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Physics Astrophysics Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

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Friday 9 October

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-ph

Collider and direct detection as key probes of asymmetric dark matter: Signals from a compressed Inert Higgs doublet

The cosmic imbalance of particles over antiparticles may be inherited by the dark matter in a certain class of asymmetric dark matter models. In this article, we thoroughly investigate the signatures of the minimal realization of this idea. In this model a new (stable) inert Higgs, $H'$, plays the role of the mediator that facilitates the asymmetry transfer from the visible to the dark sector. It also constitutes a small dark matter sub-component, while the dominant component stems from a singlet scalar asymmetry. A combination of phenomenological and cosmological constraints requires this new inert Higgs doublet to be quite light $46\,{\rm GeV}<m_{H'}< 580\,{\rm GeV}$ and its spectrum rather compressed, $\Delta M = m_{H^\pm}-m_{H_0} \lesssim 1\,{\rm GeV}$ and $\delta m = m_{A_0}-m_{H_0}\lesssim 5\,{\rm MeV}$. Therefore its charged component can be relatively long-lived on collider length-scales. By recasting searches for compressed Higgsinos at the LHC, we derive new limits on this particle and show that, while at present most of the parameter space for this state is still unconstrained, large and key regions of parameter space will be tested at the HL-LHC by a combination of searches for disappearing charged tracks and displaced soft tracks. Quite remarkably, the lifetime of the charged component of the doublet can be correlated with the dark matter interaction rate at direct detection experiments and we show that the next generation of direct detection experiments has a unique sensitivity to the parameter space in the model. The fact that a small neutral mass splitting is a prediction of the asymmetric setup makes it an interesting candidate to account for the high energy nuclear recoil event recently reported by the LZ experiment. More generally, our detailed phenomenological study holds for any dark matter model involving an inert Higgs doublet with mass below 580 GeV.
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All authors David Cerdeño, Miguel Escudero, Pietro Ghedini, Guilherme Guedes, Thomas Hambye, Abel Muñoz-Navarro, Elena Pressendo

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Where Cluster Galaxies Reside and How Strongly They Lens

The efficiency of galaxy-galaxy strong lensing (GGSL) in clusters depends jointly on the inner mass distributions of member galaxies and their locations within the cluster potential. Observed GGSL probabilities exceed $\Lambda$CDM predictions by nearly an order of magnitude, but the relative roles of internal structure and environment remain unclear. We disentangle these effects by comparing HST strong-lensing clusters with TNG-Cluster analogs at similar lens redshifts, matched by their primary Einstein radius. For each member, we measure its lensing strength in isolation and when embedded in the cluster field. Members in cluster-critical regions are classified as Major or Minor Perturbers depending on whether they strongly lens in isolation; those in subcritical regions are classified as Intrinsic Lenses, Boosted Lenses, or Inert Members according to whether they lens independently, only with environmental assistance, or not at all. Observed clusters contain 33.7% of selected members in cluster-critical regions, compared with 21.6% in TNG-Cluster, while their Major-to-Minor ratios are similar. Outside these regions, observations contain substantially more Intrinsic and Boosted Lenses and fewer Inert Members, with Boosted Lens fractions of 25.8% and 13.5%, respectively. The discrepancy persists at fixed subhalo mass and after including line-of-sight structure. A mass-conserving contraction mimicking core-collapsed self-interacting dark matter largely recovers the conditional lensing fractions but not cluster-critical occupancy. The GGSL discrepancy therefore reflects both insufficient central concentration in simulated members and differences in their locations within the cluster lensing field.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Ultralight scalars and invisible gravitons

Unless the tensor to scalar ratio is small enough, the non-adiabatic mode associated with the ultralight bosons may be dangerously comparable with the adiabatic spectrum of curvature inhomogeneities. We point out here that this statement depends on the timeline of the post-inflationary expansion rate. Provided the decelerated evolution is slower than radiation for a sufficiently long period, the relative weight of the non-adiabatic and adiabatic components does not conflict with the direct constraints coming from the large-scale observations. Conversely the presence of ultralight bosons excludes the presence of long stages expanding faster than radiation. The synthesis of the light nuclei and the spectrum of the relic gravitons at high frequencies set the relevant constraints on the duration of the decelerated stages, on the delayed dominance of radiation and on the mass range of the ultralight scalars.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from math-ph

Unifying spherical convolutions through lifting

We develop a unified description of convolution on the sphere by lifting to the rotation group. A number of definitions of spherical convolution have been proposed, differing in whether the kernel is axisymmetric or directional, whether the output is on the sphere or the rotation group, whether the signals carry spin, and in their computational cost. No unified treatment exists. Regarding the sphere as the homogeneous space $S^2 \cong \text{SO(3)}/\text{SO(2)}$, we lift a spin $s$ field to the rotation group, convolve on $\text{SO(3)}$, and project back to the sphere through the adjoint of the lift for a potentially different spin $s'$. We recover every rotation-equivariant convolution considered previously through constraints on the kernel, spin choices and inclusion or omission of the lift and projection. For maps between fields of fixed input and output spin, we prove that directional kernels, output on the sphere and equivariance cannot be achieved simultaneously. We make explicit that spin fields are sections of associated line bundles, linking the physics and bundle literatures, and express the spin rotation phase as the character of the twist of the section. We present harmonic-space algorithms for the exact and efficient computation of lifted spherical convolutions of band-limited fields by appealing to sampling theorems on the sphere and rotation group. All operators are implemented in the open-source s2conv code, and numerical experiments confirm the reductions and the equivariance of the operators to machine precision. Finally, we illustrate the operators on fields measured on the Earth and on the celestial sky.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

