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Physics Astrophysics Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

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Saturday 19 September

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Thermal-acoustic fermionic dynamics and primordial perturbations in warm Yukawa inflation

We investigate fermion production and its cosmological consequences in a warm inflationary scenario with a Yukawa interaction between the inflaton field and Dirac fermions. Treating the produced fermions as a thermalized relativistic fluid, we derive the coupled perturbation equations incorporating dissipative effects and thermal fluctuations. By solving the resulting system through Green's function methods, we identify distinct contributions from thermal noise, thermal-acoustic propagation, and higher-order scattering processes to the scalar perturbations. We show that acoustic propagation of fermionic fluctuations becomes significant in the relativistic regime, where the competition between gravitational attraction and Pauli degeneracy pressure allows collective fermionic modes to influence the primordial spectrum. Furthermore, we calculate the fermion number density and acoustic velocity, revealing that strong Yukawa interactions enhance non-adiabatic fermion production and modify the thermodynamic properties of the fermion bath. The sourced scalar and tensor perturbations are calculated, indicating that fermion production can substantially amplify primordial fluctuations, particularly in the strong-coupling regime. Since scalar perturbations receive more efficient enhancement than tensor modes, the tensor-to-scalar ratio is suppressed relative to the standard single-field warm inflation prediction. Our results show that thermalized fermions provide an additional mechanism for modifying primordial perturbations and offer new insights into the role of particle production in warm inflationary cosmology.
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All authors Xi-Bin Li, Ke Fu, Ya-Ting Wang, De-Tian Zhao, Xiao-Min Zhang

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Feeding the Void: Co-evolution of the SIDM-seeded Black Hole and the dark halo after core-collapse

While the gravothermal collapse of self-interacting dark matter (SIDM) halos provides a compelling mechanism for seeding supermassive black holes (BHs), the post-collapse macroscopic co-evolution of the BH and its host halo remains largely unexplored. In this paper, we introduce a novel N-body framework to dynamically model the dark matter accretion onto the central BH. By bracketing the accretion rate with two complementary phenomenological schemes—a `multi-round core-collapse' scenario and a `continuous accretion' scenario—we establish bounds on the BH mass growth trajectory. We find that the BH mass reaches $5\%-12\%$ of the total halo mass within $\lesssim2$ Gyr post-collapse. Concurrently, this sustained mass depletion drives a `gravothermal supply chain' that forces outer dark matter inward, severely depleting the inner halo density ($\lesssim 2r_s$). This unique structural imprint qualitatively matches the recently detected anomaly in the strong lens JVAS B1938+666 (detection V), where the best-fit lens model consists of an unresolved central point mass and a shallow, uniform-surface-density extended disk, offering a distinct observational signature for SIDM-seeded BHs.
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All authors Zhichao Carton Zeng, Annika H. G. Peter, Louis E. Strigari, Andrew Benson, Xiaolong Du, Charlie Mace

Friday 18 September

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from gr-qc

Black Holes as Frequency-Dependent Filters of Stochastic Gravitational Waves

Black holes ring when perturbed, whereas their response to a stationary gravitational-wave background is a real-frequency scattering problem, not a source of additional quasi-normal-mode lines. We make this standard distinction quantitative by treating a black hole as a frequency-, angle-, and polarization-dependent filter. For an isotropic stationary background around Schwarzschild holes, elastic scattering produces no net monopole signal, so horizon absorption is the only population-level spectral distortion. We calculate this transfer function for Schwarzschild holes in detail, identify its absorptive and phase-delay signatures, and connect the stationary response to the causal ringdown excited by a finite wave packet. We then promote the single-hole result to an angular and polarization transport kernel for a cosmological population. The resulting optical depth is negligible for realistic black-hole populations, including asteroid-mass primordial black holes comprising all dark matter. We then extend the analysis to Kerr holes, for which superradiance allows genuine amplification in selected co-rotating modes, but isotropic incidence and random spin orientations strongly dilute the diffuse signal. Observable effects are therefore more likely in rare, nearby, aligned, rapidly spinning, or transiently illuminated systems than through cumulative cosmological propagation.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Hunting Thermal Relics in the DESI DR1 Ly$\alpha$ Forest

We investigate constraints on additional relativistic species and thermal sterile neutrinos using the DESI DR1 one-dimensional Lyman-$\alpha$ forest power spectrum, combined with Planck 2018 CMB and DESI DR2 BAO measurements. We consider both the $\Lambda$CDM+$N_{\rm eff}$ extension and a thermal with a different-temperature sterile-neutrino (DTS) scenario, in which the sterile relic can be colder than the standard neutrino background. We first validate the DESI two-parameter $P_{\rm 1D}$ compression for the DTS model, finding that the residual cosmological dependence not captured by the compressed parameters remains below 0.15%. No significant evidence for additional radiation or a sterile component is found. For $\Lambda$CDM+$N_{\rm eff}$, we obtain $N_{\rm eff}<3.41$ at 95% credibility from CMB+DESI-BAO+DESI-$P_{\rm 1D}$. In the DTS scenario, the full CMB+DESI-BAO+DESI-$P_{\rm 1D}$ combination yields the stringent bound $m_s^{\rm eff}<0.061\,{\rm eV}$, highlighting the complementarity of BAO and Lyman-$\alpha$ information in constraining the massive sterile abundance. We further interpret the allowed $\Delta N_{\rm eff}$ in terms of thermal light relics, deriving lower limits on their decoupling temperatures that reach the QCD epoch.
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All authors Emanuelly Silva, Artur Ladeira, Rafael C. Nunes, Eleonora Di Valentino

