Systems and Control
Identification of the Steering and Speed Systems of a Four-Wheel-Steering Tractor for Optimal Control
Riikka Soitinaho and Timo Oksanen
Model-based control design requires sufficiently accurate model of the system-to-be-controlled. This paper addresses the system identification of steering and speed control of a four-wheel-steering agricultural tractor for the purpose of developing path tracking control. To this end, we investigate the steering and speed control systems of the tractor. These are complex systems with digital, mechatronic, and hydraulic components challenging to model based on first principles. We take a data-driven approach to estimating the system models. The resulting model combines the kinematic model of the vehicle, actuators modelled as first-order systems, and estimated values for time constants and transport delays.
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Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.GT
Strategic Information Transmission over Gossip Networks
Emirhan Tekez, Melih Bastopcu and Sinan Gezici
We consider a fully connected gossip network of $n$ nodes that track a binary continuous-time Markov source through a strategic sender transmitting updates under a communication budget at a rate that depends on the source state. The receivers exchange packets through gossip and decide whether to follow the sender. We model this interaction as a Stackelberg game and analyze it through a
stochastic hybrid systems (SHS) framework. We prove that the sender's budget constraint binds at every interior optimum, reducing its problem to a one-dimensional search on the budget line. When the sender pushes its preferred state at the higher rate, the receivers gossip at the highest available rate. Gossip has no direction of its own and works against the asymmetry in the sender's policy rather than reinforcing it. We prove that an optimistic Stackelberg
equilibrium exists, and that it is unique and explicitly characterized whenever a policy on the strategic half of that line is feasible at the gossip cap. Monte Carlo simulations agree with the analytical recursion.
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Systems and Control
AgentHomeID - Agent-based modelling of building stock transformation: A multi-scale framework for policy assessment and infrastructure planning
Helen Ganal, Sarah Becker, Sascha Holzhauer et al. (+4 more)
Decarbonising the building sector is central to meeting
climate targets, yet existing models rarely capture the interaction between system-level transformation dynamics and heterogeneous individual investment decisions. This work presents AgentHomeID, an
agent-based model of building stock
evolution in which owner behaviour, techno-economic constraints, and regulatory frameworks are represented explicitly at the level of individual buildings and their owners. The model differentiates owner-occupiers, private landlords, and institutional owners, using willingness-to-pay (WTP) parameters estimated from empirical decision-maker studies, and operates on both representative building archetypes and real building data derived from geographic information systems (GIS). We demonstrate this versatility across three applications. At national scale, scenario analysis for Germany to 2045 shows that removing binding renewable heating requirements substantially raises final energy demand even where envelope refurbishment is unchanged, and that subsidy allocation and investment activity diverge sharply across owner types and income quartiles, with the lowest quartiles persistently underinvesting. At regional scale, bottom-up simulation for a German distribution grid planning region yields spatially concentrated heat pump uptake at NUTS-3 level that differs from aggregated top-down projections in both magnitude and spatial distribution. At urban block level, the same simulations resolve substation-level load heterogeneity and show that integrated system peaks driven by heat pumps, electric vehicles, and photovoltaics do not coincide with individual technology peaks. Across all three scales, owner heterogeneity and local structure materially shape transition pathways, indicating that they should be represented explicitly in models used for policy assessment and infrastructure planning.
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All authors Helen Ganal, Sarah Becker, Sascha Holzhauer, Thilo Glißmann, Friedrich Krebs, Martin Braun, Philipp Härtel
Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.AI
The Normalization of Deviance in AI Development
Emilio Barkett, Alexander Kimpton, Daniel Graham et al. (+1 more)
Work on the risks of artificial intelligence has focused predominantly on capability risk: the danger that systems become too powerful, too autonomous, or too misaligned with human values. Far less
attention has been paid to the organizational level—to whether the institutions building these systems are themselves predisposed to drift toward failure. This paper argues that they are. Regardless of how capable AI systems become, the organizations building them face the same structural dynamics that preceded past major technological disasters. Drawing on case studies of the Space Shuttle Challenger, the Three Mile Island accident, and the Boeing 737 MAX crashes, this paper identifies the common structural mechanisms preceding each failure and maps them onto contemporary AI development. The findings suggest that existing safety infrastructure may provide less protection than it appears, as organizations can complete safety processes in full compliance and still produce catastrophic outcomes. The pre-disaster period of AI development is still underway; the purpose of this paper is to make these dynamics legible while they can still be interrupted.
