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Physics Astrophysics High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

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Sunday 4 October

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

Fast Bayesian Updating of the Neutron-Star Equation of State with Neural Posterior and Evidence Estimation

We present two complementary neural routes for microscopic neutron-star EOS inference: truncated sequential neural posterior estimation with mixture importance sampling (TSNPE+MIS), which targets one observation, and amortized neural posterior estimation with importance sampling (A-NET+IS), which is reused across nuclear inputs and NICER sources. Both are corrected against the original prior and full likelihood, with the effective sample size as a diagnostic. We test nucleonic and hyperonic relativistic mean-field models with nuclear data, NICER, GW170817, and pQCD. For the fiducial analyses, both agree with UltraNest in the parameter posteriors and 90% mass-radius and tidal-deformability bands. TSNPE+MIS band-edge differences are only 0.024-0.033 km and 1.02-1.03%, while A-NET+IS differences are 0.019-0.050 km and 0.86-1.13%. TSNPE+MIS reduces the computing time by factors of 1.6-2.3; after training, A-NET+IS is 15-240 times faster per configuration. The frozen A-NET also analyzes three NICER sources absent from training, including the newly reported high-mass, compact PSR J1614-2230 posterior. For this source, the inferred $R_{1.4}$ agrees with UltraNest within 0.010 km for nucleonic matter and 0.009 km for hyperonic matter. We also introduce a Green-function Evidence Network (EN), a regression-based variant of Evidence Networks and, to our knowledge, the first Evidence Network applied to neutron-star EOS inference. After a one-time cost, its network queries return absolute evidences in about 0.03 s for new nuclear data and 3.5 s for a new NICER source; all 16 differences from UltraNest are below $1\sigma$, and independent importance-sampling evidences agree within the quoted EN uncertainties. Under the adopted likelihood, both evidence calculations favor nucleonic matter by Bayes factors of about 22:1-27:1.
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Saturday 3 October

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Cross-listed from gr-qc

The pseudospectrum for gravitational perturbations in Kerr spacetimes

We study the pseudospectrum of the Kerr black hole for gravitational perturbations with spin weight $s=2$, the case of greatest interest in gravitational-wave astronomy. In the hyperboloidal framework with two-dimensional Chebyshev collocation, we formulate the quasinormal mode problem as a non-self-adjoint eigenvalue problem. For $s\neq0$ the fields $\Psi^{(s)}$ and $\Psi^{(-s)}$ are independent, so the conserved current method yields no single-field energy norm. We overcome this with the Teukolsky–Starobinsky identities, which relate $\Psi^{(-2)}$ to a fourth-order operator on $\Psi^{(2)}$ and yield an $H^2$ energy norm after symmetrization. With the $H^1$ norm known for $s=0$, this suggests the pattern $H^{|s|}$, verified for $s=0$ and $s=2$. All results use an $\omega$-independent two-field hierarchy. We find that the pseudospectrum tightens by $1.1$ to $3.5$ decades at each step of $L^2\to H^1\to H^2$, yet stays large in every norm. The $s=+2$ and $s=-2$ operators are isospectral but not isopseudospectral: at twelve of fourteen probes the $\psi_0$ resolvent exceeds the $\psi_4$ one by $0.19$ to $0.82$ decades in the $H^2$ norm, while at the two probes furthest along the QNM line the ordering reverses by $0.18$ to $0.19$ decades. The gravitational pseudospectrum exceeds the scalar one by $0.5$ to $5.2$ decades in the window minimum and by $5.9$ decades in $L^2$ at $\omega M=0.47-0.17\,i$, while along the damping direction the $s=2$ resolvent is non-monotonic and the $s=0$ resolvent smooth. QNM spectral instability is therefore a universal feature of Kerr, and is stronger for gravitational perturbations.
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High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

Jets with Streaks: the Global Dynamics and Structure of Striped Poynting flux dominated Jets

Striped jets, characterized by magnetically dominated regions with alternating polarity, can enable fast magnetic energy dissipation in global current sheets formed in between the stripes, and are thus considered as a viable source for the high-energy emission observed in blazars and gamma-ray burst prompt emission. We perform the first global axisymmetric GRMHD simulations that follow the evolution of striped jets from their launching, by accretion of poloidal magnetic loops with alternating polarity onto a spinning black-hole, to their energy dissipation at large distances. The accretion of each loop launches a Poynting-flux-dominated mini-jet carrying a helical magnetic field whose polarity is inherited from the loop, and the collection of which forms the jet core. The relativistic core is surrounded by a non-relativistic sheath composed of returning fieldlines from previously launched mini-jets in a nested configuration. Efficient mini-jet launching requires poloidal loops in the accretion disk to form close to the black hole ($r \lesssim 50\,r_g$); otherwise, they lose coherency due to turbulence. Once launched, the mini-jets accelerate electromagnetically, similar to steady-state jets, with the Lorentz factor increasing linearly with the jet cross-sectional radius as long as lateral causal contact with the jet axis is maintained. Current sheets form when two trailing mini-jets carrying oppositely directed magnetic fields come into contact. Early sheet formation is facilitated by the longitudinal expansion of the mini-jets, driven by internal pressure before the flow becomes super-fast-magnetosonic. We measure an energy dissipation rate of a few tens of percent of the jet Poynting power in the observer frame, within our simulation box of $10^4\,r_g$. Our results can account for the bright superluminal features observed in BL Lac type blazars.
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All authors Ho-Sang Chan, Anna Chashkina, Omer Bromberg, Gregory R. Werner, Hayk Hakobyan

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

Revisiting damping of Alfvén waves in partially ionized plasmas

We investigate the damping rate of Alfvén waves by means of the linear analysis of the two-fluid ten-moments system. To treat effects of viscosity in a wide frequency range, we take account of the time evolution of the traceless part of the pressure tensor. In addition, to treat effects of viscosity in a wide range of the ionization degree, we consider interactions between hydrogen atoms and between protons and hydrogen atoms in the equation of the traceless part of the pressure tensor. We find approximate analytical solutions to the dispersion relation for some limits. Our analysis in the low-frequency limit shows that the viscous damping dominates over the frictional damping in the high-beta plasma, which is independent of the ionization degree. Therefore, the viscosity of hydrogen gas significantly affects cosmic-ray propagation in a partially ionized high-beta plasma.
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High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