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.GA

The Deep Learning Halo Definer: A Multimodal Framework for Halo Mass and Gas Fraction Inference on Galaxy Groups and Clusters

Accurately inferring dark matter halo properties like the total halo mass (M_{halo}) and gas fractions (f_{gas}) remains particularly challenging at group scales, where low member counts, shallow potential wells, and AGN feedback-driven baryon expulsion introduce significant observational scatter. As large-scale surveys begin to provide unprecedented multi-wavelength data, there is a pressing need for methods that can jointly leverage diverse observables to overcome these uncertainties. We introduce the Deep Learning Halo Definer (DLHD), a multimodal deep learning framework that simultaneously processes galaxy catalogues and X-ray imaging through the combination of a Deep Sets and a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to improve M_{halo} and f_{gas} estimation for galaxy groups and clusters. Using mock datasets derived from the IllustrisTNG300 hydrodynamic simulation, we demonstrate that the DLHD outperforms each of its component networks individually, achieving RMSE improvements in M_{halo} of 1.9x over Deep Sets and 1.3x over the CNN alone. For the gas fraction enclosed within R_{200c}, DLHD reduces RMSE by 2.0x relative to Deep Sets and 1.1x relative to the CNN alone, with consistent improvements across other apertures. These results highlight a novel ability to leverage multi-band information inaccessible to single-modality methods, positioning DLHD as a promising tool for next-generation survey analyses.
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All authors Caleb Ogle, Kalvyn N. Poncelet Adams, Benjamin D. Oppenheimer, Naomi Gluck, Matthew Ho, Daisuke Nagai, Joseph N. Burchett, Mohammadreza Ayromlou

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Axio-Dilaton Dark Energy: A Dynamical Systems and Bayesian Inference Analysis

We initiate a systematic cosmological investigation of an axio-dilaton system governed by a curved field-space metric as generically motivated by supergravity and string compactifications. The scalar sector consists of a light scalar dilaton field evolving along an asymptotically exponential potential and a pseudoscalar field spanning an essentially flat direction, kinetically coupled through an exponential field-space metric. Deviations from the asymptotic regime are incorporated by introducing a generalised Albrecht-Skordis potential containing a polynomial factor. Utilising a dynamical systems approach alongside numerical evolution and Bayesian inference, we constrain the model using Type Ia Supernovae (SNe Ia), Baryon Acoustic Oscillations (BAO) and Planck 2018 distance-prior data. We identify a parameter degeneracy indicating that steeper potentials demand stronger field-space kinetic couplings to sustain late-time cosmic acceleration. Finally, a joint likelihood analysis reveals that while the model successfully accounts for dark energy dynamics, it is only slightly statistically favoured over $\Lambda$CDM by current observations.
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All authors Mario Ramos-Hamud, Gabriela García-Arroyo, Fernando Quevedo, J. Alberto Vázquez

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Stress-testing the spatially flat Universe: nonparametric spatial curvature determination from DESI DR2

We present a nonparametric determination of spatial curvature using only late-time geometrical probes. Under a Gaussian Process smoothness prior, we jointly constrain the dimensionless expansion history and $\Omega_K$, combining three Type Ia Supernovae (SNeIa) samples with either DESI DR2 line-of-sight baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) or cosmic chronometers (CC) data. From our baseline SNeIa+BAO analyses we find $\Omega_K=0.219^{+0.110}_{-0.111}$, $\Omega_K=0.330^{+0.098}_{-0.150}$ and $\Omega_K=0.260^{+0.124}_{-0.127}$ for the PantheonPlus, DES Dovekie and Union3 SNeIa samples respectively. These nonparametric results mildly favour an open Universe, supporting recent hints in this direction, and improve on the sensitivity of a previous application of the method by up to a factor of $\sim 2.5$. We find consistent constraints combining SNeIa and CC, whereas restricting SNeIa data to the redshift range covered by BAO somewhat weakens the constraints and shifts the PantheonPlus central value to $\Omega_K<0$. Our results depend only on late-time relative distances and expansion rates, making them insensitive to the absolute distance scale calibration, while relying neither on Cosmic Microwave Background data nor on a parametric dark energy model.
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All authors Hannah C. Turner, Suhail Dhawan, Sunny Vagnozzi, Alice Townsend, Peter Massey

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Model-Independent Measurement of Baryon Gas Fractions through Galaxy-Galaxy Lensing and the Kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich Effect

