Probability
Papers
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Wednesday 9 September
We prove the Ding–Song–Sun inequality for continuous spin models on finite ferromagnetic graphs whose even single-site potentials have convex derivatives on the positive half of their domain. This class, introduced by Ellis, Monroe and Newman, includes the $\varphi^4$ and sinh-Gordon potentials. The proof uses a rank-one interpolation of the interactions and a maximum principle for a cooperative parabolic system on a half-plane. The boundary conditions follow by induction on the number of vertices and the number of positive coordinates of the field increment. In particular, the truncated two-point function in an arbitrary external field is bounded above by its zero-field value.
Differential Geometry
A sharp threshold for mixed $Q$-curvature rigidity
We resolve Case's question (Crelle's Journal, 2024) on the sharp lower threshold for Obata-type rigidity of $I_a=Q+a\sigma_2(A)$ in positive Einstein conformal classes of dimension $n\ge4$. Using a new reference-curvature identity, we prove that, on a closed connected manifold, every smooth metric in such a class with nonnegative scalar curvature and constant $I_a$ is Einstein whenever $a\ge-4$. The scalar-curvature sign assumption can be removed for $-4\le a\le-2(n-2)/(n-1)$. We also extend the quotient rigidity theorem of Ge–Wang–Wei to $I_a=\Lambda R^\theta$ for $R>0$, $a\ge-4$, and $\theta\le1$. Sharpness is established in every dimension by a shooting construction. For each sufficiently small $\eta>0$, we construct a smooth non-Einstein metric in the round conformal class on $\mathbb S^n$ with positive scalar curvature and the same constant $I_{-4-\eta}$ as the unit round metric. The construction smoothly matches a perturbed Schwarzschild neck near the equator with perturbed round caps at both poles.
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Number Theory
Irreducibility of truncations of the Catalan generating function
We prove that, for every positive integer $n$, the polynomial $C_0+C_1x+\cdots+C_nx^n$ is irreducible over $\mathbb{Q}$, where $C_k$ denotes the $k$th Catalan number.
Differential Geometry
Rigidity, sharp inequalities, and stability for $\sigma_2$-curvature by a reference curvature technique
Using a reference-curvature technique, we prove four main theorems. (i) For $n\geq4$, we remove the mean-curvature pinching from the Case-Wang rigidity theorem for $\sigma_2$-flat conformal hemispheres with $A_g\in\overline{\Gamma_2^+}$ and positive constant natural boundary curvature. (ii) On every closed positive Einstein manifold of dimension $n\geq5$, each conformal metric of constant $\sigma_2$-curvature is Einstein, and is homothetic to the background unless the background is a round sphere, thereby resolving the $\sigma_2$-Obata problem posed by Chang, Gursky, and Yang. (iii) We extend the spherical constant-$\sigma_2/\sigma_1$ classification and sharp integral comparison to closed positive Einstein manifolds. The comparison holds throughout the positive-scalar-curvature conformal class, with equality only for homotheties on nonround backgrounds. (iv) We establish global quantitative $\sigma_2$ stability on every fixed nonround positive Einstein background of dimension $n\geq5$, throughout its positive-scalar-curvature conformal class.
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Information Theory · Cross-listed from quant-ph
Private communication via zero-private-capacity quantum channels
Private communication over a noisy quantum channel requires reliable transmission to the receiver and secrecy from the environment. Whether two channels with zero private capacity can jointly enable private communication is a longstanding open problem in quantum information theory. Here we resolve this problem by exhibiting a four-level channel and a qubit erasure channel with half erasure probability, each with zero private capacity, whose joint use achieves more than 0.0001903 private bits per product use. The encoding gives the receiver a linear information gain with at most quadratic environmental leakage, enabling privacy through a fixed joint measurement and classical coding. This superactivation, impossible for independent classical memoryless wiretap channels, shows that a channel's private capacity alone does not determine its value for secure communication. The initial activation example was identified through interactions with large language models, and the result has been formalized in Lean 4.