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All authors Emilio Barkett, Alexander Kimpton, Daniel Graham, Yusuf Kundgol
Systems and Control
Practical Zero-Trust for Mission-Critical Robotic Fleets via Hardware Attestation and Packet Timing Watermarking
Ryne Gonzales, Ethan Liesdyanto, Rex Worley et al. (+3 more)
Autonomous unmanned vehicles are vital to tactical missions, mission-critical public-safety operations like search and rescue and disaster response. However, their reliance on open wireless links and standard
Robot Operating System (ROS 2) middleware exposes a broad cyber-physical attack surface. A compromise of these systems can disrupt real-time control loops, leading to mission failure or asset loss in high-stakes environments. This paper presents and empirically evaluates a layered, context-aware cybersecurity framework enforcing Zero-Trust principles for a multi-node robotic fleet over Wi-Fi. The framework integrates an active hardware root of trust (TPM 2.0), centralized in-band and out-of-band SIEM telemetry monitoring (ELK Stack and Kismet), and a non-cryptographic Inter-Packet Delay (IPD) timing watermark. Evaluated on a live ROS 2 mobile testbed under multi-layer exploits (OSI Layers 2-5), results demonstrate that while volume-based filters isolate brute denial-of-service floods, tracking the statistical sample kurtosis (K) of the embedded IPD watermark exposes stealthy Man-in-the-Middle command injections with complete detection accuracy without payload overheads.
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All authors Ryne Gonzales, Ethan Liesdyanto, Rex Worley, Michael Frederick, Jaewon Kim, Eman Hammad
Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.MA
SimTIO: A Simulation-Grounded Multi-Agent LLM Framework for Compositional Traffic Intervention Optimization
Shuyang Li and Ruimin Ke
Traffic analysts must translate diagnosed bottlenecks into executable interventions without allowing local improvements to degrade network-wide performance. This study presents SimTIO, a simulation-grounded multi-
agent large
language model framework for composing and selecting traffic interventions under explicit operational constraints. SimTIO first simulates an unmodified SUMO scenario to identify a baseline-frozen set of ten bottleneck edges. A grounded sampler then initializes signal-control, corridor-speed, and demand-preserving routing actions, while three specialist
agents use measured simulation feedback to select one-parameter refinements from validator-confirmed mutation catalogs. Compatible actions are combined and re-simulated so that their interaction effects are measured rather than inferred. Final selection minimizes bottleneck time loss while constraining network-wide delay, neighboring-road spillover, throughput loss, and teleport events, with the unmodified scenario retained as a no-operation guard. Across 15 cases covering five U.S. urban networks, three synthetic-demand seeds, and 2,400 origin-destination trips per scenario, SimTIO reduced Top-10 bottleneck time loss by an average of 9.18 percent and network-wide delay by 2.78 percent. It found a feasible improving plan in 86.7 percent of cases, compared with 73.3 percent for grounded random search and 80.0 percent for a deterministic heuristic under the same seven-simulation budget, although the differences in Top-10 improvement were not statistically significant. These results support using LLMs as constrained, feedback-guided local search operators while reserving final decision authority for executable tools, microscopic simulation, and explicit safety constraints.
