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Electrical Engineering and Systems Science

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Sunday 5 April

Signal Processing

Wireless Energy Transfer from Space to Ground via Satellite Constellation Grids

This letter presents a framework for space-to-ground wireless energy transfer (WET) for wirelessly chargeable devices (WCD) located in remote areas or disaster situations. We consider a grid of multi-antenna satellites that charge a WCD within line-of-sight. Closed-form expressions for harvested energy are derived considering maximum ratio transmission (MRT) ensuring that the WCD meets its circuit charging threshold $P_{th}$. Simulations elucidate that milli-joule-level energy can be harvested during satellite grid visibility, with charging efficiency influenced by the number of satellites, their altitude, charging frequency, and grid inclination.
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All authors Mohammad Shehab, Osmel M. Rosabal, Onel L. A. Lopez, Mohamed-Slim Alouini

Signal Processing

Joint Shape-Position Optimization Enhanced 2D DOA Estimation in Movable Antenna Systems

Movable Antenna (MA) technology is emerging as a promising advancement with the potential to significantly enhance the performance of future wireless communication and sensing systems. In this paper, we address two-dimensional (2D) direction of arrival (DOA) estimation via joint shape-position optimization. Specifically, we formulate an optimization problem aimed at minimizing the Cramér-Rao Bound (CRB) based on a 2D DOA estimation model for MA systems. To tackle the highly non-convex nature of this CRB minimization, we investigate the spatial utilization of the movable region (MR) under minimum antenna spacing constraints. By demonstrating that an equilateral triangle yields the minimum overlap area, we strategically design an equilateral triangular MR. This specific geometric configuration enables the exploitation of structural symmetry to simplify the geometric constraints, which effectively reduces the complexity of solving the optimization problem. Subsequently, we derive the optimal MA positions by selecting the candidate locations farthest from the centroid of MR. The results demonstrate that the proposed joint shape-position optimization substantially enhances 2D DOA estimation performance.
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All authors Chengzhi Ye, Ruoyu Zhang, Lei Yao, Wen Wu

Systems and Control

Assessing Maintenance of Medium Voltage Cable Networks Under Time-Varying Loading

The electrification and ongoing energy transition lead to systematic changes in electricity loading and variability in power systems. Distribution systems were designed for regular operating patterns, assuming constant low loading. Now, operators need to assess whether their assets can withstand more, as well as time-varying loading. Operating the system at or near its ampacity potentially accelerates thermal ageing, so the question arises: 'how much can one operate at the limits while keeping maintenance and failures low?' This paper introduces a novel approach that derives a time-varying Weibull approximation of failure rates using thermal models and provides a shortcut method to quantify maintenance implications under time-varying loading for heterogeneous MV cable populations. The case studies investigate a dataset from Denmark and the Oberrhein Medium Voltage (MV) system in Germany, studying ageing assets and the interplay with loading, and replacement paradigms of two different cable insulation types. The studies demonstrate that a small fraction of 25% of old, low-quality cables leads to 82% of failures, and 1.4% of the time of highest loading can cause 46% of cable ageing. The case studies also demonstrate that maintenance needs may be between 10-300 times higher under future loading conditions associated with the energy transition, specifically in networks that have older PILC cables. This paper provides a new tool for operators to plan maintenance under more realistic, future operating conditions.
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Systems and Control

Ideally-Smooth Transition between Grid-Forming and Grid-Following Inverters based on State Mapping Method

There has been widespread global increasing use of renewable energy sources, which are usually connected to the electricity grids via power electronic inverters. Traditionally, these inverter-based resources operate in either grid-forming (GFM) or grid-following (GFL) mode. But more recently, the need of switching between these two modes are glowingly required because of the complex operation scenarios of systems such as source-side limitations, grid-side services, fault disturbances, etc. However, due to the differences between GFM and GFL modes, a direct switching between them would lead to large oscillations or even instability of inverters. Therefore, in this paper, a method called state mapping method for analyzing the switching transient and designing the switching control is proposed. Based on this method, an ideally-smooth transition between GFM and GFL can be achieved. The effectiveness of the proposed method is verified by both the theoretical analysis and experiment tests.
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All authors Zhenshuai Liu, Yitong Li, Zirui Wang, Jiashuo Gu, Yao Qin, Jinjun Liu

