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Saturday 26 September

Systems and Control

A Priority-Aware Dual-Channel Feature Fusion Method for Urban Rail Service Traffic Classification

With the deep integration of 5G and IoT in urban rail transit, service traffic grows explosively and accurate classification of heterogeneous service flows is essential for safe and efficient railway operations. Urban rail communication systems are subject not only to operational disturbances such as equipment failures and maintenance interference, but also to complex transmission patterns characterized by the interleaving of multi-service traffic flows. Under these operating conditions, the widespread deployment of proprietary protocols and the high prevalence of encrypted traffic further diminish the applicability of conventional port-based and Deep Packet Inspection (DPI) classification methods. To address these challenges, we propose a priority-aware dual-channel feature fusion framework. Raw traffic bytes and statistical features are mapped into grayscale images and processed by a dual-branch architecture: a transfer learning-enhanced ResNet extracts fine-grained byte-level textures, while a lightweight CNN captures macroscopic statistical patterns. A channel attention mechanism dynamically recalibrates cross-modal features, and a novel Priority-Sensitive Loss (PSL) that integrates business-criticality awareness with class-balance weighting to maximize recall for safety-critical services. Evaluated on a real-world urban rail dataset using priority-weighted metrics, the method achieves 98.74% accuracy and 99.24% weighted recall, with recall of 99.94% and 99.41% on the two safety-critical services:Communication-Based Train Control(CBTC) and Emergency Radio Dispatch(ERD), providing a reliable classification foundation for priority-aware resource scheduling in urban rail communications. With only 0.18M parameters and 0.4–0.7 ms end-to-end latency, offering an excellent balance between high-precision classification, low inference latency, and edge-deployment feasibility.
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All authors Xinpeng Liu, Junhui Zhao, Zhengyuan Wu, Huaicheng Li

Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.MA

Robust Game-theoretic Motion Planning over Extended Time Horizons

This work presents a solution to nonconvex, game-theoretic motion planning problems subject to disturbances over long time horizons. The problem is posed as a partially-decoupled generalized Nash equilibrium problem, in which each agent's dynamics depend only on its own state and control, admitting fast solution methods for competitive multi-agent motion planning. An algorithm, WOLF, is developed that applies receding-horizon model predictive control to an open-loop differential games solver based on sequential convexification. In contrast to robust formulations that fix the uncertainty description offline, the robustness tube here is itself a dynamic state, co-optimized with the trajectory, and its thickness directly sets the tightening of the shared coupling constraints. A sufficient condition is derived under which a nominal trajectory satisfying constraints tightened against all agents' error bounds remains feasible for every admissible disturbance realization. The method is demonstrated on two adversarial on-orbit games with coupled translational-attitude dynamics: a stealthy co-orbital jamming game under an active detection-probability bound, and a sun-blocking game in which an adversary disables an evader by decreasing solar power
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Friday 25 September

Systems and Control

RFSR-MI-MPC: Ranking-Based Feasible-Set Restriction for Real-Time Control of Reconfigurable Battery Packs

A ranked-prefix feasible-set restriction is proposed for real-time mixed-integer model predictive control of series-connected reconfigurable battery packs with per-cell bypass switching. Cells are ordered at each sampling instant by a one-step objective-informed suitability score, and the engagement variables are constrained to prefixes of that ordering. The restriction reduces the number of admissible per-step engagement patterns from combinatorial to linear in the number of cells while leaving the model, objective, and physical constraints unchanged. For a 20-cell pack driven over a worldwide harmonized light vehicles test cycle, the proposed controller certifies every active step, solves every instance without branching, and reduces the 95th-percentile solver time by a factor of 6.8 relative to the full subset-selection controller. The cycle-mean cell-to-cell state-of-charge standard deviation decreases by a factor of 3.4, and no power curtailment occurs. Same-state reference solves show a mean restriction gap below 0.11% on jointly certified steps, and the computational gains persist across the tested initial conditions, cell heterogeneity levels, pack sizes, and prediction horizons without retuning.
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All authors Albert Škegro, Quan Ouyang, Torsten Wik, Changfu Zou

Systems and Control

Reducing Combinatorial Redundancy in Mixed-Integer MPC via Ranking-Based Feasible-Set Restriction for Reconfigurable Batteries

When mixed-integer model predictive control must select which of several similar units to activate, many same-size selections can yield closely spaced predicted outcomes, and branch-and-bound may fail to certify optimality within one sampling period. We propose a ranking-based feasible-set restriction for this class of decisions: the units are ordered by a suitability score computed at each sampling instant, and a monotone constraint permits only the top-ranked units to be active. The optimizer then chooses only how many units to activate, so the admissible selections per prediction stage grow linearly instead of combinatorially, while the model, cost function, and remaining constraints are retained. We instantiate the method for reconfigurable battery packs in which each series-connected cell can be bypassed, scoring cells with fixed weights on normalized state of health, state of charge, and voltage headroom. In a 20-cell simulation over a dynamic drive cycle with a 1 s limit per online solve, all active online restricted solves terminate at the root node with certified optimality, compared with 77.83% certification for unrestricted subset selection, and the 95th-percentile solver time is lower by a factor of 13.4. The cycle-mean cell-to-cell standard deviation in state of charge falls 8.7-fold without power curtailment, at the expense of 3.45 times as much cell switching. Solving both problems from identical states along two trajectories shows that the restriction raises the optimal cost by 0.26% and 0.14% on average at states where both solves are certified and uncurtailed.
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Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.CR

