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Quantitative Biology

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Tuesday 25 August

Cell Behavior · Cross-listed from physics.bio-ph

Quantifying the Biophysical Properties of Red Blood Cells in Gaucher Disease

Gaucher disease (GD), the most common lysosomal storage disorder, alters red blood cell (RBC) mechanics and circulation, contributing to vascular occlusions, bone infarcts, and splenomegaly. However, the individual roles of GD-RBC biophysical properties in these processes remain unclear. Here, we present a combined computational-experimental investigation to quantitatively characterize GD-RBC biophysical properties and determine how specific mechanical parameters drive abnormal RBC behavior. Informed by experimental data, we independently quantify key RBC properties, including shear modulus (mu), surface-to-volume ratio (S/V), and bending modulus (k_c). Based on these parameters, we construct three GD-RBC subtypes (GD-RBC1-3) to systematically isolate their individual contributions. At the single-cell level, optical tweezers simulations show up to ~27% reduction in axial diameter and ~42% reduction in transverse compression. Tank-treading dynamics exhibit non-monotonic behavior, with rotation frequencies increasing by up to ~70% or decreasing under elevated bending rigidity. In confined flow, traversal times through microchannel constrictions increase by more than a factor of two, while splenic slit passage times rise from ~250 ms (control) to >1200 ms for the severe GD-RBC subtype, approaching a functional no-passage threshold. At the population level, viscosity simulations demonstrate that these alterations collectively elevate blood viscosity, with small fractions (~4.0%) of highly rigid cells disproportionately increasing flow resistance. Overall, this study provides a quantitative and mechanistic framework that disentangles the contributions of key RBC parameters to abnormal behavior in GD, linking cellular-scale biophysics to hematologic dysfunction and microvascular occlusion.
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All authors Zhaojie Chai, Marine de Person, Pierre A. Buffet, Melanie Franco, George Em Karniadakis

Populations and Evolution · Cross-listed from math.DS

Kernel-Dependent Pattern Formation in a Population Model with Nonlocal Facilitation and Competition

Spatial patterns, such as those in dryland vegetation models, have historically been studied in systems of reaction-diffusion systems with pattern onset via a Turing bifurcation from a spatially uniform state. More recently, spatial patterns have been considered in models that incorporate spatially extended interactions via nonlocal interaction kernels. It remains largely underexplored if and how the choice of nonlocal interaction kernel contributes to differences in pattern formation and persistence, particularly in models that contain competition and facilitation. Here, we investigate spatial patterns in a reaction-diffusion model for a single species that includes nonlocal competition and facilitation processes; Gaussian, exponential, algebraic, hat, and smooth hat kernels are considered as specific examples. Via a center manifold analysis, and using the relative spatial scale of competition to facilitation and the death rate as bifurcation parameters, we identify that the choice of kernel has impacts on the pattern forming bifurcation. Bifurcations using the Gaussian, exponential, and algebraic kernels largely follow expectations of Turing patterns, but patterns in the hat and smooth hat kernels can form even when the scale of competition is less than that of facilitation. The dynamics of patterns far from onset are investigated via numerical continuation methods. The model produces the so-called "Turing-before-Tipping" phenomenon demonstrating that the arrangement into spatial patterns is an effective resilience mechanism against harsh conditions. Again, there is a kernel-dependent dichotomy in pattern behavior. Early warning signs for population extinction are observed with the Gaussian, exponential, and algebraic kernels, but not under the hat or smooth hat cases.
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Monday 24 August

Quantitative Methods

Beyond Tokens: Probing Higher-Order Epistasis in Learned Protein Representations

Protein fitness landscapes contain nonlinear interactions in which mutation effects depend on other residues. We introduce ORBIT, an Order-Resolved Benchmarking of Interaction Transformations framework that separates interaction presence, representation accessibility, and functional recovery. ORBIT first validates Walsh-based diagnostics on synthetic landscapes with known interaction order, then analyzes the experimentally measured GB1 fitness landscape under the FLIP 2-vs-rest setting. We compare ridge regression, a standard MLP, independent tokens, nonlinear independent tokens, and Residual Interaction Tokenization (RIT). Across 20 paired training seeds, the primary two-hidden-layer comparison found no significant architecture differences in FLIP test R^2, third- or fourth-order functional recovery, or final-layer third- or fourth-order accessibility. However, RIT significantly increased pairwise accessibility at the token stage relative to both independent-token controls (Delta A_tok,2 = 0.2468, d_z = 1.67, Holm-adjusted p = 1.14 x 10^-5), without a detectable downstream higher-order advantage. A pre-specified depth/capacity analysis showed that deeper MLPs improved FLIP prediction, third-order functional recovery, and final-layer third-order accessibility; fourth-order accessibility also improved relative to the shallow MLP but remained below zero in absolute held-out R^2. ORBIT therefore reveals representation-level changes hidden by conventional prediction metrics and distinguishes early interaction-aware encoding from higher-order structure constructed by downstream nonlinear capacity.
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Quantitative Methods

Finch: Toxicity Dose Response Curve Prediction of Chemical Compounds and Mixtures