Signal Processing · Cross-listed from cs.IT

On the Rate Region of I.I.D. Discrete Signaling and Treating Interference as Noise for the Gaussian Broadcast Channel

We revisit the Gaussian broadcast channel (GBC) and explore the rate region achieved by purely discrete inputs with treating interference as noise (TIN) decoding. Specifically, we introduce a simple scheme based on superposition coding with identically and independently distributed (i.i.d.) inputs drawn from discrete constellations, e.g., pulse amplitude modulations (PAM). Most importantly, we prove that the resulting achievable rate region under TIN decoding is within a constant gap to the capacity region of the GBC, where the gap is independent of all channel parameters. In addition, we show via simulation that the weak user can achieve a higher rate with PAM than with Gaussian signaling in some cases.
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Systems and Control

Multi-AUV Trajectory Learning for Sustainable Underwater IoT with Acoustic Energy Transfer

The Internet of Underwater Things (IoUT) supports ocean sensing and offshore monitoring but requires coordinated mobility and energy-aware communication to sustain long-term operation. This letter proposes a multi-AUV framework that jointly addresses trajectory control and acoustic communication for sustainable IoUT operation. The problem is formulated as a Markov decision process that integrates continuous AUV kinematics, propulsion-aware energy consumption, acoustic energy transfer feasibility, and Age of Information (AoI) regulation. A centralized deep reinforcement learning policy based on Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) is developed to coordinate multiple AUVs under docking and safety constraints. The proposed approach is evaluated against structured heuristic baselines and demonstrates significant reductions in average AoI while improving fairness and data collection efficiency. Results show that cooperative multi-AUV control provides scalable performance gains as the network size increases.
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Image and Video Processing

BAAI Cardiac Agent: An intelligent multimodal agent for automated reasoning and diagnosis of cardiovascular diseases from cardiac magnetic resonance imaging

Cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) is a cornerstone for diagnosing cardiovascular disease. However, it remains underutilized due to complex, time-consuming interpretation across multi-sequences, phases, quantitative measures that heavily reliant on specialized expertise. Here, we present BAAI Cardiac Agent, a multimodal intelligent system designed for end-to-end CMR interpretation. The agent integrates specialized cardiac expert models to perform automated segmentation of cardiac structures, functional quantification, tissue characterization and disease diagnosis, and generates structured clinical reports within a unified workflow. Evaluated on CMR datasets from two hospitals (2413 patients) spanning 7-types of major cardiovascular diseases, the agent achieved an area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve exceeding 0.93 internally and 0.81 externally. In the task of estimating left ventricular function indices, the results generated by this system for core parameters such as ejection fraction, stroke volume, and left ventricular mass are highly consistent with clinical reports, with Pearson correlation coefficients all exceeding 0.90. The agent outperformed state-of-the-art models in segmentation and diagnostic tasks, and generated clinical reports showing high concordance with expert radiologists (six readers across three experience levels). By dynamically orchestrating expert models for coordinated multimodal analysis, this agent framework enables accurate, efficient CMR interpretation and highlights its potentials for complex clinical imaging workflows. Code is available at https://github.com/plantain-herb/Cardiac-Agent.
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All authors Taiping Qu, Hongkai Zhang, Lantian Zhang, Can Zhao, Nan Zhang, Hui Wang, Zhen Zhou, Mingye Zou, Kairui Bo, Pengfei Zhao, Xingxing Jin, Zixian Su, Kun Jiang, Huan Liu, Yu Du, Maozhou Wang, Ruifang Yan, Zhongyuan Wang, Tiejun Huang, Lei Xu, Henggui Zhang

Signal Processing

Unlocking the Energy-Saving Potential in O-RAN Cell-Free Massive MIMO by Joint Orchestration of Radio, Wireless Fronthaul, and Cloud Resources