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Metric Geometry
An isoperimetric problem for Fourier zeros of centrally symmetric convex bodies
Given a centrally symmetric convex body, consider the zero set of the Fourier transform of its characteristic function. We study how large the distance from this set to the origin can be when the volume of the body is fixed. A 2009 conjecture of Benguria, Levitin, and Parnovski asserts that the maximum is attained by a Euclidean ball. We disprove it in all dimensions greater than one. In the plane, every regular centrally symmetric polygon with at least twelve sides outperforms the disk, albeit by a tiny margin, and the regular dodecagon is best among them. In dimensions three and higher, no maximiser exists.
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Combinatorics · Cross-listed from cs.DS
Subexponential Approximation of the Permanent in Deterministic Polynomial Time
We give the first deterministic polynomial time algorithm that approximates the permanent of arbitrary nonnegative rational matrices within a subexponential factor. For a matrix of order $n$, the approximation factor is \[ \exp\!\left(O\!\left(\frac{n(\log\log n)^2}{\log n}\right)\right)=\exp(o(n)). \] All previously known deterministic polynomial time guarantees for unrestricted inputs had approximation factors $\exp(\Omega(n))$. Our proof uses convex optimization to tighten an upper bound on the permanent. The bound is based on weighted sums over all matchings in a bipartite graph representing the matrix, and correlations between unmatched vertices control its error. We approximate these sums deterministically using correlation decay and a bound on the effect of vertex deletion.
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Information Theory · Cross-listed from quant-ph
Optimal Low-Rank Quantum State Tomography with Bounded-Sample Joint Measurements
We determine the optimal sample complexity of low-rank quantum state tomography when each measurement may act jointly on at most $t$ samples. For sufficiently small $\varepsilon$, estimating an unknown state on $\mathbb{C}^d$ of rank at most $r$ to trace norm error $\varepsilon$ with constant success probability requires, and is achievable with, $$\Theta\left(\frac{dr}{\varepsilon^2}\mathop{\mathrm{max}}\left\{1,\frac{r}{\sqrt{t}}\right\}\right)$$ samples. The lower bound allows the protocol to choose each joint measurement adaptively using all previous classical outcomes; the matching upper bound is nonadaptive. Thus joint measurements on at most $t$ samples improve the complexity of algorithms making single-sample measurements by at most a factor $\sqrt{t}$. Further, measuring order $r^2$ samples jointly is necessary and sufficient to attain the unrestricted collective rate. For the lower bound, we vary the support of a state with fixed uniform spectrum and bound the Fisher information trace of every joint measurement on $t$ samples. The adaptive Fisher chain rule and the van Trees inequality then give the trace norm lower bound. For the upper bound, we construct and analyze a nonadaptive tomography protocol based on a Gaussian joint measurement. An explicit second moment identity and a conditional Gaussian law outside the state's support give a rank-dependent error analysis, yielding the matching rate.
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Combinatorics
Unimodality shenanigans in Ehrhart theory
We construct counterexamples to a four-decade-old conjecture attributed to Stanley concerning the unimodality of $h^*$-polynomials of IDP polytopes. As additional applications of our main constructions, we also disprove a conjecture by Brenti on the log-concavity of $h^*$-polynomials of Gorenstein IDP polytopes, and a conjecture by Ferroni and Higashitani concerning the log-concavity of the Ehrhart series of IDP polytopes. We also answer their question about the existence of very ample polytopes with non-log-concave interior Ehrhart series. Our class of examples arises by taking Cayley sums of rectangular prisms, and hence they possess regular unimodular flag triangulations by a result of Haase, Paffenholz, Piechnik and Santos. Remarkably, for the unimodality conjecture we can even find smooth counterexamples.