The Redshift-Space Galaxy Power Spectrum at Two-Loop Order

Contemporary large-scale structure analyses center around the galaxy power spectrum, modeled with one-loop perturbation theory. This description naturally breaks down at large wavenumbers, prohibiting the extraction of cosmological information from small-scale clustering. In this work, we present a complete model for the redshift-space galaxy power spectrum up to two-loop order, derived in the framework of the Effective Field Theory of Large Scale Structure. This accounts for a wide variety of effects, including fifth-order galaxy bias, redshift-space distortions, small-scale non-linearities, spatial non-locality, long-wavelength bulk flows, coordinate distortions, and stochasticity, involving a total of 49 free coefficients. Our model additionally encodes all deterministic contributions to the one-loop bispectrum and trispectrum (as well as the tree-level quadspectrum and pentaspectrum), which depend on many of the same parameters. We implement the model numerically, using the vegas algorithm to precompute the loop integrals; this allows the full likelihood to be evaluated in milliseconds. The approach is validated using power spectra measured from high-resolution simulations, considering both dark matter and realistic galaxy samples. The extension to two-loop order greatly increases the range of scales over which the power spectrum can be modeled, with $k_{\rm max}$ rising from $0.2h\,\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$ to $0.34h\,\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$ for a luminous red galaxy sample at $z=0.5$. Much of the additional information is absorbed by the numerous fifth-order biases and counterterms; for this reason, constraints on $\sigma_8$ are not significantly enhanced by the inclusion of two-loop terms. Future work will assess the full implications of the two-loop model for cosmological parameter inference, both alone and in combination with higher-order statistics.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Relaxation Dark Energy: Compositional Dynamics and the Future of Cosmic Acceleration

If cosmic acceleration is driven by a positive cosmological constant, the universe approaches an eternally accelerating de Sitter state, whose interpretation in quantum gravity remains elusive. We develop a framework in which acceleration is instead a transient stage of dark-sector relaxation towards compositional equilibrium: matter and dark energy approach a stationary density ratio, eventually diluting like pressureless matter. Guided by linear response theory and Onsager's near-equilibrium regression hypothesis, we describe this evolution through a composition variable measuring departure from equilibrium. Extending constant fractional relaxation to the full background evolution yields the dark-energy equation of state $w=w_0a^{-n}$, where $n$ is the relaxation rate per e-fold of expansion. This history connects early dark-energy suppression, an upward phantom crossing and a density maximum to a pressureless scaling future. Using DESI DR2 BAO and Planck distance priors, with and without three alternative supernova compilations, we find a nominal $2.6$–$3.6\sigma$ preference for nonzero relaxation over constant $w$. The composition framework also motivates a constitutive prescription for linear perturbations that remains regular at phantom crossing. Near equilibrium, regular long-wavelength composition disturbances relax at the background rate to leading order, while small-scale fluctuations propagate as damped sound waves. We prove, however, that for separately conserved matter and dark energy, the pointwise constitutive relation cannot sustain a regular, gradient-stable negative-pressure branch throughout its full past evolution. We explore modifications of the pressure response and their consistency with neighbouring homogeneous histories, identifying requirements for extending the near-equilibrium description to the full cosmological evolution.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Detecting redshift space distortions with forthcoming 21cm intensity maps from MeerKLASS

Redshift space distortions (RSD) provide a powerful measurement of structure formation in modern cosmology. In this work, we explore the potential of 21cm intensity mapping with the MeerKAT Large Area Synoptic Survey (MeerKLASS) to detect RSD and probe gravity within the redshift range of MeerKAT's UHF band ($0.4<z<1.45$). Using simulated sky observations, we examine the impact from observational effects caused by blind foreground removal and MeerKAT's primary beam, plus $k$-cuts to the measurements. With a multipole expansion formalism, we demonstrate how the quadrupole of the HI power spectrum can be modelled and also show how a foreground transfer function can reconstruct the distorted signal. With 1,115 deg$^2$ of simulated MeerKLASS observations at $0.4<z<1.0$, our proposed analysis pipeline reveals a $6.7\sigma$ detection of an RSD-induced quadrupole relative to one caused by anisotropic observational effects alone. We also explore parameter inference with the full MeerKLASS 10,000 deg$^2$ survey. Within forecasts, we demonstrate how a tomographic analysis across the full UHF redshift range can be leveraged to address certain parameter degeneracies with e.g. the HI bias ($b_{\rm HI}$) and cosmic density of HI ($\Omega_{\rm HI}$). By adopting a redshift-dependent model for the bias and HI density combined with simulation-informed priors, we demonstrate how degeneracies can be alleviated, and indicate the potential for MeerKLASS to reach competitive precision on simple probes of modified gravity.
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All authors Daniel Tassie, Steven Cunnington, David Bacon, Zhaoting Chen, José Luis Bernal

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.GA

A Relationship Between Fast Radio Burst Dispersion Measure and Host Galaxy Inclination