A Vortex Avalanche Model for Pulsar Glitches

Pulsar glitches are thought to involve sudden unpinning and fast transport of large numbers of pinned vortices, possibly triggered by breaking of the neutron star crust solid. Such a vortex avalanche can take place on a fast timescale only if there are pathways for fast vortex motion. Formation of local vortex “traps” (regions containing larger than average density of pinned vortices) will provide vortex-free regions surrounding the traps, which can connect to form pathways for fast vortex motion. We propose a simple two-dimensional model for the neutron star crust superfluid, with the vortex pinning landscape tiled into traps and surrounding vortex-free regions which can connect to azimuthal pathways for fast vortex motion. The trap and tile sizes are estimated from the physics of the crust solid and vortex pinning, namely the critical strain angle of the crust solid and the critical velocity for vortex unpinning. Unpinned vortices move with the superfluid flow in the azimuthal direction while also scattering radially outward, by a small angle, due to mutual friction. The model qualitatively explains the glitch parameters and their evolution in young pulsars and provides an explanation for the bi-modality in the distribution of glitch magnitudes. Laboratory experiments and simulations on vortex systems with spatially inhomogeneous vortex pinning landscapes are likely to be more realistic models for pulsar glitches. Breaking the spatial scale-invariance and monitoring the results may also lead to better understanding of collective behaviour in pinned vortex systems in general.
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High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

Fast X-ray Transient EP260321a: Shock Breakout through an Extended Circumstellar Matter

The Einstein Probe (EP) has discovered a fast X-ray transient, EP260321a, whose optical counterpart was subsequently classified as a broad-lined Type Ic supernova. Its observed rise time of about 690 seconds is inconsistent with theoretical predictions for shock breakout (SBO) from a Wolf-Rayet star, which is typically regarded as the progenitor of envelope-stripped supernovae. In this paper, we propose that EP260321a arose from a SBO within extended circumstellar matter (CSM), where breakout photons were initially trapped, then diffused out of the unshocked CSM as the ejecta expanded and the opacity decreased. We modeled this photon diffusion process using both Monte Carlo simulations and an analytical approach to describe the temperature evolution. Through Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling, we obtain the best-fit CSM parameters of log10(Mcsm/Msun) = -3.3 for the total CSM mass, Rin = 160 Rsun for the inner CSM radius, and Rout = 612 Rsun for the outer CSM radius. The presence of such a dense CSM indicates that the progenitor of EP260321a underwent episodic mass loss just days before the explosion, providing new observational constraints on the late-stage evolution of massive stars.
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High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

The fading superorbital clock of Hercules X-1 in its 2025–2026 extended low state

We present two decades of X-ray monitoring of the eclipsing accreting pulsar Hercules X-1 with Fermi/GBM, Swift/BAT and MAXI/GSC, centred on the extended low state (ELS) that began in 2025 May (the first such event in 22 years) and is still ongoing at the time of writing, $\sim$480~d after its onset. The 35-d superorbital clock does not simply stop in the ELS; it fades. The surviving modulation stays phase-locked to the pre-ELS clock until the flux of the main high state (the bright phase of the 35-d cycle) has decayed to a few per cent of its normal level. The in-phase coherence is then lost, around 2026 January–March. We classify the pre-ELS pulse-frequency history into three torque states: spin-up, spin-down and flat. The spin derivative correlates positively with the main-high hard X-ray flux (Pearson $r\simeq0.7$), and the ELS hosts the longest sustained spin-down of the record, $\dot{\nu}\approx-4.7\times10^{-13}$~Hz~s$^{-1}$ over the $\gtrsim$380~d of \fer/GBM coverage. The 8–50 keV pulse-profile morphology is statistically indistinguishable across the torque states at fixed superorbital phase, and the shape parameters show no secular drift over the 18-yr record. These results show that the precessing warped accretion disc keeps its rhythm while the pulsar fades from direct view: the clock keeps its phase, the torque keeps tracking the accretion flux, and the beam keeps its shape. No free precession of the neutron star is required by the current monitoring data.
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All authors Zhenxuan Liao, Xinrui Tie, Yufeng Chi, Guanjun Lin

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

Dark matter in neutron stars: two-fluid $f$-mode oscillations in full general relativity

A dark-matter core and a soft nuclear equation of state can produce similar mass–radius signatures, motivating a complementary probe through the $f$-mode spectrum. We compute quadrupolar $f$-mode frequencies and gravitational-wave damping times in full general relativity for cold, nonrotating neutron stars admixed with self-interacting bosonic dark matter (DM). Our two-fluid survey spans 21 nuclear equations of state covering nucleonic, hyperonic, $\Delta$-admixed, and combined hyperon–$\Delta$ compositions at $F_{\rm DM}=1$–$20\%$. The main sequences use $\lambda=\pi$ and boson masses of $500$ and $100\,\mathrm{MeV}$ for the core and halo studies, respectively. Independent normal-matter (NM) and DM displacements couple through the metric, yielding NM-led and DM-led $f$-mode branches whose radiative damping is determined by outgoing-wave boundary conditions. At $1.4\,M_\odot$, the core DM-led damping time decreases from order $10^3\,\mathrm{s}$ at $F_{\rm DM}=1\%$ to order $1\,\mathrm{s}$ at $20\%$, approximately following an empirical $F_{\rm DM}^{-2}$ dependence, while NM-led damping times remain within $0.12$–$0.33\,\mathrm{s}$. Halo DM-led damping instead increases with dark fraction: at the same stellar mass and $F_{\rm DM}=20\%$, dark radii approach $88\,\mathrm{km}$, frequencies fall to $0.14\,\mathrm{kHz}$, and damping times reach approximately $450\,\mathrm{s}$. Selected high-mass core sequences exhibit strong DM-led damping-time upturns not reproduced by the leading mass-quadrupole diagnostic. Representative core calculations show greater DM-led sensitivity to the bosonic self-coupling and retain both branches at $\ell=3$. Under the adopted nonrotating, circular-binary prescriptions, no evaluated configuration satisfies all geometric and perturbative conditions for a controlled linear tidal resonance.
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Friday 2 October