Attributing Sensor Deviations to Degradation, Weather, or Attack in Oilfield Digital Twins: A Simulation Study of Probabilistic Attribution and Cost-Based Decisions

When an oilfield digital twin disagrees with its instruments, the operator must decide whether the cause is hardware degradation, harsh-weather effects, or malicious data manipulation. Existing digital-twin work appears to treat these causes separately: sensor-validation architectures target faults, and attack-focused twins have been evaluated on water-sector testbeds. We study joint cause attribution on a simulated four-well wellpad with 15 coupled instruments, legitimate operating transients, and weather. A physics-informed twin, identified from normal data only, produces analytical-redundancy residuals; windowed features feed a gradient-boosted classifier whose posterior drives an alarm gate with a fixed false-alarm rate and a cost-based decision rule that may defer to an analyst. On three independently generated sites, the classifier reaches macro-F1 of 0.818 on windows where the injected deviation is observable (0.723 when latent post-onset windows are included at the primary site). The physics twin accounts for essentially all of this: removing the data-driven twin changes macro-F1 by less than 0.01, whereas removing all twins drops it to about 0.58. Attacks are detected quickly (median 1.7 h) but attributed correctly at alarm time only 42% of the time, rising to 73% six hours later. A cost-aware policy that defers ambiguous cases had the lowest expected cost among all policies in every one of 144 cost and prior settings tested, sometimes by a small margin; the result depends on illustrative costs and on analysts resolving deferred cases. A twin-aware attacker was detected in 45% of episodes yet almost never attributed to attack. These results are conditional on the simulator's generative assumptions and have not been validated on field data.
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Systems and Control

An Exact Lyapunov Characterization of Regional Rate Performance for Rational Stability

Rational stability is a quantitative stability notion for nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs), under which convergence is characterized by a rationally-in-time decaying bound on solutions. Although Lyapunov characterizations of rational stability have been proposed, no existing condition has been shown to exactly characterize rational rate performance. The paper resolves this issue by providing an exact converse Lyapunov characterization of regional rational stability with prescribed rate performance. To test the resulting converse Lyapunov conditions numerically, a tiered set of convex relaxations is proposed which can be enforced using Sum-of-Squares (SOS) programming. A conjectured conservatism scaling factor in rate performance is associated with each tier and validated numerically. The first proposed tier appears to be novel and is shown to outperform classical SOS-based approaches. Numerical examples are used to validate the results and compute nested regions of state-space on which prescribed levels of performance can be guaranteed.
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Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.RO

ExoLaN: Physics-Consistent Context-Aware Dynamics Learning for Exoskeletons

Task-agnostic assistive exoskeleton control based on human intention offers greater flexibility than conventional approaches that rely on predefined tasks or motion patterns. Human joint torque estimation enables task-agnostic assistance by characterizing user actions. Physics-consistent methods such as Deep Lagrangian Networks (DeLaN) have been applied to estimate the human torques in multi-user settings, but existing approaches cannot adapt to a specific user without retraining, and do not account for intermittent contacts during locomotion. We propose ExoLaN, a Context-Aware DeLaN for human-exoskeleton interaction that learns the full coupled system dynamics while adapting to changes in interaction context. ExoLaN combines temporal context with partial contact-force measurements from force-sensitive insoles to infer latent dynamics embeddings and estimate generalized contact torques. On seven unseen users performing 21 unseen tasks, ExoLaN reduces torque estimation MSE by 7% compared to a black-box baseline. Beyond inverse dynamics, ExoLaN serves as a unified model that also enables accurate forward prediction: training with a multi-step prediction loss reduces acceleration MSE by 59% and long-horizon position and velocity errors by 60% and 93%, respectively, compared with a single-step loss. Moreover, the learned latent context captures task information without explicit task labels, making it a promising signal for task-aware assistive control.
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All authors Lucas Schulze, Maximilian Schwarz, Jona Hoppe, Jan Peters, Oleg Arenz

Systems and Control · Cross-listed from stat.ML

Equation discovery with Bayesian tree-adjoining grammars

Tree-Adjoining Grammars (TAGs) have recently been introduced to Nonlinear System Identification (NLSI) as a means of encoding an entire model class as a finite set of grammatical rules, from which candidate models are assembled as trees. Existing TAG-based identifiers rely on evolutionary optimisation and return point estimates of the model structure. This paper instead proposes the TAG framework within a Bayesian setting. A generative prior is defined over tree structures and their parameters, and a Reversible-Jump MCMC sampler with structure-preserving tree moves is used to infer the joint posterior over model structure, parameters and predictions. Two training objectives are considered; that is, a one-step-ahead objective with conjugate parameter proposals, and a simulation-based objective handled by likelihood-free inference. The approach is validated on a simulated polynomial NARX system, the Silverbox benchmark, and wave-loading data from the Christchurch Bay Tower, where embedding Morison's equation as a fixed initial tree yields a grey-box model that outperforms the physics-driven baseline. The results demonstrate that Bayesian TAGs are well suited to quantifying uncertainty in equation discovery for dynamical systems and to fitting physics-informed models.
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Systems and Control

