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Physics Astrophysics Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

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Wednesday 19 August

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-th

Stochastic Schwinger Effect: de Sitter and beyond

We develop a stochastic formulation of the Schwinger effect in de Sitter spacetime using the Schwinger–Keldysh (in-in) formalism, tailored to particle production by non-stationary gauge backgrounds in the early Universe. Treating the gauge field as a prescribed classical stochastic ensemble, we integrate out massless charged matter and derive the corresponding influence functional and particle-production kernel to leading non-trivial order in the gauge coupling. Conformal invariance allows the result to be extended directly from de Sitter to generic spatially flat FLRW spacetimes, without relying on asymptotic out states. We establish the infrared safety and classicality conditions of the stochastic description and clarify its relation to the conventional static Schwinger effect. We further extend the framework to massless conformally coupled scalars and to weakly coupled non-Abelian gauge sectors, including Standard Model and hidden-sector examples, in regimes where thermal corrections are negligible. Our results provide a general framework for matter creation by stochastic gauge fields in inflation, preheating, and non-thermal BSM sectors, connecting quantum field theory in curved spacetime with early-Universe and high-energy phenomenology.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-ph

TeV-scale leptogenesis in a parity symmetric neutrino mass model

We study leptogenesis via out-of-equilibrium decays of right-handed neutrinos in a parity symmetric extension of the Standard Model with gauge group $SU(3)_c \times SU(2)_L \times SU(2)_R \times U(1)_X$, spontaneously broken to the Standard Model gauge group at a scale $v_R$. We focus on the minimal Higgs realization, in which the strong CP problem is resolved without invoking additional symmetries. In this framework, lepton number is violated through Yukawa interactions, while neutrino masses arise only at higher loop order, a feature that permits the CP-violating quantum corrections to right-handed neutrino decays to be parametrically large. For thermal production of right-handed neutrinos, we find that successful leptogenesis requires $v_R \gtrsim 6\times 10^{12}$ GeV. Non-thermal production, however, relaxes this bound dramatically, requiring only $v_R \gtrsim 10$ TeV, a scale accessible to collider searches for new particles and searches for rare processes.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.GA

Detectable subhalo impacts in Milky Way streams

Dark matter subhalos leave gravitational imprints in the stellar streams of the Milky Way. Observing individual strong impacts of subhalos offers a compelling way to constrain and discover potentially dark subhalos down to $10^6 M_\odot$, allowing for new tests of the particle physics properties of dark matter. We develop a pipeline and statistical framework to forecast the expected number of detectable subhalo impacts on stellar streams, based on morphological and kinematic data from surveys such as LSST and Via. Starting from a catalog of confirmed stellar streams, we focus our efforts on 14 promising streams that are relatively well-modeled with a particle spray algorithm. Our criteria for a detectable impact is a deviation at 95% CL from the best-fit polynomial proxy model for the stream, which accounts for stream modeling uncertainties and regulates the effect of distant impacts that are degenerate with these uncertainties. Among the 14 streams studied, we find that 5 streams have an expected number of detectable impacts greater than 0.2. With LSST and Via data, the stream Jet has $5.15^{+1.10}_{-0.95}$ expected detectable impacts, followed by Orphan-Chenab ($1.40^{+0.62}_{-0.47}$), ATLAS-Aliqa Uma ($1.25^{+0.60}_{-0.44}$), GD-1 ($0.55^{+0.43}_{-0.28}$), and Palomar 5 ($0.40^{+0.39}_{-0.23}$), where error bars are the 95% containment on the Poisson mean. These values rely on the assumed subhalo population, which can give a factor of few systematic uncertainty in the predictions. We also consider effects of different particle dark matter models on the number of impacts, finding a suppression by a factor of $\sim 4$ for warm dark matter and fuzzy dark matter models at their current mass bounds and an $O(1)$ enhancement for a toy model of self-interacting dark matter.
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All authors Junyang Lu, Elias Bernreuther, Tongyan Lin, Vincent S. H. Lee, Ana Bonaca, Ethan O. Nadler

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.GA

Low Ly$\alpha$ Visibility in Galaxy Overdensities: Reionization Topology and Neutral-Fraction Ceilings from DIVER over $4.8<z<11$

Ly-alpha emission is widely used to trace cosmic reionization, but its interpretation depends on how Ly-alpha visibility varies with galaxy environment. We use deep JWST/NIRSpec observations from Deep Insights into UV Spectroscopy at the Epoch of Reionization (DIVER) in GOODS-N to measure Ly-alpha visibility for 250 galaxies at 4.8<z<11. The sample contains 84 Ly-alpha detections, including 44 strong emitters with rest-frame Ly-alpha equivalent width W_Lyalpha>25 A. We combine these measurements with H-alpha and [O III] emitters from JWST/NIRCam wide-field slitless spectroscopy to map the density field around each DIVER galaxy. Galaxies with high Ly-alpha equivalent widths (W_Lyalpha>25 A) or high effective Ly-alpha escape fractions (f_esc,Lyalpha^eff>0.05) tend to lie farther from nearby H-alpha and [O III] emitters than galaxies with lower Ly-alpha visibility. The clearest signal occurs near the prominent GOODS-N overdensity at z~5.2, where fewer than 15% of galaxies show strong Ly-alpha emission. This trend is opposite to the simplest inside-out reionization expectation that overdensities produce larger ionized regions and enhance Ly-alpha visibility. Possible explanations include circumgalactic and local intergalactic opacity, dense absorbers, and gas kinematics. We also derive an empirical upper envelope for f_esc,Lyalpha^eff and calibrate it with reionization simulations. Interpreting this envelope as a limiting IGM-attenuation signal gives neutral-fraction ceilings of <x_HI>_max=0.36, 0.76, 0.74, 0.84, and 1.0 at z~5.2, 5.8, 6.7, 7.7, and 9.8, respectively. The z~8 ceiling disfavors an almost completely neutral IGM at this epoch. These results support patchy reionization already underway by z~8 and show that galaxy Ly-alpha visibility encodes both large-scale ionization topology and near-source gas structure.
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All authors Yongda Zhu, Xiaohui Fan, Laura C. Keating, George D. Becker, Eiichi Egami, Xiaojing Lin, Fengwu Sun, Christopher Cain, Marcia J. Rieke, Andrew J. Bunker, Sijia Cai, Francesco D'Eugenio, Jakob M. Helton, Xiangyu Jin, Mingyu Li, Zheng Ma, Roberto Maiolino, Pierluigi Rinaldi, Christopher N. A. Willmer, Yunjing Wu, Zihao Wu, Junyu Zhang