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

Classification of X-ray Binaries in NGC 6946 with the use of Multiwavelength Data

We identified X-ray binary (XRB) candidates in the galaxy NGC 6946 using archival Chandra data. A total of 98 XRB candidates were detected within the 0.3$-$8 keV energy range, with luminosities between 10$^{36}$ and 10$^{40}$ erg~s$^{-1}$. X-ray color-color diagrams were constructed for these sources, classifying 57 as high-mass X-ray binaries (HMXBs) and 8 as low-mass X-ray binaries (LMXBs). The X-ray temporal variability of the sources was analyzed, revealing that 40 sources exhibit variability and 26 are classified as transient sources. Possible optical counterparts for 57 sources were identified using Hubble Space Telescope (HST) images. Based on the color-magnitude diagrams (CMDs), 40 sources were found to have masses greater than 8M$_{\odot}$ and were classified as HMXBs. Seventeen sources with masses between 5 and 8M$_{\odot}$ were classified as intermediate-mass X-ray binaries (IMXBs). The remaining sources, for which optical counterparts could not be identified, were assumed to be LMXBs. The X-ray luminosity functions (XLFs) derived for HMXBs and LMXBs, identified through both X-ray and optical classification, were best described by a single power-law model ($\alpha \sim$ 1.3$-$1.6). We supplemented traditional classification methods with a machine learning (ML) approach based on multiwavelength photometry. While traditional methods identified no AGN candidates, the ML approach detected a significant AGN population. The spatial resolution of the observing instruments and the limits of the training database hinder the reliability of the ML classifications, thus highlighting a key challenge in combining these methods for extragalactic X-ray source
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All authors Senay Avdan, Hasan Avdan, Eda Sonbas, Kalvir S. Dhuga

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

Relaxation of a Vlasov gas to an inhomogeneous state due to phase space mixing in an axisymmetric potential: A Newtonian analogy of the Kerr orbital motion

We explore the dynamics of a Vlasov gas propagating in an external axisymmetric potential consisting of a central potential with an additional quadrupolar component which gives rise to two potential wells along the symmetry axis. Employing independently $N$-particle simulations and statistical methods, we show that an initially homogeneous and isotropic configuration evolves to an inhomogeneous final state with overdensities located at the wells. The quadrupolar component is chosen such that the equations of motion form an integrable Hamiltonian system, which allows one to compute the final state of the gas analytically. On the one hand, this allows one to compare the late-time behaviour of the simulations with an analytic prediction and on the other hand to understand the relaxation process through phase space mixing. Our model constitutes a Newtonian analogue of the particle motion in a Kerr spacetime, and we discuss possible applications to recently observed astrophysical phenomena.
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All authors Ana Laura García-Perciante, Merce Guerrero, Darío Núñez, Olivier Sarbach

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

Observed x-ray spectral indices support magnetic buoyancy sourced coronae in Seyfert active galactic nuclei

Standard radiation spectra modeling of active galactic nuclei like Seyfert galaxies typically involves tuning the relative contributions from an optically thick disc, optically thin corona, dust torus, and outflow by hand to match observations. The physics that quantifies this relative partitioning is not precisely understood. Here we make progress toward improving this understanding by testing the implications of a conceptual paradigm that the corona is supplied from below only by magnetic fields whose scales are large enough to escape turbulent shredding on their buoyant rise time. We use a generalized mean field accretion disc theory that includes both local radial angular momentum transport and angular momentum transport into a corona. We then use previous numerical simulations of magnetized turbulent accretion disc energy spectra to connect the fraction of disc magnetic energy that would escape to the fraction of coronal to total luminosity. Without explicitly calculating detailed particle acceleration and radiative processes, we assume that the disc radiation spectrum is thermal and the coronal radiation spectrum is a power law. We then show that the aforementioned paradigm for corona formation constrains the allowed x-ray power law index to a narrow range which agrees with observations. For the three AGNs studied here the predicted mean photon index is $\overline{\Gamma}=1.76$, consistent with the mean observed value of $\overline{\Gamma}_{\rm obs}=1.73$, bolstering confidence in the paradigm.
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High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

A concordance model of neutron star kicks

Neutron stars (NSs) receive natal kicks during supernovae that affect their survival in binaries and motion through the Galaxy. The global distribution of these kick velocities across the NS population remains uncertain. Here, we combine the orbital properties and birth rates of Gaia NS and Be+NS binaries with velocity constraints from young isolated pulsars to construct a concordance model of NS natal kicks. We find that all three populations can be jointly described by a shared bimodal kick distribution. The low-velocity component follows a lognormal distribution with $\mu_{\ln v}=1.87^{+0.65}_{-0.53}$ and $\sigma_{\ln v}=0.55^{+0.85}_{-0.44}$, corresponding to a median speed of $6.5^{+5.9}_{-2.7}~{\rm km~s^{-1}}$. The high-velocity component is consistent with the distribution inferred from young pulsars, which peaks near $200~{\rm km~s^{-1}}$. The low-velocity component contributes only $\sim10\%$ of all NS births, but produces most Gaia NS binaries and roughly half of Be+NS binaries. The same model predicts systemic recoil velocities consistent with the observed kinematics of Gaia NSs, Be+NS binaries, and NS low-mass X-ray binaries. For Gaia NSs, whose formation history remains unknown, we use this kick distribution to constrain their progenitors. We favor pre-supernova binaries containing intermediate-mass stripped stars with $\sim1~{\rm M_\odot}$ companions in au-scale orbits, and predict $\sim300$ such binaries in the Milky Way today, $\sim40$ in the LMC, and $\sim30$ in the SMC. Finally, we consider the implications of these kicks for NSs in hierarchical triples. We find that 2-10$\%$ of Gaia NS triples and 3-23$\%$ of Be+NS triples retain their tertiary after the supernova. Overall, our results suggest that a shared natal kick law can account for isolated pulsars and surviving NS binaries, where most NSs receive large kicks and low kicks are common among surviving binaries.
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High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

