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Wednesday 16 September

Systems and Control

Towards Interaction Regulation from Human Feedback via Free Energy Minimization

A central challenge across control and learning is the design of mechanisms regulating the interactions between humans and autonomous agents. Inspired by the free energy principle from computational neuroscience, we introduce a control-theoretical framework to integrate human preferences online into an agent policy. We turn the framework into an open control architecture and validate our approach using a human-in-the-loop experimental testbed involving a rover navigating via onboard sensing. The human, remotely located and equipped with virtual reality headsets, shares the same sensory information as the rover. Human preferences are provided to the rover via gestures which introduce both cooperative and competitive interactions between the agent goal and the preferences. The experiments show that interactions are regulated, validating the proposed approach.
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All authors Maria Paula Diaz Monfort, Cinzia Tomaselli, Michael Richardson, Giovanni Russo

Systems and Control

Quantum Computing in Next-Gen Smart Grid Operations: A Comprehensive Review

The rapid proliferation of grid-edge distributed energy resources has significantly increased the operational complexity of modern power systems. Consequently, conventional computational techniques face growing scalability and computational-efficiency challenges in addressing large-scale optimization and control, uncertainty management, nonlinear dynamics, and combinatorial decision-making in smart grid operations. Quantum computing has therefore emerged as a promising computational paradigm that can complement classical methods in addressing selected computationally intensive problems. In this context, this paper presents a comprehensive structured review of quantum computing applications in smart grid operations. Following a transparent keyword-based literature search, the paper classifies and assesses existing studies across monitoring and estimation, system planning, operation and control, security, reliability and resilience, stability assessment, data-driven intelligence, and digital twin technologies. The paper also describes fundamental quantum-computing concepts and key algorithms, highlighting their relevance for power system applications. Furthermore, it reviews the current state of quantum hardware, software frameworks, simulators, cloud services, and emerging hardware-agnostic ecosystems that support cross-platform application development and deployment. The reviewed studies are examined by implementation environment, benchmarking practices, application scale, and evidence of computational advantage. Finally, the principal challenges associated with practical implementation are discussed, and future research directions are outlined. This paper provides a consolidated and evidence-calibrated perspective on the current state and future potential of quantum computing for next-generation smart grid operations.
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Systems and Control

Forgetting While Remembering, an Invariant Online Data-Driven Predictive Control Formulation

Low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) data is a core challenge of online Data-Driven Predictive Control (DPC) for linear, time-varying systems. This paper proposes a Bayesian, online DPC framework based on autoregressive models with exogenous inputs (ARX) that uses an externally-provided prior, which encodes inductive bias such as smooth system dynamics and stability, to safeguard performance when SNR is low. The posterior estimate of the ARX parameter is propagated forward in time using a Kalman filter with a state equation defined by an adaptation-rate hyperparameter, which is adjusted online to track the rate at which the underlying system dynamics evolve. The Kalman filter's posterior mean and covariance determine the DPC's Final Control Error cost function, which is the posterior expectation of the quadratic cost function. Critically, the Kalman filter's process equation is chosen so that, regardless of the hyperparameter adaptation, the prior distribution is invariant over time. Thus, while old data is forgotten, the prior is not. DPC tracking experiments on a time-varying second-order system demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed method.
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Systems and Control

GNN-Accelerated Mixed-Integer Dual MPC for Interactive Driving

In interactions with uncertain opponents, dual model predictive control (MPC) can improve performance through information-seeking actions that reduce uncertainty about opponents' behavior. Its recent applications to autonomous driving, however, are limited to scenarios involving a single opponent on a single lane. This paper presents a mixed-integer dual MPC for multiple reactive opponents on multi-lane roads, jointly optimizing integer-valued maneuver decisions (lane changes and safe-region selections), and continuous motion over a scenario tree that samples plausible interactions with the opponents. As interaction complexity increases, solving the resulting mixed-integer nonlinear program becomes increasingly expensive. To reduce this computational burden, a graph neural network (GNN) predicts the optimal maneuver decisions, and high-confidence predictions are fixed before the reduced problem is solved. Simulations show that active probing behavior emerges in complex interactive scenarios, and that GNN guidance fixes $76.3\%$ of the integer decisions and reduces the solve time by $2.5\times$ on average, with negligible degradation of optimality.
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All authors Yidan Zhu, Shuhao Qi, Luyao Zhang, Sofie Haesaert, Jonas Mårtensson

Systems and Control

A Closed-Loop Model of an Anion Exchange Membrane Electrolyser Based on Operational Data

