two-level methodology whose first level partitions customers into committed and outsourced subsets, while the second level estimates the expected VRP-SD routing cost. To avoid solving this problem from scratch at every iteration, we learn an offline routing policy that estimates costs almost instantly for any committed subset. An iterated local search establishes the first-level partitions. We formulate the second level as a Markov decision process and solve it with a deep Q-network whose state is represented by a graph attention network aggregating customer and vehicle information by relevance to the acting vehicle. Trained offline on instances with variable customer cardinality and locations, the policy applies to any daily customer realization; online fine-tuning improves the cost approximation. Experiments show that our policy reduces routing costs by 19.6% relative to a state-of-the-art method and by at least 29.6% over classical heuristics. Our overall algorithm saves 13.7% on average over the version without the attention-based representation and generates high-quality decisions within minutes, whereas benchmarks without an offline-trained estimator require over an hour.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CL

Trace-Based On-Policy Distillation for Masked Diffusion Language Models

Diffusion large language models (dLLMs) are a promising alternative to autoregressive generation. However, reasoning-oriented post-training for dLLMs remains challenging. Supervised fine-tuning (SFT) for dLLMs requires dense but often off-policy masked states, while reinforcement learning (RL) relies on sparse rewards or value modeling. This paper proposes trace-based on-policy distillation (TOPD), a teacher-supervised framework that transfers reasoning ability to a target dLLM without reward estimation. The key idea is to supervise a dLLM on its own denoising trajectory, focusing on the trace-aligned token decisions that form the final response. Specifically, TOPD samples on-policy diffusion trajectories from the target dLLM, obtains teacher token distributions from a teacher model on the corresponding partially denoised states, and updates the target dLLM with a token-level Reverse Kullback-Leibler (Reverse-KL) objective. This design preserves dense teacher supervision while aligning training with the model's own denoising states. On mathematical reasoning benchmarks, TOPD enables SDAR-4B-Chat to match the MATH500 accuracy of its RL-trained counterpart TraDo-4B-Instruct, with gains of +5.7 under static evaluation and +4.5 under dynamic evaluation. Compared with the RL-trained counterpart, TOPD achieves this with 4$\times$ fewer rollout rounds, corresponding to an estimated 96.0$\times$ to-accuracy model-compute speedup.
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All authors Haolin Ren, Ziyang Huang, Chenhao Yuan, Jun Zhao, Kang Liu

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.SD

Do Speech Tokens Leak Voiceprints? Speaker Inversion Attacks Against End-to-End Speech Language Models

End-to-end speech language models increasingly represent user speech with speech tokens rather than relying exclusively on cascaded ASR–LLM–TTS pipelines. Although these tokens support expressive and low-latency spoken interaction, they may also preserve sensitive speaker characteristics. We investigate whether exposed speech tokens leak voiceprints and formulate this risk as a speaker inversion attack. We introduce Audio BERT (AuB), a trainable model that constructs token embeddings from discrete codebooks and aggregates them into speaker-sensitive representations, and propose SpInv, a two-stage inversion method built on AuB to recover embeddings in the space of an attacker-specified speaker encoder. We evaluate Moshi, Higgs3, Kimi-Audio, and Qwen3-Omni using speaker-disjoint protocols on the VoxCeleb dataset. Extensive experiments show that, with only three seconds of frontend output, SpInv achieves cosine similarities above 0.70 in the attacker-specified speaker-encoder space.
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All authors Ye Lu, Yihan Yan, Zhaoyang Zhang, Zhitao Ou, Runze Liu, Li Liu, Shen Wang

Artificial Intelligence

Beyond Semantic Equivalence: Logical Graphs for LLM Uncertainty Quantification

Large Language Models often produce confidently stated yet unreliable outputs, posing critical challenges for deployment in safety-sensitive applications. Existing uncertainty metrics such as semantic entropy capture agreement at the level of semantic equivalence, but largely ignore the logical relationships between distinct answers. As a result, they tend to overestimate uncertainty and falsely flag hallucinations in settings where generated responses are diverse in form yet logically compatible (e.g., differing only in granularity or specificity). We propose Logical Graph Uncertainty (LGU), a framework that explicitly models implication and incompatibility among answers. LGU aggregates probability mass along entailment chains onto the most specific hypotheses the answers support, measures the entropy of the resulting distribution, and penalizes mutual incompatibility among those hypotheses. Across multiple question-answering benchmarks and model families, LGU ranks first on average among existing uncertainty measures, with its largest gains—up to +7.1% AUROC and +3.5% AUARC over semantic entropy—on questions whose sampled answers are logically structured.
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All authors Yanni Dong, Minghua Liu, Meilin Zhu, Xiaowei Huang, Lijun Zhang

