Physics and Society
Peer Review at Capacity: An editor's view
Yamir Moreno
From the editor's desk, the pressure on peer review is no longer an abstract concern. It appears in the growing number of invitations needed to secure an appropriate report, the repeated reliance on a small group of dependable colleagues, and the duplication of work when manuscripts move between journals. The problem is not simply that science has too few potential reviewers. It is that reviewing labor is unevenly distributed, weakly recognized, and organized through a publication architecture built for a smaller system.
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Fluid Dynamics
Splashing-regime transitions and secondary-droplet scaling in oblique drop impacts on a deep pool
Ying Xiong, Yang Zhang, Lingling Xie et al. (+1 more)
Oblique drop impact onto a deep
liquid pool produces asymmetric crowns, directional jetting, and splashing transitions that cannot be characterized by the total impact inertia alone. We numerically investigate water drops impacting a quiescent deep pool over $41\leq We\leq1790$ and $10^\circ\leq\theta\leq90^\circ$. The simulations reproduce the principal features observed experimentally and identify five post-impact regimes in the $We$–$\theta$ plane: deposition, front splashing, side splashing, side-front splashing, and crown splashing. The deposition–front-splashing transition is described by the tangential-inertial parameter $K_s=We\cos\theta$, with $K_s^c\approx120$. This criterion follows from the competition between downstream crown-rim inertia and capillary retraction at the Taylor–Culick velocity. The transition from front to side-front splashing is instead governed primarily by normal impact inertia, with a critical normal Weber number $We_N^c\approx318$. Beyond these regime transitions, the secondary-droplet statistics reveal fragmentation behavior common to the different splashing regimes. The droplet-size distributions are positively skewed, and the median diameter follows $d_{s,\mathrm{med}}/D\sim We^{-3/5}$. Second-order velocity structure functions support a scale-dependent capillary–inertial description of rim and ligament breakup. Combined with mass conservation, this scaling gives $N_s\sim We^{9/5}$, providing a numerical explanation for the secondary-droplet-number scaling observed experimentally. Thus, directional impact inertia governs the macroscopic selection of splashing regimes, whereas the secondary-droplet populations across these regimes exhibit a common capillary–inertial fragmentation scaling.
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All authors Ying Xiong, Yang Zhang, Lingling Xie, Xiaolei Li
Data Analysis and Statistics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.IM
A generalized likelihood model for segmented muon counters
Joaquín de Jesús, Juan Manuel Figueira, Federico Sanchez et al. (+1 more)
Measurements of the muonic component of extensive air showers constrain
cosmic-ray mass composition and hadronic interactions at energies beyond those accessible at accelerators. Arrays of segmented detectors with binary readout are widely used for this purpose: they sample the
muon density at different distances from the shower core to reconstruct the
muon lateral distribution function (LDF). Each detector response is summarized by the number of activated segments, $k$, whose probability distribution provides the likelihood relating the observation to the expected
muon content. Signal pile-up, detector inefficiency, corner-clipping
muons, and background signals shape this distribution, and neglecting them can bias the reconstruction. Existing analytical models include pile-up but otherwise assume an ideal detector response. In this work, we develop a unified statistical framework that incorporates inefficiency, corner clipping, and background through a small set of physically interpretable parameters. We derive exact expressions for the detector response and the likelihood required for
muon-LDF reconstruction, together with a simple binomial approximation that preserves the main statistical properties of the exact distribution. Dedicated Monte Carlo simulations are used to assess the impact of the assumptions underlying the analytical treatment and show that it is negligible over the parameter range considered. They also show that the exact and approximate likelihoods yield similar performance in terms of
estimator bias and confidence-interval coverage. Although motivated by the Underground
Muon Detector of the Pierre Auger Observatory, the framework applies more broadly to segmented particle detectors with binary readout in which particle content is inferred from the number of activated segments.
