Biomolecules
Where Should Physics Enter a Molecular Crystal Generator?
Haocheng Tang, Junmei Wang and Wengong Jin
Generative models make molecular
crystal structure prediction fast, but their samples still exhibit
geometric and packing violations. Physics can be introduced during training, post-training, or inference, yet these choices are rarely compared with the generator and physical signal held fixed. We introduce CrystAF, an all-atom
crystal flow-map generation model, and use it with the UMA interatomic potential to systematically study where physics should enter. Post-training learns physical preferences directly into CrystAF, improving molecular validity and
crystal packing while leaving sampling unchanged: physics is paid for once during training rather than repeatedly at deployment. In contrast, UMA relaxation is effective at repairing local clashes but makes generation 6–26$\times$ slower, while learning from relaxed targets provides little benefit. These routes are complementary rather than competing. Physics-informed post-training first shifts the generated distribution toward more physically reasonable structures, after which inexpensive inference-time corrections further remove clashes and restore stereochemistry that the generator cannot represent. Importantly, the same post-training strategy also improves the multi-step all-atom Clari-M and rigid-body MolCrystalFlow generators, demonstrating transfer across architectures and representations. Together, our results suggest a simple principle: learn reusable physical
alignment into the generator, and reserve inference-time physics for residual constraints that are better corrected than learned.
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Neurons and Cognition
Receptive-field-constrained stimulus optimization for human early and intermediate visual cortex
Junru Zhao, Hanfei Guo, Andrew Luo et al. (+1 more)
An ongoing challenge in sensory neuroscience is to characterize the feature dimensions encoded by cortical populations. Recent approaches probe feature selectivity in a data-driven way, by synthesizing a most-exciting-input (MEI) for a target neural population. While this approach has been successfully applied to human higher visual cortex using fMRI data, generating MEIs for early- and mid-level retinotopic visual areas requires additional modeling constraints due to small receptive field sizes. To address this challenge, we introduce two novel MEI generation frameworks, Receptive Field
Diffusion for Visual Exploration (RF-DiVE) and Receptive Field Gradient Optimization (RF-GO). Both methods use a population receptive field (pRF)-constrained voxelwise encoding model; RF-DiVE combines this with a pretrained latent
diffusion model, while RF-GO uses regularized gradient ascent. When applied to single voxels in retinotopically defined areas V1-hV4, using data from the Natural Scenes
Dataset, we obtain MEIs that exhibit consistent structure within the pRF, suggesting selectivity for local features like contour, color, and texture. We systematically compare MEIs generated by RF-DiVE and RF-GO using two encoding backbones, performing in-silico validation of predicted responses to MEIs using independent encoding models. Across all methods and all visual areas, MEIs elicit higher model-predicted responses than the most activating natural images. We further find that the choice of generation framework and encoding backbone differentially affects MEI properties, including their visual appearance, structural interpretability, and cross-model generalizability. These results offer a new approach for performing data-driven characterization of spatial and feature selectivity across human visual cortex.
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All authors Junru Zhao, Hanfei Guo, Andrew Luo, Margaret M. Henderson
Neurons and Cognition
Cross-attention encoding models reveal dynamic spatiotemporal routing across human higher visual cortex
Iishaan Inabathini and Margaret M. Henderson
Understanding how the
brain parses actions and events from time-varying natural inputs is a central challenge in neuroscience. Recent work has used deep neural network (DNN) models to build stimulus-computable fMRI encoding models that predict single-voxel responses to complex natural
videos. However, the majority of
video-computable encoding models predict responses using simple linear mappings from model
tokens, overlooking the spatiotemporal structure shared by
video representations and neural responses. Recent cross-
attention encoding models address this limitation for static images, enabling flexible stimulus-dependent weighting of image content across space. Here, we extend this framework to naturalistic
video, using per-parcel cross-
attention to dynamically route features from a self-supervised
video model (V-JEPA-2) across both space and time, fitting this model to fMRI responses to short
video clips. We compare joint spatiotemporal
attention with factorized and selectively constrained alternatives, and find that joint routing improves predictions of
brain responses to held-out
videos across higher visual regions, most consistently in lateral and dorsal visual areas associated with dynamic motion perception. Moreover, our method provides interpretable, stimulus-specific
attention maps that dynamically follow moving objects, revealing which locations and temporal moments contribute to each neural response. We further show that
attention maps from parcels in different category-selective networks (face-, body-, scene-selective) differentially weight content in accordance with expected semantic selectivity. Together, this work provides a new computational framework for understanding how visual information is adaptively weighted by cortical populations during dynamic visual perception.
