Number Theory
Papers
Fresh from arXiv, typeset properly. Highlighted words trade on the market.
Tuesday 13 October · still arriving
We establish bounds on the norm of signed indecomposable integers in totally real number fields, via a geometric argument. We also improve the bound on the norm of totally positive indecomposable integers in real quadratic fields by Tinková and Voutier.
Mathematical Physics
Inverse eigenvalue problem for discrete three-diagonal Schroedinger operator and the continuum limit in Tikhonov regularization approach
In the present article the self-contained derivation of main formulas of the inverse eigenvalue problem for the Sturm-Liouville operator is given on the base of its discrete approximation and the subsequent transition to the limit of the continuum coordinate. In doing so, we adhere to Tikhonov concept, where the discrete approximation is performed as a regularization of the ill-posed operator problem. While the continuum limit for the three-diagonal matrix Hamiltonian is impossible as such, following the Tikhonov procedure leads not to a limit for the potential matrix itself, but rather for a certain combination of the matrix elements, and this limit is precisely the desired potential in the continuum case.
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Information Theory
Optimal Support Size Testing
We present an optimal tester for support size that determines whether an unknown probability distribution is supported on $n$ elements or $\varepsilon$-far away (in total variation distance) with sample complexity $\Theta(\frac{n}{\varepsilon\log(n)})$, improving the prior best $O(\frac{n}{\varepsilon\log(n)} \log(\min\{\frac{1}{\varepsilon}, n\}))$ due to Ferreira Pinto Jr. and Harms (STOC 2025). As a generalization, we provide a pretty good lower bound on support size.
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Information Theory
Dynamic Attack Surfaces: A Queue of Branching Processes
Modern attack surfaces are inherently dynamic. Vulnerabilities emerge over time and they remain exposed to exploit until defenders discover and patch them. Artificial intelligence (AI) amplifies these dynamics by accelerating both offensive and defensive processes, making modern cybersecurity increasingly a competition among interacting time scales and resources. We capture this competition using a queue of branching processes that couples vulnerability discovery and resource-constrained patching with the evolving attacker population targeting each vulnerability. Our primary risk metric is the cumulative number of exploits a vulnerability experiences before it is patched. We derive the expected cumulative number of exploits under birth-death-immigration (BDI) and rise-decay (RD) models of attacker activity. Under a BDI model of attacker activity, we identify a phase transition: the expected cumulative number of exploits is finite only when attacker growth remains below both the vulnerability discovery rate and the effective patching rate. Across both attacker models, increasing the exploit rate does not necessarily increase the expected number of exploits because faster attacker departure can sufficiently limit the active attacker population. Finally, we show that equal proportional AI amplification of offensive and defensive capabilities need not preserve security: accelerating both sides can shift the defensive bottleneck and move the system into an unbounded-risk regime.
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Algebraic Topology
The Becker–Gottlieb transfer is not functorial: An example based on units of group rings
We show by explicit counterexample that the Becker–Gottlieb transfer cannot be made functorial. A different counterexample using rational homotopy theory was discovered concurrently by the third author and Robin Stoll.
Algebraic Topology
The Becker-Gottlieb transfer is not functorial: An example using $C_\infty$-algebras
We prove that the Becker-Gottlieb transfer is not functorial, even on rational cohomology. More precisely, for any even $n \ge 4$, we construct a fibration $f \colon X \to S^{n+1}$ with fiber $S^2 \vee S^n$, and an oriented $S^1$-bundle $g \colon Y \to X$ such that the transfer of $f \circ g$ is non-trivial on rational cohomology. Since the transfer of an oriented $S^1$-bundle vanishes, this implies that the transfer of $f \circ g$ and the composite of the transfers of $f$ and $g$ induce different maps on rational cohomology and are thus not homotopic. The proof that the transfer of $f \circ g$ is non-trivial uses the rational models for the Becker–Gottlieb and THH transfers obtained in previous work of the authors. In the appendix, we provide a second, more involved, proof that relies on constructing explicit $C_\infty$-algebra models for odd spherical fibrations (including circle bundles), which might be of independent interest. Concurrently, another counterexample (of very different flavor) was found by Georg Lehner, Cary Malkiewich, and the first author.
