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Wednesday 2 September

Probability

Generalised Random Parking for Trapeziums on a Strip

In this article, we study a generalisation of Rényi's car-parking problem in which isosceles trapeziums are sequentially deposited on a strip. We derive an explicit formula for the parking constant in terms of the lengths of the two bases, recovering the classical rectangular and triangular models as special cases. We further obtain quantitative finite-size asymptotics for both the expected number and the variance of deposited trapeziums, with convergence rates that depend explicitly on the geometry of the deposited particle. In particular, although the recursive construction involves two different substrate geometries, their variances have the same leading asymptotic density. Finally, we show that the parking constant depends non-monotonically on the ratio of the two base lengths and possesses a unique minimiser, so that the least efficient shape is a genuine trapezium rather than a triangle.
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Probability

When does propagation of chaos in the critical Curie-Weiss model stop?

We study increasing propagation of chaos for the critical Curie- Weiss model (i.e. the mean-field Ising model at critical inverse temperature 1, with no external field). We give a simple way to see that for windows of size k(N) of smaller order than sqrt{N} we still have propagation of chaos (reproving earlier results, see e.g.[1]), while for k(N) of order sqrt{N} the propagation of chaos breaks down. The law of a single spin converges to \pi, the Bernoulli law with parameter 1/2. If k(N) = alpha sqrt{N}, we give an explicit formula for the limiting distance in total variation of the law of the first k(N) spins with respect to the k-fold product of pi, as a function of alpha. For even larger window sizes, the distribution of the spins has, in the thermodynamical limit, maximal distance to the k-fold product of pi. One of the ingredients of the proof is a result about the unimodality/non- unimodality of the law of the number of positive spins among the first k = k(N) spins, which may be of independent interest.
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Probability

Convex Order Comparisons for Sub-Gamma Random Variables

Recent work has shown that sub-Gaussian random variables are dominated in convex order by a sharp multiple of a Gaussian. We study the analogous question for the sub-Gamma class underlying Bernstein's inequality, with the Laplace law as the majorant. Here the moment generating function is controlled by a Bernstein-type bound over a finite range of frequencies, rather than by a purely quadratic bound. We derive a variational formula for the optimal multiple, show that it is strictly larger than the natural scale $\sigma \vee \alpha$, and prove that this value is sharp, being attained by an asymmetric two-point distribution. We then turn to the sub-exponential class, which has a quadratic bound as in the sub-Gaussian case, but only over a bounded range as in the sub-Gamma case. Interestingly, the sub-exponential class displays a different behavior: the optimal multiple is exactly $\sigma \vee \alpha$, but is attained only when $\alpha \leq \sigma$; when $\alpha > \sigma$, the constant remains sharp, but equality cannot hold for any non-affine convex function. Both results rely on a sharp finite-range variant of the Kearns-Saul inequality, which is of independent interest.
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Probability

Farthest-cell triplet entropy: high-dimensional shell limits and hyperbolic curvature amplification

We introduce farthest-cell triplet entropy, the conditional Shannon entropy of the farthest-prototype label given three random prototypes. For independent queries and prototypes, its estimator records only the farthest label, not coordinates or numerical distances. The statistic is bounded by $\log 3$, is invariant under common strictly increasing transformations of the dissimilarities, and has an exact mutual-information interpretation. In high-dimensional isotropic radial models $X_d=R_dU_d$, the Euclidean ordering reduces to scores $\lambda_d\xi_{i,d}-Z_i$, where $\lambda_d=\sqrt d\,\operatorname{sd}(R_d)/\mathbb{E} R_d$ and the $Z_i$ are independent standard Gaussian variables. This gives angular-dominated, intermediate, and radial-dominated entropy limits $\log 3$, $H_{\infty}(\lambda;F)$, and $0$. In hyperbolic space of curvature $-\kappa_d^2$, the same master curve appears at $\lambda_{d,\mathbb H}=\sqrt d\,\tau_d A(s_d)$, where $\tau_d=\operatorname{sd}(R_d)/\mathbb{E} R_d$, $s_d=\kappa_d\mathbb{E} R_d$, and $A(s)=s\coth s$. With a calibrated radial law and $\tau_d$, and a monotone operating interval, entropy inversion identifies the scale-invariant target $s_d^2$; absolute curvature requires an external length unit. CPU simulations give Euclidean and hyperbolic master-curve RMSEs of $0.0164$ and $0.0209$. Inversion from observed synthetic latent coordinates has a median relative error in $\kappa$ of $6.6\%$, while angular anisotropy increases this error to $68.9\%$. Thus the entropy statistic is comparison-based, whereas curvature recovery remains model-calibrated, is not graph-only, and is not robust to anisotropy.
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Probability