A Unified Multi-Band Secular Framework for the Hierarchical Triple PSR J0435+3233 System

The millisecond pulsar PSR J0435+3233, discovered by FAST, exhibits an unusually large apparent spin-down rate, potentially reflecting line-of-sight acceleration from a distant companion. Recent investigations reveal a hierarchical triple consisting of an inner pulsar-helium white dwarf binary with an orbital period of ~8 days, orbited by a G-type subgiant tertiary on an eccentric ~74 yr orbit. The current timing description admits two distinct geometrical solutions. We develop a singly averaged (SA) formulation that averages over the inner orbit while retaining the instantaneous phase of the eccentric outer orbit, thereby capturing the time-dependent quadrupolar perturbations induced by the tertiary. We show how this physical three-body description can be incorporated naturally into pulsar-timing analyses and use it to forward-propagate the two currently viable configurations, Tv1 and Tv2, to forecast when their timing signatures become distinguishable with FAST. The SA evolution predicts that the two configurations will become distinguishable in the coming years, with the effective projected semi-major axis, $x_{1,\mathrm{eff}}$, providing the earliest discriminating observable. We further extend the framework to predict the tertiary's spectroscopic radial-velocity and astrometric evolution, linking FAST timing with LAMOST time-domain spectroscopy and Gaia astrometry. This multi-band framework has the potential to establish PSR J0435+3233 as an exceptionally well-constrained laboratory for three-body dynamics, compact-binary and stellar evolution, and gravitational physics.
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All authors Achamveedu Gopakumar, Vidit Singh, Abhimanyu Susobhanan, Mauri J. Valtonen, Sayantan Bhattacharya, Di Li, Hong-Liang Yan, Jianping Yuan, Na Wang, Pei Wang, Qingdong Wu, De Zhao

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

Polarimetry of Black Hole Spin and Axisymmetric Emission Geometry

The Event Horizon Telescope array has measured the average polarimetric spiral morphology of black hole accretion disks using the so-called “$\beta_2$” coefficient. This measurement is dominated by the weakly lensed, direct ($n=0$, counting photon half-orbits) image of the disk, providing insight into magnetic field structure around the M87* black hole. The future space-based Black Hole Explorer mission is expected to extend these capabilities, allowing for $\beta_2$ measurement of the strongly lensed $n=1$ image. In this paper, we explore the constraints $\beta_2$ measurements would impose on spacetime and plasma geometries using a semi-analytic conical emission model. We show that magnetic field orientation with respect to the emission cone qualitatively changes the dependence of $\beta_2$ modes on model parameters. For cone-aligned magnetic fields, we find that the leading-order theoretical prediction from equatorial emitters of $\beta_{2,\, n=0} \approx\beta_{2,\, n=1}^*$ is the dominant trend even in off-equatorial models. Specifically, we show $\arg(\beta_{2,\, n=0}\,\beta_{2,\, n=1}^*) \approx 4\chi$, where $\chi$ is the angle determining in-cone magnetic field orientation. We also find that $\arg(\beta_{2,\, n=0}\beta_{2,\, n=1})$ minimizes the effect of magnetic field geometry while preserving a dependence on spin that may be used to measure spin direction. We find that observations of the photon ring's $\beta_2$ complement the constraint from direct image polarization, and can greatly constrain magnetic field structure even with an unknown external rotation measure. We also find that black hole spin and emission cone opening angle would not be tightly constrained by $\beta_2$ alone, unless strong priors are placed on the magnetic field geometry.
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All authors Vadim Bernshteyn, Daniel C. M. Palumbo, Dominic Chang, Tintin Nguyen

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

Blasts from the Past: UHECR Excesses from a Population of GRB 21009A-like Transients

The most prominent feature in the ultra-high-energy cosmic ray (UHECR) sky is a significant excess of events from the vicinity of Centaurus A (Cen A). In this paper we investigate whether the excess may be caused by a past GRB 221009A-like event rather than Cen A itself. If an extraordinary gamma-ray burst (GRB) went off in one of the dwarf galaxies within the Cen A/M83 group, intergalactic magnetic deflections would naturally spread out and delay its cosmic ray signal, making it visible for $\sim 2\times 10^{5}$ years. Scaling this up, we model a local population of these exceptionally bright, narrow-jet transients within the \text{Greisen–Zatsepin–Kuzmin} (GZK) horizon. For a local volumetric rate of $\dot n_0\simeq4\times10^{-8}\ {\rm Mpc^{-3}\,yr^{-1}}$ and a jet half-opening angle of $0.8^\circ$, we estimate $\simeq3-7$ UHECR excesses across the sky at any given time. Varying the jet opening angle, GZK volume, and visibility time results in a broader range of excess values. It is possible to test this hypothesis by comparing the population predictions against existing and upcoming UHECR anisotropy data obtained by the Pierre Auger Observatory and the Telescope Array.
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High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

The Virgo Cluster as a Case Study for Ancient Cosmic Ray Halos in Radio and X-rays

