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Saturday 8 August

Algebraic Geometry · Cross-listed from math.NT

Equidistribution for semiabelian varieties over number fields

Kühne established equidistribution for canonical adelic line bundles on semiabelian varieties, a setting which need not lie in the quasi-canonical range of Yuan-Zhang's theorem. We study adelic line bundles on semiabelian compactifications whose toric part is governed by a toric metrized divisor. The main unconditional result is generic equidistribution when the toric metric is monocritical and arithmetically T-effective. The proof isolates the asymptotic estimates in Kühne's argument and reinterprets them as estimates along explicit compression paths. This gives a comparison mechanism between canonical, quasi-canonical, and more general toric metrics. For the Bogomolov application, the quasi-canonical case is handled by a Kühne local-trivialization transport package. After fixing a single theta-factor convention for the local trivializations, the proof checks the Picard-zero theta factors under Kühne's operations and obtains the Bogomolov theorem for the metric class treated in this paper, namely the monocritical and arithmetically T-effective toric metrics, through the quasi-canonical replacement argument.
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Algebraic Geometry · Cross-listed from math.DG

The sharp volume gap for Kähler manifolds with positive Ricci curvature

We prove a sharp volume gap estimate: if an $n$-dimensional compact Kähler manifold $(X, \omega)$ satisfies $\mathrm{Ric}(\omega)\ge (n+1)\omega$ and $X\not\cong \mathbb{P}^n$, then $\mathrm{vol}(X, \omega)\le \frac{2n^n}{(n+1)^n}\mathrm{vol}(\mathbb{P}^n,\omega_{\mathrm{FS}})=\frac{2^{n+1} \, \pi^n \, n^n}{(n+1)^n}$. Moreover $\mathrm{vol}(X, \omega)= \frac{2^{n+1} \, \pi^n \, n^n}{(n+1)^n}$ occurs if and only if $(X, \omega)$ is biholomorphically isometric to the Kähler-Einstein metric on the quadric hypersurface $Q^n$ or on the product $\mathbb{P}^1\times \mathbb{P}^{n-1}$. We also obtain sharp volume gap estimates for K-semistable toric log Fano pairs.
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Algebraic Geometry

Automorphisms of very general blow up

We show that if $X$ is a projective variety of dimension $\geq 2$ that is not a rational surface, then the blow up of $X$ at sufficiently many very general points has no nontrivial automorphism. Similar results were known before for $\mathbb{P}^2$ and $\mathbb{P}^3.$

Algebraic Geometry

A note on geometry of Bridgeland Moduli spaces on Gushel-Mukai threefolds

Let $X$ be a Gushel–Mukai threefold and let $\operatorname{Ku}(X)$ be its Kuznetsov component. We show that the Bridgeland moduli spaces of semistable objects in $\operatorname{Ku}(X)$ are normal. Moreover, under certain numerical conditions, if the numerical class is primitive and $X$ is general, we prove that the corresponding Bridgeland moduli space is integral.
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Algebraic Geometry

Deformations, local freeness, and base change for higher Du Bois singularities

We prove that strict higher Du Bois singularities are invariant under small deformations. Using this, we prove a base change theorem for the relative Du Bois complex with strict higher Du Bois fibers, answering a question of Kovács–Taji. We exhibit failures of deformation invariance and base change for $1$-Du Bois fibers, showing that the strictness condition is essentially sharp. We also generalize the local-freeness theorem of Friedman–Laza beyond the local complete intersection setting for families over an arbitrary base, and show the unobstructedness of deformations of strict-$1$-Du Bois canonical Calabi-Yau varieties.
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Algebraic Geometry

A remark on Banecki's theorem

J. Banecki proved that every smooth projective rational variety is algebraically elliptic in the sense of Gromov. Modifying his proof we show that the same is true for every smooth complete rational variety.