Metastability of interacting stochastic systems with countably many metastable states: beyond positive recurrence

Metastability is typically formulated for systems with finitely many metastable states, most often in positively recurrent settings. In this article, we extend the resolvent framework for metastability to Markov processes with countably many metastable states, thereby encompassing null-recurrent and transient dynamics. For a family of processes on locally compact Polish spaces, we prove, under a mild boundary regularity assumption, that the asymptotic flatness of microscopic resolvent solutions, supplemented by two compactness conditions, is equivalent to convergence in law of the projected trace processes to a limiting Markov chain and to the negligibility of the time spent outside the metastable sets. We apply this framework to two non-compact stochastic systems. First, we study a condensing inclusion process on a countably infinite, uniformly locally finite graph, in a setting where the process may be null recurrent or transient. We prove that the condensate location converges to a weighted random walk on the underlying graph, while the time spent away from the fully condensed configurations is negligible. Second, we study a small-noise one-dimensional Langevin diffusion with countably many stable equilibria, without assuming ergodicity. In the Eyring-Kramers time scale associated with the minimal energy barrier, we establish local equilibration inside each well, convergence of the well-index process to an explicit nearest-neighbor Markov chain on $\mathbb Z$, and negligibility of inter-well excursions. Together, these results broaden the scope of resolvent-based metastability theory beyond finite metastable state spaces and positive recurrence.
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Probability

Analysis of Triggered Packet Streams: A Matrix-Analytic Method for Exponential Triggering Delays

In many communication networks, the transmission of a packet may automatically trigger the transmission of a subsequent packet from the same source after a (possibly random) delay, without requiring acknowledgment or feedback. Such behavior arises in multi-stage status updating, proactive protocols, and other applications where users generate causally dependent packet streams. In this paper, in order to analyze these systems, we introduce the $\mathrm{M^T/G/1}$ queue. In this model, primary customers arrive according to a Poisson process, and each primary customer triggers a secondary customer to join the queue after an independent delay. This arrival mechanism falls outside the scope of classical queueing models with renewal arrival processes. When the triggering delays follow an exponential distribution, we exploit the memoryless property to set up a tractable Markov description. By truncating the number of pending secondary customers, we derive a finite system of linear algebraic equations in the Laplace–Stieltjes transform domain and solve them using matrix-analytic methods. Based on the resulting workload distribution, we compute class-specific performance metrics using PASTA for primary customers and Palm conditioning for secondary customers. Finally, we validate the accuracy of this truncation through numerical experiments.
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Probability · Cross-listed from math.AP

Quantization and process

This article is concerned with generalizations of pseudo-differential operators in $L^2(\mathbb{R}^n)$, $n\geq 1$. The definition of the new calculi depends only on bounded measures on the phase space $\mathbb{R}^{2n}$ and each measure gives rise to a specific calculus. Quantizations of anti-Wick, Weyl, classical and Born-Jordan are particular cases of the general calculi. Classes of symbols in this framework are then studied. The Gevrey class of parameter 1/2 is a class of symbol that is common to all the general calculi, that is, a class of symbols independent on the bounded measures parametrizing the quantizations. Precise additional hypotheses on the measures are necessary in the aim to consider the larger class of symbols $L^{\infty}(\mathbb{R}^{2n})$. This result can be applied for anti-Wick but not for Weyl quantization. Concerning Weyl pseudo-differential calculus, we recover the standard class of Sjöstrand and Gröchening. Then, we prove that probability measures of Lévy processes on the phase space $\mathbb{R}^{2n}$ with diffusion larger than 1/4 are natural examples of measures satisfying the latter additional hypotheses in order to consider $L^{\infty}(\mathbb{R}^{2n})$ symbols. This relation is derived using the Lévy-Khintchine formula. Composition laws in that general context are next investigated. In that purpose, we give a formula for the composition of two symbols in some precise class of symbols valid for all general quantizations. General calculi are relying on Wick quantization which is therefore primarily examined for some precise classes of symbols. Additional results in that context are provided, such as Mizrahi series expansions and Banach algebra isomorphisms between operators and symbol classes.
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Probability