Network virtualization and cloudification in Open Radio Access Networks (O-RAN) enable joint orchestration of the processing and fronthaul resources, which are essential for realizing the energy-saving potential of cell-free massive MIMO networks. To harness this potential, we investigate cell-free massive MIMO deployed over an O-RAN architecture with a wireless fronthaul that removes the need for fiber deployment. We first model the end-to-end power consumption under wireless fronthaul. Then, we propose a joint orchestration framework for radio, fronthaul, and processing resources that minimizes end-to-end power consumption while satisfying user-equipment (UE) rate requirements and wireless-fronthaul constraints. Two algorithms are developed: a scenario-sampling/group-Lasso method for centralized precoding and a block-coordinate descent method for distributed precoding. Numerical results show that centralized precoding significantly outperforms distributed precoding. End-to-end resource orchestration provides up to 70% energy-savings compared to cloud-only orchestration and up to 15% compared to radio-only orchestration. Moreover, distributing the same total number of antennas across the coverage area, rather than concentrating them at a few radio units (RUs), substantially reduces network power consumption, demonstrating that cell-free massive MIMO can deliver both high performance and high energy efficiency in future mobile networks.
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All authors Ozan Alp Topal, Özlem Tuğfe Demir, Emil Björnson, Cicek Cavdar

Systems and Control

Opacity Enforcing Supervisory Control with a Priori Unknown Supervisors

We investigate the enforcement of opacity in discrete-event systems via supervisory control. A system is said to be opaque if a passive intruder can never unambiguously infer whether the system is in a secret state through its observations. In this context, the intruder's knowledge about the supervisor plays a critical role in both problem formulation and solvability. Existing studies typically assume that the policy of the supervisor is either fully unknown to the intruder or fully known a priori, the latter leading to severe technical challenges and unresolved problems under incomparable observations. This paper investigates opacity supervisory control under a new intermediate information setting, which we refer to as the a priori unknown supervisor setting. In this setting, the supervisor's internal realization is not publicly available, but the intruder can partially infer its behavior by eavesdropping on the control decisions issued online during system execution. We formalize the intruder's information-flow under both observation-triggered and decision-triggered decision-issuance mechanisms and define the corresponding notions of opacity. We provide sound and complete algorithms for synthesizing opacity-enforcing supervisors without imposing any restrictions on the observable or controllable event sets. By constructing an information-state structure that embeds the supervisor's estimate of the intruder's belief, the synthesis problem is reduced to a safety game. Finally, we show that, under strictly finer intruder observations, the proposed setting coincides with the standard a priori known supervisor model.
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All authors Bohan Cui, Ziyue Ma, Alessandro Giua, Xiang Yin

Systems and Control

Certificates Synthesis for A Class of Observational Properties in Stochastic Systems: A Unified Approach

In this paper, we investigate the probabilistic formal verification of stochastic dynamical systems over continuous state spaces. Motivated by problems in state estimation and information-flow security, we introduce the notion of observational properties, which characterize the inferences an external observer can draw from system outputs. These properties are formulated as probabilistic hyperproperties based on HyperLTL over finite traces, yielding a unified framework that subsumes several existing notions studied separately in the literature. We reduce the verification problem to reachability analysis over an augmented structure that integrates the system dynamics with an automaton representation of the specification. Building on this construction, we develop stochastic barrier certificates that provide probabilistic guarantees for property satisfaction while avoiding explicit state-space discretization. The effectiveness of the proposed framework is demonstrated through a case study.
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All authors Bohan Cui, Jianing Zhao, Yu Chen, Alessandro Abate, Marta Kwiatkowska, Xiang Yin

Systems and Control

Extended Hybrid Timed Petri Nets with Semi-Supervised Anomaly Detection for Switched Systems, Modelling and Fault Detection

Hybrid physical systems combine continuous and discrete dynamics, which can be simultaneously affected by faults. Conventional fault detection methods often treat these dynamics separately, limiting their ability to capture interacting fault patterns. This paper proposes a unified fault detection framework for hybrid dynamical systems by integrating an Extended Timed Continuous Petri Net (ETCPN) model with semi-supervised anomaly detection. The proposed ETCPN extends existing Petri net formalisms by introducing marking-dependent flow functions, enabling intrinsic coupling between discrete and continuous dynamics. Based on this structure, a mode-dependent hybrid observer is designed, whose stability under arbitrary switching is ensured via Linear Matrix Inequalities (LMIs), solved offline to determine observer gains. The observer generates residuals that reflect discrepancies between the estimated and measured outputs. These residuals are processed using semi-supervised methods, including One-Class SVM (OC-SVM), Support Vector Data Description (SVDD), and Elliptic Envelope (EE), trained exclusively on normal data to avoid reliance on labeled faults. The framework is validated through simulations involving discrete faults, continuous faults, and hybrid faults. Results demonstrate high detection accuracy, fast convergence, and robust performance, with OC-SVM and SVDD providing the best trade-off between detection rate and false alarms. The framework is computationally efficient for real-time deployment, as the main complexity is confined to the offline LMI design phase.
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Systems and Control