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Principled Direction-Free Intrinsic Motivation through Model-Free Epistemic Free-Energy Estimators

Across environments with mixed sources of uncertainty, unsupervised reinforcement learning requires intrinsic motivation that does not precommit to a particular direction of surprise. Surprise minimization is scoped by design to “unstable” environments. Prediction-error curiosity rewards total expected surprise, including irreducible noise. Bandit or mixture switching between surprise-minimizing and surprise-maximizing rewards reintroduces non-stationarity by construction. We propose a single intrinsic reward, stationary within each window, derived from the novelty contribution of a preference-free Expected Free Energy objective, expressed in reward-maximization form. Our claim is that parameter information gain, the expected surprise of the next state minus its irreducible part, is the appropriate intrinsic signal in both high-entropy and low-entropy components of the state space. Maximizing it seeks exactly the surprise the model can explain away. In regions of unresolved dynamics, this epistemic term drives exploration. As dynamics become resolved, the epistemic term vanishes, while an aleatoric penalty favors lower-variance transitions, all without fitting an explicit next-state predictor. A pseudocount supplies epistemic value, a probe-based penalty captures aleatoric variance, and a short-horizon gate protects informative successors. A window-based freeze of all reward-defining objects yields a stationary Bellman operator, explicit bounds on learning targets, and a conditional uniform-concentration result for the nonparametric estimators under mixing, smoothness, bandwidth, and capacity assumptions. In active-inference terms, the agent is preference-free where novelty is retained, standard likelihood ambiguity vanishes under full observability, a nonstandard transition-entropy penalty is added, and surprise minimization emerges in resolved regions of the state space.
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Artificial Intelligence

AgentBrew: Lifelong Knowledge Brewing from Strong Teachers to Weak LLM Agents

Deploying LLM agents typically requires a compact test-time student, even if a stronger teacher is available during training. We study knowledge brewing: distilling a teacher's interactive experience into a persistent external memory for the student. Crucially, this requires no weight updates, expert demonstrations, ground-truth labels, or test-time teacher access. This setting poses two challenges: environments provide only sparse, binary feedback, and teacher-authored notes must be inherently tailored to be concretely executable by a substantially weaker student. To address these hurdles, we propose AgentBrew, comprising two coupled components. First, a failure-triggered teacher–Ralph Loop mitigates sparse feedback by transforming student failures into environment-validated notes. Second, student-aware synthesis calibrates teacher knowledge to the weak executor's operational granularity, yielding model-specific, actionable guidance. Extensive evaluations and comprehensive ablations across coding, math, and tool-use tasks demonstrate that this asymmetric, training-free brewing paradigm produces highly capable yet deployable LLM agents.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Beyond Memory Leaderboards: Evaluating Scientific Memory as Budgeted Context Restoration

Long-term memory is becoming a core component of LLM agents, but most memory benchmarks evaluate conversations or compact summaries, while research agents need to restore evidence from full scientific papers. We introduce two full-text scientific-memory benchmarks, Public AI Memory (PAIM; 81 papers, 66 questions) and Public Transformers (PTr; 252 papers, 98 questions). We evaluate eight memory/retrieval systems, including our own proposed Theoria, plus a no-retrieval baseline. Our results show that memory leaderboards are not interpretable without the full protocol: ingestion granularity, raw-text preservation, retrieval budget, retrieval modality, rubric audit, and judge choice all affect the outcome. For example, on PAIM Graphiti wins convincingly but uses 2.6M characters of retrieved context per query, and after controlling for retrieval budget the lead disappears. On PTr, for the systems where BM25 retrieval can be added cleanly, the sparse-dense hybrid is the single most significant intervention: hybrid variants of Simple RAG, Mem0, and Theoria tie for the lead within 0.03 points. Multi-judge and human side-by-side calibration show that LLM-as-a-judge rankings are consistent across frontier judges and agree with human evaluation, with an effective resolution of roughly one point on a ten-point scale. We argue that scientific memory should be evaluated as budgeted, modality-aware context restoration rather than as an unconstrained architecture leaderboard, and we release the datasets, harness, raw outputs, judgments, and scripts to reproduce our results and serve as tools for such evaluation. Our code is available at http://gitlab.com/quantellence/research/scientific-recall-bench , and the datasets are available at http://huggingface.co/datasets/quantellence/srb-data .
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Artificial Intelligence