Aperiodic random walks: uniform estimates, local limits and invariance principles

We prove uniform endpoint estimates, killed local limits, and conditioned-bridge invariance principles for triangular arrays of centered, aperiodic, integer-valued random walks with uni- form exponential tails. The endpoint estimates cover all nonnegative heights, while the local limits treat positive diffusive and zero endpoints. The increment law may vary with the scaling parameter.
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Probability

State-law dynamics of McKean-Vlasov stochastic reaction-diffusion equations on $\mathbb R^n$: pullback random attractors and zero-noise stability

Distribution dependence generally prevents McKean-Vlasov state solution maps from satisfying a cocycle identity, while the relevant Sobolev embedding is noncompact on unbounded domains. For a class of stochastic reaction-diffusion equations with a dissipative polynomial reaction, a one-sided monotone state-law coupling and finite-dimensional additive noise, we combine the deterministic law semiflow with the pathwise state evolution to construct a continuous random dynamical system on the product of the state space and its quadratic Wasserstein law space. An abstract product-space criterion, mixed-energy estimates, local regularity and uniform far-field estimates yield a unique pullback random attractor without global law contraction. Its law projection is the global attractor of the law semiflow, and its state fibers need not be singletons. Under an additional strict contraction condition, the law attractor reduces to the unique invariant law and the corresponding state fiber to a self-consistent random equilibrium. We also establish zero-noise upper semicontinuity and, in the contractive regime, quantitative convergence of the invariant laws and random equilibria with bounds linear in the noise amplitude.
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Probability

The higher-dimensional Shepp problem: an exact criterion for random ball coverings of tori

We solve the Euclidean-ball case of the higher-dimensional Shepp covering problem. More precisely, we give an exact criterion for full limsup coverage of the $d$-dimensional torus, $d\ge 2$, by independently centered Euclidean balls with an arbitrary decreasing sequence of radii. Let $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ be independent Haar-uniform points, let $r_1\ge r_2\ge\cdots\downarrow 0$, and put $u_n(z)=m(B(0,r_n)\cap B(z,r_n))$ and $H(z)=\sum_{n\ge 1}u_n(z)$. Then every point belongs to infinitely many of the balls $B(X_n,r_n)$ almost surely if and only if $\int_{\mathbb{T}^d}\exp(H) dm=\infty$. In dimension one this condition is equivalent to Shepp's criterion. No regular-variation or comparable-scale assumption is imposed on the radii. The main difficulty is shared noise: after spatial decomposition, the same Poisson input acts on many uncovered cells, so their descendants are not conditionally independent. We overcome this by establishing an extinction bound for monotone population recursions driven by positively associated innovations. Together with Poissonization and spatial localization this proves sufficiency, while a second-moment estimate and the zero-one law prove necessity.
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Probability · Cross-listed from cs.LG

Exact Limits of Random Projections for Preserving Geometry: Distance Recovery, Nearest-Neighbor Rankings, and Covariance Shape in Gaussian Models

The Johnson-Lindenstrauss (JL) lemma guarantees that a random projection of $n$ points to $m=O(\varepsilon^{-2}\log n)$ dimensions preserves pairwise squared distances within relative error $\varepsilon$ with high probability, and this dimension order is asymptotically optimal. In high dimensions, however, distances concentrate around a baseline while key geometric information lies in much smaller fluctuations. We show that the JL bound can therefore be uninformative about retained geometry: an independent Gaussian replacement map can satisfy it even though the replacement cloud is independent of the original data. We then ask how well any decoder can recover a feature $f(D)$ of a squared distance $D$ from a linear sketch. Under squared-error loss, the optimal decoder is conditional expectation, so recovery defines a linear operator whose singular values quantify feature recovery. For isotropic Gaussian data ($\Sigma=\sigma^2 I_d$), we diagonalize this operator in closed form. For fixed $k$ with $m,d-m\to\infty$, its $k$th singular value satisfies $\ell_k\approx(m/ d)^{k/2}$. This yields three sharp consequences. A rank-$m$ sketch retains at most an $m/d$ fraction of the variance of any feature of one squared distance. If $m\to\infty$ and $m/d\to0$, the expected Kendall correlation is $\frac{2}{\pi}\sqrt{m/d}(1+o(1))$; for fixed $q$, nearest- neighbor agreement tends to $1/q$. Yet one projection can satisfy the JL bound while mean Kendall correlation vanishes when $\log n\ll m\ll d$. After removing scale, Haar-averaged retained covariance-shape information is $(m/d)^2$. Thus JL distance preservation does not quantify the geometry available for comparison or inference.
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Probability