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

The Challenge of Observing Patchy Reionization with CMB Optical-Depth Fluctuations

Spatial fluctuations in the Thomson optical depth encode information about the inhomogeneous nature of cosmic reionization. We compute the optical-depth angular power spectrum, $C_\ell^{\tau\tau}$, using past lightcones constructed from five Cosmic Reionization on Computers (CROC) radiation-hydrodynamical simulations. By decomposing the electron-density field into patchy and density components, we quantify the separate contributions of ionization-fraction and baryon-density fluctuations to the optical-depth anisotropy. Because the simulations end at $z\approx5$, we supplement the reionization-era signal with an analytic estimate of the fully ionized low-redshift contribution. We find that baryon-density fluctuations dominate the high-redshift signal over most angular scales, while the accumulated low-redshift contribution exceeds the high-redshift signal across the full multipole range considered. Our results demonstrate that a significant fraction of the optical-depth power is not uniquely associated with reionization morphology, implying that future interpretations of $C_\ell^{\tau\tau}$ must account for the density contribution in addition to patchy ionization.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.GA

Inferring the Dark from the Observable: Estimating Halo Masses Using Galaxy Properties

The formation and evolution of galaxies are interconnected with that of their host halos. Given this closely related evolutionary history, it should follow that galaxy properties are correlated with their host halo mass. Previous works have shown that star formation rates of galaxies in cluster halos differ systematically from those in field halos, suggesting that host halo mass plays a significant role in the history of galaxy evolution. Here, we examine the correlations between observable galaxy properties - such as stellar mass, star formation rate, half-stellar radius, $r-$band magnitude, and color - and the underlying host halo mass of galaxies. Central galaxy observables are used to probe host halo mass, while satellite galaxy properties are used to estimate subhalo mass. We perform this analysis using random forest, ordinary least squares (OLS), and symbolic regression. Random forest regression can assess the relative significance of different observable galaxy properties, while OLS and symbolic regression can quantify their relationship with the host halo mass. Our results show that gas mass is generally the most significant property in central galaxies of all halo mass ranges, followed by stellar mass and observed $r-$band magnitude. Adding parameters such as the colour and magnitude of galaxies improves host halo mass estimations compared to standard stellar-to-halo mass relations. These results show that halo mass likely has a multi-dimensional dependence on galaxy properties and open the avenue of finding a simple way to constrain halo mass based on what is directly observable in galaxy surveys. Finding the observables that have the strongest correlation with halo mass can also motivate future surveys on which areas to concentrate in detail.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Dipolar power asymmetry in wide-angle correlations of galaxy density, velocity and ellipticity

The large-scale structure of the universe has the potential to probe anomalies suggested by observations of the cosmic microwave background. In this work, we focus on a position-dependent dipolar modulation of the primordial power spectrum and develop a full-sky formalism for computing correlation functions of galaxy density, velocity and ellipticity. By comparing the correlation functions obtained with and without the plane-parallel approximation, we show that wide-angle corrections become non-negligible for opening angles $\Theta \gtrsim 30^\circ$. Our results demonstrate that wide-angle corrections must be taken into account when testing the dipolar modulation with future large-scale structure surveys.
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All authors Yusuke Mikura, Teppei Okumura, Ippei Obata, Maresuke Shiraishi

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Towards end-to-end Bayesian forward models in global 21-cm cosmology: surrogate modelling and marginalisation of beam uncertainty

Robust statistical inference in global 21-cm cosmology requires end-to-end uncertainty quantification that jointly handles the highly degenerate cosmological signal, foreground emission, and instrumental response. Although electromagnetic simulations capture physical antenna properties in a parametrised way, multi-hour runtimes make their integration within likelihood-based sampling frameworks infeasible. Most existing approaches therefore assume a single precomputed beam, a fragile assumption given our demonstration that realistic mismatches can severely bias the recovered cosmological and foreground parameters. To address this, we present an accelerated and differentiable Bayesian framework that incorporates an informed surrogate representation of chromatic beam uncertainty directly into a forward-modelling pipeline. Treating the physical antenna properties as nuisance quantities, we apply a two-stage decomposition directly to simulated directivity patterns, reducing the instrumental parameterisation by two orders of magnitude while retaining the angular and spectral structure required for accurate beam reconstruction. Exploiting the linearity of the resulting surrogate, we use analytical marginalisation to allow the continuous instrumental uncertainty to be propagated into the final posteriors and Bayesian evidence without directly sampling the beam space. Testing the framework against a suite of unseen beams and cosmological signals, we recover the true inputs at approximately the instrumental-noise level. We further show that, for the uncertainty considered here, as few as 100 electromagnetic simulations are sufficient to construct an effective surrogate, substantially reducing the simulation burden for future analyses. This framework provides a scalable, statistically rigorous route towards hardware-accelerated uncertainty quantification in global 21-cm cosmology.
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All authors Jacob L. Tutt, Dominic J. Anstey, John Cumner, Harry T. J. Bevins, Jean Cavillot, Eloy de Lera Acedo