From Overload to Insights: How AI Agents Can Support Scientists in Analyzing Complex Data

Scientists at European XFEL conduct experiments that generate very large and complex datasets. The subsequent data analysis is challenging as scientists must combine their domain expertise with facility- and software-specific knowledge scattered across documentation, tools, and support channels. To address this problem, we designed and evaluated an agentic AI system tailored to the scientists' needs and integrated with the high-performance computing environment of European XFEL. Using a design science research approach, we conducted a rapid literature review, a systematic evaluation of 16 AI tools, multiple interviews, a focus group, and a user study with experts at European XFEL to develop and evaluate two prototypes. Our study identifies key knowledge challenges in scientific data analysis, derives requirements for an AI agent that supports knowledge retrieval and source code generation, and proposes design recommendations for a specialized system adaptable to the evolving AI tool landscape. These findings provide guidance for developing maintainable AI support in highly specialized scientific environments.
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All authors Tim Fuchs, Luca Gelisio, Steffen Hauf, Walid Maalej

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.LG

First-Order Predictable but Pairwise Fragile: Local Task Adaptation in Trained Transformers

Task arithmetic, sequential fine-tuning, activation steering, and first-order random search all operate through relatively small perturbations around an already trained checkpoint, and they rely on different local approximations: individual perturbations should be first-order predictable, task updates should compose with controlled interference, useful tangent structure should be stable and possible to estimate, and weight edits should have counterparts in representation space. We measure 8 such properties with the same harness around a multitask LoRA operating point, on 9 transformers (82M-7B), with a prospectively registered property list, thresholds, and test split. We find a shared one-direction validity window up to the tested scale $10^{-2}$, but no universal radius for pairwise composition or update ordering. Along individual directions, changes of the probe loss remain first-order predictable throughout the grid: a perturbation's effect on the loss is essentially its projection onto the gradient, which is also what makes local random search work. Pairwise structure, however, proves to be far more fragile: on over a third of the measured (model, task pair) combinations, two-update order sensitivity sets in strictly inside that window; task-gradient subspaces rotate within tens of steps; additivity under our fixed activation probe fails at full task-vector scale on several models, including both held-out 7B models; and no model median passes the registered global mean-vector weight-to-steering correspondence bar. For two sequential task-gradient steps, the leading order-dependent term is the Lie bracket $H_B\textbf{g}_A-H_A\textbf{g}_B$; its normalized prediction $c(\eta)=\eta\kappa+O(\eta^2)$ tracks the measured defect at median ratio 1.002, while the onset scale $\eta^\dagger\approx0.10/\kappa$ spans three orders of magnitude across models and task pairs.
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Artificial Intelligence

FUSAR-R1: A Large-Scale Reasoning Model for Intelligent Interpretation of SAR Images

In recent years, large-scale vision-language models have been driving a paradigm shift in intelligent remote sensing image interpretation. By incorporating textual semantic information, the cognitive expression, semantic understanding, and human-computer interaction capabilities of interpretation models have been significantly improved, achieving initial progress in the field of Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) image interpretation. However, SAR images are affected by factors such as coherent imaging mechanisms, complex scattering characteristics, speckle noise interference, and target-background coupling, resulting in complex and variable image features with significant uncertainties and specializations. Existing SAR vision-language models do not yet possess the step-by-step analysis, logical judgment, and self-correction capabilities of human experts, making it difficult to support reliable intelligent interpretation in complex scenarios. To address this issue, this paper proposes a large-scale reasoning model, FUSAR-R1, for intelligent interpretation of SAR images. The model first constructs explicit chain-of-thought reasoning data by simulating the interpretation process of human experts and uses this data to guide instruction learning, thereby endowing the model with basic reasoning capabilities. Subsequently, a reinforcement learning strategy is introduced to optimize the model's outputs based on inference results, enabling self-correction and more reliable reasoning. Experimental results demonstrate that FUSAR-R1 consistently outperforms existing multimodal large-scale models across various SAR interpretation tasks, including target detection, target counting and classification, and land-cover category recognition.
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All authors Yi Yang, Xiaokun Zhang, Yuxuan Li, Ruyi Zhang, Xinpeng Zhou, Haipeng Wang