Gamma approximation and Poisson–Gaussian invariance principle on Poisson chaos

We study centered Gamma approximation and a same-kernel Poisson–Gaussian invariance principle on fixed Poisson chaoses. For Gamma approximation, a martingale-core argument extends the carré-du-champ and $d_2$ estimates of Döbler and Peccati (Ann. Probab., 2018) from regular kernels to every fourth-integrable chaos element. In the diffuse regime, characterized by vanishing fourth add-one energy, this yields an exact four-moment criterion under uniform integrability of fourth powers. In the rare-jump regime, ordinary moments do not determine the approximation mechanism: convergence of the full moment sequence may coexist with a nonvanishing fourth add-one energy, and we construct such centered Gamma limits in every fixed chaos order. The invariance principle is independent of the Gamma target. For Poisson and Gaussian multiple integrals with the same kernel, we bound both smooth-test discrepancies and the Wasserstein distance in terms of the variance and the fourth add-one energy. Thus, vanishing fourth add-one energy is an intrinsic Lindeberg condition under which the two chaoses are asymptotically indistinguishable in distribution. Combined with a moment-transfer estimate and the Gaussian fourth-moment theorem, this gives an alternative proof of the qualitative normal fourth-moment theorem on a fixed Poisson chaos. A rainbow example shows that the Lindeberg condition is essential: the Gaussian analogue may be asymptotically normal while the Poisson integral converges to a centered compound-Poisson law. The same comparison also explains the different behavior of even and odd chaos orders for diffuse centered Gamma limits.
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Probability · Cross-listed from q-bio.PE

Mutation–selection balance on an infinite trait space: confinement, drift and equilibrium

We study a trait-structured population model incorporating mutation, selection and density-dependent regulation on a countably infinite trait space. The underlying stochastic process is a continuous-time Markov chain in which individuals reproduce at a trait-independent rate, offspring traits are determined by a mutation kernel on $\mathbb Z$, mortality depends on trait, and births are progressively suppressed as the population approaches a fixed population ceiling. Using results for density-dependent Markov population processes with countably many types, we derive a deterministic approximation in the form of an infinite system of nonlinear differential equations. We establish existence and positive invariance of solutions, and investigate the equilibrium structure of the deterministic system. A fundamental distinction emerges between bounded and confining mortality profiles. When mortality remains bounded, mutation may continually transport mass through the trait space and a stationary trait distribution need not exist. In contrast, when mortality increases without bound as the absolute value of the trait index becomes large, the operator $L=D^{-1}P$, where $P$ and $D$ govern mutation and mortality, is compact. By combining compactness with Kreĭn-Rutman theory for compact positive operators on Banach lattices, we show that $L$ has an algebraically simple principal eigenvalue with a strictly positive eigenvector, and we derive a threshold condition for the existence of a non-zero equilibrium. In this regime the equilibrium is unique, and its trait distribution is determined by the principal eigenvector of $L$. Numerical experiments support the theoretical results and illustrate the contrasting behaviours associated with bounded and confining mortality profiles.
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Probability · Cross-listed from math.NA

Two Adjoint Perspectives on Fokker-Planck Optimization: A Microscopic-Macroscopic Correspondence

The Fokker-Planck equation admits both a macroscopic Eulerian description through probability densities and a microscopic Lagrangian description through stochastic trajectories. Consequently, optimization problems constrained by the Fokker-Planck equation can be formulated from either perspective. Surprisingly, the corresponding adjoint equations appear to be fundamentally different: the macroscopic adjoint is governed by the backward Kolmogorov equation, whereas the microscopic adjoint evolves pathwise along stochastic trajectories. In this note, we reconcile these two formulations by establishing their correspondence in the continuum setting. We further show that, although their discrete gradients no longer coincide after discretization, both provide consistent numerical approximations of the continuum gradient. Explicit convergence rates are established for both discretization strategies.
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Probability