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.IM

Estimation of systematic error from bulk deformation of end test mass induced by photon calibrator for LIGO post-O5 gravitational wave projects

We studied the bulk deformation of the end test masses (ETMs) of gravitational wave (GW) detectors caused by calibration devices named Photon Calibrator (Pcal). This bulk deformation is one of the source of calibration error since it induces non-linear displacement from the ideal pendulum motion of the ETM. Particularly, it is the dominant error source above 1500 Hz which is crucial to the studies of neutron star mergers. The displacement also depends on beam offsets of the main interferometer (IFO) beam and Pcal beams. We conceptually described frequency dependent effect of bulk deformation and evaluated it in several cases of the beam offset with finite-element analysis (FEA) software, for ETM models of Advanced LIGO (aLIGO), KAGRA, Advanced Virgo (AdVirgo), and LIGO A#.
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All authors Daiki Tanabe, Aloysius Niko, Kun-Yao Chang, Yuki Inoue, Dripta Bhattacharjee, Richard Savage, Henry Tsz-King Wong

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.HE

Automatically distinguishing Rubin transients from AGN using variability metrics

Stochastic variability of active galactic nuclei (AGN) can produce contaminants in the search for explosive extragalactic transients (such as supernovae and tidal disruption events). In the new era of the Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), previously uncatalogued AGN, especially those with luminosity near the survey detection limits, are expected to produce a flood of detections that have the potential to contaminate surveys targeting other transients, leading to inefficient use of spectroscopic follow-up time. For surveys aiming to statistically characterise transient demographics, it is advantageous to use easily modelled and reproducible selection criteria to distinguish AGN from other transients, rather than machine learning. We test enacting cuts based on simple data-driven photometric variability parameters to distinguish non-AGN extragalactic transients from standard AGN variability on both Zwicky Transient Facility photometry and simulated LSST photometry from the MALLORN data set. We also investigate the impact of light curve history availability, redshift range and filter selection on selection efficiency. We find that a two-dimensional cut incorporating the ratio of detection flux and pre-detection standard deviation and the ratio of detection flux to pre-detection mean flux is the most effective cut. This approach is easily scalable as these values are included in the LSST alert packets. We provide estimates of the completeness and purity of the sample produced by enacting this cut, and gauge the AGN contamination avoided. The parameters utilised in this approach could also be implemented as features for identifying AGN in a photometric classifier.
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All authors Dylan Magill, Matt Nicholl, Philip Wiseman, Charlotte R. Angus, Paige Ramsden, Christopher Frohmaier, Sjoert van Velzen, Vysakh Anilkumar, Jaimee Greenwood, Joshua G. Weston

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Broadband Chiral Primordial Gravitational Waves from Constant-roll Inflation in Parity-violating Symmetric Teleparallel Gravity

We investigate primordial gravitational waves (GWs) generated during constant-roll inflation in a parity-violating extension of symmetric teleparallel gravity. The parity-violating interactions leave the background evolution and linear scalar perturbations unchanged, while inducing velocity birefringence in the tensor sector. Consequently, one of the two circular polarization states undergoes tachyonic amplification, producing a strongly blue and nearly fully chiral tensor spectrum from the cosmic microwave background (CMB) to interferometer scales. We identify viable constant-roll parameter regions consistent with current CMB constraints and determine the largest coupling strength compatible with both CMB B-mode measurements and the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) O1–O4a bound on the stochastic GW background. The predicted CMB B-mode spectra may be detectable by LiteBIRD, while the enhanced high-frequency signal could be accessible to the LISA–Taiji network and LVK O5 run. The model also predicts nonvanishing TB and EB correlations. These results highlight the potential of combining CMB and multi-band GW observations to test parity-violating gravity during inflation.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-ph

Probing Sub-GeV Dark Matter with the Migdal Effect at JUNO

We discuss the sensitivity of the JUNO neutrino detector to the Migdal ionization signal triggered by nuclear scattering events produced by sub-GeV weakly interacting massive particles (WIMPs). Exploiting JUNO's large target mass and the annual modulation effect we find that the aggregate rate from many independent and indistinguishable WIMP events in JUNO's liquid scintillator can be isolated from the total dark rate of the photomultipliers, potentially providing for spin-dependent interactions a world-leading sensitivity across the sub-GeV mass range.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.GA

The MAGPI Survey: Emission Line Products Data Release and the Role of Spectroscopic Aperture Covering Fraction on the Balmer Decrement-Stellar Mass Relation