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All authors Joaquín de Jesús, Juan Manuel Figueira, Federico Sanchez, Darko Veberic
Space Physics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.SR
Ion-Scale Waves Regulated by Plasma Beta and Cross Helicity: Observational Evidence for the Helicity Barrier in Imbalanced Solar Wind Turbulence
G. Q. Zhao, R. Meyrand, H. Q. Feng et al. (+3 more)
Ion-scale waves are believed to play an important role in heating of the
solar corona and wind, though their generation mechanism remains unclear. Based on Parker
Solar Probe observations, this Letter investigates the occurrence of ion-scale waves in the near-Sun
solar wind with heliocentric distances between 0.1 and 0.2 au. Results show that the occurrence rate of left-handed polarized waves significantly depends on the
plasma beta ($\beta$) and cross helicity ($\sigma_c$). The occurrence rate rapidly increases with decreasing $\beta$ and increasing $\sigma_c$. Overall, the occurrence rate exceeds 45$\%$ when $\beta<0.2$ and $\sigma_c > 0.7$ are satisfied. These observations are consistent with the direct predictions of the helicity barrier theory that suggests the generation of ion cyclotron waves via imbalanced magnetized
turbulence.
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All authors G. Q. Zhao, R. Meyrand, H. Q. Feng, H. F. Yang, L. Xiang, Z. Wang
Fluid Dynamics
Lagrangian particles and particle clusters in large-aspect-ratio turbulent Rayleigh-Bénard convection experiment
Prafulla P. Shevkar, Mitanjali, Roshan J. Samuel et al. (+2 more)
We perform Lagrangian particle-tracking experiments in turbulent Rayleigh-Bénard convection at aspect ratio Gamma = 10, Rayleigh number Ra = 9.3 x 10^7, and Prandtl number Pr = 4.8. Approximately 50,000 neutrally buoyant particles are tracked for durations of up to 150 Kolmogorov times. The resulting trajectories are sufficiently long to capture the mean-square displacement of single particles from the short-time ballistic regime to the long-time diffusive regime. We further analyse Lagrangian velocity structure functions and particle-pair dispersion, both of which exhibit scaling behavior consistent with theoretical expectations in their respective temporal regimes. In the Richardson-like regime, the pair-dispersion exponent exceeds 3, most clearly in the lateral direction. Multi-particle statistics are investigated by analysing particle clouds with initial radii of approximately 8 and 20 Kolmogorov lengths using principal component analysis. The clouds spread more strongly in the lateral directions than in the vertical direction and deform from initially spherical shapes into oblate ellipsoids within approximately 10 Kolmogorov times, revealing pronounced anisotropic dispersion. The dynamics is identified from the particle-connectivity network through a spectral analysis of the graph
Laplacian followed by k-means clustering. Furthermore, we examine the probability density functions of all three acceleration components and assess the statistical convergence of their second and fourth moments. The lateral acceleration components are more intermittent than the vertical component, as indicated by their heavier tails. Acceleration statistics conditioned on the bulk region are slightly less intermittent than those obtained over the full measurement volume, which we attribute to the highly intermittent plume-ejection and plume-aggregation events occurring near the walls.
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All authors Prafulla P. Shevkar, Mitanjali, Roshan J. Samuel, Christian Cierpka, Jörg Schumacher
Applied Physics · Cross-listed from cond-mat.mes-hall
Harnessing the skyrmion Hall effect for low-power skyrmion transport in a tubular synthetic antiferromagnet
Ivan P. Miranda, Grzegorz J. Kwiatkowski, Jacob J. Mankenberg et al. (+4 more)
We show that optimal control can turn the skyrmion
Hall effect from a source of typically unwanted transverse motion into a mechanism for reducing Ohmic losses in skyrmion transport. We consider a pair of antiferromagnetically coupled skyrmions confined to a tubular geometry, where their relative transverse displacement becomes a periodic internal coordinate. The skyrmion
Hall effect drives this coordinate, while finite interlayer coupling makes the resulting relation between applied current and longitudinal velocity nonlinear, allowing different current protocols to produce the same prescribed average velocity. We determine which of these protocols minimizes Joule heating. Depending on the interlayer coupling and
spin-transfer-torque parameters, the optimal current is either constant, with the skyrmion pair maintaining a fixed relative position, or time dependent, with the pair undergoing periodic relative motion around the tube. In either case, the additional internal degree of freedom created by the skyrmion
Hall effect and interlayer coupling enables skyrmion transport at a lower power than in the uncoupled limit.