Coalescence and fluctuations of O'Connell$\unicode{x2013}$Yor polymers via the free-energy correlation profile

We establish an identity relating the spatial derivative of a two-point free-energy correlation to two fundamental geometric quantities: the annealed probability that two independently sampled polymers, in the same environment, meet before reaching the prescribed terminal level, and the exit-point location of a single polymer. Our result is inspired in part by recent integration-by-parts work of Gu and Quastel for the KPZ equation. A crucial step in their continuous setting relies on an ingenious application of Itô's formula, which has no direct analogue in our semi-discrete setting. Instead, we exploit intrinsic symmetries of the polymer model together with the memoryless property. We also provide two applications: (i) we recover the horizontal Burke property by proving that the anchored stationary horizontal free-energy profile is a two-sided Brownian motion; (ii) in the zero-temperature limit, we obtain the corresponding identity for Brownian last-passage percolation.
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All authors Firas Rassoul-Agha, Xiao Shen, Ruixuan Zhang, Guangqu Zheng

Probability · Cross-listed from cs.PF

Multi-Turn LLM Conversations under the Least-Recently-Used Policy: Mean-Field Asymptotics and Hit Ratio Approximation

The major workloads in modern large language model (LLM) serving systems have shifted from single-shot LLM calls to multi-turn conversations, where new responses are generated based on the whole conversation history across all previous turns. The hit ratio, i.e., the average fraction of KV caches accessed directly from existing caches stored in high-bandwidth memory (HBM), is hence a crucial metric that governs system performance. Estimating the hit ratio is a highly nontrivial task due to the complex system dynamics, where the KV cache prefixes grow with turns and some must be evicted due to finite memory capacity. We formulate the system as a multi-turn conversation model under the least-recently-used (LRU) policy. Through a mean-field asymptotic framework, we prove that as the conversation arrival rate and the memory capacity grow proportionally to infinity, the hit ratio converges to a closed-form limit. Based on the characterization of the limit, we further propose a practical hit ratio estimator, and validate its accuracy by real LLM serving experiments on the Qwen3-8B model implemented on Ascend NPUs. Our results provide a theoretical foundation for the analysis of multi-turn LLM serving systems and a practical guideline for memory capacity provisioning.
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All authors Heyuan Yao, Chutong Gao, Yuan Lyu, Izzy Grosof, David Simchi-Levi

Probability

Well-Posedness for SDEs with Logarithmical Critical Distributional Drifts

We study the stochastic differential equation $$d X_t=b(t,X_t)d t+\sqrt{2}d W_t$$ on $\mathbb R^d$, where $b$ is a time-dependent, divergence-free distributional drift of critical Hölder–Besov regularity $-1$, strengthened by an iterated-logarithmic correction. For every initial probability law, we construct a weak solution by smooth approximation and realize the singular drift as an additive functional. The main analytic ingredient is the Schauder estimate with a logarithmic smallness factor. Combined with uniform logarithmic Krylov estimates and a stochastic substitution formula for distributional test functions, this estimate allows us to apply a Zvonkin transformation and prove uniqueness in law among weak solutions satisfying the corresponding Krylov bounds. For solutions starting from deterministic points, we further show that their time-marginal distributions admit densities satisfying two-sided Aronson-type Gaussian estimates.
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Probability · Cross-listed from math.AP

Pseudo-differential noise and nonlocal singularity formation in the stochastic Córdoba–Córdoba–Fontelos equation

We study the stochastic Córdoba–Córdoba–Fontelos equation driven by multiplicative Stratonovich noise. The noise amplitude is allowed to be a pseudo-differential operator whose leading part is nearly skew-adjoint. This class contains classical transport noise and also permits genuinely nonlocal perturbations. We first develop a local-in-time theory for maximal classical solutions in Sobolev spaces, proving existence, uniqueness, and a blow-up criterion. We then consider the special case of Stratonovich transport. For sufficiently large initial nonlocal steepness at a global maximum, we prove finite-time blow-up with arbitrarily high prescribed probability and obtain an explicit upper bound on the lifespan. Finally, on the event that the nonlocal steepness at the transported maximum diverges, we establish a conditional Type-I upper bound. When the terminal Cesàro average of the normalised nonlocal energy converges, we further identify the exact leading-order blow-up rate in terms of its limiting value.
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All authors Diego Alonso-Orán, Rafael Granero-Belinchón, Yingting Miao, Hao Tang