Baryon feedback is a leading source of systematic uncertainty for cosmology from weak lensing, but measurements of the gas distribution around galaxies have largely relied on parametric profile models or simulation-calibrated frameworks. We present model independent measurements of the radial gas fraction profile around galaxies, combining galaxy-galaxy lensing and kinematic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (kSZ) effect. We introduce a method that applies the same radial $\Delta\Sigma$ aperture filter to both the galaxy-galaxy lensing shear field and the velocity-weighted kSZ temperature maps; their ratio directly yields $\Delta\Sigma$ filtered gas fraction $f_{\rm gas}(R)$, the ratio of ionized gas to total matter as a function of projected radius. We apply this approach to DESI DR2 Bright Galaxy Survey (BGS, $\bar{z} \approx 0.26$) and Luminous Red Galaxy (LRG, $0.4 < z < 1.1$) samples, using ACT DR6 component-separated CMB maps for kSZ, and the HSC Year 3 shear catalog for weak lensing. After correcting for ACT beam suppression using a simulation-calibrated compensation factor, we detect baryon depletion relative to the cosmic mean baryon fraction at SNR = 17.2 (BGS) and SNR = 13.8 (LRG bin 1). Comparison with six hydrodynamical simulations from the Illustris, IllustrisTNG, SIMBA, and FLAMINGO suites shows that the fiducial FLAMINGO run most closely tracks the observed radial gas distribution in both samples, with Illustris-1 and TNG300-1 bracketing the data from below and above at small radii. We find a mild discrepancy between the kSZ measurements in the South and North Galactic Caps in one LRG redshift bin, which may indicate residual systematics. We show that the ratio is robust to splits by stellar mass and to the removal of close pairs. These results establish $\Delta\Sigma$ filtering of kSZ versus weak lensing signal as a model-independent probe of the baryon distribution around galaxies.
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All authors R. Henry Liu, Uroš Seljak, Simone Ferraro, Boryana Hadzhiyska, Frank J. Qu, Bernardita Ried Guachalla, Emmanuel Schaan, Jessica Nicole Aguilar, Steven Ahlen, Anton Baleato Lizancos, Florian Beutler, Davide Bianchi, David Brooks, Aurelio Carnero Rosell, Francisco Javier Castander, Todd Claybaugh, Andrei Cuceu, Axel de la Macorra, Jaime E. Forero-Romero, Enrique Gaztañaga, Satya Gontcho A Gontcho, Gaston Gutierrez, Klaus Honscheid, Dragan Huterer, Mustapha Ishak, Stephanie Juneau, Tanveer Karim, David Kirkby, Anthony Kremin, Ofer Lahav, Martin Landriau, Laurent Le Guillou, Martine Lokken, Marc Manera, Aaron Meisner, Ramon Miquel, John Moustakas, Seshadri Nadathur, Jeffrey A. Newman, Hernan Enrique Noriega, Will Percival, Ignasi Pérez-Ràfols, Francisco Prada, Corentin Ravoux, Graziano Rossi, Lado Samushia, Eusebio Sanchez, Christoph Saulder, David Schlegel, Michael Schubnell, Hee-Jong Seo, Małgorzata Siudek, Gregory Tarlé, Benjamin Alan Weaver, Rongpu Zhou

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.GA

The ALMA View of High-Redshift Galaxy Formation

The advent of routine operations with the Atacama Large Millimeter/submillimeter Array (ALMA) in the last decade has led to a revolution in the direct study of the interstellar medium (ISM) in `normal' high-redshift galaxies in the rest-frame far-infrared (FIR). This review summarizes the observational literature on z>6.5 sources observed with ALMA and NOEMA (NOrthern Extended Millimeter Array). The main findings are as follows: Cool gas consistently scales with star-formation in a wide range of galaxy environments, similar to local relations, suggesting fundamental processes of star-formation stay relatively constant over 13 billion years of cosmic time. Significant metal enrichment is present in galaxies just 300-400 million years after the Big Bang. There is a trend to higher obscured fraction of star formation with stellar mass and SFR already in place at z~7, with measurements of the cosmic SFR density showing that >10 percent of the SFR density is obscured at this epoch. The estimated dust masses compared to the stellar mass suggest that rapid dust enrichment occurs, likely from supernova with little dust destruction and/or rapid growth in the ISM, which is in agreement with maximal predictions from models. In individual sources cold disks are already in existence, with their gas disks being more extended and smooth than their observed stellar counterparts.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-ph

Non-Perturbative Modulus Decay and Multi-Component Dark Matter

Non-thermal cosmological histories rest on the assumption that scalars displaced during inflation undergo coherent oscillations, dominate the energy density of the universe before Big Bang Nucleosynthesis, and decay perturbatively through gravitationally suppressed interactions. In addition, usually a single dark matter component is assumed. This early matter-dominated era is the basis for the usual predictions of non-thermal WIMP production, axion dark matter, entropy generation, and dark radiation. This paper examines whether this picture is dynamically robust against non-perturbative decay of the modulus condensate. In this work, we study non-perturbative particle production from oscillating moduli using the effective field theory appropriate to $G_2$ compactifications. We find that non-perturbative production of Wino-like fermions is strongly suppressed in the relevant parameter regime. In contrast, a modulus-dependent axion kinetic term admits narrow instability bands with growth rates that can exceed the Hubble rate. A linear Floquet analysis alone, however, cannot determine whether these bands significantly deplete the modulus condensate, since cosmic expansion, backreaction, rescattering, and higher-order operators in the effective theory can become important. As a result, the conventional modulus-dominated cosmology remains robust against Wino and gauge-field preheating, while the axion channel provides a potentially important modification that requires nonlinear study. If sufficiently efficient, axion production can alter the division of dark matter between Winos and axions and enhance the dark-radiation abundance.
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All authors Gordon Kane, Leia Price, Luis Rufino, Scott Watson, Fred Adams

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-ph

Resonant Gravitational Production of Chiral Dark Photons

Vector fields with a chiral, parity-odd coupling to a pseudoscalar field are known to undergo resonant amplification. In this work, we study this phenomenon in the context of cosmological gravitational particle production during early-universe inflation. We consider a massive vector (dark photon) field with a parity-odd coupling to the inflaton. There are two regimes of production, delineated by the relative size of the coupling and the dark photon mass, arising from a tachyonic instability, and a parametric resonance, respectively. As a result of the coupling, the transverse modes, subdominant in both the minimally and nonminimally coupled theories, can dominate the total late-time abundance. The viable parameter space for dark-photon dark matter is thus widened. Furthermore, in the tachyonic case, the production is dominated by a single helicity mode, leading to a population of chiral dark photons that can lead to potential parity-violating observational signatures. We further explore the dependence of the production on the reheating history, and find that information about reheating is encoded in the number density spectrum.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-ph

Resurrecting Electroweak Dark Matter via Type-II Seesaw in light of recent LZ Event