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Biomolecules · Cross-listed from cs.LG
Explainability from Training with Applications to TCR-Epitope Prediction
Jiarui Li, Zixiang Yin, Samuel Landry et al. (+2 more)
Deep learning models have achieved strong performance in artificial intelligence for science, yet their black-box nature limits our understanding of how they learn scientific tasks. Existing methods for interpretability provide limited insight into how models organize evidence and evolve during learning. We introduce explainability from training (EFT), a model-agnostic paradigm that traces model interpretation during training to explain why models rely on specific features and how they organize these features as predictive evidence. We apply EFT to four state-of-the-art T
cell receptor (TCR)-epitope prediction models, TCR-SRIM, TULIP, MixTCRpred, and NetTCR-2.2, spanning post-hoc and interpret-by-design approaches as well as
transformers and CNNs. To investigate how structural information affects model explanations, we introduce a
benchmark, TCR-XAI2, containing 388 unique experimentally resolved TCR-epitope structures, complemented by structures predicted using AlphaFold3, Boltz-2, TCRModel2, tFold-TCR, and OpenFold3. Using EFT with TCR-XAI2, we demonstrate that (1) CNN and
transformer models exhibit distinct learning trajectories; (2) TCR $\alpha$ and $\beta$ evidence can conflict during learning, limiting the benefits of jointly modeling both chains, while MHC information mitigates this; and (3) real versus predicted structural data for TCR-epitope prediction exhibits distinct TCR and peptide feature preferences as well as differing trajectories of model certainty.
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All authors Jiarui Li, Zixiang Yin, Samuel Landry, Zhengming Ding, Ramgopal Mettu
Quantitative Methods
Gel-Confined Rolling-Circle Amplification Enables Sensitive Single-Cell Proteoform Analysis
Luyao Zhao, Yanjun Yang, Yaochao Zheng et al. (+14 more)
Protein abundance alone does not capture the molecular diversity generated by
protein processing and post-translational modification, yet most single-
cell protein assays do not resolve these proteoform states. Here, we develop RCAmp-scWB, a post-separation amplification strategy that performs rolling-circle amplification directly within the polyacrylamide gel after single-
cell protein electrophoresis. Reaction-transport modeling identifies a balance between reagent access and confinement of the template-associated amplification product that supports signal amplification while retaining the electrophoretically encoded spatial readout. Using purified
protein standards, RCAmp-scWB produced a 4.0-7.8-fold steeper concentration-response slope than conventional single-
cell western blotting. Across six human cancer
cell lines, RCAmp-scWB quantified
protein abundance and resolved distinct Vimentin and PD-L1 proteoform states whose relative abundance and single-
cell distributions were not captured by total
protein measurements alone. Extension to individual small extracellular vesicles further revealed source-dependent shifts in Vimentin proteoform composition despite comparatively similar abundance of one major Vimentin species. By separating electrophoretic molecular discrimination from signal amplification, RCAmp-scWB enables proteoform-resolved analysis of heterogeneous
cells and small extracellular vesicles.
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All authors Luyao Zhao, Yanjun Yang, Yaochao Zheng, Yuhao Zhang, Zhengfu Huang, William Teng, Lucas Yatcyshyn, Jiahwei Cheong, Jonathan Arnold, Jin Xie, Kenan Song, Xianqiao Wang, Yiping Zhao, Xianyan Chen, Yao Yao, Leidong Mao, Yang Liu
Neurons and Cognition
Socio-cognitive models in a patch foraging setting: a case study for model selection and parameter identifiability methods
Lisa Blum Moyse and Ahmed El Hady
Collective patch-foraging experiments in the laboratory provide a controlled setting in which social information use can be quantified. Here, we consider a go/no-go task in which groups choose between two patches differing in food reward probability. We use
agent-based simulations, underpinned by an augmented collective drift-
diffusion model, to investigate alternative mechanisms for representing and integrating social information. We consider two representations, continuous (counting representation) and discrete (pulsatile representation), and two integration mechanisms, biasing the decision threshold (threshold modulation) and modifying the accumulated belief (belief modulation), yielding four distinct social models, in addition to a non-interacting model. We first characterize the collective dynamics generated by these models across cognitive parameters and experimental conditions. The temporal dynamics of group accuracy provide informative signatures of the underlying mechanisms. We then assess model selection and parameter identifiability using
Bayesian inference and Wasserstein distance minimization, applied to group-accuracy and departure-time distributions.