The main contribution of this work is to identify model parameters for an Anion Exchange Membrane (AEM) system directly from measured operational data, enabling their use in power system studies. Due to the relatively low technology readiness level (TRL) of AEM electrolysers, only limited literature reports operational parameters supported by openly available experimental data. By capturing the realistic dynamic behaviour and power consumption of the AEM electrolyser, this model allows for more accurate evaluation of system topologies and control strategies for green hydrogen production. This paper presents a model of an AEM electrolyser based on experimental data from Enapter modules installed in the Power-to-X (PtX) Laboratory at the Technical University of Denmark [1]. The model comprises a polarisation curve and a model of current dynamics during operation. It is validated against operational data and can be applied in grid-balancing studies as well as in assessments of how electrolyser dynamics influence the power system. The results suggest that the AEM technology is suitable for services such as smoothing wind farm power output and provide system services to support frequency balancing. The findings highlight the importance of considering the constraints of the process when designing for flexible load operation, and consideration of the interaction between the power control and process control systems.
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All authors Maiken Borud Omtveit, Lisa Marie Dannappel, Shi You, Kjetil Uhlen

Systems and Control

Optimization Design and Simulation Validation of a Variable Stiffness Actuator Based on a Crossed Four-Bar Mechanism

This paper presents a bio-inspired antagonistic variable stiffness actuator (VSA) based on two crossed four-bar compliant transmission elastic units (CFB-CTEs). The design addresses the difficulty of combining nonlinear elastic shaping with low structural inertia in antagonistic VSA mechanisms. Inspired by the crossed constraint behavior of the anterior and posterior cruciate ligaments during knee flexion, the proposed actuator uses geometric transmission, elastic energy storage, and bilateral antagonistic arrangement to shape the output torque and equivalent stiffness. A multi-objective optimization model is established to balance torque tracking accuracy, equivalent inertia, and mass. The selected compromise design achieved a torque root-mean-square error (RMSE) of $0.883~\mathrm{N\,mm}$ and a total mass of $50.2~\mathrm{g}$. Its average equivalent inertia was reduced by about 78% compared with an independent torque-only optimized design. An ADAMS multibody model was further built to verify the structural response under single-input, opposite-input, and same-input conditions. The results support the feasibility of the proposed crossed four-bar elastic unit as a lightweight nonlinear elastic branch for antagonistic VSAs.
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All authors Yuanlong Ji, Ruizhe Jiang, Xiangyu Xie, Junheng Lin, Dongrun Jin, Xingbang Yang

Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.AI

Risk-Aware World Modeling with Flow-Guided Occupancy Evolution for Selective Trajectory Planning in Automated Driving

Safe motion planning in automated driving requires anticipating evolving traffic risks and deciding when to revise the current planned trajectory. We introduce RiskWorld, a risk-aware world modeling framework for shared occupancy forecasting and selective trajectory replacement. Spatial risk fields and temporal actor context are fused with visual bird's-eye-view features. Flow-guided evolution transports occupancy and scene features, while signed residuals correct occupancy after transport. One forecast is generated per planning step and reused across candidates. Each candidate is compared with a current-state persistence reference, yielding a nonnegative collision-score correction. The trajectory selected by current-world evaluation serves as the planning anchor and is replaced only when additional predicted risk triggers intervention and an alternative satisfies component-wise constraints on predicted risk and trajectory error. Candidate geometries remain unchanged. We evaluate RiskWorld for open-loop planning on nuScenes using camera features, annotation-derived current and historical actor states, and dataset-provided map context. RiskWorld achieves the lowest collision rate at a long evaluation horizon of 3 s, and the second-best average L2 error among various state-of-the-art baselines, while running at 11.5 FPS on a single NVIDIA RTX 4090 with 90.81 M parameters. Within-setting ablations show that RiskWorld achieves lower collision rates than the current-state rescoring baseline, while forecast reuse enables additional candidates to be evaluated at low marginal computational cost.
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All authors Rongxiang Zeng, Linsen Cai, Jiafu Zhang, Yijie Zhong, Yide Tao, Shuai Wang, Nan Zheng, Hai L. Vu, Alvaro Garcia Hernandez, Yongqi Dong

Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.CR

The Verifiable Action Card: Trustworthy Human-in-the-Loop Control for Secure Autonomous Agents