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Systems and Control
Resilient Control Loops in Autonomous Vehicles Under Adversarial Jamming via Spectral Perception and Network-Layer Failover
Luis Barajas, Colin Jeardoe, Jaewon Kim et al. (+1 more)
The operational integrity of autonomous mobile
robots relies on the continuous availability of wireless control loops, making them highly attractive targets for
adversarial intentional electromagnetic interference. This paper introduces a resilient, cross-layer framework that combines physical-layer spectral perception with network-layer routing optimization to protect middleware stability, such as ROS2, during intentional electromagnetic interference. Utilizing a software-defined
radio front-end, the system extracts dynamic spectral descriptors, including spectral
entropy and channel occupancy, to inform a Random Forest classifier that establishes adaptive environmental baselines. To ensure uninterrupted data flow, the architecture maintains dual pre-authenticated physical interfaces in a hot-standby configuration, enabling instantaneous failover through automated network routing table updates. Empirical validation on a physical ROS2 mobile
robot testbed demonstrates that this adaptive hardware-assisted architecture optimizes communication recovery to an average of 141ms. This sub-second restoration translates directly into a 78.9% reduction in pooled root-mean-square path tracking error compared to software re-association, successfully securing system-level mission integrity.
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All authors Luis Barajas, Colin Jeardoe, Jaewon Kim, Eman Hammad
Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.LG
Newton Matching for Generative Modeling: A Unified Framework for Fine-Tuning and Sampling
Zeyang Li, Yunan Wang, Paolo Giaretta et al. (+1 more)
We develop Newton Matching, a unified framework for fine-tuning and sampling in generative modeling. The target is $\pi\propto\mu e^{\tau r}$, where $r$ is the reward, $\tau>0$ the inverse temperature, and $\mu$ denotes the pretrained model's terminal density for fine-tuning or the constant $1$ for sampling. We shift the paradigm from isolated losses to iterative optimization over canonical models: population minimizers of standard conditional matching for terminal densities. Under compatible smooth-realization assumptions, canonical velocities form a
manifold diffeomorphic to the density
manifold. Transporting the Fisher-Rao metric and mixture connection to this
manifold, we show that the reverse-KL Hessian equals the metric, so the Newton direction coincides with the negative Fisher-Rao gradient. At terminal density $\rho$, each stage takes a tangential step generated by the regularized reward $r-\frac1\tau\log(\rho/\mu)$, followed by terminal-density-preserving canonicalization. This canonical retraction yields an exact finite-stepsize density characterization. For the ideal iteration, we prove strict reverse-KL descent away from the target for $0 < \eta \le \tau$, global convergence under mild conditions, and local quadratic convergence for full steps ($\eta=\tau$). Covariance and gradient forms, each with forward or reverse regression-pair constructions, yield sample-wise tangential-update losses with the same population minimizer, without importance sampling or full-trajectory backpropagation. We develop approximate updates and define critical-point consistency as vanishing tangential displacement if and only if $\rho=\pi$. We recover representative methods as exact realizations, critical-point-consistent approximations, or objective-altering variants, enabling modular
algorithm design. Our work advances the theory and
algorithms of reinforcement learning for generative models.
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All authors Zeyang Li, Yunan Wang, Paolo Giaretta, Navid Azizan
Systems and Control
Beyond Scalar Flexibility: From Eligible AI Workloads to Dependable Load Relief
Meiyi Li
Grid studies often represent data-center flexibility as a fixed percentage of load, although no public production trace has shown how much eligible load persists across event durations or co-moves across clusters. We reconstruct 4,439 hourly power observations from a 185-day trace of 155,410 GPUs and derive a workload-semantic flexibility envelope. The fleet's time-averaged Monte Carlo median facility demand is 55.8 MW, while immediate eligible curtailment averages 3.55 MW after retaining allocated-GPU idle power: 12.1% of workload power and 6.35% of median facility power. Under full realization of that eligibility, 95%-available relief falls from 2.51 MW for one hour to 2.32 MW for four hours and 1.95 MW for 24 hours; a common realizable fraction q scales every value exactly by q. A mean-calibrated scalar overstates these quantities by 17%, 25%, and 47%, while a scalar tail-calibrated at four hours understates the one-hour product by 6% and overstates the 24-hour product by 17%; the share that reproduces the surface varies by a factor of 1.6 across durations and reliability levels. Aggregating 13 clusters raises four-hour firmness from 0.38 to 0.66, but cross-cluster covariance limits the gain. The production scheduler exposes almost no additional delay-based capacity: newly deferrable arrivals average 0.008 MW and have zero 95%-available capacity. These results replace an assumed flexibility percentage with duration, reliability, portfolio, and realizability terms that can be written into interconnection and demand-response contracts.