Sensitivity-driven Personalization of a Glucoregulatory Model for Digital Twin Therapeutics in Type 1 Diabetes

Digital twins are increasingly used in diabetes research, but reproducing individual glucose dynamics requires accurate identification of glucoregulatory model parameters. Traditional sensitivity analysis can identify influential parameters, yet a ranking based on limited conditions may miss parameters that matter during specific disturbances or for particular individuals. We therefore examine both the magnitude and timing of parameter influence across dynamic input-output conditions and assess whether a common ranking holds across participants. We analyze the Hovorka glucoregulatory model using data from 192 participants receiving automated insulin delivery therapy in the Type 1 Diabetes and Exercise Initiative dataset. We extend Sobol sensitivity analysis to time series and rank parameter influence under four conditions: full-day profiles, isolated meal disturbances, insulin bolus injections, and postprandial responses. We combine the condition-specific results into a global ranking and use it to select parameters for participant-specific identification. Compared with population parameters, identification restricted to the sensitivity-derived subset reduces the root mean square error of 60-minute glucose predictions by 60%, to approximately 31 mg/dL. These findings suggest that a global ranking can capture parameter influence across individuals and dynamic conditions. By narrowing the parameters requiring identification, this approach reduces computational cost and could accelerate the development of personalized diabetes digital twins.
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All authors Clara Escorihuela-Altaba, Vihangkumar V. Naik, Eleonora Manzoni, Jose Garcia-Tirado

Systems and Control

Data-Driven Switched State Estimation with Sparse Sensor Scheduling for Nonlinear Networked Systems

This paper presents a data-driven framework for joint observer design and sparse sensor scheduling for unknown nonlinear networked systems. The nonlinear dynamics are approximated online as a piecewise sequence of locally linearized discrete-time systems, resulting in a switched linear representation recursively identified through Subspace State-Space System Identification (4SID). To ensure consistency across regime transitions, an Orthogonal Procrustes alignment is introduced to promote coordinate consistency across consecutive regime transitions and mitigate artificial discontinuities caused by arbitrary state-space coordinate changes. Based on the identified local realizations, a dual-rate predictor-corrector observer is designed. The observer gain is computed through a convex optimization problem that jointly addresses estimation accuracy, sensor sparsity, and stability requirements. In particular, an L_{2,1}-norm regularization term promotes column sparsity in the gain matrix, enabling the automatic selection of informative measurement channels, while a spectral-norm constraint guarantees Schur stability of the estimation error dynamics. The proposed framework is first validated on a traffic network simulated in Aimsun Next. Results obtained on an 18-link network show that the observer accurately reconstructs macroscopic traffic states while significantly reducing the number of active sensors required for real-time estimation.
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All authors Gianfranco Gagliardi, Franco Angelo Torchiaro, Vincenzo Gallelli, Ayman El Qemmah, Alessandro Casavola

Systems and Control

A Modified Rao-Blackwellised Particle Filter Based on Updated Process Noise Covariance for Chemical Reaction Networks

It is necessary to characterize chemical reaction networks (CRNs) accurately to facilitate engineering of both synthetic and naturally occurring biological systems. Estimation of multiple unknown parameters and states in CRNs requires first, an identifiability analysis, and then adoption of a suitable estimation technique. In this paper, we took an example of a reduced order gene expression system, performed parameter sensitivity analysis for multiple unknown parameters, and used a modified Rao-Blackwellised particle filter (RBPF) to estimate parameters and states. The proposed framework estimates parameters using a particle filter and states using an extended Kalman filter (EKF) with process noise covariance updated recursively based on chemical Langevin equation (CLE). We compared the accuracy of parameter estimation, error in state estimation, and whiteness of the innovation sequence for the proposed filter with fixed choices of noise covariance. We found that the RBPF with updated noise covariance finds a balance between these three criteria, demonstrating its suitability for joint state and parameter estimation for stochastic CRNs.
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Systems and Control

Optimal Power Sharing for Hybrid Energy Storage Systems Based on Karush-Kuhn-Tucker Conditions