Agentic browsers can execute security-sensitive actions under a user's authenticated session, making indirect prompt injection and deceptive confirmation interfaces a direct threat to action integrity. Existing human-in-the-loop (HITL) safeguards are insufficient when the approval prompt itself can be influenced by untrusted page content or model-generated text. We present the Verifiable Action Card (VAC), an architectural defence that reconstructs approval information from the ground-truth pending browser action and trusted intent provenance, renders it out-of-band in the trusted browser chrome, and binds approval to the exact action re-verified at dispatch. VAC combines provenance fencing, a ground-truth action descriptor, default-deny confirmation, provenance-aware risk gating, and execution binding. We implement VAC in a complete agentic browser and evaluate it on a 24-scenario benchmark covering confused-deputy attacks, Lies-in-the-Loop dialog forging, indirect prompt injection, adaptive action substitution, provenance evasion, and legitimate tasks. Across the evaluated LLMs, attack success without VAC ranges from $68\%$ to $100\%$, whereas VAC reduces attack success to $0\%$ on every model, with $78\%$ legitimate-task completion and a $0\%$ false-block rate. These results show that grounding approval in the action that will actually execute provides architectural protection against security failures that prompt-level defences and conventional HITL confirmation cannot reliably prevent.
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All authors Hasnain Irshad, Anam Mughees, Neelam Mughees, Abdullah Mughees, Imtiaz Ali Soomro

Systems and Control · Cross-listed from eess.SP

Physically Consistent Modeling of Dispersive Time-Modulated Reconfigurable Intelligent Surfaces for Wideband OFDM

The elements of a reconfigurable intelligent surface (RIS) are commonly modeled either as frequency-selective time-invariant reflectors or as instantaneous time-varying reflection coefficients. In practice, however, time-modulated metasurfaces exhibit both frequency selectivity and periodic time variation. We develop a physically consistent linear periodically time-varying (LPTV) model that jointly captures these effects and characterizes their impact on wideband orthogonal frequency-division multiplexing (OFDM) communications. From a canonical equivalent circuit of a generic RIS element, we derive a single-resonance model whose physically meaningful parameters determine both the frequency-selective reflection coefficient and the effective impulse-response duration, i.e., the finite memory of the element. The periodically switched dispersive responses are then represented through harmonic transfer functions, leading to a closed-form per-subcarrier OFDM input-output relation. The resulting coupling is generally non-diagonal: each received subcarrier collects contributions from multiple transmitted subcarriers through the RIS harmonics, each weighted by the element response at the corresponding absolute input frequency. We further derive a generalized cyclic-prefix (CP) condition requiring the guard interval to accommodate both the propagation-channel delay spread and the RIS memory. Under this condition, intersymbol interference and out-of-grid spectral leakage are suppressed, while deterministic on-grid harmonic coupling remains. Full-wave simulations of an OpenRIS unit cell designed for a 5G NR channel validate the proposed resonant model and reveal appreciable in-band dispersion despite nearly ideal binary phase switching. Simulations over 3GPP tapped-delay-line (TDL) channels confirm the generalized CP condition and show its relevance for high-quality-factor RIS elements.
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All authors Ivan Iudice, Donatella Darsena, Giacinto Gelli, Vincenzo Galdi

Systems and Control

A Stochastic Mean-CVaR Framework for BESS Multi-Market Bidding Strategies

Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) operators face significant challenges when participating in multiple electricity markets due to the complex coupling of price volatility and stochastic reserve activation. Traditional deterministic dispatch models neglect the "tail risks" associated with extreme market realizations, potentially leading to technical infeasibility or severe economic losses. This paper proposes a risk-aware stochastic optimization framework for the co-optimization of BESS participation in the Day-Ahead (DA) energy market and the manual Frequency Restoration Reserve (mFRR) market. The model explicitly captures multi-dimensional uncertainties by utilizing non-parametric Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) to generate joint price scenarios that preserve the empirical characteristics of European balancing markets. A two-stage stochastic programming approach is employed.To manage the financial exposure to high-impact price events, the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) metric is integrated into a Mean-CVaR objective function. This allows decision-makers to tune their risk-aversion levels and identify an efficient frontier between profitability and robustness. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed joint CVaR approach significantly enhances revenue stability compared to deterministic benchmarks.
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All authors Younes Zahraoui, Jun Cao, Samir Kouro, Pedro Rodriguez Cortes

Systems and Control

Macroscopic Motion Patterns from Generalized Velocity Rigidity in Multi-Agent Networks

Traditional graph rigidity theory enforces structural constraints in the position space, effectively restricting a multi-agent formation to a static geometric shape. In this paper, we introduce a fundamental paradigm shift by applying rigidity constraints directly to the agents' continuous-time velocity space. We propose the concept of generalized velocity rigidity, demonstrating that the macroscopic physical motion patterns of a multi-agent network are entirely dictated by the underlying static graph topology. By strictly confining the network's acceleration profile to the null space of the velocity rigidity matrix, we mathematically map the trivial motions of this null space into exact physical trajectories. Specifically, we prove that translational, rotational, and scaling trivial motions seamlessly integrate into cohesive curved flocking, synchronized helical and circular $\mathrm{SO}(d)$ orbiting, and exponential spatial homothety, respectively. Furthermore, we analyze velocity-space singularities, showing that velocity consensus induces a valid topological contraction rather than a structural failure. Finally, we provide comprehensive numerical simulations to validate these theoretical mappings, demonstrating that complex macroscopic maneuvers can be orchestrated purely through algebraic constraints in the velocity space, unlocking unprecedented spatial shape flexibility for multi-agent swarms.
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Systems and Control