The Middle Ages Galaxy Properties with Integral field spectroscopy (MAGPI) survey is a Large Program on the European Southern Observatory Very Large Telescope using the MUSE instrument. This paper presents the data release for the MAGPI emission line products and includes emission line maps for 836 galaxies at $0.05\leq z_\mathrm{spec}\leq 0.424$ ($\mathrm{H}\alpha$-window) and aperture-based emission line measurements for 2,607 galaxies at $0.05\leq z_\mathrm{spec}\leq 1.50$ (upper bound is [OII] cut-off), both based on the GIST software, for all 56 MAGPI fields. We use these data to examine dust attenuation, which represents a major source of uncertainty in the derived properties of galaxies that are critical to constrain models of galaxy evolution. We examine the role that the spectroscopic aperture covering fraction ($f_c$) has on the relationship between the Balmer decrement ($\mathrm{BD}=F(\mathrm{H}\alpha)/F(\mathrm{H}\beta)$; a common proxy for dust attenuation) and the total stellar mass ($M_\star$). Several studies have suggested that the BD-$M_\star$ relation may be redshift invariant; however, the compared surveys often have different $f_c$ due to their differing fibre or slit sizes that can cause systematic offsets. Our results indicate that $f_c$ has a significant impact on this relationship, due to galaxies having negative BD radial gradients, which are more negative for more massive galaxies at $z\lesssim0.4$. Comparing spectroscopic surveys with $\left<f_c\right> \gtrsim 0.5$, we find that the BD-$M_\star$ relation shows a preference for redshift evolution and is roughly consistent with the behaviour of UV stellar continuum attenuation redshift evolution ($A_\mathrm{FUV}$-$z$), with the average dust attenuation in galaxies peaking at $z\sim1.2$ and decreasing at lower and higher redshifts.
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All authors A. J. Battisti, E. G. M. Muller, E. Wisnioski, J. T. Mendel, C. Foster, C. D. P. Lagos, K. E. Harborne, I. U. Aalia, S. Barsanti, I. Breda, D. Calzetti, S. M. Croom, P. K. Das, A. Ferré-Mateu, T. Gao, E. Gjergo, K. Grasha, Y. Mai, A. Mailvaganam, T. Mukherjee, M. Mun, R.-S. Remus, G. Sharma, S. M. Sweet, S. Thater, L. M. Valenzuela, J. van de Sande, G. van de Ven, T. Zafar, B. Ziegler

Tuesday 18 August

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.IM

The Cross-Survey Decade: A Call to Action

By 2027, three flagship wide-field surveys will be operating simultaneously from ground and space, observing overlapping sky and representing more than $6 billion in US and European public investment. Together they will produce overlapping petabyte-scale datasets across thousands of square degrees. This is a different class of challenge: the observations are no longer the bottleneck; realizing their joint scientific return now depends on shared computational infrastructure and coordination. Decades of community studies show that combining these datasets does more than improve precision. For science ranging from weak lensing to transient discovery and Galactic-plane astronomy, joint processing and analysis can unlock capabilities no single survey provides alone. Yet the required infrastructure – joint pixel-level processing, cross-calibration and validation, interoperable data access, and the people to build and sustain it – falls outside any single mission or institution's mandate. We issue a call to action for cross-survey science infrastructure, built around four pillars: (1) joint pixel-level processing and validation; (2) an AI-ready data substrate for scientific foundation models; (3) standardized, interoperable data access across surveys, democratizing participation in astrophysical discovery; and (4) dedicated personnel and career pathways. We outline concrete steps for policymakers, agencies, observatories, universities, the research community, and philanthropy, and argue that the moment to act is now, while foundational technical choices can still be aligned at a fraction of the cost of reconciling them later.
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All authors Gioia Rau, Robert Benjamin, Federica Bianco, Ranga-Ram Chary, Andy Connolly, Cecilia Garraffo, Suvi Gezari, Leanne P. Guy, Željko Ivezić, Stephanie Juneau, Vicky Kalogera, Mansi M. Kasliwal, François Lanusse, Zack Li, Rachel Mandelbaum, Peter Melchior, Stella Offner, Antonella Palmese, Jason Rhodes, Edward Schlafly, Kartik Sheth, Rachel Street, Michael Troxel, Tony Tyson, Beth Willman, Michael Wood-Vasey, Yuanyuan Zhang

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

PowerFull: fast and accurate computation of the relativistic angular galaxy power spectrum including local primordial non-Gaussianity

Current and forthcoming wide-field galaxy surveys, such as SPHEREx and Euclid, provide a unique opportunity to probe the ultra-large scales of structure formation, where primordial non-Gaussianity, often parameterized by $f_\text{NL}$, is expected to leave its most detectable imprint. At the same time, these surveys inevitably enter regimes where relativistic and wide-angle effects become significant, requiring careful modeling to extract unbiased cosmological information. We address these challenges by applying the total-angular-momentum (TAM) formalism to describe redshift-space clustering beyond the flat-sky approximation. The standard Fourier-mode description, which characterizes distortions by the angle between a mode and a line of sight, becomes ill-defined over wide fields, whereas the TAM basis naturally separates radial and angular contributions and incorporates the relevant relativistic effects. Within this framework, we provide a new parameterization of wide-angle predictions that can be compared directly with survey data. We then introduce PowerFull, a modification of the Julia-based 2-FAST package, which enables efficient computation of the full relativistic angular power spectrum. Finally, using Fisher information matrix-based analyses, we show that a survey like SPHEREx reaches $\sigma(f_\text{NL}) \sim 1$, but that neglecting the relativistic and wide-angle contributions shifts the recovered $f_\text{NL}$ by an amount of order its own uncertainty: at this precision the inferred value is biased unless the clustering is modeled consistently.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