Renewable energy power plants are increasingly expected to provide ancillary services to the grid. Yet, the variability of sources such as solar photovoltaics requires additional operational flexibility to deliver these services. In this context, hybrid energy storage systems (HESSs) offer an appropriate solution, because different technologies with complementary characteristics can be applied and leveraged to share the power demand and improve the overall performance. Yet, a proper power sharing requires a detailed model of the storage elements. This aspect has barely been studied in the literature, where most models consider constant efficiencies. Moreover, most formulations are based on optimisation problems that are computationally too demanding to be solved in real time. In this paper, a controller is proposed to minimise the losses of a HESS considering detailed power-dependent efficiency curves of each storage technology. The power sharing method is based on the analytical verification of the Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) conditions, which makes it computationally efficient and suitable for real-world deployment. The proposed controller is applied to a test case consisting of a 10 MW PV power plant with a HESS based on a lithium-ion battery and a redox-flow battery, each with 2.5 MW power and 5 MWh capacity. The main contributions are verified via numerical simulations performed in MATLAB/Simulink, whereas a real-time implementation deployed in OPAL-RT demonstrates the viability of the algorithm for real-time applications.
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Systems and Control · Cross-listed from math.OC

SPPID: Saddle-Point PID for Constrained Optimization

This paper studies constrained optimization problems through the lens of feedback control. Building on the interpretation of Lagrange multipliers as feedback controllers, we propose the saddle-point PID (SPPID) dynamics: a unified proportional–integral–derivative (PID) framework for continuous-time saddle-point dynamics. The proposed dynamics employ PID control for equality constraints and anti-windup PI control for inequality constraints. We show that SPPID is equivalent to a preconditioned primal–dual gradient flow of the augmented Lagrangian. This equivalence reveals the distinct role of each feedback component: integral action enforces constraint satisfaction, proportional action induces the augmented Lagrangian structure, and derivative action modifies the geometry of the primal dynamics via a state-dependent Riemannian metric. For convex problems, we establish convergence to the KKT set together with conditions for global asymptotic stability. For equality-constrained problems, we establish local exponential convergence for nonlinear equality constraints under standard assumptions, and show that projected gradient flow emerges as the infinite derivative-gain limit. For strongly convex problems with affine equality or inequality constraints, we establish global exponential convergence by leveraging contraction theory. Finally, we provide various numerical examples to illustrate the utility of SPPID.
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All authors Veronica Centorrino, Rawan Hoteit, Efe C. Balta, John Lygeros

Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.RO

Precision at Speed: Sample-Efficient Online Model-Based Reinforcement Learning for Hydraulic Excavator Control

Precise, high-speed control remains challenging for robots with complex actuation dynamics. Learning directly on hardware is further constrained by the cost of real-world interaction. We present an online model-based reinforcement learning framework that learns a probabilistic dynamics ensemble model from scratch for sampling-based model predictive control. A precision-gated contouring objective conditions the progress reward on path accuracy, prioritizing precision over speed. In a data-driven excavator simulator, the framework achieves higher sample efficiency than the evaluated model-based reinforcement learning baselines. We validate the framework by learning directly on an 11.5-ton Menzi Muck M445 hydraulic excavator, without demonstrations or simulation pretraining. After 20 minutes of interaction, the controller reaches tracking accuracy comparable to prior learned controllers trained on 100-150 minutes of data. After 40 minutes, it sustains sub-centimeter mean path error at high operating speeds.
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All authors Claudio Canales, Fang Nan, Marco Hutter, Javier Ruiz-del-Solar

Systems and Control

Resource-Aware Rolling-Horizon Controller for Renewable-Based Virtual Power Plants Providing Automatic Frequency Restoration Reserves

Virtual power plants (VPPs) are an effective solution for increasing the penetration of renewable energy sources (RES) in power systems. Moreover, VPPs can provide ancillary services if generators and loads are closely connected and properly coordinated. This aspect has been addressed in several studies, yet they mostly focus on the dispatch optimisation level, leaving real-time operation aspects unresolved. To close this gap, a central controller for VPPs based on a rolling-horizon optimisation is proposed in this work. Its main objective is to maximise revenues while delivering frequency restoration services. A day-ahead optimisation firstly defines the power setpoint and the upward and downward reserves of the VPP. Then, the rolling-horizon optimiser, executed every minute, distributes the power and reserve references between the VPP units to achieve their close tracking while taking into account resource availability (wind speed, irradiance, etc.), operational constraints and battery degradation. The effectiveness of the controller is tested using a two-area interconnected power system under different RES generation and demand profiles. The simulations are performed in MATLAB/Simulink and include detailed dynamic models of the VPP elements, demonstrating the applicability of the algorithm to real systems. The day-ahead and the rolling-horizon optimisation problems are modelled using YALMIP and solved using Gurobi. The obtained results demonstrate the VPP supporting grid frequency restoration by optimally allocating its resources, even under the presence of forecast uncertainty.
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All authors Marco Vinicio Avendaño-Caiza, Juan Diego Rios-Peñaloza, Javier Roldán-Pérez, José Luis Rodríguez-Amenedo, Milan Prodanovic

Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.LG

LipSSM: Structurally Lipschitz-Bounded Cascaded State-Space Model via Metric Transfer between Consecutive SSM Layers