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Category Theory
Noetherian forms of free non-symmetric operads
In this paper, we study certain categories of labeled finite rooted ordered trees over a fixed set of labels where each label is equipped with an arity: a fixed number of children that the vertex with the given label must have. Equivalently, these are expression trees for operations in a free non-symmetric operad. A morphism between these trees matches a pruning of one tree (a prefix) with an entire subtree of another (a suffix). We characterize such categories, up to isomorphism, in terms of suitable exactness properties. It turns out that these categories exhibit strong algebraic behavior, in the sense that every such category, when appended with a strict initial object, has a particularly nice noetherian form.
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Combinatorics
The Distribution of Double Deficiencies in Pattern-Avoiding Permutations
We study the distribution of the number of double deficiencies (DD) in permutations of length n avoiding one or two patterns of length 3. Using structural decompositions of these avoidance classes–together with a lattice-path decomposition in the 321-avoiding case–we derive functional equations and convolution-type recurrences that efficiently compute the corresponding double-deficiency generating functions in all but one single-pattern case. In the 321-avoiding permutations, the resulting generating function is algebraic; we derive exact formulas for the mean and variance and prove that the distribution is close in total variation to Bin(n-2,1/4), with an explicit convergence rate. We also identify a DD-preserving symmetry that yields DD-Wilf equivalences, reducing the number of two-pattern cases that need to be considered separately. For the resulting two-pattern classes, we obtain explicit recurrences, including C-finite relations.
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Algebraic Geometry
Difference Equations and Reconstruction of Local Gopakumar-Vafa Spectra for Threefold Flops
We study difference equations for the local Gromov-Witten theory of a contractible rational curve in a Calabi-Yau threefold from the viewpoint of reconstruction. Starting from the Bryan-Katz-Leung multiple cover decomposition, we associate to all nonzero local GV degree sectors on an exceptional ray a single central difference forcing term governed by explicit Fejér-type Laurent kernels. Our main result is an information equivalence theorem: once the exceptional ray and its lattice normalization are fixed, the full quantum forcing, its regular specialization at $\lambda=0$, and the local genus zero Gopakumar-Vafa spectrum determine one another. In particular, every local GV multiplicity is recovered from the classical forcing by an explicit Möbius inversion. In the primitive normalization relevant to a simple flopping contraction, the same classical forcing also recovers the noncommutative and commutative widths of the contraction algebra: the former is the order at $q=1$ of the exponentiated forcing and the latter is its first $q$-coefficient. For finite support we further determine the minimal Laurent polynomial denominator clearing operator on the finest common shift lattice. Its cyclotomic factorization is strictly coarser than the GV spectrum. Length two, $E_6$, $E_7$, and $E_8$ examples exhibit the resulting hierarchy of information loss: Kollár length does not determine the forcing, the cyclotomic skeleton does not determine the GV support, and even the complete local difference data do not determine the analytic type of the flop.
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Functional Analysis
Nonmaximal sums of maximally monotone operators under Rockafellar's constraint qualification
We construct counterexamples to Rockafellar's sum conjecture in which two maximally monotone operators satisfy the interior-domain condition but their sum is not maximally monotone, thereby providing the complete disproof of the conjecture. We establish a general construction theorem that computes the entire monotone polar of a class of graphs and characterizes their maximal monotonicity by the nonexistence of solutions to explicit equations in the continuous dual. We also prove a pullback theorem that transfers counterexamples through bounded linear surjections. These theorems provide a systematic mechanism for generating entire families of counterexamples and lead to further structural consequences for the resulting operators. Specifically, we obtain four classes of counterexample families: weighted constructions with different curves, first operators with prescribed affine value dimensions, second operators obtained by positive rescaling and norm-continuous monotone perturbation with full domain, and counterexamples on further Banach spaces. The last class yields counterexamples on every Banach space containing a closed subspace isomorphic to $c_0$ or $\ell^1$, or admitting such a quotient. We also give explicit constructions on $c_0$ and standard $\ell^1$ that realize the construction and pullback mechanisms, respectively. We further determine the domain geometry and exact radial bounds of the constructed operators, characterize reflexivity by a fixed rank-one test in two classical classes of Banach spaces, identify maximal monotone extensions under surjective pullback, and compute exact Fitzpatrick identities. The appendices further extend these constructions to additional parameter and product families, nonlinear scalar and strictly monotone second operators, normal-cone and subdifferential partners, and examples with prescribed radial bounds, and more counterexample families.