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Statistics Theory
Sampling with collective variables: Relative error analysis for umbrella sampling under general conditions
We consider the problem of estimating the expectation of a function (observable) with respect to a high-dimensional probability distribution, under the assumption that a low-dimensional collective variable map captures all the directions of slow mixing for the distribution. More precisely, under the assumption that the fibers of the collective variable map satisfy a log-Sobolev inequality, we establish non-asymptotic relative-error guarantees for this problem using the eigenvector method for umbrella sampling (EMUS). Our analysis applies to both log-Lipschitz observables and indicator of convex sets, and gives complexity bounds that are polynomial in regularity parameters and inverse relative accuracy, and exponential in the dimension of the collective variable space. As a relative error guarantee, our bounds apply to rare event estimation. We consider Gaussian biasing windows defined on a low-dimensional collective variable space and analyze a modified sparse matrix version of EMUS. The bounds quantify the effect of the map through mixing of the conditional distribution and fluctuation of the observable along the fibers.
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Combinatorics
A proof of the rational exponents conjecture
The rational exponents conjecture of Erdős and Simonovits asserts that for every rational $r\in [1,2]$ there exists a graph $H$ such that $\mathrm{ex}(n,H)=\Theta(n^r)$. We present a proof of this conjecture claimed by Epoch AI, explaining how it builds upon ideas and methods developed by many researchers.
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Functional Analysis
Structured coordinate systems in $L^p(\mathbb{R})$
We construct Schauder bases of $L^p(\mathbb{R})$ with significant structural constraints on their elements. First, we construct non-negative Schauder bases of $L^p(\mathbb{R})$ for every $1 \leq p < \infty$. Although such bases cannot be unconditional, their basis constants can be made arbitrarily close to one. By duality, we also obtain bases with positive biorthogonal functionals and the same bounds for all $1\leq p<\infty$. Finally, we prove that $L^p(\mathbb{R})$ admits a Schauder basis consisting of translates of a single function for every $2\le p<\infty$. The generating function $f$ can be chosen to be the restriction to $\mathbb{R}$ of an entire function. For $p>2$, the translation parameters can be chosen from any prescribed unbounded subset of $\mathbb{R}$, a conclusion that fails for $p=2$.
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Probability
A Randomized Approximation Algorithm for Doubly Free-Boundary Macdonald Processes
We construct an approximate sampler for finite doubly free-boundary Macdonald rail-yard processes with Macdonald, boundary, and edge parameters in $(0,1)$. The construction allows arbitrary finite sequences of additions and removals of horizontal or vertical strips and all four boundary types. It reverses a finite commutation–reflection history from a partition sequence whose entries are equal, with the common partition weighted by both boundaries. We derive local reconstruction kernels from the skew Cauchy, Littlewood, and branching identities. Bulk and boundary updates combine integer increments with conditional shape sampling at a prescribed size; same-sign swaps use finite conditional resampling. For $K$ reflection periods and an initial partition-size cutoff $M$, the algorithm terminates almost surely and samples the resulting approximating law exactly. We prove total variation convergence to the target process as $K,M\to\infty$ and give explicit bounds for both truncation errors, decaying geometrically in the cutoffs for fixed input parameters. Under fixed parameter bounds, we also bound the expected operation count of direct enumeration in a unit-cost model. We further construct an exact rejection sampler for the initial partition law without a size cutoff or evaluation of its normalizing constant. Using this sampler removes the size-truncation error, leaving only the error from the finite reflection history.
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Information Theory
On Han- and Shearer-Type Information Inequalities: Equality Conditions and Combinatorial Applications
Madiman and Tetali established strong and weak fractional inequalities that subsume classical entropy subset inequalities such as Han's inequality and Shearer's lemma. In this work, we derive a decomposition of the gap in the strong fractional inequality and use it to establish the necessary and sufficient conditions for equality in the strong form of Han's inequality. As a consequence, we characterize the equality conditions for a strong Loomis-Whitnet-type projection inequality of Balister and Bollobas (2012). Finally, we apply the weak fractional inequality to an extremal graph theory problem, recovering and extending results of Sason (2022) and Boucheron et al. (2013), whose approaches rely on Han's inequality.