Algebraic Geometry

A complete classification of negative stringy Hodge numbers

The stringy $E$-function is a fundamental invariant of varieties with log-terminal singularities, which was introduced by Batyrev as a singular analogue of the Hodge–Deligne polynomial. Its coefficients (up to an appropriate sign) are the stringy Hodge numbers $h_{\mathrm{str}}^{p,q}(Y)$. We completely determine when these coefficients are universally non-negative:~for each triple $(n,p,q)$, we classify when $h_{\mathrm{str}}^{p,q}(Y)\geq 0$ for every projective Gorenstein canonical $n$-fold $Y$; we answer this question both when we assume $E_{\mathrm{str}}(Y;u,v)$ is a polynomial and when we drop this condition. As a consequence, we settle Batyrev's non-negativity conjecture in all dimensions:~it holds in dimensions at most $4$ and fails in every dimension at least $5$.
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Friday 7 August

Algebraic Geometry

Cartier crystals and dual-constructible $p$-torsion complexes

We show that given a Noetherian and $F$-finite scheme, the fixed point functor on Cartier crystals is fully faithful to the category of sheaves on the flat and relatively perfect site defined by Kato, and its essential image consists of the subcategory of dual-constructible sheaves, which we introduce.
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Algebraic Geometry · Cross-listed from math.CO

Solving polynomial inequalities over spaces of convex sets and applications

We develop a symbolic elimination theory for finite systems of recursive containment inequalities whose unknowns are convex subsets of a finite-dimensional real vector space. The right-hand sides are formal expressions generated from variables and parameters by convex linear combinations, finite union, and a positive geometric join encoding strict convex combinations. We prove that every parameter assignment has a unique smallest convex-set-valued solution and give a finite Gaussian-elimination-type procedure that eliminates the unknowns while preserving this solution and produces parameter-only expressions for its coordinate sets. More generally, let $\mathcal B$ be a family of subsets containing $\emptyset$ and closed under finite unions, nonnegative dilation, Minkowski sums, positive geometric joins, and convex hulls. If all parameter sets lie in $\mathcal B$, then every coordinate set of the smallest solution lies in $\mathcal B$; when these operations are effective, so is the resulting description. In particular, if the parameters are finite unions of hemihedra—where a hemihedron is a bounded convex semi-linear set, equivalently a convex finite union of relative interiors of polytopes—then each coordinate set is a hemihedron and admits a quantifier-free semi-linear description. We apply this theory to lamination hulls. For \[ V=U\oplus\bigoplus_{i=1}^{k}W_i,\qquad \dim W_i=1,\qquad \Lambda=\bigcup_{i=1}^{k}(U+W_i), \] we prove that the lamination hull $G_{\Lambda}^{(\infty)}(S)$ of every finite $S\subset V$ is semi-algebraic and effectively computable by a quantifier-free formula over the reals.
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All authors Saugata Basu, Hamidreza Amini Khorasgani, Hemanta K. Maji, Hai H. Nguyen

Algebraic Geometry · Cross-listed from math.DS

Brehm-Wintner-Conley Dimension, Plücker Coordinates, and Generalized Dziobek-Williams Equations for Central Configurations

We develop an algebraic framework for central configurations of the $n$-body problem with homogeneous potentials, grounded in the exterior algebra of the configuration space and the normalized shifted Brehm–Wintner–Conley (BWC) matrix $S$. Relating the kernel of $S$ to the Plücker coordinates of the configuration, we generalize the determinantal equations obtained by Williams (1938) for the planar five-body problem to central configurations of any dimension and any number of bodies, and derive the Dziobek–Williams equations $\det(S_I^J)=\kappa\, z_I z_J$, which exhibit the compound matrix $S^{(t)}$ as a rank-one matrix. Introducing the Brehm–Wintner–Conley dimension $\operatorname{bwc}(x)=\operatorname{rank}(S)$ (an integer invariant that stratifies central configurations and measures vertical degeneracy), together with the Plücker–BWC coordinates attached to it, we prove that each stratum of central configurations with fixed dimension and Brehm–Wintner–Conley dimension admits a base-point-free map into a Veronese variety, factoring through a Grassmannian invariant; on the Dziobek stratum this recovers the Dziobek–Veronese geometry previously introduced by the author. We further describe universal determinantal relations satisfied by the minors of $S$ and expand explicitly the resulting systems for the planar five- and six-body problems. We also interpret the mass-weighted entries of $S$ as an equilibrium stress: under the MacMillan–Bartky sign condition a strictly convex central configuration underlies a cable–strut tensegrity, and a theorem of Connelly then forces $S$ to be negative semidefinite with nullity three, so that vertical degeneracy cannot occur in this regime.
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Algebraic Geometry