Lipschitz continuity is a fundamental principle in the design of certifiably robust deep neural networks (DNNs), wherein adjusting the Lipschitz constant, which quantifies network robustness, is of central theoretical importance. A standard approach to enforcing Lipschitz continuity requires each layer of a DNN to be Lipschitz continuous, thereby guaranteeing overall Lipschitz continuity. However, this layer-wise approach typically imposes overly conservative restrictions by producing a loose estimate of the overall Lipschitz constant, which limits the expressive capacity of the DNN and degrades empirical performance at a prescribed level of robustness. To overcome this loose estimation, the recently proposed LipKernel transfers information across layers to yield a much tighter overall Lipschitz bound than conventional layer-wise construction. In this paper, we extend this concept to cascaded state-space models (SSMs) to construct Lipschitz-continuous DNNs capable of modeling longer-term dependencies. The proposed architecture, named LipSSM, is theoretically justified and empirically evaluated.
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All authors Natsuki Yoshino, Ren Uchida, Kazuki Matsumoto, Kohei Yatabe

Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.RO

A Second Torque Port for Series Elastic Actuators: Parallel-Integrated Design and Time-Scale Torque Allocation

A series elastic actuator has a single torque port and pays for it twice: the geared motor must swing its own reflected inertia through the spring, so the amplitude it delivers collapses as $\omega^{-2}$ in the command frequency $\omega$ once it saturates, while commands below the transmission's breakaway friction never arrive at all. This letter opens a second torque port on the load side, placing a frameless direct-drive micro motor in parallel with a fixed-stiffness spring – a parallel-integrated SEA, or Pi-SEA, whose delivered torque is read from spring deflection and micro current without a sensor – and dividing the commanded torque between the two channels by time scale rather than by filter design. The micro torque loop is the fast subsystem, which makes the closed loop singularly perturbed and turns the separation the channels need into a bound to check rather than a crossover to tune; a leaky mid-ranging integrator returns the steady load to the spring; and the amplitude ceiling, read backwards, becomes a closed-form sizing rule that matches spring, geared motor and micro motor to the amplitudes and frequencies an application asks for. Against SEAs, the Pi-SEA widens the tracked band at small amplitudes and lowers the residual the joint imposes on its environment, each by an order of magnitude.
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All authors Donghao Jia, Xiubo Xia, Junhang Liu, Zeyu Zhu, Xiaoyu Geng, Jian Sun

Systems and Control

AC Power Flow Contingency Analysis Using a Single Deep Neural Network

Contingency analysis using the AC power flow (AC-PF) model is a critical tool for accurate grid security assessment, but its computational burden increases with the number of operating scenarios and outage configurations to evaluate. Recent ML-based approaches typically require outage-specific training data, leading to offline training costs that scale with the number of contingencies. This work proposes a framework that reuses a single ML model trained solely on basecase AC-PF data to estimate post-contingency operating states under arbitrary single-line outages. The proposed approach formulates post-contingency state prediction as a fixed-point iteration. If the ML model is a deep neural network (DNN), we derive sufficient conditions that guarantee convergence and develop semidefinite programming (SDP) formulations to certify these conditions for a given DNN. Numerical tests on the IEEE 118-bus system demonstrate that the proposed SDP formulations are tight, that the certified conditions hold for all tested contingencies, and that the resulting method produces accurate post-contingency state estimates within only a few iterations.
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Systems and Control

Decision-Gated Surrogate-Assisted Stochastic Optimization with Independent High-Fidelity Certification for Photovoltaic Hosting-Capacity Planning

High photovoltaic (PV) penetration planning requires repeated nonlinear PV and power-flow evaluations under uncertain irradiance and demand, particularly when two competing objectives, penetration and total electrical loss, are optimized simultaneously subject to reliability constraints. This paper develops a decision-focused, surrogate-assisted stochastic multiobjective framework in which a calibrated PV model coupled with a distribution-network simulator provides the high-fidelity reference, while matched data-only and physics-informed surrogates accelerate optimization and are evaluated empirically for decision reliability across the loss-penetration tradeoff. Although the two surrogates exhibit nearly identical held-out errors, optimizer-realistic screening yields markedly different operational validity rates of 44.4% and 93.4%, respectively, motivating selection of the physics-informed model on decision performance rather than test accuracy. Surrogate inference cuts the cost of a 60-scenario design evaluation from 286.0 to 0.46 ms, an approximately 620 time speedup. A decision-gated enrichment strategy further targets Pareto-critical, constraint boundary, and surrogate-disagreement regions, reducing prediction error by 39.1%. Independent 500 scenario certification verifies all 80 screened candidates and identifies 46 non-dominated designs; the selected compromise attains 70.74% expected penetration with 297.9 kW expected total electrical loss. Cross-feeder transfer eliminates baseline voltage violations on the 85- and 69-bus systems, but produces overvoltage and a 62.7% increase in feeder-network loss on the 33-bus system, demonstrating that certified penetration is topology-specific and demands decision-level auditing, independent certification, and feeder-specific validation.
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All authors Ali Abubakar, Samuel Essamuah Assabil, Akhtar Hussain, Van-Hai Bui

Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.RO

SeA-RVINS: Semantic-Aware Tightly Coupled RTK-Visual-Inertial System with Correlation-Preserving Robust Estimation for Urban Navigation