Periodic Event-Triggered Explicit Reference Governor for Constrained Attitude Control on SO(3)

This letter addresses the constrained attitude control problem for rigid bodies directly on the special orthogonal group SO(3), avoiding singularities associated with parameterizations such as Euler angles. We propose a novel Periodic Event-Triggered Explicit Reference Governor (PET-ERG) that enforces input saturation and geometric pointing constraints without relying on online optimization. A key feature is a periodic event-triggered supervisory update: the auxiliary reference is updated only at sampled instants when a robust safety condition is met, thereby avoiding continuous-time reference updates and enabling a rigorous stability analysis of the cascade system on the manifold. Through this structured approach, we rigorously establish the asymptotic stability and exponential convergence of the closed-loop system for almost all initial configurations. Numerical simulations validate the effectiveness of the proposed control architecture and demonstrate constraint satisfaction and convergence properties.
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All authors Satoshi Nakano, Masahiro Suzuki, Misa Ohashi, Noboru Chikami, Shusuke Otabe

Signal Processing

Enhancing 6G Wireless Intelligence: Do LLMs Work for CSI Prediction?

In high-mobility 6G scenarios, rapidly time-varying channels lead to very short coherence times, which makes conventional pilot-based channel state information (CSI) estimation approaches prone to outdated information or excessive pilot overhead. Therefore, channel prediction becomes essential in such dynamic wireless systems. To address this challenge, large language models (LLMs) are emerging learning frameworks that have recently attracted attention for CSI prediction due to their strong sequence modeling capability and ability to generalize across different environments. This paper proposes an LLM-based framework for channel prediction in high-mobility orthogonal time frequency space (OTFS) communication systems. In this work, we develop a physics-aware LLM-based predictor that learns the temporal evolution of OTFS channel coefficients from historical channel observations while incorporating mobility-related physical descriptors (e.g., maximum Doppler frequency) to achieve accurate prediction of future channel states in rapidly time-varying environments. The effectiveness of the proposed framework is evaluated through extensive simulations under user velocities ranging from 100 to 500 km/h. Numerical results show that the proposed method consistently achieves lower normalized mean square error (NMSE) compared with both classical deep learning predictors and LLM-based predictors without physical channel descriptors. These results demonstrate the advantage of integrating mobility-related channel knowledge with LLM-based sequence modeling for channel prediction in highly dynamic OTFS systems.
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Systems and Control

Element-based Formation Control: a Unified Perspective from Continuum Mechanics

This paper establishes a unified element-based framework for formation control by introducing the concept of the deformation gradient from continuum mechanics. Unlike traditional methods that rely on geometric constraints defined on graph edges, we model the formation as a discrete elastic body composed of simplicial elements. By defining a generalized distortion energy based on the local deformation gradient tensor, we derive a family of distributed control laws that can enforce various geometric invariances, including translation, rotation, scaling, and affine transformations. The convergence properties and the features of the proposed controllers are analyzed in detail. Theoretically, we show that the proposed framework serves as a bridge between existing rigidity-based and Laplacian-based approaches. Specifically, we show that rigidity-based controllers are mathematically equivalent to minimizing specific projections of the deformation energy tensor. Furthermore, we establish a rigorous link between the proposed energy minimization and Laplacian-based formation control. Numerical simulations in 2D and 3D validate the effectiveness and the unified nature of the proposed framework.
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Systems and Control

Optimization-Free Constrained Control with Guaranteed Recursive Feasibility: A CBF-Based Reference Governor Approach

This letter presents a constrained control framework that integrates Explicit Reference Governors (ERG) with Control Barrier Functions (CBF) to ensure recursive feasibility without online optimization. We formulate the reference update as a virtual control input for an augmented system, governed by a smooth barrier function constructed from the softmin aggregation of Dynamic Safety Margins (DSMs). Unlike standard CBF formulations, the proposed method guarantees the feasibility of safety constraints by design, exploiting the forward invariance properties of the underlying Lyapunov level sets. This allows for the derivation of an explicit, closed-form reference update law that strictly enforces safety while minimizing deviation from a nominal reference trajectory. Theoretical results confirm asymptotic convergence, and numerical simulations demonstrate that the proposed method achieves performance comparable to traditional ERG frameworks.
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Systems and Control · Cross-listed from math.OC