Virgo is the nearest cool core (CC) galaxy cluster, and is archetypal of the class of X-ray weak CCs. Despite the X-ray continuum implying a large cooling rate ($\gtrsim 10\,{\rm M_{\odot}\,yr^{-1}}$), measurements of cooler gas phases, dust, and star formation show almost no cooling outside the M87 nucleus. It is also known that M87$^{\ast}$ is a prodigious source of cosmic ray (CR) leptons observed in radio and $\gamma$-rays, and recent radio observations have shown that the M87 radio halo is low-frequency and its spectral index steepens rapidly away from the injection region+jets, consistent with an aging, low-energy CR population. We demonstrate that coupling X-ray and radio to newer Faraday rotation limits on the magnetic field, this implies the CRs within the CC radius ($\lesssim 40$kpc) must contribute significantly to the total pressure and soft X-ray emission, through a combination of Coulomb heating the gas and inverse-Compton (IC) scattering microwave background photons to $\sim$keV. We show this can explain the apparent correspondence between jet/radio power and X-ray cooling luminosity, and why the X-ray inferred cooling rate appears much larger than otherwise observed. This would also explain why the central X-ray inferred metallicity at $\lesssim 10\,$kpc appears to be suppressed relative to the UV/optical inferred metallicity (in a wavelength-dependent manner). Compared to more extreme radio+X-ray sources like Perseus, we find the observations require a softer 'escaping' CR spectrum (escaping or accelerated outside $\gtrsim 1\,$kpc from M87$^{\ast}$).
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All authors Philip F. Hopkins, Emily M. Silich, Jack Sayers, Sam B. Ponnada, Isabel S. Sands

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

Forward Bayesian Inference for the Binary Black Hole Populations

We present PopCWB, a Bayesian framework for the inference of the binary black hole (BBH) population based on the unmodeled search pipeline coherent WaveBurst (cWB). The standard population analysis takes an inverse approach by inferring the underlying population model parameters for a given set of detected events using the individual posterior samples. In PopCWB, we take a forward approach to population inference by varying population models to identify the most optimal one which describes the observed events. Rather than using event-level posterior samples, PopCWB uses a large set of simulated events reconstructed by cWB and their total mass, estimated with a machine-learning regression, to construct marginal probability distributions. These marginal probabilities are then used in the construction of the likelihood. We apply PopCWB to BBH events detected by cWB during the third observing run (O3) of the LIGO–Virgo–KAGRA detectors. We constrain an astrophysically motivated BBH population model that incorporates the effects of pulsational pair-instability supernovae and dynamical mergers. The analysis predicts a maximum black hole mass of $\mathbf{45.5^{+5.3}_{-6.5} M_{\odot}}$ from stellar evolution and an inferred local BBH merger rate of $\mathbf{23.1^{+11.3}_{-8.4} \, Gpc^{-3} yr^{-1}}$. We compare these results with the existing population models from the literature.
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All authors Poulami Dutta Roy, Tanmaya Mishra, Achal Kumar, Sergey Klimenko

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

Guide field effects on particle acceleration in three-dimensional relativistic magnetic reconnection

Relativistic magnetic reconnection is a key mechanism for particle acceleration in astrophysical plasmas. Recent 3D particle-in-cell simulations have shown that, for weak guide fields, particles can be accelerated at nearly the maximal rate by escaping the reconnected plasma and gaining energy from the large-scale upstream electric field. Here, we investigate whether this fast acceleration channel persists as the guide field becomes comparable to the reconnecting field. We perform 3D simulations of relativistic pair-plasma reconnection, complemented by corresponding 2D runs, using open boundaries along the reconnection outflows to establish a quasi-steady state. We find that increasing the guide field strength reduces the reconnection rate and causes energetic particles to become more closely aligned with the local magnetic field. In 3D, the fast acceleration channel—absent in 2D—persists across the full range of guide fields investigated, but involves a progressively smaller fraction of particles as the guide field increases. Consequently, stronger guide fields produce steeper particle energy spectra and lower maximum Lorentz factors.
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High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

Twins in the Shadow: Phase Transitions in Proto-Neutron Stars

We study the impact of a first-order phase transition from hadronic to deconfined quark matter on the evolution of proto-neutron stars. To maximize the applicability of our results, we construct an equation of state that is highly parameterizable, where we use a relativistic mean field approach to model hadronic matter and a constant speed of sound approach to model quark matter. We approximate the cooling behavior of proto-neutron stars as a sequence of decreasing entropy at constant baryonic mass. Some parameterizations lead to so-called "twin-stars", where two neutron stars have the same (gravitational) mass but different radii. Detecting them is regarded as a smoking gun signal for phase transition. We find, however, that proto-neutron star evolution suggests that gravitational twin stars are only possible if the hybrid star does not have, in addition, a baryonic twin. This rules out most twin star pairs, especially if the phase transition occurs at large densities. In a mass-radius diagram the unpopulated hybrid branch appears to be "in the shadow" of the hadronic branch.
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All authors Jannik Milthaler, Jan-Erik Christian, Pia Jakobus, Stephan Rosswog

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

The 2015-2017 Large EVPA Rotation in OJ 287: Dominant Propagating Component in a Helical Magnetic Field with Time-Dependent Viewing Geometry

We present high-cadence, multi-frequency monitoring of the blazar OJ 287 using KVN (22–129 GHz), ALMA (91.5–343.5 GHz), and Metsähovi (37 GHz), covering 2012–2023, together with published optical polarimetry. Within this decade-long dataset, an exceptionally large and smooth EVPA rotation is observed only during 2015–2017. The millimeter-band EVPA rotates by more than $\sim$300 deg over $\sim$1.5 yr, with a comparably large and more rapidly evolving rotation observed at optical wavelengths, while remaining comparatively stable at other epochs. The rotation coincides with a sequence of strong radio flares from 37 to 343 GHz whose peak amplitudes increase toward 2017 March, when the rotation ends. Modeling the ALMA 91.5 GHz light curve yields variability Doppler factors of $\delta_{\rm var} \sim 8$–$11$ during the EVPA-rotation interval, with no systematic increase across the flare sequence. The absence of a monotonic change in $\delta_{\rm var}$ indicates that progressively enhanced relativistic beaming is unlikely to be the primary driver of the rising flare envelope. The confinement of the large EVPA rotation to this interval, together with the nearly constant $\delta_{\rm var}$, indicates that the 2015–2017 event occurred when a single newly ejected disturbance temporarily dominated the polarized emission while propagating through structured inner-jet regions threaded by a helical magnetic field under modest jet-direction changes. Large EVPA rotations therefore arise intermittently as the jet orientation evolves, and are realized only when emission dominance and viewing geometry align favorably.
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All authors Wanchaloem Khwammai, Minchul Kam, Motoki Kino, Sascha Trippe, Hiroshi Nagai, Seiji Kameno, Ilje Cho, Ioannis Myserlis, Jeffrey A. Hodgson, Do-Young Byun, Sang-Sung Lee, Taehyun Jung, Anne Lahteenmaki, Merja Tornikoski