Bayesian inference using distributions of group accuracy provides the most reliable identification across the conditions considered. Importantly, model selection and parameter identifiability are associated with different aspects of collective behavior: model selection is closely linked to the presence of oscillations in the temporal dynamics, whereas parameter identifiability is more closely related to the global accuracy value. Thus, the information available for distinguishing the underlying cognitive mechanisms is not necessarily the same as that required to recover their parameters. Our results further show that identification depends not only on model structure but also on the experimental conditions.
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Neurons and Cognition
Better Behavioral Prediction, More Faithful Model Ablations? Evidence from Sequential Choice
Hanbo Xie
Using predictive models to explain cognition requires more than accurate behavioral predictions. Input ablations offer an appealing route: remove information from a model and interpret the resulting performance change as evidence of its importance for behavior. Yet this inference assumes that the model's dependence on information reflects the dependence of the process generating the behavior. We test it in two synthetic sequential bandit tasks with known generating policies, where past choices can remain informative when feedback is unavailable to a predictor. We compare GRUs and
Transformers trained from scratch, a fine-tuned LLaMA model, and cognitive models across systematically varied reward contributions. Our analyses distinguish prediction after training without reward observations from the response of a fixed predictor to donor-reward replacement. Three findings emerge. First, in the restless task, neural models trained without rewards predict held-out choices better than four simple training-fitted behavioral baselines. Second, under matched donor replacement, accurate predictors can respond much less than the known generator. Third, at some reward weights, neural networks predict better than a pooled reinforcement-learning model but have less faithful changes in choice probabilities; the model ordering differs between the two tasks. These independent-test results separate information sufficient for prediction from response fidelity under a specified ablation in sequential choice. They motivate validating model-ablation responses independently of predictive performance before using them to infer how the observed behavior was generated.
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Quantitative Methods · Cross-listed from cs.AI
Mirror-Score: Calibrated, Inference-only Scoring Exposes the Limits of Sequence-compatibility Ranking in D-peptide Design
Jiada Li
D-peptides combine protease resistance with high target specificity, but computational design of D-peptide binders remains immature. Mirror-Peptidizer introduced an in silico mirror-image screening pipeline using target reflection, backbone generation, and ProteinMPNN sequence design, but its raw ProteinMPNN negative log-likelihood (NLL) ranking was not validated against measured affinities, and only 4 of 9 tested MDM2 designs bound detectably. We introduce Mirror-Score, a calibrated, inference-only scoring framework for heterochiral D-peptide/L-
protein complexes, and a public
benchmark of 31
crystal complexes across four target families, including 18 with literature-verified affinities. Raw ProteinMPNN NLL is not a valid affinity ranker: its pooled Spearman correlation with affinity is 0.19, and correlations reverse between MDM2/CHIP (+0.62) and gp41 (-0.70). We therefore evaluate Boltz-2 mirror-space cofolding confidence. For the complete viral-entry family (7 structures representing 3 peptides), interface predicted local distance difference test (pLDDT) achieves structure-level leave-one-out Spearman rho = 0.90 (p = 0.006) and correctly orders all three peptides by affinity, whereas NLL fails (structure-level rho = 0.18). Because only three independent chemotypes are represented, this result indicates directional consistency rather than a statistically validated predictor. Cross-family calibration does not transfer at current sample sizes, supporting family-matched calibration as the practical deployment mode. We also specify a prospective design protocol for the antimicrobial-resistance targets LasR and LecB from Pseudomonas aeruginosa, including mirrored structures, ligand-derived hotspot maps,
diffusion-model-ready inputs, and Mirror-Score ranking. Code,
benchmark data, structures, and analysis scripts are openly available at https://github.com/Jiadalee/Mirror-Score.
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Populations and Evolution
Failure of the fittest: limits on asexual adaptation to changing environments
Rebekah Hall, Raphael Forien, Matthew M Osmond et al. (+1 more)
The dynamics of adaptation in a population are informed by its mode of reproduction. Whether individuals reproduce sexually or asexually, then, can have large effects on population persistence and extinction in changing environments. Classical theory explains this dependence via genetic variance without further accounting for a fundamentally different mode of inheritance. Recent theoretical advances capture these mechanisms, highlighting how they dramatically change the nature of adaptation in gradually changing environments. Here we show that these recent predictions, which assume infinite-population sizes, are overly optimistic about the fate of finite asexual populations when environmental change is rapid. This is because every individual in an infinite asexual population descends from a once optimal ancestor and the likelihood of finding this optimal individual in the population declines rapidly with population size. To predict the fate of finite asexual populations we derive the
equilibrium phenotypic distribution assuming there exist no individuals beyond some unknown trait. As expected, we find that when the phenotypic distribution contains the optimal trait, the population's fate is consistent with previous predictions. When the optimal trait is lost, however, an additional fitness load is incurred. We further derive a prediction for the typical trajectory of an ancestral lineage, which explains the additional load: all individuals descend from a common ancestor carrying the fittest trait, which may be suboptimal. Our work uncovers a finite-population effect that is specific to asexual adaptation and distinct from genetic drift, which significantly hinders the ability of small asexual populations to persist in changing environments.