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All authors Ivan P. Miranda, Grzegorz J. Kwiatkowski, Jacob J. Mankenberg, Cecilia M. Holmqvist, Igor S. Lobanov, Valery M. Uzdin, Pavel F. Bessarab
Physics and Society
Open, Reproducible Per-Bidding-Zone Carbon Intensity for Nordic Power Systems
Eirik Botten Nicolaysen
Carbon-aware scheduling of electrical loads depends on accurate grid carbon-intensity (CI) signals, yet existing tools commonly apply a uniform placeholder emission factor that misrepresents regional variation. This work presents an open, reproducible method for computing per-bidding-zone CI across the Nordic power system. Generation-by-type data from ENTSO-E is combined with IPCC AR5 life-cycle emission factors, duration-weighted per bidding zone, with an explicit materiality threshold for missing data. Applied to nine bidding zones (NO1-NO5, SE1-SE4) for 2025, the method yields CI values ranging from 14.5 to 39.6 gCO2eq/kWh. The results reveal that the uniform 18.0 gCO2eq/kWh placeholder is wrong in both directions: it understates CI for most zones, by a factor of approximately 2.2 for NO4, yet overstates CI for the
nuclear-dominated zone SE3, whose production-based CI is the lowest of the nine. Drift is characterised against a pre-registered threshold of 15% year-on-year change, including a borderline case in SE4 and event-driven variation in NO4.
Forecasting experiments do not reject the null hypothesis that simple baselines suffice, in either the Norwegian or Swedish zones. The full method, data, and results are released under open licences and archived at DOI 10.5281/zenodo.21042581, with the per-zone values contributed upstream to the codecarbon library. Per-bidding-zone resolution is necessary for accurate carbon accounting in Nordic grids, where country-level averages obscure substantial intra-country variation.
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Computational Physics
Characteristic Mode Analysis of Composite Nanostructures using a Coupled System of Volume Integral and Hydrodynamic Equations
Meruyert Khamitova, Ran Zhao, Doolos Aibek Uulu et al. (+2 more)
Full-structure and sub-structure characteristic mode analysis (CMA) formulations are developed for composite metallic–dielectric nanostructures based on a coupled system of volume integral equations (VIE) and the hydrodynamic equation (HDE). In the full-structure CMA, the generalized
eigenvalue equation (GEE) is constructed from the
matrix of the complete coupled system, and the resulting characteristic currents describe the response of the entire composite nanostructure. In the sub-structure CMA, the GEE is constructed from a reduced system, derived from the coupled system by eliminating the dielectric-region unknowns, so that it is expressed only in terms of the metallic-region currents. This isolates the resonances of the metallic region while still incorporating the effect of the dielectric region through the reduced system. Because the reduced system has a smaller dimension, the sub-structure CMA is computationally more efficient than the full-structure CMA and, when the dielectric does not resonate in the frequency range of interest, identifies the same resonances. Both formulations are validated against extinction cross-section (ECS) results and are used to characterize how a dielectric environment reshapes the metallic resonances, including substrate-induced red-shifts and, for high-contrast substrates in direct contact, hybridized modal responses.