The recent observation of the high-energy nuclear recoil event LZ230616 with a recoil energy around 248 keV provides an interesting possibility to probe inelastic doublet dark matter (iDM). However, the electroweak doublet DM scenarios face strong constraints from solar DM capture for DM masses around the TeV scale which give rise to correct thermal relic density. In this work, we revive the inelastic doublet DM (iDM) scenario via type-II seesaw. In particular, we consider an inert lepton doublet (ILD) DM. While the minimal ILD scenario gives the correct relic abundance around the TeV scale, it is strongly constrained by direct detection and solar DM capture. In the type-II seesaw, the presence of the scalar triplet generates the required mass splitting and provides additional annihilation channels, allowing the correct relic abundance for much larger DM masses. The larger DM mass also helps evade the solar capture and indirect detection constraints. Additionally, the scalar triplet gives sub-eV neutrino masses required by the oscillation data.
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All authors Partha Kumar Paul, Sujit Kumar Sahoo, Narendra Sahu, Shashwat Sharma

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Non-linear halo bias for accurate modelling of cosmic infrared background anisotropies

Halo models provide the standard framework for interpreting cosmic infrared background (CIB) anisotropies and inferring the connection between dusty star-forming galaxies and their host dark matter halos. Recent studies have shown that inaccuracies in the modelling of halo clustering may bias the inferred parameters governing star formation in dark matter halos. In this work, we investigate whether a more detailed description of halo clustering can alleviate these shortcomings. We incorporate a scale-dependent, non-linear correction to the halo bias within a halo-model framework based on a simple SFR-halo mass parametrisation. We consider both a full mass-dependent implementation and a computationally efficient approximation. We also investigate the impact of updated (sub)halo mass functions. We validate the revised framework using mock observations derived from a dedicated simplified version of the SIDES-Uchuu simulation, combining the SIDES empirical galaxy model with the Uchuu N-body simulation, specifically designed to match the SFR prescriptions adopted in our halo-model. The corrections modify the predicted CIB clustering by up to 30% on intermediate scales, while the effective implementation reproduces the full treatment at the sub-percent level. The updated model removes the scale-dependent discrepancies previously identified and accurately reproduces the measured power spectra over the full multipole range. In MCMC analyses, the input SFR parameters are recovered with substantially reduced biases, with all input parameters recovered within their $1\sigma$ confidence intervals. Our results demonstrate that accurately modelling non-linear halo clustering is essential not only to reproduce CIB anisotropies, but also to reliably recover the underlying galaxy-halo connection. The framework presented here provides a validated foundation for future analyses of observational data.
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All authors Baptiste Jego, Matthieu Béthermin, Katarina Kraljic, Athanasia Gkogkou, Guilaine Lagache, Abhishek S. Maniyar

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Modified Gravity from growth data: goodness-of-fit and gravitational coupling

While background expansion data alone cannot discriminate among cosmological models, the growth of large-scale structures directly probes the underlying theory of gravity, offering a path to distinguish General Relativity from its modifications. In this work, we constrain three representative $F(R)$ modified gravity models (Starobinsky, Hu-Sawicki, and $R^2$-corrected Appleby-Battye) using measurements of the growth rate $f(z)$ and the matter fluctuation amplitude $\sigma_8(z)$. Our analyses combine MCMC parameter estimation, Gaussian Process reconstructions, and goodness-of-fit statistics including Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC). All investigated models provide statistically comparable fits to the current growth data, with information criteria differences too small to establish a preference for any particular scenario. To overcome this degeneracy, we reconstruct the effective gravitational coupling $\mu(z)$ from the MCMC posterior samples, providing a physically motivated diagnostic that complements standard goodness-of-fit criteria. The Starobinsky and Hu-Sawicki models predict moderate departures from General Relativity, remaining compatible with constraints on both $\mu(z)$ and $S_8$. In contrast, the $R^2$-AB model predicts $\mu_0 \sim 3.5$ and $S_8 = 0.638$, a $3.2\sigma$ tension with Planck 2018, rendering it physically disfavored despite its competitive statistical performance.
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All authors Manoel V. S. Filho, Fernanda Oliveira, Wiliam S. Hipólito-Ricaldi, Felipe Avila, Armando Bernui

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

A two-component profile of baryonic feedback: hydrostatic and diffuse gas

Baryonic feedback processes redistribute gas within and beyond dark matter halos, however, the resulting gas distribution remains highly uncertain, limiting predictions of the matter distribution for precision cosmology. We introduce a physically motivated approach to modelling the gas distribution that decomposes it into an approximately hydrostatic inner component and a diffuse outer component. This approach takes advantage of the growing observational landscape: X-ray measurements primarily probe the dense inner halo, while the kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (kSZ) effect is sensitive to diffuse ionized gas extending to larger radii. We implement this two-component profile within the baryonification framework, though we note that it is applicable to any model of the large-scale gas distribution. We jointly fit X-ray gas-fraction measurements from the HSC-XXL and eROSITA samples with stacked kSZ effect measurements of BOSS CMASS galaxies from the Atacama Cosmology Telescope, demonstrating that the proposed profile retains sufficient flexibility. This proof-of-concept shows that a decomposition between hydrostatic and diffuse gas provides a simple, physically interpretable framework for connecting complementary observations of the gas distribution, and a foundation for future models of baryonic feedback.
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All authors Kaitlyn Shavelle, Jared Siegel, Leah Bigwood, Alexandra Amon, Romain Teyssier

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Intrinsic Tidal Shear at the Largest Scales: Galaxy Multiplet Alignment in DESI DR2