Robust $\mathcal{H}_\infty$ Observer Design via Finsler's Lemma and IQCs

This paper develops a Finsler-based LMI for robust $\mathcal{H}_\infty$ observer design with integral quadratic constraints (IQCs) and block-structured uncertainty. By introducing a slack variable that relaxes the coupling between the Lyapunov matrix, the observer gain, and the IQC multiplier, the formulation addresses two limitations of the standard block-diagonal approach: the LMI requirement $\mathrm{He}(PA) \prec 0$ (which fails for marginally stable dynamics), and a multiplier–Lyapunov trade-off that causes infeasibility for wide uncertainty ranges. For marginally stable dynamics, artificial damping in the design model balances certified versus actual performance. The framework is demonstrated on quaternion attitude estimation with angular velocity uncertainty and mass-spring-damper state estimation with uncertain physical parameters.
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Signal Processing · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Autoencoder-Based Parameter Estimation for Superposed Multi-Component Damped Sinusoidal Signals

Damped sinusoidal oscillations are widely observed in many physical systems, and their analysis provides access to underlying physical properties. However, parameter estimation becomes difficult when the signal decays rapidly, multiple components are superposed, and observational noise is present. In this study, we develop an autoencoder-based method that uses the latent space to estimate the frequency, phase, decay time, and amplitude of each component in noisy multi-component damped sinusoidal signals. We investigate multi-component cases under Gaussian-distribution training and further examine the effect of the training-data distribution through comparisons between Gaussian and uniform training. The performance is evaluated through waveform reconstruction and parameter-estimation accuracy. We find that the proposed method can estimate the parameters with high accuracy even in challenging setups, such as those involving a subdominant component or nearly opposite-phase components, while remaining reasonably robust when the training distribution is less informative. This demonstrates its potential as a tool for analyzing short-duration, noisy signals.
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Systems and Control

Cooperative $\mathcal{H}_\infty$ Fault-Tolerant Tracking with ISS Guarantees for Networked Systems with Sensor Faults

This paper develops a cooperative fault-tolerant tracking framework for heterogeneous networked linear systems subject to sensor faults and external disturbances. Each unit employs an augmented $\mathcal{H}_\infty$ observer that jointly reconstructs the system state and unknown sensor fault, providing disturbance-attenuated estimation guarantees. An inner state-feedback gain is synthesized through convex $\mathcal{H}_\infty$ Linear Matrix Inequalities (LMIs) to ensure robust closed-loop stabilization and disturbance rejection, while an outer distributed integral action eliminates steady-state tracking offsets and enables cooperative tracking of a setpoint source. The resulting cooperative error dynamics are shown to satisfy an Input-to-State Stability (ISS) property with respect to disturbances and residual estimation uncertainty, and converge exponentially to zero in the disturbance-free case. Furthermore, vanishing cooperative error guarantees network-wide consensus tracking of the desired setpoint. Numerical studies on heterogeneous DC-motor networks with star, cyclic, and path communication topologies demonstrate accurate state and fault estimation, robust cooperative tracking, and resilience against disturbances and time-varying sensor faults. The proposed framework provides a scalable and robust coordination strategy for interconnected systems operating under sensing imperfections and uncertain environments.
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All authors Moh Kamalul Wafi, Yurid E. Nugraha, Bambang L. Widjiantoro, Katherin Indriawati

Signal Processing

Measurement driven birth model for the generalized labeled multi-Bernoulli filter

This paper presents a measurement driven birth (MDB) model for the generalized labeled multi-Bernoulli (GLMB) filter. The MDB model adaptively generates target births based on measurement data, thereby eliminating the dependence of a priori knowledge of target birth distributions. Numerical results are provided to demonstrate the performance.
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Systems and Control

Distributed Nonlinear Control of Networked Two-Wheeled Robots under Adversarial Interactions

This paper studies distributed trajectory tracking for networks of nonholonomic mobile robots under adversarial information exchange. An exact global input–output feedback linearization scheme is developed to regulate planar position outputs, yielding linear error dynamics without prescribing internal state trajectories. To mitigate corrupted neighbor information, a resilient desired-signal construction is proposed that combines local redundancy with trusted in-neighbor signals, without requiring adversary detection or isolation. When sufficient redundancy is available, the method suppresses adversarial influence and recovers nominal tracking performance. If redundancy conditions are violated, adversarial effects enter as bounded disturbances and the tracking error remains ultimately bounded. Simulation results on star, cyclic, and path topologies validate the analysis and demonstrate the superior resilience of cyclic networks due to distributed information propagation.
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All authors Moh Kamalul Wafi, Ahmad Ataka, Yul Y. Nazaruddin, Bayu Jayawardhana