A holistic approach to chemical mixtures is reshaping risk assessment emphasizing mixture testing over single compounds eliminating animal testing and advancing modeling methods. Most computational models still focus on individual chemicals and conventional mixture models like concentration addition and independent action are limited they struggle with multiple Modes of Action and often miss synergistic or antagonistic effects. Regulatory agencies need faster more efficient models that go beyond these constraints. Finch addresses these challenges with a novel workflow. It integrates molecular descriptor based frameworks and deep learning embeddings in multi task quantitative structure activity relationship models for improved chemical exposure prediction. DL embeddings preserve information from diverse inputs molecular descriptors physicochemical properties and large language model embeddings from SMILES by distilling key features into a latent space enhancing machine learning predictions. Finch multi task learning optimizes multiple loss functions simultaneously leveraging all available data to learn generalized representations. This enables effective modeling of complex ingredient interactions within mixtures offering a significant advancement for regulatory safety assessment.
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All authors Abdullah Shouaib, John Zapanta, Sean P. Davern, Samuel Dixon, Zachary R. Stromberg, Becky Hess, Sydney Schwartz, C Mark Maupin

Neurons and Cognition · Cross-listed from cs.CV

Primate vision reveals a missing principle for robust dynamic AI

How does an intelligent visual system combine what objects look like with how they move while remaining robust as appearance changes? We addressed this question by comparing human perception and neural activity in macaque inferior temporal cortex with representations from image- and video-based neural networks spanning recognition, segmentation, optic-flow processing and predictive world modeling. Temporal integration improved object representations, but most video recognition models generalized poorly when appearance was disrupted while motion structure was preserved. Humans and macaque IT remained robust. Notably, predictive world models combined strong cross-appearance generalization with the closest correspondence to IT, outperforming other video-modeling approaches in neural fidelity. Yet no model reproduced the cortical transformation from early appearance-dominated responses toward later appearance-invariant motion coding. These results identify progressive integration of motion into object representations as a principle of robust dynamic vision and implicate predictive learning as a promising route toward realizing this computation in artificial systems.
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Genomics

Optimizing RNA yield using deep neural networks coupled to massively parallel screening

Messenger RNA (mRNA)-based therapeutics have emerged as a powerful platform for vaccines, protein replacement therapies, and cancer immunotherapy. A critical bottleneck in mRNA development is manufacturing large quantities of RNA economically, as measured by RNA yield emerging from an in vitro transcription (IVT) reaction. However, how promoter-adjacent DNA sequences influence RNA yield remains poorly characterized. Here, we present an integrated deep learning framework that leverages massively parallel next-generation sequencing (NGS) assays to measure RNA yield across large sequence spaces. A library of 10^5 randomized oligonucleotide sequences was designed to systematically explore sequence diversity within a defined structural context. DNA and RNA abundances were quantified in parallel using Illumina sequencing, enabling high-resolution measurement of sequence-to-yield relationships at scale. Sequences were one-hot encoded and used to train deep learning models, using a convolutional neural network architecture. The model achieved a Pearson correlation of 0.94 between predicted and experimentally measured RNA yield on a held-out test set, demonstrating strong generalization across diverse sequence contexts. Importantly, the trained model can be deployed in a production environment to score and rank novel RNA sequence designs by predicted IVT yield, enabling cost-effective, pre-experimental prioritization of the most manufacturable candidates. This framework establishes a scalable, data-driven approach to DNA and RNA sequence optimization, with broad applicability to vaccine antigen design, therapeutic protein delivery, and synthetic biology. By integrating high-throughput experimentation with advanced deep learning modeling, it significantly reduces screening costs and accelerates RNA engineering cycle times.
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All authors Dinghai Zheng, Justin Hong, Jun Wang, Adrien Villain, Mickaël Costallat, Fernando Ulloa Montoya, Vikram Agarwal

Populations and Evolution

The Informational Model of the Holobiont: Statistical Tests for Selection and Extension to a Theory of Variable Interactions

We review, clarify, and generalize a recently proposed evolutionary information-theoretic model of the holobiont, in which evolutionary change is quantified using Jeffreys divergence and partitioned into contributions from the host, microbial components, and host-microbiome associations. Building on these partitions, we develop statistical tests to identify whether observed informational change is attributable to selection acting on host types, microbial-component states, or particular host-microbiome combinations. We then extend the framework to multicomponent groups subject to within- and between-group selection and, ultimately, to a general hierarchical formulation that we call the Theory of Variable Interactions (TVI). In this formulation, biological units may contain interacting components and may themselves form higher-level sets, allowing informational change to be partitioned recursively into marginal and association components across an arbitrary number of organizational levels. The framework encompasses previously studied models of the tragedy of the commons and of aggregate and multicomponent holobiont selection, and, as a further specialization, informational models of non-random mating and sexual selection. TVI therefore provides a unified information-theoretic framework for quantifying evolutionary change in both biological entities and their interactions, with local statistical dimensionality preserved across hierarchical levels while higher levels introduce additional relational dimensions.
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Biomolecules

PHASE: encoding global protein ensembles with local Hamiltonians and all-atom backmapping