It is commonly thought that fast radio bursts (FRBs) trace star formation, and that they are produced by magnetars. Both hypotheses imply that their sources are hosted primarily (but not exclusively) in galactic disks. Although there is evidence in that direction, it has yet to be shown conclusively. In addition, a tension exists with the fact that at least one FRB source is found in a globular cluster far from the disk of the host. If FRBs originate primarily in disks, the galaxy orientation could leave an impression in the sample of observed FRBs, either as a selection bias against FRBs in edge-on galaxies or as a correlation with DMHost. Statistical tests against the inclinations of FRB host galaxies, derived from parametric morphology applied to optical and near-infrared imaging, can search for these effects. Such a search requires an adequately large sample of known FRB hosts that have been imaged to a sufficient depth, while estimates of DMHost also require the redshift of each host to be known. These conditions are best met in the Commensal Real-time ASKAP Fast Transient (CRAFT) survey sample of FRB host galaxies, for which the majority have been imaged at optical wavelengths with FORS2 on the Very Large Telescope (VLT). Here these data are fitted with the morphology software GALFIT to derive the elliptical axis ratio q (a proxy for inclination) for 34 hosts from the CRAFT sample, detected with ASKAP and followed up with VLT imaging. We find no bias against FRB detections from edge-on galaxies; instead, we uncover a new relationship between the inclination of an FRB host galaxy and DMHost. This is consistent with a primarily disk-based origin for CRAFT FRBs. Using this relationship we are able to reduce the scatter of the host sample about the Macquart relation by 40%, demonstrating a new empirical method for estimating DMHost that requires only deep optical imaging.
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All authors Lachlan Marnoch, Stuart D. Ryder, Sunil Simha, Alexa C. Gordon, R. M. Shannon, Nicolas Tejos, Marcin Glowacki, Ziteng Wang, Elizabeth K. Mahony, J. Xavier Prochaska, Wen-fai Fong, Richard M. McDermid

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Global analysis of tensor mode helicity

A detection of helicity in a primordial gravitational-wave background (GWB) would provide compelling evidence for parity violation in the early universe and point toward physics beyond the standard picture of inflation. Since big bang cosmology is not time translation invariant, we identify that the so-called “regular” and often-neglected “irregular” solutions are independent degrees of freedom that can in principle carry different, even opposite, helicities. We note that this possibility complicates the interpretation of a measured net helicity. To determine the sensitivity of various GW detector configurations to helicity, we introduce a universal helicity efficiency coefficient that provides a unified geometric description of helicity sensitivity across gravitational-wave detectors which generalizes and improves previous estimators. We apply this helicity efficiency coefficient to estimate the sensitivity of a range of future GW experiments to helicity across twenty orders of magnitude in frequency assuming a fully helical background with an amplitude just below the current constraints.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-ph

Direct detection constraints on EFT operators for inelastic dark matter

We convert existing exclusion limits on the elastic spin-independent (SI) dark matter–proton cross sections into upper bounds on the event rate, subsequently applying them to constrain other effective operators for inelastic scattering of light dark matter in the GeV mass region. We focus on three representative scenarios including the isoscalar, proton-philic, and the proton-philic spin-dependent inelastic dark matter model, which are well-motivated in phenomenological studies of dark matter detection.
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Thursday 8 October

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-ph

Stochastic gravitational waves from narrow-band cosmological magnetic fields

We calculate the spectrum of gravitational waves generated by a cosmological magnetic field with a narrow-band power spectrum. For a spectrum narrowly peaked at a comoving wavenumber $k_c$, we find that the gravitational wave signal peaks at $2k_c$ and has a sharp cutoff at this scale. We apply this result to an ultralight dark matter model of magnetogenesis operating around recombination, in which an axion-photon coupling generates a helical magnetic field by parametric resonance. We determine the conditions for the resulting gravitational waves to enter the frequency range of pulsar timing experiments. Although the required frequency can be reached for sufficiently large coupling, the corresponding amplitude is below the experimental sensitivity for physically allowed energy densities of the magnetic field. We generalize this conclusion to models of magnetogenesis operating at other epochs, estimating as $T \simeq 160 \mathrm{MeV}$ the temperature of a magnetogenesis process assumed to be the source of the stochastic gravitational wave background suggested by pulsar timing arrays. We place the lower bound $T \gtrsim 1$-$10 \mathrm{MeV}$ on such viable models.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Narrowing down the Hubble constant value by exploiting the extended surface brightness of the supernova Refsdal host galaxy

We present the first inference of the Hubble constant and matter density parameter from a strongly lensed supernova by exploiting the mass model of a galaxy cluster enhanced by an extended surface brightness reconstruction. Building upon the recent mass model of the galaxy cluster MACS J1149.5+2223, relying on the identified image positions only, we include the surface brightness distribution of the SN Refsdal host, to infer some cosmological parameter values within a flat LCDM framework. We consider two cosmological parameterizations, with either H0 and {\Omega}m or H0 alone treated as free parameters, acknowledging the milder dependency on {\Omega}m when incorporating additional constraints from the SN host. We explore four different mass-model realizations to assess some of the systematic uncertainties associated with the constraint weighting and source reconstruction. Although known as one of the main possible systematic effects, including influences from the external convergence, we deliberately keep the cluster total mass parametrization fixed to that of the previously published point-like mass model to enable a fair comparison. This reveals that incorporating 77,000 HST pixels reduces the uncertainty on the inferred value of the Hubble constant by a factor of 2.0, while all model realizations remain mutually consistent. Our final measurements are $H_0 = 65.0^{+2.0}_{-1.8}$ km/s/Mpc and $\Omega_m = 0.30^{+0.08}_{-0.09}, in agreement with previous results. This corresponds to a substantially improved precision, reaching a remarkable 3.0% uncertainty on the value of H0 given our cluster total mass parameterization. The contributions of the uncertainties on the lens total mass and on the measured time delays to the final H0 error are now comparable, indicating that future improvements in cluster-scale time-delay cosmography will increasingly depend on (abridged version).
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All authors S. Schuldt, C. Grillo, S. H. Suyu, A. Acebron, L. Bazzanini, P. Bergamini, G. Di Rosa, A. Halkola, A. Mercurio, P. Rosati