Probability

Instantaneous shrinking of supports for stochastic PDEs

We study instantaneous shrinking of supports for nonnegative solutions of the stochastic partial differential equation \[ \partial_t u=a(t,x)\,\partial_x^2 u + b(t,x)\,\partial_x u + c(t,x)\,u +\sigma(u)\,\xi(t,x), \qquad (t,x)\in(0,\infty)\times\mathbb R, \] where $\xi$ is space-time white noise, the coefficients $a$, $b$, $c$ may be random, and the noise coefficient $\sigma$ vanishes at the origin and is sublinear there. The model case is $\sigma(u)=u^\gamma$ with $\gamma\in(0,1)$. We show that, under a uniqueness-in-law assumption, if the initial datum has a sufficiently light spatial tail, then every nonnegative solution has compact support at every positive time, even though the initial support is not compact. The initial datum may also be a measure, such as a Dirac mass. When $\gamma\in(0,1/2]$, finite initial mass suffices; this covers the super-Brownian case $\gamma=1/2$. When $\gamma\in(1/2,1)$, we identify a polynomial moment condition on the initial state whose order diverges as $\gamma\uparrow1$, quantifying the trade-off between the strength of the noise near zero and the decay of the initial data required for instantaneous shrinking. As a step of independent interest, we establish weak existence of solutions started from measure-valued initial data for non-Lipschitz $\sigma$ and random operators. Our results provide a stochastic counterpart of the instantaneous shrinking phenomenon of Evans and Knerr for deterministic parabolic equations with strong absorption, in which the role of the absorption term is played entirely by the noise.
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Tuesday 1 September

Probability · Cross-listed from q-fin.RM

An Operator-Based Visual Analytics Pipeline for Synthetic Systemic Risk Dynamics

This work presents an operator-based visual analytics pipeline for exploring synthetic systemic risk dynamics in financial networks. The framework is formulated as a composition of mathematical operators that sequentially transform synthetic financial observations into dynamic scientific visualizations. The pipeline consists of six operators: latent risk mapping, probabilistic score generation, financial network construction, distance-based contagion dynamics, visual encoding, and perspective projection. Together, these operators provide a modular computational structure linking nonlinear risk surfaces, time-dependent probabilistic states, network topology, and shock propagation. A reproducible implementation demonstrates the architecture through controlled synthetic experiments. Nonlinear latent risk representations are converted into probabilistic scores, embedded in a weighted financial network, and propagated via shortest-path contagion. The resulting states are then mapped into dynamic visual representations. The experiments illustrate how visualization can be treated as an explicit stage of the analytical process rather than a post-processing step. The proposed formulation does not aim to introduce new predictive models or contagion mechanisms. Instead, it offers a transparent and modular pipeline that connects generative risk modeling, network dynamics, and scientific visualization within a unified operator-based architecture. This approach supports reproducibility and facilitates the exploration and communication of complex systemic-risk processes in synthetic settings.
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Probability

Support of Dyson Brownian Motion

We consider beta-Dyson Brownian motion, with $\beta >= 1$, started from a deterministic configuration with uniformly bounded support. Let $\mu_t$ be the semicircular free-convolution flow issued from the initial empirical measure, and set $S_t = supp(\mu_t)$. For every fixed $T, \epsilon > 0$, with probability at least $1 - C \exp(-(log n)^2)$, every particle remains within an epsilon-neighborhood of $S_t$ for all $0 <= t <= T$. The result holds from time zero, requires no regularity assumption at the initial spectral edges, and applies to multi-cut supports with macroscopic interior gaps. A key ingredient is a deterministic local resolvent exclusion principle: an $o((n \eta)^(-1))$ comparison of Stieltjes transforms on a complex disc above a real point separated from the reference support excludes eigenvalues from the corresponding real interval. This gives a model-independent mechanism for converting local resolvent estimates into spectral confinement.
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Probability