We measure the intrinsic alignment (IA) of galaxy multiplets with the large-scale tidal field traced by galaxy positions in DESI Data Release 2. Using the BGS, LRG, and ELG samples spanning $0.01 < z < 1.6$, we optimize the scales which define multiplets in each sample to minimize measurement noise. We measure multiplet tidal alignment $\mathcal{E}_+$ on scales beyond 100 $h^{-1}$Mpc in all samples, and detect alignment over 200 $h^{-1}$Mpc, up to 4.5$\sigma$ in the highest LRG redshift bin. We additionally present the multiplet shape-shape autocorrelation, $\mathcal{E}_{++}$, which is independent of galaxy bias and provides a consistency check of our NLA (nonlinear alignment) model. We do not detect a baryon acoustic feature in the projected estimator. We also find the alignment strength of multiplets is correlated with redshift and galaxy morphology. Multiplet alignment offers direct access to the tidal shear field in all galaxy samples, even where individual galaxy alignment cannot, and extends IA detection to the largest scales yet probed.
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All authors C. Lamman, J. Aguilar, S. Ahlen, A. Aviles, D. Bianchi, D. Brooks, A. Carnero Rosell, F. J. Castander, T. Claybaugh, A. de la Macorra, D. Eisenstein, A. Font-Ribera, J. E. Forero-Romero, C. Garcia-Quintero, E. Gaztañaga, G. Gutierrez, K. Honscheid, M. Ishak, S. Juneau, T. Karim, D. Kirkby, O. Lahav, M. Landriau, M. E. Levi, M. Manera, A. Meisner, R. Miquel, S. Nadathur, H. E. Noriega, N. Palanque-Delabrouille, W. J. Percival, M. Perdomo, F. Prada, I. Pérez-Ràfols, C. Ravoux, A. J. Ross, G. Rossi, R. Ruggeri, L. Samushia, E. Sanchez, C. Saulder, D. Schlegel, M. Schubnell, J. Silber, M. Siudek, G. Tarlé, R. Vaisakh, B. A. Weaver

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

FLUMEN: Neural Emulator of an Advanced Stochastic Weak Lensing Model

Weak gravitational lensing by intervening structure magnifies distant sources and induces scatter in their luminosity distances. We develop an improved stochastic model for the distribution of weak lensing magnifications, $\textrm{d} P/\textrm{d}\mu$, that resolves individual lenses down to $10^7\,M_\odot$ and, besides field halos and filaments, includes subhalos and large-scale clustering of the lens population. Both extensions broaden the distribution, and the resulting scatter in the luminosity distances agrees with the halo-model prediction from the nonlinear matter power spectrum and exceeds that obtained from $N$-body ray tracing, which we attribute to the finite mass resolution and box size of the simulations. Building on this model, we develop FLUMEN, a conditional normalizing-flow emulator that predicts $\textrm{d} P/\textrm{d}\mu$ as a function of the source redshift up to $z_s=12$ and six cosmological parameters $\{h,\Omega_M,\Omega_B,\sigma_8,n_s,z_{\rm eq}\}$. The emulator enforces the empty-beam cutoff and the fold-caustic power-law tail analytically, and reproduces the Monte Carlo distributions on held-out cosmologies with a median Kullback–Leibler divergence of $0.0048$ at negligible cost. Our results provide a fast and flexible framework for incorporating the full magnification distribution into cosmological analyses of standard sirens, supernovae, and other point sources.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

High Resolution Grid-based Simulations of the Warm-Hot Intergalactic Medium

We present high-resolution cosmological hydrodynamic simulations of the Warm-Hot Intergalactic Medium (WHIM) using the GPU-optimized grid-based hydrodynamic code Kratos. Employing a uniform 4096^3 grid in a (100 h^-1 Mpc)^3 comoving volume, we achieve a spatial resolution of ~24.5 h^-1 kpc, sufficient to resolve the Jeans scale of gas at T ~ 10^4 K and n_H ~ 10^-3 to 10^-2 cm^-3. This calculation ranks among the largest grid-based cosmological hydrodynamic simulations performed to date. We find that ~23.4% of cosmic baryons reside in the WHIM phase (T = 10^5 - 10^7 K) at z = 0, significantly below the 40-50% found in earlier, lower-resolution simulations. Through a suite of lower-resolution simulations, we demonstrate that spatial resolution plays a pivotal role in determining the WHIM fraction: resolving gas near its Jeans scale allows it to reach higher densities, where enhanced radiative cooling transfers a substantial fraction of baryons out of the WHIM temperature range. The remaining WHIM resides predominantly in filaments and accretion-shock structures in the vicinity of halos, where hierarchical structure formation and ongoing hydrodynamic accretion provide continued shock heating. Synthetic observations of Lyman-alpha, O VI, O VII, and O VIII emission reveal distinct morphological and kinematic signatures, with O VI tracing filament-halo interfaces and the X-ray lines probing hotter gas associated with massive halos. These predictions underscore the importance of current and future missions such as XRISM, ATHENA, and HUBS for mapping WHIM thermodynamics and kinematics.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Lens Modeling and Cosmological Inference from an Impure Sample of Galaxy-Galaxy Strong Lenses