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

The road to $H_0$, $\Omega_m$, and $w$ with a global neutrino-telescope network

The newly measured correlation between the neutrino and X-ray luminosities of Seyfert galaxies has yielded the first neutrino-based measurement of the Hubble constant. Building on this result, we forecast the reach of a global neutrino-telescope network by 2030, utilizing full-sky IceCube exposures combined with KM3NeT-ARCA and Baikal-GVD. We find that this 2030 configuration sharpens the neutrino-measured Hubble constant from today's $H_0 = 66^{+44}_{-37}$ to $H_0 =66^{+15}_{-13}$ km s$^{-1}$ Mpc$^{-1}$. Additionally, we project that the disk-corona slope of the neutrino X-ray luminosity relation ($L_\nu\propto L_X^\beta$) will reach $\beta=0.72\pm0.04$, enabling a $\geq \!5\sigma$ exclusion of the calorimetric value $\beta=1$. Finally, we show that, if a high-redshift population of neutrino sources, such as JWST's "little red dots," is identified and obeys the same luminosity relation, we can obtain a new independent measurement of the matter density $\Omega_m$ and the dark energy equation-of-state parameter $w$.
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All authors Pavel Zhelnin, Gonzalo Herrera, Nicholas Kamp, Carlos A. Argüelles

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-ph

Seeing in the Dark: Gravitational Waves from Resonant Production of Dark Photon Dark Matter

Ultralight dark photons (DPs) are well-motivated dark matter candidates. A promising yet underexplored mechanism for their relic abundance is parametric resonance in the Abelian-Higgs model that generates the DP mass. We advance previous analytical studies through dedicated 3D lattice simulations that capture important nonlinear effects, including backreaction and relic partitioning between the dark Higgs and DPs. We further predict the associated stochastic gravitational-wave (GW) signal, which can be within reach of a broad range of detectors, opening a new avenue to probe ultralight DP dark matter.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

A Burst of Reionization in the Dark Ages

Primordial overdensities at small scales can be significantly larger than those observed at large scales. As a result, they can collapse much earlier, at redshifts $z \sim 100$. In these collapsed halos, stars and black holes can form, where they can then contribute to an early reionization of the universe. If this epoch is temporary, the free electrons will recombine yielding a low level of ionization leading into cosmic dawn. This contributes to the optical depth of the universe, and adds more weakly to low-$\ell$ polarization signals of ionization compared to later sources. We study the effects of a redshift-localized source of reionization $\Delta \tau_{burst}$ in the context of a broad suite of cosmological data to constrain this scenario, finding a preference of approximately $\sim 2-2.5\sigma$ for a new contribution. Regardless of Planck reprocessing used (PR3 - SRoll2+plik or PR4 - LoLLiPoP+CamSpec/HiLLiPoP), the results are consistent, favoring a new contribution $\Delta \tau_{burst} \sim 0.012$ ($0.001 < \Delta \tau_{burst} < 0.022$ at 95%) and a similar total optical depth $\tau \sim 0.073$. The precise era of reionization is somewhat discrepant depending on the higher-$\ell$ reprocessing used, with HiLLiPoP favoring $z\sim 45$, CamSpec $z\sim 100$ and plik $z\sim 165$. If such a source is present at $40\lesssim z\lesssim150$, LiteBIRD should be able to detect it, while Simons Observatory should also constrain it.
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All authors Neal Weiner, Soubhik Kumar, Wenzer Qin, Zilu Zhou, Yacine Ali-Haïmoud, Hector Afonso G. Cruz

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-ph

A scalar-extended ${\rm U(1)_{L_{\mu}-L_{\tau}}}$ explanation of the LUX-ZEPLIN 248 keV excess

The recently observed dark matter (DM) nuclear recoil event at an energy of $248 \pm 23\,(\text{stat.}) \pm 23\,(\text{syst.})\,\text{keV}$ at the LUX-ZEPLIN (LZ) experiment, favoring an inelastic scattering interpretation, has motivated various beyond the Standard Model (BSM) scenarios aimed at explaining the observed excess. In particular, this provides an opportunity to probe models that naturally accommodate inelastic DM scattering. In this work, we explore one such possibility by extending the $\rm U(1)_{L_{\mu}-L_{\tau}}$ model with two complex scalar fields, $\Phi$ and $S$, carrying charges $-1$ and $+2$, respectively, under the $\rm U(1)_{L_{\mu}-L_{\tau}}$ gauge symmetry. These charge assignments allow a trilinear interaction between the two scalar fields, which is crucial for generating the DM mass splitting. Following the spontaneous breaking of the $\rm U(1)_{L_{\mu}-L_{\tau}}$ symmetry, with $S$ acquiring a vacuum expectation value and generating a mass for the BSM gauge boson $Z_{\mu\tau}$, the real and imaginary components of $\Phi$ acquire a mass splitting. This naturally gives rise to an inelastic DM scattering scenario that can accommodate the LZ excess. We perform a likelihood-based assessment of the sensitivity of the model parameters to the observed event while consistently accounting for other relevant phenomenological constraints. Finally, we discuss the prospects for probing the viable parameter space at future experiments.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Cosmic topology. Part IId. Eigenmodes and correlation matrices of lens spaces