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.SD

Explainable Lightweight Compact Deep Models for Speech Emotion Recognition

Speech Emotion Recognition (SER) is an important component in a wide range of human-centered applications, including healthcare, customer service, and human-omputer interaction. In medical and decision-support settings, there is increasing interest in models that not only achieve accurate emotion recognition but also support transparent predictions and efficient deployment. However, many existing SER approaches rely on complex deep learning architectures that limit interpretability and increase computational cost. This paper presents an explainable and lightweight speech emotion recognition framework based on a compact convolutional neural network architecture. The proposed approach utilizes log-Mel spectrogram representations to capture spectro-temporal speech characteristics and employs attentive statistics pooling to emphasize emotionally salient temporal segments. To improve model transparency, gradient-based class activation mapping (Grad-CAM) is incorporated to visualize the time-frequency regions that influence the model's predictions. Experimental evaluation on the SAVEE emotional speech dataset demonstrates that the proposed framework achieves competitive recognition performance while maintaining a compact architecture with significantly fewer parameters than many existing SER models. The results indicate that efficient convolutional architectures combined with interpretable analysis can provide a practical balance between recognition accuracy, computational efficiency, and model transparency.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CL

JOR-Bench: Japanese Operations Research Benchmarks for Large Language Models

We present JOR-Bench, a collection of five Japanese-language benchmarks for evaluating the ability of large language models (LLMs) to formulate and solve operations research (OR) problems. Each benchmark is a Japanese translation of an existing English benchmark: IndustryOR, MAMO Complex LP, NL4OPT, OptiBench, and OptMATH, covering 1,319 problems spanning linear programming, mixed-integer programming, non-linear programming, and combinatorial optimization. JOR-Bench is a solver-independent benchmark that can be used with any solver or programming language, and consists of pairs of Japanese problem statements and expected numerical answers. We evaluate seven LLMs, including multilingual general-purpose models and Japanese-specialized models, on both the original English and the new Japanese versions, and compare performance across languages. For the main evaluation, we standardize execution with the Python interface to OR-Tools to make model outputs comparable and reproducible with open-source software. Our results show that OR formulation ability is largely language-neutral for strong multilingual models; the overall average accuracy difference between English and Japanese is only $-0.3$ pp. Yet error analysis reveals subtle cross-lingual differences, including a pragmatic disambiguation failure in some domains that causes models to output decision-variable values instead of the objective value when the prompt is in Japanese.
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Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Spatiotemporal Facial Action Unit Detection using Twin Cycle Autoencoders for Driver Monitoring

Driver monitoring systems (DMS) increasingly rely on facial cues to infer drowsiness, distraction, and cognitive load in real time. Facial Action Units (AUs), grounded in the Facial Action Coding System (FACS), provide an objective and interpretable representation of such states, but their automatic detection in the driving context is complicated by low and variable illumination, partial occlusion, head-pose variation, and the subtlety and short duration of relevant AU activations. Existing AU detectors largely treat spatial appearance and temporal dynamics separately, limiting their ability to exploit self-supervisory signal from abundant unlabeled driving video. We propose the Twin Cycle Autoencoder (TCA), a spatiotemporal architecture composed of two coupled cycle-consistent autoencoder branches: a Spatial Cycle Autoencoder that disentangles AU-relevant appearance from identity through image-level cycle consistency, and a Temporal Cycle Autoencoder that enforces forward-backward consistency over latent AU trajectories to capture onset-apex-offset dynamics. The two branches are coupled through a cross-branch latent alignment loss and fused via an attention module before multi-label AU classification. We evaluate TCA on the DISFA and BP4D benchmarks and on an in-cabin naturalistic driving dataset, and observe consistent improvements over CNN-RNN, 3D-CNN, and graph-based AU baselines, particularly for low-intensity and rapidly transitioning AUs relevant to fatigue (AU45, AU43) and yawning (AU26). We further show the model sustains real-time throughput on an embedded Jetson Xavier NX platform, supporting its use in production-grade advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS).
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Artificial Intelligence