Protein function is governed by conformational ensembles, which can be viewed as high-dimensional probability distributions over molecular conformations. Yet the statistical organization of these distributions is often represented only implicitly, either through collections of simulation trajectories or within high-capacity generative models. Here, we introduce PHASE (Protein Hamiltonians for Sampling of Ensembles), a system-specific framework that converts atomistic conformational ensembles into an explicit and interpretable statistical model. Applied to ten conformational ensembles derived from approximately 37$\mu$s of atomistic simulations of the adenosine A2A receptor, Hamiltonians containing only local residue couplings within 6$\mathring{A}$ reproduce residue-wise and pairwise microstate statistics, including correlations between residues that are not directly coupled in the model. Moreover, independently fitted inactive and active reference Hamiltonians define an endpoint preference coordinate that organizes newly sampled ligand-, effector- and conformation-dependent ensembles along the A2A activation landscape without receiving these biochemical labels as model inputs. Finally, a cluster-conditioned all-atom reconstruction model preserves the prescribed residue microstate patterns of newly sampled configurations, closing the coarse-graining-sampling-backmapping cycle. The resulting discrete representation additionally admits direct QUBO encoding, enabling classical annealing and providing a route toward future quantum-annealing implementations. PHASE therefore provides a protein-general procedure for constructing compact, interpretable and atomistically realizable statistical models of protein conformational ensembles.
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All authors Daniele Angioletti, Marco Nobile, Matteo Carli, Vittorio Limongelli

Biomolecules

Analysis of correlations of dwell-times of adjacent kinetic states in the activity of the cold and menthol receptor TRPM8

Temperature-sensitive transient receptor potential (TRP) channels play a significant role in intercellular signalling in response to membrane depolarisation and caclium influx. TRPM8 ion channels have been investigated as the main cold receptors (neurosensors), but they can also be activated by voltage, $Ca^{2+}$ store depletion, and certain lipids and other ligands that induce cold sensation (such as menthol and icilin). Despite recent progress in studying these channels at the single-channel level, the mechanisms and time course of their activation remain underexplored. We propose an approach to single-ion channel analysis that elucidates the presence of correlations between dwell-times of adjacent open and closed states. One of the major benefits of this approach is that it can serve as an express test of channel activity properties owing to its simplicity and fast numerical realization. The idea of our analysis is to study the difference between the distribution function derived from the given trace (simulated or experimentally recorded) and the predicted distributions of simple models without correlation. In this way, we compared the distribution function of the difference between the durations of the adjacent open and closed states of the channel, as well as that of a similar sequence of open-closed-open-closed states.
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Other Quantitative Biology

Beyond chlorophyll: machine learning estimates of diagnostic phytoplankton pigments from multispectral ocean colour data

Phytoplankton play a central role in marine ecosystems and the global carbon cycle, with different groups contributing differently to ocean biogeochemical processes. While standard techniques exist for monitoring phytoplankton concentration from ocean-colour data, their community composition remains difficult to observe at large scales. Chlorophyll-a, widely available from satellite ocean-colour observations, is commonly used as a measure of phytoplankton biomass but provides limited information on taxonomic composition. Accessory pigments, some of which are diagnostic of important phytoplankton groups, offer additional information on community structure, but their retrieval from ocean-colour data is challenging because of limited spectral resolution and strong covariance with chlorophyll-a. In this study, we evaluate machine learning methods for estimating diagnostic pigment concentrations from multispectral satellite observations. Using a global dataset of 33,640 High Performance Liquid Chromatography (HPLC) measurements matched with ESA Ocean Colour Climate Change Initiative (OC-CCI) reflectance data, we compare Random Forest and TabPFN models trained on multispectral reflectance with baseline models using chlorophyll-a alone. A temporally stratified validation scheme is employed to reduce the effects of autocorrelation. Results show that multispectral models consistently outperform approaches based solely on satellite-derived chlorophyll-a, demonstrating that ocean-colour reflectance contains additional information relevant to pigment discrimination. Improvements vary by pigment, with those strongly correlated with chlorophyll-a showing limited gains, while others exhibit substantial improvement. These findings highlight the potential of machine learning to extract ecologically relevant information from satellite data beyond conventional chlorophyll-based approaches.
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All authors David Moffat, Angus Laurenson, Victor Martinez-Vicente, Gemma Kulk, Xuerong Sun, Robert J. W. Brewin, Shubha Sathyendranath

Populations and Evolution

Episode Clustering in Phylogenetic Networks

The classical duplication episode clustering (EC) model introduced by Guigó et al. in the 1990s provides a foundational approach for inferring genomic duplication events crucial to understanding genome evolution. This model clusters single gene duplications from a collection of gene trees at locations in the species tree to minimize the total number of such locations, called duplication episodes. Here, we introduce NetEC, a novel extension of this problem to phylogenetic networks. To solve NetEC, we first develop a polynomial-time dynamic programming (DP) algorithm for testing whether a given set of network nodes can serve as episode locations. We then propose a main inference algorithm that utilizes this DP component to optimize the episode count; while the feasibility test runs in polynomial time, the full optimization has exponential worst-case complexity, and an optional heuristic mode is provided for larger instances. We also propose an extended episode analysis procedure that identifies additional genomic duplication candidates below reticulation nodes, complementing the main algorithm by resolving potential upward clustering of duplications induced by reticulation. We evaluate our method on simulated data and on an empirical Pandanales dataset comprising over 29,000 gene trees, demonstrating exact and accurate inference of genomic duplication events even in the presence of multiple reticulations.
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Populations and Evolution · Cross-listed from math.CO