The start of the Legacy Survey of Space and Time marks a new era for strong lensing science, where the number of strong lenses identified is expected to increase to $\mathcal{O}(10^5)$. In this paper we use a neural network to determine the precision with which lens parameters can be determined, using realistic simulated LSST lensed systems. We find that the Einstein radius can be measured with a mean precision of $3.7\%$ with calibrated uncertainties accurately reflecting the corresponding measurement error. Based on the performance of current strong lens classifiers, the $\sim 100,000$ detectable strong lenses are expected to be accompanied by a similar or larger number of false positives (non-lenses). In readiness for this we introduce a formalism, termed `COSMIC-BEAMS', to infer cosmological parameters while accounting for contamination by false positives. As a proof-of-concept, using simulated LSST measurements of the Einstein radii of a realistic and impure sample of photometric lens systems, i.e. those without spectroscopic confirmation, we find that the cosmological parameters $\Omega_m$, $\Omega_\Lambda$, and $w$ can be measured to a precision of $0.1$, $0.03$ and $0.15$ respectively for a $w$CDM cosmology. We demonstrate that unbiased cosmological parameters can be inferred even in strong lens samples contaminated by $50\%$ false positives, and that the photometric dataset of $100\,000$ strong lenses will provide equivalent $w$-precision to $2500-3500$ spectroscopic systems.
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All authors Philip Holloway, Aprajita Verma, Philip J. Marshall, Padmavathi Venkatraman, Sydney Erickson, Tian Li, Simon Birrer, Steven Dillmann, Thomas E. Collett, the LSST Dark Energy Science Collaboration

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.IM

Combining astrometry with pulsar timing: the first joint analysis of very low frequency gravitational waves

The pHz to sub-nHz GW regime remains largely unexplored but is crucial for mapping the early inspiral stage of SMBHBs and probing early-Universe physics. Astrometry and pulsar timing offer orthogonal and deeply complementary secular observables to investigate this frequency band. We aim to present the first joint data analysis combining real astrometric proper motions with binary pulsar timing, to search for and constrain continuous gravitational waves (CWs) sourced by SMBHBs in the ultra-low-frequency regime ($10^{-12} \le f_{GW} \le10^{-9} Hz$). We employ a Bayesian model selection and upper limit estimation framework to combine apparent proper motion displacements of $\sim 1.5 \times 10^6$ quasars from the Gaia CRF3 catalog with the line-of-sight orbital period derivatives ($\dot{P}_b$) of 11 high-precision binary pulsars. To prevent spurious detections, we heavily model instrumental and astrophysical systematics: we propagate the Galactic potential uncertainty for pulsars via Monte Carlo simulations and perform a Vector Spherical Harmonics (VSH) decomposition up to the octupole order (l=3) for quasars. We find no statistically significant evidence for a CWs signal in the joint analysis ($\ln B_{joint} = -0.42 \pm 0.03$). In the absence of detection, we set the tightest constraints to date on CW strain in the pHz band, yielding a 95% upper limit of $h_0\le6.4x10^{-11}$ at a reference frequency of $f_{ref} = 4 \times 10^{-10}$ Hz. The combined dataset achieves full sky coverage and improves single-dataset upper limits by 20%-30%. Combining orthogonal observables successfully breaks spatial degeneracies intrinsic to isolated searches. Furthermore, forecasts from inj.-rec. indicate that with the extended temporal baseline and reduced uncertainties of the upcoming Gaia DR4, this joint framework is poised to break the $h_0 < 10^{-11}$ upper limit barrier for sub-nHz CWs.
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All authors Lorenzo Filipello, William Beordo, Volodymyr Akhmetov, Mariateresa Crosta, Mario Gilberto Lattanzi

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

A note on oscillons: non-negligible metric fluctuations during preheating

The dominant lattice approach to post-inflationary preheating and oscillon formation evolves an inhomogeneous inflaton field on a spatially homogeneous Friedmann-Lemaître-Robertson-Walker background, whose expansion is sourced by a volume-averaged energy density, while metric perturbations are neglected. We examine the consistency of this approximation with General Relativity. Using the linearized Einstein constraints, we show that the suppression of the Bardeen potential, characteristic of slow-roll inflation, disappears during preheating: once the first slow-roll parameter becomes of order unity, the metric and inflaton fluctuations enter at the same perturbative order. We further show that the scalar-field equation evolved in the fixed-FLRW prescription omits leading-order contributions generated by metric fluctuations. We then derive the proper-volume average of the ADM Hamiltonian constraint and show that it does not reduce to the Friedmann equation used in lattice simulations: the exact averaged constraint contains additional contributions from the spatial curvature, the variance of the local expansion, the shear, and metric corrections to the local energy density. Finally, we illustrate numerically, for Starobinsky and $\alpha$-attractor models, that the metric contribution becomes comparable to the scalar-field contribution during the amplification stage. These results directly affect the standard lattice description of oscillon formation and motivate numerical relativity as a consistent framework for the nonlinear preheating problem.
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All authors Daniel del-Corral, Paolo Gondolo, K. Sravan Kumar, João Marto

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

21-cm Constraints on S-wave Dark Matter Annihilation with Subhalo-enhanced Effects

Observations of the 21-cm signal can probe energy injection into the intergalactic medium arising from dark matter annihilation during cosmic dawn and reionization. For s-wave annihilation, the annihilation rate depends on the squared dark matter density, making the 21-cm signal sensitive to dark matter halo substructure. In this work, we extend the numerical method of DM21cm to address spatially inhomogeneous s-wave annihilation including subhalo effects, using semi-analytical treatment of SASHIMI-C. Our numerical results show that the projected HERA limit for the $\gamma\gamma$ annihilation channel is stronger than the Leo~T bound within the dark matter mass range of $m_{\chi}\leq 3\,{\rm keV}$, whereas the projected HERA limit for the $e^+e^-$ annihilation channel is the strongest among the existing bounds for $m_\chi\sim 0.1$–$1\,{\rm GeV}$.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-ph

The high-velocity dark matter halo of the Milky Way in light of the LZ 248 keV event

