Chaotic Dynamics · Cross-listed from physics.flu-dyn
Autonomous route to the strange attractor: the many life stages of the chaotic bubblewheel
Michael Zhao and Saverio E. Spagnolie
A body floating atop a supersaturated fluid may accumulate bubbles along its underbelly, which can render the body rotationally unstable. But rotation can strip the surface of these bubbles when they make contact with the air above. To explore this coupling we perform experiments using cylinders floating on carbonated water. The cylinders exhibit an array of distinct dynamics, including constant rolling, periodic and aperiodic oscillation, chaos, and intermittent capsizing, which can be tuned by body size, mass distribution, and gas concentration. A continuum model for the bubble density dynamics, and Galerkin projection, tie the experiment to the generalized Lorenz system and its famed chaotic attractor. Even an extremely small center-of-mass offset can have a qualitative impact on the dynamics, and an offset of as little as a few percent can fully stabilize the system. The experiment represents a highly accessible physical realization of the Lorenz system, which, owing to continuous gas loss from the fluid to the air above, sweeps slowly without intervention across a classical bifurcation diagram in time.
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Chaotic Dynamics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.SR
Tracking nonlinear solar-wind dynamics over three solar cycles using Wind observations
Dario Javier Zamora and Facundo Maximo Abaca
The solar wind is a turbulent, weakly collisional
plasma characterized by non-Gaussian fluctuations, long-range correlations, and multifractal dynamics. We investigate the long-term
evolution of these properties using hourly
proton density measurements obtained directly by the Wind spacecraft over 1995–2025. The use of a single-spacecraft
dataset provides an independent test of previous results derived from the multi-spacecraft OMNI database. The three components of the nonextensive $q$-triplet are estimated within one-year sliding windows shifted monthly: $q_{stat}$ from the distribution of density increments, $q_{rel}$ from the decay of the autocorrelation function, and $q_{sens}$ from the multifractal spectrum. Their mean values, $q_{stat}=1.71\pm0.07$, $q_{rel}=4.62\pm0.52$, and $q_{sens}=-0.45\pm0.27$, confirm the persistent presence of heavy-tailed statistics, slow relaxation, and weakly chaotic multifractal dynamics. The parameters nevertheless exhibit distinct temporal variability and relationships with solar activity. The
Fourier spectrum of $q_{stat}$ contains a dominant period of approximately $10.1$ years, while its correlation with the sunspot number is positive and moderate ($r=0.611$). Correlation and mutual-information analyses show that $q_{stat}$ is primarily associated with solar proxies, whereas $q_{sens}$ displays stronger relationships with geomagnetic indices and $q_{rel}$ exhibits weaker dependencies. An anomalous enhancement of $q_{stat}$ around 2004 coincides with a sequence of intense interplanetary disturbances, although possible effects related to Wind's orbital transition must also be considered. These findings demonstrate the robustness of the nonextensive description and show that the statistical and dynamical properties of solar wind
proton density show evidence of modulation by solar activity.
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Chaotic Dynamics · Cross-listed from physics.comp-ph
Validating direct solvers for Newton's gravitational N-body problem, and the systematic comparison between IEEE floating point and Posits
Simon Portegies Zwart
We present a systematic comparison between arbitrary precise arithmetic and integration, IEEE-754 compliant floating point arithmetic (fp16, bfp16, fp32, double precision fp64, and quadruple precision fp128), and two implementations of Posits (type III unum) for solving Newton's chaotic N-body problem. Each implementation is benchmarked with arbitrary precise calculations to objectively evaluate their performance in precision as well as speed. We rely on hardware and compiler implementations for fp64, and software implementations for arbitrary-precision arithmetic and Posits. Half precision arithmetic (fp16, bfp16, and Posits$<16,1>$) are insufficiently precise for solving Newton's equations of motion. Single precision (fp32, and Posits$<32,2>$) could be used for statistical ensemble calculations, but lead to relatively large errors in any individual strong encounter. All 64-bit implementations fp64 as well as Posits (Posits$<64,3>$) experience difficulty in our tests. One of the implementations of Posits (Universal) gives precision comparable to fp64 but is slow (by at least an orders of magnitude compared to fp64 after correcting for the more efficient hardware support for the latter). The other (CPPPosits) has a speed comparable to fp64 but has systematically larger errors (by about an order of magnitude compared to fp64 with excesses exceeding two orders of magnitude). As a consequence, this implementation leads to a systematic drift in the result space and has difficulty resolving close encounters. Posits and fp64 have difficulty when integrating a dynamical system in a moving reference frame; testing Galileo invariancy. In their current implementation, Posits do not seem to be the ideal alternative for fp64 when integrating chaotic or stiff ordinary differential equations, such as Newton's equations of motion.