On the maximum size of 2-weakly compatible split systems

We consider a Turán-type problem arising in phylogenetics: determining the maximum size of a 2-weakly compatible split system. This compatibility condition arises in the reconstruction of phylogenetic networks from quartet weights. It was previously shown that a 2-weakly compatible split system has size at most \[ 3\binom{n}{4}+\binom{n}{2}. \] We prove that the maximum size is $O(n^{5/2})$.
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Neurons and Cognition

Dendritic structure enables powerful plasticity

Over the past decades, it has become increasingly clear that the complex morphology of cortical neurons is more than just a quirk of evolution, and that dendritic compartments serve as computational elements in their own right, rather than just providing connections between nerve cell bodies. While most computational studies discuss the enhanced representational capabilities of multi-compartment models as compared to point neurons, we focus here on the implications of neuronal morphology for synaptic plasticity. We argue that the ability of single neurons to simultaneously encode multiple pieces of information gives synapses local access to more than just the classical Hebbian pre- and postsynaptic terms, and with much greater specificity and reaction speed than permitted by other globally modulated factors. Based on a comparative review of recent dendritic learning models, we show how such neuronal compartmentalization can provide synapses with the means for calculating various forms of error signals, which in turn give rise to powerful real-time and fully local instantiations of deep learning through gradient descent. Implemented within cortical microcircuits capable of propagating and manipulating these errors, compartmentalized neurons thus ultimately enable the learning of far more complex tasks than are achievable by globally modulated Hebbian plasticity alone.
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All authors Ben von Hünerbein, Federico Benitez, Kevin Max, Julian Göltz, Paul Haider, Simon Brandt, Arno Granier, Timo Gierlich, Jakob Jordan, Katharina A. Wilmes, Jean-Pascal Pfister, Walter Senn, Mihai A. Petrovici

Molecular Networks

Systematic pathway comparison on the powerset of rule-based biochemical systems

Computational pathway design often focuses on evaluating selected pathways or optimizing fluxes in a fixed network, but gives less direct access to the combinatorial question of which other enzyme subsets of the network can support productive alternative pathways. A structured computational analysis of these networks can act as a valuable pre-step to the pathway design process. We present here a systematic approach for exploring biochemical pathway alternatives across enzyme subsets, using a computational methodology based on a rule-based modeling of the enzymes: for a biochemical system with enzyme set $S$, we evaluate all subsets $s \subseteq S$ by generating chemical reaction spaces, searching for integer-hyperflow pathways from prescribed inputs to target products, and organizing feasible subsets by set inclusion. This yields an inclusion-ordered landscape of pathway feasibility and carbon efficiency. We apply the approach to the non-oxidative pentose phosphate pathway, to non-oxidative glycolysis, and to glycolysis. Across these systems, feasible subsets occupy only a moderate fraction of all enzyme subsets, but the structure of this feasible region differs strongly between the systems. Larger enzyme sets do not consistently improve carbon efficiency when every enzyme in the tested subset is required to participate in the pathway. Instead, performance depends on specific enzyme combinations. The resulting subset landscapes are valuable means for identifying essential enzymes, candidate redundancies, and small high-performing enzyme subsets. By making the enzyme-subset landscape itself the object of analysis, the approach addresses the gap between detailed evaluation of individual candidate pathways and early-stage design decisions about which enzyme combinations are worth investigating at all.
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All authors Anne-Susann Abel, Sissel Banke, Erika M. Herrera Machado, Jakob Lykke Andersen, Peter Dittrich, Rolf Fagerberg, Daniel Merkle

Molecular Networks

Uncovering Cellular Resolution in scRNAseq via Unbiased Cell and Gene Network Analysis

Conventional annotation of single-cell RNA-sequencing (scRNA-seq) data relies heavily on manual, marker-based thresholding, an approach that can obscure subtle transcriptomic gradients and collapse functionally distinct cell states into broad, heterogeneous populations. Here we apply the Gaussian multi-Graphical Model (GmGM) framework, which jointly infers cell-cell and gene-gene dependency structure from a single scRNA-seq data matrix, to a 10x Genomics PBMC dataset. Ten independent GMGM-Leiden clustering runs were integrated into a robust consensus partition using a soft cluster ensemble approach and benchmarked against reference cell-type annotations. This strategy yielded stable cluster partitions that resolve biologically meaningful sub-populations not distinguished by the reference annotation. In parallel, for each cluster, gene co-expression modules were extracted from the fitted model via consensus Leiden clustering across resolutions, evaluated using standard network metrics, and validated functionally with the Network Enrichment Analysis Test (NEAT), which confirmed non-random enrichment signal. A module-scoring procedure linked network topology to per-cell, per-cluster expression signatures, and a novel extension of GmGM, recovering a shared cell-cell network together with population-specific gene networks in a single model run, was demonstrated in a case study on the CD4+ T-cell population. These results indicate that GmGM provides a unified, reproducible framework for joint cell clustering and gene-network inference, capable of revealing cellular structure beyond that captured by conventional pipelines.
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All authors Olga lanzetta, Luisa Cutillo, Bailey Andrew, Claudia Angelini