A Recursive CBF Framework for Safety under State Uncertainty

The practical implementation of Control Barrier Functions (CBFs) for safety-critical control is often hindered by uncertainty in the knowledge of the state. While existing robust CBF methods address state uncertainty, they often lack recursive feasibility guarantees or fail when uncertainty levels are high, allowing the system to enter regions where no safe control input exists. To resolve this, we propose a novel framework of enforcing recursive CBFs. Rather than merely ensuring the invariance of the original safe set, this approach enforces the forward invariance of a subset of the safe region where a robustly safe control input is guaranteed to exist. This holistic framework ensures that the system never strays into ambiguous regions, providing continued feasibility and safety guarantees, regardless of the level of state uncertainty.
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Systems and Control

Indicators of resilience for autonomous control systems

As modern societies rely more on autonomous systems to facilitate daily life, assuring their safe operation is paramount. Naturally, there are many techniques available to predict and prevent system failures. However, the safety afforded by such schemes may become misaligned with the true system, which can change in unexpected ways - from partial faults to natural wear-and-tear - that subtly degrade its stability. The implications that such subtle changes have on autonomous system stability can be observed through generic indicators of resilience derived from critical slowing down, popular for anticipating catastrophic tipping points in natural systems. Here, we show how one can systematically design these generic indicators for nonlinear control systems and show how these can reflect loss of stability though simulations of canonical robotic systems wherein their proximity to instability is manipulated directly. These results are affirmed through real-world flight experiments of a quadrotor that is nudged towards instability by progressively damaging its propeller blades. Our results show that the implications of degraded resilience on closed-loop stability are evident well before they appear, for which the indicators of resilience derived here can provide an early warning.
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All authors Jasper van Beers, Da-Hwi Kim, Prashant Solanki, Coen de Visser

Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.RO

Prior Evolution and Task Alignment for Aerial Grasping

Aerial grasping is a remarkable capability exhibited by predatory birds, allowing them to capture prey through highly coordinated maneuvers in flight. Inspired by this capability, researchers have developed various formulations to reproduce such maneuvers through trajectory optimization. However, two limitations remain in practice. First, the resulting optimization problem is highly nonconvex and sensitive to initialization, making high-quality solutions difficult to obtain under a limited computational budget. Second, prescribed numerical objectives are human-designed abstractions that describe successful grasping through a limited set of mathematically tractable quantities and may not fully capture what determines task success. We investigate how learning can address these limitations within an analytical planner. Accordingly, a trajectory prior is first learned from optimized motions and then evolved through a CEM-based process that evaluates sampled initializations with the deployed optimizer and retains favorable ones as new supervision. An Execution-Aware Critic learns from contact, lift, and completion outcomes to assess whether the optimized trajectories are likely to succeed in physical execution. Its frozen energy can further serve as a differentiable grasping cost, allowing execution data to directly shape trajectory generation. Simulation and real-world experiments demonstrate improved optimization reliability, trajectory consistency, and grasping performance.
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All authors Weiliang Deng, Zhengyang Dang, Yao Mu, Ximin Lyu

Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Learning Fractional-Order Dynamics from a Single Trajectory

Many real-world processes exhibit long-range dependence, where the current state depends on a slowly decaying trace of past states rather than on the most recent state alone. This paper studies system identification for discrete-time fractional-order linear time-invariant systems from a single observed trajectory of length $t$, a setting that captures such non-Markovian dynamics through the Grünwald–Letnikov difference operator. Unlike Markovian systems, fractional-order systems couple estimation across the entire history, making both statistical analysis and practical identification more challenging. We propose Fractional-Order Ordinary-Least-Squares Grid-Search (FO-GS), a simple two-stage estimator that exploits the diagonal structure of the fractional-difference operator to decouple the identification problem row-wise. Under the stability assumption, we establish high-probability, non-asymptotic error bounds for estimating both the fractional order and the system matrix in the heterogeneous setting, with both estimation errors scaling as \(\mathcal{O}(t^{-1/2})\). Through experiments, we show that FO-GS outperforms existing baselines in recovering both the fractional order and the underlying system dynamics.
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All authors Xiaole Zhang, Ziyi Zhang, Zehao Zhao, Stephen Tu, Guannan Qu, Yorie Nakahira, Paul Bogdan