CosmoPyro: Gradients for Gravitational-Wave Cosmology

Gravitational-wave (GW) observations of stellar-mass compact binary coalescences directly measure the source luminosity distance. Combined with the source redshift, these measurements constrain the current expansion rate of the Universe, the Hubble constant, $H_0$, or $h=H_0 / [100 \,{\rm km \,s^{-1} \, Mpc^{-1}}]$. For most GW signals no electromagnetic redshift measurement is expected, but the GW signal itself depends on the redshifted (detector-frame) masses. Assuming a source-frame mass distribution therefore enables a redshift estimate for each source. Combining the redshift estimates with the distance measurements provides a weak constraint on $H_0$ for each individual source that tightens with the number of sources in the catalog. However, the shape of the source-frame mass distribution is not known a priori, and previous work has relied on parametric models (piecewise power-laws with Gaussian components), and one-dimensional Gaussian processes. Here, we introduce CosmoPyro, a fully differentiable hierarchical Bayesian inference code that models the mass distribution using either one- or two-dimensional Gaussian processes. With the latest GW transient catalog (GWTC-5) we find $h = 0.66^{+0.17}_{-0.20}$ and $h = 0.57^{+0.20}_{-0.15}$ (median with $1\sigma$ uncertainty), for the one- and two-dimensional case, respectively. Despite the noticeably different inferred mass distributions, both models yield $H_0$ values consistent with the latest LVK measurements within $1 \sigma$. While our main results marginalize over the Gaussian-process power-spectrum hyperparameters, the measurement is also robust against fixing these hyperparameters over a range comparable to their measured uncertainty.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Testing MOND-like modifications to gravity using growth-rate measurements and one-loop corrections to the matter power spectrum

We develop a perturbative framework for structure formation in a broad class of MOND-like theories characterized by a generalized nonlinear Poisson equation. We derive the modified evolution equations governing matter perturbations and obtain the corresponding linear growth equation, extending the analysis into the mildly nonlinear regime through one-loop corrections to the matter power spectrum. Beyond the theoretical framework, we perform a cosmological analysis based on two phenomenological scenarios: one parametrized by a quantity controlling the degree of nonlinearity in the generalized Poisson equation, and another describing the interplay between the MOND acceleration scale and the cosmological acceleration associated with the background expansion. We constrain these scenarios using recent measurements of the growth rate of structure, $f\sigma_8$, DESI-DR2 baryon acoustic oscillation data, and Type Ia supernova compilations. We find no statistically significant evidence for departures from the standard $\Lambda$CDM cosmology. The inferred constraints are fully consistent with the GR + $\Lambda$CDM scenario within the current observational uncertainties. At nonlinear scales, we note that MOND-like modifications can alter $P_{\rm NL}(k)$ and leave signatures that current and future high-precision large-scale-structure observations may probe. Our results establish a systematic connection between MOND-like gravitational dynamics and large-scale structure observations, providing a consistent framework to assess the phenomenological viability of MOND-inspired modifications of gravity in a cosmological context.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Mapping the Information Geometry of an Unresolved Dark Matter Population using a Differentiable Strong Lensing Simulator

Strong gravitational lensing is a unique probe of the matter power spectrum on small scales, where the abundance of dark matter subhalos in galaxies could be used to distinguish the predictions of the concordance cold dark matter model from alternatives such as warm dark matter. Extracting this signal poses major computational challenges, since perturbations of the lensing potential induced by substructure can be degenerate with both the macro-model of the lens and highly flexible models of the background source. Here, we introduce a framework to quantify these degeneracies using a differentiable strong-lensing simulator. Substructure is represented in a spectral basis confined to an annular domain surrounding the lensed image, allowing signals from a population of NFW subhalos to be encoded in a finite vector space. We then use the Fisher matrix to determine how much information about substructure is absorbed by nuisance components of the model. We find that macro-model degeneracies are largely confined to low-order perturbations of the lensing potential, while degeneracies with the source model can strongly suppress sensitivity across a broad range of scales as the expressivity of the source model is increased. Finally, we introduce the Fisher Graph Laplacian prior as a diagnostic tool to study how the internal degeneracies of the source model can be used to regulate the sensitivity of the data to an unresolved population of dark matter subhalos.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-ph

Towards Quantum-Dot Detectors as Barcodes for Dark Matter Interactions

Quantum dots are tunable semiconductor nanocrystals that can be produced at industrial scales. We present the first ab initio calculation of the scattering of dark matter on electrons bound in quantum dots. The momentum-dependence of a quantum dot's electronic response depends on its morphology and on the dark matter mass, interaction operator, mediator coupling, and mediator mass. Therefore, the relative rates across an array of distinct quantum dot targets form a “barcode” that carries information about the nature of the dark matter interaction. We project the sensitivity of a detector concept in which a collection of independent target subunits, each loaded with silicon quantum dots of a particular morphology, are read out by Skipper CCDs. Given a future signal, this barcode could discriminate between interaction operators and mediator types. We quantify the discrimination power for a benchmark pair of models as a function of readout noise and exposure.
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All authors Marek Matas, Andrea Gallo Rosso, Antonio Cammarata, Nora Hoch, Carlos Blanco, Jan Conrad, Rouven Essig, Tim Linden, Lindley Winslow

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Imprints of Mass Accretion History on Galaxy Cluster Morphology