Genomics · Cross-listed from cs.LG

RIBOSPAN: A Long-Context RNA Foundation Model for Versatile RNA Modeling

Full-length RNAs, particularly messenger RNAs, often exceed the context lengths used to pretrain existing RNA foundation models, limiting complete-transcript modeling at single-nucleotide resolution. We present RIBOSPAN, a 1.61-billion-parameter bidirectional RNA foundation model natively pretrained with context lengths up to 10,240 nt. RIBOSPAN combines dense bidirectional self-attention, single-nucleotide tokenization, and attention-isolated sequence packing to enable high-resolution modeling of complete long RNAs. Native 10K pretraining preserves strong reconstruction at 10,240 tokens and, in a controlled long-context benchmark, maintains strong contextual responsiveness and context-specific representation separation while keeping perturbation-induced changes highly localized. Inference-time YaRN scaling recovers much of the contextual organization lost by direct short-context extrapolation, but induces substantially greater distal representation diffusion. Frozen RNA-type evaluations show that RIBOSPAN learns state-of-the-art RNA representations, with a particularly clear advantage on long RNAs. Across downstream biological benchmarks, RIBOSPAN emerges as the strongest encoder-only RNA foundation model, achieving state-of-the-art performance in both full-transcript biological property prediction and zero-shot mutation-fitness modeling. Building on the same backbone, we develop a multidimensionally conditioned discrete-diffusion framework for full-length mRNA generation and redesign, including synonymous-codon diffusion for protein-preserving CDS optimization. Together, RIBOSPAN establishes a powerful long-context foundation for transferable RNA representation learning, biological prediction, and full-transcript mRNA design.
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All authors Ziyuan Wang, Bohao Tang, Fei Zhang, Shuo Han, Pengfei Liu

Neurons and Cognition

Temporal filling-in reduces attentional fluctuations in sustained visual attention

Our capacity to maintain focus on task-relevant goals over time is constrained because attentional states wax and wane moment to moment. One theoretical account posits that temporal filling-in - filling temporal blank intervals between target stimuli - reduces attentional fluctuations to enhance sustained attention. This proposal, however, lacks direct empirical validation given the difficulty of tracking attentional fluctuations via behavioral measurements. To resolve this gap, we combined a visual timing task that assessed the behavioral benefit of temporal filling-in with electroencephalographic recordings of visual steady-state evoked potentials (SSEPs), which tracked neural responses associated with periodic attentional fluctuations entrained to the rhythmic visual sequence. Behavioral improvements in sustained attention via temporal filling-in were associated with reduced attentional fluctuations, as indexed by attenuated visual SSEP amplitudes. The findings highlight a fundamental neural mechanism whereby temporal filling-in reduces attentional fluctuations to stabilize sustained visual attention over extended periods.
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Populations and Evolution · Cross-listed from physics.soc-ph

Evolution of cooperation with Q-learning: how much information do we need?

Cooperation is ubiquitous in both natural and human societies, yet its evolutionary basis remains a major challenge. A long-standing puzzle is whether having more information leads to better decision-making and thus a higher level of cooperation. To address this question, we adopt a recently developed reinforcement learning framework in which individuals learn through trial and error to maximize cumulative rewards - a paradigm that has successfully explained diverse emergent patterns in human behaviors. Specifically, we equip a structured population with the Q-learning algorithm and systematically vary the size of the interactive neighborhood, which serves as a proxy for perceived information. Interestingly, we observe a non-monotonic relationship between cooperation prevalence and neighborhood size in both two-dimensional square lattices and Barabasi-Albert scale-free networks. This inverted U-shaped dependence reveals that an optimal amount of information exists, yielding the highest level of cooperation. Mechanistic analyses show that a moderate neighborhood size enables individuals to strike an optimal balance between information sufficiency and decision-making tractability. This balance allows them to detect reciprocal opportunities while avoiding the deterioration of decision quality due to information overload. Our findings challenge everyday intuition, suggesting that a proper amount of information - not more - is optimal for the emergence of cooperation.
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All authors Yile Ku, Xin Ou, Jiqiang Zhang, Shengfeng Deng, Huiji Yue, Li Chen

Sunday 23 August

Quantitative Methods

Spatial-Molecular Information Analysis Based on Histopathological Geometry: KL-Divergence Decomposition of Cell Distribution and Location-Dependent Expression States in PD-1 Immunohistochemistry