The global topology of the Universe is a longstanding open question. In this work, we examine the statistical signatures of a positively curved universe with a Friedmann–Lemaitre–Robertson–Walker metric and the topology of a lens space $L(p,q)$. Since these manifolds are generally statistically anisotropic and inhomogeneous, their cosmic microwave background (CMB) covariance matrices contain non-zero off-diagonal entries that depend on observer location. We compute these full harmonic-space covariance matrices for scalar perturbations for arbitrary lens spaces and observer position. Using the Kullback–Leibler divergence, we assess the distinguishability of these spaces from a simply connected three-sphere with the same curvature. The results show that topological signatures can still be significant in a cosmic-variance-limited regime even when the length, $d_{\rm NC}$, of the shortest loop around the Universe through the observer exceeds the diameter, $d_{\rm LSS}$, of the last-scattering surface by up to $10\%$. This distinguishability depends on the curvature, the lens space and the observer position mainly through the ratio $d_{\rm NC}/d_{\rm LSS}$, which is set not only by the curvature radius but also by $p$, $q$ and the observer location. Therefore, for any value of the spatial curvature, however small, there are lens spaces and observer positions for which $0.985\,d_{\rm LSS}<d_{\rm NC}<1.1\,d_{\rm LSS}$. Such observers would find no matched circles in the CMB large enough to have been detected to date, yet the topology would remain potentially discoverable through its statistical signatures.
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All authors Mikel Martin Barandiaran, Catherine Petretti, Stefano Anselmi, Deyan P. Mihaylov, Anna Negro, Glenn D. Starkman, Andrius Tamosiunas, Yashar Akrami, George Alestas, Javier Carrón Duque, Craig J. Copi, Fernando Cornet-Gomez, Linn Htat Lu, Andrew H. Jaffe, Arthur Kosowsky, José Javier Ortega Gómez, Ricardo G. Rodrigues, Amirhossein Samandar, Cynthia Trendafilova

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from gr-qc

A Pairwise Surrogate for Gravitational-Wave Spectra from Highly Relativistic Vacuum Bubble Collisions

Gravitational waves from vacuum first-order phase transitions probe the nonlinear dynamics of relativistic bubble collisions. Predicting their spectrum requires resolving Lorentz-contracted scalar bubble walls throughout a volume containing many bubbles, making the large-boost regime prohibitively expensive for direct lattice simulations. We develop a simulation-based pairwise surrogate that separates the microscopic collision dynamics from the geometry of the multi-bubble transition. This utilizes symmetry-reduced $(1+1)$-dimensional scalar-field simulations to build a library of two-bubble gravitational-wave spectra, including the nonlinear post-collision evolution. These spectra are combined with geometric weights that account for screening by other bubbles. We test the two-bubble spectra and the reconstructed spectra of three- and many-bubble systems against full $(3+1)$-dimensional lattice simulations. Not only can the surrogate be orders of magnitude cheaper computationally, but it also provides access to highly relativistic collisions beyond the practical reach of direct many-bubble simulations. This provides a route to studying how the spectral amplitude and shape depend on the collision boost and scalar potential.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.IM

Opening the Black Box: What Neural Networks Learn from Pulsar Timing Array Data

In recent years, simulation-based inference (SBI) methods have been proposed to address several data-analysis challenges faced by existing and planned gravitational-wave experiments. For example, SBI classification has recently been shown to significantly improve the prospects for detecting anisotropies in pulsar timing array (PTA) data. In this work, we use a simple toy model of a PTA to provide a more pedagogical explanation of how, and under which circumstances, SBI-based detection can improve on classical detection statistics for gravitational-wave background anisotropies.
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All authors James Alvey, Andrea Mitridate, Mauro Pieroni, Joseph D. Romano

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

An analytical model for non-local stochastic field-level galaxy bias on the sphere

We present the `Bias of Overdensities in Large-scale Tracers on the Sphere' (BOLTS) model, a novel analytic galaxy bias model for projected fields on the sphere that incorporates stochasticity and non-locality already at linear order while enforcing physicality and statistical isotropy. Rather than as a deterministic transfer function, we model galaxy bias as a statistically isotropic random field, allowing stochasticity to enter through fluctuations in the bias itself. The construction yields an explicit decomposition into a linear, non-local stochastic and deterministic components in harmonic space. We fit the model parameters to the projected power spectra measured in large-volume hydrodynamical simulations (FLAMINGO), enabling sampling of galaxy populations from simulated matter fields while conditioning on galaxy properties such as halo mass or redshift. By construction, the model reproduces the two-point statistics down to the simulation resolution, and without being calibrated on it, BOLTS recovers the equilateral bispectrum within the sample variance of the simulation down to comoving scales of $\mathcal{O}(10 \, \mathrm{Mpc})$ for halo masses $ M_{\rm{h}} > 10^{11.5}\,\rm{M}_{\odot} $ over redshifts $0 < z < 3$. Relative to local bias prescriptions, it more accurately captures amplitude-phase correlations and mode coupling in the measured wavelet phase harmonics wherever the stochasticity of the tracers exceeds their discreteness, including low redshifts and lower halo masses $M_{\rm{h}} = 10^{11.5}\,\rm{M}_{\odot}$ where non-linearities become important. This model enables efficient field-level forward modelling for simulation-based inference and model comparison with large datasets from forthcoming galaxy surveys including Euclid, Rubin LSST, and Roman, while improving the accuracy of galaxy bias modelling with respect to standard linear deterministic models.
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All authors Maximilian von Wietersheim-Kramsta, Nicolas Tessore, Benjamin Joachimi, Qianjun Hang, Niall Jeffrey, Joop Schaye