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All authors Meruyert Khamitova, Ran Zhao, Doolos Aibek Uulu, Sebastian Celis Sierra, Hakan Bagci
Atomic Physics
Cancellation of $D_2$ line transitions of alkali-metal atoms by magnetic-field values
Artur Aleksanyan, Susanna Petrosyan and Emil Gazazyan
In a previous work the $\pi$ transitions of the $D_1$ line of alkali-metal atoms were shown to cancel at
magnetic-field values given by a single closed-form expression. The $D_2$ line has until now resisted the same treatment, because the fixed-$m$
Hamiltonian blocks of the $^2P_{3/2}$
manifold reach the dimension $4\times4$, and the corresponding formulas were considered to be too heavy to be useful. In this work we show that this difficulty is only apparent. Since the Zeeman interaction couples only levels with $\Delta F=\pm1$, every block, whatever its dimension, is tridiagonal; its characteristic
polynomial therefore obeys a three-term recursion, and the components of its eigenvectors are
polynomials in the
eigenvalue. Using these two properties we obtain the
eigenvalues in closed form by Ferrari's and Cardano's formulas, the eigenvectors without any further diagonalization, and finally a single relation which gives the
magnetic-field value canceling a $D_2$ transition as an explicit function of the excited-state
eigenvalue, the
nuclear spin $I$, the ground-state hyperfine splitting and the
magnetic quantum number. A necessary condition on $m$ and on the polarization is derived, which replaces the selection rule known for the $D_1$ line. All the
magnetic-field values canceling $\pi$, $\sigma^+$ and $\sigma^-$ transitions of $^{23}$Na, $^{39}$K, $^{40}$K, $^{41}$K, $^{85}$Rb, $^{87}$Rb and $^{133}$Cs are calculated up to 20~kG and given with their uncertainties; there are 234 of them. Contrary to the $D_1$ line, the $\sigma^{\pm}$ transitions of the $D_2$ line do cancel, and they account for the majority of the values found. The accuracy of the calculated $B$ values is limited only by the uncertainties of the excited-state hyperfine constants.
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Physics and Society
ButterMamba: Butterworth-Enhanced Spatial-Temporal Mamba for Efficient Traffic Flow Prediction
Limiao Zhang, Yuhui Lu, Jie Gao et al. (+3 more)
Accurate traffic flow prediction is fundamental to intelligent transportation systems, playing a pivotal role in urban mobility optimization and smart city development. While Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) integrated with time series
forecasting have emerged as promising solutions, two critical limitations persist: (1) the quadratic complexity of
attention-based architectures hinders real-time deployment in large-scale networks, and (2) high-frequency noise in sensor data significantly degrades prediction reliability. These challenges are particularly acute in metropolitan scenarios where both computational efficiency and noise robustness are paramount. To address these limitations, we introduce ButterMamba, a novel and efficient framework based on State Space Models (SSMs). ButterMamba consists of two key components: (1) a Butterworth Spectral Filtering module that preprocesses the data by removing high-frequency noise, allowing the model to focus on significant underlying trends, and (2) a Spatial-Temporal State Mixer that uses a parallel Mamba architecture to efficiently capture both long-range temporal dependencies and complex spatial correlations across the road network. By decoupling noise filtering from spatial-temporal modeling, ButterMamba achieves superior predictive accuracy with linear computational complexity. Extensive experiments on three public
datasets demonstrate that ButterMamba not only outperforms existing state-of-the-art models in terms of prediction accuracy but also considerably reduces training time and
memory usage.
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All authors Limiao Zhang, Yuhui Lu, Jie Gao, Hao Jiang, Haiping Ma, Xingyi Zhang
Plasma Physics
Generation of Isolated Collimated Polarized $\gamma$-ray Beams via Spatiotemporal Optical Vortex Modulation
Xinyu Xie, Fengyu Sun, Huai-Hang Song et al. (+2 more)
Attosecond, collimated, bright, polarized $\gamma$-ray sources are in high demand across
nuclear physics, astrophysics, and high-energy physics. However, realizing attosecond duration, high collimation, high brilliance, and high polarization simultaneously within a single isolated source remains an outstanding challenge, owing to the inherent trade-offs between beam trapping and radiative dynamics. Here, we propose a novel scheme to generate an isolated, collimated, high-brilliance, polarized attosecond $\gamma$-ray beam from conventional solid foils irradiated by a linearly polarized spatiotemporal optical
vortex (STOV)
laser pulse accessible in Lab. Three-dimensional
spin-resolved particle-in-
cell simulations reveal that this relativistic-intensity STOV pulse can trap and accelerate electrons at its spatiotemporal singularity, producing a compact isolated electron bunch. This electron bunch subsequently undergoes head-on collision with the reflected
laser pulse, which generates isolated $\gamma$-ray beams through nonlinear Compton scattering. With a peak intensity of $7\times10^{21}$ W/cm$^2$, we observe an isolated collimated ($\sim1.5^{\circ}$) $\gamma$-ray beam with an average linear polarization of $>60\%$ and a duration of $\sim$500 attoseconds. This approach is feasible with current or upcoming
laser facilities and robust against variations in
laser and target parameters, highlighting the capability of spatiotemporal structured light field modulation to address outstanding problems in
plasma physics.