Systems and Control

Duality Theory for Non-Markovian Linear Gaussian Models

This work develops a duality theory for partially observed linear Gaussian models in discrete time. The state process evolves according to a causal but non-Markovian (or higher-order Gauss-Markov) structure, captured by a lower-triangular transition operator, which is related to transformer, with $T$ as the context length. The main contributions are: (i) a dual control system for the linear Gaussian model, formulated as a backward difference equation (B $\Delta$ E); (ii) a duality principle establishing that a specific linear-quadratic optimal control problem for the B $\Delta$ E is dual to the filtering problem for the partially observed model; and (iii) an explicit optimal control formula yielding a novel (transformer-like) linear predictor, referred to as the dual filter, whose computational complexity scales linearly in the time horizon $T$, in contrast to the $O(T^3)$ cost of classical smoothing and Wiener-Hopf approaches.
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Saturday 4 April

Signal Processing · Cross-listed from cs.LG

GCA-BULF: A Bottom-Up Framework for Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Grouped Critical Appliances

With the rise of time-of-use and tiered electricity pricing, energy consumers are encouraged to adopt peak-shifting strategies by automatically controlling high-power appliances. These help lower energy costs while enhancing the power grid's stability. To support such energy management with high resilience and responsiveness, reliable short-term load forecasting (STLF) plays a critical role. STLF predicts electricity consumption over time horizons ranging from minutes to days, using historical data, temporal patterns, and contextual factors. Traditional top-down forecasting methods struggle to capture the complex consumption patterns of diverse and mixed appliance loads. Although bottom-up methods improve forecasting accuracy by integrating appliance-level data, monitoring all appliances is costly, and many do not meaningfully impact total load prediction. Therefore, we propose GCA-BULF, a bottom-up short-term load forecasting framework based on grouped critical appliances, supported by three key designs. First, the Critical Appliance Filtering module ranks appliances according to their power consumption, switching frequency, and usage pattern periodicity, and identifies critical ones through iterative load decomposition. Next, the Related Appliance Grouping module clusters these appliances based on spatial and temporal correlations for group-level forecasting. Finally, the Collaborative Load Forecasting module refines the total load prediction by combining multiple group-level forecasts. We evaluate GCA-BULF on residential and office building load forecasting tasks. Experimental results reveal that GCA-BULF improves hourly total load forecasting by 20.85%-57.88% compared to existing top-down methods and by 33.03%-92.48% compared to bottom-up methods.
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All authors Yunhao Yao, Jinwei Fang, Puhan Luo, Zhiqiang Wang, Jiahui Hou, Xiang-Yang Li

Signal Processing

Interpretable Fuzzy Modeling Reveals Population-Level Representation Differences in P300 Brain Computer Interfaces Across Neurodivergent and Neurotypical Cohorts

P300-based brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) are widely used for communication, but population heterogeneity may alter the neural patterns available for decoding. Prior work has mainly examined such differences at the signal or performance level, while the representation structure learned by the decoder remains underexplored. In this study, we propose an interpretable fuzzy spatiotemporal framework for P300 classification and use it to analyze population-level differences across amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), autism (AUT), and neurotypical (NT) cohorts. The model employs spatial and temporal fuzzy filters with learnable prototypes, enabling both classification and reconstruction of cohort-specific fuzzy centers. Experiments were conducted on ALS and NT subsets from bigP3BCI and on the BCIAUT-P300 benchmark in a within-subject setting. The proposed model achieved competitive performance against multiple deep learning baselines. More importantly, the reconstructed fuzzy centers revealed systematic cohort-dependent differences in waveform morphology and representation geometry. Point-wise statistical analysis identified significant temporal differences between cohorts, including intervals overlapping with the canonical P300 window, and low-dimensional embeddings showed partially separated cohort-specific prototype organizations. These results suggest that population heterogeneity in P300-BCI is reflected not only in decoding performance but also in the discriminative structure learned by the model. The proposed framework provides an interpretable route toward population-aware P300-BCI analysis and design.
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All authors Xiaowei Jiang, Sudong Shang, Adrian Wilkinson, Michael L. Platt, Da Xiao, Bening Cao, Thomas Do