Systems and Control

Sliding Mode Control of Cardiac Rhythms in the Sinoatrial Node using Gaussian Process Regression

The Sinoatrial node (SA), also called natural pacemaker, is responsible to initiate the heart electrical activity, usually represented by electrocardiograms (ECGs). Abnormalities at the SA node can produce disordered heart rhythms or, in other words, cardiac arrhythmia that are visualized in the ECGs. The development of control strategies to stabilize the cardiac rhythm at the natural pacemaker can provide efficient ways to deal with and avoid some heart pathology. This paper investigates the use of a robust controller based on sliding modes for cardiac rhythms at the SA node in order to induce normal rhythms from pathological responses. Embedded into this controller, a Gaussian process regressor is utilized to predict and compensate modeling uncertainties and disturbances. A mathematical model that presents close agreement with experimental measurements is employed to represent the heart functioning. The adopted model comprises a network of oscillators formed by sinoatrial node, atrioventricular node (AV) and His-Purkinje complex (HP). Three nonlinear oscillators are employed to represent each one of the nodes that are connected by delayed couplings. The boudedness and convergence properties are investigated with a Lyapunov-like stability analysis. In order to evaluate the ability of the control law to deal with interpatient variability, the heart model is assumed to be not available to the controller designer, being used only in the simulator to assess the control performance. The results show that, by applying the proposed control scheme, abnormal rhythms can be avoided, turning the ECG closer to the expected normal behavior and preventing critical cardiac responses.
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Systems and Control

PESTO: Formally Correct Registration of LiDAR Point Clouds with Limited Overlap

In this paper we tackle the problem of aligning LiDAR point clouds also known as the point cloud registration problem. We propose a new algorithm, PESTO, that exploits tetrahedra as "universal features" for LiDAR data, i.e., features that are agnostic to the environment where the LiDAR sensors are deployed. We show empirically that PESTO is competitive with existing solutions for aligning LiDAR point clouds, especially in environments with occlusions. Moreover, we establish PESTO's formal correctness by proving worst-case bounds on the alignment error.
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Systems and Control

Agents in the Scene: An Agentic Framework for Resource-Efficient Site-Specific Base Station Deployment

An agentic framework is proposed for autonomous site-specific base station (BS) deployment in wireless network planning. In contrast to conventional approaches that rely on manual site surveys or extensive ray-tracing (RT) simulations with significant human intervention, the proposed framework autonomously explores and optimizes BS deployment under a limited RT evaluation budget, enabling resource-efficient network planning. To this end, a continuous, geometry-grounded deployment action space is first constructed from three-dimensional (3D) wireless digital twins. Within this action space, an agent team operates through a stateful perception–reasoning–reflection loop. Specifically, a Placement Agent first generates candidate BS deployments in two complementary modes: an experience-guided mode that refines promising solutions, and an exploration mode that avoids getting stuck in local optima. After the candidate deployments are evaluated through RT, a Reflection Agent interprets the RT results together with the scene geometry, identifies performance-limiting factors such as blockage, overlapping coverage, and uncovered areas, and converts these diagnoses into guidance for subsequent deployment. Through this iterative process, site-specific experience is accumulated and deployment plans are optimized without human intervention. Numerical results in two realistic urban scenarios show that: 1) the proposed approach substantially outperforms heuristic, learning-based, and large language model (LLM)-assisted methods; 2) it achieves highly competitive coverage against the optimal solution while requiring substantially fewer transmitter-level RT evaluations; 3) site-specific reflection effectively turns raw RT feedback into refinement guidance, whereas the dual-mode mechanism preserves diversity and facilitates escape from local optima.
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Systems and Control

Chaotically Paced Transit of an Embedded-Leader Swarm with Local Spring-Damper Formation Control

This paper treats planar swarm transit along a fixed route when no ground station streams the reference in flight. One embedded leader stores the deployment point and the destination, generates the reference onboard, and drives its progress rate with a saturated coordinate of a Chua oscillator; the saturation keeps the rate inside a prescribed positive band, which gives explicit bounds on the reference arrival time. This leader broadcasts the one scalar rate to the other leaders; every leader adds it as a velocity feedforward and holds its station by single-pinned consensus on position error, while followers use only relative position and velocity feedback through a spring-damper network. For kinematic leaders and double-integrator followers on fixed graphs with ideal information exchange, the leader errors decay exponentially, the follower errors are bounded, and the whole swarm eventually stays inside the destination area whenever the final formation fits strictly inside it. Ten simulations with 30 agents compare the chaotic rate with a constant rate. The reference arrivals satisfy the analytical bounds, and the chaotic rate raises the error of a constant-velocity predictor at all three tested horizons, at the cost of a larger but bounded follower error. The analysis does not address internal link failures or model-aware observers.
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Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.LG