Unique ergodicity of projective cocycles over the 2D stochastic Navier-Stokes equations

We consider the linear cocycles generated by the linearized vorticity equation and by passive scalar advection diffusion, both driven by the two dimensional stochastic Navier-Stokes flow on the torus with non degenerate additive forcing, and we prove uniqueness of the stationary measures for the projective process associated to such linear dynamics. The proof relies on a localized asymptotic strong coupling construction, and on the non-degeneracy of the Malliavin matrix of the projective process. Establishing this non-degeneracy for passive scalar advection poses additional challenges, and requires a proof (based on Cameron-Martin analyticity arguments) that generically the passive scalar is nowhere one-dimensional.
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Probability

Concentration of additive functionals of Stratonovich-type

Additive functionals $\overline{J}_t=\frac{1}{t}\int_0^tU(X_s)\circ dX_s$ of Stratonovich-type recently attracted much attention in the context of inference of thermodynamic properties of complex systems from observations $U$ of individual fluctuating paths $(X_s)_{0\le s\le t}$, whereby $X_0$ is initiated from some general measure. Concentration results on $\overline{J}_t$, albeit desirable, are virtually nonexistent. They turn out to be significantly more challenging to prove than for classical Lebesgue-type functionals $\overline{\rho}_t=\frac{1}{t}\int_0^t V(X_s)ds$ because the tilt deforms the full second-order structure of the Feynman-Kac generator instead of contributing an additive potential. This renders the generator generally non-self-adjoint even under detailed balance. We overcome this by working with a symmetrized Dirichlet form with a new effective potential that now couples the observable to the non-equilibrium character of the dynamics. We prove concentration inequalities for $\overline{J}_t$ for any bounded, sufficiently smooth vector-valued function $U$ of a general geometrically ergodic diffusion process $X_s$, including explicit sub-gamma and Bernstein-type inequalities, and we obtain explicit upper bounds on ${\rm Var}(\overline{J}_t)$. Strikingly, under detailed balance the concentration of $\overline{J}_t$ is distinctively sub-Gaussian at all times and all deviations, with a variance proxy fixed by the noise alone and independent of the spectral gap, which has no analog for $\overline{\rho}_t$.
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Probability

Simultaneous Pointwise Majorization for Mixed Tail Processes with Applications in Gaussian Chaos and Ergodic Diffusions

Classical chaining controls an indexed stochastic process through a single worst-case bound and can therefore obscure substantial variation across the index set. We develop the first simultaneous pointwise majorization theory for Banach-valued processes with finite-metric mixed-tail increments. Suppose that an anchored process $(Z_t)_{t\in T}$ satisfies, for some integer $m\ge1$, pseudo-metrics $d_1,\ldots,d_m$, and orders $\alpha_1,\ldots,\alpha_m>0$, \begin{align*} \mathbb{P}\{\|Z_t-Z_s\|>\sum_{j=1}^m u^{1/\alpha_j}d_j(s,t)\}\le 2e^{-u},s,t\in T. \end{align*} For ambient priors $\mu_1,\ldots,\mu_m$, let $v_j(t):=d_j(t,t_0), \Phi_j(t):=\int_0^{4v_j(t)}(\log\frac{1}{\mu_j(B_{d_j}(t,r))})^{1/\alpha_j}dr$. We prove that, $\forall \delta\in(0,1)$, with probability at least $1-\delta$, simultaneously for all $t\in T$, \begin{align*} \|Z_t\|\le C_{m,\boldsymbol\alpha}\sum_{j=1}^m\{\Phi_j(t)+v_j(t)(\log(e/\delta))^{1/\alpha_j}\}. \end{align*} Here $\boldsymbol\alpha:=(\alpha_1,\ldots,\alpha_m)$ and $C_{m,\boldsymbol\alpha}$ depend only on $m$ and these tail orders. The result subsumes single-metric sub-Weibull processes of every positive order as the case $m=1$. In the Gaussian setting, it sharpens the pointwise upper bound of \citet{xu2026} by eliminating the logarithmic terms generated by dyadic peeling. The proof retains the index-wise costs of measure-generated admissible chains and synchronizes the regimes through a nested common refinement. Finally, we apply our theorems to stationary diffusion empirical processes and decoupled Gaussian chaos to obtain simultaneous pointwise envelope bounds, which can further be applied to other statistics problems.
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Probability