Spatial biology enables molecular expression to be analyzed together with the location of cells in tissue. However, it is often difficult to distinguish whether cells preferentially accumulate near a histopathological boundary from whether their molecular expression states vary with that location. To establish informational scientific framework, we define boundary distance as R and a binary molecular expression state as G, and compare the observed joint distribution P\left(R,G\right) with Q\left(R\right)P\left(G\right), where Q\left(R\right) is a null distribution determined by tissue geometry. The resulting Kullback-Leibler divergence decomposes into D_{R}, which quantifies deviation of the spatial distribution of cells from the geometric null, and I\left(R;G\right), which measures how strongly molecular expression state depends on boundary distance. Idealized simulations and semi-synthetic validation using geometry reconstructed from a PD-1 IHC image confirmed that these two effects can be generated separately and recovered by the corresponding terms. Plug-in estimators showed positive finite-sample bias, supporting permutation-based inference. We then applied the framework to five publicly available PD-1 lung cancer IHC images from the Human Protein Atlas. In pooled analysis, I\left(R;G\right)=0.0302 nats and was significant in a stratified within-image label-permutation test (p=0.00040). This framework provides a quantitative way to distinguish where cells are located from how their molecular expression states vary with tissue location. Larger cohorts, independent datasets, additional cancer types, and other molecular markers will be required to establish generalizability and clinical utility.
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Quantitative Methods · Cross-listed from stat.ME

A general-purpose sensitivity method for multiple simultaneous parameter perturbations in stochastic reaction networks

Stochastic reaction networks are continuous-time Markov chain models for interacting populations, with applications in biochemistry, epidemiology, ecology, and related areas. We study finite-difference sensitivity estimation when a single estimator requires several nearby parameterized paths. Existing variance-reducing couplings are typically pairwise, so that repeated use is either inefficient or requires application-specific choices in multi-path settings. We introduce the multi-path stacked coupling (MSC), a space-time Poisson construction that jointly generates any finite collection of parameterized paths. Each pairwise marginal of MSC has the same law as the corresponding split coupling pair, allowing existing variance bounds to transfer directly; in finite-state settings, we also obtain first-order expansions for the mean and second moment of finite-difference numerators. We apply MSC in three settings of practical importance: estimating many first derivatives simultaneously, estimating a single first derivative using a wider finite-difference stencil, and estimating higher-order derivatives. Numerical experiments on a processive phosphorylation network demonstrate strong performance in each of the three application areas considered, consistent with the theoretical advantages of MSC: across all three applications, MSC achieves the smallest root mean square error (RMSE) among the methods considered over the tested computational budgets.
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Populations and Evolution

The first major transition: Origin of life from a multilevel selection perspective

The origin of life is the first, arguably, the most important and also the most enigmatic major transition in evolution (MTE). As all MTE, the transition at the origin of life can be constructively addressed only within the conceptual framework of multilevel selection. The two levels of selection relevant for the origin of life are replicators, and reproducers, that is, compartments (protocells) capable of reproduction via a primitive form of division. The symbiotic model for the origin of life presented here posits that cellular life was preceded by protocells that harbored proto-metabolic networks but not genetic elements (replicators), Replicators could have started as selfish elements inside protocells selected only for replication efficiency, but subsequently, would evolve into mutualists such that the reproducer-replicator union became a new, collective unit of selection. Mathematical modeling of replicator-reproducer coevolution identifies the conditions under which replicator-carrying protocells can outcompete empty protocells. For the replicator-carrying protocells to and get fixed in evolution, replication has to be coupled with protocell division, selection for the highest replication rate being partially suppressed. At the earliest stages of evolution, random, stochastic protocell division was advantageous compared to symmetrical division. The multilevel selection perspective illuminates the likely order of key events on the evolutionary route from ensembles of chemicals to cells endowed with genomes, symmetrical cell division and anti-parasite defense systems.
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Biomolecules · Cross-listed from physics.chem-ph

From Steady-State to Ultrafast: Resonance Raman Approaches for Biological Samples

Vibrational spectroscopy reports on molecular structure with chemical-bond specificity, but in biological systems the vibrational signals of a target chromophore are typically buried under contributions from the surrounding matrix. Resonance Raman (RR) spectroscopy addresses this problem by matching the excitation wavelength to an electronic transition of the chromophore of interest, which increases Raman cross sections by up to six orders of magnitude and restricts the enhanced modes to those coupled to the resonant electronic state. This chapter introduces the physical basis of resonance enhancement and shows how RR isolates chromophore-specific vibrational markers in complex biological systems. We then extend the same principle into the time domain with femtosecond stimulated resonance Raman spectroscopy (FSRRS). In FSRRS, the Raman pump is tuned across the visible range and can be placed in resonance with the transient absorption of a chosen excited-state species, which makes the Raman pump wavelength an additional experimental variable. Sampling this variable across the excited-state absorption manifold provides a selection criterion that separates coexisting transient species sharing a common vibrational window.
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Saturday 22 August

Biomolecules

PSLL: Persistent Sheaf Laplacian Learning for Protein-Ligand Binding Affinity Prediction