Systems and Control

Probabilistic Connectivity Analysis of Recursive Satellite Release for Formation Initialization

In the initial deployment of large-scale distributed space systems using small satellites, achieving a reliable transition to passively stable orbits while maintaining inter-satellite distances within effective control and communication ranges is crucial, particularly given the presence of deployment errors and uncontrolled coasting phases. This study presents a framework for designing formation initialization that provides probabilistic safety guarantees. The scope covers the initial deployment phase, from sequential release by a single carrier to commissioning, control activation, and transition to passive stabilization. Strict separation limits during initialization necessitate low release velocities to minimize relative drift before control activation. However, in the low-velocity regime, the allowable tolerances for release velocity and angular rate errors tighten significantly to satisfy distance constraints, making hardware requirements a critical bottleneck. To address this, we model the initialization sequence as a stochastic process and derive closed-form constraints on deployment errors and control activation intervals. These conditions ensure that inter-satellite distances remain within the allowable separation limit with a prescribed probability. Monte Carlo simulations, configured using the error bounds and intervals derived from the proposed constraints, demonstrate that inter-satellite distances are successfully maintained within the allowable range. The proposed framework enables the safe initialization of large-scale distributed space systems by translating strict separation constraints into quantifiable hardware requirements.
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Systems and Control

Lotka-Sharpe Neural Operators for Control of Population PDEs

Age-structured predator-prey integro-partial differential equations provide models of interacting populations in ecology, epidemiology, and biotechnology. A key challenge in feedback design for these systems is the scalar $\zeta$, defined implicitly by the Lotka-Sharpe nonlinear integral condition, as a mapping from fertility and mortality rates to $\zeta$. To solve this challenge with operator learning, we first prove that the Lotka-Sharpe operator is Lipschitz continuous, guaranteeing the existence of arbitrarily accurate neural operator approximations over a compact set of fertility and mortality functions. We then show that the resulting approximate feedback law preserves semi-global practical asymptotic stability under propagation of the operator approximation error through various other nonlinear operators, all the way through to the control input. In the numerical results, not only do we learn “once-and-for-all” the canonical Lotka-Sharpe (LS) operator, and thus make it available for future uses in control of other age-structured population interconnections, but we demonstrate the online usage of the neural LS operator under estimation of the fertility and mortality functions.
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All authors Miroslav Krstic, Iasson Karafyllis, Luke Bhan, Carina Veil

Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Regime-Calibrated Fleet Repositioning with a Spatial Queue-Regret Decomposition

Ride-hailing and autonomous mobility-on-demand operators reposition idle supply before future demand is fully observed. We study a retrieval-calibrated predict-then-optimize approach for this problem: historical demand regimes are matched to the current query block, combined into a calibrated demand prior, and passed to a fleet-balancing controller. The paper makes three contributions. First, we train a leakage-safe similarity gate whose objective penalizes demand error, pickup spatial mismatch, and queue shortage risk rather than retrieval rank alone. Second, we develop a spatial queue-regret decomposition for a stable queueing surrogate, linking demand-field error to wait through queueing sensitivity, allocator sensitivity, and Wasserstein pickup mismatch. Third, we evaluate learned retrieval and external-style rebalancing baselines in a common simulator. In the calibrated-demand gate experiment, across eight New York City scenarios and ten seeds, the spatial gate reduces mean wait to 82.3s, compared with 85.3s for hand-tuned similarity and 85.8s for a distributional-only baseline. In a separate replay-demand controller comparison, a scenario chance-MPC analog and a share-target transportation LP improve on Wen-style rebalancing (92.2s/92.2s vs. 100.1s), a reduced GPR chance-MPC comparator is intermediate at 94.4s, and an oracle MPC diagnostic is 91.3s.
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Systems and Control

Risk-Constrained Belief-Space Optimization for Safe Control under Latent Uncertainty