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Systems and Control · Cross-listed from eess.SP
Full-field laser-Doppler-vibrometry FRF dataset for a four-bolt aluminum plate under bolt-torque variation
Berkay Kullukcu and Dina Hannebauer
The
dataset described in this article was constructed using the results of
laser Doppler vibrometry experiments conducted on an aluminum plate having four bolts. The database captures the variation in the vibration characteristics of the plate as a function of changes in tightening torque on the bolts. In total, there were 18 different states for the tightening torque, ranging from a situation where all bolts are tightened to all bolts being loose. Other possible combinations include states with varying torque applied to just one bolt, and those involving multiple loose bolts. Data consist of 1,836 files exported from Polytec PSV-500, categorized as amplitude and phase data, for frequency ranges spanning 1 Hz to 51,200 Hz at intervals of 1 Hz. The identified zones were analyzed at 51 scan points for all states of torque. Supporting documents included specifications of the test plate, scan point and torque state information, selected resonance peaks tables, measured frequencies for seven resonance groups, correlation values for all FRF, visualizations, and code scripts.
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Systems and Control
Data-Driven Generator Transient Prediction for Digital Twin Decision Support
Emad Sadeghi, Emerson Miller, Kerry Sado et al. (+1 more)
This paper develops a calibrated transient forecasting surrogate model for generator digital twin (DT) decision support that evaluates planned active- and reactive power load commands before they are applied. The proposed event-conditioned Hankel Dynamic Mode Decomposition with Control (Hankel-DMDc) model combines delay-coordinate lifting, command-event
memory features, and an event-weighted Hankel basis so that sparse load-transition dynamics influence the reduced representation and fitted dynamics. This design targets intervals where voltage/frequency deviations and recovery behavior determine whether a candidate load command keeps the system within acceptable limits. To provide operator-facing confidence information, a split-conformal calibration layer is applied to the frozen surrogate model to form event-conditioned joint prediction bands for voltage and frequency. The experimental results show event-window root-mean-square errors of 1.058 V and 0.155 Hz. For a nominal 90% target, the bands attain 90.17% pointwise joint voltage-frequency coverage, with mean band widths of 3.55 V and 0.566 Hz. A 50-s open-loop rollout is computed in 181 ms on a single CPU core, approximately 280 times faster than real time, with forecast accuracy evaluated over horizons up to 5 s. These results demonstrate a computationally efficient advisory framework for generator DTs that combines transient prediction with calibrated uncertainty.
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All authors Emad Sadeghi, Emerson Miller, Kerry Sado, Adel Nasiri
Systems and Control
Headroom-Aware Stochastic Adaptive Model Predictive Control for Load Frequency Control in Microgrids
Erfan Mehdipour Abadi, Shuo Yuan, Le Yi Wang et al. (+2 more)
As the penetration of inverter-based resources (IBRs) increases in microgrids, they are increasingly expected to play a greater role in load frequency control (LFC). Model predictive control (MPC) is attractive for LFC because it incorporates system dynamics and operational constraints. However, most MPC-based LFC formulations rely on fixed reserve headroom based on forecasted renewable availability or storage systems. Under short-term renewable intermittency, IBR headroom is
stochastic and time-varying, causing optimal control commands to exceed the physically deliverable regulation capability and cause
stochastic saturation. This control-actuator mismatch degrades LFC performance. Accordingly, this study develops two headroom-aware strategies for PV-dominated microgrids. First,
stochastic headroom constrained MPC (SHCMPC) incorporates headroom predictions through time-varying input constraints to enforce control feasibility. Second,
stochastic adaptive MPC (SAMPC) embeds headroom awareness into the MPC objective function by adaptively penalizing control actions based on predicted headroom, reducing reliance on units with limited headroom without hard time-varying constraints. Simulation results show that
stochastic saturation degrades conventional MPC-based LFC, particularly under tight reserve margins. Both strategies improve regulation performance. SHCMPC eliminates saturation events, while SAMPC achieves substantial saturation mitigation with lower computational effort, offering a computationally efficient alternative for real-time LFC under
stochastic renewable availability.