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All authors Rebekah Hall, Raphael Forien, Matthew M Osmond, Vincent Calvez
Populations and Evolution
Bacteriophage Q$\beta$: Six Decades at the Frontier of Molecular and Viral Evolution
Ester Lázaro and Susanna Manrubia
Bacteriophage Q$\beta$, first isolated in 1961, has served for more than six decades as a model system for molecular and viral
evolution. The development of
cell-free replication systems based on the Q$\beta$ replicase enabled the first demonstrations of Darwinian
evolution in RNA molecules. In parallel, the phage's compact RNA genome, high mutation rate, and ease of propagation established Q$\beta$ as an exceptionally tractable model for studying viral
evolution. The discovery of extensive genetic heterogeneity made of Q$\beta$ the first biological system in which molecular quasispecies theory found direct experimental support. Building on this foundation, decades of
evolution experiments under thermal, ecological, and mutagenic pressures established how mutation, selection, epistasis, and population structure jointly shape adaptive trajectories. Deep sequencing has recently allowed the mutant spectrum of Q$\beta$ populations to be resolved as large, structured genotype networks, revealing a hierarchical organization around dominant sequences that generalizes classical mutation-selection balance to a dynamic process, and uncovering topological features shared with RNA viruses evolving within natural hosts. In parallel, the catalytic core of the Q$\beta$ replication system has been repurposed in synthetic biology to revive
cell-free Darwinian
evolution within compartmentalized,
cell-like systems, opening new avenues for studying the origin and early
evolution of life. Further recent work has pushed the phage into new experimental territories, including extreme, astrobiologically relevant environments and biotechnological platforms for peptide display. Together, these developments illustrate how a single bacteriophage has repeatedly anticipated and continues to clarify general principles of molecular, population, and ecological
evolution.
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Neurons and Cognition · Cross-listed from cs.LG
NeuronSifter: An Agent-in-Twin for Prioritizing Central Nervous System Interventions with World Action Models
Haowei Xu, Wanyi Fu, Hongbin Han et al. (+1 more)
Effective central nervous system (CNS) intervention requires more than predicting biological responses: a scientific system must determine which intervention, observation, or additional evidence can improve a decision under uncertainty. However, in partially observed neuronal microenvironments, identical predicted outcomes may correspond to different exposure states, biological mechanisms, and intervention risks. We propose NeuronSifter, a decision-centric
Agent-in-Twin framework, where an AI
agent operates with an evolving biological digital twin rather than a fixed predictive model. NeuronSifter compiles interventions into state-conditional target-occupancy representations, propagates them through a mechanism-grounded World Action Model (WAM), and selects informative measurements based on their expected reduction in decision uncertainty. A shared probabilistic belief state couples intervention simulation, observation selection, and outcome assimilation, enabling the digital twin to continuously refine its decision-relevant representations through externally verified evidence. We evaluate NeuronSifter in Alzheimer's disease intervention scenarios using mechanistic neuronal microenvironment simulations and retrospective clinical endpoint references. The evaluation framework examines adaptive evidence acquisition, uncertainty-aware intervention planning, and robustness under model discrepancy through controlled environments and independent comparisons. NeuronSifter demonstrates how an AI system can actively identify missing evidence, refine biological hypotheses, and optimize intervention decisions under limited experimental budgets. Code is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/NeuronSifter.
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All authors Haowei Xu, Wanyi Fu, Hongbin Han, Zhaoheng Xie
Quantitative Methods
An integrated geometric quantification and shape analysis framework for axillary lymph node metastasis in breast cancer patients
Zixi Yi, Limeng Qu and Gary P. T. Choi
Quantitative characterization of lymph node morphology is important for assessing axillary lymph node metastasis in breast cancer. However, surfaces reconstructed from computed
tomography (CT) segmentation may contain
geometric and topological defects that compromise subsequent analysis, while conventional shape descriptors predominantly characterize global morphology. To address these issues, we developed an integrated framework combining
topology-aware surface processing with multi-resolution spherical harmonic (SH) analysis of CT-derived axillary lymph nodes. The processing pipeline produced
topology-valid genus-0 surfaces with improved mesh quality, which were then represented at multiple SH degrees and characterized using 20 predefined
geometric feature families.