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General Topology
Chain Continuity and Scott-Closed Interpolation
We prove that every chain-continuous dcpo is continuous and that its way-below relation is the relational square of its chain-below relation, answering a question of Erné. A subalgebra lattice obtained from a locally finite Jónsson algebra shows that the chain-below relation itself need not interpolate. For approximation by Scott-closed sets, we give a finite-upper-bound characterization on lower-set lattices and characterize interpolation by an extension property for directed lower sets. This yields a countably based, completely distributive algebraic lattice on which chain and directed approximation coincide, whereas Scott-closed approximation fails to interpolate, answering questions of Erné and of Ho and Zhao.
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Numerical Analysis · Cross-listed from cs.CV
Orientation Estimation of Cryo-EM Images for Molecules with Arbitrary Symmetry by Semidefinite Programming
This paper extends the non-unique games framework introduced in Bandeira et al. (2020) to address symmetric structures. Precisely, we consider the problem \[ \begin{aligned} \underset{g_1,\ldots,g_n\in \mathcal{G}}{\operatorname{min}}\,\, \frac{1}{|S|}\sum_{i,j=1}^n \sum_{s\in S} f_{ij}(g_i s g_j^{-1}), \end{aligned} \] where $\mathcal{G}$ is a compact group, $S\subset \mathcal{G}$ is a finite subgroup of symmetry elements, and $f_{ij}:\mathcal{G}\rightarrow \mathbb{R}$ is a loss function. A notable example is common lines based orientation estimation of cryo-EM images for molecules with point group symmetry $S$, where $\mathcal{G}$ is the rotation group $\operatorname{SO}(3)$. With a semidefinite programming relaxation, we turn the problem into a convex program that is solved with the alternating direction method of multipliers. Unlike existing approaches which are tailored to specific symmetry groups, ours provides a unified computational framework for addressing all point group symmetries. We demonstrate the applicability of the proposed algorithm on the cryo-EM orientation estimation problem on both simulated and experimental datasets. In particular, our algorithm is effective in generating high-quality ab initio models from only a few class averages computed from experimental images.
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Rings and Algebras
Classification of $3$-dimensional unital commutative algebras
We present the complete classification of non-isomorphic complex $3$-dimensional unital commutative algebras. Every such algebra decomposes canonically as $\mathbb Ce_1\oplus V$, where $e_1$ is the unit and $V$ is the kernel of the trace form; the induced traceless $2$-dimensional commutative algebra on $V$ is one of four algebras, and the classification reduces to the classification of symmetric bilinear forms on $V$ up to the automorphisms of this kernel. The answer consists of six algebras, three one-parameter families, one two-parameter family and one three-parameter family.
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Algebraic Geometry
Cominuscule Richardson varieties
A Richardson variety in a cominuscule flag variety is defined by a skew shape of boxes. We prove that any cominuscule Richardson variety has a unique decomposition as a product of indecomposable cominuscule Richardson varieties, which are given by the connected components of the skew shape. We also prove that the first Chow group and the Picard group of a cominuscule Richardson variety are dual to each other; both are free abelian groups of rank equal to the number of indecomposable factors. Along the way, we construct an explicit desingularization of any cominuscule Richardson variety of classical Lie type as a tower of (isotropic) Grassmannian bundles. Our results imply that the Hilbert polynomial of the minimal ample line bundle is a well-defined geometric invariant of any cominuscule Richardson variety. We give a positive formula for this Hilbert polynomial.