Erlang Loss Model with Energy Constrained Servers

In this paper, we study an Erlang-type loss system with energy-constrained servers. Each server is equipped with a finite battery and becomes temporarily unavailable for service when its energy is depleted, entering a charging phase before returning to operation upon full recharge. Customers who arrive to find all servers unavailable are blocked and lost immediately. We characterize the steady-state behavior of this two-dimensional Markov process by extending classical truncation results for Jackson networks to incorporate energy dynamics. This yields a closed-form product-form stationary distribution, from which we derive explicit expressions for the steady-state moments and the blocking probability. Finally, we establish that the corresponding M/G/$k$/$k$ queue with stochastic charging is insensitive to both the service-time and charging-time distributions, depending only on their means. Thus, we extend the insensitivity property of the Erlang loss queue to the stochastic server setting.
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Probability · Cross-listed from quant-ph

Irreducibility and regularisation properties of Gaussian quantum Markov semigroups

We study regularisation and irreducibility properties of Gaussian quantum Markov semigroups (GQMSs) acting on continuous-variable quantum systems. We first identify a natural notion of regularity for operators in this setting, which allows us to formulate and characterise the smoothing effects of GQMSs in terms of algebraic conditions involving the drift and quantum diffusion matrices. These conditions establish a connection with the controllability theory of quantum linear systems and with the structure of decoherence-free subsystems. We then characterise irreducibility through several equivalent algebraic criteria: one formulated in terms of the drift and quantum diffusion matrices, one in terms of the operators appearing in the generalised GKLS representation of the generator, and a third given by a quantum analogue of Hörmander's condition. A central and somewhat surprising consequence is that, in contrast with the classical case, irreducibility is strictly stronger than conditions ensuring regularisation. Our results provide an algebraic framework for analysing these properties and lay the groundwork for a broader study of reducible Gaussian quantum Markov semigroups and, more generally, more general relevant quantum Markov semigroups on continuous-variable systems.
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Probability

Multiplicative comparisons of Rényi entropies for weighted Bernoulli sums

We establish multiplicative comparisons between Rényi entropies of different orders for weighted sums of independent Bernoulli random variables. In particular, we prove a logarithmic comparison between the zeroth- and infinity-order Rényi entropies, which yields a polynomial improvement over the square-root bound of Jain, Sah, and Sawhney. As an application, this leads to an improved parameterized running time for the randomized bin-packing algorithm of Nederlof, Pawlewicz, Swennenhuis, and Wȩgrzycki. We also obtain explicit dimension-free, constant-factor comparisons between Rényi entropies of positive orders.
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Probability

A stable limit theorem for SDEs driven by multiplicative $\alpha$-stable processes

We derive a stable limit theorem for stochastic differential equations driven by multiplicative $\alpha$-stable processes. A key ingredient is the $L^1$-exponential contractivity estimate for the SDEs. The limiting process is a non-degenerate symmetric $\alpha$-stable process with an averaged Lévy measure.
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Probability

On the rigidity of sloped height functions in $d\ge 3$ and non-crossing surfaces

We consider integer-valued $\nabla\phi$ height functions, with general convex interactions, placed on a slope. Sheffield (2003) conjectured that for all slopes, such height functions are localized in dimensions $d\ge3$, in the sense of having tight fluctuations in finite volume, and admitting infinite-volume limits. We establish this conjecture when there are two coordinates on which the slope vector is zero and on which the interactions are even and low temperature. In this setting, we also prove the uniqueness, in the appropriate sense, of the infinite-volume limit and classify its extremal components. We further study the structural properties of the infinite-volume limit. We establish the entropic repulsion between macroscopic domain walls (boundaries of level sets), showing that they are maximally separated in a precise sense described by a rotation-of-the-circle dynamical system. Lastly, we show exponential decay of correlations in the extremal components. Our setup includes, as a special case, infinitely many zero-slope integer-valued surfaces (of dimension two or higher) conditioned not to cross. We deduce the existence and structural properties of the bulk Gibbs measure over such non-crossing surfaces with any given average spacing.
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