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Friday 3 July

Probability · Cross-listed from math-ph

Anomalous rate of eigenstate thermalisation at singularities of the density of states

We prove the Eigenstate Thermalisation Hypothesis (ETH), also known as Quantum Unique Ergodicity (QUE), for large $N\times N$ mean-field random matrices with general correlation structure. We identify the microcanonical ensemble and establish the optimal fluctuation scale of eigenvector overlaps around it. Our results invalidate the inverse-density scaling predicted by Feingold and Peres [Phys. Rev. A 34, 591 (1986)] (and incorporated into Srednicki's ansatz [Phys. Rev. E 50, 888-901 (1994)]) in the physics literature of quantum chaos, based upon popular semiclassical theory, and uncover the genuine mechanism which relies on multi-resolvent local laws. Although fluctuations are expected to increase as the density of states vanishes, and indeed scale as $N^{-1/2}$ in the special cusp regime, rather than $N^{-1}$ in the bulk, we find, unexpectedly, that the same $N^{-1}$ rate persists at regular spectral edges. Hence, generically, in the absence of cusps, the entire eigenbasis fluctuates on the same scale as a Haar unitary. This anomaly stems from delicate cancellations in the solution of the underlying matrix Dyson equation, which form the core of our analysis.
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Probability · Cross-listed from math.SP

Localization and unique continuation for the Anderson-Bernoulli model with long-range hopping on $\mathbb{Z}$

In this paper, we study Anderson localization near the spectral edge for the Anderson-Bernoulli model on $\mathbb{Z}$ with long-range hopping. When the hopping has a rational Laurent symbol, a quantitative version of the unique continuation principle can be proved, and localization occurs. For the unique continuation in the general case, we give some counterexamples and prove a weaker result for hopping that decays faster than exponential rate. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first localization result for the long-range Anderson model with pure Bernoulli potentials.
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Probability

Smoluchowski-Kramers Approximation Meets Khasminskii Averaging Principles in Nonequilibrium Random Environments I

This work establishes a simultaneous Smoluchowski-Kramers approximation and Khasminskii averaging principle for a class of second-order stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in nonequilibrium random environments. The system describes the motion of a particle of mass $m>0$ subject to external forces, friction, and noise, all of which depend on a fluctuating environment such as a stochastic heat bath. The environment is modeled by a fast-varying first-order SDE, where a parameter $0<\epsilon \ll 1$ encodes the time-scale separation. Under the scaling $m=\epsilon^2$, the slow process converges in probability to an effective dynamics with averaged drift and noise-induced coefficients. Our analysis utilizes a pathwise integration-by-parts formula and Poisson equations associated with the fast dynamics. Finally, numerical experiments are provided for demonstration.
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Probability

Continuous Differentiability of the Value Function for Infinite-Dimensional Finite-Horizon Optimal Stopping and Related Variational Inequalities

This paper studies finite-horizon optimal stopping problems for semilinear stochastic evolution equations in real, separable Hilbert spaces, together with their associated parabolic variational inequalities. We prove continuous differentiability of the value function in infinite dimensions, thereby obtaining a smooth-fit principle for the corresponding optimal stopping problem. The analysis has two parts. First, we prove existence and uniqueness, in a suitable weighted class, of a mild solution to the variational inequality and identify it with the optimal stopping value function. We also establish local spatial Lipschitz continuity of the value function by probabilistic methods, without requiring any smoothing property of the underlying transition semigroup. Second, under a global regularizing assumption on this semigroup, we prove higher-order spatial regularity: the value function is continuously Fréchet differentiable and its gradient is locally Hölder continuous. The abstract results are then applied to a stochastic heat equation with additive noise.
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Probability · Cross-listed from cond-mat.stat-mech

Variance of the $SIS$ Epidemic on Networks: A Diffusion Approximation

Functional laws of large numbers (FLLNs) describe the mean-field trajectory of epidemics on networks, but say nothing about the fluctuations around it. These fluctuations are governed by moments of the degree distribution not relevant at the level of the mean. A rigorous functional central limit theorem (FCLT) exists for the susceptible–infected ($SI$) process on configuration-model graphs, but no analogue exists for $SIS$, where recovery reintroduces vertices into the susceptible pool with partially known neighborhoods, breaking the clean neighborhood distribution the $SI$ derivation relies on. We develop a tractable variance approximation for Markovian $SIS$ on configuration-model graphs, combining Gleeson's approximate master equation (AME) framework with a van Kampen system-size expansion in the spirit of the $SI$ FCLT. We derive a closed drift and diffusion matrix for a reduced susceptible/$SI$-edge/$SS$-edge count vector and obtain the time-dependent covariance via the associated Langevin/Lyapunov equation. Validation against Gillespie simulation across Poisson, regular, and power-law networks shows close agreement, with deviations near the epidemic threshold and in strongly heterogeneous networks.
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All authors Lucija Nora Farkaš, Sebastian Morel Balbi, Hrvoje Štefančić, István Zoltán Kiss, Vinko Zlatić

Probability · Cross-listed from q-fin.TR

Exact conditional simulation of Point processes: Application to pathwise market impact estimation

Market impact is defined as the difference between the observed price trajectory under a given execution strategy and the counterfactual trajectory that would have prevailed without it. Since this counterfactual is unobservable, estimating market impact requires simulating alternative paths under the same realized market randomness. We address this by studying the conditional simulation of point processes under perturbed intensities. Given an observed counting process whose intensity is determined by its own history, we characterize the conditional law of the latent Poisson random measure in a thinning representation. This yields an exact, event-driven algorithm that reconstructs counterfactual paths on a common randomness source, enabling rigorous pathwise market impact estimation for aggressive, passive, and mixed strategies.
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All authors Joseph Leclère, Youssef Ouazzani Chahdi, Mathieu Rosenbaum, Grégoire Szymanski

Probability · Cross-listed from quant-ph

A Galton-Watson estimate for Dyson series

We consider the question of convergence of particular series of integrals, which are labeled by rooted trees. Necessary and sufficient criteria for convergence are obtained, together with an explicit expression for the sum. The technique used is strongly reminiscent of the generating function approach of Galton and Watson to branching processes. The interest in these series derives from the Dyson series expansion for the perturbation of a free quantum dynamics by a local potential: the convergence of the series imlies that the perturbed dynamics exists and is unitarily equivalent with the free one.
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Probability

Infinite collisions of simple random walks on random recursive trees generated by Bernoulli sequences

In this paper, we study random recursive trees generated by Bernoulli sequences. Starting from a graph with two vertices and one edge, each new vertex is connected to the last vertex with probability $ p $, or to the second-last vertex with probability $ q = 1-p $, this recursive construction yields a random infinite recursive tree $T$. We prove that $T$ almost surely has exactly one topological end. Furthermore, we establish that $T$ has the infinite collision property: two independent simple random walks on $T$ collide infinitely often almost surely.
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