Disconnected multigraded Hilbert schemes on $\mathbb{P}^2\times\mathbb{P}^1$

We exhibit an infinite family of disconnected multigraded Hilbert schemes on the biprojective space $\mathbb{P}^2_{\mathbb{k}} \times_\mathbb{k} \mathbb{P}^1_{\mathbb{k}}$. More precisely, for any integer $a \ge 2$ and $p_a(z_1,z_2) = 2az_1+az_2+3a-2a^2 \in \mathbb{Q}[z_1,z_2]$, the multigraded Hilbert scheme ${\rm Hilb}_{p_a}(\mathbb{P}^2_{\mathbb{k}}\times_\mathbb{k} \mathbb{P}^1_{\mathbb{k}})$ is disconnected. As a consequence, there exist infinitely many disconnected Haiman-Sturmfels multigraded Hilbert schemes even for a standard bigrading on a polynomial ring in only five variables.
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Algebraic Geometry

Mirrors to toric degenerations via intrinsic mirror symmetry

We explore the connection between two mirror constructions in Gross-Siebert mirror symmetry: toric degeneration mirror symmetry (arXiv:1212.4220, arXiv:math/0309070, arXiv:0709.2290, arXiv:math/0703822) and intrinsic mirror symmetry (arXiv:1909.07649, arXiv:2105.02502). After briefly exploring the case of degenerations of elliptic curves, we show that the Gross-Siebert mirror construction for minimal relative log Calabi-Yau degenerations generalizes that for divisorial toric degenerations $\bar{\mathfrak{X}} \to \mathcal{S}$ of K3-s that have a smooth generic fibre. We achieve this by constructing a resolution of $\bar{\mathfrak{X}} \to \mathcal{S}$ to a relative minimal log Calabi-Yau degeneration $\mathfrak{X} \to \mathcal{S}$ and comparing the algorithmic scattering diagram $\bar{\mathfrak{D}}$ giving rise to the toric degeneration mirror $\check{\bar{\mathfrak{X}}}$ and the canonical scattering diagram $\mathfrak{D}$ giving rise to the intrinsic mirror $\check{\mathfrak{X}}$. Moreover, we vastly expand the construction and obtain a correspondence between the restriction of the intrinsic mirror to the (numerical) minimal relative Gross-Siebert locus and the universal toric degeneration mirror. We also discuss generalizing the results to higher dimensions. In particular, we construct log smooth resolutions for a natural family of toric degenerations of Calabi-Yau threefolds.
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Algebraic Geometry · Cross-listed from hep-th

Tilting Mutations and Quiver-Invariant Dualities in Brane Tilings

Quiver-invariant dualities relate distinct 4d N=1 supersymmetric gauge theories that arise as worldvolume theories on a D3-brane probing the same toric Calabi-Yau 3-fold. These dual theories share an identical quiver and differ only in their superpotentials. We show that quiver-invariant dualities are realized by tilting mutations on the brane tilings that realize these theories. Among the 42 toric phases of the H1121 model, we identify three general families of tilting mutations, all characterized by the reversal of the orientations of zig-zag paths within the mutation region of the brane tiling. We present new examples of quiver-invariant dualities, given by five doublets and one triplet of toric phases with identical quivers, for which we verify that the brane tilings related by the tilting mutations correspond to the same toric Calabi-Yau 3-fold H1121.
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Algebraic Geometry

Real morsifications via the trace map

We prove that every reduced real plane curve singularity admits a real morsification. This settles a question of A'Campo and Gusein-Zade, later stated as conjectures by Leviant–Shustin and by Fomin–Pylyavskyy–Shustin–Thurston. In particular we overcome the main obstruction that remained posed by conjugate pairs of nonreal branches. Our new main ingredient is a construction that produces the divide from a nodal smoothing of two normalization disks. This is what we call the trace map. For real branches, it recovers Gusein-Zade's construction using Chebyshev polynomials. For pairs of complex conjugate branches with distinct tangents, the construction gives an explicit formula for the divide in terms of the Puiseux data. The general method consists in a delicate combination of the trace map with A'Campo's translations and contractions to produce divides and real morsifications for all reduced real plane curve singularities.
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Algebraic Geometry · Cross-listed from math.NT

Modularity of Higher Theta Series III: Proof of the Modularity Conjecture

We prove the Modularity Conjecture for higher theta series on moduli stacks of Hermitian shtukas. For general linear shtukas, we establish a more refined phenomenon that we call supermodularity. As a key input, we prove the Trace Conjecture for Hitchin stacks of low corank, realizing virtual fundamental classes of special cycles as categorical traces.
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Algebraic Geometry

The cohomology groups of finite cyclic covers of complexified real arrangement complements