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Chaotic Dynamics
When More Data Become Less Informative: Finite-Precision Periodicization and Collapse of Forecast-Error Lyapunov Estimates
Andrei Velichko and Viet-Thanh Pham
Largest Lyapunov exponents (LLEs) quantify exponential sensitivity, but data-driven estimates are often obtained from finite-precision trajectories. We show that increasing the length of a single reduced-precision chaotic record can eventually degrade a forecast-error LLE estimate. Using the logistic map at r=4, an ESP32 single-precision trajectory is reproduced bit-for-bit by NumPy float32. Across 10,000 random float32 initial conditions, every trajectory reaches an exact recurrence before iteration 7612. For one long float32 record, the estimated LLE changes from 0.6853 at N=15,000 to 0.1827 at N=20,000 and approximately zero at N=30,000 as exact train-test histories saturate. At N=100,000, the long float32 record gives 0.0016, whereas independently restarted length-100 trajectories give 0.6917; matched float64 controls remain near ln(2)=0.6931. The collapse is reproduced for 28 representative initial conditions, and its onset is strongly correlated with the recurrence scale set by transient length and digital period (Pearson r=0.982). Thus, finite-state recurrence can turn additional samples into duplicate futures rather than new dynamical information, while independent restarts substantially delay this saturation.
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Chaotic Dynamics · Cross-listed from cs.AI
Eigenanalysis framework for autoregressive neural emulators of multi-scale chaotic dynamics
Conrad Ainslie, Pedram Hassanzadeh, Michael W. Mahoney et al. (+1 more)
Neural autoregressive models have rapidly emerged as powerful emulators of high-dimensional chaotic systems, yet their long-term instability and error growth remain poorly understood, leading to ad-hoc solutions. Here, we develop an eigenanalysis framework that reveals the dynamical origin of this error growth. By analyzing the Jacobian of the learned one-step update map with respect to the state, we show how inference-time error growth, and thus model stability, is governed by its spectral radius. Direct-step architectures (models that predict the next state from the previous one) generically admit unstable
eigenvalues with magnitudes exceeding one, explaining the rapid divergence of these widely used models. In contrast, integration-constrained models (where the time derivative is estimated and integrated with a higher-order integrator) collapse their eigenspectrum onto the unit circle, yielding neutral stability and a universal linear error-scaling law. The largest
eigenvalue of this Jacobian provides an architecture-agnostic, a priori diagnostic of short-term skill, long-term stability, and spectral bias, without requiring an expensive rollout. Leveraging this theory, we introduce a stability-promoting loss that explicitly regularizes Jacobian-driven error amplification, improving both forecast accuracy and dynamical robustness. Demonstrated across $29$ models spanning two architectures, several explicit and implicit integrators, and multiple loss functions on the Kuramoto-Sivashinsky system, our results establish a theoretical foundation for the design and evaluation of neural emulators of chaotic multi-scale dynamics. More broadly, our framework is a step toward the kind of a priori stability analysis that numerical analysis provides for discretizations of differential equations and that scientific machine learning currently lacks.
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All authors Conrad Ainslie, Pedram Hassanzadeh, Michael W. Mahoney, Ashesh Chattopadhyay
Chaotic Dynamics · Cross-listed from physics.optics
In-situ adjoint protocols for nonlinear PT-symmetric self-optimizing machines
Zheming Li, Lucas J. Fernández-Alcázar, Zin Lin et al. (+1 more)
Adjoint methods provide a powerful route for gradient-based optimization, but their physical implementation is obstructed in generic nonlinear systems because the adjoint dynamics requires backward-time
evolution, Jacobian transposition, and terminal-value constraints. Here we show that nonlinear parity-time ($\mathcal{PT}$)-symmetric systems overcome this obstruction. Using a class of nonlinear non-Hermitian resonator networks, we establish
symmetry relations that map the formal adjoint dynamics onto experimentally accessible forward-time evolutions supplemented by controlled injections. This construction enables exact in-situ evaluation of adjoint gradients without requiring explicit backward propagation or
matrix transposition. We demonstrate the approach in nonlinear $\mathcal{PT}$-symmetric resonator chains, where the resulting optimization protocol autonomously discovers parameter configurations that realize prescribed spatio-temporal functionalities, including uniform energy redistribution and targeted wave transport at predefined time windows. Our results identify $\mathcal{PT}$
symmetry as a resource for implementing computational sensitivities within physical systems and establish a route toward self-optimizing nonlinear machines.
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All authors Zheming Li, Lucas J. Fernández-Alcázar, Zin Lin, Tsampikos Kottos