Accurate prediction of protein-ligand binding affinity remains a central challenge in computational drug discovery due to the complex interplay among molecular geometry, physicochemical interactions, and atom-specific charge information. In this work, we introduce a Persistent Sheaf Laplacian learning (PSLL) framework for protein-ligand binding affinity prediction. The proposed approach constructs multiscale topological representations from three-dimensional protein-ligand complexes by incorporating atomic partial charges into sheaf restriction maps over Vietoris-Rips and alpha complex filtrations. To capture chemically diverse protein-ligand interactions, we introduce element-specific and category-specific atom-pair representations within the PSLL framework. Harmonic and non-harmonic spectra extracted from the resulting persistent sheaf Laplacians are used as molecular descriptors. To complement the PSLL-derived molecular representation, we incorporate transformer-based protein embeddings and SMILES-derived ligand descriptors for binding affinity prediction. The scoring power of the proposed multiscale PSLL model is validated against existing state-of-the-art methods on three widely used PDBbind benchmark datasets, including PDBbind-v2007, PDBbind-v2013, and PDBbind-v2016. The computational results indicate that the proposed PSLL model achieves strong predictive performance across benchmark datasets, highlighting its potential as an interpretable and mathematically grounded framework with promising generalizability for molecular machine learning and drug discovery.
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Populations and Evolution · Cross-listed from math.PR

From Individual-Based Stochastic Epidemics to Heterogeneous SIR Equations

We develop a stochastic framework for a broad class of heterogeneous SIR epidemic models. In the finite-population construction, each initially susceptible individual is assigned a fixed nonnegative susceptibility, and infection occurs when the accumulated population-level infection pressure exceeds an individual random threshold. Infectious periods are independent and exponentially distributed with a common recovery rate. For any susceptibility distribution with finite mean, we prove a uniform-on-compact law of large numbers for the susceptible, infectious, removed, and cumulative infection-pressure processes. In the limit, an individual with susceptibility lambda remains susceptible under cumulative pressure x with probability exp(-x lambda). It follows that the susceptible fraction is given by the Laplace transform of the initial susceptibility distribution, while the incidence rate is governed by the mean susceptibility among those who remain susceptible. The resulting limits recover several familiar heterogeneous SIR systems, including the classical power-law model, and also yield other closed nonlinear incidence forms. The framework therefore provides a unified probabilistic foundation for deterministic epidemic models with persistent individual heterogeneity.
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All authors Olga Izyumtseva, Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh, M. Gabriela M. Gomes, Grzegorz A. Rempala

Subcellular Processes · Cross-listed from cond-mat.soft

Voltage dynamics of spherical membranes from single ion channel currents

Ion channels and pumps drive ion-selective currents through cell membranes at localized sites, yet a cell's electrical state is routinely summarized by a single transmembrane voltage. Combining theory and numerical simulations, we resolve the spatiotemporal dynamics of charge reorganization driven by a localized current on a spherical membrane vesicle. At early times, the response is insensitive to membrane geometry: as in the case of a flat membrane (arXiv:2407.11947; arXiv:2508.14001), the transmembrane voltage decays in a monopolar fashion, varying inversely with distance from the source, and crosses over to a dipolar tail that scales as the inverse cube of distance. Under sustained current, this monopolar response spreads outward from the source. Because the vesicle is closed, this response cannot persist indefinitely; once the monopolar front traverses the entire vesicle, the subsequent charging dynamics is dominated by a spatially uniform mode corresponding to capacitive charging of the membrane. We further decompose the bulk potentials into an electrostatic image-charge component that generates the bulk electric fields and a spatially uniform capacitive mode that can be represented as an equivalent circuit. We also derive a nonlocal cable equation governing the transmembrane voltage dynamics and show that the uniform mode is its long-time solution. This work provides a first-principles basis for the electrophysiological simplification of an electrotonically compact cell.
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All authors Sirui Ning, Joshua B. Fernandes, Karthik Shekhar, Kranthi K. Mandadapu

Quantitative Methods · Cross-listed from eess.IV

Pretreatment DCE-MRI Resolves Response Quality Within Pathologic Endpoints in Neoadjuvant Breast Cancer

Pathologic complete response (pCR) is a strong neoadjuvant endpoint, yet 5-15% of complete responders recur and clinical/genomic variables do not reliably identify them. We tested whether pretreatment dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI entropy - intratumoral enhancement heterogeneity - resolves response quality hidden within pCR and residual cancer burden (RCB). Across four cohorts (1,200 patients), a prespecified entropy threshold defined favorable and adverse structural states. Crossing structure with pathology yielded a four-tier framework spanning 4.1-fold recurrence in I-SPY1 and 7.7-fold at response extremes. In I-SPY2, 55 of 219 complete responders (25.1%) were structurally adverse, pretreatment. In an external HER2-positive responder synthesis (I-SPY1 pathology-confirmed pCR plus UCSF best-response proxy; n = 33, 10 events), adverse structure was associated with higher recurrence risk (HR = 2.87, 95% CI 1.38-5.96) capturing 7 of 10 recurrences, enriching rather than determining risk. In a HER2-positive RCB-0 subset, recurrence was 12.5% with favorable and 80.0% with adverse structure; Firth Cox regression preserved the association (HR = 8.13, 95% CI 1.71-49.21; n = 21, 6 events). In Duke (n = 908; 76 events), favorable structure remained independently associated with lower distant-recurrence risk (adjusted HR = 0.61, 95% CI 0.41-0.91). RNA linked favorable structure to a directionally reproduced immune-architecture program among non-overlapping patients within ISPY2; EMT-pathway enrichment was favorable-side, while the adverse tier contained a broadly immune-depleted substate. Yet full-cohort RNA models weakly discriminated structural state and did not recover continuous entropy. Pretreatment MRI therefore does not replace pCR or RCB; it reveals response-quality differences that these endpoints compress and identifies a recurrence-enriched group for prospective validation.
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Molecular Networks