In this paper, we study the cohomology groups of finite cyclic covers of complexified real arrangement complements. An open problem is whether the torsion in the (co)homology of finite covering spaces of hyperplane arrangement complements, including the classical Milnor fiber, is combinatorially determined. Using the chamber cochain complex constructed by Yoshinaga, we obtain explicit upper bounds for the Betti numbers of these covers over arbitrary fields. Furthermore, we introduce a combinatorial condition analogous to the Cohen-Dimca-Orlik (CDO) condition. Under this condition, we prove that the integral cohomology groups of the finite cyclic covers are torsion-free. This partially generalizes the recent results on complex line arrangements obtained by the author and Liu \cite[Theorem 1.3]{LX26}.
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Algebraic Geometry

The logarithmic $h$- and $v$-topologies

We introduce the $h$- and $v$-topologies in the context of logarithmic geometry and discuss their applications to log étale cohomology, log differential forms, and log motives.

Algebraic Geometry

The basic tropical polynomials generate the semifield of $r$-symmetric tropical rational functions

Let the symmetric group $S_n$ act on the space of $n \times r$ real matrices by permuting rows, so orbits are multisets of $n$ points in $\mathbb{R}^r$. The basic $r$-symmetric tropical polynomials form a family of $\binom{n+r}{r}-1$ nonconstant invariants of degree at most $n$ that separates orbits and embeds the orbit space bi-Lipschitzly. We prove that this family generates the semifield of all $r$-symmetric tropical rational functions, answering a question raised in [J. Pure Appl. Algebra 223 (2019) 72-85]. Derksen showed that the invariant semifield of any permutation group $G \le S_N$ is generated in degree at most $N p_1 \cdots p_{|G|}$ ($p_i$ the $i$th prime), which for the row action is $nr p_1 \cdots p_{n!}$; the present result replaces this by generators of degree at most $n$. The generating expression is a finite minimum over the ways of re-assembling a multiset from its sorted columns, with penalties from the basic values that, via the bi-Lipschitz inequality, dominate a wrong re-assembly. The same penalties describe the image of the basic coordinate map as the zero set of a single tropical rational function and yield an expression algorithm. Subfamilies of the basic family containing the single-column values generate if and only if they separate. For any permutation group $G \le S_N$ the same mechanism generates the invariant semifield in degree at most $\max\{N, \binom{N}{2}\}$, a quadratic bound independent of the group order; combined with a genericity theorem of Cahill, Iverson, Mixon, and Packer, it yields $2N+1$ invariant tropical polynomials that separate orbits and $3N$ that generate, with at least $N$ necessary for each task. The quadratic bound is optimal: every $A_N$-invariant tropical polynomial of degree less than $\binom{N}{2}$ is $S_N$-invariant, so every separating family for the alternating group $A_N$ contains a member of degree at least $\binom{N}{2}$.
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Algebraic Geometry

A Deep Dive Into the Tangent Category of Schemes

In this largely expository paper we provide a deep and explicit exploration and exposition of the tangent structure on the category of schemes $\mathbf{Sch}_{/S}$ whose tangent functor $T(X) = T_{X/S}$ is the relative tangent scheme of Grothendieck described in \emphÉléments de Géométrie Algébrique} 4. In particular we provide explicit descriptions of the ways that the bifibration of quasicoherent sheaves and bifbration of quesicoherent sheaves of algebras over schemes may be built from the ways in which the bifibrations of modules and commutative algebras over commutative rings interact. We also show the ways in which these interactions give rise to an explicit description of the standard tangent structure on the category of schemes in terms of sheaves of Kähler differentials, properties of the relative spectrum functor, and more. Finally, we show that quasi-coherent sheaves can be reconstructed from their category of differential bundles by showing that for quasi-separated schemes $X$ and $Y$, there is an isomorphism $X \cong Y$ if and only if there is an equivalence of categories $\mathbf{DBun}(X) \simeq \mathbf{DBun}(Y)$.
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Algebraic Geometry · Cross-listed from math.RT

A combinatorial rule for $GL$-multiplicities of $A_n$-quiver loci

We give the first positive combinatorial rule for the multiplicities of irreducible $GL$-representations in the coordinate rings of type $A$ quiver orbit closures, valid for every orientation of the quiver. Previously, for the special case of varieties of complexes, work of De Concini–Strickland in the early 1980s gave an implicit description of these multiplicities. The combinatorial objects in our rule carry a crystal structure whose highest-weight elements compute these multiplicities.
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Thursday 6 August