Geometric fidelity increased with SH degree, whereas predictive performance peaked at intermediate resolutions. Preferred SH degree also differed across feature families. A family-specific mixed-resolution model achieved an AUC of 0.918, compared with 0.884 for the conventional PyRadiomics Shape14 baseline, corresponding to an improvement of 0.0344. Controlled perturbation experiments showed that higher SH degrees transmitted more fine-scale
geometric variation and yielded lower stability of
curvature-based predictions. Representative
geometric descriptors provided interpretable characterization of metastasis-associated surface morphology. Independent validation further supported the framework's transportability: label-free replication in a multicenter lymph node cohort reproduced the family-specific resolution effects, while a labeled LIDC-IDRI lung-nodule experiment reproduced the resolution-dependent relationship between SH degree and predictive performance. Altogether, the framework provides a
topology-valid basis for quantitative characterization of lymph node morphology and metastasis-associated imaging phenotypes.
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Neurons and Cognition · Cross-listed from cs.LG
NeuronDiscover: Agent-in-Twin for Mechanistic Discovery in Neuronal Microenvironments with World Action Models
Haowei Xu, Wanyi Fu, Hongbin Han et al. (+1 more)
Mechanistic discovery in neuronal microenvironments requires interventions and measurements that separate competing explanations of solute transport and neuronal response. Predictive accuracy cannot settle the question: a real mechanistic change and an error in the computational twin leave the same signature in sparse observations. We formalize this twin confounding and reason over a joint mechanism–discrepancy belief, designing experiments that separate the two. NeuronDiscover is an
Agent-in-Twin framework whose shared, mechanism-grounded World Action Model (WAM) couples prediction, intervention proposals, and observation design; independently adjudicated outcomes revise a scoped Mechanism–Intervention–Observation–Outcome (MIOY) graph, whose supported relations compile into executable programs carrying discrepancy-adjusted acceptance bounds. We evaluate on simulated
brain-fluid tracer-transport worlds adjudicated by an independently frozen finer-mesh reference solver, and on donor-disjoint public current-clamp recordings of cortical
neurons. Counting only relations that reach a certified terminal status, and scoring abstentions as unresolved for every method, at a matched budget of 16 experiments over 32 source units NeuronDiscover resolves 4.0 relations per assigned world against 3.4 for the strongest baseline and 3.2 without graph revision, at 5% false support and 82% scope accuracy. Joint mechanism–discrepancy acquisition resolves 3.8 relations versus 2.9 for plug-in expected information gain; discrepancy-adjusted verification lowers accepted-program failure from 15% to 9% at 60% acceptance coverage; and transfer to the recordings yields 1.94 versus 1.53 relations per assigned world. Correctness is adjudicated within declared model worlds and archival recordings.
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All authors Haowei Xu, Wanyi Fu, Hongbin Han, Zhaoheng Xie
Quantitative Methods
Uncertainty Quantification in Cardiac Model Personalisation from Ultrafast Ultrasound
Camilla Ferrario, Maelys Venet, Olivier Villemain et al. (+1 more)
Cardiac model personalisation requires inferring mechanical parameters that are not directly measurable in vivo. Ultrafast ultrasound shear wave elastography (SWE) enables non-invasive tracking of myocardial stiffness dynamics over the cardiac cycle, providing a target for personalisation. However, mapping these observations to subject specific model parameters remains ill-posed, as multiple parameter sets can reproduce the same stiffness dynamics. We formulate SWE-informed personalisation as a statistical inference problem using simulation-based inference (SBI). Using a subject-adapted 0D cardiovascular model and neural posterior estimation, we estimate model-conditional posterior distributions over active stiffness scale k0, contraction rate kATP, and relaxation rate kSR, conditioned on SWE-derived curve features and subject specific context. Among six healthy volunteers, four passed objective prior-support diagnostics and were retained for quantitative posterior analysis. Curve-level RMSE against the observed SWE target decreased from 12.61 $\pm$ 5.55 kPa for the prior predictive median to 1.14 $\pm$ 0.38 kPa for the posterior predictive median, an 89.7 $\pm$ 4.2% reduction. Posterior analysis revealed parameter-specific uncertainty, k0-kATP compensation, weaker constraint of kSR, and the importance of prior-predictive diagnostics for assessing whether each subject is represented within the modelled SWE feature space. These results support SBI for uncertainty aware SWE-based personalisation, while identifying prior support and forward-model adequacy as key diagnostics.