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Group Theory
Constructions and automorphisms of quandles
We prove that if M is an abelian group and X = Alex(M, phi) is a Latin Alexander quandle with id - phi in Aut(M), then Aut(X) is isomorphic to M semidirect C_Aut(M)(phi), Inn(X) is isomorphic to M semidirect <phi> and Out(X) is isomorphic to C_Aut(M)(phi)/<phi>. As a consequence, we obtain a description of the automorphism groups of direct products of the cyclic commutative medial quandles C_{2n+1} and the dihedral quandles R_{2n+1}, and we find their orders. Furthermore, we correct a result of Bardakov-Fedoseev [Algebra and Logic 63 (2024), no. 2, 111-142] on multiplication of quandles and prove that the Borodin-Neshchadim-Simonov and Markhinina-Nasybullov quandles can be constructed from conjugation, core, and generalized Alexander quandles, using the operation of multiplication of quandles. Finally, we consider the quotients of a quandle Q, namely the medialization Q^med, the commutativization Q^com, and the trivialization Q^tr. We prove that the conjugation quandle Conj(G) is medial if and only if gamma_2(G) <= Z(G); we find bounds for |Conj(G)^med| and prove that Core(G)^com is isomorphic to Core(G/<<g^3>>). We describe commutative generalized Alexander quandles and, as a consequence, find the commutativization of the dihedral quandle: R_n^com is isomorphic to R_gcd(n,3).
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Optimization and Control
Optimal Decay Matrix Control Barrier Functions: Soundness and Completeness for Matrix Safety Constraints
Many safety requirements, such as keeping a manipulator away from kinematic singularities, a network connected, or a system observable, amount to keeping a state-dependent matrix positive definite. Matrix control barrier functions (MCBFs) enforce such requirements with a semidefinite program that minimally modifies a nominal control input. The MCBF constraint bounds how fast the safety margin, the smallest eigenvalue of the matrix, may decay. Yet a fixed decay rule is conservative, rejecting safe controls that drive the state quickly toward, but never across, the boundary of the safe set. Scalar optimal decay (SOD) addresses this issue by scaling the decay term by a scalar weight that is optimized together with the control. For scalar barrier functions, SOD then rejects a control at the boundary only if the control would decrease the margin. For MCBFs, however, SOD can reject controls that leave the margin unchanged, and near the safety boundary SOD accepts such controls only at a high cost. We introduce matrix optimal decay (MOD), which replaces the scalar weight with a matrix multiplier while keeping the semidefinite program convex. MOD is provably sound and complete, certifying at the boundary exactly the controls that do not decrease the margin. If some control can strictly increase the margin at every boundary point, the MOD-MCBF filtered controller is continuous and renders the safe set forward invariant. We also add an optional recovery condition that drives the system toward the safe set after a violation without affecting soundness or completeness. On a planar two-link arm avoiding singularities, MOD-MCBF certifies safe motions that both a fixed decay rule and SOD reject, and tracks an end-effector target more closely than SOD.
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Analysis of PDEs
Generalized minimizers for the capillarity energy outside convex obstacles
In general, the capillarity energy outside an unbounded obstacle may fail to admit volume-constrained minimizers, as infimizing sequences may escape to infinity. We study this minimization problem outside a closed convex obstacle $C$. Via a $\Gamma$-convergence result for the capillarity energies outside sequences of closed convex obstacles converging in the Hausdorff sense, we prove that the infimum of the functional is attained by a generalized minimizer, namely, a finite union of regions, each of which minimizes the capillarity energy outside a limit of translations of $C$ in its volume class, with the total volume satisfying the prescribed constraint. Each generalized minimizer can be suitably approximated by an infimizing sequence, thus providing a description of its asymptotic behaviour. As an application, we study the isoperimetric profile associated with the capillarity energy and investigate how the asymptotic geometry of the obstacle affects both this profile and generalized minimizers and their connectedness.
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Dynamical Systems
Analytic centralisers of quadratic germs and the Brjuno dichotomy
For $Q_\alpha(z)=e^{2\pi i\alpha}z+z^2$ with $\alpha$ irrational, we prove that the analytic centraliser of $Q_\alpha$ is trivial whenever $Q_\alpha$ is not analytically linearizable. Together with the quadratic Brjuno–Yoccoz theorem this gives a complete dichotomy, for the centraliser is infinite cyclic at the non-Brjuno parameters and conjugate to the group of nonzero complex dilations at the Brjuno parameters. The result extends the dense-parameter conclusion of Avila–Cheraghi–Eliad to every nonlinearizable member of the quadratic family. The proof starts from Inou's graph-globalization construction, where we retain the original neutral fixed point on a Riemann surface and verify the branch topology and finite-valence estimate, including multiplicities. Nonlinearizability, through the equality case of Schwarz's lemma, forces the surface to be the plane, and a direct quadratic growth estimate then makes the two entire projections polynomial, so that the established polynomial commutant classification yields the integral-iterate conclusion. We also determine the convergence set of the formal commutants and classify the analytic iterative roots of every nonzero iterate.