Algebraic Geometry

Cohomology Vanishing, Koszul Cohomology and Multigraded Regularity on Projective Varieties

In this article, we prove a general cohomology vanishing theorem on arbitrary projective varieties within the framework of multigraded Castelnuovo–Mumford regularity. In particular, we apply this vaishing theorem to prove the vanishing of Koszul cohomology groups $K_{p,q}(X;F,L)$, where $L=B_1^{w_1}\otimes\cdots\otimes B_t^{w_t}$, the line bundles $B_1,\ldots,B_t$ are globally generated, and $F$ is a vector bundle. We also introduce the $K_{p,q}$-hierarchy, providing a unified perspective on the vanishing criteria for Properties $(N_{p})$ and $(M_{q})$ while shedding light on the vanishing of mixed-weight syzygies. These results generalize earlier work in \cite{HeringSchenckSmith}, \cite{GallegoPurnaprajnaII}, and \cite{Basu}. Furthermore, we give a complete description of minimal multigraded regularities of line bundles on arbitrary products of projective spaces. We also recover Green's vanishing theorem for projective space via a direct regularity argument, giving an alternative proof. Finally, we compute the complete graded Betti table of the canonical image of a hyperelliptic curve by combining our vanishing theorem with Green's duality.
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Algebraic Geometry

Projective Foliations with a Unique Singular Point and Maximum Algebraic Multiplicity

The study of codimension-one holomorphic foliations on the projective plane $\mathbb{CP}^{2}$ with a unique singular point has attracted increasing interest because of its connections with several important problems. In this paper, we focus on holomorphic foliations of degree $d$ having a singular point of maximal multiplicity $d$. We describe explicitly the foliations in this class and characterize those having a unique singular point. We also state some results concerning Hilbert-Mumford stability for these foliations.
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Algebraic Geometry

Initial Ideals, Low-degree Foliations and the Hilbert Scheme of Points on $\mathbb{CP}^{2}$: A First Approach

The holomorphic foliations of degree $d$ on $\mathbb{CP}^{2}$ with isolated singularities are determined by their singular subschemes, which correspond to elements in the Hilbert Scheme of $N=d^{2}+d+1$ points. In this paper, we analyze the affine varieties parametrized by a partition of $N=7$ that cover the Hilbert Scheme of seven points, with the property that the Hilbert function of the elements in these affine varieties corresponds to that of holomorphic foliation of degree $d=2$. Moreover, we present some results for degree $3$.
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Algebraic Geometry

A note on the self-intersection of rational unicuspidal curve with one Puiseux pair

For any $(p,q)$, we proved the existence of a rational unicuspidal curve with one Puiseux pair $(p,q)$ in an algebraic surface, with a self-intersection which realizes the upper bound $m_{p,q}$ conjectured by the first-named author in \cite{C}, thus strengthening the symplectic version of the result in \cite{C}. These “optimal" curves were obtained by examining two infinite families of rational bicuspidal curves, one in $CP^2$ and one in $CP^1\times CP^1$. In order to facilitate the computations, we derived certain recursive identities, and as a byproduct, we obtained a new formula for the bound $m_{p,q}$, which is more amenable to computations and gives us better insight concerning the nature of the bound. As a byproduct of this investigation, a formula for the last entry of the multiplicity sequence of the singularity was also found.
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Algebraic Geometry · Cross-listed from math.QA

A Kohno–Drinfeld Theorem for iquantum Weyl groups

We prove that two finite-dimensional linear representations of the braid group are isomorphic. One representation comes from the monodromy of the boundary Casimir connection, and the other comes from the $\iota$quantum Weyl group. Both representations are defined for any split symmetric pair $\mathfrak{k}\subset \mathfrak{g}$ and for any integrable representation of $\mathfrak{k}$. Our proof uses $(O_m,\mathfrak{so}_{2n})$ spin Howe duality, so it is only for the pair $\mathfrak{so}_m\subset \mathfrak{sl}_m$.
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Algebraic Geometry · Cross-listed from hep-th