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All authors Erfan Mehdipour Abadi, Shuo Yuan, Le Yi Wang, Caisheng Wang, Feng Lin
Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.AI
Large Language Models for HVAC Operations in Building Energy Systems: A Critical Review of Methods, Applications, and Deployment Readiness
Alexander Neubauer, Tianzhen Hong, Han Li et al. (+4 more)
Building automation systems generate rich sensor data yet remain insight-poor because heterogeneous point naming, missing metadata, and fragmented documentation obstruct their operational use. This systematic review analyses and codes 66 peer-reviewed studies on large
language models (LLMs) for HVAC operations published between 2023 and March 2026. Each study is classified across five application families and three LLM method families and assessed for evidence realism, deployment readiness, and the responsibility boundary between the LLM and physical HVAC decisions. The corpus is concentrated in building energy modelling (BEM, 32 of 66 papers), while load forecasting remains too sparse for subfield-level conclusions. Only four studies reach pilot-level evidence, and none reports sustained operational deployment. No study was classified as ready-now for industry adoption; three were near-term and 63 research-only. Nevertheless, several bounded, human-in-the-loop uses merit near-term trials, including point-name normalisation, document-grounded operator support, BEM workflow assistance, and advisory interfaces around physics-based controllers. Conventional machine learning (ML), model predictive control (MPC), reinforcement learning (RL) and ontology-based tools remain more adopted for high-frequency control, short-horizon numerical forecasting, and well-posed ontology mapping, while autonomous agentic operation and unvalidated occupant proxies remain research-stage. Current evidence therefore supports LLMs primarily as semantic and workflow layers rather than autonomous HVAC controllers. Future work should prioritise field-validated
benchmarks, orchestration evaluation under operational constraints, and LLM-MPC/RL architectures with bounded latency and verifiable safety properties.
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All authors Alexander Neubauer, Tianzhen Hong, Han Li, Mengbo Yu, Amin Darbandi, Yannick Fürst, Martin Kriegel
Systems and Control
Forecast-Ensemble-Based Active Binary-Threshold Query Design for Interval Data Assimilation
Wataru Hashimoto, Kazumune Hashimoto and Haru Kuroki
Data assimilation estimates the evolving state of a dynamical system by combining model forecasts with observations. While many conventional methods assume point-valued measurements, practical sensing systems may instead provide coarse information such as binary, ordinal, inequality, or interval-valued reports. Interval Data Assimilation (IDA) provides a principled framework for assimilating such information, but assumes that the observations to be assimilated are specified in advance. In many sensing settings, however, both where to query and what inequality to ask can be chosen, while only a limited number of queries can be issued. This raises a new observation-design problem: how should informative inequality queries be selected from the forecast uncertainty before their responses are known? We propose Active Query Design for Interval Data Assimilation (AQD-IDA), which uses the forecast ensemble to design binary threshold queries prior to the IDA update. AQD-IDA treats both the observation target and the threshold defining the inequality as design variables, thereby allowing the assimilation system to determine not only where to observe but also what question to ask. We develop query-selection criteria that account for forecast uncertainty, redundancy among queries, and anticipated reduction in posterior uncertainty. Experiments on Lorenz–96 and a spherical quasi-geostrophic model show that adaptive query design improves assimilation accuracy under a fixed binary-query budget, with joint observation-target–threshold selection outperforming fixed or separately designed queries. These results demonstrate that actively designing the information supplied to data assimilation can substantially increase the value of coarse observations.
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Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.IT
Latency-Optimal Geo-Distributed Storage over Structured Networks
Madhura Pathegama and Viveck Cadambe
We study latency-optimal file assignment in geo-distributed storage systems modeled as weighted graphs, where edge weights represent communication delays and each node stores one (possibly coded) file. Our goal is to minimize the average time required to retrieve an original file, taken uniformly over all nodes and files. We show that for every fixed number of files $k \geq 3$, computing a latency-minimizing assignment is NP-hard via a reduction from the domatic number problem. On the positive side, we identify natural network
topologies that admit uncoded, structured optimal assignments in which, for every node, one can choose its $k$ closest nodes, including itself, so that they store distinct original files. We prove that every weighted tree, certain weighted cycles, and unit-weight graphs with sufficiently large minimum degree admit such assignments. For these graph classes, we provide efficient
algorithms to construct latency-optimal file assignments.