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Metric Geometry
Box dimension prints
We study lower and upper box dimension prints for bounded subsets of \(\mathbb R^n\), defined by weighted covering numbers for independently oriented rectangular boxes with prescribed ordered side-length bounds. The limits range over all eccentricities, including unbounded aspect ratios. For every non-empty bounded set, we identify the closure of the lower print with the intersection of the half-spaces determined by its lower eccentricity profile, without any uniformity assumption. The profile equals the support function of this closure if and only if it is subadditive. A planar product example has distinct lower and upper profiles on every ray and an explicitly computable lower-print closure. We also prove that both prints are invariant under nonsingular projective transformations on compact sets avoiding the pole hyperplane. Uniform anisotropic covering estimates determine both prints, including their boundary points, for non-degenerate curves of type \((1,\ldots,n)\), their Ahlfors regular parameter subsets, and higher-dimensional spheres. Finally, local covering-count and product-measure criteria identify the lower box print with the Hausdorff dimension print, while a reciprocal-sequence example shows that this inclusion can be strict.
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Representation Theory
Distinguished standard modules for $\mathrm{GL}_{2m}(\mathbb{C})/\mathrm{GL}_m(\mathbb{H})$
We characterize the standard modules of $\GL_{2m}(\C)$ that are distinguished by $\GL_m(\HH)$. Let $\delta_1,\dots, \delta_{2m}$ be characters of $\mathbb{C}^\times$. Assume that $S = \delta_1 \times \cdots \times \delta_{2m}$ is a standard module of $\GL_{2m}(\mathbb{C})$. For each $i$, define ${\delta_i^*} (z) = \delta_i(\overline{z})^{-1}$ for $ z \in \mathbb{C}^\times$. In particular, we conclude that a standard module for $\GL_{2m}(\mathbb{C})$ is distinguished by $\GL_{m}(\mathbb{H})$ if and only if there exists an involution $p\in S_{2m}$ without fixed points such that $\delta_{p(i)}=\delta_i^*$ for every $i$. We first verify the hypotheses of the multiplicity estimate theorem of Suzuki and Tamori in \cite{ST}. The orbit calculation of Matringe, Offen, and Yang in \cite{MOYglobal} then gives the necessary condition and a dimension bound. Then local intertwining periods prove sufficiency.
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Information Theory
Risk-Averse Decision Making via Quantum Measurement Design
Quantum measurements are conventionally optimized to maximize the average of a utility that depends on the true state and on the measurement outcome. However, when the outcome of the measurement is used as an action within a larger decision-making system, the average utility does not capture the risk of poor outcomes. This letter addresses the design of quantum measurements that maximize a risk-averse objective given by the optimized certainty equivalent (OCE), a family of criteria that includes the average utility and the conditional value at risk (CVaR) as special cases. For a piecewise linear gain function, defining the OCE, thus including the CVaR, the problem is shown to reduce to a finite number of semidefinite programs, for which a dual formulation is derived. For the discrimination of two states, a closed-form solution is obtained that takes the form of a Helstrom measurement. Numerical results show that the optimized measurement improves the lower tail of the utility distribution at a moderate cost in average utility.
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Algebraic Geometry
On Two Open Problems by Johnson and Kollár
We resolve two problems left open by Johnson and Kollár in their paper Arcology: Question 21 and the openness issue arising in Example 14.