The interpretation of high-energy nuclear recoil events in direct-detection experiments can depend sensitively on the poorly understood high-speed tail of the Galactic dark matter velocity distribution. This fact has been brought into sharper focus recently by an anomalous nuclear-recoil event at $E_R\approx248~\mathrm{keV}$ observed by the LZ experiment. If interpreted as caused by a dark-matter-induced recoil, kinematic constraints on many models imply this particle would have to emerge from the high-speed tail. Here, we re-assess this astrophysical uncertainty using Milky Way analogues from the IllustrisTNG and FIRE simulations. We find that the maximum laboratory-frame DM speed on June 16, when the event was observed, is $792.7^{+82.9}_{-95.6}\, \mathrm{km/s}$ (median and 95% containment across simulations), with a median very close to the fiducial SHM value. Modelling the tail of the velocity distribution in three dimensions is complicated by the fact that these simulated dark matter halos are anisotropic and are generically seen to spin in the same direction as the baryonic disk. However, we find that this does not reduce the maximum laboratory-frame DM speed because the approximately Gaussian azimuthal velocity distribution is negatively skewed by this co-rotation, rather than shifted by it. We illustrate these results in the context of an inelastic dark matter interpretation of the LZ event.
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Thursday 17 September

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.HE

Self-Similar Mass Spectra of Hierarchical Black Hole Mergers

Black holes that merge repeatedly carry a record of that history in their mass distribution. We treat hierarchical merging as a coagulation problem, in which a single kernel encodes how the merger rate depends on the masses involved and on cosmic time, and we derive the late-time spectra that such populations approach. The framework yields closed scaling laws, an exactly solvable benchmark, and a classification of merger environments by a single exponent measuring how strongly mergers favor or suppress massive participants. Applying it to primordial black holes requires care in translating published merger rates into kernel form; done correctly, three of the four standard binary-formation channels map onto superlinear kernels and are therefore candidates for runaway growth, in which the heaviest objects would dominate and no steady mass-conserving spectrum exists; establishing physical gelation, however, requires the full population-dependent kernel and its finite coagulation history, neither of which we settle here. Only the early three-body channel maps into the nongelling regime and admits slow self-similar growth. Numerical solutions across thirteen suppressive, nongelling kernels show that the shape of the spectrum is not fixed by the scaling exponent alone, and that accounting for the energy radiated at each merger measurably changes the high-mass cutoff and drains the population's total black-hole mass.
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All authors Liam Blum, Stefano Profumo, Ryan Schantz, Quoc Ha Tran

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-ph

Endothermic Z'-Portal Dark Matter: LZ-LHC Complementarity

Motivated by the $2.6\sigma$ high-energy recoil event recently reported by the LUX-ZEPLIN (LZ) Collaboration, we consider an endothermic $Z^\prime$-portal Majorana dark matter framework and discuss the complementarity between the LZ event and LHC searches for a $Z^\prime$ resonance. As a concrete realization, we consider a gauged U(1) ${B-L}$ extension of the Standard Model. The phenomenology of the framework is essentially controlled by two free parameters: the U(1) ${B-L}$ gauge coupling $g_{BL}$ and the $Z^\prime$ boson mass $m_{Z^\prime}$. For a fixed $m_{Z^\prime}$, the observed dark matter abundance requires the dark matter mass to be near the $Z^\prime$ resonance, $m_{\rm DM} \sim m_{Z^\prime}/2$, and sets a lower bound on $g_{BL}$. Complementarily, LHC searches for a $Z^\prime$ resonance set an upper bound on $g_{BL}$. The parameter space allowed by the dark matter abundance and LHC constraints can account for the recent LZ event. The synergy between future $Z^\prime$ resonance searches at the High-Luminosity LHC and the LZ experiment may provide a test of this framework.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Comparing the Detectability of the Baryon Acoustic Oscillation through Gravitational-Wave Autocorrelation and Cross-Correlation with Galaxies

The amplitude and waveform shape of gravitational wave radiation from compact binary mergers enable a direct measurement of the luminosity distance to these events, making them “standard sirens”. Binary black hole (BBH) mergers form a significant fraction of these standard sirens. A substantial catalog of BBH merger events can be used to probe cosmology and large-scale structure properties, such as the baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO). In this work, we explore detecting the BAO scale using the cross-correlation between BBH mergers and a galaxy catalog, and compare it with the BBH autocorrelation for the third-generation detector observations. Over a $10$-year observation period, these observatories will localize approximately $1.5\times10^{5}$ events within $10$ square degrees, with \snr $\geq 50$ and luminosity distance uncertainty $\leq 50$ Mpc, and will allow recovery of the BAO scale. We find that the BAO scale is recovered with approximately two times the \snr and a significantly better precision through cross-correlation as compared to autocorrelation.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.HE

Systematic Uncertainties and Their Impact on Gamma-Ray Searches for Dark Matter in Dwarf Galaxies