Reliable absolute pose estimation in urban environments is undermined by outlier measurements and incorrect temporal associations that can persist in tightly coupled estimators. Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) observations provide globally referenced measurements but are prone to multipath effects. Visual-inertial sensing supplies local motion constraints, but false visual associations can corrupt the estimator. We present SeA-RVINS, a fixed-lag factor-graph Real-Time Kinematic (RTK) visual-inertial system for robust urban pose estimation. A semantic-aware learned stereo frontend rejects unreliable tracks before persistent landmarks enter the graph. For double-differenced GNSS measurements, SeA-RVINS applies Dynamic Covariance Scaling through configurable batch, scalar, and latent-pivot robust formulations while retaining the shared-pivot correlation structure. We propose a hybrid ambiguity-continuation strategy that shares one ambiguity state over short arcs with verified continuity and softly links successive arcs through random-walk factors. On an approximately 20-km route from the public TEX-CUP dataset, including about 50% deep-urban driving, the latent-pivot configuration achieves 100% availability and a 1.6-m maximum horizontal error, with 96.16% and 99.90% of epochs below 1.0 and 1.5 m, respectively. The implementation is released as open-source software
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Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.DC

Job Class Thermal Intent Aware Liquid Cooling Allocation for AI Data Centers

GPU-dense AI data centers need to run on liquid cooling as air simply cannot shed the heat at these power densities. Yet the cooling loops themselves are blind to what workloads are about to run; they crank up flow only after a sensor catches a temperature climb, which can take 30 to 50 seconds. We built Job-Class Thermal Intent (JCTI) to close that window. The scheduler already knows a job is coming and what class it belongs to; JCTI feeds that information straight to the cooling controller so it can stage coolant before the heat shows up. We pulled the thermal signatures for each job class out of MLPerf GPU power traces and tuned arrival patterns against Alibaba cluster data. Over 120 paired Monte Carlo trials the numbers come out to 56.4% fewer thermal violations and 60.2% less cumulative overshoot than a straight PI loop. As AI data centers evolving towards gigawatt grid loads with highly fluctuating power swings, thermally-aware scheduling reduces sudden demand and improves load prediction in grid side. Cooling and scheduling have been running as two separate systems for years despite each one knowing something the other needs, JCTI wires them together.
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Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.RO

Moving Horizon Estimation for Quadrotors: An $\mathcal{L}_1$ Adaptive Optimizer Approach

Moving Horizon Estimation (MHE) is a state estimation method based on finite-horizon optimization that can offer higher accuracy at the cost of increased computation compared to Kalman filter-based approaches. We present a linear smoothing MHE formulation as a dense Quadratic Program (QP), and a solver consisting of a continuous-time Newton's method augmented with the $\mathcal{L}_1$ Adaptive Optimizer ($\mathcal{L}_1$-AO). While MHE is inherently time-varying, conventional approaches treat it as a sequence of independent, time-invariant problems and employ iterative solvers at each time step, which can be both inaccurate and computationally burdensome. In contrast, time-varying solvers track the optimal solution with fewer iterations by exploiting the temporal evolution of the problem, thereby reducing the computational load. In this research, we enhance both the performance and efficiency of MHE through a time-varying solver with an $\mathcal{L}_1$-AO augmentation that compensates for the prediction inaccuracy, which is common in practice due to noisy sensors and the lack of prior knowledge of the system. Simulation results on a quadrotor platform show that the $\mathcal{L}_1$-AO-augmented approach solves the MHE optimization problem more efficiently than the baseline time-invariant solver and achieves higher estimation accuracy under challenging conditions, compared with both the Extended Kalman Filter and the standard MHE.
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All authors Thinh Nguyen, Minkyung Kim, Sandeep Banik, Jinrae Kim, Naira Hovakimyan

Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.RO

Learning Vision-Based Agile Gap Traversal: Differentiable Simulation with a Warm-Started Critic

Traversing narrow gaps is challenging for autonomous quadrotors, especially when control commands come directly from high-dimensional visual observations. Existing end-to-end methods often rely on behavior cloning or full-rollout backpropagation through time (BPTT) via differentiable simulation, which can limit policy performance or incur high training costs. We propose a two-stage reinforcement learning framework for more efficient ego-centric visuomotor gap-traversal policy training, leveraging quasi-analytical policy gradients (QPG) via differentiable simulation and critic warm-starting. The framework utilizes QPG to avoid backpropagation through visual rendering, reducing computation and memory costs while improving sample efficiency. In the first stage, an expert actor and critic are trained using privileged observations, including gap geometry. Unlike prior gap-traversal approaches, our training utilizing QPG does not require resetting the agent along optimized reference trajectories. In the second stage, a visual policy is trained using binary gap masks from two ego-centric cameras and low-dimensional observations, while its privileged critic is warm-started from the first stage. This substantially improves training efficiency and traversal success compared with cold-starting the critic or using full-rollout BPTT. Our framework does not require retraining the expert actor when system parameters change, enabling more efficient generalization across drone platforms than state-of-the-art visual gap-traversal methods based on action supervision. The learned visual policy also generalizes to gaps with unseen shapes. Extensive real-world experiments further demonstrate robust gap traversal using binary masks rendered online. Beyond gap traversal, the proposed framework is generic and can be extended to other visuomotor robot learning tasks.
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All authors Nuthasith Gerdpratoom, Tianchen Sun, Yichao Gao, Lin Zhao