Variations in dynamical states of galaxy clusters can introduce biases and scatter in observable-mass relations. The dynamical state of a cluster is an emergent feature of its mass accretion history (MAH), it is therefore useful to constrain the MAH of the cluster. In this work, we characterize 305 massive clusters from The300 project by connecting features from their projected stellar distributions to their mass accretion histories (MAH). As a baseline, we first correlate host dark matter halo dynamical state indicators at $z=0$ with their MAH via the Spearman rank correlation coefficient $\rho_{\mathrm{sp}}$. Both substructure mass fraction and center-of-mass offset measurements correlate strongly with the MAH measured between $0.1\lesssim z\lesssim 1$. We repeat this exercise with morphological measurements of projected stellar density maps, many of which exhibit moderate correlation strength with different times in the MAH. Broadly, core morphological measurements ($r \leq 30\,\mathrm{kpc}$) correlate better with early-time MAH. Core-excised ($50\,\mathrm{kpc} \leq r \leq 1\,\mathrm{Mpc}$) morphological measurements correlate better with late-time MAH. We further quantify the MAH prediction power of both traditional dynamical state indicators and morphological parameters using Multivariable Conditional Abundance Matching (MultiCAM). MultiCAM employs simple rank-ordering operations, making it straightforward to translate to observed datasets. We find reasonable ($\rho_{\mathrm{sp}} \geq 0.6$) performance for predictions of the mass fraction between $1\lesssim z\lesssim 0.1$, though with notable information loss when using projected quantities. In one example application of our methodology, we use the coefficients of the MultiCAM models to select subsamples of galaxy clusters that have accreted more (or less) of their $z = 0$ mass budget over a given time frame.
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All authors Kabelo Tsiane, Camille Avestruz, Elena Rasia, Roan Haggar, Jesse B. Golden-Marx, Guillaume Mahler, Elizaveta Sazonova, James Taylor, Massimo Meneghetti

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-th

A compact analytic formula for the one-loop triangle cosmological correlator

We derive a compact analytic formula for the one-loop triangle correlator of conformally coupled scalars in de Sitter space. The result is organised as six leading-singularity prefactors multiplying pure weight-two functions of the six energy variables. It contains forty-two dilogarithms, compared with approximately one hundred and twenty in the previously known closed-form representation, and requires no auxiliary regulator. The dilogarithms occur in Galois-conjugate pairs, making each contribution separately real throughout the physical region. We validate the result numerically. Moreover, we show that its symbol can be derived directly from the dressed integral representation or, independently, bootstrapped from Landau singularities and general consistency conditions. Finally, we show that the correlator (in a suitable normalization) is a Stieltjes function of each squared energy separately and is jointly completely monotone in all six squared energies. These structures suggest a route towards higher-point one-loop cosmological correlators.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

eROSITA cosmology with galaxy groups: Hot gas budget out to the virial radius

Non-gravitational processes that expel hot gas beyond the virial regions of groups and clusters of galaxies, known collectively as baryonic feedback, play a key role in reshaping the matter distribution of the Universe on Mpc scales. We use eROSITA observations of a complete sample of 25 galaxy groups selected from the first public release of the eROSITA-DE data (eRASS1) and identified with the Two Micron Redshift Survey optical group catalogue (2MRS). We extract and fit surface brightness (SBx) profiles and present hot gas mass and hot gas fraction profiles out to $R_{200}$. We perform a Bayesian analysis of $M_{\mathrm{gas}}-M_{\mathrm{tot}}$, $L_{\mathrm{X}}-M_{\mathrm{tot}}$, and $L_{\mathrm{X}}-M_{\mathrm{gas}}$ relations, taking into account the aperture covariance effects. At $R_{500}$, we report uniformly flat SBx profiles with a mean $\beta$ parameter of $0.38 \pm0.04$, steepening to $\beta = 0.76\pm0.19$ beyond $R_{500}$. We measure a sub-cosmic hot gas fraction at the median mass of our sample $M_{500} = 2.54\times10^{13}M_{\odot}$ of $ f_{\mathrm{gas,500}} = 4.32\pm0.42\%$. Similarly, at $R_{200}$ and the median mass $M_{\mathrm{ 200}} = 3.69\times10^{13}M_{\odot}$, we obtain $f_{\mathrm{gas,200}}=5.78\pm0.69\%$. Our $f_{\mathrm{gas}}-M_{\mathrm{tot}}$ and $L_{\mathrm{X}}-M_{\mathrm{tot}}$ relations show significant deviations from the predictions of the strong feedback variants of the FLAMINGO simulation ($2.5\sigma$ to $8.0\sigma$ tension), while fiducial FLAMINGO and BAHAMAS provide the closest match to our measurements. Using our measured baryon fractions and the SP(k) model, we infer a $10\%-15\%$ reduction in the matter power spectrum at $k = 5\ h\ \mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$ relative to a dark matter-only universe, in agreement with fiducial FLAMINGO and BAHAMAS, while revealing a growing tension on smaller scales with the strong feedback variants.
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All authors H. Khalil, A. Finoguenov, D. Eckert, R. Seppi, E. Tempel, L. Lovisari, F. Gastaldello

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Large eROSITA X-ray sources as 2MRS galaxy groups