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All authors Xinyu Xie, Fengyu Sun, Huai-Hang Song, Wei-Min Wang, Wenpeng Wang
Plasma Physics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.SR
Origin of small-scale evaporation flows deep in the chromosphere during a solar flare
L. P. Chitta, H. N. Smitha, F. A. Iglesias et al. (+29 more)
Flares are caused by an abrupt release of
magnetic energy in the
solar atmosphere.
Plasma heated to well over 10 MK filling the post-
flare corona originates from a rapid heating and ablation of the cooler chromospheric material. This chromospheric evaporation is thought to be facilitated primarily by nonthermal electrons impinging on to the lower atmosphere. Questions on when and where in the chromosphere these upflows originate, however, are not fully resolved. Here we report on unprecedented high-resolution observations of an M-class
flare recorded by the Sunrise Ultraviolet Spectropolarimeter and Imager on board the balloon-borne SUNRISE observatory, that reveal highly structured upflows on spatial scales of ~100 km originating deep in the chromosphere. The flows even precede the onset of nonthermal electrons by about 10 minutes and last through the impulsive phase of the
flare. Our observations shed new light on the lower atmospheric heating and mass circulation in
flares that are challenging to reconcile with the standard
solar flare model.
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All authors L. P. Chitta, H. N. Smitha, F. A. Iglesias, T. L. Riethmüller, A. Feller, W. Chen, A. Lagg, A. Gandorfer, J. Hölken, S. K. Solanki, J. C. del Toro Iniesta, Y. Katsukawa, P. Bernasconi, T. Berkefeld, A. Álvarez-Herrero, M. Kubo, D. Orozco Suárez, B. Grauf, M. Carpenter, A. Bell, Valentín Martínez Pillet, F. J. Bailén, J. Blanco Rodríguez, J. Sebastián Castellanos Durán, E. Harnes, R. T. Ishikawa, Y. Kawabata, T. Matsumoto, T. Oba, A. L. Siu-Tapia, H. Strecker, D. Vukadinović
Instrumentation and Detectors
Toward Ionization Cluster Size Measurements with a Compact Nanodosimeter
Victor Merza, Aleksandr Bancer, Vladimir Bashkirov et al. (+8 more)
Nanodosimetry aims to provide measurable quantities related to the nanoscopic particle track structure, which determines the biological effectiveness of radiation. While simulated nanodosimetry has already demonstrated its potential for radiation treatment planning, the experimental realization of practical nanodosimetric detectors is still in its early stages. In this work, a nanodosimetric prototype operated with low-pressure gas was developed to count ionizations in a nanometer-equivalent sensitive gas volume. Its performance was evaluated experimentally with alpha beams from an Am-241 source in 1 mbar propane gas. The results support the further development of this compact nanodosimeter class, with potential applications in particle therapy, radiation protection, and space radiation dosimetry.
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All authors Victor Merza, Aleksandr Bancer, Vladimir Bashkirov, Ana Belchior, Beata Brzozowska, Piotr Gasik, Jaroslaw Grzyb, Khaled Katmeh, Marcin Pietrzak, Antoni Ruciński, Reinhard Schulte
Plasma Physics
Unified Gas-Kinetic Wave-Particle Method for Multiscale Simulation of Vlasov-Poisson-Fokker-Planck System
Zhigang Pu, Chang Liu, Yixiao Wang et al. (+1 more)
A unified gas-kinetic wave–particle method with Fokker–Planck collisions (UGKWP-FP) is developed for the Vlasov–Poisson–Fokker–Planck system. The collision operator is modeled by the Lenard–Bernstein operator, whose
stochastic representation corresponds to the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process in velocity space. To extend the UGKWP framework beyond the conventional Bhatnagar–Gross–Krook (BGK) collision model, the Fokker–Planck operator is decomposed into a nonstiff drift–
diffusion contribution and a stiff thermalization contribution. The former is retained in the particle dynamics through a modified Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process, whereas the latter is represented by a BGK-type relaxation toward the local Maxwellian. This decomposition enables an adaptive wave–particle representation: the method follows
stochastic particle dynamics in rarefied regimes and increasingly represents the rapidly equilibrating distribution by the analytical wave component as the continuum regime is approached. The modified friction coefficient is constructed to recover the original Fokker–Planck dynamics in the rarefied limit while preserving the hydrodynamic limit under strong collisions. Numerical experiments demonstrate that the proposed method captures velocity-space drift and
diffusion, recovers the expected kinetic and continuum behavior across a range of Knudsen numbers, and reproduces the characteristic
evolution of collisional
plasma phenomena.