Systems and Control

Certificate-Carrying Distributed Model Predictive Control on Product Manifolds with $\mathrm{SO}(3)$

This paper studies constraint certification in synchronous distributed model predictive control (DMPC) when neighboring predictions change between sampling instants. Before the parallel local solves, each agent communicates a shifted prediction and an announced update budget. A hard trajectory trust region makes that budget enforceable, while an edge-wise feasibility cap computed from the shifted packets keeps the fallback feasible without using any current optimizer output. Distance and relative-attitude constraints are tightened with explicit Lipschitz constants and two budget layers: one accounts for the simultaneous neighbor update and the other retains a checkable shift reserve. We prove hard pairwise constraint satisfaction and recursive feasibility under stated nominal-execution and terminal assumptions, give the additional residual caused by execution error, and derive a local practical value-decrease bound. A spacecraft formation example uses hard terminal and pairwise constraints, a geodesic relative- attitude constraint on $\SO$, and reproducible terminal-set checks. Comparisons with fixed, trajectory-only, and windowed online margins show that the proposed budget reduces conservatism while preserving a positive shifted-feasibility margin.
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All authors Shengjun Zhang, Tingyi Liu, Lei Xu, Tao Yang

Thursday 24 September

Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.LG

HydroSphere: A Framework for Governed, Self-Healing Wastewater Infrastructure

Rapid industrialization and urban growth are increasing pressure on water quality and wastewater treatment systems, while conventional treatment plants often rely on static monitoring and control strategies that cannot easily adapt to changing pollutant conditions. This paper presents HydroSphere, a governed, data-driven framework for real-time water quality monitoring, forecasting, treatment optimization, and fault recovery. HydroSphere is evaluated using 2.82 million water-quality measurements collected between 1940 and 2023. The framework integrates three main components. First, a hybrid TCN-LSTM model performs multi-step forecasting across seven water-quality parameters, achieving an RMSE of 0.1417, MAE of 0.1047, and R2 of 0.3596. Second, the Adaptive Dosage Optimization Module uses PPO reinforcement learning to adjust chemical dosing, achieving a mean step reward of 1.059 compared with 1.017 for a fixed-dose baseline. The results also show that unconstrained reward optimization can lead to excessive dosing, demonstrating the need for explicit operational safeguards. Third, the SHADE anomaly detection module uses a deep autoencoder to identify sensor and process anomalies, achieving an F1 score of 0.651 under controlled fault injection. HydroSphere combines these capabilities with tiered governance, deterministic safety bounds, and human oversight to support safer and more adaptive water infrastructure. The framework provides a scalable foundation for intelligent wastewater management and supports the objectives of UN Sustainable Development Goals 6 and 13.
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All authors Prabu, Fancy C, Suresh A, Srini Ramaswamy

Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Bounded Autonomy and Verifiable Safety for Agentic AI Enabled Automation

Agentic AI-enabled automation cannot be safely deployed in high-stakes environments on probabilistic reasoning alone. A recurring risk is epistemic drift: as reasoning deepens, system behavior may move away from subject-matter-expert constraints for safe operation. This paper presents BRaVeS, a bounded reasoning and safety-governance framework termed the Defensible Next-Gen Reasoning System (DNRS). BRaVeS encodes SME-defined constraints as invariant anchors, proposes MoDA-Style (Mixture of Depths Attention) depth-aware access as a candidate mechanism for keeping these anchors visible during inference, and uses a state hierarchy (SMARtAutonomy) to reduce autonomy as epistemic risk increases. To formalize bounded recovery, we introduce the Lyapunov-Bounded Consensus Framework (LBCF), which maps continuous epistemic-risk signals into a finite K-bag abstraction and applies shielded state transitions that enforce Lyapunov-style energy descent or route the system to a human-mediated terminal state. The formal convergence result applies to the finite LBCF abstraction under fixed thresholds and feasible-shield assumptions; it does not prove safety of the full continuous neural activation space. We evaluate the framework through a discrete event Monte Carlo simulation using HAI 22.04 industrial-control-system time-series data with synthetic noise and sensor-degradation regimes. Across the tested parameter-grouping strategies and thresholds, the LBCF process achieved finite-step convergence and no safety-guard violations. These results provide simulation-based evidence that bounded governance behavior can be enforced under the stated abstraction, while motivating future work on deployed transformer implementations, live human-in-the-loop validation, and broader adversarial settings.
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Systems and Control

Vulnerability-Weighted Routing of Timing-Critical Nets for Configuration-Upset-Resilient SRAM-Based FPGAs