Analysis of PDEs
Open Inextensible Filaments in Planar Stokes Flow: Well-Posedness, Endpoint Asymptotics, and Straightening
We study an inextensible open filament with free ends in a planar Stokes fluid. The system reduces to a third-order nonlocal curvature equation coupled to an elliptic equation for the tension. We prove local well-posedness for nearly critical initial data in supported Sobolev spaces $\widetilde H^s$, $-1/2<s\le0$, satisfying the arc-chord condition. For positive times, we prove improved Sobolev regularity and derive a $d^{3/2}$-type expansion at each free end using Wiener–Hopf factorization, where $d$ denotes the distance to that endpoint. We further prove global existence and exponential convergence to a straight filament for sufficiently small initial data and for finite-energy initial data satisfying $E(0)<\pi^2/4$. The finite-energy result follows from an energy identity and a geometric estimate relating the bending energy to the arc-chord constant. More generally, any finite-time breakdown must be accompanied by loss of the arc-chord condition, while every global solution either converges exponentially to a straight filament or has arc-chord constants tending to zero along a sequence of times tending to infinity.
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Spectral Theory
The sharp one-dimensional Lieb-Thirring inequality for the sum of eigenvalues
We prove that the best constant in the one-dimensional Lieb-Thirring inequality with exponent one is $4/(3\sqrt{3}\pi)$, confirming the Lieb-Thirring conjecture in this case. Moreover, we extend the inequality to operator-valued potentials and obtain the bound $L_{1,d}\leq(2/\sqrt3)L_{1,d}^{\mathrm{cl}}$ in every dimension.
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Numerical Analysis
Invariant domain preservation for hybrid point-value and cell-average discretizations of hyperbolic equations on general meshes
This paper presents a unified invariant-domain-preserving (IDP) framework for hybrid discretizations of hyperbolic conservation laws, including active flux and PAMPA methods, in which cell averages are updated conservatively while cell-boundary point values evolve under a possibly non-conservative operator. The main challenge is to preserve admissibility for these two coupled sets of states under a single local stability condition, without adding evolved degrees of freedom or relying on post-update repairs. For the point-value update, we introduce an admissibility transform based on a barrier–Legendre map for convex admissible interiors described by concave constraints, and prove that the inverse map is globally defined and Lipschitz continuous on the relevant sets. For the conservative cell-average update, we establish a structural obstruction theorem: the single-state continuous physical flux built from admissible boundary traces alone cannot provide a conservative IDP guarantee, for any prescribed CFL number, when internal reconstruction values are uncontrolled. This identifies the missing local control that must be supplied by an additional IDP flux mechanism. To realize this mechanism explicitly, we combine cell average decompositions (CAD), geometric quasilinearization, and local a priori scaling to construct admissible, generally discontinuous trace states before flux evaluation. Under an explicit trace-based CFL condition, with constants determined by local CAD weights and trace-state wave-speed bounds, the coupled hybrid update preserves the prescribed invariant domain. Concrete third-order schemes are developed on triangular, Cartesian, convex quadrilateral, and general convex polygonal meshes. Numerical results demonstrate the designed order of accuracy for smooth solutions and the strict preservation of physical admissibility.
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Probability
MaxCut for $\mathrm{MTP}_2$ Covariances
Let $X=(X_1,\dots,X_n)\in\{0,1\}^n$ have a multivariate totally positive ($\mathrm{MTP}_2$) law. We prove that $$ \sum_{i<j}\mathbb{E}\left[\left|\mathrm{Cov}(X_i,X_j \mid X_{[n]\setminus\{i,j\}})\right|\right] \le n/2, $$ and more generally a weighted MaxCut inequality for the fully conditioned covariances. As an application, we confirm a conjecture of Allen and O'Donnell on correlation rounding for signed $\mathrm{MTP}_2$ laws.
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Functional Analysis
Whitney extension theorem and intrinsic rectifiability of jump sets in Carnot-Carathéodory spaces
We prove that the intrinsic jump set of every locally integrable function on an equiregular Carnot-Carathéodory space is intrinsically countably rectifiable. A key new ingredient is a local scalar Whitney extension theorem for intrinsic $C^1$ functions.