The Attention Within: Consensus Dynamics in Selective State Space Models

Selective state space models (SSMs) have recently emerged as a compelling alternative to transformers, combining competitive performance with substantially improved inference efficiency. At each SSM layer, a sequence of hidden states are propagated by a recurrence, mixing information of different tokens. Despite using a different mechanism, this mixing plays a role analogous to attention in transformers. In fact, recent works have shown that the two architectures may be closer than they first appear, as this recurrence admits a formulation akin to linear attention. In transformers, attention is known to drive the tokens to cluster, i.e., to reach consensus, collapsing in the limit to a single direction. Thus, we ask: does the recurrence at the core of SSMs drive the tokens to consensus, as attention does in transformers? To answer this question, we take a dynamical systems perspective on SSMs, modeling the evolution of tokens across layers as an ordinary differential equation. By exploiting input-to-state stability arguments, we establish local exponential stability of the consensus equilibria and characterize their domain of attraction for time-varying weight matrices, a setting not addressed by previous results. We thereby show that the resemblance between SSMs and transformers does run deeper: the recurrence at the core of SSMs aggregates tokens just as attention does. Numerical experiments on a pretrained Mamba-2 model point to the output gate as the component that regulates the extent of this consensus, preventing the tokens from reaching it in full.
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Systems and Control

On the Optimal Co-location of Data Centers with Renewable Energy Sources in SIDS

The rapid expansion of data centers presents both economic opportunities and systemic risks for Caribbean Small Island Developing States~(SIDS). This paper develops a PyPSA-based capacity expansion framework for optimal co-location of data centers with renewable energy infrastructure, incorporating behind-the-meter battery storage, workload flexibility (70%/30% inflexible/flexible split), and multi-bus transmission topology. Two case studies are examined: Trinidad~&~Tobago (single-bus, 92\,MW Brechin Castle solar, 5\,MW data center) and Jamaica (4-bus 138\,kV JPS network, 15\,MW data center at Kingston). Jamaica's optimum deploys 405\,MW solar, 278\,MW wind, 800\,MWh grid-scale BESS, and 84\,MWh behind-the-meter BESS, achieving 42.5% renewable penetration; Trinidad's gas-anchored optimum builds no new RE, and a sensitivity analysis shows solar entering at gas costs above \$65--70/MWh, a carbon price of \$25–50/tCO$_2$, or solar CAPEX of \$800/kW. A post-hoc distributionally robust stress test evaluates hurricane resilience, and a novel 10-factor siting framework addresses the regulatory gap in SIDS that lack data-center-specific zoning. Results show that energy-optimal locations may score poorly on societal criteria—noise, freshwater stress, zoning readiness. This demonstrates the need for integrated planning tools in small island contexts.
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Systems and Control · Cross-listed from math.OC

The BAR-SOT Method: Long-term Average Cost Control as Stochastic Optimal Self-Transport

We reformulate average-cost (ergodic) control of a Markov jump process as a finite-horizon stochastic optimal transport (SOT) problem that jointly optimizes over the controlled evolution and the marginal law from which it starts and returns to (i.e., a self-transport). The constraint relating the marginal flow to the controlled generator is the basic adjoint relationship (BAR), so we call the resulting problem BAR-SOT. For any time horizon T>0, its optimal value is a constant scaling of the long-run average-cost rate. We give three equivalent formulations (through controlled processes, a Fokker–Planck constraint, and relaxed marginal measures) and show that the optimal dual is a stationary potential plus a term linear in time, with slope equal to the rate. A relative-entropy penalty on the control yields a cost-tilted Schrodinger bridge problem, computable by a Sinkhorn-type iteration when every transition rate is controlled, whose value converges to the unregularized optimum as the penalty vanishes. We develop the theory for finite Markov decision processes and then for general controlled Markov jump processes. A neural parametrization of the dual, trained as a physics-informed neural network (PINN), that encodes Harrison's equivalent-workload formulation (see Harrison 2000) matches the strong reinforcement-learning baseline of Dai and Gluzman (2022); numerically conditioning the fit of a sub-dominant transverse correction then improves on both that baseline and the best priority heuristic. On the input-queued switch, a graph-attention parametrization of the dual improves on the strongest matching heuristic we are aware of, with a parameter count that does not grow with the switch size.
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Systems and Control

Mixed-Integer Nonlinear Differentiable Predictive Control for Underground Pumped Hydro Energy Storage Systems