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

Comparing the size evolution of GRB 221009A with afterglow models

We present very long baseline interferometry (VLBI) observations of GRB221009A obtained with the global-VLBI network at 5 GHz between 231 and 750 days after the burst. The quality of our observations allowed us to measure the sub-milliarcsecond full-width at half maximum of the source surface brightness distribution with a one-sigma equivalent error of 13% and 30% at 231 and 391 days post-burst, respectively. By fitting the temporal evolution of these new size measurements alongside those previously published in the literature at 5 and 8 GHz with a single power law $\propto t^a$, we find a slope of $a = 0.52^{+0.14}_{-0.12}$. Using the public code VegasAfterglow, we model the 5 GHz size evolution considering the afterglow emission of the forward shock produced by a jet decelerating in either a homogeneous interstellar medium (ISM) or into a surrounding medium with a wind-like density profile. The model constrains the collimation-corrected Sedov ratio, that is, the ratio of the jet kinetic energy $E_\mathrm{jet}$ to the density of the surrounding medium ($n$ in the ISM scenario, or $A_\star$ in the wind scenario), in the range $\log[(E_\mathrm{jet}/n)\,\mathrm{erg}^{-1}\,\mathrm{cm}^{-3}] = 54.2^{+0.4}_{-0.5}$ for the ISM scenario and $\log[(E_\mathrm{jet}/A_\star)\,\mathrm{erg}^{-1}] = 51.7^{+0.4}_{-0.2}$ for the wind scenario. Among the works in the literature that fit the light curves and spectra of GRB221009A based on the standard afterglow model, and which can be reproduced with VegasAfterglow, none has best-fitting parameters that are compatible with these constraints within $2\sigma$. Moreover, we show that their predicted size evolution is not compatible with the observed one. Our results highlight the importance of size measurements of GRB afterglows as an independent probe of their dynamics, structure, and emission mechanisms.
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All authors S. Giarratana, O. S. Salafia, B. Marcote, Z. Paragi, M. Giroletti, G. Ghirlanda, L. Nava, A. van der Horst, J. K. Leung, L. Rhodes, P. G. Edwards, M. Pérez-Torres, J. Yang

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

XMM-Newton Resolves Parsec-scale X-ray Jets in the PeVatron Microquasar V4641 Sgr

The microquasar V4641 Sagittarii (V4641 Sgr) has recently been established as one of the most powerful Galactic PeV cosmic-ray accelerators (PeVatrons) through the detection of degree-scale gamma-ray emission to 0.8 PeV. Using XMM-Newton, we performed an X-ray survey of its gamma-ray-emitting regions during the quiescent phase. We discovered extended X-ray emission to the north and south of V4641 Sgr, aligned with the radio-jet axis, revealing X-ray jet structures extending over several tens of parsecs for the first time. The northern and southern knot-like features, dubbed n1 and s1, are located approximately 20 pc from the central binary and spatially coincident with the gamma-ray emission. The X-ray emission from each knot, characterized by a photon index of $\Gamma_X = 1.9 \pm 0.1_{\rm stat} \pm 0.5_{\rm syst}$ and an energy flux of $\sim$(2–4)$\times10^{-13}$~erg~cm$^{-2}$~s$^{-1}$ in the 2–10 keV band, is likely non-thermal in origin, indicating synchrotron radiation from accelerated electrons. The morphological coincidence between the X-ray and gamma-ray emission favors a leptonic scenario for the gamma rays, although the X-ray emission is more compact than the gamma-ray-emitting region and the hadronic scenario cannot be excluded. Through X-ray to gamma-ray modeling, we obtain a weak magnetic field strength of 3–5~$\mu$G. We propose that the newly detected X-ray knots represent particle-acceleration sites, such as jet termination or (re-)collimation regions powered by V4641 Sgr, or downstream structures analogous to the knots of the outer jets in SS~433/W50. This discovery suggests that extended X-ray emission along jets would be a key signature, yet previously overlooked, in PeVatron microquasars.
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All authors Naomi Tsuji, Caterina Tresoldi, Kaya Mori, Hiromasa Suzuki, Matthew Lundy, Dmitry Khangulyan, Samar Safi-Harb, Laura Olivera-Nieto, Felix Aharonian, Shotaro Abe, Zhen Cao, Sabrina Casanova, Maria Chernyakova, Yi-Heng Chi, Stephane Corbel, E. de la Fuente, Hua Feng, Tatsuki Fujiwara, Noa Grollimund, Dezhi Huang, Yoshiyuki Inoue, Ryohei Kanazashi, Shigeo S. Kimura, Marianne Lemoine-Goumard, Jonathan Mackey, Alessio Marino, Samaresh Mondal, Kai Morita, Maxime Parra, Gabriele Ponti, Brian Reville, Megumi Shidatsu, Shunya Takekawa, Michelle Tsirou, Xiaojie Wang, Heshou Zhang, Ping Zhou

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

Candidate X-ray Counterparts of Ultra-High-Energy Emission of the Galactic Microquasar V4641 Sgr Revealed by Einstein Probe