Gamma-ray observations of Milky Way dwarf galaxies provide some of the strongest constraints on dark matter annihilation and are approaching the sensitivity required to test dark matter interpretations of the Galactic Center Gamma-Ray Excess. The results, however, depend critically on the inferred dark matter distributions in these systems, conventionally described by their $J$-factors and spatial profiles. We review several sources of systematic uncertainty in dwarf galaxy $J$-factor determinations, including stellar membership, unresolved binaries, departures from equilibrium and spherical symmetry, and assumptions regarding the stellar and dark matter density profiles. Most $J$-factor determinations reported in the literature neglect several of these uncertainties, and the resulting measurements are often more dispersed than their quoted uncertainties would suggest. This indicates uncertainties of order $\Delta\log_{10}J\sim0.5$ or larger may be warranted for many of these systems. Using an ensemble of simulated Fermi-LAT observations of a stacked sample of 27 dwarf galaxies, we quantify how these unmodeled uncertainties affect the resulting constraints on the dark matter annihilation cross section. We find that adding an uncertainty of $\Delta\log_{10}J\sim 0.5$ or 1.0 in quadrature weakens the median upper limits of a stacked analysis by factors of 1.4 or 3.2, respectively. Furthermore, underestimating these uncertainties can cause such analyses to exclude the true annihilation cross section more frequently than the nominal confidence level would imply. Such undercoverage is especially pronounced in stacked analyses and persists even when the adopted and true $J$-factor uncertainties agree. Mismodeling spatially extended halos as point sources, as is sometimes done, further strengthens the resulting limits and increases the probability that true signals will be incorrectly excluded.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.GA

Cosmic web Ly$\alpha$ emission in a sample of overdense regions

We present a complete and homogeneous analysis of the Ly$\alpha$ emission properties of the cosmic web at $3 \lesssim z \lesssim 5$ as a function of the overdensity of Ly$\alpha$ emitters (LAEs) in the MUSE Ultra Deep Field (MUDF) and the MUSE Extremely Deep Field (MXDF). We identify 41 overdensities, probing environments that are $\delta \approx 2 - 10$ times denser than the field. We search for extended emission down to surface brightness (SB) levels of $3 - 5 \times 10^{-20}\ \mathrm{erg\ s^{-1}\ cm^{-2}\ arcsec^{-2}}$, revealing filamentary structures beyond the scale of the circumgalactic medium, confirming that LAEs act as signposts of the cosmic web. A trend with overdensity emerges: non-detections are mainly at $\delta < 2$, a $\approx 1$ dex scatter in SB appears for $2 \lesssim \delta \lesssim 3.5$, and detections reach a maximum intrinsic SB of $\approx 2 \times 10^{-19}\ \mathrm{erg\ s^{-1}\ cm^{-2}\ arcsec^{-2}}$ for $\delta \gtrsim 3.5$. Emitting regions occupy a fraction of projected area $f_s \approx 0.20 - 0.25$ inside filaments, yielding a cosmological incidence for Ly$\alpha$ emission in the cosmic web $\ell(\mathrm{Ly}\alpha)$ of $\approx 1.22$, which is similar to the one of partially-neutral Lyman limit systems. This analysis indicates that the emitting gas is partially ionized at moderate densities ($n_{\mathrm{H}} \approx 10^{-3} - 10^{-1}\ \mathrm{cm}^{-3}$), likely tracing the denser spines of intergalactic filaments and embedded substructures. Finally, we forecast how oriented stacking in larger samples of overdensities from shallower observations could yield an expanded view of the cosmic web before the next-generation wide-field spectroscopic instruments become operational.
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All authors Davide Tornotti, Michele Fumagalli, Matteo Fossati, Roland Bacon, Fabrizio Arrigoni Battaia, Rajeshwari Dutta, Michele Fulghieri, Celine Peroux, Marc Rafelski, Mitchell Revalski

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-ph

Thermal gravitino and axino rate from AutoTherm

If ultrarelativistic supersymmetric particles are thermally produced in the early universe they would influence big-bang nucleosynthesis, dark matter and reheating constraints. While the basic framework for thermal gravitino and axino production is well established, the calculation is not completely settled. In this work, we revisit the problem using AutoTherm, a new tool which automates the computation of thermal rates from first-principles Thermal Field Theory, with control over the inherent theory uncertainty in Hard Thermal Loop resummation schemes. We demonstrate that the strict leading-order (LO) scheme, while unambiguous for hard momenta, can yield unphysical negative rates when extrapolated to soft momenta. To address this, we introduce a tuned scheme that ensures positivity and agreement with strict LO at high momenta, while avoiding gauge-dependent pathologies. We compare our results with existing parametrizations in the literature, identifying discrepancies and providing new, reliable fits for the gauge and Yukawa contributions to the gravitino and axino production rates. The choice of resummation scheme gives a theory uncertainty by a factor of $\sim 1.5$...$3$ depending on the temperature, which has been underappreciated until now. This residual spread should be taken into account in precision cosmological analyses of gravitino/axino abundancies.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-ph

AutoTherm: Automated Thermal Field Theory rates for cosmology

AutoTherm is a modular code automating the determination of thermal production and interaction rates for cosmology from Thermal Field Theory. This first release computes fully automatically the leading-order contribution from ultrarelativistic $2\leftrightarrow 2$ processes to the production rate of an off-equilibrium $\vartheta$ particle coupled to a thermal bath. It takes as input a FeynRules model file describing the Lagrangian of the bath-$\vartheta$ system. The AutoTherm program consists of a Wolfram package, which utilises FeynArts/FormCalc, together with a few Python modules for symbolic and numerical routines. Their combined usage leads from the model file to the rate, but each component can also be used in a standalone manner. The main strength of this release is the automated, model-independent handling of Hard Thermal Loop resummation, which is necessary whenever a $2\leftrightarrow 2$ process is mediated by a $t$-channel massless mediator. Developments in Thermal Field Theory reduce the apparently large model dependence to the determination of the thermal mass of the mediator, which we automate successfully. They further allow us to provide three leading-order-equivalent implementations of HTL resummation. Their spread provides a first estimate of the theory uncertainty from higher-order thermal corrections. We showcase the strength of our AutoTherm framework by successfully reproducing or correcting a host of results in the literature, such as the thermal production rate of ultrarelativistic right-handed neutrinos, of gravitons and gravitinos, of axions and of dark photons.
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