Probability
Couplings Farthest from the Independent Gaussian
Motivated by Wasserstein measures of dependence, we study the largest possible 2-Wasserstein distance between a joint distribution and the product of its prescribed marginals. For two uniform marginals, Catalano and Lavenant conjectured that the monotone and antimonotone couplings maximize the distance from the independent coupling. We prove the Gaussian analogue for an arbitrary number $n\geq 2$ of one-dimensional standard Gaussian marginals. More generally, for every probability measure $\mu$ on $\mathbb R$ with finite second moment, we characterize the laws on $\mathbb{R}^n$ with all marginals equal to $\mu$ that are farthest from the $n$-dimensional standard Gaussian.
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Optimization and Control
Convergence of a Randomized Newton Method in Nonconvex Optimization
We analyze a stochastic Newton optimization scheme for locating the unique global minimizer of a general nonconvex objective function. The method couples a Newton algorithm to additive Gaussian noise with state-dependent variance. In the bounded domain setting, we prove global almost sure convergence. The proof is based on two features of the algorithm: a nondegenerate exploratory property that ensures entrance into a neighborhood of the minimizer after a finite number of steps, and a decaying-noise property that yields contraction with high probability and prevents infinitely many exits from the neighborhood of the minimum.
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Mathematical Physics · Cross-listed from cond-mat.stat-mech
Protected domains and cooperative invasion on weighted networks
Reciprocal contacts can favor cooperation by protecting a lineage until its descendants compete as a group. An individual is chosen to reproduce from the whole population, with a probability increasing with its averaged cooperation payoff. Its offspring replaces a neighbor through contacts weighted equally in both directions. We compare a single cooperator taking over defectors with the reverse invasion, using the same distribution of introduction sites. When payoffs weakly affect reproduction, every network with at least six sites and a path visiting them all admits weights favoring cooperation at any benefit-cost ratio $b/c>1$. This holds for mutants placed uniformly or arising in newborn offspring. Unequal contacts sustain aligned domains around two protected sites, converting individual reproduction into collective competition. Cooperation cannot have an advantage when its benefit does not exceed its cost, at any positive selection strength with positive reproduction rates. Where mutants arise changes which contact patterns can use this mechanism. On a five-site path, the weak-selection threshold has the sharp lower bound seven under uniform placement; newborn introduction never favors cooperation at this order. We classify the contact patterns with at most five sites that can favor cooperation under either rule; newborn introduction requires a four- or five-site cycle. Tracing copies backward to their ancestors separates domain competition from the probability of reaching it. Exact polynomial inequalities prove sharp threshold bounds for paths and the four- and five-site cycles. The same ancestry reconstructs evolution without selection on weighted paths and cycles and fixes the slowest relaxation rate on every connected reciprocal network. Cooperation thus depends on both the collective competitors created by contacts and the route by which a new lineage enters them.
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Group Theory
Small undecidable groups and unrecognizable 4-manifolds
We construct a $3$-generator $9$-relator group with unsolvable word problem. We use the group to construct two fixed-size Adian–Rabin families of group presentations, one with $4$ generators and $11$ relators, and another with $2$ generators and $10$ relators. As a consequence, $\#_7(S^2\times S^2)$ is topologically unrecognizable and $\#_9(S^2\times S^2)$ is smoothly unrecognizable. These algebraic and topological results improve the previous best known bounds by Borisov, Tancer, and Gordon. The construction of the group builds upon an example of Borisov and uses additional HNN extensions and Tietze eliminations to reduce the size of the presentation. We also provide a machine-checked Lean~4 formalization of the algebraic results.
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Functional Analysis
Local Reflexivity and Duality for Subspace Approximation Schemes
We address a structural gap in the quantitative theory of operator approximation by investigating how subspace approximation schemes interact with local reflexivity. Recent literature establishing the duality of scheme-relative approximation numbers, $a_n(T,Q) = a_n(T^{**}, Q^{\perp\perp})$, has relied on imposing an Extended Local Reflexivity Property (ELRP) as an independent axiom. In this note, we establish a dichotomy. For infinite-dimensional admissible schemes, we prove they naturally generate complete nests, perfectly satisfying the topological hypotheses of the Oja-Veidenberg Nest Principle of Local Reflexivity. Conversely, we demonstrate that for approximation schemes with finite-dimensional components, the bidual geometry collapses. Consequently, the ELRP is entirely superfluous, and the duality of approximation numbers holds unconditionally for all bounded linear operators via an elementary isometric restriction.