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All authors Zhigang Pu, Chang Liu, Yixiao Wang, Kun Xu
Optics · Cross-listed from quant-ph
Thresholdless dynamical instability in transverse $\mathcal{PT}$-symmetric scattering systems: The hidden role of bound states in the continuum
Chao Zheng
The stationary scattering properties of transverse parity-time ($\mathcal{PT}$) symmetric systems have been extensively studied, yet their dynamical stability, a prerequisite for any stationary description, remains largely unexplored. Here we uncover a thresholdless dynamical instability in such systems, driven by
symmetry-protected bound states in the continuum (BICs). Without gain and loss, the up-down mirror
symmetry of the transverse geometry generically protects a BIC, which manifests as the coalescence of an $S$-
matrix pole and zero on the real axis of the complex wave-number plane. A Hermitian
symmetry-breaking perturbation shifts the poles into the lower half-plane, converting the BIC into a resonance with a
Fermi-golden-rule decay width. An anti-Hermitian $\mathcal{PT}$-symmetric perturbation instead reverses the sign of the second-order energy shift, driving the poles into the upper half-plane and producing a time-growing bound state with $\operatorname{Im}E=\gamma^{2}\Gamma_{V}/2+O(\gamma^{3})$, where $\gamma$ is the gain-loss strength and $\Gamma_{V}$ is the golden-rule coupling of the BIC to the continuum. The instability therefore sets in at arbitrarily small $\gamma$ whenever $\Gamma_{V}>0$. We confirm this mechanism in a three-site side-coupled model that is unstable despite possessing a
unitary scattering
matrix, and in a four-site rhombic model where transverse and longitudinal gain-loss placements yield vanishing and finite thresholds, respectively. These results establish a microscopic stability criterion and a design principle for stable $\mathcal{PT}$-symmetric scattering devices.
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Fluid Dynamics
Competing instabilities in wide-gap viscoelastic Taylor-Couette flow: Taylor vs. helical vortices
Alexander Proskurin
This paper presents a numerical study of the stability of a
polymer solution flow between concentric cylinders with a rotating inner cylinder. The case of a small-radius inner cylinder is considered. The fluid motion is described using a specific case of the Kelvin-Voigt model, often referred to as the Oskolkov model. This model is applicable to very dilute
polymer solutions, where the retardation time is much smaller than the characteristic time of the problem and elastic forces are much smaller than viscous forces. The stability of the steady-state motion is investigated using a fully nonlinear approach by means of direct numerical simulation of a perturbation introduced as finite-duration white noise. Depending on the Reynolds number, the perturbation either decays or grows. The critical Reynolds numbers obtained for both Newtonian and non-Newtonian fluids are found to be in agreement with the predictions of the linear theory. It is also shown that an increase in the elastic forces makes helical perturbations more dangerous than their axisymmetric counterparts.
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Optics
Programmable generation of optical skyrmions on a silicon photonic chip
Mingyuan Zhang, Xiaofu Pan, Wu Zhou et al. (+6 more)
Optical skyrmions, characterized by topologically stable and spatially varying polarization textures, show immense potential for robust optical communications and metrology. However, conventional methods for generating optical Stokes skyrmions rely on bulky free-space optics, strictly constraining both system miniaturization and dynamic reconfigurability. Here, we demonstrate the efficient and programmable generation of optical skyrmions and bimerons using a compact silicon photonic chip. By integrating a programmable Mach–Zehnder interferometer mesh with a multi-dimensional grating emitter, we dynamically control the amplitudes, phases, and polarizations of emitted fundamental and orbital angular momentum modes. This architecture allows on-demand electrical switching among a complete library of optical quasi-particle states, including Néel, Bloch, intermediate, and anti-type skyrmions and bimerons. Experimental full-Stokes polarimetry confirms high-fidelity polarization textures with near-unity skyrmion numbers. Our foundry-compatible platform translates complex topological light generation into simple voltage controls, paving the way for next-generation communication and sensing systems based on optical skyrmions.