New symplectic singularities from $SU(2)$ gauge theories

Families of $\mathrm{Sp}(1)\simeq\mathrm{SU}(2)$ gauge theories with eight supercharges are found to have a Higgs branch which is an isolated symplectic singularity. These are, in some sense, the most “minimal” gauge theories as they only Higgs to a trivial theory. The matter content is $N$ fundamental half-hypermultiplets and one half-hypermultiplet in the $\mathrm{Sym}^k$ representation where $k=1,3,5,7$. The cases of $k=1,3$ reproduce the known Kraft–Procesi construction for minimal nilpotent orbit closures of $\mathrm{SO}(N+1)$ and the $g\mathrm{SO}(N)$ singularities of \cite{Bourget:2025wsp}, respectively. The cases $k=5,7$ are new isolated symplectic singularities which are termed $h\mathrm{SO}(N)$ and $i\mathrm{SO}(N)$, respectively. The classification of these isolated symplectic singularities is argued for through the Higgs mechanism, with Hilbert series and highest weight generating (HWG) functions computed for some cases. Each of the $g\mathrm{SO}(N)$, $h\mathrm{SO}(N)$, and $i\mathrm{SO}(N)$ families has a (quaternionic) one-dimensional member; these are the Klein $A_3$, $E_6$, and $E_8$ singularities, respectively. Our construction hence provides realisations of these Klein singularities as Higgs branches (hyper-Kähler quotients) of $\mathrm{Sp}(1)$ gauge theories, complementary to Kronheimer's construction \cite{Kronheimer:1989zs} using the $\widehat A_3$, $\widehat E_6$, and $\widehat E_8$ affine quivers. The Klein $E_7$ singularity is also realised as a Higgs branch (hyper-Kähler quotient) of an $\mathrm{Sp}(1)\times\mathrm{O}(1)$ gauge theory.
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All authors Amihay Hanany, Guhesh Kumaran, Deshuo Liu, Travis Schedler

Algebraic Geometry

Stability of kernel bundles on projective bundles over curves

Let $X$ be a projective bundle over a smooth curve $C$ of genus $g \ge 3$, and consider the relative hyperplane bundle ${\mathcal O}_X (1) \to X$. Let $V \subseteq H^0 ( X , {\mathcal O}_X (1) )$ be a generating subspace. We prove that when $C$, $X$ and $V$ are general in moduli and ${\mathcal O}_X (1)$ is sufficiently ample, the kernel bundle of the system $({\mathcal O}_X (1) , V)$ is ${\mathcal O}_X (1)$-stable.
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Algebraic Geometry · Cross-listed from math.NT

The good reduction of generalized Kummer surfaces in the non-supersingular case

In this article, we study the good reduction of generalized Kummer surfaces, which are K3 surfaces obtained as minimal resolutions of quotients of abelian surfaces by finite groups. In particular, we establish a criterion for good reduction when the abelian surface has non-supersingular reduction and the group is cyclic. This extends the result of Lazda and Skorobogatov on Kummer surfaces.
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Algebraic Geometry

The graded Betti numbers are not tropical invariants

We show that the graded Betti numbers are not invariants of the tropicalisation of a homogeneous ideal, or the tropicalisation of a projective algebraic scheme over a valued field. We do this by producing a family of saturated ideals that all realise the same tropical ideal with one member having a distinct Betti table from the rest.
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Algebraic Geometry

Frobenius-orbit slicing and uniform elimination of positive-dimensional singular loci

Let $\cX\subseteq\Pj^n_{\Z}$ be a fixed integral quasiprojective subscheme, smooth over $\Z$ of relative dimension $r$. For each fixed $m\ge1$, we bound the probability that the $m$th principal-parts jet of the restriction of a uniform degree-$d$ form to $\cX_p$ has a positive-dimensional zero scheme. The bound is $C(d+1)^{N_m}p^{-\lambda_m(d)}$, where $N_m=\binom{r+m}{m}$ and $\lambda_m(d)=\floor{m(d+1)/(m+1)}$. For $m=1$, this gives the Bertini singular-locus estimate $C(d+1)^{r+1}p^{-\ceil{d/2}}$. It settles Poonen's arithmetic Bertini Conjecture~5.2 and, after increasing the degree threshold, yields $p^{-A}$ for every fixed $A>0$. For $c\le r$ independent hypersurfaces, the probability of a positive-dimensional Jacobian rank-degeneracy locus is bounded both by $C\sum_i(d_i+1)^{r+1}p^{-\ceil{d_i/2}}$ and by $C'(d_{\min}+1)^{r+1}p^{-\ceil{d_{\min}/2}}$. The proof uses filtered $Q$-adic decompositions, triangular normal Taylor blocks, and Jacobian-pivot charts of uniformly controlled complexity.
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