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Combinatorics
Proofs of four Takigiku–Tsuchioka conjectures on level $2$ principal characters of $A_{2\ell-1}^{(2)}$
We prove four conjectures of Takigiku and Tsuchioka consisting of eight Rogers–Ramanujan type identities. Two conjectures involve triple sums and a third involves quadruple sums, and their product sides are certain level $2$ principal characters of $A_{13}^{(2)}$. The fourth conjecture gives multisum representations of certain level $2$ principal characters of $A_{2\ell-1}^{(2)}$. The proofs rely on the Bailey pair method, finite sum identities involving Gaussian polynomials, and the quintuple product identity.
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Differential Geometry
Odd-dimensional lens-space Yamabe counterexamples
Let $n\ge5$ be odd and let \(L_{3q}^n=S^n/C_{3q}\) be the standard lens space, where $q>3$ is prime. We prove that for all sufficiently large $q$, \[ \sigma(L_{3q}^n) > (3q)^{-2/n}Y(S^n)=Y(L_{3q}^n,[g_{\rm rd}]). \] Here \([g_{\rm rd}]\) denotes the quotient-round conformal class. Combining spin bordism with the surgery theorem of Ammann–Dahl–Humbert, we establish \[ \sigma(L_{3q}^n)\ge \min \{q^{-2/n}Y(S^n),\Lambda_n\}, \] where $\Lambda_n>0$ depends only on $n$. For sufficiently large $q$, this exceeds the quotient-round value, showing that the quotient-round conformal class need not maximize the smooth Yamabe invariant in any odd dimension $n\ge5$.
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Dynamical Systems
Multidimensional Szemerédi Theorem for Pairwise Independent Jointly Intersective Polynomials
We develop a new approach to the Joint Intersectivity Conjecture of Bergelson, Leibman, and Lesigne for commuting transformations. The conjecture asserts that the necessary divisibility condition is the only obstruction to polynomial multiple recurrence and, consequently, to the multidimensional polynomial Szemerédi theorem. We establish the conjecture for pairwise independent polynomials, obtaining the first general result for sequences of arbitrary length beyond the classical one-transformation setting. Our argument is inspired by the Furstenberg-Katznelson approach and its polynomial enhancement due to Bergelson-Leibman. Its main novelty, however, lies in the development of new techniques that allow us to bypass the use of the polynomial van der Waerden theorem, on which these methods traditionally rely, and for which no suitable analogue is currently available in our setting. In particular, we prove a Nil-Bohr returns theorem for compact extensions in systems with nilpotent structure, as well as a nil-plus-null decomposition for polynomial multicorrelation sequences that preserves joint intersectivity and positivity.
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Dynamical Systems
Existence and Uniqueness Proof for the Transport Equation and the Orthogonal Dynamics Equation for Zwanzig's Projection on Gaussian Spaces: A Vanishing Viscosity Method
We prove the existence of unique solutions ${u\in H^1(0,T;L^2_\gamma(\mathbb{R}^n))\cap L^2(0,T;H^1_\gamma(\mathbb{R}^n))}$ of the transport equation $u_t=F\cdot\nabla u+f$ and the orthogonal dynamics equation ${u_t= Q_\text{Z} (F\cdot\nabla) Q_\text{Z} u+f}$, where $F$ is a time-independent vector field, $f$ is a forcing term, $P_\text{Z}=1-Q_\text{Z}$ is a Zwanzig projection (conditional expectation) on $L^2_\gamma(\mathbb{R}^n)$ defined by $P_\text{Z}h \propto \int h(\cdot ,y) \rho(\cdot,y)\rm{d}y$, and $\gamma$ is the standard Gaussian measure with density $\rho$. To this end, we develop a vanishing viscosity method based on the maximal regularity theory for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck operator on $L^2_\gamma(\mathbb{R}^n)$. The following assumptions guarantee the existence and uniqueness of strong solutions: ${f\in H^1(0,T;L^2_\gamma(\mathbb{R}^n))\cap L^2(0,T;H^1_\gamma(\mathbb{R}^n))}$, ${g\in H^1_\gamma(\mathbb{R}^n)}$, $F\in W^{1,\infty}(\mathbb{R}^n,\mathbb{R}^n)$ and $\rm{ess\,sup}_{\mathbb{R}^n}\left(x\cdot F-\rm{div}F\right) < \infty$, where $g$ denotes the initial value function.