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All authors Mingyuan Zhang, Xiaofu Pan, Wu Zhou, Wenzhang Tian, Zengqi Chen, Yiou Cui, Yijie Shen, Yeyu Tong, Jianqi Hu
Physics and Society
Integrating adaptive human behavior into epidemic models with large language models
Yicheng Mao, Haoyang Li, Rob Deardon et al. (+1 more)
Infectious disease transmission is shaped by patterns of human interaction, which adapt as epidemic conditions change. Capturing these context-dependent behaviors remains a fundamental challenge for epidemic models. Here, we recast this challenge by using large
language models (LLMs) to represent adaptive human behavior within mechanistic epidemic models. We operationalize this idea through Generative Adaptive Behavioral Layer for Epidemics (GABLE), which adapts LLMs to infer behavioral responses to epidemic and policy conditions and translates them into age-structured contact
matrices coupled to a mechanistic epidemic model. Applied to COVID-19 in France, GABLE reproduced responses in population mixing and age-specific contact structures that remained epidemiologically informative. In short-term
forecasting, LLM-generated contact
matrices outperformed mobility-driven
matrices derived from real-world mobility data, with the largest gains at longer horizons. GABLE also extends beyond
forecasting to prospective policy evaluation by projecting behavioral and epidemic responses to candidate interventions before implementation. When supplied with subsequently implemented policies, GABLE reproduced epidemic trajectories and generated distinct responses to alternative policy timing and composition. By leveraging LLMs as a flexible behavioral layer, GABLE provides a framework for coupling context-sensitive behavioral generation with epidemic dynamics.
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All authors Yicheng Mao, Haoyang Li, Rob Deardon, Hongru Du
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
Python-Fortran Hybrid Programming to Fuse AI and Physical Models: Examples of AI-LDA in climate and weather models (Hf2pMDA_v1.0)
Xianrui Zhu, Zikuan Lin, Shaoqing Zhang et al. (+12 more)
AI provides an unprecedented opportunity for advancing physics numerical modeling including data assimilation, which is a highly efficient and critically-important tool for advancing our understanding on Earth system and its applications. At the same time, deep incorporation of AI and physical modeling can make great driving to advance AI by injecting it rich physics from long time physics-based modeling development. However, since such physics models are conventionally coded in Fortran and AI
algorithms usually are conveniently designed in Python, difficulties exist to directly incorporate AI
algorithms into physics models, vice versa. Here, based on the F2PY protocol, we have developed a procedure that implements an infrastructure which conveniently conducts Hf2pMDA to form a program entity so that AI
algorithms and physical models can invoke mutually. As examples, within Hf2pMDA, a
climate coupled data assimilation (CDA) system is naturally upgraded to a strongly CDA (SCDA) system, and a 1 km high-resolution weather DA system is conveniently implemented within a multi-layer downscaling model that has multiscale DA in different nesting layers. In the
climate SCDA system, a coupled general circulation model (CGCM) and a multiscale filtering
algorithm is integrated by a Python main controller (PMC) that calls Fortran CGCM components and Weakly-CDA modules as well as a data-trained SCDA
algorithm by latent space autoencoder in Python. In the high-resolution weather DA system, the downscaled model consisting of traditional Fortran DA modules in all mother domains and Python AE DA
algorithm in the central child domain is integrated by a PMC that organizes these components. With convenient realization of deep incorporation of any AI
algorithm and physics model, the Hf2pMDA has a great potential to make progress on both AI and scientific modeling.
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All authors Xianrui Zhu, Zikuan Lin, Shaoqing Zhang, Zebin Lu, Songhua Wu, Xiangyun Hou, Zhisheng Xiao, Zhicheng Ren, Jiangyu Li, Jing Xu, Yang Gao, Rixu Hao, Xiaolin Yu, Mingkui Li, Guangliang Liu