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All authors Camilla Ferrario, Maelys Venet, Olivier Villemain, Maxime Sermesant
Neurons and Cognition
High-rank connectivity scaffolds support precision and generalisation in recurrent neural networks
Ian Hawes and Matt Nolan
A major challenge in neuroscience and machine learning is to connect single-
neuron influence, population dynamics, and
circuit connectivity in a causal account of computation. Much previous work has shown that low-rank connectivity can generate low-dimensional dynamics in trained artificial neural networks, but this leaves unclear the functional relevance of the higher-rank structure of biological neural
circuits and many artificial neuronal networks. Here we analyse recurrent neural networks trained to locate rewards by integrating continuously varying speed inputs in one- and two-dimensional spatial tasks. We find that dominant low-dimensional dynamics encode task locations, and can be causally manipulated to instruct behavioural outcomes. However, after decomposing the underlying circuitry we found that while low-rank connectivity accounts for the low-dimensional dynamics, accurate performance and generalisation to novel speed distributions requires high-rank connectivity. We demonstrate that this is achieved through distributed signalling that corrects errors in low-dimensional location representations. Thus, combined perturbation-, representation-, and
circuit-level analyses demonstrate a novel mechanism for robust spatial computation and show how high-rank connectivity in neural
circuits can provide a scaffold that supports precision and generalisation.
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Populations and Evolution · Cross-listed from physics.soc-ph
Hybrid epidemic simulation framework coupling equation-based and individual-based models
Jaeyoung Kwak, Michael H. Lees, Chin Chun Ooi et al. (+1 more)
Mass gathering events like concerts, sports matches, and festivals bring many people into close contact within a short period, creating localized bursts of infection that can shape epidemic outcomes across an entire city. To evaluate how these transient transmission events translate into broader urban impacts, we developed a simulation model linking event-scale contact dynamics with citywide commuting networks. Using Madrid, Spain, as a case study, we compared several types of gatherings and examined how their effects changed under different levels of disease transmissibility. We found that mass gatherings consistently amplified outbreak magnitude, accelerated progression, advanced district-level arrival times, and synchronized spatial spread. Remarkably, while the initial seed size generated at the event accounted for much of this acceleration, post-event transmission conditions provided complementary predictive signal regarding invasion timing. These findings demonstrate that mitigating transmission during mass gatherings can yield downstream public health benefits by delaying broader spatial spread. More generally, this multiscale framework offers a tool to evaluate how temporary, localized contact shifts produce longer-lasting consequences for urban populations.
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All authors Jaeyoung Kwak, Michael H. Lees, Chin Chun Ooi, Wentong Cai
Quantitative Methods · Cross-listed from cs.AI
DoAtlas-2: A Foundation for Self-Evolving Causal Biomedical Discovery
Yulong Li, Rong Xia, Yuxuan Zhang et al. (+12 more)
We introduce DoAtlas-2, a foundation for self-evolving causal biomedical discovery that organizes knowledge around causal mechanisms and advances through external evidence from human populations. DoAtlas-2 integrates 771 research resources covering more than 720,000 participants in 48 countries, from longitudinal clinical phenotypes, medical imaging, and continuous physiological signals to eight molecular layers, together with an evidence network of approximately 4.7 million literature-derived records over 93,566 concepts and 149,383 candidate causal relations. DoAtlas-2 autonomously formulates research questions from evidence gaps and unresolved mechanisms, prespecifies their causal designs, and generates validated analyses. Supporting, challenging, and unresolved results continuously revise mechanistic interpretations, the causal evidence state, and the discovery frontier, so that DoAtlas-2 self-evolves within a closed loop of hypothesis generation, empirical testing, and renewed discovery. DoAtlas-2 has systematically evaluated 2,031 research questions. In the Human Phenotype Project (HPP), it formulated 4,014 candidate pathway questions across vascular, early-glycemic, and hepatic-metabolic systems, and screening of the first 1,079 yielded statistical support for 756. Representative studies identify blood pressure as a convergence node linking adiposity, hepatic, and lipid phenotypes to vascular outcomes, and show that an adiposity-inflammation-blood-pressure pathway is largely attenuated by joint adjustment for body mass index (BMI) and smoking. The discovered vascular network constitutes a completely interpretable predictive foundation, admitting exact attribution of every prediction and closed-form mediation effects. DoAtlas-2 thereby unifies causal mechanism discovery, population-evidence testing, and interpretable prediction within one continuously evolving foundation.