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Statistics Theory
Inference for Fréchet Mean Sets
We construct confidence sets for the entire Fréchet mean set by inverting studentized pairwise risk inequalities. Gaussian multiplier calibration localized around empirical near minimizers gives asymptotic coverage at least the nominal level, uniformly over distribution classes satisfying empirical-process conditions. The construction requires neither unique ness nor a manifold structure. We characterize the limiting binding directions and give conditions for exact asymptotic coverage. On the intrinsic circle, exactness holds for every fixed non-point-mass law and uniformly over a family in which two means merge at a quar tic minimum. With ideal multiplier quantiles, the construction reproduces the Euclidean Wald set under both nonsingular and singular covariance. Under regular local conditions, it is first-order equivalent to intrinsic Wald inference.
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Rings and Algebras
Okubo algebras and Exceptional Periodicity: tetracode gradings, root-lattice obstructions and Clifford cones
The Okubo algebra brings together ternary gradings, integral root frames and rank-three geometry. We examine how these structures extend to the complex Exceptional Periodicity algebras. With $N=4(n+1)$, a tetracode character gives eight nonzero homogeneous components of dimension $t_n=8n+3+2^{4n}$. On a tip, a compatible grading has zero component of dimension $8n-5$ and eight nonzero components of dimension $1+2^{4n-3}$. The arithmetic behaves differently: for $n\geq2$, the lattice $D_N^+$ has no full-rank orthogonal frame of unscaled $A_2$ lattices. We exhibit failures of the Jacobi and Jordan identities and determine the derivations and full automorphism group of the ambient algebra above level one. We also give a Clifford-module proof, with the normalization fixed by root products, of the published realization of EP tips as special Vinberg $H$-algebras. This identifies a positive real form and yields explicit formulas for its cone, cubic, Cholesky coordinates and rational dual invariant. The cone is symmetric exactly at $n=1$. Its determinant-one hypersurface belongs to the known $L(8n,1,0)$ series, whose $r$- and $c$-maps give homogeneous scalar manifolds for supergravity theories with eight real supercharges.
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Probability · Cross-listed from cs.DS
Subgaussian Vector Balancing by an Ising Model
We show that the guaranties of the Gram-Schmidt Walk Algorithm of Bansal, Dadush, Garg, and Lovett can be achieved by an Ising model. Given vectors $v_1, \ldots, v_n$ of norm less than 1, we give a closed form for a centrally symmetric distribution on a vector $\sigma \in \{\pm 1 \}^n$ so that the signed sum $\sum_j \sigma(j) v_j$ is $1$-subgaussian. We show that the Glauber dynamics for this model mix rapidly provided that the norms of the input vectors are bounded below 1 by an inverse-polynomial. The proofs employ the theory of Lorentzian polynomials, and we use these techniques to show fast mixing bounds for other spin systems.