DigiPhen: a new paradigm for building predictive models of biological systems

Reengineered biological systems have the potential to revolutionize chemical and material production, enhance critical mineral recovery, serve as threat sensors and improve human health. Unfortunately, the extreme complexity of organisms has made it difficult to achieve this potential in all but the simplest cases. Recent technological advances, however, have provided a foundation for solving this problem. Here, we describe a capability for accelerating the reengineering of cells by providing accurate predictions of the impact of genetic or environmental changes on cell phenotype. This digital phenome platform (DigiPhen) consists of integrated experimental, analytical and modeling workflows for building a digital representation of microbial or plant systems. It is designed around an expanding set of interchangeable, interconnecting software and experimental modules that can accurately represent the mechanistic determinants of phenotype. The DigiPhen platform will systematically collect data on cell composition, spatial organization, metabolic pathways and regulatory networks in a semi-autonomous fashion and use this information to build modular, multi-scale models of biological systems. These models will be used to predict molecular and environmental changes needed for producing desired biological outcomes. DigiPhen is intended to be the heart of community research campaigns that will meet the immediate needs of individual researchers while fulfilling long-term goals of the scientific community. Altogether, the DigiPhen platform represents a new paradigm for building predictive models of biological systems.
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All authors H. Steven Wiley, Angela Cintolesi, Niaz Bahar Chowdhury, Jaydeep P Bardhan, Song Feng, Steven S. Andrews, Herbert M Sauro, Kristin E. Burnum-Johnson, Scott E. Baker, Douglas Mans

Biomolecules · Cross-listed from cs.LG

ARCHER: Amortized cross-specimen pose estimation for cryo-electron microscopy

Single-particle cryo-electron microscopy (cryo-EM) pose estimation is traditionally solved anew for each dataset, where iterative refinement is done from scratch while the estimator learns to store the molecule in its weights. In this work, we show that pose inference is a generalizable, specimen-agnostic operation when conditioned explicitly on a reference volume. We introduce ARCHER, an amortized contrastive classifier that models the pose posterior over a discrete rotation grid. Trained across a variety of protein structures, it operates zero-shot without retraining per structure. This transferability is grounded in Fourier-space information mechanics, where all specimen dependence is captured by the reference structure's power spectrum and spatial extent. ARCHER achieves a median angular error of 5.0{\deg} on 100 held-out test structures and 2.5{\deg} on experimental particles, matching dedicated estimators within 0.16 Å in 3D reconstruction. Crucially, downstream conformational signal is preserved. The leading conformational coordinate correlates at 0.97 with deposited benchmarks, faithfully reconstructing free-energy basins and mobile domains. These results overall demonstrate that cryo-EM pose estimation can be generalized across different structures.
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Populations and Evolution

Phenotypic Assortment and the Evolution of Cooperation in Finite Periodic Phenotype Spaces

We study the evolution of cooperation in a finite haploid population whose individuals carry both a strategy and a phenotype on a finite periodic space. Cooperators help with a probability that decays exponentially with phenotypic distance, generating graded phenotype-dependent assortment. Under weak selection and a large-population mutation scaling, we combine coalescent arguments with the spectral representation of a random walk on the discrete torus to derive an explicit benefit-to-cost threshold for cooperation to be favored in stationary abundance. Stronger phenotypic discrimination and higher phenotype-space dimension strictly lower this threshold, whereas strategy mutation raises it. In contrast, phenotype mutation has a nonmonotone effect: the threshold diverges for both very rare and very rapid phenotype mutation and therefore attains at least one minimum at an intermediate rate. The high-mutation inhibition results from mixing on the finite phenotype space and distinguishes the periodic model from its unbounded-lattice counterpart.
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Neurons and Cognition

Forward and reverse delay-driven hippocampal replay without symmetric plasticity

Hippocampal replay is a phenomenon observed in mammals and songbirds where neural activation sequences experienced during wakeful periods are repeated during rest or sleep. This mechanism is believed to play a crucial role in episodic memory consolidation, retrieval, and planning. Interestingly, replay can occur in both forward and reverse temporal orders and across a wide range of increased speeds. The learning of activation sequences has traditionally been modeled by temporally asymmetric Hebbian plasticity rules, which explain replay as a chain of activity. The inability of such rules to strengthen backward connections has led to the widespread belief that they cannot account for bidirectional replay. Existing theoretical work therefore explains reverse replay through symmetric connections, which would be formed through symmetric plasticity rules. We propose a delay-coupled neural field model of CA3, where activity propagates as a wave in a ring, and replays occur both forwards and backwards at different speeds. Our model can learn bidirectional replay after a single noisy exposure to a stimulus with either symmetric or asymmetric plasticity. We derive a low-dimensional description of the dynamics and analyze the stability of possible replay speeds.
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All authors Georg Reich, Matthew Cook, Klaus Obermayer, Pau Vilimelis Aceituno