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All authors Yulong Li, Rong Xia, Yuxuan Zhang, Jianxu Chen, Xiwei Liu, Haochen Xue, Maosheng Li, Yuhang Liu, Yibo Yuan, Yutong Xie, Chong Li, Jionglong Su, Hagai Rossman, Eran Segal, Imran Razzak
Biomolecules
Continuous Variational Synthesis
Alan N. Amin, Mattia G. Gollub, Andrei Slabodkin et al. (+2 more)
Biological machine learning was long bottlenecked by the ability to synthesize designed DNA. Variational synthesis models control chemical reactions to physically manufacture quadrillions of designed sequences in DNA. However, training these generative models is challenging: constraints on chemical synthesis can force many parameters into a discrete space, limiting the ability to pre-train and fine-tune. In this article we train “free” variational synthesis models using
stochastic gradient descent in continuous space, and then discretize with post-training quantization to impose hardware and wetware constraints. This enables variational synthesis models to satisfy stringent reward criteria, while still synthesizing diverse designs, achieving a strictly dominating quality-diversity Pareto frontier. We demonstrate by training variational synthesis models of enzymes, peptides, antibody CDRH3s, and regulatory DNA elements. In silico performance is maintained in vitro.
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All authors Alan N. Amin, Mattia G. Gollub, Andrei Slabodkin, Elizabeth B. Wood, Eli N. Weinstein
Neurons and Cognition
Scaling Laws for EEG Decoding: How Much Data Is Enough?
José Maurício Nunes de Oliveira, Bruna J. Lopes, Léo Burgund et al. (+2 more)
Deep learning has become a cornerstone of
EEG-based
brain decoding, with a growing number of architectures proposed every day. However, how the performance of these different models scales with data volume is not clear. Although this relationship has been characterized in other fields under the name of scaling laws, it remains poorly understood in the
EEG domain. The present study addresses this gap by investigating how scan time and subject diversity affect the performance of different architectures. We evaluated five models across four
EEG datasets. Training data volume was controlled by varying both subject count and trial volume under cross-subject validation. We then fitted power-law relationships to characterize the resulting behavior. Our findings reveal that as total data volume increases, the distinction between trial and subject scaling becomes largely irrelevant. Furthermore, we show that power-law relationships are both model and
dataset-specific, yet they provide a robust descriptive framework for
EEG decoding performance. Extrapolation to larger subject pools yields RMSE values below 0.1 in most cases. Our work contributes to the literature by providing a descriptive framework for data scaling in
EEG and by demonstrating data-efficient experimental design in
EEG research.
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All authors José Maurício Nunes de Oliveira, Bruna J. Lopes, Léo Burgund, Raphael Y. Camargo, Bruno Aristimunha
Populations and Evolution
Models of Ecological Fitting
Rudy Arthur, Arwen Nicholson and David M Wilkinson
Ecological fitting describes a situation where species interact despite no shared evolutionary history. It is both a null model for adaptation and an important process in its own right, for example, the establishment of a non-native species is ecological fitting, and it is a major mechanism in the formation of Novel Ecosystems. In this paper we introduce and analyse a model of ecological fitting. We demonstrate both analytically and through simulation that the main factors determining invasion success are the invaded ecosystem's population and diversity, which set the size of the barrier for invaders. We also study the situation where many evolutionarily unrelated species simultaneously colonise an empty area. We show that a successful
equilibrium is likely to be established, but the diversity tends to be very much less than the number of species in the starting pool and discuss the implications of this.
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Neurons and Cognition · Cross-listed from cs.AI
On the Limits of Metacognitive Monitoring in LLMs
Dongqi Han, Yifan Yang and Dongsheng Li
Reliable decisions depend on recognizing when an answer may be wrong. In biological cognition, metacognitive monitoring can dissociate from task performance, raising the question of how closely solving and judging are linked in
language models. Here we study the confidence reports of four frontier models across 15
benchmarks. High task accuracy can coexist with weak error discrimination: a model solves 97% of competition mathematics problems while its answer-time confidence ranks correct answers above errors barely better than chance. Confidence separates correct answers from errors more effectively on questions solved by a separate reference model, while review brings limited improvement on reference-hard questions. Aggregate discrimination also rewards ranking correct answers on easy questions above errors on hard ones, which question-only forecasts already do well. Cross-evaluation helps most where the evaluator answered correctly, and errors shared by the two models usually retain high confidence. Hard questions and shared errors remain difficult targets for prompted self-review and peer oversight, even in models with strong problem-solving performance.