We aim to exploit the large area coverage, good sensitivity, and low instrumental background of eROSITA to detect the faint surface brightness emission of galaxy groups from the Two Micron All Sky Survey Redshift Survey (2MRS). Using the data from eROSITA-DE Data Release 1, including images, exposure maps, and local background maps, we performed a wavelet decomposition of image mosaics in the 0.6–2.3 keV band at angular scales of 1/8-16'. We adopted 8-16' scales for source detection and 2-4' scales to improve catalog purity. A novel identification method based on the ranked partial Hausdorff distance fully exploits the X-ray image and group membership information. Random catalogs were used to control match purity, and the identification threshold was chosen to maximize the catalog size at a fixed purity. {We present a catalog of 619 X-ray galaxy groups with 80% purity, and define subsamples with 90% and 97% purity. Bright sources closely match the AXES-2MRS catalog (which is based on ROSAT All Sky Survey data analysis on spatial scales of 12-24'). The X-ray luminosity function of our groups agrees with previous studies down to 5.e41 erg/s. Using dynamical mass estimates, we find that the X-ray counterpart completeness for groups with >=4 members exceeds 60% for masses >2e13 Msun. We modeled the 2MRS group catalog and justify the inclusion of two-member groups in the identification. This study demonstrates that large X-ray sources on spatial scales relevant for cosmological studies of baryonic distributions can be reliably detected and identified using nearby galaxy group catalogs.
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All authors A. Finoguenov, R. Seppi, D. Eckert, H. Khalil, J. Kosowski, E. Tempel, F. Gastaldello, L. Lovisari

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-ph

VERaiPHY – Validation & Evaluation for Robust AI in PHYsics

Modern machine learning is leading to substantial gains in precision, flexibility, and computational efficiency in fundamental physics. Statistical validation, uncertainty quantification, and robustness assessment are less systematically addressed. The VERaiPHY initiative (Validation & Evaluation for Robust AI in PHYsics) is a series of articles developed within the PHYSTAT programme, aimed at establishing statistical standards for the development, evaluation, and deployment of ML techniques. Each article focuses on a specific methodological domain from a statistics perspective and clarifies statistical questions, tests, and the interpretation of results. This opening article establishes the probabilistic, statistical, and machine learning foundations that the later contributions assume, together with the notation used throughout.
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All authors Gaia Grosso, Ramon Winterhalder, Lydia Brenner, Louis Lyons, Tilman Plehn

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-ph

An axion constraint from the diffuse supernova neutrino background indicated by Super-Kamiokande

Recently, the Super-Kamiokande Collaboration reported an indication of the diffuse supernova neutrino background (DSNB) with a statistical significance of $2.6\sigma$. Motivated by this possible discovery, we investigate the impact of axion cooling on the DSNB flux on the basis of long-term neutrino-radiation hydrodynamic simulations. We compare the observed flux and our models and obtain a $1\sigma$ upper limit $|g_{ap}|<1.3\times10^{-9}$ on the axion-proton coupling constant, which is comparable to the conventional limit based on the SN 1987A neutrino burst. In contrast to the SN 1987A bound, the DSNB constraint does not rely on the properties of a single observed supernova, because the DSNB represents the cumulative neutrino emission from a cosmic population of core-collapse events. More generally, this approach can be applied to other feebly interacting particles that modify protoneutron-star cooling.
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All authors Kanji Mori, Tomoya Takiwaki, Kazunori Kohri, Masamitsu Mori

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Infrared Lines from Sterile-Neutrino Transition Magnetic Moments at JWST

We investigate infrared line signatures from radiatively decaying sterile-neutrino dark matter using publicly available JWST/NIRSpec IFU blank-sky observations. The main signal considered is the sterile-to-sterile transition $N_1\to N_2\gamma$, induced by the transition magnetic dipole coefficient $d_{NN\gamma}$, with $m_1>m_2$. In contrast to ordinary two-photon decays of axion-like or Majoron-like particles, the observed photon energy is not fixed by the full dark matter mass, but by the small mass splitting $\Delta m=m_1-m_2$. Thus, a keV-scale sterile-neutrino dark matter state can generate an eV-scale infrared photon line in the JWST band. We construct a $\chi^2$-based line-search analysis using the NIRSpec IFU $\rm F170LP$-$\rm G235M$ blank-sky data toward $\rm GN\text{-}z11$, modelling the smooth continuum with a cubic spline and including the Milky Way halo decay flux. In the absence of a significant excess, we derive projected limits on $d_{NN\gamma}$ and on the decay width $\Gamma_{N_1\to N_2\gamma}$ for $0.1~{\rm eV}\lesssim\Delta m\lesssim1~{\rm eV}$. For a sterile component saturating the dark matter abundance, the strongest sensitivity reaches $d_{NN\gamma}\lesssim7\times10^{-14}~{\rm GeV}^{-1}$ and $\Gamma_{N_1\to N_2\gamma}\lesssim10^{-25}~{\rm s}^{-1}$. We also include a minimal anomalous-Majoron benchmark, $\omega\to\gamma\gamma$, obtaining JWST sensitivity to $\lambda_{\omega\gamma\gamma}\sim10^{-11}$-$10^{-9}~{\rm GeV}^{-1}$ for $m_\omega\sim0.6$-$1~{\rm eV}$.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

A stochastic forward model for the intergalactic dispersion-measure distribution of Fast Radio Bursts