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Combinatorics
Two conjectures on the cospectrality of complete tripartite graphs are false
For a graph G of order n with adjacency eigenvalues lambda_1(G) >= ... >= lambda_n(G), the cospectrality of G within the set G of all graphs of order n is the smallest spectral distance from G to another graph of G. Abdollahi and Zakeri conjectured that for every n >= 4 the cospectrality of the complete tripartite graph K_{n,n,n}, both in the Manhattan and in the Euclidean spectral distance, is attained precisely at K_{n-1,n,n+1}. We show that both conjectures are false for every n >= 4, that is, in the whole range in which they are stated. The counterexample is the graph H_n obtained from K_{n-1,n,n} by adding a vertex adjacent to the part of cardinality n - 1, and it is the natural generalization of the graph which the authors themselves exhibited for n = 3 and considered to be exceptional. We determine the spectrum of H_n in a closed form, and we show that the two spectral distances tend to 1 and to 1/2 respectively, instead of to (2*sqrt(3))/3 and to 2/3 as conjectured. On the other hand, we show that in the Euclidean distance the conjecture becomes asymptotically true when the competing graphs are restricted to complete multipartite graphs, so that it fails because a graph of rank four beats the conjectured minimizer.
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Information Theory
Solomonoff induction of selected bits and online classification
Solomonoff induction is a general solution for sequence prediction that started the field of algorithmic information theory around 1960. Let $M$ be the universal semimeasure. After observing a string $\omega_1 \cdots \omega_{n-1}$, it predicts the next bit $\omega_n$ to be $b$ with conditional probability proportional to $M(\omega_1 \cdots \omega_{n-1} b)$. Thus the error of this probability is \[ e_\omega(n) = 1 - \frac {M(\omega_1 \cdots \omega_{n-1}\omega_n)} {M(\omega_1 \cdots \omega_{n-1} 0) + M(\omega_{1} \cdots \omega_{n-1} 1)}. \] If $\omega$ a computable infinite sequence with a self-delimiting description of at most $k$ bits, then $\sum_n e_\omega(n) \le k\ln 2+O(1)$. Lattimore, Hutter and Gavane consider the problem of predicting computable patterns in a sequence, for example, the pattern of repeated bits $\omega = 00\,11\,00\,00\,11\,00\cdots$ They show that the error probabilities of the bits fixed by a computable pattern have limit zero, for example, for repeated bits, one has $\lim_n e_\omega(2n) = 0$. We show that for some computable pattern, the sum of $e_{\omega}(n)$ over positions $n$ from the pattern is not bounded. However, the sum of squares $(e_\omega(n))^2$ is bounded exponentially in the program length of the pattern. It is also shown that bits of $\omega$ that are fixed by a computable classification function $f:\{0,1\}^* \rightarrow \{0,1\}$, converges faster: the sum of $(e_\omega(n))^2$ is bounded by a polynomial in the program length for programs whose runtime is bounded by any fixed computable time bound.
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Optimization and Control
Dynamic Programming for A Linear-Gaussian Dual Control Problem
We consider an infinite-horizon discounted dynamic programming (DP) problem for a countable-innovation belief-state model. The model is a surrogate for a linear-Gaussian dual control problem involving an unknown parameter vector and Gaussian observation noise. The surrogate preserves the first two moments of the Gaussian innovation and the resulting posterior second-moment structure. We allow unbounded belief and control spaces and nonnegative stage costs with quadratic growth in the posterior mean and covariance. Using a posterior-moment weight, we show that the Bellman operator is a contraction in a weighted sup-norm space. We characterize the optimal cost as the unique solution of the Bellman equation in this space, establish the existence of optimal stationary policies. We further prove weighted sup-norm convergence of value iteration, policy iteration, and optimistic policy iteration under vanishing approximation errors. The convergence results under vanishing approximation errors rely on general weighted sup-norm contraction properties and are applicable beyond the particular dual control problem considered here.
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Statistics Theory
Minimax rates for pointwise CATE estimation: the role of design smoothness
We study the role of design smoothness in the minimax estimation of conditional average treatment effects at a fixed covariate point. For design densities bounded above and away from zero, without further regularity, we derive upper and lower risk bounds with an arbitrarily small gap in the convergence-rate exponent. Under uniform design, we obtain matching upper and lower bounds at interior points in the regime of low nuisance smoothness. These results show that rough covariate designs can lead to slower rates than uniform designs, even under the same smoothness assumptions on the treatment effect and nuisance functions, highlighting the role of the covariate distribution in pointwise causal estimation.