This paper extends Mixed-Integer Differentiable Predictive Control (MI-DPC) to multi-modal discrete decisions and nonconvex polynomial dynamics arising in Underground Pumped Hydro Energy Storage Systems (UPHES). A neural policy mapping problem parameters to continuous setpoints and integer mode selections via a Gumbel-Softmax layer is trained in a self-supervised manner by differentiating the expectation of the finite horizon control objective through the nonlinear dynamics model. Three methodological contributions enable this extension: a parallel differentiable simulator that preserves gradient magnitude, a Transformer encoder that captures long-range temporal dependencies, and a Gumbel-Softmax temperature annealing schedule that regularizes the combinatorial search. We demonstrate the framework on day-ahead scheduling of a UPHES, a large-scale mixed-integer optimal control problem with nonlinear unit performance curves and volume-head coupling. MI-DPC achieves only 1.6% suboptimality relative to a piecewise mixed-integer quadratic programming baseline, while providing five orders of magnitude speedup in online scheduling time.
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All authors Honghui Zheng, Ján Boldocký, Yury Dvorkin, Ján Drgoňa

Tuesday 15 September

Systems and Control · Cross-listed from stat.OT

When Can World Models Recover Physical Laws?

Accurate prediction does not establish that a world model has recovered a physical law: distinct dynamics can generate identical records under the same observation protocol. We formulate law recovery on a fixed physical domain under an explicit catalog of experiments, sensor uncertainty, and an acquisition budget. A rate–distortion converse separates the information needed to describe a law from the information the apparatus can reveal. Its constructive counterpart gives a finite response codebook and an explicit decoding budget. On compact world classes, uniform recovery is possible exactly when every pair of different laws is experimentally distinguishable; equivalently, the apparatus can recover all the entropy of every finite law source. An inverse response modulus quantifies stability. For Lipschitz fields on a $d$-dimensional state–action domain, noisy full-state readouts after resets require minimax budget $\Theta(\varepsilon^{-(d+4)/2})$ for squared law error $\varepsilon$, compared with $\Theta(\varepsilon^{-(d+2)/2})$ for direct field observations. Exact crossing-time symmetries establish the lower bound under adaptive experiment selection and arbitrary durations with constant inputs. Reproducible synthetic cases illustrate the separate roles of intervention, calibration, and repeated measurement. Together, the results identify which evidence supports a claim of physical-law recovery and the cost of acquiring it.
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Systems and Control · Cross-listed from math.OC

Day-ahead Coordination of Virtual Power Plants within Active Distribution Networks using Deterministic Bi-Level Optimization

This paper proposes a deterministic bilevel optimization framework for the coordinated operation of Virtual Power Plants (VPPs) embedded in an active distribution network. The Distribution System Operator (DSO) acts as the upper-level leader, minimizing a weighted combination of expenditure, active losses and voltage deviation subject to nonlinear AC power flow constraints, while each VPP operates as a lower-level follower that maximizes its profit under the uniform price signal issued by the DSO. Unlike most existing formulations, which linearize the lower-level subproblem to obtain a Mixed-Integer Linear Program (MILP), the proposed model retains the full AC Optimal Power Flow (AC-OPF) equations, producing a bilevel Mixed-Integer Nonlinear Program (MINLP). The lower-level problem is replaced by its Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) optimality conditions and the Strong Duality Theorem, yielding a single-level Mathematical Program with Equilibrium Constraints (MPEC). Complementarity conditions are then linearized via the Fortuny-Amat big-M transformation. The framework is validated on the IEEE 33-bus feeder over a 24-hour horizon, with four distributed resources aggregated into a single VPP. Compared with individual dispatch against a regulated time-of-use tariff, aggregation reduces active losses by 10.5 %, the accumulated voltage deviation by 18.3 %, and the bus-hours below 0.95 p.u. from 132 to 29. These gains cost 0.31 % in social cost and 0.26 % in DSO expenditure, while the rent of the aggregator is preserved.
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All authors Laura M. Barajas-Arguello, Rafael A. Núñez-Rodríguez, Daniel Gebbran, Clodomiro Unsihuay-Vila

Systems and Control

Predicting Viral Evolution from a Single Early Measurement Using the Target Cell Limited Model

Recent advances in diagnostic techniques have enabled the accurate quantification of early-stage viral loads. A key problem of interest is translating these measurements into predictive clinical insights, such as forecasting a patient's onset of infectiousness and peak infection severity. In this work, we address this problem using the Target Cell Limited (TCL) model. Because the host's internal biological states are practically unobservable, predicting the viral trajectory from a single noisy viral load measurement is highly nontrivial. To overcome this, we introduce a novel coordinate transformation that converts the nonlinear viral dynamics into a monotone system. By leveraging monotone systems theory and taking into account invariant subspaces of the transformed system, we derive explicit analytical formulae that establish a strict upper bound on the peak viral load and a guaranteed lower bound on the time to infectiousness using a single early viral observation.
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Systems and Control