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.GA

Modeling CO Line Luminosity Using FIRE Simulations: I. Methodology and Validation of Molecular Gas and CO Abundance

We present a post-processing pipeline that predicts CO line luminosities, molecular hydrogen masses, and CO abundances for galaxies in the Feedback in Realistic Environments (FIRE-2) simulations, as a first step toward CO response functions for line intensity mapping mocks. SKIRT gives the radiation field reaching each gas cell. CLOUDY, tabulated on a five-parameter grid (metallicity, density, turbulent velocity, radiation field, cloud scale) and interpolated, gives $L'_{\rm CO(1-0)}$ and the $\rm H_2$ and CO masses. In this first of three papers we validate the pipeline against observations. For Milky Way (MW) molecular clouds, the predicted $L'_{\rm CO(1-0)}$ rises sharply at $A_V\sim1$ and matches the observed values above that column. For a uniform $3\,Z_\odot$ the summed luminosity is within 35% of the observed total. A factor of three increase in metallicity changes the total $L'_{\rm CO(1-0)}$ by an order of magnitude. Along MW sight lines, the predicted $N_{\rm CO}/N_{\rm H_2}$ reproduces the observed upturn within 0.3 dex in $N_{\rm H_2}$ but falls below the data at higher columns. At $z=0$ our molecular gas masses agree with xCOLD GASS for ${\rm SFR}\gtrsim0.3\,M_\odot\,yr^{-1}$ and are converged across our simulation resolutions. At $z\gtrsim1$ observed gas masses exceed ours at fixed stellar mass, though selection effects and conversion-factor assumptions limit this comparison. CO luminosities are compared with extragalactic observations in Paper II. Capturing the metallicity-dependent dust shielding of CO from photodissociation is essential for modeling CO emission in low-mass and high-redshift galaxies.
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All authors Doğa Tolgay, Norman W. Murray, Dongwoo Chung, J. Richard Bond, Nathan J. Carlson, Robert Feldmann, Andrew Wetzel, Guochao Sun

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

HI intensity mapping with MeerKAT: A measurement of the 21-cm auto-spectrum on cosmological scales

We report a direct measurement of the 21-cm signal from neutral hydrogen (HI) via the intensity mapping technique at redshift $z = 0.42$ through its power spectrum at cosmological scales $0.095\,h\,{\rm Mpc}^{-1}<k<0.245\,h\,{\rm Mpc}^{-1}$. We analyse intensity maps observed in the frequency range $971.2\,{\rm MHz}<\nu<1023.6\,{\rm MHz}$ during the 2021 observational campaign of the MeerKAT Large Area Synoptic Survey (MeerKLASS) spanning an area of approximately $236\,{\rm deg}^2$. Capitalising on the depth of this survey, we divide the data set into multiple observationally independent subsets. After performing blind contaminant separation independently on each subset, we exploit internal cross-correlations to suppress the instrumental noise plateau and isolate the cosmological signal from residual systematics. Although the subsets' auto-spectra show the presence of excess power that we deem linked to still unresolved systematics, the cross-spectra measurements satisfactorily pass a battery of null and robustness tests. We introduce a multi-subset formalism to infer the amplitude of the HI auto-spectrum from our internal cross-spectra measurements while marginalising the potential signal loss that occurs during data processing, reaching a detection with signal-to-noise ratio of 6.2. We constrain the clustering amplitude of the signal in terms of the HI cosmic abundance and its linear bias, measuring $10^3\,\Omega_{\rm HI} b_{\rm HI}=1.271^{+1.080}_{-0.598}$. This direct measurement marks a milestone in demonstrating the effectiveness of the HI intensity mapping technique for future surveys with the SKA Observatory, of which MeerKAT is a precursor.
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All authors MeerKLASS Collaboration, Matilde Barberi-Squarotti, José L. Bernal, Philip Bull, Stefano Camera, Isabella P. Carucci, Zhaoting Chen, Steven Cunnington, Brandon N. Engelbrecht, José Fonseca, Keith Grainge, Wenkai Hu, Melis O. Irfan, Yichao Li, Mário G. Santos, Marta Spinelli, Jingying Wang, Amadeus Witzemann, Laura Wolz

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.GA

Too many or too bright? Status and perspectives in the study of the UV Luminosity Function at z>10