RELIC: Revealed Principles for Learning Interpretable Composable Skills in Multi-Agent Planning

Multi-agent planning becomes substantially harder when agents must improve specialized decision-making skills while keeping their executable implementations private. This setting arises when independently developed agents expose heterogeneous interfaces, observations, and capabilities, yet must coordinate under a shared team objective. Existing approaches commonly rely on centralized optimization, shared policy access, or common skill representations, assumptions that limit knowledge reuse when function signatures differ. We introduce RELIC, a framework for learning interpretable and composable programmatic skills through revealed principles. Each agent improves its own executable skill locally, while useful decision logic and coordination patterns are distilled into compact textual principles. Rather than requiring direct program exchange, these abstractions can be re-instantiated under agent-specific interfaces and reused across incompatible implementation spaces. A shared principle memory accumulates transferable knowledge and promotes abstractions that repeatedly improve team-level performance. This separation allows discoveries made by one agent to guide others while preserving local executable implementations and decentralized execution. RELIC therefore supports strategic transfer across both heterogeneous-role and shared-role cooperative teams. Extensive experiments across routing, scheduling, combinatorial optimization, and distributed coordination settings demonstrate RELIC's effectiveness against independent and joint LLM-based search methods, together with consistent benefits across task structures and LLM backbones.
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All authors Nguyen Viet Tuan Kiet, Bui Dinh Pham, Duong Quoc Chinh, Dao Van Tung, Tran Cong Dao, Huynh Thi Thanh Binh

Artificial Intelligence

Supporting Autonomous Process Execution within a Multi-Perspective Constraint Frame via Numeric Planning

AI-Augmented Business Process Management Systems (ABPMS) enhance traditional BPMS by leveraging advanced AI techniques to define, execute, and monitor complex process structures. Within this landscape, Framed Autonomy denotes the capability of a system to autonomously advance the execution of a Business Process (BP) instance while strictly adhering to a predefined frame, i.e., a set of constraints that may span multiple perspectives. Existing research on framed autonomy has predominantly focused on control-flow constraints, either declarative or procedural, and typically relies on their transformation into automata-based representations. In this study, we extend this line of work by introducing a novel tool for what-if analysis that augments the process frame with multi-perspective constraints, including data-aware and temporal conditions. Given a partial process execution, the proposed approach exploits this enriched frame to recommend optimal continuations in compliance with the underlying process specifications. We additionally report an empirical evaluation demonstrating the scalability and effectiveness of the technique, thereby highlighting its potential for supporting autonomous and constraint-aware decision making in ABPMS.
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All authors Paul Wittlinger, Giacomo Acitelli, Anti Alman, Fabrizio Maria Maggi, Andrea Marrella

Artificial Intelligence · Cross-listed from eess.AS

RealDESED: A Real-World Domestic Sound Event Detection Benchmark

This paper presents RealDESED, a real-world domestic sound event detection (SED) benchmark comprising 5,710 audio recordings collected by 652 participants in their homes. Each recording is between 15 and 35 seconds long and contains temporally precise annotations for 15 common domestic sound classes. In contrast to existing SED datasets, which typically rely on simulated soundscapes or broad web-crawled audio, RealDESED consists exclusively of recordings captured in natural domestic environments, reflecting realistic variability in recording devices, device placement, acoustic conditions, background sounds, and naturally occurring event co-occurrences. A distinguishing characteristic of the dataset is its multi-annotator labeling scheme, where each recording is independently annotated by multiple annotators, while the validation and test sets undergo an additional review process to ensure high annotation quality and reliable benchmarking. Furthermore, the dataset provides rich metadata, including recording device, device placement, environment labels, and textual scene descriptions. We establish a strong transformer-based baseline and investigate annotation aggregation strategies, post-processing methods, long-form inference, and the impact of recording metadata on model performance. Our baseline achieves a macro-averaged PSDS1 score of 0.731 on the test set. We believe RealDESED provides a valuable benchmark for developing and evaluating robust SED systems under realistic domestic conditions, helping to bridge the gap between current research benchmarks and real-world deployment.
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All authors Florian Schmid, Paul Primus, Alexander Fichtinger, Tara Jadidi, Tobias Morocutti, Gerhard Widmer