Hybrid Sequential Feedback Optimization for Wind Farm Power Maximization

This paper considers feedback optimization for optimal steady-state operation of nonlinear discrete-time systems when the steady-state input-output map and its sensitivity are expensive to compute. We propose a hybrid extension of sequential feedback optimization (SFO) that augments the model-based SFO gradient with correction terms through a convex combination with summable diminishing weights. Two variants are studied: one based on recursive least-squares (RLS) sensitivity estimation, and another on extremum seeking control (ESC) gradient estimation. Under contractivity and smoothness assumptions, we show that both hybrid schemes preserve the convergence of SFO to a neighborhood of the optimal steady state. The proposed methods are validated through a wind farm power maximization problem using a medium-fidelity model, demonstrating improved early transient performance compared to pure SFO.
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Systems and Control

Multi-Scale Datacenter Power Modulation

Cloud datacenters must increasingly modulate power in response to time-varying grid and infrastructure constraints. We study this problem as finite-horizon control of a networked hybrid dynamical system, where datacenter power and service capacity depend on interactions between servers, workers, and hosted services. Power can be reduced through fast continuous worker throttling, which acts immediately but degrades service capacity, and slow discrete server transitions, which provide deeper savings but evolve with delay. Coordinating these mechanisms yields a high-dimensional mixed-integer dynamic optimization problem which is intractable to solve at scale. We propose a hierarchical receding-horizon controller that separates slow server reconfiguration from fast throttling recourse. For fixed server states, the throttling layer reduces to a service-level convex recourse problem solved efficiently by dual decomposition. The server layer then uses a ranked-prefix search that evaluates candidate configurations through the recourse value over the planning horizon. Experiments on realistic instances with over 15,000 servers, 200,000 workers, and 1,400 services show that the controller satisfies time-varying power caps with no violations and substantially lower service impact than fast-only or slow-only baselines. Our method offers significant speedups compared to standard optimization solvers, computing near-optimal plans within a 20 second real-time control interval.
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All authors Akshay Sreekumar, Nicolas Christianson, Fiodar Kazhamiaka, Ram Rajagopal

Systems and Control

Synthetic Electric Vehicle Charging Session Generation Using a Conditional Variational Autoencoder

The increasing adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) is expected to place significant additional demand on residential distribution networks, creating a need for realistic charging datasets for planning and simulation studies. However, access to real-world EV charging data is often limited due to privacy constraints, incomplete records, and restricted availability. This paper proposes a conditional variational autoencoder (CVAE) for the generation of synthetic EV charging sessions from real transaction-level charging data. The model is trained on engineered session features describing plug-in duration, charging duration, delivered energy, charging delay, and cyclical time-of-week, while conditioning on day of week and managed charging status. A Gaussian negative log-likelihood (NLL) reconstruction loss is employed to model feature-wise heteroscedastic uncertainty, and the latent space is regularised using a Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence term. The statistical fidelity of the generated data is evaluated using distributional metrics and downstream task performance through the Train-on-Synthetic-Test-on-Real (TSTR) protocol. Results demonstrate that the proposed approach produces synthetic EV charging sessions that preserve key statistical properties of the original dataset while supporting predictive modelling tasks.
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Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.RO

SPROUT: The Open-Source Soft Growing Robot for Search and Rescue

Soft robotic systems have long been theorized as ideal candidates for use in search and rescue operations; however, there have been significant barriers to entry in graduating soft robotic systems from the laboratory to the field. To address this gap in replicable, reliable soft robot systems, we present the designs for SPROUT, the Soft Pathfinding Robotic Observation Unit. The system has matured over years of interaction with professional urban search and rescue communities, with the goal of operating in dusty, wet, and isolated conditions. This manuscript contains supplementary material, including code, parts manifests, CAD assemblies, and build instructions to allow the broader robotics research community to build their own SPROUT systems. The modular hardware and ROS 2-based software stack support task-specific payloads and control functions, allowing SPROUT to be adapted for applications beyond search and rescue, including infrastructure inspection and archaeology. Here, we demonstrate SPROUT performing a variety of challenging inspection and traversal tasks in collapsed structure training sites used by first responders. The main project page is available online at https://sprout-mitll.github.io/sprout/.
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All authors Antonio Alvarez Valdivia, Ciera McFarland, Robert Reeve, Ankush Dhawan, Chad Council, Megan Richardson, Margaret McGuinness, Nathaniel Hanson