Many safety-critical control systems operate under latent uncertainty that sensors cannot resolve at decision time. Such uncertainty, arising from unknown physical properties, disturbances, or unobserved geometry, affects dynamics, task feasibility, and safety margins. Standard methods optimize expected performance and offer limited protection against rare but severe outcomes, while robust formulations treat uncertainty conservatively without exploiting its probabilistic structure. We consider systems with measured state and an unknown, time-invariant parameter represented by a belief distribution. We propose a risk-sensitive belief-space Model Predictive Path Integral (MPPI) controller that plans under this belief, regularizes performance using Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), and imposes a CVaR constraint on a trajectory safety margin over the horizon. For the exact risk-constrained formulation underlying this controller, we establish three properties: (1) the CVaR constraint implies a probabilistic safety guarantee, (2) the controller recovers the risk-neutral optimum as the objective risk weight tends to zero, and (3) a union-bound argument extends the per-horizon guarantee to cumulative safety over repeated solves. In contact-rich MuJoCo simulations of vision-guided dexterous stowing, where a manipulator inserts a grasped object into an occupied slot with pose uncertainty exceeding prescribed lateral clearance requirements, our method achieves 82% success with zero contact violations at high risk aversion, compared with 55% and 50% for a risk-neutral configuration and a chance-constrained baseline, both of which incur nonzero exterior contact forces. Project page: https://clintonenwerem.com/belief-cvar-mppi/.
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Image and Video Processing

Cost-Efficient Multi-Scale Fovea for Semantic-Based Visual Search Attention

Semantics are one of the primary sources of top-down preattentive information. Modern deep object detectors excel at extracting such valuable semantic cues from complex visual scenes. However, the size of the visual input to be processed by these detectors can become a bottleneck, particularly in terms of time costs, affecting an artificial attention system's biological plausibility and real-time deployability. Inspired by classical exponential density roll-off topologies, we apply a new artificial foveation module to our novel attention prediction pipeline: the Semantic-based Bayesian Attention (SemBA) framework. We aim at reducing detection-related computational costs without compromising visual task accuracy, thereby making SemBA more biologically plausible. The proposed multi-scale pyramidal field-of-view retains maximum acuity at an innermost level, around a focal point, while gradually increasing distortion for outer levels to mimic peripheral uncertainty via downsampling. In this work we evaluate the performance of our novel Multi-Scale Fovea, incorporated into SemBA, on target-present visual search. We also compare it against other artificial foveal systems, and conduct ablation studies with different deep object detection models to assess the impact of the new topology in terms of computational costs. We experimentally demonstrate that including the new Multi-Scale Fovea module effectively reduces inherent processing costs while improving SemBA's scanpath prediction accuracy. Remarkably, we show that SemBA closely approximates human consistency while retaining the actual human fovea's proportions.
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Systems and Control

Location-Invariant Assessment of Flexibility Potential under Distribution System Reconfiguration

The growing integration of renewable and decentralized generation increases the need for flexibility in distribution systems. This flexibility, typically represented in a PQ capability curve, is constrained by network limits and topology. Distribution system reconfiguration (DSR) introduces additional degrees of freedom through switching actions. This paper proposes an AC-constrained methodology to assess flexibility under network reconfiguration, explicitly considering radial operation. The impact of topology changes on PQ capability curves, which serve as a measure of flexibility potential, is analyzed. To that end, a novel measure called location-invariant flexibility potential (LI-FP) is introduced. Results show that reconfiguration can significantly influence and improve operational flexibility. The approach presented enables transparency for system operators, facilitating improved coordination of flexibility providers.
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Systems and Control · Cross-listed from q-bio.QM

Bounding Transient Moments for a Class of Stochastic Reaction Networks Using Kolmogorov's Backward Equation

Stochastic chemical reaction networks (SRNs) in cellular systems are commonly modeled as continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) describing the dynamics of molecular copy numbers. The exact evaluation of transient copy number statistics is, however, often hindered by a non-closed hierarchy of moment equations. In this paper, we propose a method for computing theoretically guaranteed upper and lower bounds on transient moments based on the Kolmogorov's backward equation, which provides a dual representation of the CME, the governing equation for the probability distribution of the CTMC. This dual formulation avoids the moment closure problem by shifting the source of infinite dimensionality to the dependence on the initial state. We show that, this dual formulation, combined with the monotonicity of the CTMC generator, leads to a finite-dimensional linear time-invariant system that provides bounds on transient moments. The resulting system enables efficient evaluation of moment bounds across multiple initial conditions by simple inner-product operations without recomputing the bounding system. Further, for certain classes of SRNs, the bounding ODEs admit explicit construction from the reaction model, providing a systematic and constructive framework for computing provable bounds.
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