The finding that galaxies in the first 500Myr were much more numerous and/or brighter than expected is often cited as one of the main discoveries of the James Webb Space Telescope in its first four years of operation. This result is now solidly based on an impressive number of surveys that have detected, spectroscopically confirmed, and characterized a relatively large sample of galaxies up to z=14.44, the redshift of the most distant galaxy currently known. This finding has motivated the introduction of additional physical mechanisms into theoretical models to reproduce the observed numbers and luminosities. These results contrast with the failure, despite ongoing efforts, to confirm any galaxy candidate beyond this redshift. This review summarizes the status of the search for and characterization of galaxies at z>9, focusing on the evolution of the UV Luminosity Function (UVLF), which is the main statistical description of the galaxy population that can be obtained at these redshifts. We first provide a comprehensive overview of the full set of JWST data obtained so far. We perform a 'meta–analysis' on the entire data set and provide a simple yet effective description of the global evolution of the UVLF, averaging over the various surveys. We also compare these results extensively with theoretical models that were developed to match the new JWST observations and that explore different physical mechanisms able to drive the observed evolution. We conclude with a summary of the contrasting results regarding the search for galaxy candidates at z>15, and outline the requirements for future surveys aimed at breaking this barrier.
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All authors A. Fontana, H. Atek, V. Bromm, A. J. Bunker, M. Castellano, P. Dayal, F. D'Eugenio, D. Elbaz, A. Ferrara, S. L. Finkelstein, S. Fujimoto, M. Giavalisco, Y. Harikane, C. Kobayashi, F. Pacucci, P. G. Pérez-González, P. Rosati, A. Trinca, R. Tripodi, P. Santini, E. Vanzella, A. Venditti, A. Weibel

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

A New Era for Supernova Science with the James Webb Space Telescope

Supernovae (SNe) are excellent probes of the physical, chemical, and cosmological context of galaxies across the history of the Universe. The James Webb Space Telescope (JWST ) has a truly unique combination of wavelength, sensitivity, and resolution, providing a new window into SN physics, progenitors, dust production, redshift evolving stellar populations, and cosmology since its launch. Here we summarize the astounding observations JWST has made of SNe in its first few years of operations, as well as the corresponding advancements in our understanding of the Universe. This includes detailed views of nearby SNe, the first spectroscopic samples of high-z SNe, and a significant number of gravitationally lensed SNe valuable for both cosmological inference and high signal-to-noise (S/N) spectroscopy. While the upcoming Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope is expected to revolutionize space-based time-domain astronomy, JWST and its unique capabilities will continue to play a complementary role by providing high-precision spectroscopic and photometric data for a broad range of SN science cases.
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All authors Justin Pierel, David Coulter, Christa DeCoursey, James DerKacy, Ori Fox, Melissa Shahbandeh, Matthew Siebert, Michael Engesser, Conor Larison, Thomas Moore, Armin Rest, Rodrigo Angulo, Michael Dulude, Eiichi Egami, Massimo Griggio, Mitchell Karmen, Xiaolong Li, Estefania Padilla Gonzalez, Koji Shukawa, Louis-Gregory Strolger

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from gr-qc

Holographic dark energy from generalized entropies and extended infrared cut-offs

We study holographic dark energy models constructed from generalized entropy functionals and local infrared cut-offs. Three entropies (Barrow and the three and five-parameter generalized entropies) are each combined with the Granda-Oliveros (GO) cut-off and two extensions, one adding a $\gamma H^{-2}$ term and one a $\gamma \ddot{H}/H$ term, the latter raising the dark-energy evolution equation to second order. The nine resulting models are constrained against DESI DR2 BAO, Pantheon+ and a Planck compressed CMB likelihood through an MCMC analysis, and compared using the Akaike and Bayesian information criteria. The Hubble constant is stable across all models. The $H^{-2}$ term is unconstrained in every case, as it becomes relevant only in the far future, and never improves on the GO cut-off. The $\ddot{H}/H$ term, instead, is tightly constrained for Barrow and $S_5$, where it improves the fit substantially, but not for $S_3$. The best fit is obtained for Barrow entropy with the $\ddot{H}/H$ cut-off, yet the Barrow exponent remains compatible with zero in all cases. The data thus favour a higher-order infrared cut-off, while showing no significant evidence for a departure from the Bekenstein-Hawking area law. We also investigate the dark energy equation of state (EoS) of $S_3$ and $S_5$, discovering quintessence-like behavior and phantom crossing.
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All authors Ke Chen, Simone D'Onofrio, Sergei D. Odintsov, Tanmoy Paul

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Pinpointing the cosmic web between massive galaxy clusters I. The incidence of HI and OVI as WHIM tracers