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Neurons and Cognition · Cross-listed from cs.LG
Separating personal from population gains when calibrating EEG foundation models for new users
Xilin Tao and Kani Chen
Foundation models are increasingly adapted to individual users, but an apparent personalization gain can simply reflect a stronger population model. This distinction matters for
brain-computer interfaces, where every new user must be calibrated. We evaluated personal adaptation of three frozen
EEG foundation models (CBraMod, REVE and LaBraM) in 235 held-out subjects from three motor-imagery
datasets, comparing each subject's adapter with the population model and with adapters fitted to other subjects. Using all first-half session labels, personal adapters improved mean balanced accuracy over the population model by 1.5-5.4 percentage points and outperformed exchanged adapters by 2.3-7.3 points in all nine model-
dataset combinations. The size of this benefit depended on population training: with four times the original budget, median gains remained positive (1.0-2.0 points) but were smaller for every model, and no population model reached a confirmed plateau. Acquiring the benefit cheaply was unreliable: few-label calibration was consistently non-negative on only one
dataset, and in CBraMod neither unlabeled context nor meta-learned initialization outperformed matched controls. Personalization should therefore be evaluated against both a population reference and exchanged parameters, across population-training budgets.
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Quantitative Methods · Cross-listed from cs.AI
A General Harness for Protein Foundation Model Fitness Prediction
Yang Tan, Qijia Tian, Gangyu Sun et al. (+5 more)
Accurate fitness prediction is central to
protein engineering and understanding sequence-function relationships. With advances in deep learning,
protein foundation models (PFMs) have become widely used for this task. Recent analyses, however, show that these models share preferences reflecting their training corpora, while unreliable inputs can further distort fitness predictions. Family-specific evolutionary evidence and structural context can help address these limitations by providing complementary constraints on model scores, motivating VenusREM-Harness (VRH), a general, model-agnostic, training-free
Retrieval-Enhanced Mutation harness. It fuses frozen model scores with multiple sequence
alignment (MSA) evidence according to model uncertainty, then applies gated background correction and score shrinkage based on structural confidence and solvent exposure. Across 1,211 assays and 3.1 million measured variants from ProteinGym, VenusMutHub, and the newly curated viral
benchmark VenusViroHub, all 71 configurations improve Spearman correlation on all 3
benchmarks by 0.073 on average, with broad gains across 5 metrics. Extended analyses relate
retrieval gains to model-MSA preference differences, assess domain-level gains and immune-escape cases, and quantify computational speedups. Built with VRH, VenusREM2 is the first to rank highest in all function, taxon, MSA-depth, and mutation-depth categories, with a ProteinGym Average Spearman of 0.556, 0.038 above the prior best.
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All authors Yang Tan, Qijia Tian, Gangyu Sun, Bozitao Zhong, Mingchen Li, Yuanxi Yu, Nanqing Dong, Liang Hong
Biomolecules · Cross-listed from physics.bio-ph
DNA geometry around highly transcribed bacterial genes
Marc Joyeux
Recent high-resolution (500 bp) Hi-C experiments reported contact maps with unusual patterns around highly expressed bacterial DNA loci. These patterns, described as arched stripes and bundled domains, extend over nearly 100 kbp. We performed Brownian Dynamics simulations with a specially designed coarse-grained model to rationalize these findings. The main feature of the model is that it takes explicitly into account the waves of positive (respectively, negative) supercoiling generated by the translocating polymerase downstream (respectively, upstream) of its position. Contact maps computed from the simulations also display the arched stripe and bundled domain patterns for above-threshold values of the rate of twist injection. Computed DNA conformations indicate that these patterns reflect an extraordinarily entangled DNA geometry, which involves both plectonemic and toroidal supercoiling, with some DNA segments experiencing both of them simultaneously. Moreover, DNA segments located on each side of the polymerase systematically wind around tracts located on the other side, which is a purely out-of-
equilibrium effect driven by the continuous injection of twist. The present work therefore reveals that repeated transcription of a DNA locus systematically brings into contact DNA segments separated by several tens of kbp, which may eventually contribute to allosteric modulation and long-range communication.
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