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Systems and Control · Cross-listed from cs.RO
Morphology and actuation as inductive biases in robotic hand manipulation
Zalán Tari, Eszter Birtalan, Péter Polcz et al. (+1 more)
Robotic hands vary widely in anatomical fidelity and mechanical complexity, and these structural choices influence the coordination of joint motions and the difficulty of controlling the system. A unified framework is presented in which the kinematic and actuation stages are analysed separately and in composition, through the conditioning of the task Jacobian, the actuation
matrix, and their product. It is applied to two hands representing opposing design philosophies, the Shadow Dexterous Hand and the Anatomically Correct, Biomechatronic Hand, along four morphological aspects: joint axis geometry, actuator-to-DOF ratio, coupling architecture, and authority distribution. All parameters are derived from the hands' canonical digital representations. Anatomical fidelity carries no uniform advantage: oblique axes improve thumb conditioning but leave the long fingers worse conditioned than the orthogonal-axis design, while the branching tendon network improves the effective control mapping at every long finger and worsens it significantly at the thumb, where actuator authority is concentrated on thumb opposition. Predictions derived from these metrics are evaluated against reinforcement learning experiments using PPO, DDPG+HER, and TQC+HER, across three different tasks.
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All authors Zalán Tari, Eszter Birtalan, Péter Polcz, Miklós Koller
Systems and Control
Risk-Aware Optimal Control with Rulebooks
Tichakorn Wongpiromsarn
We consider safety-critical control problems involving multiple requirements with different priorities and uncertainty in their evaluation. We represent these requirements using risk-aware rulebooks, where each requirement is assigned a risk measure and an acceptable threshold, and a priority relation is defined among the requirements. Each requirement induces a risk-evaluation function that maps a policy to the risk associated with its violation. We formulate risk-aware optimal control with rulebooks as a lexicographic optimization problem over excess risks and develop an anytime filtering and branch-and-bound
algorithm that progressively tightens the certified optimality gap while characterizing the corresponding set of policies at each priority level. The
algorithm returns a policy together with these gaps, which bound its suboptimality. We prove that these gaps are valid for any finite computational budget and, under additional assumptions, converge to zero as the computational budget increases. We evaluate the
algorithm on a synthetic
benchmark with a known optimum and a realistic highway-merging simulation with CVaR-based collision, rear-braking, headway, and comfort rules.
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Systems and Control
On the Concept of an Optimal Portfolio of Uncertain Flexible Loads
Julie Rousseau, Philipp Heer, Kristina Orehounig et al. (+1 more)
Flexible loads can enhance power system stability by providing reserves, but their limited energy capacity and uncertain availability distinguish them from conventional generators. To accommodate these characteristics, the Danish Transmission System Operator (TSO) recently introduced new reserve
market rules that incorporate energy constraints and relax reliability requirements. In this context, the optimal reserve quantification becomes a joint chance-constrained reserve quantification problem, which is difficult to solve. In this paper, we derive two analytical reformulations of this problem: an exact one when a reserve direction dominates and an approximate one, otherwise. Furthermore, when flexible loads must collectively satisfy a reliability requirement, we introduce the concept of an optimal portfolio of flexible loads: adding loads with similar expected values but different
stochastic behaviors to an existing portfolio may change the total portfolio's reserves. To support this idea, we theoretically study the marginal increase in reserves resulting from adding a load. Numerical results show that our analytical reformulations closely match the exact formulation, with a mean absolute error of 2.5%. Case studies further demonstrate the existence of optimal load groupings and our ability to predict the portfolio in which a load's marginal value is highest, leveraging our theoretical analysis.
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All authors Julie Rousseau, Philipp Heer, Kristina Orehounig, Gabriela Hug