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Algebraic Geometry
Deformation families of open Calabi-Yau manifolds and Steinness
This paper is to construct deformation families of open Calabi-Yau manifolds together with some discussions on Steinness. Firstly, we construct a nontrivial compactifiable deformation of open Calabi-Yau manifolds from rational elliptic surface with global sections. Secondly, we give a condition for the existence of an elliptic fibration with global sections on the complex analytic family of rational elliptic surface with global sections, construct a holomorphic involution on the compactifiable deformation family and claim the non-Steinness for all the compactifiable deformation families constructed. Finally, we give some discussions on the non-Steinness of the quasi-projective variety from $\text{CP}^2 \text{$\#$9} \overline{\text{CP}}^2$ corresponding to a conjecture by Marco Brunella and construct deformation families whose fibers were conjectured to be Stein by Andreas Höring and Thomas Peternel.
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Dynamical Systems
Delay Placement Governs Feasibility and Hopf Bifurcation in a Pollution-Based Tourism Model
We compare eight variants of a three-variable pollution-based tourism model obtained by assigning the same discrete delay to different terms. The delay may enter three slots: the visitor factor in the deterrence term, pollution perception, or visitation-driven growth and reinvestment. We call a placement feasible when every nonnegative initial history produces a solution that exists for all future time and remains nonnegative. For every $\tau>0$, feasibility holds exactly when the visitor factor in the deterrence term is current, which occurs in four of the eight placements. In three of these four feasible placements, the positive equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable for every delay. In the fourth – the perception-lag model, with delayed pollution perception but current visitation – a conjugate pair of characteristic roots crosses the imaginary axis at a finite critical delay for every set of positive parameters. The equilibrium then loses stability and does not restabilise as the delay increases. A center-manifold reduction and numerical parameter sweep show that both supercritical and subcritical Hopf bifurcations can occur. The visitor-delayed placement, closest to earlier delayed-tourism models, can undergo a local Hopf bifurcation under additional conditions, but it does not preserve nonnegativity for all initial histories.
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Probability
Aldous' spectral gap phenomena in stochastic exchange models
We consider a broad class of exchange dynamics with arbitrary weighted graph or hypergraph update structures, which includes the Kipnis–Marchioro–Presutti (KMP) model and the energies of Kac's walk on the sphere. These are conservative continuous-spin systems whose reversible measures are Dirichlet distributions. We prove that their spectral gap is always attained by a polynomial of degree at most two in the energy variables. Equivalently, through an intertwining with the associated discrete particle systems, the dominant mode is always represented by either a one-particle or a two-particle observable. We interpret this as a manifestation of an Aldous-type spectral gap phenomenon. In particular, the resulting two-particle spectral gap identity settles a recent conjecture of Alon and Puder. We also characterize sharply when one particle suffices and when a genuinely two-particle mode dominates. Under a common rescaling of the Dirichlet parameters, segment-like geometries are precisely those for which the gap is always of one-particle type, mean-field geometries are precisely those for which it is always of two-particle type, and all other geometries exhibit a nontrivial transition. The proof relies on the analysis of the so-called hidden model, a dual representation of the original process. The mechanism underlying the degree-two reduction is remarkably robust and extends to a much broader class of stochastic exchange models and their associated particle systems, including the harmonic process, the immediate exchange model, averaging-type processes, and nonreversible variants. Finally, we analyze boundary-driven versions of the KMP model, in which the bulk exchange dynamics interacts with reservoirs, generally resulting in nonreversible processes. In contrast to the conservative setting, we prove that the spectral gap of a boundary-driven model is always of one-particle type.