Conventional FPGA routing optimizes timing, congestion, and routability but does not distinguish routes with similar nominal performance and substantially different susceptibility to configuration-induced delay degradation. This paper presents a vulnerability-weighted routing methodology for SRAM-based field-programmable gate arrays (FPGAs) that incorporates predicted routing-fault severity directly into the routing objective. A continuous vulnerability cost relates delay perturbations caused by electrically attachable dormant routing resources to the available downstream timing slack, while a complementary configuration-concentration term discourages excessive localization of vulnerable resources. To limit implementation disruption, only the highest-risk nets are selectively ripped up and rerouted while unaffected routes remain fixed. The method is implemented on a Zynq UltraScale+ XCZU7EV using a Vivado/RapidWright-based flow and evaluated across four routed benchmarks against commercial timing-driven routing, vulnerability-agnostic rerouting, and binary vulnerable-resource avoidance. Controlled configuration-equivalent perturbations provide hardware-level validation. The proposed method reduces aggregate configuration-induced timing vulnerability by 41.7% with approximately 1.0% nominal timing degradation and captures 85.8% of the vulnerability reduction obtained at the expanded routing budget by rerouting only the highest-risk 5% of eligible nets. The results demonstrate that continuous vulnerability information can improve configuration-upset resilience with limited impact on nominal routing quality.
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Systems and Control

ThermE: Predictive Management of Shared Thermal Headroom for Sustained LLM Inference on Thermally Constrained Edge SoCs

Compact edge system-on-chip (SoC) platforms increasingly run sustained LLM inference under thermal constraints, while their CPU, GPU, and RAM share a cooling path. Prefill and decode therefore consume shared, time-varying thermal headroom, yet vendor governors react only near hardware throttling thresholds without knowledge of request state or upcoming work. A control decision that improves current performance can thus consume headroom too quickly and degrade subsequent service. In this paper, we present ThermE, a runtime system that predicts and jointly manages shared thermal headroom for sustained LLM inference on edge SoCs. Its Fast LLM-to-Heat Compiler maps the model, requests, runtime state, and candidate actions to domain heats without executing LLMs. A partial differential equation (PDE)-constrained Headroom Predictor uses ThermPINN for offline thermal identification and a Reduced Headroom Predictor (RHP) for low-overhead online uncertainty-calibrated headroom forecasts. An Uncertainty-Aware Action Scheduler then selects actions that balance serving quality and future headroom. We implement ThermE atop vLLM and evaluate it across four LLM inference workloads. The results show that ThermE reduces TTFT and TPOT by 40.55% and 12.17%, respectively, relative to vLLM. It achieves a 5.70% SLO violation rate, compared with 12.30% for the strongest baseline, while its predictor obtains a 1.94 $^\circ$C MAE with 11.50 ms overhead.
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Systems and Control · Cross-listed from eess.AS

PRIME-ANC: Path-Ratio-Informed Modeling for Efficient Neural Filter Synthesis in Active Noise Control

Changes in listener acoustics require active noise control (ANC) filters to be redesigned for new acoustic paths. We introduce PRIME-ANC, a shared neural synthesizer that learns a bounded, path-dependent logmagnitude correction to a regularized path-ratio base. Minimum-phase reconstruction and truncation produce finite-impulse-response (FIR) filters; training optimizes their noise-control performance. Across ten random training/test splits per dataset, PRIME-ANC achieves average held-out one-third-octave reductions of 18.81 and 17.76 dB over 50 Hz-5 kHz on a ten-path dataset and a public earphone database, respectively. On original earphone measurements, it improves upon the path-ratio base by 7.89 dB. Ablation studies support the contributions of both the analytic base and the path-dependent correction. Given calibrated paths for a held-out listener condition, PRIME-ANC generates a path-specific FIR without iterative optimization. With three Gauss-Newton updates, it reaches 21.43 dB reduction, approaching direct weighted least-squares design while producing lower amplification and root-mean-square control output.
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All authors Yaokun Huang, Chunyang Xu, Haowen Hua, Sen Lin, Shichao Hu, Mengyao Zhu

Systems and Control

Resilience Enhancement of Distribution Grids Through a Three-Stage Framework for Scheduling Mobile Energy Storage Systems

As high-impact, low-probability disturbances such as extreme weather events increase in frequency, enhancing power grid resilience has become a critical priority. Mobile Energy Storage Systems (MESSs) have strong potential for helping with this purpose due to their high operational flexibility and fast deployability. They can be rapidly relocated to supply critical loads, support islanded operation, and adapt to changing conditions of the grid, making them a promising addition or alternative to conventional resilience-providing methods. This paper proposes a three-stage framework for scheduling MESS units. In the first stage (Normal Operation), charging/discharging scheduling of MESSs at buses is optimized for economic arbitrage. Upon receiving an early warning signal, the second stage (Proactive Positioning) shifts the focus to resilience. Here, the model determines the optimal staging points within the transportation network to minimize the expected time of arrival at critical loads, considering the probability distribution of line outages. The third stage (Dynamic Relocation) addresses the post-event restoration phase, in which MESSs are relocated in response to grid updates, such as subsequent line failures. Furthermore, a graph neural network-based solution approach is proposed to further enhance computational efficiency in determining the optimal placing of MESS units during the pre-allocation and relocation stages. The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed framework reduces expected energy not served and improves the restoration speed.
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