Microquasars have emerged as promising PeVatron candidates capable of accelerating particles to PeV energies, with recent observations revealing ultra-high-energy (UHE) $\gamma$-ray emission from extended structures associated with these systems. Multi-wavelength studies of such extended structures are crucial for understanding the acceleration, transport, and radiation processes of UHE cosmic rays (CRs), yet observational evidence remains limited. Here, we report the discovery of diffuse X-ray structures spatially coincident with the TeV $\gamma$-ray emission regions to the north and south of the microquasar V4641 Sgr, using the Follow-up X-ray Telescope (FXT) onboard the Einstein Probe. We identify X-ray structures located $\sim20$-$40$ pc from V4641 Sgr, extending over several arcminutes. These structures exhibit X-ray fluxes of $\sim1$-$3\times10^{-13}$ erg s$^{-1}$ cm$^{-2}$ and photon indices of $\Gamma\sim2$-3 in 0.5-8 keV per individual knot. Under the one-zone leptonic interpretation, the weak X-ray emission implies a magnetic field of order $1-2 \mu$G. Stronger fields remain possible if only part of the TeV-PeV emission is produced by inverse Compton scattering, with the remaining emission arising from hadronic interactions. The EP-FXT observations support the presence of relativistic electrons on tens-of-parsec scales, while the origin of the UHE $\gamma$-ray emission remains open.
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All authors Yi-Heng Chi, Shao-Qiang Xi, Ping Zhou, Hua Feng, Ruo-Yu Liu, Songzhan Chen, Naomi Tsuji, Caterina Tresoldi, Gabriele Ponti, Zhen Cao, Yong Chen, Shumei Jia, Chi-Chuan Jin, Chengkui Li, Yuan Liu, Matthew Lundy, Kaya Mori, Haiwu Pan, Lian Tao, Junfeng Wang, Weimin Yuan, Juan Zhang, Haisheng Zhao

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

Study of the Ultra-Long GRB 220627A: Exploring a Possible Blue Supergiant Collapsar Origin

Ultra-long gamma-ray bursts (ul-GRBs) challenge standard collapsar models because their extreme durations require central engines active for $\sim10^{3}-10^{4}$ s. While the prompt spectral evolution of typical GRBs is difficult to resolve due to their short durations, ul-GRBs provide a unique opportunity to study spectral evolution on extended timescales. We present a time-resolved spectroscopic study of GRB 220627A, one of the most luminous ul-GRBs known ($E_{\rm iso}\sim10^{54}$ erg, $T_{90}>1000$ s), consisting of two bright emission episodes separated by $\sim600$ s quiescent interval. Using a novel HOP algorithm-based segmentation method, we identify optimal time intervals for time-resolved spectroscopy. A Comptonized power-law (CPL) model well describes the prompt emission ($\sim 10$ keV-40 MeV) across all timescales. Fermi-GBM spectroscopy reveals a transition from a hard, slow-cooling synchrotron spectrum ($\alpha_{\rm I}=-0.70$) during episode-I to a softer, fast-cooling synchrotron spectrum ($\alpha_{\rm II}=-1.29$) during episode-II. This evolution closely resembles that of the magnetar-candidate GRB 091024A, highlighting a potential progenitor degeneracy based solely on spectral evolution. However, the extreme isotropic-equivalent energy exceeds the maximum energy available from magnetar spin-down, strongly favouring a blue supergiant (BSG) collapsar origin. The prolonged activity and multi-episode structure are naturally explained by sustained accretion through an extended stellar envelope. Our results demonstrate that ul-GRBs can display magnetar-like spectral evolution while being powered by BSG collapsars. GRB 220627A highlights the need for combining time-resolved spectroscopy with energetic constraints to distinguish between progenitor scenarios and understand the physical origin of ul-GRBs.
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All authors Ayush Garg, Amit Shukla, Dorottya Szécsi, G. C. Anupama

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Cross-listed from hep-ph

Kinetic Equilibrium between SIMP Dark Matter and Radiation via Internal Bremsstrahlung

As an alternative to standard dark matter freeze-out via two-body annihilation, strongly interacting massive particles are proposed to regulate their relic abundance through three/four-body self-annihilation. During such freeze-out, dark matter must undergo both number reduction and energy dissipation. The former requires number-reducing processes, and the latter requires an efficient energy-dissipation mechanism. In this work, we propose a novel mechanism where internal Bremsstrahlung processes establish kinetic equilibrium between dark matter and radiation, and thus dissipate energy. More appealingly, this mechanism can be naturally realized in a class of strong dynamics models with flavor-universal quarks and a light axion. To demonstrate our results in a $Sp(4)_c$ dark-color model, we compute all relevant interaction terms and numerically solve the full Boltzmann equations. The same mechanism can also be applied to vector dark matter models.
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High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Cross-listed from astro-ph.IM

Robust Bayesian non-linear pulsar timing and noise analysis using a sequential data-tempered ensemble sampler

We develop a sequential ensemble MCMC scheme for Bayesian pulsar timing and noise analysis that uses data size as the tempering parameter. The method enables gradual and reliable convergence from potentially uninformed initial points by iteratively increasing the data size, thereby increasing sensitivity and progressively narrowing the target distribution until the posterior of the full dataset is reached. The initial iterations use sub-datasets that can be orders of magnitude smaller than the full dataset, substantially reducing computational cost, which is further lowered by employing approximate lower-rank models justified by the reduced sensitivity of these sub-datasets. Bayesian inference is performed using the final MCMC chain sampled from the true target distribution after applying appropriate burn-in. We demonstrate the method using the NANOGrav 12.5-year data of PSR B1855+09, showing progressive convergence to the target posterior and that most of the computational time is spent sampling the true target distribution rather than in the preceding tempered iterations.
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High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