Fast Radio Bursts probe ionised baryons through their observed dispersion measures. We present \turbofrb, a semi-analytic stochastic forward model for the intergalactic dispersion-measure distribution, $P({\rm DM}_{\rm IGM}\mid z)$, that resolves the diffuse IGM, halo, and filament contributions as explicit physical channels, with the halo and filament encounter rates coupled by a latent line-of-sight environmental variable. Only four effective parameters are calibrated against hydrodynamical ray-traced IllustrisTNG benchmark. The model matches the benchmark mean DM to the percent level and yields a per-redshift Jensen-Shannon divergence of at most $5\times10^{-3}$ across $z = 0.5$-$2.5$. The per-sightline channel decomposition makes explicit what closed-form parametric descriptions cannot show: the diffuse IGM sets the body of the distribution, while halos and filaments populate the high-DM tail. Applied to representative localised FRBs, the forward likelihood quantifies host-excess events independently of their astrophysical signatures and recovers the injected $H_0$ within $1\sigma$ in a closed-loop consistency test. The \turbofrb package is available at \href{https://github.com/jefersonfortunato/turbofrb}{github.com/jefersonfortunato/turbofrb}.
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All authors Jéferson A. S. Fortunato, Valerio Marra, Wiliam S. Hipólito-Ricaldi, Amanda Weltman

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Dianoga simulations of galaxy clusters and groups: Properties of the baryonic components

We introduce the Dianoga set of cosmological simulations of galaxy clusters and groups, specifically aimed at studying the impact of the implementation of AGN feedback and star formation. Using the OpenGadget3 code, we carry out simulations of 28 regions centred on massive galaxy clusters, and of a cosmological box. This generates a sample of 293 halos with M_{200}> 1.5 x 10^{13} M_{\odot}. Parameters of AGN feedback in the reference implementation were minimally calibrated exclusively to match the local relation between SMBH masses and stellar masses of host galaxies. Simulations are compared to observed galaxy stellar mass function (GSMF), stellar mass fraction in clusters and groups, BCG masses, scaling relations between ICM/IGM properties and profiles of their thermodynamical properties. In the appendix, we show how results vary as we modify the reference feedback model in six alternative configurations. Our reference model predicts a GSMF in general agreement with observations, albeit overestimated in the high end. BCG stellar masses and mass fractions are higher than observed in massive clusters, while being closer to observations for groups. Predicted properties of the ICM/IGM are in general agreement with observations, with the core regions of simulated clusters having entropy and temperature profiles that are slightly less "cool-cored" than observed. A comparison with other implementations of AGN feedback highlights that models including thermal evaporation of the sub-resolution interstellar medium succeed to bring BCG masses and stellar mass fractions closer to observation, and to increase the cool-coreness of simulated clusters. Our results demonstrate that the details of the interface between AGN energy injection and the sub-resolution interstellar medium model are at least as critical as the total feedback efficiency itself.
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All authors Stefano Borgani, Alice Damiano, Elena Rasia, Tiago Castro, Michela Esposito, Ilaria Marini, Giuseppe Murante, Milena Valentini, Veronica Biffi, Klaus Dolag, Gian Luigi Granato, Antonio Ragagnin, Cinthia Ragone-Figueroa, Alex Saro, Luca Tornatore

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-ph

Seeding baryonic dark matter

It has been proposed that primordial quark pellets or PQPs –ultra-dense quark-matter mini- stars– formed at $T\sim 1$ GeV may be a good candidate accounting for the dark matter of the universe. If correct, dark matter would consist of very compact objects with a maximum mass of $10^{-2} \ M_\odot$ and radii of approximately 100 m, although smaller objects would be much more abundant and encompass the bulk of the dark matter content. Here we describe a viable formation mechanism based on the enhancement of the local baryon density when supra-horizon Peccei-Quinn domain walls formed at an earlier epoch sweep and accumulate quarks and gluons before entering the horizon. Assuming an efficient baryon concentration by contracting Peccei-Quinn domain walls, we derive the resulting primordial quark pellet mass spectrum, minimum mass and cosmological abundance.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.HE

AT 2020afjz (TSS2020a): The First Fast Extragalactic Transient Discovered by TESS

We report the discovery of AT 2020afjz (TSS2020a): the first hour-scale extragalactic transient discovered in optical wavelengths whose complete evolution – from explosion onset to decay – is temporally resolved, and the first such transient discovered by TESS. AT 2020afjz was identified as a $>10\sigma$ detection in the pilot HiLaTS program run within the TESSELLATE Sky Survey, which blindly searches for transient phenomena in TESS data with the TESSELLATE pipeline. Through cross-matching with legacy imaging, we associate it with DES J042144.37$-$383311.3, a member of an interacting galaxy pair at $z_{\rm phot}=0.67^{+0.07}_{-0.10}$. While AT 2020afjz is similar in duration and brightness to GRB afterglows, it exhibits a slow rise time of $\sim1$ hr and lasts for only 2.4 hr above the half-max brightness; modeling the TESS light curve with VegasAfterglow finds that it is best described as either an on-axis "dirty-fireball" or off-axis orphan afterglow. Each of these rare classifications hinge upon a non-detection at gamma-ray energies, but as Fermi-GBM was Earth-occulted at the time of explosion, AT 2020afjz's gamma-quiet nature cannot be definitively confirmed. Regardless, AT 2020afjz demonstrates TESS's power to discover fast extragalactic transients, and heralds a new population awaiting discovery with TESSELLATE.
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All authors Ryan Ridden-Harper, Hugh Roxburgh, Clarinda Montilla, Lancia Hubley, James Freeburn, Brayden Leicester, Andrew Moore, Zachary G. Lane, Jaime Luisi, Koji Shukawa, Armin Rest, Jeff Cooke, Michele T. Bannister, Lilly Fox, Tait Keller, Qinan Wang