At redshift z<1, the $\Lambda$CDM paradigm predicts that $\sim$40-50% of baryons reside in the warm-hot intergalactic medium (WHIM) within cosmic web filaments. Characterizing the physical state and distribution of this dominant baryonic component is crucial for a complete picture of baryon evolution in the low-redshift Universe. However, directly observing the WHIM has been challenging due to its low density and high temperature and ionization state. Absorption-line spectroscopy offers a promising approach, particularly through analyses of broad Ly-$\alpha$ absorbers (BLAs; Doppler parameter b>40 km/s) and OVI absorbers. This work focuses on probing WHIM signatures by analyzing the incidence rates of these tracers in and around putative cosmic web filaments connecting massive galaxy clusters. We use far-ultraviolet (FUV) absorption spectroscopy from HST/COS along ten QSO sightlines at z<1, selected for their proximity in projected distance and velocity to cluster pairs. We focus on absorption features of WHIM tracers (BLAs and OVI) and cold-gas tracers (narrow Ly-$\alpha$ absorbers, or NLAs; b<40 km/s), which are used as a control sample for colder gas. We measure excess incidence rates for total HI, NLAs, BLAs, and OVI within a rest-frame $\Delta v=\pm1000$ km/s and an impact parameter $\Delta d<3$ Mpc relative to the field expectation, and find that the excesses of BLAs and OVI are about twice those of NLAs. Additionally, the covering fractions of BLAs and OVI appear larger by factors of $\sim$1.7 and 1.8, respectively, than in a random field control sample, whereas the NLA covering fraction is consistent with the random expectation. The larger relative excess of WHIM tracers compared to cold-gas tracers near independent cluster pairs indicates the prevalence of warm-hot gas in these environments, representing a potential signature of WHIM detection in inter-cluster filaments.
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All authors Karen Martínez-Acosta, Nicolas Tejos, Ismael Pessa, J Xavier Prochaska, Joseph Burchett, Britton Smith, Jessica Werk, Nelson Padilla, Sebastián López

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-ph

Implications of tachyonic phase transition in classically scale invariant general $U(1)_{X}$ models

We investigate the complementarity between collider searches and gravitational-wave (GW) observations in the classically scale-invariant general $U(1)_X$ extension of the Standard Model. The $U(1)_X$ scale is generated radiatively through the Coleman-Weinberg mechanism, while the electroweak scale is induced through the Higgs portal, without explicit mass terms in the scalar potential. Three right-handed neutrinos are introduced to ensure anomaly cancellation and acquire Majorana masses upon $U(1)_X$ symmetry breaking, which also generates the mass of the neutral gauge boson $Z'$. In the strongly supercooled regime, a tachyonic $U(1)_X$ phase transition can produce a stochastic GW background. Assuming three heavy Majorana neutrinos, we study their effects on the phase-transition dynamics and reheating, and estimate the resulting GW signals. We identify the regions of the $U(1)_X$ gauge coupling and $Z'$ mass accessible to future GW observatories, including LISA and DECIGO, and compare them with existing LEP and LHC constraints. We find that GWs from tachyonic phase transitions can probe regions with small gauge couplings and heavy $Z'$ bosons that are difficult to access through collider searches, demonstrating the complementarity of these probes.
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All authors Arindam Das, Katsuya Hashino, Yuta Orikasa, Masanori Tanaka

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics

Galaxy Clustering Can Reveal Host-Galaxy Properties of Binary Black Hole Mergers

Galaxy clustering encodes information about the host galaxies of binary black hole (BBH) mergers even when individual hosts remain unidentified, because the distribution of neighboring galaxies depends statistically on the host-galaxy population. We construct event-level host-type likelihoods from host-conditioned galaxy-count distributions within gravitational-wave localization regions and combine them to infer the fractions of BBH mergers hosted by different galaxy populations. The framework applies to common and rare galaxy populations without prescribing formation efficiencies or merger delay-time distributions. Using measured star-forming and quenched galaxy clustering, idealized one-year forecasts assuming all mergers occur in quenched galaxies yield median one-sided 90% lower credible limits of 0.19, 0.48, and 0.92 on the quenched-host fraction for O5, post-O5, and third-generation networks. These forecasts illustrate the potential for host-galaxy population inference before the third-generation detector era.
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Wednesday 7 October

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from astro-ph.GA

The conditional colour-magnitude distribution: III. A study of galaxy colour- and luminosity-dependent counts-in-cells statistics

The conditional colour-magnitude distribution (CCMD) model connects the galaxy colour-luminosity distribution with dark matter halo mass, which has been constrained in Xu et al. by jointly modelling the two-point correlation functions of a large galaxy sample of the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) in fine bins of galaxy colour and luminosity. We test the CCMD model of the galaxy-halo connection using counts-in-cells (CIC) statistics by comparing CCMD model predictions with SDSS measurements for 16 subsamples of galaxies in various luminosity and colour bins. In addition, we compare SDSS measurements with three analytic models of CIC distribution. The CCMD model provides a good description of the SDSS CIC measurements for most subsamples. The exceptions are the void probability functions and CIC distributions with cell radius 5 Mpc/h for a few subsamples in the luminous bins, which are not well described by the analytic models, either. For these subsamples, in general, removing the Sloan Great Wall from SDSS or introducing velocity bias to the CCMD model does not resolve the disagreement. Finally, with the help of the CCMD mocks, we investigate the cause of the variations of the galaxy counts in cells. For small cells or cells with a low mean galaxy count, the variation reflects effects from fluctuations in both the matter environment and the halo occupation distribution, while for large cells or cells with a high mean galaxy count, the environment effect dominates. We discuss the implications of our work for investigating galaxy assembly bias.
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Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Cross-listed from hep-th

Massive de Sitter Correlators as Finite Mellin-Barnes Integrals

Using the Mellin-Barnes representation of de Sitter propagators, we reduce tree-level heavy-particle exchange to finite integrals that converge at physical kinematics on mass-independent contours, and one-loop diagrams to the same integrand times a flat-space momentum factor. We evaluate the triple-exchange bispectrum without analytic continuation and compute the complete one-loop triangle at general mass. These give cosmological collider predictions, the oscillatory signatures of heavy particles during inflation, for multiple exchanges and loops at arbitrary masses.
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