The Structure in the Structure Function of Black Hole Light Curves

Of the two black holes, M87$^\ast$ and Sgr A$^\ast$, for which event-horizon-scale imaging is currently achievable, only Sgr A$^\ast$ at our Galactic Center exhibits sub-hour variability, making light curve observations of the inner accretion flow especially valuable for time-domain studies of the spacetime and the surrounding plasma. Observed light curves are often sampled with variable cadence, so a structure function is often used to quantify their variability properties. In this work, we assemble a heterogeneous Sgr A$^\ast$ light curve data set from discrete observations acquired over $\sim12$ years {at 230 GHz}, with different instruments, durations, and cadences, and study its structure function in three frameworks. First, we consider analytic predictions for the features of structure functions of stationary random processes with Fourier spectra dictated by the Matérn covariance. We then study the structure functions resulting from lensed movies of synthetic optically thin accretion flows approximated with Matérn covariance in both space and time, and identify which features in the structure function can be attributed to the black-hole geometry. Lastly, we examine the structure functions of a library of $72$ general relativistic magnetohydrodynamic simulations. We find that, in general, magnetically arrested disk (MAD) models produce smoother structure functions with steeper slopes than standard and normal evolution (SANE) counterparts. On time scales of $5-15$ minutes, the observed structure function slope of Sgr A$^\ast$ more closely aligns with the MAD trend, while both simulation types are generally more variable than the data on all sub-hour timescales.
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High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Cross-listed from astro-ph.SR

Mesoscale Turbulence in Type Ia Supernova Deflagrations II. Evidence for Fuel Preheat Due to Flame Thermal Expansion from Lagrangian Analysis

Thermonuclear flame fronts in Type Ia supernovae develop hydrodynamic instabilities that generate turbulent mesoscale flow and substantial local thermodynamic variability. Recent work by \citet{Brooker+25} demonstrated systematic shortening of fuel ignition times near Rayleigh–Taylor unstable deflagration fronts, but the physical origin remained unclear. We investigate the thermodynamic evolution of fuel near the flame front using multidimensional simulations and Lagrangian tracer-particle analysis, focusing on flame-driven expansion and ignition-time variability in partially degenerate carbon–oxygen plasma. Tracer trajectories show that the most strongly preconditioned fuel parcels near the flame front, which form a minority of the fuel layer, undergo approximately pressure-constrained expansion with modest density reductions and temperature increases of $\approx 2\times10^{8}$~K to $\approx7\times10^{8}$~K ($\approx13$ to $63$ per cent above the unperturbed fuel temperature) between the low- and high-density models. Despite moderate thermodynamic perturbations, the strong temperature sensitivity of carbon ignition produces substantial shortening of ignition times. The results indicate a two-step mechanism: flame thermal expansion perturbs the fuel away from hydrostatic equilibrium, while restoration of pressure balance by weak acoustic waves redistributes internal energy from degenerate to thermal components. This raises the fuel temperature and produces localized thermodynamic preconditioning. These results suggest that unsteady thermonuclear flames can shorten ignition times ahead of the flame, influencing fuel over distances larger than the laminar flame thickness. Whether this preconditioning leads to secondary ignition or contributes to deflagration-to-detonation transition remains untested here, as nuclear burning is disabled in the analyzed fuel.
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High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Cross-listed from astro-ph.CO

Distinguishing the origin of cosmic birefringence: dark energy, dark matter, and neutrino asymmetry

Cosmic birefringence, the isotropic rotation of the plane of linear polarization of photons from sources at cosmological distances, can be generated by different parity-violating mechanisms. While the net rotation angle of a single polarized source carries little information about its physical origin, sources at various redshifts $z$ can be used to distinguish between different origins. Parity-sensitive correlations of the $E$- and $B$-mode polarization fields of the cosmic microwave background measured on large and small angular scales probe sources at $z\simeq 10$ and $1100$, respectively. Thus, the detailed shape of the $EB$ power spectrum is sensitive to the redshift evolution of the birefringence source. In this paper, we calculate the $EB$ power spectrum due to a neutrino-asymmetry current, and compare it to axion dark energy and dark matter using a common Chern–Simons framework. We find that the $EB$ power spectrum due to a neutrino asymmetry is suppressed at low multipoles, $\ell\lesssim 20$, similar to the dark matter case. This can be clearly distinguished from the dark energy case, which has no such suppression. Large-scale polarization measurements, including LiteBIRD, can therefore distinguish late-time dark energy birefringence from that generated at higher redshifts by axion dark matter or neutrino asymmetry. We also find that the evolution of the neutrino density during recombination alters the shape of the $EB$ power spectrum at high multipoles. This signature can be used to distinguish between the neutrino and axion dark matter interpretations, using ground-based experiments such as the Simons Observatory.
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High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena

A Refined Analytic Oblate–Schwarzschild Model for Thermal X-Ray Pulse Profiles of Rotating Neutron Stars

Thermal X-ray pulse profiles constrain neutron-star masses and radii through the effects of gravitational light bending and rotation on surface emission. The precision anticipated from the enhanced X-ray Timing and Polarimetry (eXTP) mission motivates more accurate analytic light-bending formulae that retain the efficiency needed for repeated model evaluations. We derive a refined analytic flux expression within the oblate–Schwarzschild (OS) approximation that combines bending, propagation-delay, and lensing approximations with a spheroidal surface. We compare its profiles with numerical Schwarzschild and second-order Hartle–Thorne ray tracing on the same spheroidal surfaces. The comparisons use a selected two-spot configuration at 300 Hz with isotropic blackbody emission and three choices for surface eccentricity: a freely specified value, the Maclaurin relation for a uniformly rotating Newtonian fluid, and a fit to rotating-neutron-star surfaces. Across these cases, the refined OS profiles have RMS flux differences of $1.76-1.98\%$ relative to the Hartle–Thorne reference, compared with $6.50-21.39\%$ for the spherical Schwarzschild-plus-Doppler (S+D) model. All differences are normalized to the phase-averaged reference flux. The corresponding differences between Schwarzschild and Hartle–Thorne ray tracing remain below $1.1\%$. These comparisons separate errors in analytic photon transfer from the effects of surface deformation and the rotating exterior spacetime. For the configurations examined, accounting for oblateness substantially improves agreement with ray tracing. The model retains the speed of an analytic calculation while making the physical origin of profile changes explicit.
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